Panama Outlook

Page 1

Panama Outlook:

2010

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Panama Outlook: 2010


TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction: Why Panama? Economic Review....................................................................................................................................................

page 4

Growth ....................................................................................................................................................................

page 7

Outlook ...................................................................................................................................................................

page 8

Panama Canal Expansion .....................................................................................................................................

page 10

Banking: Is Panama Offshore? .............................................................................................................................................. page 14 Money Laundering .................................................................................................................................................. page 15 Doing Business in Panama - A world view .............................................................................................................

page 16

An interview with former Panamanian president: Dr. Nicolás Ardito Barletta. ........................................................

page 21

Due Diligence in Panama .......................................................................................................................................

page 25

Real Estate: Investment Opportunities .......................................................................................................................................

page 28

Areas to watch........................................................................................................................................................

page 28

Casco Viejo: Panama City’s Old Quarter................................................................................................................

page 30

GSL Real Estate’s Navigating the Property Market...............................................................................................

page 32

Commodities: Panamanian Teak Investment ................................................................................................................................ page 38 Geisha coffee .........................................................................................................................................................

page 42

Business Directory .................................................................................................................................................

page 46

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Introduction

P

anama is a country of 3.4 million people living on the land bridge that connects North and South America. In the opinion of Alternative Latin Investor, Panama is developing a credible reputation as an international centre for business in Central America. The Latin America Offshore Banking report produced by Alternative Latin Investor in 2009, highlight-

ed Panama’s emergence as a regional centre for business, particularly in the opinion of its range of contributors. In that report, Xavier Borja of Loyal Bank Ltd. explained that he believed Panama had developed a compelling proposition as a stable financial centre, with strategical access to Latin American markets. His assessment has recently been supported by a range of internationally recognised measures, with the country highlighted by the International Monetary Fund as being well positioned to outperform the LatAm region over the next five years. At Alternative Latin Investor, we believe that the key issues deserve a more detailed analysis. With independent research sparse and often deal-driven in the region (notoriously within the real estate sector), we provide insight from seasoned professionals in the sectors central to determining Panama’s successful reinvention as a strategic hub for international financial services and technology businesses.

Economic Review Panama has a stable economy that has delivered strong and resilient growth over the recent period since 2001. Whilst the global financial crisis of 2007-2010 has undoubtedly left a profound and lasting impression on the economies of developed countries, Panama avoided slipping into recession and continues to be in the leading pack of LatAm countries; with Latin America a key emerging market. Fig 1. Economic Growth It can be seen that Panama’s economy is highly reliant on the services sector, which accounts for almost 80% of GDP. Statistics from the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean provide an overview of the composition of Panama’s GDP (see Fig 1).

Gross Domestic Product by Kind of Economic Activity – 2008 (Millions of dollars)

5 730.3 4 259.1

TRANSPORT, STORAGE AND COMMUNICATIONS

4 073.8 3 158.8

COMMUNITY, SOCIAL AND PERSONAL SERVICES

1 548.2

TAXES ON PRODUCTS

1 483.5

CONSTRUCTION

FINANCE, INSURANCE, REAL ESTATE & BUSINESS SERVICES WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE, RESTAURANTS & HOTELS

1 411.1 1 171.0

MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE, HUNTING, FORESTRY & FISHING

547.8

ELECTRICITY, GAS AND WATER

527.1

COMPUTED COMMISSION FOR BANKING SERVICES

327.4

0

MINING AND QUARRYING

1000

2000

3000

Source: Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean

4

4000

5000

6000


Fig 2 shows GDP contribution from industry sectors since 1990. •

Decline in manufacturing trade

Sustained growth of construction industry

Increases in the overall contribution of services to GDP

Increases in the relative contribution of tax receipts

Steady and GDP growth from 1990-2003

More rapid expansion in GDP from 2004 onwards

A quarter of the country’s GDP has been generated by the finance, insurance, real estate and business sectors, consistently over the last 30 years

YEAR

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

1424.4

1549.0

1858.4

1980.5

2075.3

2088.4

2283.0

2450.2

2720.4

2920.7

3102.0

3225.6

3415.8

3536.9

3701.3

4053.4

4437.0

5074.3

5730.3

842.6

881.7

935.2

964.7

1034.9

1110.5

1138.7

1288.1

1456.1

1509.5

1541.9

1612.4

1706.0

1855.4

2165.5

2409.9

2940.0

3386.1

4259.1

846.5

928.9

1196.1

1411.9

1638.0

1567.4

1585.3

1877.3

1917.8

1873.0

1871.2

1927.9

1899.9

1930.1

2235.2

2566.2

2929.9

3430.2

4073.8

1178.8

1189.9

1301.7

1336.0

1438.2

1470.4

1541.3

1610.6

1755.1

1863.7

1932.0

2008.7

2120.3

2155.0

2324.3

2388.8

2529.0

2865.5

3158.8

Taxes on products

135.6

140.3

167.7

236.4

250.0

253.0

634.7

644.5

725.2

763.3

685.4

680.2

773.1

845.1

903.4

1041.8

1051.2

1339.2

1548.2

Construction

54.8

138.7

203.9

290.5

309.0

334.1

326.5

349.0

399.7

554.0

575.2

459.4

426.4

593.5

677.1

692.2

845.8

1072.8

1483.5

Manufacturing

780.9

871.8

965.6

997.3

1034.3

1079.4

1105.7

1078.0

1134.8

1167.3

1099.6

1033.8

973.6

969.4

1023.4

1072.4

1137.5

1225.8

1411.1

530.9

553.5

568.7

591.5

618.3

634.6

649.1

689.1

760.3

746.4

791.3

860.1

887.4

961.1

987.8

1006.6

1049.8

1098.2

1171.0

201.6

223.8

214.9

260.8

265.2

266.8

295.4

317.3

316.1

342.2

340.0

325.5

350.1

362.9

422.6

504.5

495.6

518.8

547.8

130.8

59.4

118.0

157.1

234.1

190.0

268.7

275.8

323.8

371.8

397.1

402.9

370.3

404.0

404.0

422.2

467.7

452.2

527.1

6.8

11.2

19.8

26.4

32.0

30.4

31.2

55.8

70.7

88.0

79.1

76.8

90.1

127.8

142.7

151.1

188.9

235.0

327.4

Finance, insurance, real estate & business services Transport, storage and communications Wholesale and retail trade, restaurants & hotels Community, social and personal services

Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing Electricity, gas and water Computed commission for banking services Mining and quarrying

Source: Panama Annual National Account from 1990, Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean

Currency Panama’s official currency is the balboa, however the country is dollarized with United States notes used for all paper currency, as has been the norm since the country’s independence in 1903 when the balboa was fixed at parity with the US dollar (with one exception, see ‘The Seven Day Dollar’). The Seven Day Dollar In 1941 President Arnulfo Arias printed banknotes denominated in balboas. However, the currency was recalled days later giving rise to the name ‘The Seven Day Dollar’. Whilst the returned notes were incinerated, a number of balboa notes remain in existence, predominately held by collectors.

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The balboa replaced the Colombian peso in 1903 following Panama’s independence. However, the balboa notes printed by President Arias were the only banknotes ever to have been issued by the country.

Inflation Dollarization of the Panamanian economy has undoubtedly contributed to the country’s enviable record of longer term financial stability in the LatAm region. Panama is often cited as having a stable low inflationary environment – with the exception of the inflationary spike witnessed in early 2008 which was generally attributed to higher transportation and fuel costs and factors rooted in the wider global economic recovery. Available data for 2010 supports the contention that Panama’s historically robust inflationary record is back on track. Fig 3: Panama Inflation

15% 12% 9% 6% 3% 0%

19

80

19

81

19

82

19

83

19

84

19

85

19

86

19

87

19

88

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

Source: International Monetary Fund - 2009 World Economic Outlook

-3 The US Influence More detailed analysis of long run average inflation highlights the expected correlation with the US, however there is clear evidence of real deprecation, with long run inflation rates in Panama not only lower than those of other developing countries but consistently lower than the US as well. While this has been explained by lower productivity growth or relative sectoral disparities, the jury is out on that analysis. What is clear is that dollarization inextricably ties Panama’s economy to the effects of US monetary policy. The stable low inflationary environment is a key support for Panama’s sustained economic growth and compares favourably with many of its Latin American counterparts.

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Geographical Location Gateway to Latin America The county’s location is a significant advantage which has been leveraged throughout the county’s history; demonstrated in the prosperity of gold trail port towns, the considerable contribution of the canal trade and Panama’s current positioning as a launch pad to key Latin American markets. Throughout our extensive travels in Panama, we were continually reminded of the country’s strategic position, straddling the emerging markets of Central and South America (coveted by multinational brands) and of the country’s other unique draws, whether that be the abundant biological diversity, the Pacific ‘Tuna’ Coast or Calle Uruguay nightlife.

Current Economic Environment Since 2001 and up until the global downturn, Panama has delivered an impressive expansion of economic growth. Fig 4: Economic Growth – Panama vs the United States

11.5

8.7

8.6

7.6

7.3

7.2

6.5

4.5

4.2

2.4

4.4 3.8

4.2

3.7 2.7

2.2 1.6

3.6

2.5

3.1

2.9 2.2

0.4

0.6

Source: International Monetary Fund - 2009 World Economic Outlook Latin America Bounces Back Resilience to the global financial crisis has been robust with Panama’s growth rate falling to just 3.3% in 2009 and the country avoiding falling into recession. Emerging and developing economies have rebounded from the global financial crisis at a much faster rate than heavily indebted developed countries (principally driven by domestic demand) and Latin America is well positioned to offer the potential for strong economic growth going forward.

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Figure 2.11. Latin America and the Caribbean: Latin America and the Caribbean: A Robust Recovery1

Leading the Region

A Robust Recovery

Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean has rebounded, led by strong domestic consumption. Production levels have increased sharply, especially in Brazil. The ongoing recovery has been supported by improving financial conditions. Equity prices have reversed their declines and even exceeded precrisis levels in some countries. Despite accommodative monetary policies, good fundamentals are helping the region reattract capital flows, leading to currency appreciation in some cases.

By most recent forecasts, Panama is expected to grow by 5% in 2010, leading the Central American region where average growth of 2.7% is anticipated. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that Panama’s economy will grow by 6.3% in 2011 and by more than 7% in 2012. Consensus economic forecasts support this forecast for grow-

Latin America: Contribution 2 15 to Growth (annualized quarterly percent change) 10 5

Industrial Production (annualized three-month percent change of three-month moving average)

40 20

World

-5 -10 -15 -20

2006

07

09: Q4

150 Equity Prices (Jan. 2008 = 100) 120

-40

Brazil

08

2007

08

09

-60 Feb. 10

Bond, Equity, and Loan Financing4 (billions of U.S. dollars)

Chile

Brazil

-20

Latin America3

Real output growth Total consumption Gross investment Net exports

Brazil Mexico Other

lation living in poverty to be approximately 30%. During the Torrijos administration, poverty was reduced from 40% to 30% and unemployment fell from 12% to 6%.

60

According to statistics provided by Nationmaster, which

20

aggregates country statistical information sourced principally from the CIA World Factbook, Panama has the fastest growing economy and the largest per capita consumer in Central America.

Peru 09

Apr. 10

Policy Rate5 2 (change from Sep. 2008 to Mar. 2010; percent) 0

2007

08

09: Q4

Exchange Rate per U.S. Dollar (Jan. 2008 = 100) Brazil Chile

0

The country has an impressive record in the region, having 160

delivered robust growth within a stable and secure econom-

140

leading economic growth in the LatAm region over the next

Mexico

-2

120 -4

Peru

-6 -8

Current statistics estimate the proportion of the adult popu-

Outlook

Colombia

2008

ma consistently rated among the worst in Latin America.

80

40

Mexico

30

shared prosperity, with the distribution of income in Pana-

100

90

60

Shared Prosperity? Strong economic performance has not translated into

0

0

ing economic growth trend.

