Belgacom Company presentation Investor Relations 7 January 2011
•
Company introduction – slide 2
•
Popular discussion topics – slide 24
•
Ytd September 2010 results per business unit – slide 46 1
History From incumbent to innovative & competitive company 1998
1995
Belgium opens the market to competition
Strategic consolidation with private partners ADSB*
2004 Belgacom IPO
2006
2009
Acquisition Telindus Acquisition remaining 25% in Proximus
2005 Launch Belgacom TV BICS: JV Belgacom & Swisscom
Belgacom launches PingPing BICS and MTN combine international carrier services
2008 Divestment all non-core presences of Telindus International Acquisition Scarlet Acquisition Tele2 Luxembourg (Tango) Acquisition Mobile-for
* ADSB: Ameritech, Tele Denmark, Singapore and Belgacom
Slide 2
Belgacom Today • Listed company on Euronext Brussels with market cap at ~ € 8.5 billion1 • Operating in competitive landscape for both Fixed and Mobile services
• Maintaining strong market shares in both Fixed and Mobile thanks to 1. Consistent strategy, centred around “Convergence” 2. Early Fixed & Mobile network innovation •
Revenue new products growing; regulation impact on Voice & Mobile data products
•
Sound Free Cash-Flow generation
•
Very solid balance sheet
•
Proven discipline in M&A
•
Attractive Shareholder return policy
1
Market cap based on share price of 14 December 2010 (€25.45)
Slide 3 3
Shareholder structure Belgian state owns ~ 53.5% 338,025,135 shares, of which 321,460,755 Outstanding
• Limited liability company under public law -
Belgian state main shareholder: 53.5% Legal obliged threshold: 50%+1 share Last elections June 2010, government formation ongoing Minister of Public Companies: Inge Vervotte 14 Boardmembers, 50% state-appointed
• Free float 41.59% -
Main shareholders located in US, UK, Benelux, France & Germany
• Treasury shares 4.9% Shares
% shares
% Voting
% Dividend
Belgian state
180,887,569
53.51%
56.27%
55.78%
Free float
140,573,186
41.59%
43.73%
43.35%
Own shares
16,564,380
4.90%
-
0.87%
-
Under Belgian law, companies prohibited from owning >20% of outstanding share capital Part of own shares held for personnel incentives: Options and DSPP
Slide 4
Company structure A multi-branded, customer oriented organisation • 2007, transformation from “Fixed & Mobile” to “Customer centric” with 5 Business units Consumer Business Unit (CBU)
Enterprise Business Unit (EBU)
… Fixed & mobile Product /services to residential customers
… Fixed & Mobile & ICT Product/services to professional customers
• Multi-branding
Service Delivery Engine & Wholesale (SDE&W) … groups together the network & IT services … offers services to other operators and suppliers on the Belgian market
BICS … is a joint venture between Belgacom, Swisscom Fixnet, and MTN, and is responsible for international carrier activities
Staff & Support (S&S) … brings together all the horizontal functions that support the Group’s activities
• Share in Group revenue per BU*
24%
35%
5% 36% *Based on ytd Sept 2010
Slide 5
Company strategy - overview
Growth via Cross sell
Operational excellence
Move customers from singleplay to multi-play
High quality networks & platforms
Growth via M&A
Increase Disciplined value in BICS& consistent Leading approach position in consolidation
* Fiber to the street cabinet
… with special focus in 2010 on customer satisfaction
807k multi-play Packs, ~ 78% more than a year ago ~ 44% of consumers customers have at least 2 products Most successful pack includes fixed Internet and TV Full end-to-end solutions for enterprises
