Sutton Area TriBeCa Upper East Side Upper West Side Washington Heights West Village The Corcoran Report Battery Park City Beekman Carnegie Hill Central Park South Chelsea Flatiron Clinton East Harlem East Village Financial District Gramercy Greenwich Village Hamilton Heights Manhattan Morningside Heights Harlem Inwood Chinatown Lower East Side Midtown East Midtown West Murray Hill Nolita Roosevelt Island SoHo Sutton TriBeCa Upper East Side Upper West Side Washington Heights West Village The Corcoran Report 1st Quarter 2013 Battery Park City Beekman Carnegie Hill Central Park South Chelsea Flatiron Clinton East Harlem East Village Financial District Gramercy Greenwich Village Hamilton Heights Manhattan Morningside Heights Harlem
A comprehensive analysis of the residential real estate market in Manhattan.
The Corcoran Report 1st Quarter 2013
Welcome to the Corcoran Report, our quarterly examination of Manhattan’s residential real estate market. This report uses market-wide data based on transactions that closed in the First Quarter 2013 (January 1 through March 31) and compares it to closings that took place last quarter and during the same quarter last year. Closings typically occur eight-to-twelve weeks after a contract is signed. For that reason, the closed sales activity discussed trails actual market conditions. Manhattan transaction activity was solid in First Quarter 2013, increasing 1% from First Quarter 2012 to 2,826 closings. A 24% increase in the number of signed contracts from the same time last year illustrates this quarter’s exceptional sales momentum. In addition, the number of new contracts signed this quarter exceeded the quarterly average, making it the strongest First Quarter sales performance since 2007. New developments are a large driver of this surge in contract activity. For example 56 Leonard Street, the luxury new development tower in TriBeCa, is already 50% sold with over $450 million in signed contracts since its sales center opened in February. Demand for new development property is so strong that buyers are once again purchasing homes based on floor plans. The market-wide trend of declining inventory continued this quarter with a 26% decrease compared to last year. This is the eighth consecutive quarter of year-over-year inventory decline; we are now 50% below the inventory peak of First Quarter 2009. Buyers are reacting to limited inventory by making immediate offers, participating frequently and aggressively in bidding wars, and evincing fervent demand for new development product. Prices in First Quarter 2013 were mixed. Market-wide pricing was stable versus a year ago and declined slightly versus the Fourth Quarter 2012 due to sales activity that anticipated new tax implications. Resale co-ops grew to represent 60% of closings this quarter and this shift in property type also affected marketwide prices. Strong demand for new product drove a 37% year-over-year increase in new development median price and a 6% increase in average price per square foot. Resale condos also held their value with average price per square foot up 1% from last year and median price up 12%. The median price for resale co-ops fell 2% from last year, while average price per square foot increased 2%. Continued steady demand is anticipated from local, national and international sources, putting 2013 on pace for a strong Spring selling season. If you have any questions regarding your future and specific needs, our agents are here to help you with expert market knowledge and exceptional service. Corcoran is the leader in our marketplace and we look forward to working with you. For the most comprehensive analysis of the Manhattan, Brooklyn, East End and South Florida residential markets, visit the Reports page of our website at www.corcoran.com/thecorcoranreport.
Sincerely,
Pamela Liebman Chief Executive Officer
The following members of the The Corcoran Group made significant contributions to this report: Helen Howe I Douglas LaMere I Ryan Schleis I Joshua Sachs I Kirsten Spanjer The following members of the PropertyShark team made significant contributions to this report: Matthew Haines I Calin Onet I Robert Raiz I Claudia Santa I Robert Sarb
Page 2
The Corcoran Report 1st Quarter 2013
Page 3 View all our current market reports for the most comprehensive analysis of Manhattan, Brooklyn, Hamptons and South Florida at www.corcoran.com/thecorcoranreport
Market Trends Price growth in First Quarter 2013 was not uniform. With limited inventory, the new development market performed well and resale condos experienced yearover-year price gains. Resale co-op median price decreased due to a shift towards smaller residences. This had a strong effect on market wide price metrics as resale co-ops comprised the majority of sales this quarter. Page 4
West Side West Side resale co-op prices increased compared to last year but were lower than Fourth Quarter 2012 due to the influx of high end sales at the end of 2012. Resale condo median price increased year-over-year by 20%. Limited new development supply on the West Side continues to put upward pressure on prices. Page 12
Midtown Resale co-op median price was even from both First Quarter 2012 and Fourth Quarter 2012. Midtown resale condos experienced strong median and average price per square foot gains compared to First Quarter 2012. Limited availability for smaller residences caused significant year-over-year price jumps for the Midtown new development market. Page 13
Uptown Uptown co-op median price was stable compared to last year and average price per square foot was higher than both last year and Fourth Quarter 2012. Resale condo median price increased year-over-year by 48%. Uptown new developments continue to see price appreciation as average price per square foot increased 12% from First Quarter 2012 and 8% from Fourth Quarter 2012. Page 16
East Side Increased market share under $500K drove resale co-op median price and average price per square foot down this quarter. Resale condo average price per square foot increased year-over-year by 4%. Increased market share for one bedrooms caused East Side new development prices to decrease from both First Quarter 2012 and Fourth Quarter 2012. Page 11
Downtown Strong demand from entry level buyers shifted co-op sales towards smaller residences this quarter, which caused a decline in median price compared to last year. Scarcity of condo inventory Downtown drove prices significantly higher. Downtown new development median price increased 51% from First Quarter 2012 and 16% from Fourth Quarter 2012. Page 14
Financial District and Battery Park City Strong one and two bedroom sales drove stable price growth for Financial District and Battery Park City resale condos. New developments in Battery Park City dominated the submarket’s new development closings this quarter, causing prices to decline compared to First Quarter 2012. Page 15
Interactive map online at
propertyshark.com/maps
PropertyShark.com’s map of Manhattan plots sales in the First Quarter according to the number of sales and their respective prices per square foot.
