ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013

Page 1

Key points  

We agree that true productivity growth is in the

Labour productivity growth in 2012-13 was the

interests of workers, as it provides the basis for

strongest in a decade.

sustainable increases in average material living

Australian workers generate an average of $US53

standards. By ‘true’ productivity growth, we mean

per hour they work, much higher than the OECD

growth

average of $US46 per hour.

innovation and an improved and expanded capital

In 2012 and over the past five years, Australian

stock, not through an increase in working hours

labour productivity has grown faster than

(measured or unmeasured), which is not productivity

productivity in any G7 country, including the

growth at all. We have also consistently argued that

United States. Australia’s growth has been more

industrial relations legislation is not a primary driver

than twice the OECD average.

of productivity – instead, investment in skills and

Multifactor productivity has been stagnant,

infrastructure, as well as management quality and

though this has been the case for around a

innovation, are the key factors.

that

comes

about

through

technical

decade. 

Other commodity-exporting OECD countries have

Productivity growth reached a low point during Work

also experienced falls in multifactor productivity,

Choices and has recovered since. We don’t claim that

suggesting that the increase in the capital stock

the poor productivity performance of the mid-2000s

driven by the resources boom is the culprit.

was caused by IR changes, nor that the subsequent

After a few years of hysterical headlines, productivity

improvement is due to the repeal of Work Choices.

seems to have fallen off the front pages. That may be

Rather, we say there are far bigger economic forces

because Australia’s productivity performance of late

at work affecting the rate of productivity growth, like

has been quite strong. This edition of the ACTU

the mining boom, the investment in electricity

Economic Bulletin takes a look at Australia’s

generation capacity, and droughts. On this point, our

productivity growth in recent years, including a

view is shared by many economists.

comparison of Australia with other advanced economies. Most of the Bulletin focuses on labour

Those business groups and media outlets making the

productivity, which is GDP per hour worked, but

case that changes in IR laws explain changes in

some consideration is also given to other measures.

productivity growth have never accounted for the fact that the timing is all wrong. The rate of growth in

Before taking a look at the data, it’s worth recapping

both labour and multi-factor productivity slowed

the ACTU’s position regarding productivity growth.

around the turn of the century. Work Choices didn’t

ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 1


appear to help – the worst MFP growth was in 2008-

growth. Instead, these labels are included to refute

09, when those laws were in place, and that period

the proposition, less often put in recent months, that

also saw the lowest two-year labour productivity

productivity has grown especially slowly during the

growth in a decade. Fair Work hasn’t hurt, with all

Fair Work Act’s operation. 2010-11 saw a fall in

measures of productivity growth improving in recent

labour productivity, largely due to the natural

years. Of course, it’s theoretically possible that

disasters in Australia and our trading partners (Japan

growth would have been even weaker in the absence

and New Zealand) in early 2011 that temporarily

of Work Choices, and would have been even stronger

reduced economic output. Other than that, growth

without Fair Work. But that case has not been made.

has been strong for the past few years. Figure 1: Labour productivity growth

Instead, weak productivity results have been advanced as prima facie evidence that legislative change is required. We’ve consistently argued that

Per cent 5%

Work Choices

4%

Fair Work Act

the ‘productivity debate’ has been a shallow sideshow, a (temporarily) convenient rationale for the campaign against the Fair Work laws. This has

3% 2%

served as an unfortunate distraction from the real productivity agenda, relating particularly to skills and

1% 0%

infrastructure.

We’ve also argued that although productivity growth is a necessary part of any agenda to improve the living standards of low- and middle-income workers, it is not sufficient. Distribution, both between labour and capital as well as between workers and households, makes a difference and should not be ignored.

-1% 1993

1998

2003

2008

2013

Source: ABS 5204

Much the same story is apparent in the ‘market sector’. This measure excludes industries with heavy public sector involvement, where productivity is more difficult to measure. Labour productivity in the market sector rose by 2% in 2012-13, up from an average over the previous decade of 1.5% per year.

