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04. EDITORIAL
10. OUTSIDE THE BINARY
AN INTRODUCTION FROM THE TEAM TO THE
ANNA HULL DISCUSSES THE DAMAGING EFFECTS OF
SECOND EDITION OF FLOREAT MAGAZINE
SOCIETY'S MENTALITY TOWARDS SEX AND GENDER
06. INTELLECTUAL POLITICAL DISCOURSE IS DYING
14. GEN Z: A GENERATION OF OPPORTUNITY
SAMI HAROON ASKS WHAT THIS SAYS FOR
THRIVE IN A NATIONAL LOCKDOWN
DEMOCRACY AS WE KNOW IT
18.
HARRY BEARD (OB) ON WAYS TO SURVIVE AND
YEAR TO DATE MARKET RECAP 'Floreat' magazine created by Bedford School boys Photographs by Bedford School or sourced from Unsplash.com Published by Bedford School. March 2021.
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JAMES CUTLER LOOKS BACK ON A TURBULENT 2020 IN THE MARKETS FLOREAT
24. THE ORIGINS OF POLITICS ALFRED WILLCOCKS PROVIDES INSIGHTS INTO THE SIMILARITIES BETWEEN MODERN DAY AND ANTIQUITY LEARNED FROM AN UNDERSTANDING OF THE ORIGINS OF POLITICS
26. HOW MUCH IS YOUR LIFE WORTH? OSCAR CALVERT ON THE VALUE OF A STATISTICAL LIFE IN THE CONTEXT OF A NATIONAL LOCKDOWN
28. THE DANGEROUS GROWTH OF SNOWFLAKISM
34. THE END OF A GOLDEN ERA KARISSA SINGH LOOKS AT THE DECLINE OF BRITAIN'S RELATIONSHIP WITH CHINA
BEN BARNES WARNS OF THE SPECTRE OF SNOW-
38. A CASE AGAINST LOCKDOWN
FLAKISM, HAUNTING SOCIETY TODAY
ORLANDO WILLIAMS ARGUES THE CASE AGAINST A
32. TO ASSUME MAKES AN A** OF YOU AND ME
NATIONAL LOCKDOWN
40. PHARMA-FIDDLE
DAVID ADEYEMI ON DISCRIMINATION FACED BY
OLLY BLAKEMORE WRITES ABOUT HOW
BLACK BARRISTER ALEXANDRA WILSON
PHARMACEUTICAL COMPANIES ARE EXPLOITING THE OUTDATED PATENT SYSTEM TO MAXIMISE PROFITS
44. WHY CAN THE GOVERNMENT TAKE AWAY YOUR FREEDOM? KRISH NAIR ON THE RISE OF ANTI-LOCKDOWN PROTESTS
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E DIT OR IA L It would be fair to say that 2020 was a year unlike
that in the first quarter the GDP will contract (-4%) – miti-
any other. It was a year of unprecendented events that
gating gains made in the fourth quarter of 2020. But
have affected each and every one of us. The most obvious
with an expected rise of 2% in CPI inflation by spring, due
‘event’, being COVID-19, is still tearing through the world
to VAT cuts extended in Rishi Sunak’s budget, growth
affecting everyone – proving our equality, whether or not
is looking likely.
we choose to believe it. The Black Lives Matter movement
Whilst the economy is recovering and the pande-
brought immense awareness to the ongoing racism that
mic is (hopefully) nearing an end, we cannot forget those
plagues our societies and despite the life-threatening
who have lost their lives: at the time of writing, the num-
virus that we have all heard so much about, millions took
ber of UK deaths is upwards of 125,000. A death extre-
to the streets in poignant peaceful protests for equality;
mely close to our community’s heart is that of Captain
typing that now feels ironic, considering we are as equal
Sir Tom Moore. Captain Sir Tom, grandfather of Benjie
as the world has ever been, yet there is still so much that
Ingram-Moore, gave hope, not only to our nation but
needs to be said and done before we can claim true
to the wider world. He also gave us all something to
equality. In the midst of this, we have gone through the
smile about during the pandemic – something hard to
worst recession since records began. Nevertheless, we
do otherwise. I will say, therefore, with confidence that
are fighting our way out: our economy grew by (+15%) in
Captain Tom’s legacy will, rightly so, live on for a very long
the third quarter of 2020, (+4%) in the fourth quarter of
time and continue to inspire millions around the globe.
2020, but the MPC predict in their February 2021 report
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There have been other things to celebrate from the
to lockdown, the future looks to be interesting and exci-
worldwide lockdowns (words I never thought I’d write)
ting. I think I speak on the behalf of us all in saying that
– the effect on climate change, for the better, has been
we need a summer off, a summer to relax and re-esta-
monumentally important, for example. Thanks to the
blish our normal routines, ending 2020, the beginning
reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from cars, car-
of 2021 and seeing off the coronavirus for good.
bon levels have dropped significantly and whilst we
I am pleased now, to welcome you to the second
are still on the brink of no return from the damage we
issue of Floreat; whilst apologising for the long period
have caused our environment, the Great Barrier Reef has
of time it has taken to be released since the last edition.
made a visible recovery. That being said, the Met Office
Some of the articles therefore may already seem slightly
announced in late 2020 that negative temperature days
dated, but hopefully have relevance nonetheless. We
could soon be a thing of the past in the UK. Only time
have worked hard putting this magazine together and
will tell how the easing of lockdowns and the return of
are delighted to say that we have taken submissions
air travel will effect the environment.
both from Bedford Girls’ School, who have two articles
If 2020 brought us one thing, it was excitement. In
in this issue, and Harry Beard OB, (13-18), on his company,
November we saw the fiercely contested US Presidential
Prospect 100, and working with the world’s top innova-
Election come to its conclusion with Joe Biden becoming
ters. With articles on subjects ranging from gender and
the 46th President of the United States, despite Donald
mental health to political discourse, and including an
Trump faring much better than the polls suggested he
extensive summary of the 2020 economic year through
might. Brexit also came to its conclusion, albeit the tran-
to an interesting case against lockdowns, hopefully there
sition period ended and a deal was struck between the
is something for all.
EU and the UK; debates and answers to how Brexit will
And f inally, in the words of Captain Sir Tom,
end however are still being discussed and will be, I’m
"Tomorrow Will Be A Good Day". I hope you enjoy this
sure, for some time. Either way, with the summer loo-
issue of Floreat.
ming and Boris Johnson setting out an ‘irreversible’ end
HARRY HINE, ARUN NANDA AND GABRIEL DAVIS
FLOREAT SCHOLA BEDFORDIENSIS
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PHOTO BY MARKUS SPISKE ON UNSPLASH
INTELLECTUAL POLITICAL DISCOURSE IS DYING. BUT WHAT DOES THIS SAY FOR DEMOCRACY? BY SAMI HAROON
"Will you just shut up, man?" "I was kidding on that." "Do you have any idea what this clown is doing?" "Don’t ever use the word smart with me." These exchanges come not merely as the result of infantile playground argument, but as the manifestation of a political discourse arena in bedlam. Over the last few weeks we have witnessed the horrors of poor political discourse, with two US presidential election debates. Irrespective of one’s political alignment, it is surely a matter of fact, or at the very least, consensus, that both candidates displayed an ability worryingly underqualified for the role of President of the United States; albeit to different extents. This position, POTUS, has long been coveted as being the most powerful on the planet. However, it is not only the USA who is bereft of intellectual political discourse. If one were to traverse
so-called ‘Overton window’ - if it still exists, that is. In addition, far-right movements have been gaining traction in traditionally liberal democracies, such as the rise in popularity of Marine Le-Pen’s ‘National Rally’, in France - formerly known as the ‘National Front’. These political figures often desire the suppression of voter and media freedoms, as seen with India’s Prime Minister Modi, and his military lockdown of the Kashmir region since 5 August 2019. The effects of this political imbroglio are devastating for democracy. In part, this is because political debate has become significantly less important over time, in the eyes of the electorate. So much so that a poll by Monmouth University showed that just 3% of those surveyed (US voters) expressed that they were ‘very likely to hear something that will impact their eventual vote choice.’ Furthermore, Pew Research reports that the percentage of voters who made their mind up after, or during, a debate decreased by 7%, from 00’ to 16’.
the world political scene, they could easily discern the
The growth in appeal to specific majority groups,
rise of populism and authoritarianism trans-natio-
in unified opposition to a particular minority group,
nally. Russia, Brazil and India all attest for this, and it
risks undermining democracy. Whether the appeal
would appear that Antarctica remains the only con-
is to the poor against the rich; the majority religion
tinent free from the extremes and polarities of the
against the minority; or the most populous ethnic
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group against the least, it is without a doubt that poli-
Socrates illuminates this point by hypothesising a
tical discourse, either through suppression or futility, is,
debate between a doctor and a shop-keeper. The shop
as in so much of Greek tragedy, destined to an inesca-
-keeper appeals to the voters by saying “look, this per-
pable fate.
son here has worked many evils on you. He hurts you,
But why is it that rich discourse and debate is so cen-
gives you bitter potions and tells you not to eat and drink
tral to the functioning of the democracy we love? If we
whatever you like. He’ll never serve you feasts of many
reflect on the very foundations of democracy, the reve-
and varied pleasant things like I will.” Socrates explains
rence of dialogue is self-evident. In both the Hellenistic
that it is near impossible for the doctor, the qualified
and Enlightenment eras, political philosophers have
professional, to respond effectively. He says that “I cause
placed particular emphasis on the need for intellectual
you trouble, and go against your desires in order to help
involvement from both the electorate and politicians
you”, the genuine response of the doctor, would “cause
respectively, in order to justify and maintain the state.
an uproar among the voters, don’t you think?”
In fact, the Socratic opposition to democracy was
When considered in the context of contemporary
predicated on this very notion. That is, democracy is ine-
politics, this philosophy seems almost prophetic. The
ffectual if not philosophically, intellectually contested,
dichotomy between New Zealand’s recent election
with the outcome therefore being that which is best
debate and the USA’s illustrates this. Points of differ-
for the people. This is highlighted in Book 6 of Plato’s
ence between the two candidates, Jacinda Ardern and
The Republic, where Socrates’ rationale for rejecting
Judith Collins, included cannabis-use, the legalisation
democracy is presented. His allegory Ship of Fools com-
of euthanasia, the pandemic response and the national
pares the state with a ship at sea. Instead of electing
debt. These issues, due to the polarising absence of intel-
the most-skilled sea-farer to steer the ship to safety, the
lectual discourse, are a matter of ideological warfare in
crew instead decides to stage a de facto popularity con-
the USA. Politicians appeal to emotion, identity and per-
test. As a result, it was he who could appeal most to the
sonal insults to convince their prospective voters that
emotions of the voters, the modern-day populist, who
their stance is best for them.
would be elected to steer the ship, not the best candi-
New Zealand’s approach of calm, affable and intel-
date. Plato advocates for a similar position in his support
ligent debate avoids this, and therefore significantly
for a ‘Philosopher King’, who is not elected, but who is
increases the likelihood that the most able and righteous
objectively the best person for the job.
candidate is indeed shown to be such, and hence elected
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to lead. This goes a long way to undermining Socrates’
On top of this, John Stuart Mill (1806-1873) presents a
fear of democracy resulting in the wrong helmsman
post-modern defence of representative democracy, val-
steering the ship: Ardern has eliminated the virus within
ued dearly so long as there is good advocacy of different
New Zealand and gone on to win a landslide.