Fiber* population coverage >76%, in top 5 worldwide TV footprint of ~89%, ~72% in HD 3G outdoor coverage of ~97% Business transformation project: Move-to-All IP Main focus on Belgian market Outside opportunities monitored in a disciplined way Strict valuation criteria, focus on shareholder value Since 2006, > € 3 billion on M&A: minority Proximus, Telindus, Tango, Scarlet,…
Slide 6
Company strategy - overview
International Carrier Growth
Increase value in BICS Leading position in consolidation
Innovation
Strengthen leadership through innovation
Sustainability
CSR embedded in all operation layers
Belgacom ICS merged with Swisscom ICS and MTN ICS Belgacom owns 57.6% of enlarged entity, Swisscom 22.4% and MTN 20% World-leading position both on the International voice and mobile data markets
Address changing needs of customers Innovation focus: efforts grouped in dedicated team In 2010, several strategic partnerships signed to further develop the Belgacom Entertainment platform (OnLive, Jinni, Softkinetic & Blinkx)
Commitment on being socially responsible company Focus: “telecom access for all”, “health” & “climate change” Reduce Belgacom‟s CO² emissions & help our customers lower their environmental impact
Slide 7
The Belgian market
• Key figures Belgian market: -
Fully wired, fragmented market
~4.7 million households ~10.7 million individuals ~840k SME and 2k corporate1
• Population spread over 3 regions2: -
Flanders: ~55% Brussels: ~10% Wallonia: ~35%
Flanders
• > 70% of households is Belgacom customer
• „Mobile-only„ stable @ 28%
Wallonia
• Mobile active customer penetration of 110% Brussels
• Both Broadband and Cable cover almost 100% of country
• Consumer internet penetration at 58%3 • Digital TV penetration of 53%4 SME (< 200 employees); corporate (> 200 employees), Belgacom estimation Source: Belgian federal government 3 Consumer internet penetration: all residential ISPA lines on households (source: ISPA) Slide 8 4 DTV penetration: all digital TV subscribers on households 1 2
Belgacom customer base Active mobile customers (in „000) 5.161
5.318
Mobile Postpaid evolution (in %)
5.318
4.620
49%
2007
2008*
2009*
Q3 2010*
Fixed Voice customers (in „000) 3.906
3.710
3.519
Broadband customers (in „000)
2007
55%
57%
46%
2008
1.237
2009
Q3 2010
TV customers (in „000)
2008
2009
Q3 2010
* Including mobile customers Luxembourg
2007
2009
Q3 2010
807 560
302
305
2008
1.552
920
506
2007
1.520
Number of Packs (in „000) 752
3.425
2007
1.345
153
2008
2009
Q3 2010
2007
2008
2009
Q3 2010
Slide 9 9
Zoom-in Consumer Competitive landscape • Fixed ( Voice, Internet & TV) • Cable main competitor, split per region − Telenet: in the North of the country (Flanders) & Brussels − VOO: active in the South (Wallonia) & Brussels • Rational competition ; rather on services than on price • Internet Market shares1: BGC ~47% - Cable ~44% - OLO ~9% • Digital TV market shares2: BGC ~32% - Cable ~64% - Other ~4%
• Mobile (Voice, Internet)
Consumer Business Unit (CBU) … Fixed & mobile Product /services to residential customers
Belgacom leader in Voice, BB and DTV in South
• 3 nation-wide mobile networks; Proximus market leader − Proximus: 100% Belgacom, focus on Postpaid ; Residential and Business − Mobistar >50% owned by FT; focus on Postpaid ; Residential and Business − BASE: 100% owned by KPN - mainly active in Residential prepaid segment • Active customer market share3: Proximus ~42% - Mobistar ~33% - BASE ~25% • Competition is tough but so far no price wars
Few but strong competitors Main competitors have network assets (cable/mobile) and strong international shareholders (Liberty Global, France Telecom, KPN) Belgacom only one having a nation-wide fixed and mobile network Other players moving to convergence as well
Source: ISPA – status end September 2010 Status end September 2010 3 Total mobile market incl. Consumer and Business – status end September 2010 1 2