Labour productivity growth in 2012-13 In 2012-13, labour productivity rose by 2.2%. This

The figures can be a little volatile, as is apparent in

was the fastest growth since 2001-02, and compares

Figure 1. Figure 2 looks at the market sector growth

to average annual growth over the decade to 2011-

rate over two-year periods, which smooths out this

12 of 1% per annum.

volatility. Labour productivity in the market sector rose by 5.5% in the past two financial years, the

Figure 1, and some other charts in this Bulletin, label

fastest in a decade. While labour productivity growth

the periods in which the Work Choices and Fair Work

hasn’t reached the highs of the mid-to-late 1990s, it

legislation were in operation. Again, this doesn’t

has clearly picked up from the lows of the mid-2000s.

amount to a claim that these pieces of legislation caused the changes in the rate of productivity ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 2


Figure 2: Labour productivity growth in the market sector in rolling 2-year periods Per cent 9% 8%

Work Choices

7%

Fair Work Act

starting to reverse. In the utilities industry, investment in power generation capacity and projects such as desalination plants uses up economic inputs without generating a commensurate rise in output, at least for a little while. Both industries

6%

experienced strong productivity growth in 2012-13.

5% 4% 3%

Note that part of the fall in productivity in mining is a

2%

temporary effect, as discussed. But part of it is longer

1%

lasting. While commodity prices are high, firms have

0% 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

an incentive to mine deeper, lower quality, and/or

Source: Calculations based on ABS 5204.

One of the reasons for the pick-up in growth appears to be improved labour productivity in the mining and

harder to extract resources, which require a greater amount of labour and capital per unit extracted. This tends to lower productivity in the industry relative to its level in periods with lower commodity prices. This

utilities industries. Figure 3: Labour productivity growth in selected industries CAGR 8% 6.5% 6%

effect, combined with the temporary fall while projects are being constructed, accounts for a large portion of the decline in productivity growth in the 2000s.1

3.2%

4%

2.1% 1.2%

2%

The fastest productivity growth in the year was in the financial and insurance services industry, followed by

0% -2% -4%

Electricity, gas, water and waste services -3.7%

Mining

grew in 11 industries, shrank in 8, and was unchanged in arts and recreation services.

-6% -6.2%

administrative and support services. Productivity

All industries

-8% Past 10 years

Past year

Source: ABS 5204. ‘All industries’ refers to gross value added in all industries. ‘Past 10 years’ is the compound annual growth rate between 2002-03 and 2012-13.

Over the past 10 years, productivity in mining has fallen substantially, with output per hour worked in mining barely half of what it was in 2003. Part of this is due to a temporary effect of the boom – higher commodity prices leads to the construction of new resource projects. These projects use a lot of labour

1

Views differ about the extent of the contribution of these factors to the 2000s slowdown, but there appears to be agreement that they are important. See, for example, years before they start generating output. With ACTU 2011; Eslake 2011; Dolman 2009; PC 2010; D’Arcy projects coming on-stream, this effect may be and Gustafsson 2012; Richardson and Denniss 2011. ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 3

while they’re under construction, but take a few


Figure 4: Labour productivity growth in 2012-13 by industry Information media and… Other services Accommodation and food… Agriculture, forestry and… Education and training Wholesale trade Professional, scientific and… Manufacturing Arts and recreation services Construction Transport, postal and… All industries Retail trade Mining Public administration and… Health care and social… Rental, hiring and real… Electricity, gas, water and… Administrative and support… Financial and insurance…

-4.4% -3.5% -2.2% -1.3% -0.9% -0.5% -0.1% -0.1%

-5%

0.0% 0.8% 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 5.2% 5.7% 6.5% 7.0% 7.6% 0% 5% Per cent

10%

Source: ABS 5204.

Figure 5: Labour productivity levels in 2012 in OECD countries Norway Luxembourg Ireland Belgium United States Netherlands Denmark France Germany Switzerland Sweden G7 countries Austria Australia Euro area Canada Spain Finland United Kingdom Italy OECD Total Iceland Japan Slovenia New Zealand Slovak Republic Greece Portugal Israel Czech Republic Turkey Korea Hungary Poland Estonia Chile Russian Federation Mexico

$53

$46

$0

International comparisons

$20 $40 $60 $80 GDP per hour worked in USD at PPP

Source: OECD Stat. Expressed in US dollars converted at 2012 PPP ratios.

As

a

smaller

economy,

much

of

Australia’s

productivity growth depends on the application of

Figure 6: Australian labour productivity relative to other advanced economies

imported ideas and technology, like personal

160%

computers. Viewing our growth rate in isolation can

150%

therefore be somewhat deceptive – if productivity

140%

growth slows down across the developed world, it

130%

may also slow here for reasons unrelated to the

120%

domestic economy.

Australia/NZ

Australia/UK

110% 100%

In 2012, Australian workers produced goods and services worth $US53 per hour they worked, on average.2 Australia’s level of labour productivity exceeds the OECD average of $US45.80 worth of

90%

Australia/G7 Australia/ USA

80% 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Source: Calculations based on OECD Stat. Productivity levels are expressed in US dollars converted at constant 2005 PPP levels.

output per hour worked. Our labour productivity is also higher than that of Canada, the UK, New Zealand, Japan, and the Euro area.

