Sessions in Progress
Dr. Shafik Ashkar AFA Secretary General
Eng. Mohamed El‐Mouzi Representative of Egyptian Fertilizer Industries Mr. Mohamed Rashid AL‐Rashid AFA Chairman Water Challenges with Special Focus on the Arab Region Dr. Mahmoud Abu Zeid, President , Arab Water Council, Egypt Toward Successful Dialogue in Resolving Complex Dr. Mustafa Al‐Sayed, Secretary General, Royal Charity Organization, Bahrain
Sessions in Progress
Water Challenges with Special Focus on the Arab Region Dr. Mahmoud Abu Zeid, Presdient, Arab Water Council, Egypt
The water sector in the world is facing some very serious challenges. These challenges are even bigger in the arid and semi‐arid regions. The Arab region is one of direct regions in the world. The paper discusses present and future challenges. Climate change is likely to act also as a threat multiplier, exacerbating water scarcity and tensions over water within the region. Policies, technical and institutional responses to these complex challenges are presented. Technological innovations including bio‐saline agriculture, desalination, recycling, waste water management and climate adaptation and mitigation options are also debated.
Toward Successful Dialogue in Resolving Complex Dr. Mustafa Al‐Sayed, Secretary General, Royal Charity Organization, Bahrain •
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تقترح ھذه الورقة التأسيس لقواعد الحوار في حقل الصناعة واإلدارة كوسيلة حضارية تحقق التوازن المطلوب بين متطلبات األطراف وبين قدراتھم .وتسھم في ترسيخ القيم األخالقية كمكون أصيل من مكونات االلتزام تجاه اآلخر وتجاه المجتمع في عالم المال واألعمال. تسعى الورقة إلى التعامل مع مفردة الحوار واستجالبھا من فضاء العلوم اإلنسانية والعمل على حقن شرايين العالقات الصناعية بمفاھيم الحوار واالختالف اإليجابي وثقافة التعايش مع اآلخر المختلف. تعتمد الورقة على فرضية التداخل بين العلوم اإلنسانية والعلوم التطبيقية ،وبالتالي تختبر مفھوم الحوار بوصفه مفھوما ً من حقل العلوم اإلنسانية ،في مجال تطوير العالقات الصناعية وإدارة األعمال في عالم الشركات. تعمل الورقة من خالل تفعيل نظريتي موسيف وكريموك اللتان تعتمدان معايير التحفيز والتفكير اإلبداعي في النظر إلى األمور وتناولھا من خالل منظومة الرؤية والرسالة ،واألھداف ،واإلستراتيجية ثم المراجعة المستمرة .ھذه المنھجية تقوم على خلق أرضية تعمل من خالل اإلبداعية ،والتحفيز والثقافة المؤسسية. تعمل الورقة على ترسيخ مفھوم الثقة الذي يقوم عليه عالم األعمال والتجارة .وھو مفھوم جوھري في عملية الحوار
Sessions in Progress
Chairperson : Mr. Ayed AL‐MUTAIRI Director, Marketing & Logistics, MA'ADEN, S. Arabia
Growth of Fertilizer Industry in Volatile Market Mr. Awatshi, Managing Director, IFFCO, India
Current Fertilizer Policy in India & Future Directions Mr. Satish Chander, Director General, FAI, India
IPNI Approach to Nutrient Management in Sub‐Saharan Africa Mr. Adrian M. Johnston ,Vice President, Asia& Africa, IPNI, Canada
Food Security in the Arab World: Global Challenges and Regional Opportunities Dr. Hadi Fathallah, Economist, FAO, Egypt
N,P and K Outlook Mr. Steven J. Markey, Managing Consultant, CRU International, UK
Sessions in Progress Growth of Fertilizer Industry in Volatile Market Mr. Awatshi, Managing Director, IFFCO, India
Unprecedented Volatility in fertilizer and grain prices has been observed during last few years. Volatility in fertilizer prices bring extremely high risks and potential cost to society. Episodes of extreme volatility—especially large, unexpected price upswings—are a major threat to food security in developing countries. Food crisis in 2008 has already led to over 40 riots in many poor countries. The presentation aims to focus on developing the strategies wherein Fertiliser Companies can use Price Volatility as a powerful tool in order to manage its impact and at the same time achieve gains. Food is a basic human right and fertilizer companies need to partner & take initiatives to save lives in poor countries. There is need for fertilizer companies to voluntarily allocate profit in social responsibility initiatives and extend it for “Fertiliser Ventures for Global Food Security” set up.