100

ic framework. The IMF’s latest analysis points to Panama five years (2010-2015). Panama joined Brazil, Chile and Mexico in an exclusive Latin American club, when Fitch Ratings agencies upgraded Panama’s debt to investment grade status (BBB-minus) in

Colombia BRA

CHL

COL

MEX

PER

2008

09

80 Apr. 10

Sources: Bloomberg Financial Markets; Dealogic; Haver Analytics; IHS Global Insight; and IMF staff calculations. 1Latin America includes Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay, and Venezuela. 2 Latin America excluding Uruguay. 3 Latin America excluding Ecuador and Uruguay. 4 Total issuance. 5 BRA: Brazil; CHL: Chile; COL: Colombia; MEX: Mexico; PER: Peru.

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March 2010. This followed an announcement from Moody’s in February 2010 placing Panama’s credit rating under review for an upgrade. In May 2010 Standard & Poor raised its rating of Panama’s debt to BBB-minus (from BB-plus) with a stable outlook, commenting “The upgrade reflects our assessment that continued economic growth -- combined with moderate fiscal deficits -- should reduce the government’s debt burden.”


Fig 6: Panama Leading the Region

Figure 2.10. Latin America and the Caribbean:

Latin America and the Caribbean: Average Real GDP Growth in 2010-11 (percent) Average Real GDP Growth in 2010 –11 (Percent)

Below 1 Between 1 and 3 Between 3 and 5 Above 5 Insufficient data Source: IMF staff estimates.

These investment grade awards represent an important milestone and reflect widespread confidence in the Panamanian economy and the Martinelli government. In the opinion of Alternative Latin Investor, Panama is extremely well positioned to outperform in the Latin America region in the coming years.

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Panama Canal Expansion

T

he current Panama Canal Expansion Pro-

Lake and the deepening of Culebra Cut. One of the world’s

gram, scheduled for completion in 2014,

biggest transport projects, the expansion “will cost $5.25

will be an event almost as big as the canal’s

billion, more than a fifth of Panama’s GDP last year. Of this,

opening in 1914. The project aims to double

$3 billion will come from retained earnings, the rest from

the channel’s capacity and allow for more

bilateral and multilateral lenders, led by the Japan Bank for

traffic and the passage of larger vessels. Initiated by the

International Cooperation, the European Investment Bank

Panama Canal Authority (ACP), an agency of the Panama-

and the Inter-American Development Bank” [Economist

nian government, the expansion consists of the construc-

2009].

tion of two new sets of locks to create a new lane of traffic. A new lock complex will be created on both the Pacific

The strategic importance of the Panama Canal, shipping

and the Atlantic side of the Canal. Each lock will have

and port services not only makes Panama's economy

three chambers and each chamber will have three water

highly dependent on world trade trends, but also vulner-

reutilization basins. The program also entails the widening

able to fluctuations in the global economy. The growth in

and deepening of existing navigational channels in Gatun

Panama Canal usage over recent years has been almost

Panama Canal Toll Revenues

$1,500,000 $1,200,000 $900,000 $600,000 $300,000 $0

2005

2006

Source: Panama Canal Authotiy - Audited Financial Statements

10

2007

2008

2009


exclusively a result of increasing export trade from China to

the next twenty years, cargo volume transiting the Canal will

the US consumers.

grow an average 3% per year, duplicating 2005’s tonnage by 2025.” The expansion of the canal with its new, improved

Many suspect the canal expansion project will have windfall

locks will open the Panama route to new markets that, due

success for the Panamanian people and economy estimat-

to the present size of Canal locks, have not been able to

ing the creation of up to 50,000 direct and indirect jobs,

develop. Among these new markets is “the transport of coal

an increase in investment in the Canal Zone by 40 %, and

from the U.S. and Colombia to East Asia, oil from Venezu-

over $1 billion in annual revenues in its first eleven years of

ela to East Asia, natural gas from Peru to the U.S. East and

operation. According the ACP’s original proposal, “during

South Coasts, as well as *post-Panamax cruise ships. Other

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than representing an important competitive advantage for the

perity, only to find a continued lack of jobs and a metro

Canal, post-Panamax vessel transits will allow the Panama

area unprepared for such a surge in population. Further-

route to handle growing cargo volumes with fewer transits.

more, with Panama being known for an uneven distribu-

This, in turn, will allow the Canal to maximize revenues, re-

tion of wealth, the country could find itself slipping even

duce operating costs and water utilization, while maintaining

further into debt. Finally, the increase in tolls due to the

more leeway in its operational and water capacity.” In 2006,

expansion has forced many cargo companies to consider

when the Panamanian President at the time, Martín Torrijos,

alternate routes and inspired other passageways such as

presented the plan, citizens approved it in a national referen-

Egypt’s Suez Canal, to lower their toll prices.

dum by 76.8% of the vote. This percentage alone reflects the hope that the new and improved Canal will generate enough

It goes without saying that an undertaking of this magnitude

wealth to transform Panama into a First World country.

brings with it inevitable social, economic and environmental concerns. This impact, be it negative or positive will surely be

Despite the overwhelming support for the project, skep-

felt by not only Panama but also the 120 maritime routes and

tics are ready with a laundry list of social and environ-

80 countries that use it’s canal to conduct their daily business.

mental concerns. From an environmental perspective the fear is that this project, which basically destroys Panama’s greatest freshwater reserve, will pave the way for other industrial projects that have been pining to install their plants within the canal, without having to take full blame for polluting an essential global resource. The biggest social concern is related to the fact that Panama already suffers from a very high rate of unemployment. The false sense of hope created by the canal expansion may lead to an influx of people arriving in search of pros-

12

*A "Panamax" ship is the largest size ship that can pass through the Panama Canal. This is currently 1,050' long by 110' wide with a draft (depth) of 41'. Any ship larger is called "post-Panamax". However, a new set of locks under construction will allow larger ships to pass through - up to 1,400' long by 180' wide, with a drafts up to 60'. These will be called "Panamax II" ships and the term "post-Panamax" will eventually refer to ships larger than Panamax II. (http://www.workingharbor.com)


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Rooms: 10 each 24sq meters

Details

Lot : 2003 sq meter

Rooms: Pool:

10meter each 54 cubic

24 sq meters

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Area: Playa Uverito

Area: Playa Uverito Playa Uverito is 2 miles outside Las Tablas, the number one place in Panama for the yearly Carnival celebrations. Once a year this town of 30,000 swells by 400,000 with no decent hotels in the area. A few generously rated 2-star establishments which charge a minimum of 200USD a night during Carnival. Playa Uverito itself is just now being discovered by expats moving to Panama with property prices doubling over the past three years and foreigner population growing even faster. Paved road and telephone is being introduced this year, making it a perfect time to invest. In addition, 30 minutes away in Pedasi, two very large real estate developments, with 1hr flights to Panama city started in May of this year. These multi-million dollar investments will have a substancial effect on property values in the region.

Owner/Designer: Luca Varisco Born in Milan, Luca studied at an institute focused on hotel/restaurant management spending the last 30 years in the industry perfecting his craft. His projects in the region include: Developed Stella Restaurant and Hotel Tamalimo: The restaurant has won on a national level, three golden spoon awards, 3 star Michelin ranking, Opened Hotel, La Pagoda, a Japanese style construction with 5 suites. Built The Hotel Estrellas de Bocas, Built Hotel La Luna and the Eclipse Restaurant. The architecture of the hotel is unique, and in 2008 it won a national award as the best building of a commercial micro-enterprise.

For more information please contact Nate Suppaiah at 202-905-0378, or nate@caprg.com

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Banking

T

he financial services sector is a key con-

With the very competitive deposit rates offered by local

tributor to economic growth and Panama is

banks it is perceived to be difficult for international institu-

Latin America’s largest banking centre. We

tions to penetrate the retail banking market that is continu-

spoke to Gareth Boardman, a Private banker

ing to benefit from the country’s growing middle classes

based in Panama, and Peter Macfarlane, an

and sustained economic growth. However, whilst the

international banking expert to determine their views on a

foreign private banks are decidedly less visible than their

range of issues.

local counterparts, they conduct a substantial capital management operation representing a significant sector of the

Gareth Boardman, private banker based in Panama offers

economy in their own right.

Swiss Private Banking to clients in the Central American, Caribbean and Andean Pact region. Gareth has also

Panama offers a compelling proposition to international

worked in Private Banking in London, Hong Kong, New

investors. It is politically and financially stable and has a

York and Geneva.

sophisticated banking infrastructure. Growth of the private banking sector is being driven by investors in the region

Peter MacFarlane is the joint editor of The Q Wealth Report

that are seeking a geopolitically secure, safe haven envi-

(www.qwealthreport.com) a leading privately published

ronment that offers attractive interest rates, and increas-

newsletter covering how to preserve, create and enhance

ingly important following the financial crisis; Panama’s dol-

your freedom, wealth and privacy in a secure international

larized economy. Moreover the banking sector is reliant on

environment.

continuing economic growth in the region with the banks’ wealth inextricably linked to that of their customers.

Is Panama Offshore?

The Venezuela Connection

Panama has a territorial tax system and provided income is not earned in the local economy, it is tax free. This is similar

Gareth Boardman explained that expansion in the private

to the territorial systems operating in Costa Rica, Uruguay

banking sector has been driven predominately by clients

and a number of other Latin American countries.

based in Latin America and the United States. In the prevailing economic climate investors are seeking a secure

Panama is forging its reputation as a financial services

economic environment and a stable currency, such as the

hub and banking represents an important sector of the

US dollar.

economy. With this in mind the government is doing everything possible to improve Panama’s international stand-

Historically Colombian investors represented a key market

ing, including the signing of free trade agreements and tax

in the Central American, Caribbean and Andean Pact bank-

treaties.

ing region that stretches from south of Mexico and excludes Brazil. Gareth revealed that although still significant, demand

Growth of the Banking Sector

growth from Colombia was slowing as the political backdrop improved. Venezuela is currently the most important market

The banking sector in Panama can be easily divided into two

for foreign bankers in Panama and a market for private banks

distinct market segments: domestic institutions providing retail

globally. Panama is strategically positioned to service the Ven-

banking to Panamanian nationals and international private

ezuelan market and there is a continuing movement of Ven-

banks offering wealth management to international investors.

ezuelans relocating to Panama to live and set up business.

14


Gareth believes that Panama’s Central American neigh-

world stage and he is a popular figure inside with a legend-

bours look more towards North America to meet their pri-

ary no-nonsense, straight talking business style. Martinelli

vate banking needs and sees little demand from the Central

has signed a Free Trade Agreement with the US which now

American block in Panama.

awaits approval by the senate and his record in office to date has been encouraging, including well judged eco-

Money Laundering

nomic appointments, steps taken to cut the national debt, to reduce corruption and improve infrastructure. Observers

It can prove difficult for individuals to open an account in

believe that the signing of a free trade agreement with the

Panama because of the administrative requirements to sat-

United States will function as an economic stimulus as both

isfy anti-money laundering legislation. The banking system

US and Panamanian firms increase business activity in

in Panama is heavily regulated and benefits from a world

each others’ territory.

class infrastructure and well capitalised institutions.

Banking in Panama - Shortcomings As Gareth Boardman highlighted, no Panamanian banks went bust during the global financial crisis (with the excep-

We asked industry figures to identify areas for the improve-

tion of Stanford Bank). However Gareth believes that the

ment in the banking sector and whilst simplification of bu-

onerous bureaucracy can prove a hindrance to business

reaucratic process (eg anti-money laundering) was popular,

in Panama. One such example is the requirement for new

on balance institutions were similarly mindful of the need

account openings to present evidence of two existing bank

to maintain high levels of regulation and capital adequacy.

accounts. Whilst this can be troublesome for individuals

Another area for potential improvement cited was customer

who have historically dealt with one institution, both in-

service; HSBC were publicly criticised over failings, but

terviewees welcomed the heavily regulated nature of the

observers have since commended the bank for having

banking sector and were quick to confirm that Panamanian

invested heavily in their IT infrastructure to overhaul their

banks should not be seen as potential home for clients

service. Internet offerings should also be enhanced to bring

seeking to conceal funds from worldwide tax authorities.

them into line with more sophisticated European systems.