Our productivity level in 2012 was the thirteenth highest in the OECD. In the past couple of years, our labour productivity has also grown faster than that of many comparable nations. Figure 6 shows Australia’s level of labour productivity as a proportion of the

2

level in the UK, US, New Zealand, and the G7

These OECD figures convert national GDP to US dollars countries. Since 2010, Australia’s labour productivity using a 2012 Purchasing Power Parity ratio. ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 4


has risen relative to the level in each of those

have been only three periods since 1970 in which

comparators.

Australia’s average annual productivity growth rate has outpaced the G7: 1995 to 2000, and the period

In 2012, the OECD’s statistics show that Australia

since 2007, as shown in Figure 8.

recorded 2.4% labour productivity growth, the equal eighth highest in the OECD. This is higher than the

A few things stand out in Figure 8 in addition to

growth rate recorded in any G7 country, including the

Australia’s relatively strong performance over the

United States, which grew by 0.5%. The OECD

past five years. First, the increase in labour

average in 2012 was 0.4% growth.

productivity growth seen in the mid-to-late 1990s was also experienced in the US and other G7

Australia’s strong labour productivity growth in 2012

countries. Second, a slowdown from that peak in the

was not an aberration. Between 2007, the last pre-

early-to-mid 2000s was also experienced elsewhere.

crisis year, and 2012, Australia’s labour productivity

Third, the slowdown in 2001-07 was larger in

grew by a total of 6.8%, again higher than the growth

Australia than in the G7 countries or the US (in large

in any G7 country (including the US) and more than

part because of the mining related factors discussed

double the OECD average of 3.2%.

earlier).

Figure 7: Total labour productivity growth: 2007 to 2012 Ireland Korea Poland Chile Spain Russian Federation Slovak Republic Portugal Estonia Australia United States Japan G7 Iceland Austria OECD-Total Hungary New Zealand Euro area Czech Republic Sweden Canada Germany France Denmark Turkey Mexico Slovenia Switzerland Netherlands Italy United Kingdom Norway Belgium Israel Finland Greece Luxembourg -20%

Figure 8: Average annual labour productivity growth in Australia, the G7, & the US 1970-1980 1980-1985

6.8%

1985-1990 1990-1995

3.2%

1995-2000 2001-2007 Australia

2007-2009

G7 2009-2012

United States 0

1 2 Compound annual growth rate (per cent)

Source: OECD Stat.

It should be clear from the evidence above that Australia has not experienced a crisis of labour productivity in recent years. Growth has picked up -10% 0% 10% 20% Labour productivity growth 2007-2012

from the lows of the mid-2000s, with growth in 2012-

Source: Calculations based on OECD Stat.

13 the fastest in a decade. Over the past five years

It is somewhat uncommon for Australia’s labour

our labour productivity growth has outpaced the G7

productivity growth to outpace that of the G7

countries individually and collectively, and has grown

industrialised countries, as shown in Figure 6. There

at more than double the OECD average.

ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 5

3


Multifactor productivity

after a rise of 0.8% the previous year. During the

Labour productivity is measured as the quantity of

period in which the Fair Work Act has been in

output per hour worked. This can rise either because

operation, MFP has shrunk by an average of 0.1% per

workers have more capital equipment to use in

year. During the Work Choices period, it fell by an

production, or because firms and workers become

average of 0.8% per year.

together. The first effect – the increase in capital per

Figure 10: Three measures of productivity in the market sector (Index: 1995=100) Index 160

worker - is called ‘capital deepening’ and the second

150

is ‘multifactor productivity’ (MFP).3

140

more efficient in the use of labour and capital

Labour productivity

130

Australia’s labour productivity growth over the past decade has come about due to capital deepening. MFP has fallen a little. You can see in Figure 9 how rapidly Australia’s capital stock has grown during the mining boom period relative to GDP.

110 100

Capital productivity

90 80 70

Figure 9: Capital ratios (Index: 1979-80=100)

60 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

Index 220

Source: Calculations based on ABS 5204.

Figure 11: Market sector MFP growth

200 Per cent 4%

180 Capital/ labour ratio

160

Work Choices

Fair Work Act

3%

140

2%

120

Capital/ output ratio

100 80 1978

Multifactor productivity

120

1% 0%

1983

1988

1993

1998

2003

2008

2013

Source: Calculations based on ABS 5204. Capital stock excludes livestock and orchards, dwellings, and ownership transfer costs.