ideas. He explains in On Liberty that to not engage in
The Enlightenment’s advocacy of democracy was based on similar principles. Jean Jacques Rousseau (17121778) remains an instrumental figure in political philosophy. Known ubiquitously for his role in inspiring the leaders of the French Revolution, with his principal work ‘On the Social Contract’, he also offered criticisms on the arts, science, education and inequality. He venerated democracy as a ‘social contract’, to reconcile the natural liberty of the individual - ‘every man is born free’ - with the authority of the state. This, to represent and achieve the ‘general will’; the consensus of what
proper debate about these issues is to ‘rob the human race, posterity as well as the existing generation.’ It is clear to see, then, that key political theorists, from Ancient Athens, through the European Enlightenment and into the Postmodern Era, agree, by and large, that intellectual discourse is not only useful, but central to the democracy that has served so many for so long. The recent decline in its value has severe repercussions. We need to converse, meaningfully, with one another, to discern what is truly for the betterment of society. Although
is good, or desired; ‘fraternity’ as it came to be known.
this is important on a local level, it is those at the top,
Rousseau offered that this be achieved by ‘assembling
those in power or who desire to be, that must take the
the people’: a fully representative political discourse,
lead. It is them who must lead by example.
where the common interest would be discussed. References: Website: h t t p s : / / w w w . r e v . c o m / b l o g / t r a n s c r i p t s / donald-trump-joe-biden-1st-presidential-debate-transcript-2020 h t t p s : / / w w w . r e v . c o m / b l o g / t r a n s c r i p t s / donald-trump-joe-biden-final-presidential-debate-transcript-2020 https://w w w.poynter.org/reporting-editing/2020/ do-debates-affect-presidential-elections-notmuch/ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ship_of_fools https://edition.cnn.com/2020/10/01/asia/new-zealand-ardern-trump-election-debate-intl-hnk/i Ndex.html https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/mill/ https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/rousseau/#EmerGeneWillProcVirtLegi Video: The School of Life, ‘Why Socrates Hated Democracy’, 28 Nov 2016 Book: Jonathan Wolff, ‘An Introduction To Political Philosophy’ Revised Edition
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OUTSIDE THE BINARY: THE DAMAGING EFFECTS O F O U R M E N TA L I T Y T O W A R D S S E X A N D G E N D E R BY ANNA HULL
Though they have traditionally been seen as synonyms, since the late 20th century the words “sex”
not too willing. If you don’t adhere to this? You’re “nasty”, “bossy,” “bitchy”, “butch”.
and “gender” have acquired different meanings. To avoid
The problem is that these gender roles are an over-
confusion, I will start by defining what they relate to in
simplification, and almost completely arbitrary. Yet they
the context of this issue.
are so ingrained in society that it is difficult to discard
“Sex” refers to the biological and physiological qua-
them. By conforming to them, you are safe and predic-
lities that typically differentiate the males and females
table. They allow people to subconsciously quantify you
of a species. In humans, this includes factors such as our
from only a momentary glance, the either/or aspect of
chromosomes and genitals, as well as hormone levels
the binary providing a comforting simplicity. So, if you
and the distribution of muscle, fat, and body hair.
don’t play along, you’re hemmed in by insults and slurs.
“Gender” is harder to define. Unlike our sex charac-
Notably, the epithets applied to those who transgress
teristics, most of the factors that compose our gender are not inherent to us. Instead, they are the result of how we have been brought up and the cultural ideas that have been instilled into us from an early age. In essence, your gender is what people assume about you and expect from you based on your sex. It also affects how you present yourself to others – for instance how you behave, how you dress, and the interests you have. Notions of gender
the boundaries of their gender role insi-
YOUR GENDER IS WHAT PEOPLE ASSUME
nuate that they are in fact displaying traits associated with the opposite gender, thus reinforcing the binary. The enforcement of gender roles
ABOUT YOU AND
is most apparent towards men, mani-
EXPECT FROM YOU
social stigma attached to boys being
BASED ON YOUR SEX
boy, or being told to “man up” rather
can vary between different societies and
festing in attitudes such as the greater “sissy”, compared to girls being a tomthan displaying vulnerability. This can be incredibly harmful. In 2019, the American
cultures, but due to its association with sex it is traditio-
Psychological Association released a set of guidelines
nally viewed as a binary.
specifically related to male psychology, which highlight
If you’re a man, you must be strong, dominant, con-
how the enculturation of traditionally masculine traits
fident. You can’t show any weakness or emotion – you
can negatively affect men. Most notably, the pressure
need to be tough and competitive. You should be muscu-
to uphold the strong and stoic image of masculinity
lar and athletic, and sexually charged. If you don’t adhere
can lead to men neglecting their physical and emo-
to this? You’re “gay”, “a mama’s boy”, “a wuss”, “a p*ssy”.
tional wellbeing. Men are less likely to acknowledge ill-
If you’re a woman, you must be gentle, sensitive,
ness and seek help from doctors or mental health cou-
dependent. You’re domestic and passive, docile and
nsellors than women are and have a 37% higher risk of
deferential, suited to caring for others and putting their
dying from cancer. Men also comprise 75% of all suici-
needs above your own. You wear dresses and makeup,
des in the UK, with an average of 13 men taking their
you’re slim, you’re willing to receive male attention – but
own lives every day.
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The policing of masculinity also has a more insi-
health services that I needed. So, I played the role.”
dious implication. As a result of the gender binary,
This could explain why a lot of transgender women
telling someone to “man up” doesn’t just contribute to
conform to gender stereotypes that are widely conside-
the unrealistic expectation of strength and resilience
red to be sexist and demeaning, which has led to them
applied to men – it also insinuates that women are inhe-
being criticised by many radical feminist campaigners
rently weak and incapable. This reinforces misogynistic
for presenting an outdated view of womanhood and
beliefs by teaching men to reject and disparage femini-
regressing the cause of female liberation. Angela Ponce,
nity, which can be seen in the phenomenon of “identity
who was crowned “Miss Spain” in 2018 and subsequently
threat”. In a study published in the American Journal
became the first openly transgender “Miss Universe”
of Sociology in 2013, men who were led to believe that
contestant, was lambasted for participating in beauty
they had been perceived as feminine responded by acti-
pageants. Among her detractors was Julie Bindel, who
vely overemphasising their masculinity, which included
stated in an article in the Spectator that: “Angela Ponce
adopting more violent attitudes and being more willing
is claiming that she likes parading around on stage in a
to express sexist and homophobic opinions than men
bikini because she is REALLY a woman who happened to
in a control group.
have been born male. At the same time, ACTUAL women
The perception of traditionally “feminine” traits as being lesser also limits women’s potential. Recently, Thames Water made headlines when it was revealed that they had removed “masculine coded” words such as “competitive”, “confident” and “champion” from a job advertisement for a sewage works technician, replacing them with more neutral alternatives. The percentage of female applicants increased dramatically to 46%, compared to only
are desperately trying to be viewed and treated as equal
THE PERCEPTION OF TRADITIONALLY "FEMININE" TRAITS AS BEING LESSER LIMITS WOMEN'S POTENTIAL
human beings, and not breasts on a stick, mincing around the stage being gawped at by male judges.” It seems that transgender people are trapped in a self-perpetuating ontological cycle. They are pressured into conforming to a hyperfeminine or hypermasculine archetype to achieve social acknowledgement and acceptance. Yet this inevitably makes them complicit in upholding
8% previously. While this may have been
the fixed gender binary that seeks to sha-
a good short-term solution, it still has wor-
ckle them.
rying implications. Why shouldn’t women feel that they
Not only are there social obstacles to overcome to
are just as capable of embodying these “masculine”
affirm gender identity, it also requires a lengthy legal pro-
traits as men are?
cess that has been criticised as overly medicalised and
Perhaps the most conclusive confirmation of the
bureaucratic. Plans to reform the Gender Recognition
performative nature of gender, and the problems asso-
Act 2004 were proposed in 2017 under Theresa May's
ciated with it, is the experiences of transgender indivi-
government, which included the publication of a con-
duals. Ugla Stefanía is a journalist and activist who tran-
sultation to identify how the legal process of gender
sitioned to become female, but now considers themself
reassignment could be facilitated. However, documents
genderfluid. In 2016 they gave a TED Talk, in which they
leaked earlier this summer suggest that the delayed
explained their experience of gender roles: “For the lon-
government response will not be affirmative, and that
gest time I totally conformed to all of the socially cons-
instead greater measures will be taken to safeguard
tructed rules of what we expect women to like, expect
women. This is clearly a dilemma for the government,
them to do, how we expect them to dress, and so on…
since there is understandable concern that self-iden-
I always had this haunting feeling though, that I was
tification – being able to change the gender on your
just fulfilling the stereotype. You see, I wanted to prove
birth certificate without the need for a medical diag-
to everyone that I was in fact a girl, and I actually had
nosis of gender dysphoria – could potentially be exploi-
to prove it to medical professionals in order to get the
ted by sexual predators in order to access female-only
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spaces such as lavatories and changing rooms. Though
the University of Colorado was unable to replicate the
the government has confirmed that it will uphold the
results. The strong objection against Semenya is clearly
terms of the Equality Act 2010, which prohibits discrimi-
because her condition is sex-based, and because she
nation on the basis of gender reassignment while also
does not conform to social expectations of femininity.
protecting spaces for vulnerable women, this has igni-
So how can we solve the various problems posed by the binary perception of sex and gender? The
ted a polarising civil rights debate. One suggested solution has been to make divi-
answer could lie in abandoning gender entirely, but
sions only on the basis of biological sex – but someti-
the ongoing debate about legal recognition and pre-
mes not even this is strictly black and white. “Intersex”
serving female-only spaces suggests that this would
is an umbrella term used to refer to a variety of medi-
pose significant practical issues. Moreover, many peo-
cal conditions that result in someone having a combi-
ple are content to conform to gender stereotypes, and
nation of male and female anatomy. This could include
there is nothing wrong with that. But moving forward,
having internal or external sex organs that differ from
we shouldn’t consider them to be the default condition;
those normally associated with their chromosome pat-
we need to understand the limitations of both mascu-
tern. For instance, they may display female genitals, but
linity and femininity and acknowledge that there are
their chromosomes are XY, or they could have an extra
grey areas between them. In this way, we will gain a far
sex chromosome. Despite the fact that intersex people
more nuanced appreciation of the positive qualities
comprise an estimated 1.7% of the population – rou-
possessed by individuals, and we will be better able to
ghly the same proportion as those who have red hair –
work towards achieving a more equal society.
