The Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: interim forecast update 2014–201 by Analysys Mason No of Pages: 23
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The Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: interim forecast update 2014– 2019 Sub-Saharan Africa’s telecoms market will generate USD62 billion in 2019 and offers strong growth opportunities, mostly in the mobile segment. The telecoms service market in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) will grow at a 5.5% CAGR to reach USD62 billion in 2019, up from USD45 billion in 2013. Mobile service revenue will be particularly strong and will grow at a 6.3% CAGR, but fixed revenue will be nearly stable during the period because of poor infrastructure and lack of competition in most countries. Mobile data services have more growth potential than voice, driven by a growing demand for Internet services, increasing affordability of devices, and operators’ plans to roll out faster networks. This report provides:
an interim update of our 5-year forecast of more than 100 mobile and fixed KPIs for SSA
data for, and analysis of, eight individual countries, including Côte d’Ivoire for the first time
revised forecasts based on the latest available data, which covers the period to June 2014
an explanation of the significant changes in this edition, compared with our previous forecasts that were published in July 2014
an extension of the forecast period to 2019.
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The Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: interim forecast update 2014– 2019
Geographical coverage
Region modelled Sub-Saharan Africa
Countries modelled individually
Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa, Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda
Countries not modelled individually, but modelled as part of the region as a whole
Angola, Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Congo (Democratic Republic of), Congo (Republic of), Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gabon, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mauritius, Mayotte, Mozambique, Namibia, Niger, Réunion, Rwanda, São Tomé and Principe, Senegal, Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Saint Helena, Swaziland, Togo, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
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The Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: interim forecast update 2014– 2019
Major KPIs
Connections
Mobile
Handset, mobile broadband, M2M, Prepaid, contract, 2G, 3G, 4G, Smartphone, non-smartphone
Fixed
Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, Narrowband voice, VoBB, DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other,
Fixed and mobile voice traffic
Outgoing minutes, MoU
Revenue
Mobile
Service, retail, Prepaid, contract, Handset, mobile broadband, M2M, Handset voice, messaging, data Inquire for discount on this report @ http://www.rnrmarketresearch.com/contacts/discount?rname=311038 .
The Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: interim forecast update 2014– 2019
Fixed
Service, retail, Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS, DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other
Mobile ARPU
SIMs, handset, Prepaid, contract, Handset voice, data
Table of Contents
5.Executive summary
6.Sub-Saharan Africa’s telecoms market offers strong growth opportunities, mostly in mobile – total service revenue will reach USD62 billion by 2019
7.Handset data and mobile voice services will account for 94% of retail revenue growth between 2013 and 2019
8.Smartphones will account for 29% of handsets in the region by 2019 because LTE will be limited to high-value users, except in South Africa
9.Key regional changes since our previous forecast: We have revised down our revenue forecasts because of currency depreciation
The Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: interim forecast update 2014– 2019 Table of Contents(Continued):
10.Forecast revision: Revenue revised down in 2013 and 2018, mainly due to currency fluctuations in South Africa, but growth is almost unchanged
11.Individual country forecasts
12.Côte d’Ivoire: Telecoms service revenue will reach XOF1.1 trillion by 2019, driven by mobile voice and handset data services
13.Ghana: Revenue forecast revised down because mobile voice and messaging revenue will decline faster than expected
14.Kenya: Strong competition is eroding mobile voice revenue faster than expected and we revised down our LTE forecast
And More
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