-1%

This rise in the capital/output ratio means that capital

-2% 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

productivity has fallen sharply – it’s now around three-quarters of its level in the mid-1990s, while labour productivity is nearly 50% higher than it was in 1995. Multifactor productivity growth started falling in the early 2000s, turned negative in 2004-05, and has remained sluggish. It shrank by 0.5% in 2012-13,

Source: Calculations based on ABS 5204.

Again, this is not evidence that the Work Choices legislation was responsible for poor productivity performance – it merely demonstrates that the poor MFP performance started long before the Fair Work Act’s creation and reached a nadir under Work Choices. Anyone recommending a return to Work

3

We do not engage here, with the academic debates Choices-style industrial regulation as a solution for concerning the theory of capital and their implications for productivity measurement. ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 6


sluggish MFP must account for the fact that growth

Figure 13: Rise in terms of trade and MFP: 2000 to 2012 MFP growth 2000 to 2012 30%

was worse in the mid-2000s than in recent years.

Australia’s MFP has fallen because we’ve seen a large

20%

rise in our capital stock that hasn’t generated a commensurate increase in output. This is, we

10%

suggest, largely a consequence of the resources boom. In fact, the fall in Australia’s MFP since 2000 is of almost exactly the same magnitude as the fall in

0% Chile Australia

Canada NZ

-10%

Norway

Canada, New Zealand, and Chile – three other OECD commodity

exporters.

Another

major

OECD

commodity exporter, Norway, has seen its MFP decline by around twice as much. Figure 12 shows the change in MFP in these countries, as well as the United States, since 2000. The timing and magnitude of the MFP decline is reasonably common across the commodity exporting countries.

-20% -30%

-10%

10%

30%

50%

70%

90%

Change in terms of trade: 2000 to 2012 Source: Calculations based on The Conference Board, Total Economy Database and OECD National Accounts.

The fact that a decline in MFP was common to other commodity-exporting advanced economies lends weight to our suggestion that capital accumulation driven by the mining boom, not industrial relations

Figure 12: MFP in OECD commodity exporters & the US (Index: 2000=100) Index United 105 States

change, has caused the stagnation in MFP over the past decade.

The ABS hasn’t yet released its estimates of MFP

100 Canada

growth by industry for 2012-13. Its latest figures

New Zealand

Chile

show that 10 of the 16 market sector industries

95

experienced

faster

MFP

growth

during

the

(incomplete) productivity growth cycle from 2007-08 90 Norway

Australia

to 2011-12 than they did in the mid-2000s. The largest MFP fall was experienced in mining, followed

85 2000

by utilities, for reasons outlined earlier. 2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

Source: The Conference Board, Total Economy Database.

In fact, over the period 2000 to 2012, no OECD

The data don’t support claims that Australia’s labour

country saw a rise in its terms of trade of 15% or

productivity growth has been poor in recent years, or

more and also experienced MFP growth. The rise in

that MFP growth has been worse under the Fair Work

the terms of trade serves as a rough proxy for the

Act than under Work Choices.

extent of the commodity price shock experienced by

Please send any comments, corrections, criticisms or

each country. Figure 13 plots this relationship.

compliments

to

mcowgill@actu.org.au. ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 7

Matt

Cowgill

at


Employment and unemployment The tables and charts below summarise the latest available data about the Australian labour market.

Figure 15: Change in employment in the year to October Thousands 200 148.7

150

Table 1: Summary of labour force figures Level

Monthly change

Yearended change

Employed persons

11639200

1100

89200

- Full time employment

8094700

-27900

-59500

- Part time employment

3544500

28900

148700

89.2 65.1

86.7

100

61.9 50

24.1 3.2

0 -50 -59.5

-62.7 -100

Working age population

Full time Males

19059000

29500

338100

Employment-topopulation ratio

61.1%

-0.1

-0.6

Unemployment rate

5.7%

0

0.3

Unemployed persons

709300

9100

53500

6.0

7.80

0.4

0.7

5.5

64.8%

0

-0.4

Part time Females Persons

Total

Source: ACTU calculations based on ABS 6202, seasonally adjusted.

Figure 16: Unemployment rate

Underemployment rate (quarterly) Participation rate

5.0 4.5

Source: ABS 6202, seasonally adjusted.

