AA_3Q09_Analyst_Presentation

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ASEAN Airline Takes Wing Third Quarter 2009 Results 20 November 2009


Disclaimer Information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your reference. Such information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information concerning the Company. Neither we nor our advisors make any representation regarding, and assumes no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of, or any errors or omissions in, any information contained herein. In addition, the information may contain projections and forward-looking statements that reflect the company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on current assumptions which are subject to various risks factors and which may change over time. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the company’s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected. This presentation can be distributed without any consent of the Company as this is a publicly available announcement.

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Key Highlights for Third Quarter Strong third quarter results given challenging operating environment – core operating profit RM34 million, reversal from RM82 million loss in Q3-2008 – third quarter is our weakest quarter – consumer sentiment impacted by A-H1N1 and challenging global economy Raised RM505 million capital – issued 380 million shares @ 16% of issued paid up capital – reduced net gearing level to 2.6 times (previously a major concern by investors) Indonesia has turned the corner, produced profits of RM21 million – the power of the associates is unveiled – with more Airbus A320, cost structure will improve and so will profits Issues with MAHB settled – paid off disputed amount to MAHB – lower airport fees announced, significant savings for AirAsia Ancillary income strong growth trajectory 2


Malaysia: Third Quarter in a Snapshot Quarter Ended: 30 September RM'000 unless othe rwise stated Revenue EBITDAR Core Operating Profit Profit after Tax

Jul-Sep 2009 739,668 234,611 33,834 130,072

Jul-Sep 2008 (restated) 707,909 101,687 (81,580) (470,570)

Change y-o-y 4% 131% n/a n/a

Disciplined, profitable growth – revenue growth of 4% driven by 19% passenger growth Lowest cost airline in the world at 3.21* US cents / ASK Maintaining strong growth trajectory – high capacity growth matched by demand, constant load factor of 75% – yield reduction (-7%) is significantly lower than other notable airlines which are

* Change in Cost / ASK computation. Refer to Bursa announcement for further clarification

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Indonesia: Third Quarter in a Snapshot Indonesia has turned the corner, net profit of IDR59 billion (RM21 million) Platform for sustained profitability has been established Indonesia AirAsia Cost / ASK

New Route Strategy is Producing Profits

Indonesia Cost / ASK (US cents)

Indonesia Margin Spread (RASK - CASK)

6.00 5.0 6

0 .16

0.20

5.2 7

0 .0 8

0.00

5.00 4 .16

4 .0 5 3 .6 5

4.00

3 .8 4

3 .2 5

-0.20

Q12008

Q22008

Q3-2008 0 .11

Q42008

Q12009

Q22009

Q32009

- 0 .2 5

-0.40

- 0 .4 4

3.00

Stable cost 2.00

-0.60 -0.80

Q12008

Q22008

Q32008

Q42008

Q12009

Q22009

Q32009

Airbus A320 replacement into fleet is – enhancing efficiency – increasing capacity – lowering operational cost

-1.00

- 0 .76 - 0 .8 8

Streamline capacity in the second quarter 2009

Access to international routes has significantly improved operations – improved the RASK vs. CASK spread – Australia and Singapore routes are high yielding and high loads 4


Thailand: Third Quarter in a Snapshot Thailand is headed towards the right direction New Route Strategy is Producing Profits

Thailand AirAsia Cost / ASK

Thailand Load Factor

Thailand Cost / ASK (US cents) 6.00

5.4 6

5.6 4

5.52

79 .1%

80.0% 78 . 2 %

77. 5% 74 .6 %

5.00 4 .14

4 .15

4 .13

75.0%

73 .9 %

71.5%

4.00

6 9 .4 % 70.0%

3.00

Stable cost 65.0%

2.00 Q12008

Q22008

Q32008

Q42008

Q12009

Q22009

Q32009

Airbus A320 replacement into fleet is – enhancing efficiency – Increasing capacity – lowering operational cost

Q12008

Q22008

Q32008

Q42008

Q12009

Q22009

Q32009

Underlying demand is positive – underlying demand is positive, but it is due to low fare stimulation – AirAsia ideally positioned to capture huge upside when market turns 5


AirAsia X: Third Quarter in a Snapshot The long haul, low cost model is proven successful Revenue (RM million)