The Martinelli Effect

Foreign Currency – Panamanian

On July 1, 2009 Ricardo Martinelli was sworn into office

Gareth Boardman also recognised foreign currency as an-

having won the national elections held in May by a land-

other area for innovation where there was the potential for

slide. Martinelli recorded over 60% of the votes against his

banks to develop their offering to meet the changing needs

closest rival Balbina Herrera, who received about 36%; this

of investors.

was the largest margin of victory recorded since 1989. Despite the developed range of services on offer from the Martinelli is one of the country’s most successful business-

banking sector, sophisticated investors are increasingly

men having built the country’s largest supermarket chain

asking to diversify their cash assets across currencies in

Super 99. He completed his undergraduate studies at the

order to manage and hedge relative currency exposures.

University of Arkansas and was awarded an MBA from the

In this area banks have been slow to react to demand and

Costa Rica INCAE School of Business affiliated with Har-

typically are not good at holding currency other than the US

vard University. Mr Martinelli’s election made news on the

dollar. Indeed only a small number of institutions deal with a

15


limited range of other currencies. There is an acute need to

of annual reports investigating the regulations that enhance

widen the offering and we expect the market to react.

business activity and those that constrain it. The report was produced by the International Finance Corporation (IFC),

Financial services are a cornerstone of the Panamanian

part of the World Bank Group, and presented quantitative

economy and due to the country’s strategic location and

indicators on business regulations and the protection of

stable monetary and fiscal environment, is well placed to

property rights allowing comparisons across 183 econo-

thrive in the region.

mies included in the study. A set of regulations affecting 10 stages of a business’s life were measured: starting a busi-

Doing Business in Panama – A World Bank View

ness, dealing with construction permits, employing workers, registering property, getting credit, protecting investors, paying taxes, trading across borders, enforcing contracts

Doing Business 2010 Panama was the seventh in a series

and closing a business.

Fig 1 Change in Ranking

2010 Agregate Rating

Starting a Business

-10

27

Dealing with Construction Permits

+4

68

Employing Workers

0

177

Registering Property

+11

65

Getting Credit

-3

30

Protecting Investors

-4

109

Paying Taxes

+1

173

Trading Across Borders

-2

10

Enforcing Contracts

-2

119

Closing a Business

0

75

Overall Ease of Doing Business

+6

77

Source: Doing Business 2010 Panama, International Financial Corporation (World Bank Group) Panama is well positioned among the 32 Latin American countries represented in the report (Colombia is ranked higher than Panama and Singapore is the highest ranked country). The charts that follow show Panama’s relative position amongst the 32 Latin American and Caribbean countries represented in the report as well as the OECD average.

16


Starting a Business The challenges of launching a business. Including: the number of steps entrepreneurs can expect to go through to launch, the time it takes on average, and the cost and minimum capital required as a percentage of gross national income (GNI) per capita. Fig 2 Indicator

Panama

Latin America & Caribbean

OECD Average

Procedures (number)

6

9.5

5.7

Time (days)

12

61.7

13.0

Cost (% of income per capita)

10.3

36.6

4.7

Min. capital (% of income per capita)

0.0

2.9

15.5

Dealing with Construction Permits The procedures, time, and costs to build a warehouse, including obtaining necessary licenses and permits, completing required notifications and inspections, and obtaining utility connections. Fig 3 Indicator

Panama

Latin America & Caribbean

OECD Average

Procedures (number)

20

16.7

15.1

Time (days)

116

225.0

157.0

Cost (% of income per capita)

107.2

210.8

56.1

Employing Workers The difficulties that employers face in hiring and firing workers. Each index shown below assigns values between 0 and 100, with higher values representing more rigid regulations. The Rigidity of Employment Index is an average of the three indices. Fig 4 Indicator

Panama

Latin America & Caribbean

OECD Average

Difficulty of hiring index (0-100)

78

34.4

26.5

Rigidity of hours index (0-100)

60

21.2

30.1

Difficulty of redundancy index (0-100)

60

24.1

22.6

Rigidity of employment index (0-100)

66

26.6

26.4

Redundancy costs (weeks of salary)

44

53.0

26.6

Registering Property The ease with which businesses can secure rights to property. Including the number of steps, time, and cost involved in registering property. Fig 5 Indicator

Panama

Latin America & Caribbean

OECD Average

Procedures (number)

7

6.8

4.7

Time (days)

32

70.4

25.0

Cost (% of property value)

2.4

5.9

4.6

17


Getting Credit Measures on credit information sharing and the legal rights of borrowers and lenders. The Legal Rights Index ranges from 0-10, with higher scores indicating that those laws are better designed to expand access to credit. The Credit Information Index measures the scope, access and quality of credit information available through public registries or private bureaus. It ranges from 0-6, with higher values indicating that more credit information is available from a public registry or private bureau. Fig 6 Indicator

Panama

Latin America & Caribbean

OECD Average

Strength of legal rights index (0-10)

6

5.5

6.8

Depth of credit information index (0-6)

6

3.3

4.9

Public registry coverage (% of adults)

0.0

10.0

8.8

Private bureau coverage (% of adults)

45.9

33.2

59.6

Protecting Investors The indicators below describe three dimensions of investor protection: transparency of transactions (Extent of *Disclosure Index), liability for self-dealing (Extent of Director Liability Index), shareholders’ ability to sue officers and directors for misconduct (Ease of Shareholder Suits Index) and Strength of Investor Protection Index. The indexes vary between 0 and 10, with higher values indicating greater disclosure, greater liability of directors, greater powers of shareholders to challenge the transaction, and better investor protection. Fig 7 Indicator

Panama

Latin America & Caribbean

OECD Average

Extent of disclosure index (0-10)

1

4.0

5.9

Extent of director liability index (0-10)

4

5.3

5.0

Ease of shareholder suits index (0-10)

9

6.0

6.6

Strength of investor protection index (0-10)

4.7

5.1

5.8

Paying Taxes The data below shows the tax that a medium-size company must pay or withhold in a given year, as well as measures of the administrative burden in paying taxes. These measures include the number of payments an entrepreneur must make; the number of hours spent preparing, filing, and paying; and the percentage of their profits they must pay in taxes. Fig 8 Indicator

Panama

Latin America & Caribbean

OECD Average

Payments (number per year)

59

33.2

12.8

Time (hours per year)

482

385.2

194.1

Profit tax (%)

17.1

20.4

16.8

Labor tax and contributions (%)

22.6

14.7

24.4

Other taxes (%)

10.4

13.2

3.3

Total tax rate (% profit)

50.1

48.3

44.5

18


Trading Across Borders The costs and procedures involved in importing and exporting a standardized shipment of goods are detailed under this topic. Every official procedure involved is recorded - starting from the final contractual agreement between the two parties, and ending with the delivery of the goods. Fig 9 Indicator

Panama

Latin America & Caribbean

OECD Average

Documents to export (number)

3

6.8

4.3

Time to export (days)

9

18.6

10.5

Cost to export (US$ per container)

729

1,243.6

1,089.7

Documents to import (number)

4

7.3

4.9

Time to import (days)

9

20.9

11.0

Cost to import (US$ per container)

879

1,481.0

1,145.9

Enforcing Contracts The ease or difficulty of enforcing commercial contracts. This is determined by following the evolution of a payment dispute and tracking the time, cost, and number of procedures involved from the moment a plaintiff files the lawsuit until actual payment. Fig 10 Indicator

Panama

Latin America & Caribbean

OECD Average

Time (years)

2.5

3.3

1.7

Cost (% of estate)

18

15.9

8.4

Recovery rate (cents on the dollar)

32.4

26.8

68.6

Closing a Business The time and cost required to resolve bankruptcies. The data identifies weaknesses in existing bankruptcy law and the main procedural and administrative bottlenecks in the bankruptcy process. The recovery rate, expressed in terms of how many cents on the dollar claimants recover from the insolvent firm, is also shown. Fig 11 Indicator

Panama

Latin America & Caribbean

OECD Average

Procedures (number)

31

39.7

30.6

Time (days)

686

707.0

462.4

Cost (% of claim)

50.0

31.3

19.2

There are a number of areas highlighted in the report, in which Panama is seeing improved outcomes, such as the reduction in the length of time and the number of procedures involved to register a property. Conversely Panama continues to score poorly on taxation, unsurprisingly given the recent increases in tax rates. Whilst the range of indicators used in the IFC report are constructive in analyzing economic outcomes and to identify where and why reforms have worked, the quantitative methodology employed has its limitations. The report does not consider other areas important to business such as an economy’s proximity to large markets, the quality of its infrastructure services (other than those related to trading across borders), the security of property from theft and looting, the transparency of government procurement, macroeconomic conditions or the underlying strength of institutions.

19


Latin Business Index Other indicators have added weight to Panama’s reputation as the place to do business in the region with its supportive business environment and pro US administration. In May 2010 Panama replaced Chile as the Latin American country with the best business climate, according to the fifth annual Latin Business Index from Latin Business Chronicle. The Latin Business index consists of 19 countries and is a broad measure of business climate in Latin America. The index considers five key categories and 27 subcategories to measure recent, current and future business environment. These are Macro Environment (GDP growth and inflation), Corporate Environment (corporate tax rates, access to capital for entrepreneurs, ease of doing business and economic freedom), Globalization & Competitiveness (globalization, competitiveness, tariffs, education/health and security for companies and business executives), Technology Level (PC, Internet, broadband, wireless and fixed telephone penetration) and Political Environment (political freedom, political stability, political outlook, business policies of government and corruption).

Economic Freedom

The 2010 Index of Economic Freedom was produced by The Wall Street Journal and The Heritage Foundation, a Washington’s think tank. The influential index tracks 10 key indicators of economic freedom – from property rights to entrepreneurship – in 183 countries. Panama’s economic freedom score was 64.8, making its economy the 60th freest in the 2010 Index. Its score has increased by 0.1 point since last year, reflecting notable improvements in property rights and freedom from corruption. Panama is ranked 13th out of 29 countries in the South and Central America/Caribbean region, and its overall score is above the world and regional averages. The increase in Panama’s score reflected government structural reforms to improve the entrepreneurial environment and enhance legal transparency. The survey acknowledges high levels of trade freedom and fiscal freedom, with average annual growth rates of over 9 percent over the past five years. The report believes that Panama’s overall economic freedom is limited by lingering institutional weaknesses. Despite reform efforts to reduce corruption, the judicial system remains vulnerable to political interference, burdened with backlogged cases, and lax in the enforcement of contracts. It is clear that Martinelli’s administration needs to address the significant challenges in fighting money laundering, narcotics trafficking, the illegal arms trade and in revitalizing a government-run education system that is not preparing Panama’s youth for jobs in banking and the services sector, which accounts for 80 percent of the economy.

20


An Interview with Dr. Nicolás Ardito Barletta

A

lternative Latin Investor had the privilege to

economy is 77% services and 76% of exports are services.

speak with former President of the Repub-

The main service exports are the Canal, tourism, the Colon

lic of Panama Dr. Ardito Barletta, who is

Free Trade Zone, the container ports, banking services,

currently the President of Asesores Estra-

and a combination of maritime, logistics, legal and tele-

tegicos, S.A., Chairman of Panama De-

communication services. Construction growth has also

velopment Corp, and Director General of the NGO Centro

been significant, a percentage of which is exports (sales to

Nacional de Competitividad. His previous posts include

foreigners) and fruits exports.