Current Fertilizer Policy in India & Future Directions Mr. Satish Chander, Director General, FAI, India
The broad policy of the Government of India is to (i) ensure adequate and timely availability of quality fertilisers to the farmers at affordable prices, (ii) equitable distribution of fertilisers across the country, (iii) encourage domestic capacity and (iv) balanced and integrated use of nutrients. Various fertiliser policies have been framed from time to time to sub serve these objectives. Fertiliser sector has remained under strict government regulations for a long time. The sector is now in the process of reform. Implementation of NBS on P & K fertilisers w. e. f 1st April 2010 is the first step towards reform in the fertiliser sector. Under NBS, there are many challenges which industry has to meet strategically. However, there is need for further reforms in the fertiliser sector. These, inter‐alia, include extension of NBS on urea, announcement of new investment policy, de‐canalisation of urea. There is also need for inclusion of new/ innovative products under the subsidy basket. To meet growing requirement of fertilisers in future, there is need for addition in domestic capacity in nitrogen and maximisation of production of phosphates. To ensure sustained availability of raw materials for phosphates in the long run, there is need for setting up joint ventures overseas.
Sessions in Progress IPNI Approach to Nutrient Management in Sub‐Saharan Africa Mr. Adrian M. Johnston ,Vice President, Asia& Africa, IPNI, Canada
In the face of a growing food crisis in Sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA), there are renewed efforts to help farmers to increase crop productivity mainly by increasing use fertilizer use and improved crop varieties. However, sustainable crop production intensification in SSA will remain elusive unless the fundamental issues of providing the crops with adequate nutrients in their correct balance under highly variable soil fertility conditions are properly addressed. The Africa program of IPNI has been developed to work with its industry member companies, and collaborate with national agricultural research and extension systems, Universities, and International Agricultural Research Systems to make a contribution to sustainable nutrient management in SSA. The goal is to synthesize information and develop research programs to encourage fertilizer use in ways that are technically efficient, economically viable, and environmentally friendly. The program will facilitate the establishment of a network for sharing information on site‐ and crop‐specific best fertilizer management practices for various cropping systems among researchers in Africa and other regions. Emphasis will also be placed on supporting and collaborating with existing projects to develop and promote innovative mechanisms to transfer knowledge on best fertilizer management practices to input suppliers, agricultural service providers, extension services and farmers. The program will focus on sites in the sub‐humid zones, due to their high potential for agricultural intensification, and will cover both commercial estates and subsistence oriented agricultural systems.
Sessions in Progress Security in the Arab World: Global Challenges and Regional Opportunities Dr. Hadi Fathallah, Economist, FAO, Egypt After a brief break following their spike in 2007‐2008, global food commodity prices started increasing rapidly in the second half of 2010 and have since remained volatile. As the most food import dependent region in the world, Arab countries are particularly vulnerable to international food commodity price volatility and supply shocks that result in higher import bills and in greater transmission of world prices to local prices. Entrenched structural challenges such as food deficit, poverty, unemployment, high population growth rate, increased urbanization, single sector economies, and scare natural resources (water and land) are now also being complemented with new and emerging issues such as political and social unrests, cross border population movement, slow down of economic activities (tourism and associated service sectors), and food inflation. This paper will focus, beyond highlighting the challenges, on shedding light on the opportunities for hedging food security risks and the prospects of investment and restructuring of the food and agriculture sector in the region.
N,P and K Outlook Mr. Steven J. Markey, Managing Consultant, CRU International, UK
This paper consists of four parts. Part one gives an overview of the structure of global markets for each of the three major crop nutrients: nitrogen, phosphate, and potash, highlighting the geography of major production centres and demand centres. Part two will describe the most significant events and trends within each of those markets, including significant expansions and/or acquisitions, trade activity, and other key events impacting supply and demand. Part three will show CRU’s forecasts for supply and demand through 2020. On the supply side, major known project expansions will be mentioned. The demand section will highlight the major short term and long term drivers for fertilizer consumption to include crop production and consumption trends. The implications for prices going forward will be examined in light of the supply demand outlook. Part four will consist of major conclusions to be drawn from the supply/demand analysis in light of the indicated major trends in the respective global markets.