Average price per square foot (SF):
Number of sales per building:
Above 20 Units 10 to 20 Units 3 to 9 Units 1 to 2 Units
Above $2,500 SF $2,000 - $2,500 SF $1,500 - $2,000 SF $1,250 - $1,500 SF $1,000 - $1,250 SF $750 - $1,000 SF $500 - $750 SF Below $500 SF No SF Available
The Corcoran Report Manhattan is based on data collected by The Corcoran Group from internal and external resources including the public records of the City of New York. The Corcoran Group is a licensed real estate broker owned and operated by NRT LLC. Equal Housing Opportunity. All information furnished regarding property for sale or rent or regarding financing is from sources deemed reliable, but Corcoran makes no warranty or representation as to the accuracy thereof. All property information is presented subject to errors, omissions, price changes, changed property conditions, and withdrawal of the property from the market, without notice. All dimensions provided are approximate. To obtain exact dimensions, Corcoran advises you to hire a qualified architect or engineer.
The Corcoran Report
Page 4
1st Quarter 2013
Manhattan Market Wide Sales - Closings There were approximately 2,800 closed sales during First Quarter 2013, an increase of 1% from First Quarter 2012. Due to market seasonality, first quarter closings are usually lower compared to the rest of the year. The 23% decrease in closed sales from the very strong Fourth Quarter 2012 was exacerbated by the flurry of closings at year end.
Number of Closed Sales 5,500
5875 5750 5625
AVERAGE
5375 5250 5125
5,000
4875 4750 4625
4,500
4375 4250 4125
4,000
3875 3750 3625
3,500
3375 3250 3125
3,000
2875 2750 2625
2,500
2375 2250 2125
2,000
1875 1750 1625
1,500 1,000 500 0
Q1 ‘08 Q2 ‘08 Q3 ‘08 Q4 ‘08 Q1 ‘09 Q2 ‘09 Q3 ‘09 Q4 ‘09 Q1 ‘10 Q2 ‘10 Q3 ‘10 Q4 ‘10 Q1 ‘11 Q2 ‘11 Q3 ‘11 Q4 ‘11 Q1 ‘12 Q2 ‘12 Q3 ‘12 Q4 ‘12 Q1 ‘13*
Sales - Contracts Signed Contract signed figures are derived from the number of listings reported as in contract during the quarter. Most of these contracts will close eight to twelve weeks later, often in the following quarter. However, with the return of a new development pre-sale market, contracts may close as many as three years after signing. A number of well received new developments launched for sales in First Quarter 2013 and their strong sales performance helped propel contract activity to a 24% increase compared to First Quarter 2012. Contract activity demonstrates the current strength of the market, with sales activity up 25% compared to Fourth Quarter 2012.
Condo Contracts
4,000
Co-op Contracts
Average
3,500
Contracts Signed
3,000 2,500
2,000 1,500 1,000
1Q13
4Q12
3Q12
2Q12
1Q12
4Q11
3Q11
2Q11
1Q11
4Q10
3Q10
2Q10
1Q10
4Q09
3Q09
2Q09
1Q09
4Q08
3Q08
2Q08
0
1Q08
500
* Current quarter sales figures are estimated based on the number of sales as of report preparation plus the typical number of sales reported after publication.
The Corcoran Report
Page 5
1st Quarter 2013
Manhattan Market Wide Sales by Price Category Closings at the top end of the market (over $5MM) declined this quarter to represent 2% of all closings, compared to 4% in both Fourth Quarter 2012 and First Quarter 2012. The decrease was partly driven by tax policy uncertainty at the end of 2012, which compelled many high end buyers to close before year-end. Furthermore, First Quarter 2013 also saw an increase in resale co-op sales. This increase contributed to higher market share for the lower end of the market. Sales under $500K represented 25% of all closings compared to 23% in Fourth Quarter 2012 and 26% in First Quarter 2012.
