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HLDI Shows Impact on Claims from Auto-Emergency Braking, Changes to Powertrains
Matt Moore of the insurer-funded Highway Loss Data Institute (HLDI) offered some insights into the impact auto-emergency braking (AEB) could have on the frequency and severity of front-end crashes in the coming years, during his presentation at the recent Women’s Industry Network (WIN) virtual conference.
HLDI’s rating system for AEB systems involves two crash tests conducted at 25 mph and 12 mph. Those speeds may sound slow, he said, but “the more speed you can drop out of a crash, you drop out an exponential amount of energy.”
A 25 mph crash of a Mercedes C-Class resulted in more than $28,000 in damage, for example, Moore said, but when the speed was reduced to 12 mph, “the cost is reduced by more than half,” to $5,715.
“Of course, if you can go from 12 mph down to zero, you can total-
Moore said he suspects even more drivers would turn that system off if Shop Showcase with Ed Attanasiodoing so was easier. But the AEB remained active on almost 92% of the vehicles equipped with that system. “Folks like it. They leave it on,” Moore said. While automakers have voluntarily agreed to equip all new Social Media for Shops with Ed Attanasiovehicles with AEB by September of 2022―and many automakers are ahead of schedule toward that goal―it still will take a long time for a majority of vehicles on the road have AEB, he said. He shared a series of charts to demonstrate this. SEMA Show Goes On with Ed Attanasio The first (slide 1) showed the percentage of new vehicles for which AEB is optional or standard has grown significantly. But the second (slide 2) showed even in 2019, HLDI estimated only Media and Publicity for Shops with Ed Attanasioabout 6% of registered vehicles were equipped with AEB.
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with Stacey Phillips The percentage of new vehicles for which auto-emergency braking is optional or standard has grown significantly Despite widespread availability, vehicles equipped with auto-emergency braking comprise only a small percentage of those on U�S� roads, according to the Highway Loss Data Institute
ly avoid that hit altogether,” he said.
AEB is expected to reduce frontend crashes that result in injury by more than 50%, Moore said. Of course, the potential benefits of AEB go away if consumers turn the system off.
But Moore said HLDI stationed researchers at some dealerships to check vehicles being dropped off for service. They found the lane departure systems on those vehicles were only left on 50% of the time, and
A third chart (slide 3) showed how that is likely to grow over the next two decades, but still, the 50% mark is not expected to be reached until about 2030.
“We’re predicting it’s going to be about 2045 until the vast majority of vehicles [in operation] have this technology,” Moore said.
Another factor driving up severity of claims Moore pointed to involves changes to vehicle powertrains. Moore shared a slide (slide 4) showing how far hybrid, electric and turbo- or super-charged vehicles have grown, and will continue to grow, in relation to vehicles powered by conventional gasoline engines.
“What we’re predicting is by 2030, over 45% of vehicles will eiMy SEMA with Stacey Phillips Shop Strategies with Victoria Antonelli
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