Sessions in Progress
Chairperson : Chairperson: Mr. Jafar SALEM Deputy GM/Marketing Manager, Arab Potash Company, Jordan
Global Supply and Demand Outlook for Fertilizers and Raw Materials Mr. Patrick Heffer, Director, Agriculture Services, IFA, France
Arab Potash Company Mr. Keith Thornton, General Manger, APC ,Jordan
Uhde Ammonia/Urea Plants and their Environment… Dr. Ulrich Heucke, Manager Sales & Process ,Thyssenkrupp Uhde, Germany
Phosphate Resources: Future for 2012 and Beyond Mr. Mark Evans, Consultant, BC Insight, UK
The Fertilizer Business Cycle, Supply/ Demand Balance and Profitability ‐ Analysis of Market Developments and Forecasts Mr. Oliver Hatfield, Director‐Fertilizers, Integer Research, UK
Sessions in Progress Global Supply and Demand Outlook for Fertilizers and Raw Materials Mr. Patrick Heffer, Director, Agriculture Services, IFA, France Despite an uncertain economic context, agricultural market fundamentals remain firm. Production of all agricultural commodities increases steadily, but strong demand in emerging countries and from the biofuel sector keep world inventories under pressure. As a consequence, agricultural commodity prices remain firm, even if they have been progressively declining over the past six months. This context boosts fertilizer demand, which is expected to reach a new record in 2011/12. By the end of the 2011/12 campaign, world fertilizer demand is expected to have fully recovered from the 2008 economic downturn for the three macronutrients. World nutrient supply, in 2011, expanded in response to robust fertilizer demand. Global production of ammonia, phosphate rock and potash reached record levels. Global nutrient capacity grew at a slower rate than production, confirming the tightness of supply seen throughout 2011, because of delays in new capacity commissioning and stronger than expected demand. Sustained growth in global sales is forecast in 2012.
Arab Potash Company Mr. Keith Thornton, General Manger, APC ,Jordan
The presentation will address: 1. The Profile of the Arab Potash Company (APC), including financial and sales data. Also it will include information on the global potash production, deliveries and imports. 2. Information on the Dead Sea , APC’s Solar evaporation System and its production process 3. Timeline of APC's Potash production expansions, and capacity level 4. Information on APC’s subsidiary companies
Sessions in Progress Uhde Ammonia/Urea Plants and their Environment… Dr. Ulrich Heucke, Manager Sales & Process ,Thyssenkrupp Uhde, Germany Uhde has built and designed 100+ fertiliser plants worldwide partly embedded in densely populated areas. Taking rising environmental awareness serious the properties of urea are discussed and proven to be environmental friendly. The emissions of ammonia/urea plants to the environment are limited by environmental laws and international guidelines. Focusing on Uhde plants in Egypt the utilization of state‐of‐the art technology in compliance with national and international laws is proven.
Phosphate Resources: Future for 2012 and Beyond Mr. Mark Evans, Consultant, BC Insight, UK
The amount of phosphate rock reserves and resources worldwide has become an issue of speculation. Certain academic studies suggest that production of phosphorus will peak in the next 25 years or so and then decrease as reserves become depleted. Because P is critical to nutrition but is a non‐renewable resource, the potential consequences for world agricultural production and food security are linked to the notion of “peak phosphate”. The Peak Phosphate concept is examined in the context of the estimated world phosphorus reserves and resources.
Sessions in Progress
The Fertilizer Business Cycle, Supply/ Demand Balance and Profitability ‐ Analysis of Market Developments and Forecasts Mr. Oliver Hatfield, Director‐Fertilizers, Integer Research, UK During the last five years, the international fertilizer industry has experienced unprecedented levels of volatility: collapsing and surging demand, record prices, remarkable profits, and expansion of investments. This paper will analyse these developments and examine the implications for the future direction of fertilizer markets.’