$500K-$1MM
$0-$500K
25%
Quarter
1Q13
4Q12 5%
$1MM-$2MM
36%
23%
9%
$3MM-$5MM
23%
37%
$5MM+
2 6% %
8%
22%
9%
6% 4%
14%
26%
Neighborhood Sales Comparison
26%
15%
1Q12
26%
36%
20%
25%
$2MM-$3MM
6% 12%
60%
0%
20%
40%
5% 22%
7%
5% 4%
36%
60% 21%
80%
100%
20%
Neighborhood Sales Comparison Q1 2012
5%
10%
21%
Downtown
Downtown West Side Q1 2012
Q1 2013
Neighborhood Sales Comparison
5%
5%
6% 29%
Midtown
26%
20%
26%
18%
FD/BPC Q1 2013
Uptown
14% 26%
12%
36%
21%
20% 20%
West Side
East Side
Bedroom Type Sales Comparison
9%
15%
12%
16%
Property Type Sales Comparison
East Side
25%
Midtown
FD/BPC
20%
Uptown
Downtown marketBedroom shareType declined to represent 26% of closings Sales Comparison this quarter, down from 29% in First Quarter 2012. East Side market share expanded to a quarter of all closings in First Quarter 12% 10% 2013, up from 21% in 18% First Quarter 2012. Market share in other 5% neighborhoods was largely unchanged from First Quarter 2012.
29%
* Percentages may not total 100 due to16% rounding. 39% 31%
54%
Resale Condo Studio
60%
39%
31%
Resale Co-op
One Bedroom
New Development
Two Bedroom
Three+ Bedroom
A shift in property type market share had a strong effect on pricing this quarter. Resale co-ops grew to represent 60% of First Quarter 2013 sales. Many new developments launched for pre sales in First Quarter 2013 but there 20% were few closings. New development market share decreased to 14% in First26% Quarter 2013, down from 20% in First Quarter 2012.
The Corcoran Report
Page 6
1st Quarter 2013
Manhattan Market Wide Inventory - Total and New Listings Market wide inventory decreased 26% compared to First Quarter 2012. This is the eighth consecutive quarter of year-over-year inventory decline. Available listings typically increase significantly from Fourth to First Quarter in anticipation of the strong Spring season. However for the last three years, Manhattan has experienced muted inventory growth for the start of the new year. In 2010 inventory increased 14% from Fourth Quarter 2009 to First Quarter 2010 while this year inventory increased 4% over the same period. 14,000
12,000
Number of Listings
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0 Total Listings New Listings Percent New Listing
1Q08 9,572 6,648 69%
2Q08 9,968 6,135 62%
3Q08 10,761 5,769 54%
4Q08 11,231 5,172 46%
1Q09 12,336 7,229 59%
2Q09 11,216 5,821 52%
3Q09 9,718 4,904 50%
4Q09 7,942 4,369 55%
1Q10 9,068 6,005 66%
2Q10 9,406 6,156 65%
3Q10 9,243 5,501 60%
4Q10 8,829 4,603 52%
1Q11 9,181 6,406 70%
2Q11 9,171 5,957 65%
3Q11 8,989 5,316 59%
4Q11 7,787 4,292 55%
1Q12 8,438 6,000 71%
2Q12 7,948 5,687 72%
3Q12 7,187 4,546 63%
4Q12 6,010 3,871 64%
1Q13 6,225 4,280 69%
Co-op Inventory Co-op inventory increased 7% compared to Fourth Quarter 2012. Despite this uptick in new listings for the Spring selling season, co-op inventory is 27% lower than First Quarter 2012.
1Q12
4Q12
1Q13
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000 2,500 Total Listings
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000 2,500 Total Listings
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Condo Inventory Condo inventory only increased 2% from last quarter and still remains well below 3,000 listings. Despite several new development openings, condo inventory is 26% lower than First Quarter 2012 and 59% lower than its peak in First Quarter 2009.
1Q12
4Q12
1Q13
The Corcoran Report
Page 7
1st Quarter 2013
Manhattan Market Wide Prices – Resale Co-ops, Resale Condos and New Developments
ALL SALES
Market wide average price per square foot was even with First Quarter 2012 and down 6% from the strong Fourth Quarter 2012. Low mortgage rates and high rental rates continue to entice entry level buyer interest. This type of demand resulted in increased market share for smaller apartments and resale co-ops which lowered prices this quarter. Median price was stable from First Quarter 2012 and decreased 7% from Fourth Quarter 2012. Average Sale Price
Median Price
Avg Price per sf
Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
Median Price
Q1 2013 Change Q4 2012
1.258M
790K
1,040
370K
629K
1.210M
2.650M
-20% 1.579M
-7% 850K
-6% 1,107
-2% 379K
-4% 657K
-10% 1.340M
-11% 2.987M
Q1 2013 Change Q1 2012
1.258M
790K
1,040
370K
629K
1.210M
2.650M
-10%
-1%
-1%
-7%
-1%
-4%
-2%
1.404M
799K
1,047
399K
635K
1.260M
2.698M
Market Wide Historical Sale Price - Four Years $1,000,000
Median Sale Price
Average PPSF
$1,300
$950,000
$1,200
$900,000
$1,100
$850,000
$1,000
$800,000
$900
$750,000
$800
$700,000
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
$700
The Corcoran Report
Page 8
1st Quarter 2013
Resale Co-ops CO-OPS
Increased market share for studio and one bedroom co-ops caused median price to decrease from both First Quarter 2012 and Fourth Quarter 2012. Average price per square foot increased year-over-year by 2% but declined 5% from Fourth Quarter 2012 due to the influx of high-end sales that closed at the end of 2012.