Minister of Planning and Economic Policy, Administrator of the Interoceanic Region Authority, Chairman of the Panama

There is a dynamic cluster of services growing in the stra-

Banking Commission and Negotiator and economic

tegic geographic location around the canal. That cluster

aspects of the Panama Canal Treaties.

is similar to those areas developed in Singapore or Rotterdam. Its activities already have some international

What should the international investment community know about Panama?

relevance. 4.2% of world maritime trade goes through the canal. Container ports transshipped 4.6 million containers (Teu´s in 2008). The Free Trade Zone had a total turnover

Panama, with 3.4 million people, is an exports-led growth

of $19.0 billion the same year; both were the largest in

economy. During 2003-08 Panama GDP grew by over

Latin America. The Transithmian railroad, along the canal,

8% yearly and exports grew by 14% annually. Panama’s

moved 360,000 containers, bunker fuel sales to passing

21


ships was 3.3 million metric tons, one of the largest in the Hemisphere. Some 230 cruise ships with half a million passengers stopped in Panamanian ports. The merchant

How will Panama maintain its cultural identity and control while providing such an attractive base for foreign business?

marine registry (202 million tons) is by far the largest in the world. The international airport had 4.6 million passengers

Control is achieved by the application of the law of the land to

of which 1.6 million were transits. Air cargo was 86,000

locals and foreigners alike. The policies and the rules of the

tons. The regional banking center has 91 banks with 71 bil-

game, set by the Panamanian government are applied equally

lion dollars in assets. Eleven of the largest shipping compa-

to all. The training of Panamanians to fill executive, profes-

nies in the world have local offices doing logistics opera-

sional and labor jobs in those activities is an important compo-

tions. More than 26 legal offices provide international and

nent for international business done from Panama.

maritime services from Panama. More than 12 insurance companies do business from Panama. International com-

Panama’s cultural identity, ever since the Europeans’ discov-

munications with submarine optic fiber cables is growing

ery of the isthmus by Columbus and Bastidas and Balboa’s

fast. Canal and commercial tourism is a high percentage of

discovery of the Pacific Ocean via the canal, Panama’s pop-

total tourism. Multinational Corps, mostly from the USA, are

ulation has been a mixture of races and cultures. There is

locating regional offices in Panama. The number of offices

great tolerance for diversity. The cultural identity developed

for research, academic, and multilateral organizations is in-

alongside the use of the geographic location for international

creasing in the “City of Knowledge”. The number of foreign

activities, mostly transit. Panama is a small population with

residents in Panama is growing fast.

a national identity, located in a strategic geographic location – desired by the most powerful countries. It struggled over

The international connectivity of Panama by sea, air, land,

time to consolidate a National State that now runs the canal

telecommunications, banking, is among the best in the

to serve the world trade needs efficiently and peacefully and

Hemisphere. The lands bordering the canal are excellent

benefit the development of its people welcoming foreigners

locations for service, processing, manufacturing and logis-

to work along side with the Panamanians.

tics companies doing business in the Hemisphere.

What is the outlook for coastal development?

Please explain how Panama has become one of the region’s most politically stable countries.

The outlook for coastal tourism development is good in

Since 1990 Panama reestablished the full operation of

Panama. There are several beach areas of international

democratic institutions that had evolved and functioned

class. Places such as Bocas del Toro and San Blas in the

through most of its Republican history. The army was

Caribbean and the Pearl Islands, Pedasí, the Chame-Bue-

abolished and replaced by a police force. Five times since

na Ventura coastline and Veraguas, in front of Coiba island

then Governments have been elected freely and openly

(a sanctuary) have large unfolding potential for tourism and

as the democratic institutions gain in strength. The main

retirement communities.

political parties have alternated in government with the support of the electorate. The main political parties represent

What is the time line for coastal infrastructure development?

moderate, left and right of center politics with a capacity to achieve compromises over public policies. Policy continuity has been achieved for fundamental issues such as the

The Government five-year strategic plan has given high pri-

Canal, the cluster activities described above, the monetary

ority to develop coastal infrastructure on those areas cited

system, attracting foreign investment and basic freedoms.

above. Much of it is needed for unfolding projects.

Today there are no significant political parties representing extreme ideological positions.

22


How is the current administration doing?

vestment program and the budget. It has defined an ambitious public investment program to satisfy the needs for develop-

The current administration has an ambitious program to

ment of four strategic areas (logistics, tourism, agribusiness

improve and modernize services guided by a strategic five-

exports, banking and finance) and other areas such as location

year plan. It has taken strong actions to maintain solid pub-

of international business offices, telecommunications and social

lic finances, reducing the debt profile, increasing taxes and

development. In order to finance it and maintain within the pa-

enlarging the public investment program in infrastructure.

rameters of fiscal responsibility defined by law, the government

As a result of the performance of the previous government

has just passed new tax legislation concentrating on lowering

and the continuity of the present one Panama has achieved

income taxes, increasing consumption taxes, and increasing

investment grade by Fitch, just announced the past week.

coverage of taxes to sectors that have paid little taxes, for a net

The government is very keen in achieving the same recog-

increase of revenues of approximately 12% for 2010.

nition by the other outstanding risk grading companies. The Panamanian government is trying to address the main public concerns at present such as security, transportation, education, and employment. The focus of priorities is appropriate. The style of doing things has been questioned

Regarding the Kuna Indians: will the government continue to leave regional power with tribes (considering pressure from developers, etc.)?

in some quarters. The present government is classified as

Government will not be able to alter the agreements and

center-right with concerns for the well being of the very poor.

traditions of the Kuna Indians or manage the affairs of the San Blas islands they inhabit (an outstanding paradise)

There is an ongoing learning curve process for managing

The Indians will participate, as they have up until now, in

the public business.

whatever developments are made on the islands, as joint or solo ventures. In any case, such developments should

What is the forecast for Panamanian politics?

not alter the natural environment, which is what makes San

Although it could be bumpy in the treatment of some key

How have the actions of Chavez affected Panama?

issues for policy making, the stability of the main political

Blas such an outstandingly beautiful area.

parties is secured and that should provide stability. The public at large wants the democratic institutions to work.

There is no significant evidence showing any activity of the

The economic prospects of Panama are better than most.

Venezuelan government affecting local affairs. It is said that

With the expansion of the canal and other opportunities, a

they support some extremist labor unions, but they don’t have

lot will depend on the ability to provide basic services to the

much support or recognition with the public at large. There

population at large, both in urban and rural areas, that have

have been many Venezuelans of high professional and eco-

high expectations for their basic problems to be resolved

nomic level settling in Panama over the last two years.

and for their opportunities to improve.

How the is current administration’s fiscal policy? Will it provide for economic stability and AND growth? The current government is following the guidelines of the Fiscal responsibility law, which requires low fiscal deficits, lowering of the debt as percentage of GDP, a five-year strategic public in-

Offshore Haven: Mis-labeled, incorrect, myth? Is Panama trying to move away from such a classification, has it never been an offshore center, please define the Panamanian banking system and its benefits for foreign investors. Panama is not an offshore haven as such. The law of the

23


land applies equally to Panamanians and foreigners. There

It was absorbed through a reduction in exports, in Foreign

are no special concessions to foreigners that are not also

Direct Investment and a slow down in credit, although both

available to Panamanian citizens. Panama has a dollarized

credits and deposits continued increasing. The prospect is

monetary system with and open banking system, part of

4.1% growth in 2010, dependent on the strength of large

which does offshore business, and the banking system is

public investment (the canal expansion and other projects)

integrated to the international dollar market, providing the

and the gradual recovery of local and foreign investment.

immense stability the system has. Panama also defines its

Sectors such as canal activity, tourism and the Free Trade

taxes territorially, meaning that any Panamanian company,

Zone are already showing signs of recovery.

locally or foreign owned, does not pay taxes for business transactions done outside Panama. The banking law and the

The slow down was cushioned by the fact that service exports,

Banking Superintendency have won praise from abroad for

the main export, did not go down abruptly in volume or prices

the implementation of the Basilea agreements to improve

as did primary goods for other countries. Also the banking

safety and reduce banking risks. There is a requirement for

system maintained high liquidity through conservative banking,

the banks to “know their clients” and to be vigilant about their

not contaminated by toxic foreign assets, by strong supervision

use of international accounts. Panama is more rigorous than

and by the dollarized monetary system with full integration to

Miami in regards to opening international bank accounts.

the dollar markets. No incentives to deposits to flow out of the

Banking secrecy as such does not exist for any person or

country. The construction boom also slowed down gradually as

company that may have done something illegal in its country

many ongoing buildings would be finished once started.

of origin. Corporation Law, a copy of the Delaware corporation law, does allow anonymous stockholders, but the legal offices are also required to “know their clients” and to main-

What are sectors to watch in terms of investment?

tain a registry of who the stockholders are. Direct foreign investments in 2006 and 2008 were the highest The Panamanian banking system is made up by three types of

per capita of any Latin American country and 2007 was close.

banking: a general banking license permits banks to do local and offshore business, an international license only permits

The main sources of growth in Panama are the activities

banks to do offshore business and a representation license only

of the geographic location logistics and maritime cluster

allows just that, “representation” without doing business.

described above, tourism across the country, agricultural exports, especially fruits and meat, international banking, bio-

Only banks with a license given by the Superintendencia

energy forestry, mining, fisheries (both natural and cultivated)

de Bancos can do banking business in Panama or call

construction for foreign offices and residents, telecommunica-

itself a bank. The Superintedencia has a strong supervision

tions, energy (hydro generation). Those sources of growth

program based on strict regulations following the Basilea

have a long term potential and the canal expansion project

recommendations.

($5.2 billion over the next four years) will be a natural stimulus.

Panama is aggressively negotiating bilateral tax agree-

Is there any development of ‘green’ technology/ energy in Panama?

ments with the 12 main OECD countries to be taken off of the so-called gray lists. They should be finished this year.

Yes, there are initial moves in that direction. Reforesta-

How was Panama affected by the crisis and what is the recovery looking like?

tion projects with sustainable bio-energy generation have a good potential, alcohol production for energy is being explored, there are some eolic energy projects being ex-

The crisis slowed down growth from 9.2% in 2008 to 2% in

plored, bio-diesel from African palm projects has potential,

2009, still the highest growth of any Latin American country.

and some solar energy pilot projects have been successful.

24


Due Diligence in Panama

W

hen considering foreign investment in

registry and that taxes and fees are current thus ensuring it

Panama, or any other LatAm region,

is in good standing with the government. Additionally, many

it is essential to know whom your

of these legal and investigatory firms also have access to

dealing with. The term due diligence

databases for civil cases, which would show if someone is

is somewhat vague, however refers

suing, or being sued. This information may be useful for ex-

to the process of finding out as much as possible in regards

ample, if a background check is being done on a potential

to the person or corporation you are considering investing

employee and he or she has been found to be constantly

in. There are various private investigation and law firms

suing his or her employer, they may not be worth hiring -

available in Panama to help you to ascertain if the person

despite a stellar resume.

or corporation in question has any known history of fraud and what their reputation is in the market. Whether you are

In regards to the division of services, more investigations

purchasing land, starting a business venture or contacting

are conducted on people than on corporations. Thanks to

a bank you may be in the market for something more than

the internet, if you have a corporation in mind and know

just a background check. ALI investigates some tips on do-

a bit about how corporations are established in Panama,

ing your due diligence in Latin America.

all you would need to do is go to the public registry online and see how it’s set up, look for it on the internet, see if it

Due Diligence: Methods

has physical locations or if it’s just a paper company. Once this basic research has been done, many investors still feel

In the past if you wanted to work with someone in Panama,

hesitant to commit to a corporation, and this is why a lot

you would just go down to the local registry and pull up

of people will focus less on investigating the company and

their police record or “récord policivo”. At a certain point in

more on investigating the person or people behind it.

time this became linked with invasion of privacy as people felt that if someone committed a crime at age 18 and years

Due Diligence in Latin America

later they wanted to be involved in a new venture, that they should not be penalized for their previous actions. It is