Slide 10
Zoom-in Consumer Resilient revenue & focus on cost control • CBU Sales in ytd Sept 2010: € 1,768m 8% TV
Like-for-like ytd revenue up by 0.4%
4% 4%
Half of revenue from Fixed & Mobile voice:
7%
Scarlet & Tango Other
Terminals
28% Data
49% Voice
• Convergence through Packs
− Both Fixed & Mobile Voice negatively impacted by regulation − Fixed Line erosion stabilizing − Highly penetrated mobile market, focus on postpaid
Growing Fixed and Mobile Data revenue − Fixed internet revenue up by 6% ytd Sept „10 − Mobile data (incl SMS and Advanced data) growing 7%; regulation slowing growth
TV revenue growing 42% yoy Segment contribution: € 807m; 46% margin • Convergence of fixed & mobile internet Internet “One” • TV = Success story
− Focus on Sales related costs − Company-wide cost reduction − Declining headcount lowering HR-costs
Convergence strategy via offering of Packs 11 Slide 11
Enterprise Business Unit (EBU)
Zoom-in Enterprise
… Fixed & Mobile & ICT Product/serv. to professional customers
Competitive landscape EBU holds very strong position in most markets
(SME)
Mobile data
Mobile voice
(COR)
(COR)
Data centre services & hosted applications
Belgacom converged ICT
Fixed voice (SME)
(SME)
(COR)
Unified Comm. & LAN integration
Fixed data (COR)
(SME)
(SME)
Fragmented competitive landscape, spread over all domains Belgacom has unique selling proposition: full & convergent solutions incl. fixed, mobile & IT services Slide 12
Zoom-in Enterprise Some exposure to crisis, recovery continuing • EBU Sales in ytd Sept 2010: € 1,816m
Like-for-like revenue -1.8% ytd; trend improving ~44% revenue from Fixed & Mobile voice: − Both Fixed & Mobile Voice impacted by regulation − Fixed Line erosion stabilizing − Mobile customer base growing despite competitive market
Fixed internet saturating, Mobile Data revenue growing • Convergence - “Explore”-platform offering integrated end-to-end mobile and fixed solutions - Targeted convergent solutions for SMEs - Convergence of fixed & mobile internet (Internet “One” )
• Building a strong SME-identity - Strong SME presence in Belgium (~840k SME‟s) - Push ICT for SME
− Growing Mobile data revenues (incl SMS and Advanced data) ; regulation impact
ICT recovering from crisis, revenue yoy +5% @ lower margin, ICT ~2% of EBU EBITDA Segment contribution: € 905m or ~ 50% − Focus on Sales related costs − Company-wide cost reduction − Declining headcount lowering HR-costs
Convergent, end-to-end mobile and fixed 13 solutions Slide 13
Group - Financial highlights ytd Sept 2010 Ytd Group revenue of € 4,945m or +10.6% yoy Positive growth trend since start of 2010 continued; Q310 +11.1% yoy Normalised for full-consolidation BICS & contribution MTN ICS: -0.3% yoy €75m negative impact from regulatory measures Underlying business +1.4% ytd driven by organic growth BICS, CBU & improving trend EBU Strong focus on cost efficiencies continued Improving trend CoS driven by regulation & initiatives to enhance product profitability Lower yoy HR costs following fewer fte‟s; Q3 impacted by upward revision HR-related provisions Non-HR cost efficiencies Q310 offset by revaluation foreign currency, upgrade RAN & Scarlet EBITDA flat at € 1,489m; margin of 30.1% Like-for-like* EBITDA -2.6% yoy partly due to regulation (€ 22m) Like-for-like* margin at 32.5% vs 33.3% last year Slight erosion driven by revenue growth at lower margins: ICT & organic growth BICS FCF of € 849m compared to € 681m for September 2009 Positive impact of timing differences & one-off items * Adjusted for full consolidation BICS & contribution of MTN
Slide 14
Belgacom Group Financials
in mio €
Q109
Q209
Q309
YTD09
Q110
Q210
Q310
YTD10
VAR Q3/Q3
