November 2022 Florida Amber Integrated Survey

Page 1

TOPLINES

This survey was conducted from November 1 - 2, 2022 and included a pool of 600 likely voters in Florida. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, race, and level of education based on Amber Integrated’s proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

ON NOVEMBER 8TH, THERE WILL BE A GENERAL ELECTION FOR U.S. SENATE IN FLORIDA. IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY WHICH OF THESE CANDIDATES WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? [ROTATE]: MARCO RUBIO THE REPUBLICAN, VAL DEMINGS THE DEMOCRAT, OR DENNIS MISGOY THE LIBERTARIAN. MARCO RUBIO

49%

VAL DEMINGS

40%

DENNIS MISGOY

3%

UNDECIDED

7%

MARCO RUBIO REPUBLICAN

49% 40% VAL DEMINGS DEMOCRAT

ON NOVEMBER 8TH, THERE WILL BE A GENERAL ELECTION FOR GOVERNOR OF FLORIDA. IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY WHICH OF THESE CANDIDATES WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? [ROTATE]: RON DESANTIS THE REPUBLICAN, CHARLIE CRIST THE DEMOCRAT, OR HECTOR ROOS THE LIBERTARIAN. RON DESANTIS

53%

CHARLIE CRIST

40%

HECTOR ROOS

3%

UNDECIDED

4%

RON DESANTIS REPUBLICAN

53% 40% CHARLIE CRIST DEMOCRAT

*Not all numbers may perfectly total 100% due to rounding and weighting.


Graduate degree

4 year college degree

Some college but did not finish

Completed high school or less

Other

White

Hispanic or Latino

Black

65+

55-64

45-54

35-44

18-34

Male

Female

Other

Democrat

Republican

Total

This survey was conducted from November 1 - 2, 2022 and included a pool of 600 likely voters in Florida. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, race, and level of education based on Amber Integrated's proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

How likely are you to vote - or have you already voted - in the November 8th General election for Governor and Senate out of the following options? Sample Size

600

238

227

136

131

132

52

330

270

178

138

86

77

91

121

225

29

21

35

58

173

82

347

58

190

112

59

194

129

180

97

51

17

120

70

74

51

46% 29%

62%

55%

41%

53%

Already voted Count

316

Column % 53%

55% 58% 38%

54% 51%

34% 27% 38% 48% 77%

70% 55%

Definitely voting Count

227

Column % 38%

93

77

57

39% 34% 42%

128

99

39% 37%

31

48

49

59

40

36% 62% 54% 49% 18%

20

136

24% 39%

19

48

47

91

41

47% 32%

52

25%

36%

50%

42%

Probably voting Count

45

10

Column %

8%

4%

11

25

5% 18%

26

21

2

7

4

12

2

17

6% 10%

19

24%

3%

8%

3%

5%

2%

5%

18

21

10

12

2

8% 30%

9

11%

8%

7%

2%

Probably not voting Count

12

3

7

2

6

6

5

6

0

0

1

2

4

0

5

4

2

3

3

Column %

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

6%

8%

0%

0%

0%

3%

1%

0%

9%

2%

1%

2%

3%


Graduate degree

4 year college degree

Some college but did not finish

Completed high school or less

Other

White

Hispanic or Latino

Black

65+

55-64

45-54

35-44

18-34

Male

Female

Other

Democrat

Total

Republican

This survey was conducted from November 1 - 2, 2022 and included a pool of 600 likely voters in Florida. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, race, and level of education based on Amber Integrated's proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

How excited are you to vote in the general election on November 8th on a scale of 1 to 10 with 1 being not excited at all and probably won't vote and 10 being extremely excited and absolutely plan to vote. Sample Size