Average Median Avg Price Sale Price Price per sf
Q1 2013 947K Change -29% Q4 2012 1.337M Q1 2013 947K Change -16% Q1 2012 1.130M
Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
630K
841
325K
535K
999K
1.937M
-5%
-5%
-3%
-3%
-9%
-27%
660K
888
335K
550K
1.097M 2.645M
630K
841
325K
535K
999M
-2%
2%
-4%
1%
0%
-12%
640K
823
340K
530K
998K
2.200M
1.937M
Resale Co-op Historical Sale Price Median Sale Price
$750,000
Average PPSF
$1,000
$700,000
$900
$650,000
$800
$600,000
$700
$550,000
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
Resale Condos CONDOS
Demand is strong for the limited condominium inventory available in the market. Scarcity pushed resale condo median price 12% higher than last year and 3% higher than Fourth Quarter 2012. Resale condos experienced the same influence from high end closings at the end of 2012, evidenced by a 4% decrease in average price per square foot compared to Fourth Quarter 2012.
Average Median Avg Price Sale Price Price per sf
Studio
1 BR
1,242
540K
808K
-4%
6%
-2%
1,294
510K
825K
1.635M 3.300M
1.118M
1,242
540K
808K
1.635M 3.100M
12%
1%
17%
7%
995K
1,232
462K
753K
Q1 2013 1.654M 1.118M 3% Change -13% Q4 2012 1.898M 1.080M Q1 2013 1.654M Change -5% Q1 2012 1.733M
2 BR
$600
3+ BR
1.635M 3.100M 0%
9%
-6%
15%
1.500M 2.700M
Resale Condo Historical Sale Price $1,300,000
Median Sale Price
Average PPSF
$1,400
$1,150,000
$1,300
$1,000,000
$1,200
$850,000
$1,100
$700,000
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
$1,000
The Corcoran Report
Page 9
1st Quarter 2013
New Developments
MARKET WIDE
Market share for new development has fallen due to limited inventory, though demand remains robust as witnessed by the significant year-over-year price gains. New development median price increased 37% from First Quarter 2012. Increased market share for larger new development residences contributed to this substantial year-over-year median growth. Average price per square foot was even with last quarter and 6% higher than First Quarter 2012 at $1,260 per square foot. Average Sale Price
Median Price
Avg Price per sf
Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
Median Price
Q1 2013 Change Q4 2012
1.884M
1.312M
1,260
628K
795K
1.450M
3.411M
1% 1.862M
3% 1.271M
0% 1,259
9% 575K
0% 794K
-4% 1.515M
12% 3.052M
Q1 2013 Change Q1 2012
1.884M
1.312M
1,260
628K
795K
1.450M
3.411M
10%
37%
6%
12%
-1%
-5%
10%
1.706M
958K
1,193
559K
799K
1.530M
3.103M
Historical New Development Sale Price
Median Sale Price
$1,600,000
Average PPSF
$1,450
$1,500,000
$1,400
$1,400,000
$1,350
$1,300,000
$1,300
$1,200,000
$1,250
$1,100,000
$1,200
$1,000,000
$1,150
$900,000
$1,100
$800,000
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
$1,050
The Corcoran Report
Page 10
1st Quarter 2013
Luxury Market
Median Price
Avg Price per sf
Q1 2013 Change Q4 2012
4.506M
3.650M
1,875
-34% 6.796M
-22% 4.709M
-16% 2,236
Q1 2013 Change Q1 2012
4.506M
3.650M
1,875
-23%
-13%
-9%
5.834M
4.200M
2,065
Average Sale Price
Median Price
Avg Price per sf
Q1 2013 Change Q4 2012
5.885M
4.900M
1,988
-2% 5.994M
7% 4.565M
0% 1,989
Q1 2013 Change Q1 2012
5.885M
4.900M
1,988
-9%
-9%
-7%
6.447M
5.397M
2,127
RESALE CO-OPS
Average Sale Price
RESALE CONDOS
NEW DEVELOPMENTS
ALL SALES
Manhattan’s luxury market is defined as the top 10% of all co-op and condo transactions. Average and median prices decreased in this top segment of the market from both First Quarter 2012 and Fourth Quarter 2012. Closings over $15MM represented 2% of luxury sales in First Quarter 2013 compared to 7% in Fourth Quarter 2012. This is partly attributable to the rush by high end buyers to close before the end of year due to the national tax policy uncertainty. The record breaking $88 million sale at 15 Central Park West closed in First Quarter 2012 and influenced that quarter’s luxury price metrics. If we consider contract signed activity, sales over $3MM are dramatically higher than this time last year. Many of the high end new developments currently in pre-sales are responsible for the significant increases at the high end of the market. Furthermore, contract signed activity over $15MM has tripled versus First Quarter 2012. Average Sale Price
Median Price
Avg Price per sf
Q1 2013 Change Q4 2012
4.170M
3.218M
1,681
-43% 7.306M
-31% 4,646M
-19% 2,081
Q1 2013 Change Q1 2012
4.170M
3.218M
1,681
-20%
-14%
-1%
5.217M
3.750M
1,692
Average Sale Price
Median Price
Avg Price per sf
Q1 2013 Change Q4 2012
4.091M
3.300M
1,895
-36% 6.360M
-31% 4.750M
-19% 2,343
Q1 2013 Change Q1 2012
4.091M
3.300M
1,895
-33%
-13%
-16%
6.073M
3.800M
2,264
Townhouses Average townhouse pricing can be highly variable each quarter due to the low number of transactions. West Side townhouses had a strong First Quarter with price increases from both last quarter and First Quarter 2012. Average price increased 10% from last quarter and was up 16% year-over-year. East Side townhouse average price increased by 44% from First Quarter 2012 and was even with Fourth Quarter 2012. The most expensive townhouse sale this quarter was on the East Side at 106 East 71st Street, which closed for $22.85 MM. Uptown median price increased 53% and average price was up 23% from First Quarter 2012.