VAR YTD
Like-for(2) like VAR YTD
Revenues (1)
1,492
1,504
1,476
4,472
1,641
1,664
1,640
4,945
11.1%
10.6%
-0.3%
Total OPEX
-1,000
-1,002
-982
-2,984
-1,146
-1,161
-1,150
-3,456
17.1%
15.8%
0.9%
Cost of goods sold
-511
-511
-515
-1,537
-662
-674
-651
-1,987
26.5%
29.3%
2.0%
HR-costs
-281
-280
-271
-831
-274
-275
-281
-829
3.7%
-0.3%
-1.7%
Other expenses
-207
-211
-196
-615
-210
-212
-218
-640
10.8%
4.1%
1.4%
492
502
494
1,488
495
503
490
1,489
-0.8%
0.0%
-2.6%
33.0%
33.4%
33.5%
33.3%
30.2%
30.2%
29.9%
30.1%
-3.6pp
-3.2pp
-0.8pp
0
-62
0
-62
436
1
0
436
-
-
-174
-178
-169
-521
-194
-206
-203
-604
20.0%
15.8%
318
262
325
905
737
298
287
1,322
-11.7%
46.0%
Financial result
-37
-23
-30
-90
-28
-26
-26
-80
-14.7%
-11.1%
Tax expense
-69
-51
-79
-199
-68
-64
-62
-195
-21.0%
-2.1%
212
188
617
638
203
1,036
-9.9%
67.9%
0
0
-1
2
4
10
-
-
0.66
0.59
1.93
1.99
0.63
3.23
-10.1%
67.6%
As reported
EBITDA
(1)
EBITDA margin
(1)
Non-recurring items Depreciation
EBIT
Net income (Group) Non-controlling interest
Earnings/share in € (1 )
before non-recurring items
(2)
217 0
0.68
195 4
0.61
2010 BICS results consolidated at 57.6%
Slide 15
Group - 2010 Guidance reiterated Based on the solid result so far, we expect for FY 2010:
A revenue growth in the upper-end of the range 9% to 10% (excl non-recurring revenue) We still target a FY EBITDA margin of 30% as we will continue to focus on direct margin improvements and overall cost efficiencies Group capex around 10% of Group revenue, excl. 2G-license renewal
Including an estimated regulation impact for 2010 of: Revenue: ~ €115m EBITDA: < €30m Due to lower MTR (+ flow-through fixed-to-mob tariffs), Roaming regulation (voice + data) & Financial collecting model for Premium Rate Services Outlook 20101
Q1101
Q2101
Q3101
Ytd 20101
Group revenue growth
Upper-end of range "9% - 10%"
10.0%
10.7%
11.1%
10.6%
Group EBITDA margin
Targeting a margin of 30%
30.2%
30.2%
29.9%
30.1%
Around 10%2
9.4%
8.9%
8.5%
8.9%
Metrics
CAPEX/Revenue 1 2
Before non-recurring items Excl CAPEX for 2G-license renewal
Slide 16
Group – Cost structure High focus to reduce costs • Ytd September € 3,456m of costs; including Cost of Sales, Personnel expenses and other non-HR costs • Direct margin of ~ 60%
•
Company-wide effort to reduce costs
− Increase product profitability − Reducing headcount through HR-programs − Cost efficiencies on non-HR expenses
non-HR costs 19% HR expenses 24%
Cost of Sales 57%
Cost of Sales highly driven by strong presence of International Carrier Business at lower margin
Slide 17
Group - Headcount Benefitting from headcount reduction programs • Personnel expenses of € 829m ytd Sep‟10, i.e. ~24% of Group costs & ~17% of Group revenue
•
HR costs positively impacted by ongoing headcount reduction programs
− HR costs Sept‟10 -1.7% yoy, like-for-like* − Decrease in headcount -648 FTE compared to September ‟09
•
Belgacom decreased its headcount considerably over the years, to 16,214 FTEs ytd Sep‟10
•
About 40% of headcount has civil servant status, no new civil servant contracts since 1997
25000
20000
PTS - 6,300 FTE
Telindus + 2,600 FTE 2006-2012: - 3,900 FTE BeST - 4,160 FTE
Tutorship FMS
15000
10000
Sept‟10 16,214 FTE
Move to IP supporting lower headcount
5000
YE96 YE97 YE98 YE99 YE00 YE01 YE02 YE03 YE04 YE05 YE06 YE07 YE08 YE09
* BICS consolidated at 57.6%
YE10 YE11 YE12
Slide 18
Group - Investments Belgacom invested so far 10.4% of its revenues, incl the capex for the 2G license
• €515m invested, incl €74m for the renewal of the 2G license • Since the launch in 2008, €77m invested in MaIP
− Move to all IP (MaIP): business transformation project entailing a full re-engineering of the network −
& processes €37m invested in 2010; investments allocated to new IT systems