600

238

227

136

330

270

86

77

91

121

225

82

347

112

59

194

129

180

97

0

8

4

1

5

4

0% 14%

2%

1%

3%

4%

1, Not excited at all and probably won't vote Count

14

1

10

3

7

7

3

6

3

0

2

2

4

Column %

2%

1%

4%

2%

2%

3%

4%

7%

3%

0%

1%

3%

1%

2 Count

5

0

4

1

5

1

1

0

3

0

1

3

3

0

0

0

1

1

4

Column %

1%

0%

2%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

3%

0%

0%

3%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

4%

3 Count

6

0

1

5

2

4

0

0

1

1

4

0

6

0

0

3

2

0

1

Column %

1%

0%

1%

4%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

2%

0%

1%

4 Count

6

3

3

1

2

4

4

0

0

1

1

0

4

0

3

0

4

2

0

Column %

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

5%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

5%

0%

3%

1%

0%

10

26

21

22

12

3

14

6

8

6

21

8

8

17

7

7

12

5% 19%

6%

8%

13%

4% 15%

5%

4%

7%

6%

8% 14%

9%

6%

4%

12%

5 Count

43

7

Column %

7%

3%

6 Count

13

5

4

5

2

12

3

3

4

1

2

0

7

2

5

2

2

7

2

Column %

2%

2%

2%

3%

1%

4%

4%

4%

4%

1%

1%

0%

2%

2%

8%

1%

1%

4%

2%

3

8

10

4

8

5

3% 14%

5%

3%

5%

5%

7 Count

27

5

15

7

13

14

11

5

3

1

6

0

15

Column %

4%

2%

6%

5%

4%

5%

13%

7%

3%

1%

3%

0%

4%

12

24

19

32

22

5

7

12

3

27

13

27

10

5

17

8

25

5

5% 10% 14%

10%

8%

6%

2% 12%

16%

8%

9%

8%

9%

6%

14%

5%

8 Count

54

Column %

9%

9% 14%

9 Count

36

11

13

13

24

12

Column %

6%

4%

6%

9%

7%

4%

190

141

57

220

168

9

1

11

8

8

13

14

1

9

5

18

4

8% 11%

7

1%

9%

4%

9%

4%

13%

2%

5%

4%

10%

4%

50

97

161

49

243

74

21

128

94

107

60

66% 36%

66%

73%

59%

61%

10, Extremely excited and absolutely plan to vote Count

388

Column % 65%

80% 62% 42%

67% 62%

38

43

44% 55% 55% 81% 71%

60% 70%

Refused Count

6

4

2

0

2

4

1

0

0

0

4

1

5

0

0

3

0

1

2

Column %

1%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

2%

2%

1%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

Page 2 of 5


Graduate degree

4 year college degree

Some college but did not finish

Completed high school or less

Other

White

Hispanic or Latino

Black

65+

55-64

45-54

35-44

18-34

Male

Female

Other

Democrat

Total

Republican

This survey was conducted from November 1 - 2, 2022 and included a pool of 600 likely voters in Florida. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, race, and level of education based on Amber Integrated's proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

On November 8th, there will be a general election for U.S. Senate in Florida. If the election were held today which of these candidates would you vote for? Marco Rubio the Republican, Val Demings the Democrat, or Dennis Misigoy the Libertarian. Sample Size

600

238

227

136

17

56

330

270

137

150

86

77

91

121

225

33

32

56

63

103

82

347

6

203

112

59

194

129

180

97

65

12

93

65

94

35

59% 21%

48%

50%

52%

36%

Marco Rubio, the Republican Count

287

214

Column % 48%

90%

8% 41%

41% 56%

38% 41% 61% 53% 46%

7% 59%

Val Demings, the Democrat Count

234

Column % 39%

13

191

30

6% 84% 22%

150

85

45% 31%

26

23

24

51

110

31% 30% 27% 42% 49%

74

121

90% 35%

14

72

57

56

49

23% 24%

25

37%

44%

31%

51%

Dennis Misigoy, the Libertarian Count

17

1

Column %

3%

0%

16

5

12

9

2

1

4

1

0

4

0% 12%

0

2%

4%

11%

3%

1%

3%

0%

0%

1%

12

7

0

8

1

1% 21%

1

4%

0%

5%

1%

Other Count

5

0

4

1

1

4

1

4

0

0

0

0

1

0

4

4

1

0

0

Column %

1%

0%

2%

1%

0%

2%

1%

5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

7%

2%

1%

0%

0%

LEAN Rubio Count

7

2

1

4

6

1

4

2

0

1

1

1

4

2

0

0

1

3

2

Column %

1%

1%

0%

3%

2%

0%

4%

2%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

2%

2%

LEAN Demings Count

3

0

1

2

1

2

1

0

0

0

2

0

2

0

2

0

0

3

1

Column %

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

1%

1%

LEAN Misigoy Count

2

0

0

2

0

2

2

0

0

0

0

0

1

2

0

0

0

2

0

Column %

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

1%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

LEAN Other Count

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Column %

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

13

25

31

13

11

14

10

2

8

1

13

16

15

17

5

14

9

6% 18%

9%

5%

12% 18% 11%

1%

4%

1%

4%

14% 25%

9%

4%

8%

9%

143

151

64

104

7

207

Undecided Count

44

7

Column %

7%

3%

NET Rubio Count

294

216

Column % 49%

91%

18

60

8% 44%

43% 56%

36

33

56

42% 43% 61% 53% 46%

9% 60%

12

93

66

97

37

61% 21%

68

48%

51%

54%

38%

NET Demings Count

238

Column % 40%

13

192

32

6% 85% 24%

151

87

46% 32%

27

24

24

51

112

32% 30% 27% 42% 50%

74

123

90% 35%

16

72

57

59

50

23% 26%

25

37%

44%

33%

52%

NET Misigoy Count

19

1

Column %

3%

0%

18

5

14

11

2

1

4

1

0

4

0% 13%

0

2%

5%

13%

3%

1%

3%

0%

0%

1%

Page 3 of 5

12

7

0

10

1

2% 21%

3

4%

0%

6%

1%


Graduate degree

4 year college degree

Some college but did not finish

Completed high school or less

Other

White

Hispanic or Latino

Black

65+

55-64

45-54

35-44

18-34

Male

Female

Other

Democrat

Total

Republican

This survey was conducted from November 1 - 2, 2022 and included a pool of 600 likely voters in Florida. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, race, and level of education based on Amber Integrated's proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