With the US and Middle East claiming to be more transpar-

now illegal to get information on someone via local police

ent when it comes to the availability of information, and

enforcement. Fortunately, investigators have found ways

Latin America being infamous for withholding information,

around this roadblock. Some commonly used methods in

if follows that doing due diligence in Latin America is more

investigations aside from standard online and database

difficult which is what makes it a bit more costly. While, do

checks are to check newspaper archives - for example

to public registry, you can go online and pull up corporate

if someone is busted for drugs it will almost always be

documents, with a personal investigation this is not an op-

recorded in the local media. Another common practice is

tion. You have to actually go down to the registry and do a

neighborhood searches, getting in the community, asking

physical search and wait in line, which is both tedious and

around at local shops. If you are buying something involv-

time consuming.

ing title an investigation may help you to verify that the title is clear and free of stumbling blocks and that any taxes due

Working with a company designed to handle complicated

are paid current. A local investigator would be able to verify

investigations will save you both time and hassle. Outside

that a corporation or foundation is registered in the public

of Panama, most investigative companies have access to

25


databases, which allow them to put someone’s name in

may hire a maid from Nicaragua because she “seems like a

and one hit get a tributary number, a cedular number (coun-

great girl” – when things start disappearing they realize that

tries equivalent to an ID number) all previous addresses,

perhaps having invested a bit of money on some simple

a list of properties, and vehicles. In Panama, however, this

due diligence would have saved them thousands of dollars

system is not always an option. You have to go to “specific”

in stolen goods and non-rendered services.

departments of “certain” registries to pull up “particular” records – for example if you wanted to check and see if a

Foreign Due Diligence

person has a legitimate shipping license, which should be public information, the company you hire may have to go to

In regards to foreign due diligence, Europeans tend to pur-

the registry repeatedly to try to obtain proof of this license.

sue background investigations more frequently than Ameri-

Something that should take ten minutes could take a month

cans. If a foreign contact appears trustworthy, one must

of phone calls and visits. Welcome to Latin America. Which

also take into account their counterparts and involvements,

makes the need for hiring a third party to conduct your due

and the whole operation must be speculated under the

diligence all the more apparent .

bright light of an investigation. In security, the worst factor is the human factor. This unpredictability can lead to various

There are a few cases in which due diligence may appear

mishaps, and thus looking into someone’s background is

necessary but it is actually superfluous. If a person is physi-

essential when considering handing over your dollars to an

cally in Panama and they want to make certain investments

individual.

and they have actually seen the physical location and met with the partners involved then due diligence may not be

Investigative companies in Panama do not merely conduct

necessary. With that being said people investing in appar-

due diligence on entities based solely in the region, but

ently legitimate operations have found themselves faced

throughout all of Latin America. Many Colombians and

with strange laws, merely do to the fact that they didn’t

Venezuelans are currently coming into the country and it’s

know enough about the company – in these cases, doing

important to know who they are in their prospective coun-

due diligence and learning as much as possible about the

tries.

company, policies and local laws can be helpful.

Corporate Due Diligence There are a lot of people in Panama who have opened up businesses or investments, and there are horror stories of

For large-scale corporate investments the ideal time to do

people sending their money abroad only to find that they

due diligence is fairly early in the process. For example,

will never see a cent of it. Many of these situations could be

if a corporation has visited Panama and they want to buy

avoided with just a few simple phone calls.

produce for example, they should set up meetings and decide whom they might want to do business with. At that

Domestic Due Diligence

point they should begin the process of doing due diligence, furthermore they should alert the company that they are go-

Within panama due diligence is standard practice. It’s

ing to begin the process of investigating them and tell them

something that a lot of the larger international corpora-

that any information they can offer up front will be helpful in

tions are well aware that they need to do. The extent of the

the process. Within a months time the client can be certain

research typically correlates to the size of the company.

that the company they have chosen to do business with is a

Large corporations, i.e. those in the petroleum industry,

stable and trustworthy entity.

the major fruit companies, and the airlines - will go as far as employing polygraph tests on all of their employees.

Competition

Conversely, the average “Joe” millionaire wouldn’t think to run a background check when hiring a housekeeper. They

26

There are various Panamanian companies and individu-


als who conduct private investigations. Oftentimes these

sociations – one such organization is called the Council

businesses offer additional services such as security

of International Investigators. They hold a very high stan-

operations. There are companies, however, who are strictly

dard for their members and there are only a mere several

involved in the investigation aspect of due diligence and

hundred who are accepted into the council. Contacting this

focuses solely on that and not on surveillance operations.

organization may be helpful when seeking a company to manage your investigation.

Internationally there are several private investigative as-

27


Real Estate

Flipping is Dead

T

The Commercial Market is Robust and Growing

here is unanimous consensus in declaring

The commercial property market has weathered the global

that the market has fundamentally changed

financial meltdown better than the residential sector, prin-

as a result of the global financial crisis. The

cipally due to the resilience of Panama’s economy, and the

practice of ‘flipping’ properties – or buy-

drivers which have underpinned continued growth also serv-

ing and selling within a short time frame to

ing to support the commercial property market. Commercial

exploit rising prices and preconstruction discounts - is no

units are still being completed and absorbed at a stable rate

longer viable. The market is acutely aware that foreign

with a good majority of preconstruction buyers also commit-

investors are no longer able to raise capital against their

ted end users, whether that be to occupy or lease.

assets to fund these property investments and during the last two years, with demand disintegrating, the market has

Looking to the longer term, commercial property should of-

corrected 15% to 30% accordingly.

fer good potential for growth with the Panamanian economy developing to meet the increasingly sophisticated needs of

The impact of global financial conditions has been felt most

the aspirational growing middle classes and the expanding

acutely in the new build high rise condo sector. According

economy associated to the canal widening project.

to Nensi Wong Chan of the Two Oceans Fund, there is some evidence that the demand for older apartments (usu-

There is a dynamic cluster of services growing in the

ally bigger in size than new developments) has remained

strategic geographic location around the canal and whilst

more resilient. The market perceives that demand dynam-

comparisons have been made with Hong Kong in terms of

ics and the scope to add value through remodelling will

its status as a regional financial hub; ex President Nicolás

lend greater support to this sector over the longer term.

Ardito Barletta instead cites the examples set by Singapore or Rotterdam in his exclusive interview with Alternative

Investment Opportunities

Latin Investor.

Media speculators have signaled that now could be the

Coastline

time to buy property in Panama and as the credit markets repair themselves, prices at the top end of the market are

Indisputably Panama’s Caribbean and Pacific coastlines

bouncing back. Robert O’Neill, Consultant with Overseas

offer potential for development.

Assitance, believes that in some cases, the new constructions could be entering the market priced at a discount

Jaime Figaroa Navarro, CEO of Panama All in One who

of 15%-20% below 2006 prices, offering the potential for

was involved in the creation of the Martinelli coalition

significant growth over the next three to five years.

agreement plans to develop tourism industry in Panama.

28


Jaime explained that was significant investment in the

Trump Ocean Club extension, yacht clubs etc. What

transport network that was deemed the first requirement

remains to be tapped is a handful of islands and Isla del

of the administration to stimulate development of coastline

Rey which is by itself a little bigger than Aruba.

areas. The government has since started this process with the Caribbean highway that is to stretch from Colon at the

- Penenome

Caribbean coast to the Coast Rican border already under construction. In a project that is reminiscent of the intra

Farms around the Penenome area are proving popular

state highway programme developed by Eisenhower, the

with those interested in seclusion or sustainable living

Pacific highway will also to improve the Pacific route with

concept. The area is about 20 minutes from the major

connections between the two roads implemented at strate-

beach resorts on the Pacific side and land is well priced

gic points.

compared to many of the other growing cities (about $0.15 to $0.75 per square metre). About 15 minutes

With the programme to improve transport infrastructure un-

north of Penenome, is La Pintada, an interesting area for

der way, the government will turn its attention to the regional

investment with some of the best infrastructure in provin-

utilities networks, electricity and water to open up the devel-

cial Panama thanks to the Petequilla gold mining opera-

opment of the coastline for the tourism and property markets.

tions located there.

Areas to Watch

- Boquette

- Costa Arriba

The small town of Boquete is nestled in the green mountain highlands of Panama, in western-most Chiriquí

Costa Arriba in the Colon Province is clearly one of the

Province, about 60 kilometres from the border with Costa

best underdeveloped coastlines at the moment in Pan-

Rica, where the mountainous atmosphere, cool breeze

ama. Costa Arriba is spectacular for those who want to

and a relaxing way of life are a big draw. The interna-

be swimming in the Caribbean within an hour of leaving

tional community there is seeing an influx of foreigners

Panama City and includes the Maria Chiquita, Portobello

and the area was recently voted the third best location to

and Isla Grande areas.

retire.

- Isla Las Perlas

However there are reports of unscrupulous developers limiting the choice of building contractors within contract

The Isla Las Perlas archipelago has some of the biggest

small print. Generally these “preselected” contractors

untapped ocean property. The islands have some of the

can be 3 to 4 times more expensive than others of same

best beaches in the country and access to one of the

quality. Construction costs can be relatively modest in

most fertile game fishing waters in the world. We are

Panama with material and labour costs reasonable and

seeing a couple projects emerge on some of the smaller

competition between contracting firms to win business.

islands in the chain – Jack Nicolas Signature golf course,

29


Casco Viejo: Panama City’s Old Quarter mercantile trade) as well as the start of construction on the French Canal. The arrival of the French also heralded a change in the area’s architectural style, with the emergence of European style constructions inspired by the French. The 1960 and 1970’s saw the proliferation of private car ownership in Latin America and this movement devastated the Casco, with car owning families moving out of the zone and to suburbia. Following this exodus

P

of the affluent, development was neglected and by the end atricia Pinzon is the President and Co-

of the military dictatorship Casco had degenerated into a

Founder of Arco Properties, a commercial

notorious slum.

and residential real estate brokerage based in Casco Viejo. As Patricia explained to

Emerging from the Dark Period

us, whilst now celebrated as the charming

historic centre of Panama City, Casco Viejo has a more

UNESCO World Heritage Site designation in 1997 acknowl-

colourful past.

edged Casco Antiguo’s importance as the oldest European settlement on the Pacific Coast of the Americas. The Salón

A Notorious Slum

Bolivar was cited as being of outstanding historical importance as the venue for Simón Bolivar’s visionary attempt

The ‘Casco’ was originally founded in 1673 after Pirate

to create a Pan-American congress in 1826, more than a

Henry Morgan’s destruction of the settlement of Panama

century before such institutions became a reality.

Viejo. To protect settlers from future siege the new settlement, Casco Antiguo (also known as Casco Viejo, San Fe-

UNESCO designation changed the fortunes of Casco

lipe or more simply ‘Casco’) was built on a peninsula near

Viejo and ever since the area has undergone a continu-

to Panama City and fortified with a surrounding wall. During

ing transformation. After the initial wave of domestic and

the late 1800’s and early 1900’s the area thrived, with the

foreign investment, the area embarked on a process of

discovery of Gold Mines in California (and the subsequent

reinvention, spearheaded by vibrant community groups and

30


supported by the private sector as well as the government,

ciation in property prices, as well as a boosting of the tourist

who enacted laws to protect the area. The ongoing consid-

sector, when the hotels open their doors for business.

erate restoration of Casco’s breathtaking colonial buildings, cobbled streets and plazas brought about a resurgence in interest from foreign investors in the mid 2000’s with the

Key recommendations for investing in Casco Viejo

area now hosting the city’s best restaurants and bars. •

Upside potential

Strongly consider buying a property which has already been restored. Buying and restoring a listed building carries with it a range of onerous responsibilities.

As the only example of true urban regeneration in Panama, Casco Antiguo is already the second largest touristic desti-

nation in Panama City, second to the Panama Canal.

If you are considering a tower skyscraper apartment, then it’s likely that the bohemian, eclectic neighbourhood of Casco Viejo is not for you.

Patricia believes that central to Casco’s future ambitions and sustained prosperity is the continued development of the tour-

ism industry. One such example is the project launched in late

The neighbourhood has an active community so be prepared to get involved.