this tends to be viewed by the medical community as a defect requiring treatment. Many intersex people are subjected to invasive and purely cosmetic surgeries at a young age to “normalise” ambiguous genitals and ensure that they fit into a clear sex category, which can have long-lasting repercussions for their physical and mental health. Furthermore, sex ambiguity can lead to other forms of discrimination, even to the extent of affecting a person’s career. One of the most notable examples of this is double Olympic gold medallist Caster Semenya, who was barred from competing at world athletics championships after her “astoundingly quick performance”, muscular build, and deep voice led to accusations that she was not a woman. Her testosterone levels were found to be higher than average and she was subsequently subjected to further invasive tests to prove her biological sex, before being publicly declared to have a “chromosomal abnormality”. After losing her case against the IAAF in 2019, she is now forced to take testosterone-reducing medication in order to compete as a woman. The link between testosterone and improved athletic performance is tenuous; the main study from which the IAAF drew information for its ruling has been discredited by the British Medical Journal, and an independent study carried out by the Sports Governance Center at
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GEN Z : A G ENER ATI O N O F O P P OR TU NI TY B Y
H
A R R Y B E ( 0 B 1 3 - 1 8 )
P H O T O
B Y
D A N
B U R T O N
Coronavirus has taken us all by surprise. In January,
O N
A
R
D
U N S P L A S H
always believed that the best aspect to joining Bedford
no one would have believed that 2020 would be the year
as a fourth former is that you have to try everything. My
that it has been. With the outbreak of this deadly disease
previous school, before joining Bedford, students felt
the one benefit we all will have witnessed are the ama-
that for a boy to study art was ‘uncool’, yet I still to this
zing acts of kindness from citizens all around the world.
day believe that the art department at school is the best
Every Bedfordian will know and appreciate this. We have
place to work on campus. So to have to undergo lock-
been fortunate enough to witness the acts of Captain
down where you can't: •
Tom and his grandson Benjie from the local beginnings
Spend time with the most amazing young people from all around the world
of their global movement. As students of Bedford I’m sure •
we have all witnessed incredible acts of kindness from
Pursue your passion with the support of field leaders
others too - Joba Thomas and his board games initiative is just another example of a truly selfless act that was
•
Collaborate with your peers on projects
born out of caring for others during this time of real dif-
•
Compete with students f rom all over the country
ficulty. Firstly, I think we should all really take a moment to appreciate the members of this school and this town’s
That to me was genuinely disheartening.
community. I am almost left unsurprised to be reading
I guess we’re lucky, if there’s something you believe
the school news on social media seeing so many acts
in enough, then you now have access to the tools to fulfil
of goodwill coming from so many young people within
that vision right now, generations gone by haven’t always
both our school and our town. Bedford was named as
had that luxury - particularly at our age. Myself and two
the “most generous town in Britain” and I truly believe
other students from across Europe believed that there
that coronavirus has once again proven this statement
must be an easy way to bring opportunities to young
to be very accurate.
people and inspire them during a period where inspi-
Over the past few months we’ve heard of lots of sto-
ration was low and opportunities are only diminishing.
ries where young people are helping the elderly, but it’s
I particularly feel sorry for young musicians at this time.
the young generation who I personally felt were slightly
Many instruments are owned by schools and so millions
neglected at first, a tremendous amount of sympathy
are left without access to their instruments, recording
should be driven their way. School for me was always
studios, collaborators, and so many other fundamental
about almost everything except the lessons. Bedford is
resources needed in order to pursue passions.
a global school, so to spend every day amongst people
As a group, we went about creating a series of com-
you would never normally meet who have different mind-
petitions called ‘Prospect 100’. We believed we could get
sets and skill sets to you is a super cool opportunity. I’ve
people excited about their field once again. Initially we
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launched a global music competition for young peo-
buy into the public vote and take time to learn about
ple aged 21 and under. After this competition, we laun-
the finalists. These aren’t just 5 random music makers,
ched an innovation competition focussed on technology,
they’re 5 individuals who have made it through 3 rou-
and in the coming days we are launching
nds of celebrity judging for this presti-
a sneaker design competition aimed at
gious competition called ‘Prospect 100’
artists, graphic designers, architects and those who love fashion. Since launching these initiatives I have personally learned a lot. Learning by doing is a great way to develop yourself from both a skill set standpoint but
THINK BIG, THINK EXCITEMENT!
also your confidence too. I’d love to share
and they competed against people from all over the globe. It makes the competition cool. I truly believe that we underestimate how important that cool factor can be. MySpace was a dominant social media, yet a kid from his dorm room was able to take it down with a website he
some key lessons that I learnt from starting these com-
built in a few days because fundamentally he made
petitions which will hopefully encourage more mem-
his platform - Facebook - cooler than theirs. I think this
bers of our community to start their own initiatives and
cool factor is quite easy with music as there’s super sim-
keep the Bedfordian ‘get up and do it’ mentality alive.
ple ways to almost acquire ‘cultural capital’, if you like.
1. Think Big, Think Excitement
Finding a celebrity musician who’s had a big song as a
I think Benjie and Captain Tom have proven that
judge can instantly: make you cool, make the competi-
you can literally take an idea and turn it into the biggest
tion more legitimate and make the talents seem even
movement on the planet in a short period of time. I know
more exciting because they were endorsed by someone
when we started coming up with our competitions we
you know. But with fields like technology that’s not so
wanted to get as many people involved as possible, from
easy. So, using amazing prizes, and giving unparalleled
as many countries as possible - I guess that’s the same
opportunities to young people is crucial.
2. Prioritise Inclusion, Think About Others
with most people starting a new initiative. We all really believed that for something to become
Whatever initiative you’re running, it’s easy to only
popular amongst young people your idea needs to excite.
think for your point of view. At Bedford, we quickly learn
You need to offer something that few others are able to
that not everyone is the same. A fourth former who has
offer. A music competition is quite easy to be exciting,
travelled from Hong Kong to further their education and
it’s all about passion and creativity, but our next compe-
contributing in class whilst speaking a second language
tition, a tech competition… that’s less easy! We wanted
probably has a very different mindset to someone like
to think of ways that would create excitement surroun-
myself who rolls out of bed 5 minutes before tutorial
ding every competition so it would be interesting to be
starts and could walk to school having “forgotten” to pack
involved with whether you’re a participant or as a spec-
Ms Parcell’s history homework. We need to remember
tator. There were 3 ideas that we worked with. These
that everyone is different, and inclusion is so important
might not work for all initiatives but they were our key
with what you’re doing. How can you make what you’re
thoughts for this particular project.
doing more inclusive so everyone has the chance to be
•
involved? With a music competition, for example, there
A brand
are a few barriers:
• Prizes • Celebrities
•
Different genres of music
It’s easy to overlook how important a brand is,
•
Different languages
particularly when you’re running a project just for fun.
•
Mixed ability to record music
But a brand makes what you’re doing seem more legi-
•
Differing levels of ambition
timate, and more legitimate usually leads to greater
We had to think of ways to combat these barriers,
excitement too. To win a music competition is cool, but
but also make our competition as exciting to an aspiring
to win a music competition that feels prestigious and
producer making trap beats as an organ player. We also
incorporates a global talent pool is an even better fee-
need to ensure that the judges do not have bias towards
ling. It creates that excitement to want to participate. It
the more mainstream music. How can we ensure that a
also makes the competition more exciting to follow. You
film scorer wasn’t overlooked because it is easier to “like”
feel like you’re really witnessing the next big thing. You
pop music? We figured that diversity and representation
16
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were the answer to this.
Instagram DM can also work wonders. We can’t overlook
For us, representation was key. We have judges who:
these opportunities.
are diverse by gender, diverse by race, different nationa-
Since May we have been supported by: Steve
lities, speak different languages, specialise in different
Wozniak (Apple co-founder), Ronnie Wood (The Rolling
genres of music. It was crucial that our judging panel
Stones), Iann Dior, Rico Nasty, Kaiser Chiefs, Jamiroquai,
was close to 50:50 male to female for all competitions
CHIC, Lucas Jagger, Au/Ra, Sean Wotherspoon, Luka
too. This little bit of extra thought led to amazing results.
Sabbat, Sarah Andelman, Ketnipz, Steve Smith (Creative
I was particularly blown away by our participation statis-
Director for Yeezy), Julien MacDonald (ex Creative
tics for the technology competition. Tech is a field that is
Director for Givenchy) and many more.
dominated by men. Companies are often proud if they
Again, we are just 3 kids from: Bedford, Paris, and
have 1 software engineer who is female. Statistically about
Belfast who wanted to do something positive for young
19% of workers in tech are female. Yet we were able to
people. We all wanted to do something cool for young
achieve 51% female participation in our tech competition,
people, to inspire them in a way that no one else really is.
and 55% BAME participation. It really goes to show that
Since May we have ensured 25 young technologists
when you think about “what can I do to make this com-
win mentorship with Steve Wozniak and leading UK
petition accessible and exciting to more people than just
venture capitalists, 5 musicians win mentorship from
myself” you will achieve great results, and for us that led
industry leaders including Michael Jackson’s ex mana-
to uncovering some of the most incredible talents, not
ger, 1000s of young people have won prizes to develop
just the best male talents. If you put even just a little bit
their passion. 100 young people have worked with one
of effort into thinking about the barriers other people
of the world’s biggest charities to solve a real-world pro-
may face, I promise you, you will notice the difference.
blem that they have and their idea is being implemented
3. Why Not?
in a global campaign. We received endorsement from
Earlier I said, ‘You need to offer something that few
the IB, who have promoted us to 100s of schools within
others are able to offer.’ I believe this is really easy to
their network. And importantly, well over 1000 young
do. The vast majority of people fear rejection. The vast
people have been connected to other young talents
majority of people fear failing. The number 1 reason our
who share the same passion and ambition they do so
competitions were so well received and have had over
they can become collaborators and help each other ful-
3 million people exposed to our brand name since May
fil their potential. In short, if you have an idea for a project or initia-
is because we, as a collective, say ‘why not?’ and dared
tive we now have the tools needed to fulfil our vision
to do what no one else was willing to do. Running a music competition is easy. But how many
and ambition in a way that no previous generation has.
people dare to contact the biggest musicians in the world
It’s no coincidence that throughout history Bedford
and ask them to judge/publicly support the competi-
School, and the town itself, we have produced leaders
tion? Very few. As I mentioned before, we have seen so
in proportions that greatly outweighs our expectations.
many generous acts of kindness from people throughout
I wholeheartedly believe that we are part of a commu-
lockdown, so I believe that this is the best time ever to
nity that nurtures leaders and changemakers. You are
ask the most influential people in the world to support
surrounded by other people who are natural innovators
your initiative. We were a group of students who had 0
too. Use this opportunity to work with some of the most
connections in the world of music and technology. We
amazing young people in the world and bring your ideas
had a marketing budget of £0. All we had was a mission
to life. In a worst-case scenario, you will learn a lot from
and a willingness to be told ‘No.’ What you will find is 1
the experience. But, as we all witnessed with Captain
yes often leads to multiple yeses.
Tom and Benjie over this year, you never know when
You have to work hard to get that first yes. You have to email 100s if not 1000s of people, their managers, their
your idea will actually resonate and touch the hearts of millions all around the world!
labels, their colleagues but 1 yes opens so many doors. If your mission and purpose is strong enough I’m really
Floreat Schola Bedfordiensis
confident you will get the support you desire. It’s easier than ever to contact these previously untouchable peo-
Harry Beard, OB 2013-2018, St Peters
ple, often their emails are public on their Instagrams - an
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17
2020 HAS BEEN BY FAR THE MOST TURBULENT YEAR FOR THE STOCKMARKET, AND THE WIDER ECONOMY, FOR MANY YEARS
18
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Y E A R T O DATE MARKET RECAP J
A
M
E
S
C
U
T
L
E
R
In recent years, economic conditions have been
Officially, the crash started on the 20th of February.
far from stable. From the collapse of the global bank-
Global stocks closed down, as the number of coronavi-
ing system in 2008, to the Euro crisis in 2011, to the vol-
rus cases began to rise in the US and Europe. The fol-
atility caused by the Brexit vote in 2016, there are plenty
lowing week, 24th-28th February, global stocks began
of examples from previous years of market turbulence,
to plummet, as investors panicked and offloaded shares
perhaps too many. But 2020 has been by far the most
in companies with close links to China. Major US mar-
turbulent year for the stock market, and the wider econ-
kets had their worst week since October 2008, with the
omy, for many years. Traders have seen record highs,
DJIA dropping more than 12%. Elsewhere, European
record falls, record volatility and record recoveries. Certain
markets also fell, with the FTSE 100 falling more than
industries have had one of their most successful years
11%, shedding more than £200bn in a single week, with
on record, others have faltered, and some have been
airlines and hotel chains amongst those affected the
completely changed forever. Following the stock mar-
worst. The week’s drama was plain for everyone to see;
ket is never smooth, but this year has been especially
the best performing company on the DJIA that week,
difficult, even by recent standards.