ALL SALES
East Side
West Side
Average Price
Median
Downtown
Average Price
Median
Uptown
Average Price
Median
Average Price
Median
1.293M
Q1 2013 Change Q4 2012
10.301M
6.488M
4.652M
3.895M
5.584M
4.500M
1.295M
0%
-23%
10%
2%
-14%
-20%
-28%
-1%
10.275M
8.375M
4.219M
3.834M
6.515M
5.650M
1.808M
1.300M
Q1 2013 Change Q1 2012
10.301M
6.488M
4.652M
3.895M
5.584M
4.500M
1.295M
1.293M
44% 7.140M
3% 6.313M
16% 3.998M
13% 3.450M
-6% 5.936M
0% 4.500M
23% 1.057M
53% 848K
The Corcoran Report
Page 11
1st Quarter 2013
East Side
EAST 96TH STREET East River
Resale Co-ops
3+ BR
842
320K
498K
1.031M 2.345M
-9% 929
2% 315K
-5% 523K
-7% 1.113M
1.031M 2.345M
nd
2 BR
-36% 3.684M
842
320K
498K
-3%
3%
5%
-12%
-30%
869
310K
475K
1.170M
3.350M
Roosevelt Isla
Q1 2013 726K Change -17% Q1 2012 879K
1 BR
FDR DRIVE
Q1 2013 726K Change -12% Q4 2012 828K
Median Price Studio
5TH AVENUE
CO-OPS
Median Avg Price Price per sf
Central Park
East Side co-op median price decreased 12% from last quarter and 17% from last year partly due to significant price reductions in larger three plus bedroom co-ops. Smaller studio and one bedroom co-ops represented over 50% of East Side closing this quarter and two thirds of those sales were under $500K. This increased market share drove median price and average price per square foot down this quarter.
Resale Condos East Side resale condo market experienced mixed median pricing results in First Quarter 2013. Median price increased 4% from Fourth Quarter 2012 but decreased 3% from First Quarter 2012. Resales at One Beacon Court helped drive average price per square foot up 4% from First Quarter 2012.
CONDOS
Median Avg Price Price per sf Q1 2013 975K Change 4% Q4 2012 940K Q1 2013 975K Change -3% Q1 2012 1.005M
EAST 57TH STREET
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
1,231
446K
700K
1.400M 3.300M
-3% 1,266
-1% 451K
1% 690K
-10% -6% 1.550M 3.500M
1,231
446K
700K
1.400M 3.300M
4%
1%
7%
1,189
440K
653K
-1%
3+ BR
25%
1.413M 2.650M
Average price per square foot (SF):
Above $2,500 SF $2,000 - $2,500 SF $1,500 - $2,000 SF $1,250 - $1,500 SF $1,000 - $1,250 SF $750 - $1,000 SF $500 - $750 SF Below $500 SF No SF Available
Number of sales per building:
Above 20 Units 10 to 20 Units 3 to 9 Units 1 to 2 Units
Interactive map online at PropertyShark.com/maps
Pricing for East Side new developments fell this quarter largely due to a decrease in average apartment size. Median price decreased year-over-year by 35% due to increased market share for one bedrooms. One bedroom median price significantly increased compared to Fourth Quarter 2012 and First Quarter 2012 but did not offset the absence of the high prices achieved by larger two and three bedroom new developments. This shift towards one bedrooms also affected average price per square foot which decreased from both last quarter and last year.