2008 by the World Bank and the Oficina del Casco Antiguo. By investing in the creation and promotion of cultural activi-

Infrastructure is improving, but this process is progress-

ties in partnership with local entrepreneurs, art schools and

ing on a block-by-block basis as restored properties are

artisans, it is hoped to develop the tourist trade further.

connected into the central grid. Despite the community’s efforts to forward their proposals for a new infrastructure

Despite the zone’s reinvention, ‘Casco Viejo’ still holds

network to service the whole area, it is important to con-

some stigma with Panamanians, although as Patricia

sider when key services will come online.

accounted there is strong interest, with a generation of Panamanians ‘rediscovering’ the barrio. However Patricia

Prices are likely to maintain their value. Casco Viejo is

believes that it is not domestic demand, but another factor

compact and there are a limited number of properties,

that will drive a further appreciation in real estate prices.

only 900 or so apartments in total.

One of the biggest changes in last five years has been the

Designation as a UNESCO World Heritage Site has trans-

start of construction on several hotel complexes. With it typi-

formed Casco Viejo into one of the most exciting areas

cally taking up to a year for construction projects to be granted

of Panama City. With the continued determination of the

approval, a number of the smaller developers have been

zone’s dedicated community to further improve infrastruc-

granted planning and started construction, which itself may

ture, to develop the tourist industry and to continue to hold

take a further two to three years. In all, there are currently two

the Government to account over its commitments; Patricia

large sites (60-100 rooms) and several small hotels (10-20

firmly believes that the real estate market represents an

rooms) under construction. Patricia expects a wave appre-

exciting investment and lifestyle opportunity for investors.

31


GSL Real Estate’s Navigating the Property Market Due to its good retirement benefits, nice climate, tax

(driving) from the airport in David (from Panama city - David

breaks, sustainable growth, and wonderful, affordable

is about 50 minutes in an aircraft and about $150 as a

health care – Panama has proven to be a hotspot for real

return ticket).

estate investment. Other mountain communities: Stuart Greatbanks, founder of GSL Real Estate offers his

El Valle - many shops and restaurants

advice for anyone looking to rent or buy in Panama:

Altos de Maria - gated community - 30 min drive to

a major supermarket

Cerro Azul - 30 minutes to Panama

1. Choose the area where you want to live – do you prefer the beach, the cool mountain air or the city life?

Bocas del Toro (Isla Colon)

2. Establish a budget.

Island located on the Caribbean side – close to the border

3. Think of the amenities that you consider essential –

with Costa Rica. Fantastic fishing, scuba diving and yacht-

do you need to be close to the airport? Hospitals?

ing due to calmer seas than on the Pacific side. There are

Shopping malls?

beautiful beaches some of which are only accessible by boat. Unfortunately it rains a little more there than it does

GSL meets with all of their clients individually in a question

in the city. Located a 10-hour drive or 75 minute flight from

and answer session to find out what the wants and needs are

Panama City.

and then they take a look at what is available. Most people looking to invest in Panamanian real estate visit the country

Pedasí

with an idea of what they are looking for and typically 40% of

The up and coming area for tourism – currently booming.

investors change their minds after seeing what’s available.

This area has some of the best world class fishing any-

Locations

where. The weather is dryer than the city and beaches are beautiful light brown sand. New airport under construction with daily flights planned for the near future.

Panama City Largest variation of social activities and nightlife.

Penonome This location is central in the country and approx. 1 hour

Boquete

45 minutes from Panama City. Lots of land available at

Quiet and preferable for older retirees looking for peace

very inexpensive prices, the area is in close proximity to

and tranquility. There is much more greenery and wildlife,

land earmarked for the new international airport. Appeals to

cooler more temperate climate. Boquete has been devel-

those who like the mountain greenery with lots of running

oped considerably over the past year. Located 30 minutes

water and waterfalls.

32


Renting in Panama

people are looking at retiring in 5-6 years but want to capitalize on the current buyers market. With this strategy, by

Some people prefer to rent short term to cover costs,

the time owners are ready to retire the house will be mostly

however the majority of the lease contracts managed by

paid off. GSL offers a full property management service.

GSL are long term, at least one year, and are to corporate clients who have staff here on a contract. GSL has an in

Some people prefer to keep their homes for their own use.

house lawyer who prepares all contracts for buying, selling

This decision will determine how they furnish their property.

and leasing. These contracts are fairly standard in Pana-

Someone who’s renting will furnish it more sparsely - like a

ma. Although it’s possible to rent everywhere in Panama

hotel room. GSL offers the service of furnishing apartments

- it’s actually cheaper out of the city than within the city.

in the city when it is for a rental. There are dozens of furni-

There are 5-6 new hotels that have just opened up rang-

ture stores to choose from now, many more than just a few

ing from cheap bed and breakfasts to luxury hotels both in

years ago, catering to all tastes and budgets

Bocas del Toro and Pedasí. 50 % of the people who buy at the beach visit their homes for a few months out of the

In Panama city an apartment that would suite any western-

year, depending on their schedule.

ized person coming would start at around $125,000 – for a standard two bedroom/two bath - 88-90 square meters, 950

Buying in Panama

square feet – that price can range up to several million dollars. And you can pay 2 million for a penthouse that’s 9,000

If you want an investment where you are going to see a

square feet in Punta Pacífica.

consistent return , buy an apartment in the city and rent it out full time. Renting an apartment in the city provides a

If you go out to Coronado you can get an apartment close

solid return on investment – typically around 7-8%. Some

to the golf course with mountain and ocean views from –

33


rently very cheap and has been selling to many Canadians. There is going to be a new international airport built six miles outside of the town in Agua Dulce (construction has already begun). The airport will make this area much more financially viable and provide jobs and stimulate the development of restaurants and activities. In this area, you can purchase 10-15 acres for $100,000 – one popular option is to split up the lots and sell them - ending up with a nice house and a profit. In terms of reselling or flipping property, people are bargain hunting right now as sales are way down compared to where they used to be. If you bought at the right price there is no problem selling. Within two years you should see a very good return on your investment. Another buying option is the developing communities cur$175,000 or a beach mansion for 3 and 4 million dollars.

rently under construction, i.e. Andromeda, Costa Pedasi, and Playa Blanca. These areas will surely double in value

Pedasí has less appeal than Coronado as it is a flight or

over the next few years. The communities are growing

a long drive from Panama City, you are looking at places

quickly and they are ideal for an investment or retirement.

ranging from $85,000 – 2 million dollars for some real

Playa Blanca is a cheap and cheerful option – they do rent

luxury villas close to the ocean with every amenity you

quite well because they are close to the hotel. A more solid

could imagine 4-5,000 square feet.

investment may be something a bit nicer and closer to better beaches – Andromeda would fall in that category. There

In Bocas del Toro what people tend to do is buy their own

will be ten houses completed in Andromeda by the end of

land and build their own rustic property – you’re looking at

the year. Also, Buena Ventura which is only about a mile

$300,000 if you want a house on the water. You can get a piece of land on the beach for as little as $40-50,000 The mountain regions can be estimated as followed: Boquete – average price $200,000 nice – 2,000 square feet El Valle – reasonable nice house from $200,000 Altos del Maria - $175,000 half an acre of grounds, gated community Cerro Azul - $175- $200,000 Penonome is new on the market and is really going to boom over the next few years. Land in this area is cur-

34

Pedasí Coastline


from Playa Blanca is a more exclusive resort – which has just built a new location there and there is a Jack Nicklaus golf course – it’s a gated community right on the beach and aimed at a more exclusive crowd. These communities will have a positive affect on Panamanian real estate in general. The more foreign investment comes in the better, as it will stimulate development in the surrounding areas. GSL recommends another current project in Bocas del Toro, Sunset Point. Buyers purchase a lot then build a house –properties are directly on the water and buyers can have a mooring on the back of their property to put their boats – an alluring feature to people in the boating community.

tion will reflect what you’re willing to pay for. There are talented and efficient builders who cost a bit more but build

Some Typical Roadblocks When Investing in Panama

to western standards and get the job done right.

Getting Money In and Out

In some Panamanian locations, you may have a right of possession problem and although you could start building

You don’t necessarily need a local bank account. However

it might be years before you actually own the title. Property

the process for getting one can be completed with two ref-

breaks down into ‘Title’ where the property is entirely yours,

erence letters from financial institutions that you deal with

and ‘Right of Possession’ which is similar to long-term lease.

now, and local references (from GSL) If it’s for a mortgage,

Bocas del Toro, for example, has been around a long time –

a credit check and bank account are also required.

the problem is that a lot of the land has rights of possession (ROP). There is a conversion program that was introduced

As far as getting money into the country, GSL has a ‘Cli-

in January but hasn’t been converted into the legal system

ent holding account’ for those clients who do not have an

yet. It’s a lengthy but not costly process. Like everything else

account here in Panama. This gives them added peace

in Latin America – these things take time. The silver lining

of mind that their funds are controlled and only paid to the

is Panama´s total transparency, nearly all records can be

seller at the right time.

viewed at the Public Registry on computer. The same rules apply to locals as they do to foreigners; there is no distinction

Mortgages/Financing is available from most of the large

when buying or selling property. At present the majority of

banks here, 30% down as a minimum and current interest

property sold by GSL is fully titled.

rates between 6.5% and 7.5%. This option is only available up to the age of 75 years and has a requirement for a life

Do your own due diligence – employ a lawyer. Since every-

insurance policy issued by a Panamanian Insurance Com-

thing is computerized and very transparent, it can be checked

pany for the duration of the contract.

out easily by an attorney who knows what to look for. Home owners/rental insurance depends on the value of the Many homeowners choose to buy property and then save

property and contents. Insurance ranges between $350

costs by hiring a cheap builder to construct their home. One

and $500 per year on average.

thing to note is that in Panama the quality of the construc-

35


36


Standard agency fees for selling are 5% real estate com-

proximity to Panama City. Coronado has everything you

mission, 2% Government Transfer Tax and 3% Sales Tax.

could wish for (other than a movie theatre) – including

Rental commission is equivalent to the first month of rent.

equestrian, golf, restaurants, galleries. Dealing with ser-

When buying there is a registration fee for the issue of the

vices i.e. – cable and Internet is fairly straightforward and

new Title Deed.

GSL has a team of people to help clients with all of the utilities and services. The average Internet (speed) for

The process legally for selling the property is very simple

the city and populated areas is 1mb with up to 5mb avail-

and straightforward. Funds can be taken out of the country

able. There are 150 cable channels available, including

immediately. There will always be scammers in every coun-

film channels in English with Spanish subtitles. Blackouts

try; it is necessary to work with experienced and licensed

are virtually non-existent in the city, however, in outlying

people to make sure that your investment is safe.

areas there can sometimes be power failures and water shortage, but in many of the mountain regions it is possi-

Services and Utilities

ble to dig your own well. Drinking water can be consumed straight from the tap in Panama City; in outlying areas it

The infrastructure of each town is based mainly on its

may require filtration.

GSL Founder: Stuart Greatbanks Seven years ago, 49 year-old Stuart Greatbanks visited Panama with his wife seeking a better climate, new opportunities in business, lower cost of living and less taxation. Panama fit the bill and they stayed. After living there for 7 months and not being quite sure what business sector to become involved in, Stuart was approached by one of the property developers who had become a good friend. He suggested that Stuart start a real estate business and attract foreigners looking to invest in the country. He put together a web site and started marketing his services to American and Canadian clients. Very soon Stuart was established and introduced himself to the other local developers. They all welcomed the clients that he was bringing to them, realizing that his level of service was above what they were offering, and the business grew from there. Later he began marketing to other areas including Europe and South America. Mr. Greatbanks then took things to the next level and employed his own attorney. GSL is now able to offer the full range of legal services from within the office, ranging from purchase and sale contracts, leasing contracts, immigration and setting up of corporations. Currently, GSL serves clients from all over the world and has a very good track record of customer satisfaction. They do not profess to be one of the largest companies in Real Estate, but they pride themselves on providing solid service and being honest and straightforward with all of their clients. As Mr. Greatbanks states “I have instilled in all of my staff that the most important thing is customer service. We now get as many clients through word of mouth recommendations as any other form of advertising. It is very rewarding to see people happy with their investment and the advice we have given them. We are very good listeners and pay attention to the needs of the client, not just forcing a sale upon them.” GSL is on the ground and in the know as far as property investment is concerned.