• Since the start in 2003, €540m invested in Broadway (fibre to the curb & VDSL2) − Coverage over 76% of Belgian households 1,200 1,000 800
12.8% 11.4% 676
10.3%
764
625
10.4%
10.0% 9.1% 597
515
600
405 400
• 2008 incl. exclusive •
Broadcasting rights Belgian soccer 2010 incl. renewal 2Glicense
200 0
2006
2007
2008
2009
Capex in Mio €
15.0% 14.0% 13.0% 12.0% 11.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Investment rate of 10%-12% of revenue
ytd '09 ytd '10 % of revenue Slide 19
Group - Free cash flow Sound FCF generation FCF ytd Sept ‟10 of €849m, yoy variance impacted by one-offs & timing differences
• • •
2009 impacted by payment of fine (€66m) 2010 positively impacted by full consolidation BICS (€51m) Lower income tax payments
− −
Timing differences Following legal entity merger, full use of Belgacom SA tax losses carried forward
1210
FCF in million €
1,000
• 2006 acquisition remaining 25% of • •
Proximus for € 2bn , acquisition Telindus for € 584m 2007 disposal of remaining interest in Mobistar and Eutelsal for €242m 2008 acquisition Tango and Scarlet for aggregated amount of € 380m
797
681
849
409
500 0
2006
2007
2008
2009
ytd '09
ytd '10
-500 -1,000 Slide 20
-1,500
-1313
Group - Net financial position Belgacom continues to have a sound financial position
• • •
Net financial debt decreased by €291m to €1,425m Outstanding financial debt at €2.1 billion Most of the debt maturing in 2011 and 2016
Credit rating Standard & Poor‟s: A+ Credit rating Moody‟s: A1 0
849
(540)
(30)
11
(1.425)
(1,716)
Net debt December 2009
(in million euro)
FCF
Dividends
Dividends to non controlling interests
Other
Net debt September 2010
Slide 21
Group – Shareholder return policy Shareholder remuneration SBB
Dividends
EVA supports our 150% customers on different 120% forums 90%
% of FCF
Mio € 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0
60% 30% 0% 2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
• Belgacom commits to an attractive shareholder remuneration policy by returning, in principle, most of its annual free cash flow1, to its shareholders.
• The return of free cash flow, either through dividends or share buybacks, will be reviewed on an annual basis, in order to keep strategic financial flexibility for future growth, organically or via selective M&A, with a clear focus on value creation. This also includes confirming appropriate levels of distributable reserves.
• From the financial result of the year 2010, Belgacom expects to return an annual dividend of € 2.18 per share, payable in two tranches: an interim dividend of € 0.50 per share and a normal dividend of € 1.68 per share.
• The shareholder remuneration policy is based on a number of assumptions regarding future business and market evolutions, and may be subject to change in case of unforeseen risks or events outside the company‟s control. 1
Belgacom defines free cash flow as cash flow generated by operating activities, minus capital expenditures and including other investing activities such as acquisitions or divestments. Slide 22 22
Group – Shareholder return Interim dividend of € 0.50/share approved by Board of Directors In October 2010, the Board of Directors approved the payment of the interim dividend of €0.50 per share gross (€0.375 net) • Ex-dividend date: 7 December 2010 • Record date: 9 December 2010 • Payment date: 10 December 2010
Dividend per share Interim dividend
Extra-ordinary dividend
1.93 1.38
2.18
2.18
2.08
2.18
1.68
1.68
1.68
1.68
0.29
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.50
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010 Expected
1.89
1.52
Normal dividend
1.60
1.52
0.55 2004
2005
Slide 23