NEW DEVELOPMENTS
New Developments Median Avg Price Price per sf
Median Price Studio
1 BR
Q1 2013 1.324M Change -42% Q4 2012 2.300M
1,406
N/A
1.160M
-7% 1,516
N/A 590K
63% 713K
Q1 2013 1.324M Change -35% Q1 2012 2.023M
1,406
N/A
1.160M
-5%
N/A
9%
1,486
531K
1.065M
2 BR
3+ BR
2.106M 4.000M -4% 2.18M
17% 3.412M
2.106M 4.000M -3%
-1%
2.180M 4.050M
The Corcoran Report
Page 12
1st Quarter 2013
West Side
WEST 110TH STREET
Resale Co-ops Central Park
West Side co-op median price increased 4% and average price per square foot was up 3% compared to last year. The significant price decreases compared to Fourth Quarter are a clear demonstration of the rush by high end buyers to close before the end of the year, leaving fewer transactions to occur in First Quarter 2013. There were a number of sales over $10MM that closed in the final days of December 2012, which inflated Fourth Quarter 2012 figures. Median Avg Price Price per sf
CO-OPS
WEST SIDE HWY
CENTRAL PARK WEST
Hudson River
Q1 2013 730K Change -11% Q4 2012 823K Q1 2013 730K Change 4% Q1 2012 700K
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
2.219M
912
352K
560K
1.125M
-6% 968
10% 320K
-7% 605K
-6% 1% 1.200M 2.200M
912
352K
560K
1.125M
2.219M
3%
-2%
1%
6%
1%
883
360K
555K
1.057M 2.200M
Resale Condos
Average price per square foot (SF):
Above $2,500 SF $2,000 - $2,500 SF $1,500 - $2,000 SF $1,250 - $1,500 SF $1,000 - $1,250 SF $750 - $1,000 SF $500 - $750 SF Below $500 SF No SF Available
Number of sales per building:
Above 20 Units 10 to 20 Units 3 to 9 Units 1 to 2 Units
Median Avg Price Price per sf
CONDOS
WEST 57TH STREET
5TH AVE
CENTRAL PARK SOUTH
The West Side is one the most inventory deprived submarkets in the city. The little condominium inventory that does come on the market sells for high prices, as evidenced by the 20% increase in median price from First Quarter 2012 and the 8% increase from Fourth Quarter 2012. Resale condos experienced the same highend rush to close as West Side co-ops, which exaggerated Fourth Quarter 2012 average price per square foot.
Interactive map online at PropertyShark.com/maps
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
3.175M
Q1 2013 1.263M Change 8% Q4 2012 1.171M
1,369
580K
872K
1.570M
-9% 1,511
3% 565K
1% 859K
-5% 2% 1.650M 3.108M
Q1 2013 1.263M Change 20% Q1 2012 1.050M
1,369
580K
872K
1.570M
-12%
12%
8%
-8%
-5%
1,552
518K
806K
1.710M
3.350M
Studio
1 BR
1,593
N/A
750K
2.393M 3.799M
4% 1,528
N/A 748K
-21% 950K
17% 19% 2.038M 3.188M
1,593
N/A
750K
2.393M 3.799M
3%
N/A
-13%
1,553
766K
860K
3.175M
West Side new developments had a very strong start to the 2013. The West Side has incredibly limited new development inventory and as a result there were fewer sales this quarter, but almost all the closings were at the top end of the market. Median price increased year-over-year by 47% and average price per square was up 3% compared to First Quarter 2012. Median price increased 28% and average price per square foot increased 4% from Fourth Quarter 2012.
NEW DEVELOPMENTS
New Developments Median Avg Price Price per sf Q1 2013 3.319M Change 28% Q4 2012 2.598M Q1 2013 3.318M Change 47% Q1 2012 2.253M
Median Price 2 BR
17%
3+ BR
2%
2.048M 3.727M
The Corcoran Report
Page 13
1st Quarter 2013
Midtown Average price per square foot (SF):
EAST 57TH STREET
WEST 57TH STREET
FDR DRIVE
WEST SIDE H WY
Above $2,500 SF $2,000 - $2,500 SF $1,500 - $2,000 SF $1,250 - $1,500 SF $1,000 - $1,250 SF $750 - $1,000 SF $500 - $750 SF Below $500 SF No SF Available
Number of sales per building:
WEST 34TH STREET
EAST 34TH STREET
Above 20 Units 10 to 20 Units 3 to 9 Units 1 to 2 Units
Interactive map online at PropertyShark.com/maps
Resale Co-ops
Resale Condos
Median price for Midtown co-ops was stable from both last quarter and last year at $525K. While average and median price remained even, average price per square foot saw solid gains as the value of space appreciated. Average price per square foot increased 6% from First Quarter 2012 and was 3% higher than Fourth Quarter 2012.