On November 8th, there will be a general election for Governor of Florida. If the election were held today which of these candidates would you vote for? Ron DeSantis the Republican, Charlie Crist the Democrat, or Hector Roos the Libertarian. Sample Size

600

238

227

136

221

28

70

330

270

160

159

86

77

91

121

225

38

46

63

66

106

82

347

7

215

112

59

194

129

180

97

81

16

99

69

107

44

73% 27%

51%

54%

59%

45%

Ron DeSantis, the Republican Count

319

Column % 53%

93% 12% 52%

49% 59%

44% 59% 69% 55% 47%

9% 62%

Charlie Crist, the Democrat Count

236

Column % 39%

14

187

34

6% 82% 25%

152

83

46% 31%

33

21

21

48

112

38% 27% 23% 40% 50%

72

121

87% 35%

20

80

56

53

47

21% 33%

23

41%

43%

29%

48%

Hector Roos, the Libertarian Count

15

0

Column %

2%

0%

13

4

10

12

0

0

3

0

0

2

0% 10%

1

1%

4%

14%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

0%

11

7

0

6

1

1% 19%

2

4%

0%

3%

1%

Other Count

4

0

4

0

0

4

0

4

0

0

0

0

0

0

4

4

0

0

0

Column %

1%

0%

2%

0%

0%

2%

0%

5%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

7%

2%

0%

0%

0%

LEAN DeSantis Count

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Column %

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

LEAN Crist Count

3

0

2

1

2

1

0

2

0

0

0

0

0

2

0

0

1

1

0

Column %

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

LEAN Roos Count

1

0

0

1

1

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

1

0

0

Column %

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

LEAN Other Count

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Column %

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

5

16

11

12

3

4

7

3

6

3

8

3

8

3

2

13

5

2% 12%

3%

5%

3%

5%

7%

3%

3%

4%

2%

3% 14%

2%

1%

7%

5%

160

159

38

46

63

66

106

7

215

Undecided Count

23

2

Column %

4%

1%

NET DeSantis Count

320

Column % 53%

221

28

70

93% 12% 52%

49% 59%

44% 60% 69% 55% 47%

9% 62%

16

99

69

107

44

73% 27%

81

51%

54%

60%

45%

NET Crist Count

238

Column % 40%

14

188

35

6% 83% 26%

154

85

47% 31%

33

23

21

48

113

38% 30% 23% 40% 50%

72

121

87% 35%

20

80

57

54

47

23% 33%

26

41%

44%

30%

49%

NET Roos Count

15

0

Column %

3%

0%

14

5

10

13

0

0

3

0

0

2

0% 10%

1

2%

4%

14%

0%

0%

2%

0%

0%

1%

Page 4 of 5

11

7

1

6

1

1% 19%

2

4%

1%

3%

1%


Graduate degree

4 year college degree

Some college but did not finish

Completed high school or less

Other

White

Hispanic or Latino

Black

65+

55-64

45-54

35-44

18-34

Male

Female

Other

Democrat

Total

Republican

This survey was conducted from November 1 - 2, 2022 and included a pool of 600 likely voters in Florida. These survey results were weighted based on party affiliation, age, gender, race, and level of education based on Amber Integrated's proprietary 2022 voter turnout modeling. This survey has a margin of error of 4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is important to remember that subsets based on party affiliation, gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. The poll surveyed both cell phones and landlines and used a combination of live callers and an online sample of likely voters.

How would you describe the current state of the American economy? Sample Size

600

238

227

136

330

270

86

77

91

121

225

82

347

112

59

194

129

180

97

Great Count

14

2

10

1

4

10

0

4

2

1

6

4

5

0

6

4

2

5

2

Column %

2%

1%

5%

1%

1%

4%

0%

6%

3%

1%

2%

4%

1%

0%

9%

2%

2%

3%

2%

9

45

12

43

23

3

4

2

10

47

12

48

5

1

30

13

15

8

4% 20%

9%

13%

8%

4%

5%

2%

15% 14%

4%

2%

15%

10%

9%

8%

113

51

20

17

29

20

15

36

34

53

41

18% 26%

19%

26%

30%

42%

Good Count

66

Column % 11%

8% 21%

Fair Count

164

Column % 27%

31

98

35

13% 43% 26%

34% 19%

35

64

23% 22% 32% 29% 28%

41

87

50% 25%

Poor Count

348

Column % 58%

195

66

87

82% 29% 64%

165

183

50% 68%

59

52

54

76

107

68% 68% 60% 63% 48%

21

203

26% 59%

37

121

79

106

42

78% 62%

87

63%

61%

59%

44%

Don't know/unsure Count

8

1

7

0

5

4

4

0

3

0

1

4

4

0

0

2

1

1

4

Column %

1%

0%

3%

0%

1%

1%

5%

0%

3%

0%

1%

5%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0%

4%

Page 5 of 5


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