Figure 14: Change in employment between Sept and Oct 2013 Thousands 40

4.0 3.5

28.9

27.5

30

Per cent 6.5

3.0 Oct 03

20

Seasonally adjusted Oct 05

Oct 07

Trend

Oct 09

Oct 11

Oct 13

Source: ABS 6202.

10

1.5

0.8 0.2 1.1

0 -10

-1.2

Figure 17: Unemployment rates by State/Territory 7.0 Tas 8.2 5.6

SA

6.6

-20

6.1 5.9

Qld -30

-26.6

-27.9

5.5 5.8

Vic

-40 Full time Males

Part time Females Persons

Total

5.1

NSW

5.8

Source: ACTU calculations based on ABS 6202, seasonally adjusted.

4.0

NT

5.3

WA

4.2 4.5

ACT

4.1 4.4 0

2

4 6 Per cent Oct 2012 Oct 2013

Source: ABS 6202, trend.

ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 8

8

10


Figure 18: Employment to population ratio

Figure 21: Employment growth in the year to August 2013

Per cent 64

Public Administration and Safety

63 62 61 60 59

10.6%

Construction

5.0%

Other Services

4.3%

Transport, Postal and Warehousing

3.9%

Accommodation and Food Services

2.4%

Health Care and Social Assistance

2.0%

Wholesale Trade

1.7%

Retail Trade

1.7%

Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste…

0.6%

Financial and Insurance Services

0.4%

Professional, Scientific and…

58 Oct 03

Seasonally adjusted Oct 05

Oct 07

Trend

Oct 09

Oct 11

Oct 13

Source: ABS 6202.

-0.4%

Education and Training

-0.4%

Administrative and Support Services

-1.8%

Mining

-2.0%

Manufacturing

-4.4%

Figure 19: Participation rate 15+ (%) 66.0

15-64 (%) 77.0

0.1%

Arts and Recreation Services

Rental, Hiring and Real Estate…

76.5

65.5

76.0

65.0

Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Information Media and…

75.5

64.5

75.0

64.0

74.5

63.5

74.0 Oct 03

15-64 (LHS) Oct 05

Oct 07

15+ (RHS) Oct 09

Oct 11

Source: ACTU calculations based on ABS 6202, trend.

63.0 Oct 13

12 10 Underemployment 8 6 4 Unemployment

Aug 09

Aug 10

Aug 11

Aug 12

-12.2% 2%

7% 12%

Yearly change in employment (%)

Figure 20: Underemployment and unemployment rates Per cent 14

0 Aug 08

-7.6%

-18% -13% -8% -3%

Source: ABS 6202.

2

-5.3%

Aug 13

Source: ABS 6202, trend.

ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 9


Output and productivity growth

Source: ABS 5206 and ACTU calculations. Non-farm.

Table 2: Summary of June quarter National Accounts

Level

Quarterly change

Yearended change

Real gross domestic product (GDP)

376799

0.6%

2.6%

Real GDP per capita

16118

Figure 24: Annual growth in labour productivity (GDP per hour) Year-ended growth 5% 4%

0.1%

Fair Work Act

Work Choices

0.9% 3%

Labour productivity (total economy)

-

Labour productivity in the market sector

-

Terms of trade

-

0.3%

1.8% 2%

0.3%

2.2% 1%

0.2%

-4.8% 0%

Wages share of income

53.9%

Profits share of income

27.0%

0.1

-0.1 -1%

-0.1

Seasonally adjusted

-0.2 -2% Jun 03

Source: ABS 5206.

Jun 05

Jun 07

Trend

Jun 09

Jun 11

Jun 13

Source: ABS 5206.

Figure 22: Growth in real GDP per year

Figure 25: Growth in output (gross value added) – year to June 2013

6%

Mining

5% 20-year average, 3.4%

4%

8.1%

Financial and insurance…

3% 2%

7.7%

Health care and social…

5.5%

Public administration and…

5.0%

Administrative and support…

4.5%

Arts and recreation services

3.1%

Education and training

2.4%

Retail trade

2.3%

Rental, hiring and real estate…

1% Seasonally adjusted 0% Jun 03

Jun 05

Jun 07

Jun 11

Jun 13

Source: ABS 5206 and ACTU calculations.

Figure 23: Annual growth in nominal unit labour costs 6%

4%

1.4%

Construction

0.6%

Manufacturing

0.6%

Trend

Jun 09

Information media and…

0.6%

Accommodation and food…

0.3%

Professional, scientific and…

0.1%

Agriculture, forestry and fishing

20-year average, 2.5%

-0.7%

Electricity, gas, water and…

-3.2%

0%

Seasonally adjusted Jun 01

-4.9%

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% Annual GVA growth Source: ABS 5206.