Price growth for three plus bedroom resale condos in Midtown contributed to a strong increase in median price. At $985K, resale condo median price increased year-over-year by 16% and was up 4% from Fourth Quarter 2012. Average price per square foot increased 4% from First Quarter 2012 partly due to sales in a few of Midtown’s prime towers with Central Park views. Median Avg Price Price per sf
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
Q1 2013 525K Change 0% Q4 2012 527K
756
295K
490K
988K
1.775M
3% 731
1% 293K
-4% 509K
1% 975K
6% 1.668M
Q1 2013 525K Change 0% Q1 2012 524K
756
295K
490K
988K
1.775M
6%
-7%
0%
3%
1%
713
318K
487K
958K
1.750M
CONDOS
CO-OPS
Median Avg Price Price per sf
Q1 2013 985K Change 4% Q4 2012 950K Q1 2013 985K Change 16% Q1 2012 850K
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
1,191
519K
834K
1.181M
2.710M
-2% 1,212
5% 495K
0% 829K
-16% 1.413M
14% 2.375M
1,191
519K
833K
1.181M
2.710M
4%
21%
11%
-19%
23%
1,143
430K
750K
Studio
1 BR
1.284M
1.450M 2.200M
There were far fewer Midtown new development closings this quarter due to limited inventory. Prices increased significantly from First Quarter 2012, but declined from Fourth Quarter 2012. The remaining units in many of Midtown’s new developments are larger residences, which caused median price to increase 73% from last year. The limited availability for smaller residences influenced closings in Fourth Quarter 2012 as well, and as a result, First Quarter 2013 median price was 14% lower than last quarter.
NEW DEVELOPMENTS
New Developments Median Avg Price Price per sf
Median Price
Q1 2013 2.093M Change -14% Q4 2012 2.431M
1,495
N/A
-4% 1,559
N/A 666K
Q1 2013 2.093M Change 73% Q1 2012 1.213M
1,495
N/A
1.284M
14%
N/A
15%
1,310
605K
1.120M
2 BR
3+ BR
2.323M 2.848M
-11% -16% 8% 1.450M 2.760M 2.647M 2.323M 2.848M 40%
15%
1.662M 2.469M
The Corcoran Report
Page 14
1st Quarter 2013
Downtown Resale Co-ops
34TH STREET
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
413K
655K
1.188M 2.095M
-1% 965
7% 385K
4% 630K
-10% -22% 1.325M 2.700M
Q1 2013 660K Change -3% Q1 2012 678K
960
413K
655K
1.188M 2.095M
6%
12%
-2%
4%
4%
903
370K
670K
1.138M
2.015M
Y HW
960
IDE
Q1 2013 660K Change 2% Q4 2012 649K
S ST WE
CO-OPS
Median Avg Price Price per sf
E RIV RD FD
Downtown co-op median priced decreased 3% from last year but was 2% higher than Fourth Quarter 2012. Low mortgage rates and record high rental rates Downtown continue to entice entry level buyer interest. This type of demand shifted co-ops sales towards smaller residences compared to First Quarter 2012. The value of Downtown co-ops has appreciated over the last year, evidenced by a 6% jump in average price per square foot.
Resale Condos Downtown has one of the strongest supply-demand dynamics in Manhattan. Under supply and strong demand pushed resale condo prices higher in First Quarter 2013. Median price increased by 22% from First Quarter 2012. Scarcity is driving the value of these limited condominium listings up as evidenced by the 13% year-over-year increase in price per square foot.
CONDOS
Median Avg Price Price per sf
BRO OKLY N BR IDGE
BARCLAY STREET
Hudson River
East River
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
Q1 2013 1.800M Change 3% Q4 2012 1.750M
1,424
335K
1.150M
2.025M 3.425M
2% 1,392
-34% 510K
20% 960K
-6% -24% 2.150M 4.500M
Q1 2013 1.800M Change 22% Q1 2012 1.475M
1,424
335K
1.150M
2.025M 3.425M
13%
-36%
33%
1,264
520K
868M
9%
7%
1.850M 3.200M
Average price per square foot (SF):
Above $2,500 SF $2,000 - $2,500 SF $1,500 - $2,000 SF $1,250 - $1,500 SF $1,000 - $1,250 SF $750 - $1,000 SF $500 - $750 SF Below $500 SF No SF Available
Number of sales per building:
Above 20 Units 10 to 20 Units 3 to 9 Units 1 to 2 Units
Interactive map online at PropertyShark.com/maps
Downtown new development experienced a substantial jump in median pricing from both last year and last quarter. Median price increased 51% from First Quarter 2012 and 16% from Fourth Quarter 2012. The majority of new developments opening for sales in 2013 are located Downtown and the strong prices of First Quarter 2013 are a good indicator for the strength of the Downtown market.
NEW DEVELOPMENTS
New Developments Median Avg Price Price per sf Q1 2013 1.650M Change 16% Q4 2012 1.425M Q1 2013 1.650M Change 51% Q1 2012 1.090M
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
1,453
680K
1.050M
1.809M 4.281M
0% 1,447
-5% 712K
0% 1.055M
8% 7% 1.674M 4.000M
1,453
680K
1.050M 1.808M 4.281M
3%
21%
24%
1,404
562K
850K
-2%
3+ BR
-13%
1.844M 4.932M
The Corcoran Report
Page 15
1st Quarter 2013
Financial District and Battery Park City Resale Condos Financial District and Battery Park City resale condos experienced stable price growth from last year due to strong one- and twobedroom price performance. Median price increased 3% from First Quarter 2012 and average price per square foot was even at $876 per square foot. Closings at Riverhouse and the Ritz Carlton drove median price higher in Fourth Quarter 2012, and as a result, median price was 15% lower than last quarter. This submarket still suffers from an over-supply of condominiums and therefore price growth has been muted compared to other submarkets in the city.