Passengers Carried

Passenger Carried and Load Factor PAX 400,000

69%

300,000

19 5,79 4

200,000

77%

Load Factor 69%

Revenue (RM million) 8

0 %

7

0 %

6

0 %

2 8 8 ,0 4 4

175,000

2 17,73 1 200,000

14 9 ,10 4 150,000

14 6 ,19 6

12 8 ,8 9 0

100,000

0

Q1-2009

Q2-2009

Q3-2009

Strong level of acceptance of AAX services as seen by high passenger growth and load factors Upgrading fleet with new seats – extra comfort at better value

5

0 %

4

0 %

125,000

100,000 Q1-2009

Q2-2009

Q3-2009

Kept cash balance in tact despite financing three aircraft during the period Fourth quarter looking positive with strong loads and high yields 6


Strong Ancillary Income Growth AirAsia Ancillary Income Growth

Ancillary Income Target

Ancillary Income (RM million) Spend / pax 140

27.0 130

23.1 22.1

100 80

12.0 13.3

15.2 15.1 15.7

26

31

17.8

37

42

41

30. 0

25. 0

91 70

40 20

Target

52

35. 0

29.0

120

60

Actual

36.2

95

40

36 29

20. 0

74

15. 0

50

10. 0

5. 0

0

0. 0

Q1

Q2

Q3

2007

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

2008

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q3-2009

2010

2011

2009

Ancillary income growth ahead of expectations Relatively stable profits as it is seasonally insensitive Further growth potential at limited additional cost 7


Balance Sheet Cash Rich Net Gearing (Net Debt/ Equity) Fuel Hedge Unwinding

3.8 3.1

3.7

3.5

Capital Raising 2.6

1.9 1.6

Q1- Q2- Q3- Q4- Q1- Q2- Q32008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009

Raised RM505 million capital – issued 380 million shares @ 16% of issued paid up capital – reduced net gearing level to 2.6 times (previously a major concern by investors)

5-Day free seats campaign generated approximately RM200 million – “free seats” halo generates revenue for ancillary sources 8


The Real “Gearing” is Low Malaysia Gearing on a Standalone Basis Shareholders Equity Net debt Aircraft debt related to Thailand and Indonesia Debt specific for Malaysia Net Gearing

RM million 2,587 6,688 (2,028) 4,668 1.80

As the associates take on aircraft into their balance sheet – Thailand and Indonesia will eventually take on assets to their balance sheet – will form an asset light structure AirAsia Berhad

Intrinsic gearing for AirAsia is low, and will reduce going forward – strong cash growth supported by cash from operations – Capex for Malaysian operations will be relatively “low” in the next two years 9


Route Network Constantly Growing AirAsia Group Route Network

AirAsia Group Routes 129 104 65

75

52 26 11

6 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008 NOW

Note: Years represent calendar year end, “Now” as of 20 Nov ’09 Number of routes includes AirAsia X services

Expanding the Hub Network

Penang (established in July) - ideally suited to link China & India

Surabaya (established August) - ideally suited to link China & India

Phuket (established in November) - strong tourist appeal

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India Beckons 1.1 billion people US$3.1 trillion economy ± 20 potential airports

Amritsar

– Kuala Lumpur to Trichy (2x day) is AirAsia’s top ten profitable route

Launched

Delhi

– Kuala Lumpur to Kolkata – Kuala Lumpur to Kochi – Kuala Lumpur to Trivandrum Kolkata

Hyderabad Chennai Bangalore Kochi Trichy Trivandrum

Existing

Coming up – Kuala Lumpur to Chennai – Penang to Chennai – Kuala Lumpur to Bangalore – Kuala Lumpur to Hyderabad – Kuala Lumpur to Mumbai – Kuala Lumpur to Delhi

Prospects – Bangkok to Delhi – Bangkok to Kolkata – Bangkok to Amritsar

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Realigned Fleet Schedule to Achieve Optimal Growth and Operational Requirements Capacity (ASK) Growth Projection

AirAsia Group Net Fleet Size Boeing 737-300

Malaysia

Thailand

Indonesia

Airbus A320

23% 20% 19

12

173

175

149

56

2008

2009E

86

2010E

12%

11%

125 70

9%

101

2011E

2012E

2013E

2014E

21%

2015E

2010

2011

Deferred an additional eight aircraft for 2011 deliveries – to address airport infrastructure constraints at Kuala Lumpur LCCT – total of 16 aircraft deferred for 2010 & 2011 deliveries