37


Panamanian Teak Investment The teak industry is still very small in Panama, but the

included a reforestation residency provision. Reforestation

potential is great, the government is stable and Panama is

companies began to promote and sell small plots of teak to

in a prime-growing zone. Timber is a slow, steady industry

foreign investors, who bought these properties primarily to

that, like its product, grows over time. Panama has a large

obtain Panamanian resident status. Programs promoting

quantity of underutilized agricultural land and great weather

sales of these teak plots were more focused on the refores-

for many types of agriculture and forestry. Grass will grow

tation residency visa than on teak as an investment option.

an inch a day during the wet season. So will teak trees.

But these visa “investment” programs were marketed heav-

The annual bio mass growth rates of the tropical regions

ily via the Internet and they certainly brought an awareness

are unmatched. Unfortunately, due to widespread misman-

of the possible benefits of investing in Panamanian teak to

agement and lack of agro-forestry education, Panama has

a worldwide audience.

not yet maximized its agro-forestry potential. Potentially fertile soil is often degraded due to poor agricultural practices.

Panama’s penetration in the global teak market has been

Panama is currently a net importer of agricultural products,

very limited as of 2010, but that will change. It is well situ-

when it could easily be a net exporter. The government has

ated for product distribution with the canal and its associ-

a number of incentives in place for the agro-forestry indus-

ated commodity export infrastructure already in place. This

tries and is trying to increase awareness of sound practices

all being said, Teak is an industry that takes 25 to 30 years

in rural areas. As the government improves agricultural

to start production and Panama started developing its plan-

education and makes it easier for new agro-forestry busi-

tation timber industry less than 20 years ago. It may well be

nesses to go into production, Panama can become a major

another 15 years before Panama’s plantations produce the

producer of timber and agricultural products.

quantity of market-ready teak necessary for it to become a force in the global teak market.

Large-scale planting of teak began when the Panamanian government instituted tax laws favorable to the teak

The global teak market involves China and India, whose

industry. These laws allowed a company to deduct all the

business cultures are significantly different from those of

expenses of starting a reforestation from its annual taxable

Latin American and Europe. The international teak business

income. In addition, all items for reforestation projects could

(growing, processing, buying, and selling) as any business

be imported duty free. A lot of the original teak plantations

is a real world mix of cultures that requires understand-

were started solely to take advantage of these tax incen-

ing and careful navigation. For example, Indian business

tives and were not well planned and managed from an

people buy a lot of the teak grown in Panama. According

investment point of view. Much of the teak planted during

to some sellers, one of their favorite strategies with small

this early period has little or no value currently, but these

plantation owners is to offer a price for the logs, which the

early efforts did lay the groundwork for the timber industry

owner accepts prior to harvest but when the trees are cut

in Panama. Due to the excellent returns available from

and stacked by the side of the road ready for pickup and

professionally managed operations, a number of European

the wet season is fast approaching the buyer reduces the

companies have established well-run and potentially very

agreed-upon purchase price by 50%. With no safe place to

profitable plantations. However, these businesses were

store the harvested trees during the wet season the small

historically not open to individual investors. The first individ-

plantation owner is now stuck and will probably sell his teak

ual investment programs for teak production were started

at half-price. This is just one of many techniques used by

when Panama instituted its resident visa program, which

international timber buyers to maximize their profits. An-

38


other example of cultural differences can be seen in China,

such as the Panama Teak Forestry have now made teak

for example, where oftentimes a contract may be meaning-

and timber investments in Panama more available to

less. Jeff Duda, president of Panama Teak Forestry, relays

the smaller private investors and high net worth individu-

one such example, ”while working with a friend...trust or a

als worldwide. This company was established by a small

contract had little to do with it”.“While working with a friend,

group of timber industry professionals from Canada and

who is Chinese, on a project for a Chinese company, I

the United States. Its goal is to provide maximum return to

asked how the contract was going to protect him the United

shareholders (both Panamanian residents and foreigners)

States”, I asked how the contract was going to protect him.

through successful investment in teak and agro-forestry.

He said, “I do not need a contract; when they send me the

Panama Teak Forestry is a teak investment company, not a

check that is the contract.” I said, “So you don’t trust them

teak promotion company; it is owned and run by the inves-

at all?” He just laughed and explained that the principles

tors with a focus on responsible teak investment programs

of this company would do what makes the most business

currently open to individuals. Furthermore, it was the first

sense, i.e. what would bring them the most profit. Trust (or

successful teak investment company open to individual

a contract) had little to do with it. This actually makes per-

investors and unrelated to the reforestation resident visa

fect sense on a certain level. The check in the bank is the

program. There are a few other Panamanian teak invest-

true commitment, not the signature on a contract. In Pan-

ment programs currently open to individuals, however most

ama, the timber investor in search of land for new planta-

are based on selling small plots of teak for two or three

tions gets a lesson – or rather a master class in cultural dif-

times their original cost with the profits going primarily to

ferences. Buying land at the right price requires patience, a

the promoters of the investment.

Vegas-ready poker face, and a good sense of humor. There is always another person with more money than you who is

For the uninitiated, the regulation and paperwork of

“this close” to buying every piece of land in Panama. The

Panama can make doing business in the region somewhat

asking price often has very little to do with the actual value

cumbersome and more expensive than is often originally

of the land or market price, or even the price that the seller

projected. Presently, there’s simply no substitute for expe-

will ultimately take. Furthermore, just because a piece of

rience in dealing with the government bureaucracy. While

property is said to be for sale does not mean that the owner

there are many incentives, there are also many hurdles

is actually willing to sell it; sometimes, he or she is just

that a business must overcome in order to be successful.

wondering what it might be worth and doesn’t want to pay

Examples abound. Suffice it to say that many of the incen-

for an appraisal. If the owner wants a new truck, the price

tives lose their value if the paperwork and regulations are

of the land may be based on what a Toyota Hilux is sell-

not handled efficiently and effectively by someone savvy

ing for in Panama City rather than the land’s actual value.

in regards to working with the bureaucracy. The present

Buying logs from a small plantation owner is often based

government is doing a lot to streamline the system and the

on the same set of parameters. Tomorrow’s price probably

agencies in charge. As competency grows on both sides of

will have more to do with what is going on in the seller’s life

the business/government equation, the incentives available

than it does with last week’s price.

will certainly encourage the industry to prosper.

Presently, there are both domestic and foreign entities

Timber has very diverse investor demographics and over

involved in the Panamanian teak industry. Large Panama-

time it has out-performed all other commodity investment

nian companies such as Empresas Bern and Super 99 own

classes. Teak is one of the best classes of timber invest-

teak plantations. Overall however, there is more long-term

ments, but is too small to attract the large institutional

investment money available outside of Panama than within

investors and multinational corporations. As a result small

Panama. Since teak is a long-term investment more foreign

companies and groups of individual investors dominate

than domestic investors are interested. Many companies

the field. Economies of scale certainly apply to the teak

39


industry, and it is a long-term investment. It is difficult for

the most useful investment comparisons consider what assets

individuals to invest directly in teak unless they can spend

you’re getting for your investment dollar rather than what your

about $1 million annually over 10 or 15 years.

dollar will be worth at some point in the future. To put it another way, determine how much of your investment is actually going

Foreign investment Opportunities:

into the company’s products and assets.

Timber is one of the safest and steadiest growth investments

Time line of Teak Investment:

available, protecting an investor in times of inflation and providing returns that have beaten almost every other investment sec-

Teak and timber are long-term investments. Buying shares

tor over the past 40 years. Teak is one of the best values with

of a timber company offers better liquidity, safety, and a

the highest yields in the timber sector. It is a small niche seg-

shorter ROI time frame than direct investment in a new

ment of the timber industry and is managed by smaller, privately

plantation. Because the company holds stands of trees of

owned companies rather than by big institutional operators.

various ages, the investor will see returns as soon as the

There are a number of ways to invest in teak with small very

oldest trees are harvested. Companies that own several

reputable timber companies. How you invest and with which

teak plantations with varied maturities should provide a

company can have a significant effect on your returns. The key

steady ROI over time. In contrast, a direct investor who

question you must ask is: “What assets am I buying with the

owns a few hectares of teak will realize just a few cash

funds that I invest?” As you research the returns and opportuni-

returns (during the thinning years and the harvest year)

ties in teak investments, you will find that companies use many

over the course of 20 to 25 years, with very limited liquid-

different ways to calculate return on investment. As you com-

ity. This type of investment is heavily marketed as the type

pare investments and predicted returns, be sure that you apply

of investment required to qualify for Panama’s reforesta-

the same standards to each investment opportunity. There are

tion visa program. Investing for the best ROI is better done

different ideas concerning what teak will be worth in 25 years,

through a company that focuses on teak investing rather

as well as many different predictions of how much teak will be

than residency visas.

available and what condition it will be in over time. Therefore,

40


Finished Products Versus Raw Materials:

product. Because there are no fine furniture manufacturers in Panama and because kiln-dried wood is not available,

There is a significant difference in the price paid for logs

most of the country’s locally crafted teak furniture comes

versus finished products. There are also many middlemen

from small roadside shops. Most of it is rather crude, prone

involved in selling a small quantity of teak logs, which signifi-

to split and warp. Panama Teak Forestry is currently build-

cantly reduces ROI on small-scale log sales. Properly mar-

ing a small kiln that will be used to produce kiln-dried teak

keted, mature trees are currently bringing about $500 dollars

lumber. This wood will probably be exported, since the

per cubic meter of wood measured using hoppus. Basically,

U.S. and European markets generally pay a higher price for

one 25-year-old tree will contain about 1 cubic meter of mar-

high-quality kiln-dried wood than the local market.

ketable wood. If you have a small plot, however, you can only expect to get about $300 per cubic meter, because you

A well-managed timber company should also consider

have to pay someone to find a buyer for the wood.

co-cropping as a revenue source. Properly executed, co-cropping adds near-term cash flow. Co-cropping can

At maturity, the average hectare of teak contains about 230

also add to the growth rate of the timber through the use

trees or 230 cubic meters of marketable logs. Processed

of symbiotic plant and animal relationships. For example,

lumber in Panama sells for about $1,500 per cubic meter;

planting nitrogen-fixing plants of some commercial value in

in the U.S. the same lumber sells for $3,500 to $4,000 per

the under story of the teak plantation enhances teak growth

cubic meter. There is a significant benefit to processing the

and provides an additional cash crop for the company. The

teak prior to sale rather than selling the logs. By building a

same may be said of cattle.

mill to process all its harvested logs, Panama Teak Forestry expects to increase ROI to its investors significantly.

Managing teak plantations with a whole land management perspective adds revenue streams and results in a more

This is another advantage of investing in a teak company over

sustainable industry. A well-managed forestry company, in

a direct investment in a small teak plantation. Shareholders

Panama or anywhere else in the world must do more than

own the mill and share in the profits from selling processed

grow high-quality timber. Company managers need to practice

lumber. The owner of a small teak plot, on the other hand,

sound land management and optimal harvesting and process-

has few options for processing and marketing harvested teak

ing of the product to maximize returns for their investors.

and is limited to the less profitable small-scale sale of logs. Of course, a company must do a thorough cost/benefit analysis

ALI would like to thank Jeff Duda for contributing his

to ensure its production warrants investment in a mill.

information and expertise regarding the teak industry in Panama.