T
REE
BARCLAY STREET
CONDOS
T ST WES
BROADWAY
Median Avg Price Price per sf
CHAMBERS STREET BRO OKLY N BR IDGE
Q1 2013 688K Change -15% Q4 2012 811K Q1 2013 688K Change 3% Q1 2012 665K
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
876
414K
565K
1.323M 2.050M
-1% 889
-20% 520K
-6% 600K
32% 999K
876
414K
565K
1.323M 2.050M
0%
-10%
20%
873
462K
470K
24%
3+ BR
8% 1.900M
-1%
1.068M 2.065M
Resale Co-ops
Hudson River
FD
RD
RIV
E
There is very limited cooperative inventory in the Financial District and Battery Park City, and as a result there was not a statistically significant number of sales to draw any meaningful conclusions.
East River
Average price per square foot (SF):
Above $2,500 SF $2,000 - $2,500 SF $1,500 - $2,000 SF $1,250 - $1,500 SF $1,000 - $1,250 SF $750 - $1,000 SF $500 - $750 SF Below $500 SF No SF Available
Number of sales per building:
Above 20 Units 10 to 20 Units 3 to 9 Units 1 to 2 Units
Interactive map online at PropertyShark.com/maps
The majority of new development sales over the past two quarters have been in Battery Park City conversions, such as One Rector Place and 225 Rector Place. Prices increased from Fourth Quarter 2012 as larger units closed in these projects. First Quarter 2013 median price and average price per square foot were lower than First Quarter 2012 when closings at large tower developments, such as the W Downtown and the Visionaire, dominated sales.
NEW DEVELOPMENTS
New Developments Median Avg Price Price per sf
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
Q1 2013 873K Change 11% Q4 2012 787K
1,085
578K
744K
1,413M
2.075M
7% 1,011
7% 539K
3% 725K
19% 1,188M
-5% 2.180M
Q1 2013 873K Change -7% Q1 2011 937K
1,085
578K
744K
1.413M
2.075M
-2%
5%
-18%
12%
18%
1,102
552K
906K
1.261M
1.757M
The Corcoran Report
Page 16
1st Quarter 2013
Uptown Resale Co-ops Median price for Uptown co-ops was even with First Quarter 2012 but 9% lower than Fourth Quarter 2012 largely due to a significant drop in pricing for three plus bedroom co-ops. Average price per square foot was strong this quarter, up by 4% from last year and 2% from Fourth Quarter 2012.
CO-OPS
Median Avg Price Price per sf
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
Q1 2013 328K Change -9% Q4 2012 360K
439
190K
272K
405K
560K
2% 431
10% 173K
-1% 275K
-6% 430K
-28% 777K
Q1 2013 328K Change 0% Q1 2012 328K
439
190K
272K
405K
560K
4%
-11%
-9%
7%
20%
422
215K
299K
378K
465K
Harlem River
CONDOS
718K
935K
0% 440K
14% 630K
15% 812K
608
N/A
440K
718K
935K
0%
N/A
45%
30%
-6%
609
279K
304K
550K
995K
Average price per square foot (SF):
Above $2,500 SF $2,000 - $2,500 SF $1,500 - $2,000 SF $1,250 - $1,500 SF $1,000 - $1,250 SF $750 - $1,000 SF $500 - $750 SF Below $500 SF No SF Available
E
440K
IV
N/A N/A 213K
DR
608 10% 551
R
3+ BR
VE
2 BR
RI
Q1 2013 665K Change 48% Q1 2012 449K
1 BR
EM
Q1 2013 665K Change 10% Q4 2012 606K
Median Price Studio
RL
Median Avg Price Price per sf
HA
Uptown resale condos continued the price growth from last quarter and experienced substantial gains from last year. At $665K, median price was up 48% from First Quarter 2012 and up 10% from Fourth Quarter 2012. Average price per square foot was even with First Quarter 2012 and 10% higher than Fourth Quarter 2012.
HENRY HUDSON PKWY
Resale Condos
WEST 110TH STREET Number of sales per building:
Above 20 Units 10 to 20 Units 3 to 9 Units 1 to 2 Units
Central Park
Interactive map online at PropertyShark.com/maps
EAST 96TH STREET
Uptown new developments continue to be a strong market segment with consistent price growth. Median price was even from last quarter and 14% higher than First Quarter 2012. Average price per square foot experienced significant appreciation from both last quarter and last year, increasing by 8% and 12%, respectively.
NEW DEVELOPMENTS
New Developments Median Avg Price Price per sf Q1 2013 602K Change 1% Q4 2012 599K Q1 2013 602K Change 14% Q1 2012 530K
Median Price Studio
1 BR
2 BR
3+ BR
746
N/A
499K
605K
1.840M
8% 693
N/A N/A
8% 460K
4% 580K
45% 1.266M 1.840M
746
N/A
499K
605K
12%
N/A
16%
-15%
67%
664
400K
432K
716K
1.099M