Sessions in Progress
Chairperson: Dr. Mohammed BENZEKRI Director market Research & Communication, OCP, Morocco Commissioning Experience of a Large Scale Ammonia Plant Mr. Sayer Al‐Mufadhali, Staff Production Eng, Ma’aden Phosphate Co., Saudi Arabia
CIS Fertilizer Market Outlook Mr. Satish Chander, Director General, FAI, India
Zinc Nutrient Initiative of IZA – An Overview Dr. Soumitra Das, Director, India Programmer ‐ Zinc Nutrient Initiative, International Zinc Association, India
Historical Development of Nutrient use in Pakistan, Current Scenario & Future Outlook Mr. Muhammad Tahir Saleem, Editor, Farming Outlook, Pakistan
Sessions in Progress Commissioning Experience of a Large Scale Ammonia Plant Mr. Sayer Al‐Mufadhali, Staff Production Eng, Ma’aden Phosphate Co., Saudi Arabia This paper gives details of Ma’aden Phosphate Company’s successful commissioning Experience of the world’s largest single train ammonia plant of 3300 TPD capacity. The paper presents the problems encountered during the commissioning stage and the solutions arrived during commissioning. The key lessons learnt for design, and Operation of plant is highlighted. Plant has achieved the guaranteed performance parameters during test run.
CIS Fertilizer Market Outlook Mr. Eugene Bilichenko, Senior Analyst of Global Markets , Chem‐Courier, Ukraine
Preliminary Contents: 1. Nitrogen 1. CIS in the world 2. CIS export structure 3. CIS export prospects 2. Phosphate 1. CIS in the world 2. CIS export structure 3. CIS export prospects 3. Potash 1. CIS in the world 2. CIS export structure 3. CIS export prospects
Sessions in Progress Zinc Nutrient Initiative of IZA – An Overview Dr. Soumitra Das, Director, India Programmer ‐ Zinc Nutrient Initiative, International Zinc Association, India Zinc has emerged as the most widespread micronutrient deficiency in soils and crops worldwide, resulting in severe yield losses and nutritional quality. Almost half of the soils in the world are deficient in zinc. There is a high degree of correlation between zinc deficiency in soils and that in human beings. Zinc is an essential nutrient for human health. There is no life without zinc. Zinc deficiency is the fifth leading cause of death and disease in the developing world. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), about 800,000 people die annually due to zinc deficiency ‐ of which, 450,000 are children under the age of five. About one‐third of the world’s population suffers from zinc deficiency. Keeping this in view, the International Zinc Association has initiated the Zinc Nutrient Initiative to address the zinc deficiency in soils, crops and humans through increased use of zinc fertilizers
Historical Development of Nutrient use in Pakistan, Current Scenario & Future Outlook Mr. Muhammad Tahir Saleem, Editor, Farming Outlook, Pakistan The nutrient use rate in Pakistan stood at about 184kg per hectare during 2009‐10, which has slightly declined during the current year, with a ratio of 3.5:1.0:0.04 among N:P2O5:K2O. This implies a considerable use of nutrients which has developed from a nominal use of N (1,000 tonnes) in 1952‐3 to about 4,360 thousand tonnes in 2009‐10. The take off was due to introduction of semi dwarf cereals varieties in mid – end 70s. Overtime considerable development took place in the introduction of phosphates, potash and zinc. However, the historical development is marked by introductory stage (1948 – 1957), take off stage (1958 – 78) and maturity stage (1979 onwards). The paper briefly outlines the historical development of nutrients, integrated use of nutrients, micronutrients and the current scenario marked by scarcity of local production of urea due to gas shortage and the resultant dependence on imports. However, the fertilize sector is still behind the desirable developments in fields such as fertigation, specialty fertilizer products and precession application of nutrients. Thus, the current use is far less efficient and wasteful unless serious efforts at development and promotional studies are directed towards these ends. Sadly the traditional fertilizer technologies still sway over the desired innovative and efficient ways of using this costly input. It means the farmer is the ultimate sufferer to which the industry should address their future strategies in order to help farmers use nutrients more wisely and environmental friendly.