3M, fell by almost 5%. That statistic alone was enough
It is often forgotten, given what it preceded, but the start of 2020 was incredibly positive for global markets,
of a prediction for many, of what might happen if the virus continued to spiral out of control.
especially in America. The main three American indices
Further to fears surrounding Covid-19, a growing
(Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq 100, S&P 500)
dispute between Saudi Arabia and Russia over oil sup-
all hit record highs in Mid-February, after seeing steady
ply, leading to Saudi Arabia announcing on the 8th of
growth throughout January and February. On the 12th
March that it would flood the market with discounted
of February, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), an
oil to customers in the US, increased concerns about the
index comprising 30 large companies that are listed in
price of crude oil. In terms of the oil market, it was the
the US, closed at 29,551 points, a record high in its 124-year
perfect storm. As former energy policy advisor to George
history. Exactly one week later, the S&P 500, a broader
W. Bush, Bob McNally, observed, ‘This is the first time
index that covers the 500 largest companies that are
since 1930 that a massive negative demand shock has
listed in the US, closed at its all-time high, 3,386 points.
coincided with a supply shock.’ The crisis with oil pro-
Neither index had seen significant levels of growth in the
vided the trigger for the latest burst of investor panic on
new year, but the small gains made were largely due to
Monday 9th of March, a day that would later become
the decision to maintain low interest rates and positive
known as Black Monday I.
forecasts for 2020 from major companies, such as Apple
Black Monday I was the worst day on Wall Street
and Tesla, that encouraged investors that 2020 could be
since 1987. Ever-growing fears surrounding the coronavi-
another strong year for the market. The record highs
rus, combined with the oil price war, led to equity prices
occurred just as the world was beginning the grapple
plummeting. The DJIA dropped almost 2,500 points (10%)
with the idea of the novel coronavirus, that was wreaking
in what was described as the ‘biggest ever fall in intra-
havoc within China. However, this still seemed unlikely to
day trading.’ The S&P 500 did not perform much better,
reach western economies, and cause market disruption,
closing down 7.6%. The crash was led by big oil compa-
and so investors remained optimistic. This fragile state
nies such as Chevron and ExxonMobil, which both fell
of positivity could not last forever, and indeed, it did not.
around 15% as oil prices crashed by 22%. The yields on US
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19
Treasury bonds fell to all-time lows, as investors rushed
the world announcing stimulus programmes to sup-
to put money in these safer investments. The panic also
port their failing economies, markets continued to fall.
saw the price of gold rise above $1,700 per ounce for the
On the 16th of March (later known as Black Monday II),
first time in seven years, as demand soared for the safe
despite the announcement of a $700 billion quantita-
haven metal. In Europe, the picture was not much better.
tive easing programme from the Federal Reserve over
The FTSE 100 fell 7.7%, its worst fall since October 2008.
the preceding weekend, American markets fell signif-
Circuit breakers were broken and billions of pounds were
icantly, as cases of Covid-19 began to rise. The S&P 500
shed. At the end of the day, nobody quite knew what
set a one-day record fall of 9.7%, the DJIA again eclipsed
would happen next.
its record points drop in a single day, this time shedding
Investors did not have to wait long for the next
2,997 points, a drop of around 13%.
big event. Three days, to be precise. On the night of
Markets continued to fall as case numbers contin-
Wednesday 11th of March, President of the United States,
ued to rise. Both US and UK markets finally hit the bot-
Donald Trump, announced a travel ban on visitors from
tom on the 23rd of March, the day that Boris Johnson
the Schengen Area. Any investors who still had any con-
announced a nationwide lockdown for the whole of the
fidence in the American and British markets caved, and
United Kingdom. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
the market proceeded to crash once again. The Dow
closed at 18,592 points, almost wiping out all gains made
Jones Industrial Average broke the record set just three
in the previous four years, a 37% decrease from the record
days previously, falling more than 10.5%; European stock
highs posted in mid-February. The FTSE 100 finished the
markets closed down more than 11%; oil prices continued
day at 4,994 points, a drop of 31% since the start of 2020.
to fall. This was the official end of the longest bull market
For both benchmarks, this was their lowest point in the
in market history, as indices had fallen more than 20%
crash, as both countries went into lockdown and their
from their recent highs, which had been achieved only
governments started to roll out stimulus packages. In
four weeks prior. The crash was made official.
the eyes of the stock market at least, we were through
Despite governments and central banks across
the worst of it, and things could only improve from here.
F I G U R E 1 : B L A C K M O N D AY I I , M O N D AY 1 6 M A R C H 2 0 2 0 S O U R C E : C N B C
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FIGURE 2: BIG TECH'S DOMINANCE IN 2020 SOURCE: BUSINESS INSIDER
April and May saw steady, uninterrupted market
the other 495 companies listed on the index, is simply
growth. Following their worst month since October 2008,
remarkable. As shown in the figure below, the remain-
both US and European markets bounced back strongly.
ing 495 companies had shed $1.61 trillion of their market
Despite warnings of a wave of mass unemployment and
capitalisation, since the start of 2020.
a significant downturn in economic growth, the S&P
Figure 3 illustrates the trend seen across the world,
500 recorded its strongest rally in 30 years, rising 12.7%
as the biggest technology companies saw revenues sky-
in April and 4.5% in May. Similarly, the FTSE 100 had a
rocket, due to the shift to working from home, whilst
strong start to the second quarter. April was its sec-
many traditional stock market powerhouses, such as
ond-best month for a decade, with a monthly return of
the oil and travel industries, saw their stock prices crum-
over 4%. Investors were buoyed by government stimulus
ble. This trend is reflected in the performance of the
programmes and the relaxing of lockdowns worldwide. But not every company enjoyed the success of a quick recovery. Yields varied drastically from sector to sector. One sector that was booming was Big Tech. Bespoke Investment Group calculated that, by the end of July, the five biggest companies listed on the S&P 500, Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Alphabet and Microsoft, had added $1.66 trillion to their market capitalisation. This achievement alone was impressive, but when compared with the performance of
F I G U R E 3 : S & P C H A N G E I N M A R K E T C A P I TA L I S AT I O N , Y E A R -T O - D AT E
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SOURCE: CNBC
21
tech-heavy, Nasdaq 100 index, which has produced a
between the stock market and the wider economy.
year-to-date return of 28%, compared with 6% for the S&P 500, further illustrating tech’s rise to the top.
Perhaps it was this confusion that led to a market correction in September. The S&P fell 3.9%, reflecting
For US equities, the remainder of the summer saw
concerns about the failure of Congress and the Federal
more continued, steady growth. The S&P 500 and DJIA
Government to agree on a new stimulus plan for the
finished the second quarter with modest gains in June,
economy. Furthermore, there was a large sell-off on tech
1.8% and 1.7% respectively, rounding off the most suc-
stocks, whose strong performances in 2020 had driven
cessful quarter for US equities since the fourth quarter
the recovery from the bear market. The general consen-
of 1998. The S&P 500 recorded a quarterly return of 20%,
sus was that these stocks were substantially overpriced,
with the Dow not far behind. Both indices were on track
and the subsequent correction showed the influx of new
to complete their recovery in record time.
investors that share prices do not always go up.
As lockdowns continued to be lifted, fears of a sec-
Despite September ending a five-month winning
ond wave were brushed aside, as investor confidence
streak for indices, the third quarter was positive for US
continued to drive the recovery. July saw returns of 5.5%
equities, with the Dow gaining 7.6%, the S&P 500 gain-
for the S&P 500, driven largely by big gains made by the
ing 8.5%, and the Nasdaq gaining 11% over the three
big five tech firms, 2.3% for the Dow, and 6.8% for the
months. 10 out of 11 sectors had positive returns, with
Nasdaq Composite.
Energy being the only exception (shedding another 20%
August was even better, with the S&P rising by 7%,
in total). The third quarter was certainly much more suc-
slightly behind the Dow, which rallied by 7.6% for the
cessful for the US market, than it was for the UK market.
month. August was a landmark month for the S&P 500,
In the UK, a range of different factors, including fears
as it officially completed its fastest ever recovery. On
about Brexit, a resurgence in Covid-19, and weak eco-
Tuesday 18th of August, 126 trading days since its last
nomic data showing that the economy was not making
peak, the index reached a new record high, closing at
the swift recovery that many economists had hoped for.
3,390. Bullish investors had driven the market to all-time
All this meant that the FTSE 100 was fairly flat throughout
highs, again, choosing to ignore the grim economic
the entire third quarter, with no significant gains or losses
reality and focus on potentially overvalued, booming
in the months of July, August, and September. Overall,
tech-stocks that had driven the market to the top, at an
the index fell by 0.6% for the quarter. This flatlining was in
unprecedented pace. Aside from the feelings of eupho-
stark contrast to US markets and illustrated that the two
ria, there was genuine confusion, amongst both investors
countries were not making the same economic recovery,
and the general public, over the apparent disconnect
with the UK lagging behind its transatlantic partner. For
F I G U R E 4 : S & P 5 0 0 V S F T S E 1 0 0 P E R F O R M A N C E , Y E A R T O D AT E S O U R C E : T R A D I N G E C O N O M I C S
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British investors, the outlook was considerably gloomier than it was for their American counterparts. 2020 has not been straightforward for the stock market. At times, it has seemed almost ludicrous. But as we approach the end of the year and reflect, there are plenty of things to think about, aside from the general crash and recovery, and the record-breaking nature of both. The market has seen a big shake-up, with Big Tech staking its claim as the new dominant power, Big Oil fading, renewable energy beginning to take off, and a shake-up of the retail, travel, and leisure sectors. These are not all positives, many have lost jobs in those sectors hardest hit, but they all represent the facts, and investors have to adapt to new market conditions. 2020 has been an incredibly significant year for the stock market; its impacts will be felt for many years to come. In the UK, market forces have caused share prices to flatline over the summer, perhaps representing problems with the wider economy and within the political establishment. In the US, stocks have rallied incredibly, pulling off the fastest recovery since records began, but underlying concerns surrounding the robustness of the market, combined with ever-growing political chaos, mean that the threat of another correction, or worse, remains a frightening possibility. What will the future bring for the stock market? Well, if 2020 is anything to go by, there is no way of really knowing.