Additional Avenues of Revenue: Jeff Duda is the president and a managing director of Teak is one of the most dimensionally stable woods avail-

Panama Teak Forestry. He is also involved in other asset

able commercially, which is one of the reasons it is so

class investments: Jeff is the founder of Maricuda Services,

popular with manufacturers of boats and outdoor furniture.

a private asset management company, and Panama Casa,

The marine industry requires a very high grade of mature

the leading property management company in Panama

teak. At this time, there are no significant amounts of

City. He has over 25 years of experience in the timber,

mature teak in Panama, so the marine market is one for the

investment, and real estate industries.

future rather than the present. Virtually all the teak coming out of Panama currently is from thinning younger trees and

(Disclaimer: The comments made regarding the business

is best suited for use in furniture.

practices of India and China are the sentiments of the interviewee and in no way reflect the opinion of Alternative Latin

Processing teak into furniture adds a lot of value to the

Investor)

41


Geisha Coffee: An Overview of Specialist Coffee Farming in Boquete Coffee has been widely traded as an agricultural investment commodity for decades and is often quoted as the second most valuable exported commodity on earth. Although coffee cultivation is subject to the unpredictability of seasonal climate conditions and other cyclical risks, production and consumption statistics remain robust, with 2009 consumption estimated at 132 million bags; this compared to 130 million bags in 2008. Since 1990 the annualised growth rate for consumption has been 2.26%.

Export in thousand bags

Total worldwide 0.07%

0.05%

Panama Panama as % of worldwide

21,000

34,000 49,369

2008 - 2009 42

44,650

2009 - 2010


Almost three quarters of worldwide commercial coffee cultivation is of the Arabica coffee bean, with the hardier Robusta variety (from the Canephora bean) also widely cultivated. The Robusta strain has less complex flavours, is more caffeine heavy and often used as alternative to Arabica in the production of commercial blends. By pure production metrics, Panama’s current contribution to global coffee trade is paltry. In 2009 the country exported 21,000 bags of coffee; accounting for 0.05% of global production and the country grows less than 10% of the volume of commercial green washed Arabica beans than neighbouring Costa Rica. However Panama’s status in the specialist coffee arena is internationally acknowledged.

Production in Thousand Bags

150 120 90 60 30 0

2006

2007

2008

2009

The Geisha coffee variety is lauded by coffee connoisseurs. Although originally grown in Ethiopia, Panama now supplies the bulk of Geisha coffee to the world’s coffee connoisseurs. The bean is farmed principally in the Western town of Boquete - the centre of the Geisha cultivation community. Farming of Geisha coffee was pioneered by the Petersen family who in 1996 bought an old coffee farm in the Jaramillo area above the Western town of Boquete. The cup known as ‘Esmeralda Special’ was grown in a small valley at the high end of the farm and its sweet jasmine flavours have gone on to win a host of prestigious awards including 1st Place Specialty Coffee Association of America Roasters Guild Cupping Pavilion for an unprecedented three consecutive years.

A Taste of Geisha The Geisha has a distinct Ethiopian character. It is prized for its jasmine and lemony floral notes. The coffee is incredibly aromatic and the flavours are described as somewhere between lemon grass and sweet jasmine (with a little citrus).

43


Unsurprisingly since the Petersen’s success, Boquete has seen an explosion of interest in local commercial farming of the bean, with the investment and export potential for cultivation projects palpable. In May 2007, the Esmeralda Special sold for an unprecedented $130 a pound at online auction, breaking the previous coffee auction record of $50.25 a pound, also held by the Esmeralda Special3. Incidentally, at the March 2009 auctions the highest bid recorded for Esmeralda Special was $117.50. •

1st Place Specialty Coffee Association of America Roasters Guild Cupping Pavilion (2007, 2006, 2005)

2nd Place Coffee of The Year (2009, 2008)

1st Place “Best of Panama” (2009, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004)

1st Place Rainforest Alliance Cupping for Quality (2009, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2004)

Source: La Hacienda Esmeralda However from the investor’s perspective, the business of Geisha cultivation is far from straightforward. Alternative Latin Investor spoke to Stephen Kaczor who provided local insight into cultivation of the Geisha bean. Steven charted the Geisha bean’s journey from Africa to Central America for us. The bean was first imported into Costa Rica, where it did not catch on with local growers. Following government initiatives, the variety was promoted to Panamanian farms. However this again didn’t catch favour with the farmers who were notoriously sceptical of government ‘suggestions’. And so it was the Petersen’s who became Geisha’s pioneers. The Geisha Bean’s Journey from Ethiopia to Boquete Ethiopia (1931)

According to Blore cited by Miller 1931 (also a mission report by the British Council in 1936).

Kenya (1931-32)

Seeds were exported to Kitale Center, Kenya under both names of Abyssinian and Geisha.

Uganda & Tanzania (1936)

Progenies were planted in Kawanda station, Uganda in 1936 and in Lyamungu station, Tanzania (according to Millor). The “Geisha” of CATIE, Costa Rica has been introduced at different times from differ-

Costa Rica (1953)

ent countries. The first introduction (under the accession T02722) was in July 1953 as a progeny of the tree (VC496) from Lyamungu (according to CATIE database).

Panama

(unknown)

The outstanding Geisha cup from the Hacienda Esmeralda estate was the product of years of considerate and dedicated cultivation. After the Petersen’s purchase of the farm, the family increased plantings (reconverting a dairy) and ‘overhauled’ the farm. As Kaczor explained, the Geisha varietal is extremely sensitive to micro climate and soil conditions; the crop takes longer to produce than other strains (it takes four years and the normal is three years) and the yield is much lower than other coffees. Anecdotal support for the growth of the specialist and rare coffee market is growing with an expansion in the number of retailers of specialist coffees and increasing consumer demand for specialist beans and green varieties. Stephen cited www.gourmetcoffee.com as an example of one such specialist independent online retailer (North America based) who has reported strong demand from consumers and experienced rapid growth.

44


However trustworthy statistics supporting a broader trend of increasing (boutique coffee) consumption are scant and those available often based on small and unreliable customer surveys. Panama holds a significant role in the history of global coffee trade, with the opening of the Panama Canal in 1914 permitting exports from the previously unreachable Pacific Coast of Colombia. This transformed the importance of the Colombian port town of Buenaventura and heralded the subsequent popularity of Colombian coffee with European and North American consumers. In the coming decade will we see if Panama can stake its name again in coffee history. Following the success of the Esmeralda Special, the Boquete region is synonymous with the prestige Geisha cup and the bean was planted widely in the area as a direct result of the accomplishments of the Esmeralda Special. More recently a number of other estates have been achieving notable successes which leads us to believe that there could be further commercial potential for specialist coffee cultivation in the region. In the coming years, Geisha plantations sowed in the wake of the Petersen’s success will be preparing to cup and only then will the true value of these investments be determined. Boquete provides all the ingredients in terms of altitude, micro climate and soil conditions required to cultivate the sensitive Geisha bean although the financial and emotional investment required to farm the variety successfully, even after taking into account the four year lead in, is substantial and was also said by some we interviewed to be a lifestyle, rather than financial choice. However further successes can only add support to Boquete’s claims to have reinvented itself as the boutique coffee capital of Panama and under these conditions, the commercial potential could likely be significant, providing prices can maintain their ‘boutique’ premium and connoisseurs their thirst for the distinctive Geisha.

Stop Press: Another Geisha World Record Hacienda La Esmeralda’s Geisha has again broken world coffee sales records. On 25 May 2010 the varietal sold for $170.20 a pound in the Best of Panama online auction when 400 pounds of the Esmeralda Special were purchased for $68,080 by Japanese bidder Saza Coffee. Second place at the auction was taken by another Geisha varietal, the Panacoffee Special Geisha, which sold at $26.20 a pound. The online auction lasted two hours, with lots of Panama’s best coffee varieties offered to buyers from for Japan, Korea, Switzerland and the United States. A total of $148,190 was raised, at an average price per pound of $12.45.

45


ALI: Business Business DirectoryDirectory rentals completely furnished. Specially designed to satisfy your needs; whether you are initiating a business, expanding your operations to new markets or developing a short, medium or long term project www.oceanbusinesscenter.com (507) 340-0200 / jabernathy@oceanbusinesscenter.com Executive Car Service is focused on providing quality transportation services throughout Panama. Whether it be mobilization to Executives, VIP clients or visitors coming to Panamรก / www.ecspanama.com / (507) 393-7924/25 / reservaciones@ecspanama.com We are a full service real estate brokerage specialized in Casco Antiguo, a colonial UNESCO World Heritage Site, in Panama. We seek to attract residents who share our passion to see Casco Antiguo realize its potential to become a beautiful, economically vibrant and socially diverse part of Panama / www.ArcoProperties.com /(507) 211-2548 patrizia@arcoproperties.com We are the business unit from Grupo Semusa Corp., dedicated to provide support to the relocation projects of we were awarded with prestigious prizes for our commitment to excellence worldwide www.gsrelocationpanama.com / (507) 322-5076 / info@gsrelocationpanama.com

Metropolitan's elegant and professionally decorated vignettes showcase the beauty of the renowned European www.metropolitanfurniture.com.pa / 507 2631380 / metropolitan@cwpanama.net Founded in 2007 to develop and promote residential, comercial and industrial real estate in Panama. A Family owned business created to consolidate over 40 years of development history and 3 million sq ft of Construction www.dreamproperties.com.pa / (507) 302-0797 / dream@dreamproperties.com.pa Q Wealth is a research service for entrepreneurs seeking to protect freedom, wealth and privacy. Learn how to ship programs. Q Wealth regularly covers Panama and also other attractive investment and living havens. Visit

Our focus as Panama-based destination experts is creating unforgettable adventures in Latin America. We can provide guides or self-guided itineraries. We relieve you of the pressure to pick the perfect destination, creating journeys tailor-made to suit your unique interests / www.ChangesInLatitude.org

- (507)-209-3600 / dbtesh@pacificpointpanama.com tions, Private Interest Foundations, Business Licenses, Title Searches, Escrow Services, Real Property Development, Purchase Contracts, Visas, and more / argon@argonlaw.com / (507) 264-4456 / 264-9076 High Yield Teak Investments - Long-term capital growth in safe ecologically sound investment that grows every year. A timber investment company built by investors for investors, producing sustainable forest products using environmentally friendly methods and co-cropping to maximize the overall return on investment www.PanamaTeakForestry.com / US (702) 505 4494 / (507) 6581-4520 From a championship golf course to a beach club and gourmet restaurant to a planned resort and spa, you will www.vistamarresort.com /(507)-832-0577 / realestate@vistamarresort.com

contracts, immigration and setting up of corporations. Currently, GSL serves clients internationally. They pride themselves on providing solid service and being honest and straightforward with all of their clients www.gslre.com / (507) 263-2243 / stu@gslre.com


Sources Econonic Overview Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean International Monetary Fund (IMF) Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development Indesa The World Bank Nationmaster Standard and Poor’s Fitch Ratings Moody’s AM Best Full Dollarization: The Case of Panama by Goldfajn and Olivares Full Dollarization: The Pros and Cons Andrew Berg Eduardo Borensztein, International Monetary Fund

Doing Business The Heritage Foundation Latin Business Chronicle International Financial Corporation (World Bank Group)

Real Estate Nensi Wong Chan is House Counsel and Panama Manager for The Two Oceans Fund which invests in Panamanian real estate. Nensi is an attorney specializing in Real Estate Law, Panamanian Legal Structures, General Practice and Legal Counselling and was also an advisor to the General Director for International Economic Relations of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Panama, participating in the preliminary negotiations for an Association Agreement between the European Union and Central America, which includes a free trade agreement. Jose Goldner is Managing Director of Briggs Capital Real Estate and the owner of several successful businesses, including the largest investment portal in Panama, a fishing charter business and a real estate company. He is a regular consultant to the Panamanian Government. Jaime Figaroa Navarro is Managing Director and CEO of Panama All in One as well as Vice Chairman of the Tourism Committee at the American Chamber of Commerce, a member of the Panama Canada Chamber of Commerce and the prestigious Union Club in Panama City. Robert O’Neill is an International Consultant at Overseas Assistance.

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