Belgacom Company presentation Investor Relations
Ytd September 2010 results in detail Popular discussion topics • • • •
• • • • •
Consumer Business Unit (CBU) Enterprise Business Regulation – slide 25 Unit (EBU) • BICS – slide 34 Service Delivery Engine &Wholesale (SDE&W) Convergence – slide 28 • Network – slide 37 Staff and Support (S&S) Belgacom TV – slide 29 • Belgian economy – slide 42 Belgacom International Carries Services (BICS) Mobile Data – slide 32 • Customer centricity – slide 44 24 Slide 24
Regulation Mobile Termination Rates (MTR) Big drop in asymmetry as from August 2010
MTR-Glidepath in €ct Proximus
Mobistar
Base
11,43 9,02 7,2 4,62
3,83 2,46
Before*
01-Aug-10*
01-Jan-11
1,08
01-Jan-12
Before* 7.2 9.02 11.43
25% 59%
MTR as of 1 August 2010, lowering asymmetry with BASE and Mobistar. Gradual decreases resulting in full symmetry as from Jan 2013
•
Any MTR decrease reflected in F2M tariffs of Belgacom
•
Cut in MTR impacts revenue of all mobile players. EBITDA impact very limited for Belgacom due to reduced asymmetry
•
Mobistar and Base filed separate appeals against the decision
•
Estimated impact FY2010 (incl lower MTRs + flow-through to F2M tariffs): − Revenue: ~ €40m − EBITDA: < €5m Impact so far (ytd Sep‟10): − Revenue: ~ €15m − EBITDA: ~ €1m Slide 2525 Slide
01-Jan-13
Final decision on MTR €ct Proximus Mobistar Base % change Proximus Mobistar Base Assymmetry Mobistar-Prox Base-Prox
•
01-Aug-10* 4.62 5.05 5.81
01-Jan-11* 3.94 4.29 4.90
01-Jan-12 2.46 2.62 2.92
01-Jan-13 1.08 1.08 1.08
-36% -44% -49%
-15% -15% -16%
-38% -39% -40%
-56% -59% -63%
9% 26%
9% 24%
7% 19%
0% 0%
*excl VAT, including inflation Rates 2012-2013 excl VAT, final rates will be corrected for inflation
•
Regulation Mobile voice and data roaming regulation Voice Roaming (€ct per minute) Retail Outgoing
Retail Incoming
Wholesale Outgoing
95 44
49
46
43
30
28
Before regulation
43 26
24
22
End Aug'07
End Aug '08
19 July '09
39
35
22
•
2010 was impacted Carry-over impact from lower rates on 1 July 2009
•
Roaming rates for voice further decreased on 1 July 2010
•
Data roaming rates are regulated at wholesale level
•
Measures taken to prevent bill shocks
•
Estimated impact for 2010: − Revenue: ~ €25m − EBITDA: slightly below €25m
•
Impact so far (ytd Sep‟10): − Revenue: ~ €22m − EBITDA: ~ €20m
18
11
15 July '10
July'11
SMS Roaming (€ct per sms) Retail Wholesale 39
21
11 4
Before regulation
Data Roaming Wholesale
1 July '09
(€ct per Mb)
100 80
50
1 July '09
1 July '10
1 July '11
Tariffs before regulation are indicative averages of European tariffs, mix of postpaid/prepaid and residential/business
Slide 2626 Slide
Regulation National directive on Premium Rate Services
Collecting Model for premium rate services
•
As from 1 April 2010, financial collecting model for Premium Rate Services
•
Following circulars issued end 2009 by Ministry of Finance concerning VAT on Premium Rate Services and Tax on chance games
•
Applicable for services where Belgacom collects on behalf of a third party content provider
•
Revenue no longer considered as full revenue of Belgacom, only the margin is booked as revenue
•
Estimated impact for 2010: − Revenue: ~ €50m − EBITDA: no impact
•
Impact so far (ytd Sep‟10): − Revenue: ~ €37m − EBITDA: none
Slide 2727 Slide
Group - Convergence Execution of consistent convergence strategy paying-off Evolution Pack-customer base since launch
807,000 741,000
560,000
Multiplay overview residential customers
~ 44% of customers have ≥ 2 BGC products
384,000 302,000
231,000 153,000
56% single play Q4'07 Q4'07
Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08
Q2'09 Q2'09
Q4'09 Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10
Single
double