Sources: 1. Financial Times: https://www.ft.com/markets Wall Street Journal: https://www.wsj.com/news/markets The Economist: https://www.economist.com/markets-data BBC News: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business CNBC: https://www.cnbc.com/markets/ https://am.jpmorgan.com/gb/en/asset-management/adv/insights/market-insights/ https://www.schroders.com/en/mt/professional-investor/insights/
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22 33
T HE O RI GINS OF P OL ITIC S BY A LF R E D W I LLCOC KS
24
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PHOTO BY JAVIER QUIROGA ON UNSPLASH
Classical antiquity was a patchwork of political sys-
became more equally distributed within the city and citi-
tems; very rarely would so many states have conformed
zenship became a gift that was sought after, rather than
to a singular arrangement as the world does today with
taken for granted. On the point of citizenship, it is impor-
democracy being the clear top seed. Athens, which is
tant to mention a very unequivocal distinction from the
often regarded as the birthplace of democracy, was
present day; only Athenian men, with Athenian parents
fraught with attempted coups d’etat, some of which
could be classed as a citizen. Women, children, slaves,
were highly beneficial for the city. With the constant
and those from outside of Athens were ineligible for a
apprehension and speculation regarding world politics
citizenship, which apart from just politics, barred them
currently, I believe it would be most beneficial to take a
from most public events, such as festivals and plays. An unmissable feature to mention is how the offi-
step back and sojourn the origins of our political system,
cials were elected, an aspect which I believe determi-
along with the digressions that accompany it. To truly gain an insight into the beginnings of demo-
nes the true extent of democracy. Almost every position
cracy, one must go back to the 6th century in Athens; at
in Athens was elected through a vote or by sortition,
the time, the city was controlled by the eupatridai (noble
both with their own caveats to protect against corrup-
men). One can view the eupatridai as a ruling elite- they
tion. Every vote had a quota; a minimum number of citi-
favoured the city when they held the power and were
zens must be involved in the vote for it to be legitimate.
not supporters of the distribution of power that demo-
Typically, this quota was around 6,000 men, a number
cracy brought. Democracy (demokratia) itself is com-
which was too large for a bribe, but was small enough
prised of two Greek words, demos meaning people and
to be feasibly attained. Quotas varied depending on the
kratos meaning power; so, in this way, it is evident that
importance of the vote, but they were always in place.
the goal of democracy was to involve as much of the
Similarly, sortition was virtually impartial; the names of
population as possible in running the city.
citizens were written on tokens (pinakia) and were pla-
There are two main men that I would credit with the introduction of democracy, Solon and Cleisthenes, both of whom introduced a set of reforms that made gradual changes within the city and promoted a more constitutional way of ruling. Solon lived in a time that was dominated by tyrants and oligarchs, which continued to be the most antagonistic threat to democratic rule for centuries to come. Solon’s reforms focused on three main affairs- the economic, political, and legal state of Athens; these reforms combatted tyranny through deeds, such as the abolishment of slavery and rearranging the class system on wealth rather than birth. While not perfect and not immediately accepted, Solon was able to lay the foundations for democracy with these reforms and pave the way for others to develop upon his ideas. Cleisthenes, nicknamed the father of democracy, was given the title as his reforms can be viewed as the greatest step towards a system that a modern reader might label as a democracy. The bulk of these reforms were centred around what it meant to be an Athenian citizen and the gravitas that surrounded it. Cleisthenes split the city into different political constituencies, called demes, that became the way in which a citizen was identified, rather than his name. The demes were also portioned into tribes, the primary system used to elect
ced in the kleroterion, a randomized sortition machine that was used until the requisite number of citizens were selected. Both had their disadvantages, such as the human element of a vote or the fact that even the most unqualified man could be chosen through sortition, but both were seen as superior choices over an oligarchy. A great question to ask is “why?”. What is the point of knowing the origins of the most common political system? While there is no definitive answer, I believe it is useful to understand and appreciate the background, on which so many nations are built, as it serves to be a great reminder of why democracy was established in the first place; many even view the right to vote and take part in politics as a compelling factor behind freedom. If I were to summarise, I would use this quotation by Lailah Gifty Akita; “the present defines the future. The future builds on the foundation of the past.” While an understanding of ancient politics may not necessarily help one to understand the turmoil of contemporary affairs, it provides a brilliant insight into the similarities between antiquity and modern day, as well as the benefits it provided to both those in the past in order to be so distinguished 2,500 years after it was established and how we can best utilise it today in order to improve the lives of many.
state officials, which gave a much better representation of citizens from across Athens. Henceforth, power
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25
HOW MUCH IS YOUR LIFE WORTH? BY O SC AR CA L VERT In the ancient Egyptian underworld, the heart of the
VSL is more of an estimate of willingness to pay for small
deceased was weighed against the feather of Maat, the
reductions in mortality risks rather than how much a
goddess of truth and virtue. If it was heavier, the fate of
human life is worth.
the condemned would be decided and their soul would
Although many would argue that the value they
be destroyed. Economics uses slightly more sophisti-
place on their life is infinite, our personal decisions reveal
cated means to determine someone's fate, putting the
that this is not the case. There are limits to the amount
value of a life into pounds and pence. Don’t worry, I won't
we would pay for marginal increases in safety (for exam-
attempt to solve the complex philosophical and ethical
ple, expensive safety features in cars), and increases
questions surrounding this topic, just the way it is treated in economics and government policy. The concept of placing a monetary value on a life is not new; old Anglo-Saxon law described the ‘wergild’ or ‘bode’ - a sum of money which was to be paid to the family of a murder victim by the perpetrator. A person’s ‘wergild’ was based on their wealth and would therefore increase throughout the lifetime of an individual as they gained land and possessions. If the perpetrator was unable to afford this sum, then they were sold into slavery or sent into exile. Both the Bible and Koran include similar concepts on compensation to be paid to family members of those murdered. The leading measure in use now is called the value of a statistical life (VSL). It is calculated through a revealed preference approach, which finds the price people are willing to pay to reduce a certain risk. For example, suppose 1000 people are asked what they would pay to reduce their chance of death by 1 in 1000 (0.1%) over the next year. This reduction in risk would mean that, by the next year, there would be 1 fewer death amongst the group. The value of the statistical life is the total amount the group would be willing to pay. In short, the
22 66 2 6
in occupational risk of death are often accepted if the monetary compensation is enough (evidenced in the existence of hazard pay). So, what is the value of a VSL? The truth is: it varies massively. According to the US Department of Transportation, it is $9.6 million, this is similar to the US Environmental Protection Agency estimate of $9.1 million. In the UK, studies have shown the value to be around £7-13 million ($9.05-$16.8 million). However, the variety comes in countries of different income levels: a 2000 literature review found that VSL had an income elasticity of 0.6, meaning that it increases and decreases with income, for instance, Turkey (a developing country) has a VSL of $500,000 (PPP). The VSL has wide reaching applications, particularly surrounding the appraisal of the benefits added due to a new policy or act passed by the government. For example, a 1990 US study used cost benefit analysis to discuss whether the 1970 Clean Air Act had been worth the cost it had imposed on the government and businesses. Public health experts and economists calculated the estimated deaths and disabilities which would have taken place if action had not been taken, and the
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cost on the economy. The result was pretty indisputa-
NICE does impose limits. And cancer drugs, in particu-
ble: the benefits of $5.6 to $49.4 trillion vastly outwei-
lar, often cost much more than that and so get refused
ghed the economic costs of $523 billion.
by NICE for being too expensive. 55,000 cancer patients
This technique is being used to assess the effectiveness of COVID-19 lockdowns. At the start of the pan-
have been forced to buy their own cancer drugs, and this number is only increasing.
demic, experts estimated 500 thousand deaths in the
How does the use of QALYs affect our gauge of
UK if nothing was done. Assuming 1 VSL = £10 million,
lockdown effectiveness? A Department of Health and
then if an economic lockdown in the UK saves most of
Social Care study claims that by March 2021, the direct
these lives, and costs less than £5 trillion, then it would
loss of life from COVID-19 despite lockdown will amount
seem to be value for money. However, most of those
to 530,000 QALYs. It also claims that a reduction of road
who would die of COVID would be elderly people: and
accidents during lockdown saved 30,000 QALYs, and
a VSL is worth less for older people. This is where a new
that the adoption of healthier lifestyles will save another
measure comes in: the QALY.
30,000 QALYs. However, reduced access to A&E services,
The QALY (Quality Adjusted Life Year) is the maxi-
it estimates, will cost 41,000 QALYs, and early discharge
mum cost that a medical provider is willing to pay for
from hospital, as well as reduced access to elective sur-
a theoretical year of perfect health. The utility value of
gery, GPs services and so on will cost another 73,000
1 QALY is scored from 0 to 1, 1 being perfect health and
QALYs. In the longer term, the postponement of non-ur-
0 being dead (negative QALYs are sometimes used to
gent medical care will cost 45,000 QALYs, the effects of
reflect health states deemed ‘worse than dead.’). Medical
recession will take 157,000 QALYs and increased depri-
providers then work out a £/QALY and multiply utility
vation, as a result of a smaller economy, 294,000 QALYs.
value by years lived in that state and by £/QALY. This
This seems pretty devastating. However, the study also
value is used to develop a cost-effectiveness analysis of
provides an estimate for a ‘non-mitigation’ scenario, in
any treatment, which informs the NHS on whether they
which there was no lockdown. In this case, it claims, there
can afford to give a treatment in a specific case. This has
would have been 3,000,000 QALYs lost from COVID-19
led to debates over drug purchasing decisions, speci-
plus a further 7,400,000 QALYs lost from other causes
fically cancer drugs. NICE (National Institute for Health
due to the NHS being overwhelmed. From this, you
and Care Excellence) aims to spend less than £20,000
can see that lockdown will save 9,320,000 QALYs. This
to £30,000 per QALY. That is not a hard limit; it will go
shows that although the health impacts from a lock-
almost twice as high for end-of-life drugs. NICE accepts
down and lockdown induced recession are greater in
that, at the very end, a small amount of extra time can
terms of QALYs than the direct COVID-19 deaths, the
seem to be worth a lot more to patients and families. But
cost of doing nothing would be far greater.
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P H O T O B Y N I J WA M S WA R G I A R Y O N U N S P L A S H
28
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THE D AN G E R O U S G R O WT H O F SN O WFL A K I S M BY BEN BARNES
A spectre is haunting society the spectre of snowflakism. And it is dangerous. Really dangerous.
how virtuous they were and less about eradicating holocaust denial from society, the snowflakes got what they wanted. Holocaust denial was sent underground, where it may flourish no longer held to account by the intellectuals of our nation’s finest institution.
It may be a cliché to draw on the ancient wisdom
Believing someone’s views to be wrong is never a
of Voltaire, who was said to have written the line ‘I may
good reason for silencing them. As founding father of
disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the
liberal democracy J.S. Mill wrote ‘Either the person is
death your right to say it!’. But, never has such a quip
not wrong, in which case silencing them deprives you of
seemed so relevant. The recent rise of the ‘snowflake’ -
the opportunity to exchange error for truth, or they are
the hypersensitive individual who insists on silencing,
wrong, in which case your opinion will be strengthened
cancelling or de-platforming those who differ in opi-
by its collision with error.’ (Page 19, On Liberty, 1859). The
nion - alarms me as a supporter of liberal democracy,
moment we decide that we are going to show why a
and I feel it is necessary to explain why.
particular view is wrong, rather than suppress and cen-
The first point that must be made is that snow-
sor it, the world begins to cleanse itself of viewpoints
flakism allows unfounded and bigoted viewpoints to
that are not founded on reason. Take the example of
fester. By silencing offensive, prejudice, or racist indi-
Nick Griffin. In 2009, the then-leader of the far-right
viduals, we devoid ourselves of the opportunity to take
British National Party (BNP) was invited to appear on
apart such views and show why they are not based on
the BBC’s debating infamous show ‘Question Time’.
reason. In November 2007, Holocaust denier David Irving
This was a controversial decision at the time; Griffin had
was controversially invited to speak to the Oxford Union.
a history of racist remarks, holocaust denial, and had
This was a perfect opportunity to subject his pseudo-
claimed he was proud to be associated with the fascist
-historical theories to meticulous scrutiny; a room full of
Oswald Mosely. Hence, over 500 people stood outside
Oxford undergraduates and academics sat waiting to
the BBC TV Centre, protesting his appearance. They
pick them apart. Instead, this golden ticket was inter-
argued that by giving him a platform, the BBC were
rupted by a group of snowflake protesters who insis-
legitimizing his bigoted views, which would lead to a
ted on sticking their fingers in their ears and throwing
surge in support for them. Did the snowflake mob get
Irving out of the Union. Caring more about signalling
it right in their predictions?