Boeing 737-300 aircraft are 100% phased out by 2010 One of the youngest Airbus fleet (1 year 11 months)

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Best Airline in Asia Pacific – AGAIN

AirAsia and AirAsia X jointly won the coveted “Airline of the Year” awarded by Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation – first airline to win this award back-to-back (2008 & 2009) World’s best low cost carrier, awarded by Skytrax 13


Result Commentary - Third Quarter 2009


Capacity Rollout Matches Demand Capacity Rollout (ASK million) +13%

5,449

4,833

Q3-2008

Revenue / ASK (sen) Average fare drop is offset by higher ancillary income contribution Average stage length reduced by 6%

Q3-2008

14.2

Load Factor (%)

-11% 12.6

75.4%

75.4%

Q3-2008

Q3-2009

Q3-2008

Q3-2009

The operations can sustain the rapid capacity growth 15


Result Commentary - 9 Months 2009


Summary of 9 Months Result 9 Months Ended: 30 September

Jan-Sep 2009

Jan-Sep 2008

∆ (%)

2,010,134 977,331 328,233

1,802,148 447,198 (59,348)

12% 119% n/a

EBITDAR Margin Core Operating Profit Margin

48.6% 16.3%

24.8% -3.3%

23.9 p.p.t n/a

Revenue / ASK (sen) Cost / ASK (sen) Load factor

12.48 10.59 73.4%

14.11 13.07 74.3%

-12% -19% -0.9 p.p.t

Revenue (RM’000) EBITDAR (RM’000) Core Operating Profit (RM’000)

Strong core operating profit performance of RM328 million – industry leading margins of 16.3%

Strong ancillary income growth offsetting impact of lower fares Lower cost underpinning high profitability Stable load factors despite significant capacity addition and new routes 17


Outlook


Demand Remains Robust % Total seats sold as of 18 November 75%

2009 67%

2008 45%

43% 32% 26%

24% 19%

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

2009

2008

∆%

Seats sold in first quarter

3,147,609

2,611,556

21%

Seats sold in second quarter

3,519,486

2,835,671

24%

Seats sold in third quarter

3,590,744

3,018,395

19%

AirAsia Berhad

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Summary Challenging environment, but AirAsia is well placed to take advantage – airports are offering attractive deals in return for growth – other airlines are not introducing new routes, thus making it easier for AirAsia to expand

Managing risk – hedged approximately 20% of Q4-2009 fuel requirements – fixed swap of US$74.98 per barrel (Jet Kerosene) – monitoring the market for hedges beyond 2009

New routes are performing exceptionally well Passenger growth very robust across the Group – Malaysia is enjoying good loads and support for new routes – Indonesia’s load is robust with high yields – Thailand’s passenger numbers are robust, yields improving

Fuel surcharge will be imposed if high oil prices persists Cash position is growing from strength to strength 20


Appendix


Fleet Composition (30 September 2009)

Number of Aircraft

Total

Airbus A320 Boeing 737

Malaysia

47

45

2*

Thailand

18

10

8

Indonesia

16

9

8

Group Total

82

64

18

* Boeing 737-300 is awaiting to be sold off, these aircraft are not used for operations

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Cost Breakdown –Third Quarter Cost Breakdown (US cents / ASK) Staff Costs Fuel and Oil User & Station Charges Maintenance and Overhaul Aircraft Lease Rental Depreciation & Amortisation Sales & Marketing Others Cost / ASK Cost / ASK - excluding fuel

Jul-Sep 2009 0.36 1.37 0.29 0.15 0.15 0.43 0.17 0.30 3.21 1.84

Jul-Sep 2008 (restated) 0.36 2.73 0.23 0.12 0.13 0.44 0.14 0.17 4.34 1.61

Change y-o-y 0% -50% 23% 23% 13% -2% 15% 70% -26% 15%

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Cost Breakdown – 9 months Cost Breakdown (US cents / ASK) Staff Costs Fuel and Oil User & Station Charges Maintenance and Overhaul Aircraft Lease Rental Depreciation & Amortisation Sales & Marketing Others Cost / ASK Cost / ASK - excluding fuel

Jan-Sep 2009 0.33 1.15 0.23 0.16 0.16 0.41 0.26 0.13 2.83 1.69

Jan-Sep 2008 (restated) 0.36 2.38 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.44 0.16 0.14 3.92 1.54

Change y-o-y -9% -52% 55% 19% 5% -7% 66% -5% -28% 10%

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