Fixed line with free “happy time” option – free calling to fixed lines after 5 pm & on weekends
Internet Favorite – Download speed of 25Mbps, upload 3.5 Mbps, 100 GB volume
Belgacom TV Comfort, renting decoder included
100.000 80.000 60.000 40.000 20.000 0
1
Q2'08
Quadruple
Example of triple-play Pack @ € 62.46/month1
Pack net adds
Q4'07
Triple
Q4'08
Q2'09
New prices as from 1 January 2011; incl VAT
Q4'09
Q2'10 Q3'10
Customers save €18.5/month Slide 28
Belgacom TV Market overview
32% DTV market share
Competitive landscape
• • • • •
Flanders Telenet-zone
Brussels
Belgacom - zone
Numéricable
Wallonia Voo-zone
* Source: Company figures & estimates, competitor press releases
• •
~ 4.7 m households in Belgium Digital TV penetration Belgium of ~53%* Belgacom present in all regions Belgacom TV coverage >88% Belgacom Market share of 32% − Share in total TV market: 18% − Belgacom 2nd player in DTV market Belgacom TV customer base of 920k fairly evenly spread North/South Digital TV market penetration & market share Belgacom:
Analoge 47%
32% Digital 53%
Slide 2929 Slide
Belgacom TV An international recognized success story Evolution TV customer base since launch *
920,000
752,000
+39% TV customers yoy
506,000 305,000 140,000 42,000 Q405
Q406
Q407
Q408
Q409
•
Strong customer growth since launch in June „05 − In 5 yrs time Belgacom gained 920k TV subscribers − Customer gain boosted with Packs incl.TV − Unique market positioning with “Free TV” claim
•
ARPU per household grew significantly since launch − Growing customer base lowers impact of promotions − Services (VoD,„bouquets‟, football...) adding to ARPU
•
~65% CBU customer having a TV subscription
Q310
Evolution TV ARPU since launch 18.5
21.3 19.3
16.6
11.9
Q405
12.6
Q406
Q407
Q408
Q409
Q310
BGC TV as % on CBU broadband customer base Evolution 2007-2010
~65% ~45% ~35%
~20%
* Including second stream customers (125k ytd September 2010)
Slide 3030 Slide
Belgacom TV A complete and competitive offer Rich basic offer around 90 channels, incl HD
Soccer
Bouquets
VOD > 700 movies
Advanced functionalities
Additional
Movies on
Pause TV,
= Basic pricing of
€18.5/month Incl. settop box ( €6/month)
“All Foot”
€19.95/month “My Club” €9.95/month Per match €5-€10
channels as from €5/month
demand €2-€6.5 HD movies from €4-€7
recording, Instant rewind
Belgacom TV Magazine
3D TV demo
Sent to VoD users Objective: usage stimulation,
education, retention, create a community feeling New e-version
March 2010 live transmission of a football match As from October 2010, two 3D demo channels Slide 31
Mobile data Growing mobile data market
Market
Mobile data ~30% of Mobile service revenue
60% 40%
Advanced data ~35% of Mobile data revenue
Belgacom Mobile Internet customer base* 158,000
•
100,000
+58% yoy
57,000
Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q309 * Total subscriptions for internet on laptop CBU
Mobile Data ARPU *
Q409
•
Q110
Q210
Q310
EBU
12,3
12,5
12,5
12,4
12,9
13,4
12,9
12,1
12,5
12,3
6,3
6,1
6,4
6,3
6,8
6,7
7,1
7,0
7,1
7,0
Q208
Q308
Q408
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
* Mix of SMS and advanced data
• •
Mobile internet users growing strongly, for internet on GSM & for Internet on laptop High potential for future growth: current market penetration of Smartphone < 20% of Belgian population, but growing Belgacom market share of Mobile internet customers* growing for the 6th consecutive quarter Strong growth Mobile internet on laptop + 58% yoy to 158,000 customers 32 Slide 32
Mobile data Belgacom well positioned to capture mobile data growth
High-quality 3G-network & strategic option to offload data to sustain customer experience and keep investments under control