Jun 97

-0.5%

Transport, postal and…

Other services

2%

-2% Jun 93

2.3%

Wholesale trade

Jun 05

Trend Jun 09

Jun 13

ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 10


Prices and wages

Figure 27: Headline and underlying CPI inflation Per cent 5%

Table 3: Summary of prices and wages data Latest quarter

Level

Year-ended change

June

-

2.9%

Wage Price Index (WPI)

3%

Full-time average weekly ordinary time earnings (AWOTE)

May

$1,421

5.3%

Real full-time AWOTE

May

$1,421

2.9%

Total average weekly earnings (AWE)

May

$1,105

4.9%

2%

From 1 July

$622.20

2.6%

Average wage increase in collective agreements

March

-

4.5%

Headline CPI

September

-

2.2%

Trimmed mean (underlying CPI)

September

-

2.3%

Employees’ cost of living (LCI)

September

-

0.9%

May

17.5%

-0.1%

0% Sep 03

Underlying CPI Sep 05

Sep 07

Sep 09

Sep 11

Sep 13

Source: ABS 6401.

Figure 28: Wage Price Index growth 4.5%

4.0%

Gender pay gap

Source: ABS 6345, ABS 6302, FWC, DEEWR Trends in Federal Enterprise Bargaining, ABS 6401, ABS 6467, ACTU calculations.

Figure 26: Annual growth in the CPI and workers’ cost of living (Employee LCI)

6%

3.5%

Long-run average

3.0%

2.5%

2.0% Jun 98

5%

Trend

Seasonally adjusted

Jun 03

Jun 08

Jun 13

Source: ABS 6345.

4%

Figure 29: WPI growth in the public and private sectors

3%

5.0%

2%

4.5% Underlying CPI Employee LCI

4.0%

0% -1% Sep 03

RBA's target band

1%

Headline CPI

National Minimum Wage per 38 hour week

1%

4%

3.5% Sep 05

Sep 07

Source: ABS 6467, ABS 6401.

Sep 09

Sep 11

Sep 13 3.0% 2.5%

Private Public

2.0% Jun 03

Jun 05

Source: ABS 6345.

ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 11

Jun 07

Jun 09

Jun 11

Jun 13


Figure 30: WPI growth in the year to June by industry 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% Electricity, gas, water and…

3.9%

Mining

3.5%

Health care and social…

Figure 32: WPI growth in the year to June by State 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% WA

3.4%

SA

3.3%

3.4%

Wholesale trade

NT

3.3%

Construction Rental, hiring and real…

3.2%

3.1%

Victoria

3.0%

3.1%

Tas

2.9%

ACT

2.9%

ACT

2.9%

Other services

3.0%

Australia

2.9%

Public administration and…

2.9%

Financial and insurance…

2.9%

NSW

2.8%

Information media and…

2.9%

Qld

2.8%

Arts and recreation services

2.9%

Source: ABS 6345.

Manufacturing

2.9%

Transport, postal and…

2.8%

Professional, scientific and…

2.8%

Retail trade

Figure 33: Average weekly ordinary time earnings for full-time adults $0 $1,000 $2,000

2.7%

Administrative and…

Mining

2.7%

Accommodation and food… Education and training

Professional, Scientific…

$1,706.60

2.6%

Information Media and…

$1,671.10

2.5%

Financial and Insurance…

$1,645.30

Source: ABS 6345.

Electricity, Gas, Water…

Figure 31: Range of WPI growth rates across industries 7%

Construction Transport, Postal and…

5% 4% 3% 2%

0% Jun 03

Education and Training Public Administration…

6%

1%

Health Care and Social…

$1,354.10

Arts and Recreation…

$1,315.50

Rental, Hiring and Real…

$1,303.80

Administrative and…

$1,276.50

Accommodation and… Jun 13

Source: ABS 6345 and ACTU calculations. Based on a 5-quarter centred moving average.

$1,425.10

$1,417.30

Other Services Jun 11

$1,436.00

Wholesale Trade

Australia Jun 09

$1,485.20

$1,420.90

Manufacturing

Jun 07

$1,622.90 $1,499.00

All Industries

Range of growth rates in all industries

Jun 05

$2,423.50

Retail Trade Source: ABS 6302.

ACTU Economic Bulletin - October 2013 – Page 12

$1,251.40 $1,104.70 $1,049.80 $1,022.00


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