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29
In shorthand; No. The BBC stood by their decision to
form of oppression poses a perilous threat to students
invite him onto the show, faithful that the panel, David
alike. Shielded in an echo-chamber of ideological ortho-
Dimbleby, and other members of the audience would
doxy, they risk growing up without ever having been
expose his backward views for the toxic nonsense that
exposed to views they may find upsetting. This is shown
they were. Indeed, the BBC got it right - and support
to have detrimental effects on their mental health, as
for Griffin and the BNP nosedived after the debate.
Jonathan Haidt and Greg Lukianoff point out in The
Beforehand, the BNP had been on the ascendant; it had
Coddling of the American Mind (2018); ‘robust mental
just got 2 MEPs elected to the European Parliament and
health depends upon learning to deal with challenge
it had 55 local councillors. After Griffin’s appearance on
and conflict and becoming resilient in the face of oppo-
Question Time - after people had had the opportunity
sition’. Hence, it is essential to student well-being that
to cross-examine and expose his views to the disinfec-
we continue to provide them with viewpoints that will
tant of human reason - this support base crumbled. In
challenge and stimulate their intellect; and we must
the next Local County Elections in 2013, the BNP were
make an active effort to not let our rampant desire to
left with a grand total of 2 borough councils in England
signal our wokeness get in the way of their cognitive
- and in the 2014 election it lost both its seats. What
development.
this shows is that, by giving a platform to those whose
We should also remember that today’s heresy
views we disagree with or find offensive, we are able
can become tomorrow’s credo. How fortunate we are
to defeat them. Silencing them is simply not the way
that the Wilberforces, the Pankhursts, and the Martin
forward; Snowflakism is simply not the answer.
Luther-Kings of this world were not silenced by snow-
A further danger of snowflakism is that it creates
flakes because they offended the society of their time.
a generation who value emotion over reason. By prea-
There appears to be a certain naivety amongst those
ching the notion that intellectuals are wrong simply
on the left that, because it is mostly those who sit on
because their views may be emotionally upsetting or
the right ideologically who fall victim to snowflakism, it
offensive to some, we are inadvertently instilling a desire
is not necessary to defend this fundamental right. Yet,
to value emotion over reason in society. The impact
we must remember how quickly the winds of change
this may have on our generation is massively concer-
in public opinion can blow. In due course - when the
ning. Take the case of bioethicist Peter Singer. After an
fortune wheel turns - the left may find themselves a
array of snowflakism infiltrated the universities of New
silenced victim of this very snowflake culture. In fact,
Zealand, Singer became a victim of this cancel-cultu-
this has already started to happen, as many social jus-
re-craze and was ‘no-platformed’ on a number of occa-
tice warriors begin to silence gender-critical progres-
sions following his philosophical writings on euthanasia,
sives like Germaine Greer - one of the major voices in
abortion and new born infanticide. Rather than seek to
the radical feminist movement of the late 20th century.
subject his views to meticulous rational scrutiny, stu-
Hence, it does not matter where you fall on the politi-
dents were taught to value their emotional response
cal spectrum, you must continue to support our fun-
to ideas over their faculty of human reason. Indeed, the
damental right to free speech and not let snowflakism
result of this shift in value system is already starting to
grow any further.
corrode society, as many begin to behave just as their
In essence, my solution is that we must stop ‘calling-
institutions have taught them. Singer himself has since
-out’ and start ‘calling-in’. Next time you hear a particular
experienced a number of death threats, and was even
viewpoint that you dislike, do not silence it. Defeat it. Try
physically assaulted on stage while trying to give a lec-
to the best of your ability - using your intellect and rea-
ture in Germany. The cure to this illness stands evident
son - to think about where the flaw lies in that opinion.
before us; we must return to the age where students
Because we do not live in Maoist China, we do not live
were taught to tackle new ideas using their brain, and
in the Orwellian Oceania, and the clocks do not strike
not their heart. As the father of European Enlightenment
Thirteen. Perhaps you do not like a certain viewpoint
Immanuel Kant put it: ‘life without reason and mora-
expressed in this magazine - if that is the case, write to
lity has no value’.
the Editor explaining why. Be grateful that this maga-
It is not only the academics like Singer who will suffer at the hands of snowflakism. Rather, this all-pervasive
30
zine is not entitled Pravda, and indulge in all the luxuries available in our tolerant liberal society.
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P H O T O B Y M I T YA I VA N O V O N U N S P L A S H
PHOTO BY UNSEEN HISTORIES ON UNSPLASH
F L FOLROERAETA T
31
TO AS S U ME MA KES AN A* * O UT O F U AND ME B Y
D A V I D
A D E Y E M I
Surprised? No. Frustrated? Meh. Encouraged? Yes. The preceding was my reaction
her client.
to reading about Alexandra Wilson: a black barrister,
taken for a defendant, Alexandra was presumed to be a
who was mistaken for a defendant three times in one
journalist by a member of the public, who told her that
day at court.
“only lawyers can go in'' the courtroom. She was misre-
Sad to say, I was not surprised when reading about
Further to the three incidents where she was mis-
cognised by professionals (i.e. the lawyer and clerk), and non-professionals alike.
the occurrence.
On tweeting about her
Alexandra Wilson,
experience, while she did
an Oxford University
receive lots of support from
graduate, now barris-
people across the profession,
ter, recently received
her account was scrutinised.
an apology from court
One contention was
off icials, having been
whether her race was the only
mistaken for a defen-
thing which differentiated her
dant three times in one
from others. This is a fair point
day. Upon arrival at the
to raise. After all, not all racial
Magistrates’ Court, she
differences are as a result of
was asked by a security
racism. However, Alexandra
officer for her name, so
notes that there were white
that he could tick her off the list of defendants. She explained that she was a barrister. He apologised and guided her through security. Next, having met with her client, Alexandra went into the courtroom, to discuss the case with the prosecutor. She was told by a lawyer to get out and to wait, and sign in for her case with the usher. Again, she explained that she was the barrister, to which the lawyer responded “I see” and looked away - embarrassed. As she began to walk towards the prosecutor, she was shouted at by the clerk (who advises the magistrate on the law). Alexandra was ordered to wait for her case to come on. Yet again, she explained that she was the barrister. The clerk nodded and turned her head back to her computer. At the end of this all, Alexandra said that she was “absolutely exhausted”. Notwithstanding this, she had to represent
32
men and women, young and old, who walked freely, in and out of the court. In fact, as magistrates’ courts are where the least serious crimes are usually heard, it is common to see young lawyers. Another potential argument was with regards to her appearance. The stereotypical image of a lawyer assumes a formal dress code including a wig and gown. Hence, one of the points people raised against this being a case of racism, was that she was not wearing a wig or gown. However, this case occurred at a magistrates’ court. At such courts, barristers’ traditional gowns and wigs are not typically worn. Moreover, there were clear signs that she was a legal representative, such as her black suit and her laptop (which was sticking out of her handbag). In her own words “There MUST be something about my face
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that says “not a barrister” because I am literally wearing a black suit like everyone else.”
Perhaps another reason I was not frustrated was a resentment of ‘the victim mentality’. Someone once
Therefore, the facts strongly suggest that this was
said that the easiest way to enslave someone, is to teach
a string of multiple, racist incidents born from prejudi-
them that they are a victim. I think this holds true. When
cial bias.
someone believes they are a victim, they have an excuse
Her Majesty’s Courts and Tribunals Service said that this was “totally unacceptable behaviour”.
anytime something does not work out. Such a mentality is dangerous. It is important to recognise injustices, no
For Alexandra, she is less concerned about not being recognised as a barrister. The crux of the matter is that
question. However, we should not allow them to define and dictate our lives.
she, because of her skin colour, was consistently assu-
As an aspiring lawyer myself, I am encouraged.
med as a defendant - as a criminal. She has experienced
I am encouraged to see more people speaking up
similar incidents, numerous times before. For example,
about the issue. Not long ago, such discrimination would
there have been times when her white clients have been
be kept in the dark. But now there seems to be a grea-
approached and assumed as the barrister. She tweeted
ter awareness of prejudices. Individuals and institutions
on this occasion, because it occurred so many times on
are more open to discussions and we are more willing
the same day.
to educate ourselves.
“The fact that other black people in my profession
"For me it's not about these people being punished
weren’t surprised by my experience after I shared it on
or told off, or sanctioned at work," said Ms Wilson. "What's
Twitter last week highlights how much of a systemic issue
more important is that people learn from these expe-
this is. The problem is they’re seeing the same group of
riences... because I don't think this is about three indivi-
people coming into the court all day, every day.”
duals going out of their way to be malicious." There is limited benefit in chastising those who
Whilst the incident was certainly irksome, I would
make assumptions. Not only because we all do it, but
not say that I was frustrated. We know that it is important to talk about issues: to ‘get them off your chest’. However, it is also healthy and
also because it ostracises those who are in need of education the most.
at times advisable, to take your mind off such issues: to
On that day, there was one person who did believe
‘clear your head’. Unfortunately, racial microaggressions
Alexandra could be the barrister. An usher told her to
can have a macro impact. If they are allowed to get to
ignore the member of the public who said that she could
you, a transition from disappointment to anger can take
not enter the courtroom. It is ironic that the court per-
place. There is so much more to people than their skin
sonnel with the least power, showed the most humanity.
colour. People are more nuanced than the oversimpli-
Following the event, Alexandra Wilson hopes that
fications and labels attached to them. There are funda-
there will be “real change”.
mental facets of a human being that have much more
"Real change" is a communal responsibility. It requi-
worth than the superficialities of their skin. As much as
res us all to question our actions. Rather than making
possible, it is preferable to shed light on these.
assumptions about people, why not just ask?
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33
THE END OF A GOLDEN ERA:
EX AMI N ING BR I TA I N' S R EL AT ION S W IT H C H IN A BY KARISSA SING H
For many years, China’s impact on the UK’s economy has reaped strong relations and successful trade deals,
allowed the tech company to supply 35% of the UK's 5G equipment.
with China being the UK’s sixth largest export market,
The UK made the decision that Huawei will be
and an estimated £1.7bn being added to the British eco-
banned from its 5G networks by 2027, and that no new
nomy from Chinese students’ tuition fees. These figures
Huawei 5G kits can be bought after 31st December 2020.
were a testament to the period of strong and construc-
Britain’s actions followed the lead of President Trump’s
tive relations between the two countries, and even led to
decision to ban Huawei on suspicion that Huawei’s 5G
George Osbourne - chancellor of the exchequer in 2015
equipment and technological presence in the Q
- hailing the period as “the golden decade”.
West was being used by the Chinese Communist
Little did anyone know how drastically things were going to change.
Party as a means of spying, thus posing a serious security risk to the US. From May 2020, the US imposed
Britain’s relationship with China has since slumped;
heavy sanctions on the company, preventing it from
Boris Johnson’s government has taken a much harder
using microchips from US suppliers. Subsequently, the
approach towards China and its policies. In particular,
National Security Centre - part of the spy agency GCHQ
the pressing conflicts emerging from the controversial
- was asked by the UK government to analyse Huawei’s
ban of Huawei - a Chinese technological company that
security. The results were game-changing for British-
sells equipment, telecommunications and consumer
Chinese trade relations: Huawei’s equipment could not
electronics - aiding the building of the UK’s 5G network,
be considered safe if reliant on non-US components.
and the ongoing crisis in Hong Kong, have increased
The resulting ban not only sparked conflict between the
hostility between the two countries.
company and Britain, but was also met with criticism,
On Tuesday 14th July 2020, Britain announced that
with some MPs asking for stricter actions to be made.
it would ban Huawei from its 5G equipment and mobile
Rebel leader Ian Duncan-Smith MP questioned “...why
services in the UK - a move that shocked China, as it was
are there not risks [with Huawei] generally?” and claimed
a stark U-turn from a previous plan which would have
that the entire company should be banned from the UK
34
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- an opinion that is currently held by roughly 60 MPs. In
in the slow lane...and deepen the digital divide”. In fact,
response to the UK’s decision, President Trump’s natio-
an estimated £2bn cost would be expected to burden
nal security advisor, Robert O’Brien, hailed his appro-
consumers. Although China has rejected claims of spying
val stating “the reported UK action reflects a growing
via Huawei equipment, it will be unlikely that any chan-
international consensus that Huawei and other untrus-
ges to the sanctions imposed on the tech company will
ted vendors pose a threat to national security, as they
be made.
remain beholden to the Chinese Communist party. We
Conversely, some MPs view the decisions against
look forward to working with the UK… to spur innovation,
China as signs of Sinophobia within Parliament, stating
promote vendor diversity in the 5G supply chain, and
that their colleagues “don’t really understand China”.
ensure 5G security free from dangerous manipulations.”
They argue that the attitudes of the US parties from the
Nevertheless, the banning of Huawei 5G could put
latest elections are beginning to infect British politics
Britain in the firing line for retaliation and cyber-attacks,
and that many people are trying to use China as a sca-
further increasing tensions between Britain and China.
pegoat just as the EU “had been a scapegoat in recent
The ban appeared to be a display of the UK and US’ lack
years”, as proclaimed by Robert Graham, chairman MP
of trust in China, despite their strong trade relations, and
of the All-Party Parliamentary China Group.
was condemned by Liu Xiaoming, China’s ambassador
The Huawei ban may be viewed by some as a mas-
to the UK, who stated it was a “disappointing and wrong
sive yet necessary blow to relations, yet more issues that
decision by the UK on Huawei. It has become questiona-
would be detrimental to Sino-British relations were still
ble whether the UK can provide an open, fair and non-
to come.
-discriminatory business environment for companies
One of the greatest points of deterioration followed
from other countries.” Whilst also causing relations to
as a result of the Hong Kong extradition bill that propo-
plummet, the Huawei ban is a decision feared by many
sed the allowance of extradition to mainland China, as
to cause added pressure upon the UK economy, with a
well as China’s proposal of a new national security law. In
local spokesman commenting that it will push “Britain
simple terms, extradition is the process by which a state
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35
can send a suspected criminal back to the requesting
criminal suspected of committing a crime in the UK, and
state for breaking one of the country’s laws, even if the
vice versa, but China’s proposed security law meant that
crime was committed outside of the criminal’s state of
suspects could be sent to China where they could face
refuge. The changes to the bill allowed the Hong Kong
stringent judicial measures such as life-sentences being
government to consider extradition requests from any
imposed on pro-democracy protestors. Additionally,
country, meaning that many criminals could be sent
Boris Johnson’s decision to offer settlement and oppor-
to mainland China for trials. Despite the government
tunities for citizenship to 2.6 million Hongkongers and
erasing certain offences such as tax evasion, to prevent
330,000 British National Overseas (BNO) passport hol-
destabilisation within the business community, critics
ders - an attempt to provide safety amidst the threat
warned that the bill could expose numerous Hong Kong
from the national security law - made it appear that the
citizens to flawed and unfair trials and treatment by the
UK was actively disapproving of and opposing China’s
Chinese state judicial system, thus crippling Hong Kong’s
policies by meddling in their affairs, adding more ten-
autonomy. The looming concern was that China would
sion to relations.
have greater influence and control over Hong Kong,
Britain’s offer applies to all BNO passport holders and
and it would cause difficulties for many Hongkongers
their dependents, and was commented on by Foreign
working in mainland China.
Secretary Dominic Raab as “a special, bespoke, set of
It was for this reason that, from April 2019, millions of
arrangements developed for the unique circumstances
protestors gathered together, equipped with gasmasks,
we face in light of our historic commitment to the peo-
lasers and even petrol bombs. After violent months of
ple of Hong Kong”. Mr Raab continued saying he wan-
protest including a policeman shooting a man in the
ted a positive relationship with China, but Beijing had
chest and a stand-off between police and students on
broken its promise to the people of Hong Kong through
the campus of Hong Kong Polytechnic University, the
its ‘flagrant assault’ on freedom of speech and right of
bill was suspended in September that year. Yet the pro-
peaceful assembly. The Chinese government strongly
testing didn’t stop, people wanted freedom - complete
condemned Britain’s actions, deeming it had no right
freedom, without the fear of the bill being reinstated.
or sovereignty over Hong Kong, and stated that Britain
Not only this, but protesters wanted universal suffrage
will have to bear the consequences of its “irresponsible
for their citizens as well as amnesty for those who were
remarks” and actions regarding Hong Kong. China’s
arrested during some of the largest protests that have
ambassador to the UK, Liu Xiaming, remarked that gran-
occurred since Hong Kong was handed over to China
ting residency was a violation of agreement between
in 1997. It was evident that Hong Kong did not want to
China and the UK; China’s response was a clear indica-
be under the control of China’s legal system. Following
tion of disapproval and crumbling relations. Though it
concerns not only from protesters and citizens, but also
is not exactly clear as to what countermeasures China
organisations such as a US congressional commission
will impose on the UK, there is no doubt that the short-
and the European Union, Carrie Lam - current leader
-lived Golden Era of Anglo-Chinese relations has come
of Hong Kong - regarded the bill as ‘dead’ and later it
to an end.
was scrapped by LegCo (the legislative council of Hong Kong) in October 2019.
Whilst it is undeniable that relations between the two countries have worsened, who is to blame? Could
But how does this affect Sino-British relations?
Britain's actions on Hong Kong and Huawei be seen as
From the handing over of Hong Kong - a former
a gross interference and mistrust for China’s handling of
British colony - to China in 1997, both countries made an
affairs, or simply as pragmatic decisions that had to be
agreement to regard Hong Kong as ‘one country, two
taken to protect their best interests? And although the
systems’: Hong Kong could have its own legal system,
Huawei ban and the Hong Kong bill play major roles in
borders, and freedoms of press and speech. This agree-
worsening British-Chinese relations, these are only two
ment is known as the Joint Declaration and was set to
out of many grave situations which both countries have
last until 2047. However, the new security law enforced
had to face over the past year. Britain and China may not
by China was seen as a violation of this agreement, but
agree with many policies and decisions taken by each
more significantly, it opposed the UK's decision to ban
other, but will they be able to reach an agreement to
its extradition treaty with Hong Kong. Currently, the UK
improve relations and stabilise them once again?
authorities can ask Hong Kong authorities to hand over a
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33 7
A C AS E AG AIN S T LO CK D O W N B Y O R L A N D O W I L L I A M S President Trump recently tweeted: “Don’t be afraid
worried about contracting the virus. However I believe
of Covid! Don’t let it dominate your life.” By the time
that this sharp rise of fear in little over one month has
you finish this article and whether or not you agree
something to do with media scaremongering.
with me or with Trump, I would like everyone to take away this message of optimism.
Leaked worst-case scenario data by the media and taken out of context by yellow press does not do the public any good. Before the March lockdown, Imperial
During my soporific summer holidays, I gained a
College London’s (ICL) ‘Report 9’ modelled 500,000
new appreciation for politics and remember one ques-
deaths without any action taken and 250,000 deaths
tion in particular: “Should we question all authority?”
without further restrictions put in place. Even the US, at
This led me to question the legitimacy of lockdowns.
the time of writing this, has not surpassed these num-
Shortly before finishing this piece, Boris Johnson annou-
bers, despite not all states locking down and having a
nced a four week long national lockdown making this
significantly larger population than the UK. To be clear, I
topic all the more relevant. I will try to describe my thou-
am not criticising the statisticians. Speculatory ‘informa-
ghts on the current situation and what should happen.
tion’, especially at the early stages of a pandemic should
In my view, instead of lockdowns, there should be a
not be available for the public eye. In fact, there are so
shielding system like the one that ‘The Great Barrington
many examples of these blunders, that The Spectator
Declaration’ suggests. The March lockdown clearly did
published a ‘Top Ten Worst Covid Data Failures’.
not completely extinguish the virus. With the govern-
There has been notable vocal opposition in the US,
ment seemingly unwilling to implement a short dra-
Elon Musk, for example, defiantly reopened his Tesla
conian lockdown to extinguish the virus like many East
plant in California. Likewise, a now political campaign
Asian countries, my view is that a second meretricious
by a local gym owner to keep his business open is figh-
lockdown would cause more harm than benefit. What
ting fines of $15,000 a day. It would be iniquitous for any
I have noticed during these past few months during
government to impose restrictions on those busines-
the pandemic is a general acceptance of this situation.
ses willing to take the necessary precautions. Instead
Despite a few deceptively loud voices and some gene-
governments should set recommendations. The busi-
ral querulous Tory bashing on social media, a surprising
nesses that are not willing to comply will then face the
majority of Britons support lockdowns. 78% of people in
economic consequences of a drop in customers and
a YouGov survey supported the lockdowns with 44% of
therefore revenues. Recently, Dr David Nabarro from
people strongly supporting it. Contrast this to America
the World Health Organisation spoke clearly on the
where support for and against lockdowns are roughly
issue and appealed to governments across the world to
even and of course, wavering on party lines. I believe
stop relying on lockdowns. He emphasised the impact
that this support for lockdowns is partly due to a level
it would have on world poverty levels. Despite having
of ‘covidphobia’.
scepticism for the World Health Organisation, I believe
Throughout this pandemic, we have been bom-
that he is absolutely right.
barded with everything ‘coronavirus’, even to the point
Lockdowns have also been terrible for the natio-
where Brexit was a forgotten matter. It is hard to read
nal economy. A Harvard study found that Covid-19 and
the papers without seeing the word ‘coronavirus’. This
the associated lockdowns in the U.S. will cost over $16
blitz from the media has not done us any good. In a
trillion. This is over “twice the monetary outlay for all
survey in March, only 24% of adults surveyed feared
the wars the US has fought since 9/11 including those in
contracting the virus. However, by the end of April, 56%
Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria.” Meanwhile the UK govern-
were scared. Of course, everyone has the right to be
ment debt has hit a record £2.024 trillion. Government
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stimulus money and furlough support schemes have minimised the large impact Covid-19 has had on people. However, this cannot continue forever. Cycles of lockdowns and huge government spending and borrowing cannot be the new normal. The first lockdown has likely caused drastic effects on the academic progress of children. A Harvard University & Brown University joint study of 800,000 American students using an online math program before and after schools closed noted a 50% drop in progress in low-income areas. The average student in these areas could fall back seven months. Given this, I am glad that for the second lockdown, the UK government has decided to keep schools open. This decision will also undoubtedly help the youth with mental health and abuse problems. A U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) report found that (in the U.S.) over 20% of child abuse cases were reported by teachers. This roughly aligns with National Police Chiefs Council data where there was a 25% reduction in abuse reports. Adults have also been adversely affected and unfortunately will continue to be. A quarter of adults felt loneliness compared to the 10% shortly before lockdowns. Counterintuitively, those aged 55 or above felt less lonely than young adults. In the US, the death rates have dropped 85% since the start of the pandemic. This is mainly due to better understanding of the virus and the use of the correct drugs. This gives an average infected person a 99% chance of survival. Given that younger people have minimal risk of being adversely affected, it would be immoral to impose restrictions on those who are willing to work and take the risk. In the US, 42% of deaths up to July were linked to nursing homes which house 0.6% of the population. This goes back to my support for a shielding orientated approach. With government resources and focus on protecting the vulnerable, deaths and the number of people in NHS intensive care wards would dramatically decrease. Which would lead to a faster bounce back for the economy and would be a step in the way towards ‘normality’.
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HOW PHARMACEUTICAL C OUTDATED PATENT SYSTE BY OLLY BLAKEMORE Every year 8 % of Americans are unable to buy life-
by issuing the inventor a license giving them exclusive
saving drugs that they have been prescribed by their
rights to make and sell an invention. However, this was
doctors due to the often extortionate price attached
only for a limited period of time. For a successful patent
to these drugs by pharmaceutical companies. This has
application, it must pass the following requirements:
led to people either dying not from an illness that does
it has to be made by humans, this could be a process,
have a cure, but because they cannot afford to buy the
machine, or composition. – anything that is the result of
medication themselves they go bankrupt and lose their
nature or is an abstract thought is ineligible to be paten-
home leading to them becoming homeless; or resor-
ted. The invention must be credited as something useful
ting to crowdfunding to pay for their medical treatment.
and have some clear benefit to the consumer. Crucially,
Pharmaceutical companies exploit the patent system
the invention must be something new and original. So,
by having teams of lawyers and lobbyists work solely to
if a product has previously been patented or two people
extend patent protection on already existing drugs to
try and patent the same product at the same time the
block competition.
product will also be ineligible to be patented.
An investigation into the top 10 bestselling drugs
But before I divulge further into this matter, I would
shows that on average they have 125 patents each and
like to say that I am not anti-pharma and believe that
that 8 out of 10 patents for the drugs were for already
pharmaceutical companies who invest in developing
existing drugs: giving companies a monopoly over a
new drugs and treatments should be financially rewar-
drug that is protected by patent law enabling them to
ded by being given patents. This is because pharma-
control the supply of a drug. Due to a lack of competition
ceutical companies invest multiple billions of pounds
for the production of a drug, the pharmaceutical com-
into researching and developing new drugs and medi-
panies have the ability to set the price of their drugs as
cations. They also have to spend years jumping through
they please and due the drugs often being life-saving
hoops before being approved to take the drug to market.
medication, people are prepared to pay, often, at wha-
All that time, losing money, as they aren’t able to make
tever cost.
any without the drug being approved. After waiting for
The patent system was first seen in Italy in the 15th
approval from supervisory agencies, successful clinical
Century and was designed to reward inventors finan-
trials and medical tests, companies should be rewarded
cially for inventing something new. This was achieved
for their investment.
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OMPANIES EXPLOIT THE EM TO MAXIMISE PROFITS Over the last 20 years, there has been an explosion in the number of patents that have been issued. It took 155 years for the US patent office to issue 5 million patents, it took only 27 years to issue the following 5 million. Exploiting this system by applying multiple patents to the same drug for minor changes, such as changing the delivery system into the body or changing the dosage of the drug, serve no other purpose than to increase the time under patent protection, and block competition. Ethically, this is wrong, as the patents do not benefit the patient in any way, considering the patent does not improve the drug, but has the purpose of extending the time the company can be the sole producer of the drug and therefore the price setter, due to having a complete monopoly in the market. However, it is not all doom and gloom. This system can be changed through modifications to legislation, by changing the requirements needed for a patent and by not granting new patents on previously patented drugs, unless they increase the effectiveness of the drug substantially for the consumer. This way, drugs will still be patented but for shorter periods of time, meaning competition in producing drugs inevitably lead to the decrease of cost for drugs as the supply and competition increases, whilst demand stays the same. Therefore, fewer people will die from curable illnesses due to the newfound accessibility of drugs and medicines.
PHOTO BY NASTYA DULHIIER ON UNSPL ASH
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W H Y CAN TH E GO VERNME NT TA K E AWAY YO UR FRE E DO M? BY KRISH NAIR
Across the country, another lockdown has stirred up
this may seem extreme, it’s worth considering. After all,
chaos. Thousands have attended anti-lockdown protests
why shouldn’t the government be abolished? Many peo-
in London, Manchester and Liverpool and police have
ple argue that they didn’t sign up for the government
attempted to enforce social distancing. It has become
in the first place, so why should it be allowed to enforce
something of a hobby of mine to scroll through the com-
laws on them? In this article, I will examine a few argu-
ments on any YouTube video relating to the lockdown
ments for and against a government and discuss what
and view the vast swathes of angry comments- some
type of government might be viable.
with more credibility than others. Some people find the
First of all, what would life be like without any gover-
police to be overly violent and hypocrites, after all they
nment at all? This is a much-debated topic, as some do
didn’t enforce the law this much when it came to BLM or
not believe life without a government is plausible. If we
Extinction Rebellion, did they? Others, however, believe
define a government or state as simply a person/group
there is something more sinister going on. A comment
of people that enforce laws and rules on others it could
under the YouTube video ‘London has fallen’ with 64
be that it is impossible for there not to be any form of
likes shared its view on the situation:
government in the world at all. After all, even primitive tribes may have leaders. Nonetheless, postulating on
The pandemic Covid means certificate of vaccine ID
what life without a government would look like could
So a virus is created to give us a vaccine to treat us
still prove to be a useful way to try and justify the gover-
as cattle
nment in the first place. One view immediately springs to my mind when
Sorry sheep Hence the mask
thinking of life without a government. Chaos. This is what
Then the social distancing
Thomas Hobbes believed, as expressed in his greatest
Then more and more
work, Leviathan, in which he gives arguments for the
We are being jailed in our own homes
state. Hobbes believed that human nature would lead
Wake up sheep
people into inevitable conflict without a set of rules and laws in place. His belief on human nature was that peo-
While it may be easy to laugh at people like this and
ple are motivated to act by their desires, and that these
dismiss the whole movement as a bunch of silly peo-
desires would never end. Once you get one thing, you
ple making wild conspiracy theories, this seems to be
move onto the next, and this will continue until you die.
rather arrogant. Many people in the comments call for
Inevitably, due to the scarcity of goods, when two peo-
a complete abolishment of the government, and while
ple want one thing there will be conflict, and this means
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P H OT O BY SI M ON M A O N UN S P L ASH
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constant chaos. However, this is not to say that humans seek out violence. In fact, Hobbes believed that one of man’s greatest desires was peace. Then, why would people fight? There are many reasons. Sometimes people will simply attack as a pre-emptive strike, even when they do not want to fight. This may be to show that they are strong, as pacifism may lead others to view you as weak, and then to attack you. The only solution to this would be a set of laws that people must follow, laws that would be put in place by a state. I find Hobbes’ view compelling and tend to agree with it. However, there can be some points made against it. One problem is that unfortunately, violence continues with a state, arguably to a greater extent in war. Without a state these large conflicts would not work, and so it could be possible that there would be overall less suffering in a world without a state. This point is tricky, as whether or not there would be more or less suffering in a world without a state is up to interpretation. Additionally, who decides which laws to implement and which not to? This problem is also troublesome, as people’s views differ greatly on this too. I will not cover it in this article; however, some views range from Philosopher Kings to democracies in which every single issue is voted on. Even if we decide a state is justified, choosing what type of government is at best not an easy matter. Perhaps the protestors believe that a world without a state would be more peaceful? John Locke seemed to believe that it could be possible, and that order could still be attainable. If a wrongdoer emerged in society, it would not be the government or police that punished them but instead...everyone. Locke believed that everyone had an inherent right to punish, and that they could all band together and punish a wrongdoer if he so emerged. But according to Hobbes, these wrongdoers would emerge everywhere due to human nature and scarcity of goods. This is where Locke disagrees; he does not believe in a scarcity of goods. He believed that there are enough goods on this planet to sustain everyone, and that when a wrongdoer does emerge the natural right to punish can easily be used to bring order back. But there are a few problems with this that lead me to believe Locke’s argument is lacking. For one, it relies on the fact that people already have a distinct drive to enforce the moral code through group punishment. It seems very plausible to me that a group of selfish people could easily team up and bully people into doing what they want. However, Locke’s argument to this would be that it is equally implausible for a state to impose laws
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on others. This then goes back to the question of what an ideal state would be that had the group interests of the people in mind. It could be possible for an unjust and selfish state to be worse than no state in this way. Another problem I have is that if life without a state was so good, why did we leave it? Locke’s answer here is that the creation of money led people to produce more than they needed so that they could profit from keeping more than they needed. This inevitably led to conflict, which is why we formed a state. However, money may always emerge in societies and so I do not know whether this means life without a state would simply lead to money which would lead to conflict and suffering anyway. Locke’s view still leads to mass suffering in this case, which is why I believe it also leads to the conclusion that a state could be better. Many anarchists have also proposed an idea where you can voluntarily opt in and out of a state. After all, in big events, large groups binding together is sometimes very useful - as could be seen in the case of a virus, or climate change. However, the problem with this is the voluntary part. When it comes to these big events, if people don’t participate, they might just not work. Take the case of climate change. Although it may benefit the community as a whole to use less carbon, individually people have no real obligation to use less carbon. The effects are definitely not obvious to them, and they may suffer no real consequences for using cheap gas. However, if everyone begins to think like this, climate change will not be solved. So, then the inevitable conclusion is that the state would simply have to force everyone to join in. But then this is no different from an ordinary state, and the movement does not work. The debate over whether the state is justified or not is more extensive than I have shown here, however, I still believe that life without a state would be worse than life with one. Answers to this question will inevitably differ between people of different backgrounds, as some who have suffered at the hands of an oppressive government will inevitably have different opinions on others who have lived a relatively sheltered lifestyle. This is why anarchists and people who believe in no government should not be brushed aside - oftentimes their input on why the state should be abolished could provide useful information on the downsides of the state. Even the anti-lockdown protestors have some genuine grievances. Many of their jobs have been lost and this may have led them to take desperate actions. I do not agree with them, though I do understand them.
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ILLUSTRATIONS BY BENEDICT SIOW