â&#x20AC;˘ 55% of private mobile data is consumed at home â&#x20AC;˘ Opportunity to redirect data from Mobile network to fixed network
Fix DSL Network
WiFi 3G
Femto Macro
Mobile Network
DATA VOICE Slide 33
International Carrier Services BICS delivers best in class global solutions BICS ownership
• • • •
• Active in the international carrier market since 1997 • January „05: spin off of Belgacom ICS as an independent affiliate of Belgacom 20% 57.6% • Since Dec „09 JV held by Belgacom, Swisscom & MTN 22.4% • In top 4 of largest operators worldwide in terms of voice traffic volume* • World leader in mobile data carrier services (SMS, MMS, GPRS Roaming, Signaling…) 550 customers, incl. > 250 mobile operators > 95 points of presence (PoPs) in 45 cities and 33 countries, 9 Metropolitan area networks Participations in 40 submarine cables Offices in Brussels, Bern, Monaco, New York, Dubai and Singapore Sender
Retail market
Local partner
Belgacom Swisscom MTN
Fixed Operators
Fixed Operators Mobile Operators xSPs
*company estimates end 2009
Mobile Operators xSPs
Receiver
• VOICE: collecting & terminating international voice traffic • MESSAGING: ensuring interoperability for SMS & MMS • ROAMING: full set of services to enable roaming traffic • CONNECTIVITY: transport of signalling, roaming GPRS (3GRX) and IPX and the provisioning of tailored, high-quality bandwidth solutions • MOBILE FINANCIAL SERVICES: enabling deployment of mobile money transfers Slide 34
International Carrier Services World-leading position Strong position both on the International Voice and Mobile Data markets thanks to: • Quality of customer base and product mix with leadership in Voice and Mobile Data, complemented with healthy capacity business • Focus on geographies with strong growing traffic (AMEA & Asia Pac) • Innovative approach: e.g. Launch of “HomeSend” a global hub service providing a mobile-centric approach to international remittance • Track record of executing on partnerships:
July 2005: JV with Swisscom in exchange for 28% of ownership and joint control.
February 2006: Outsourcing agreement with MTN regarding MTN‟s international Voice & Data traffic
November 2006: Partnership between BICS and Omantel for delivering high quality traffic
May 2008: Next step in partnership of BICS with Omantel, investing jointly in the Europe – India Gateway
December 2009: MTN contributes its international carrier services to BICS
Slide 35
International Carrier Services BICS grew significantly over the last 5 years Revenue growth (in mio €)
Evolution EBITDA & EBITDA margin 1.208
892 713
2005
736
2006
746
2007
812
2008
2009
Q3 2010
99 89 79 69 59 49 39 29 19 9 -1
94
78 64 53 33
27 3,8%
4,5%
2005
2006
7,2%
7,9%
8,7%
7,7%
2007
2008
2009
Q3 2010
50,0% 49,0% 48,0% 47,0% 46,0% 45,0% 44,0% 43,0% 42,0% 41,0% 40,0% 39,0% 38,0% 37,0% 36,0% 35,0% 34,0% 33,0% 32,0% 31,0% 30,0% 29,0% 28,0% 27,0% 26,0% 25,0% 24,0% 23,0% 22,0% 21,0% 20,0% 19,0% 18,0% 17,0% 16,0% 15,0% 14,0% 13,0% 12,0% 11,0% 10,0% 9,0% 8,0% 7,0% 6,0% 5,0% 4,0% 3,0% 2,0% 1,0% 0,0%
*Proportionally consolidated until end 2009 @ 72%
Volume growth (in mio) 19.858
19.174
16.232
12.209
13.841
9.573
2005
2006
2007
*Total BICS volumes, i.e. @ 100%
2008
2009
Q3 2010
• Strong revenue growth driven by successful partnerships, boosting volumes • Proportion of BICS revenue in Belgacom Group revenue grew from 13% in 2005 to 24% in ytd Sept 2010, impacting the Belgacom Group margin • 2010: Growth of BICS at typical lower margin continued and is impacting the Group margin in two ways: - As a result of the full-consolidation as of 1 Jan „10 - A growing organic business Slide 36
Network - Fixed
Belgacom amongst world leaders for fiber coverage
Nation-wide, high-quality fixed network • • • •
•
Strategic decision end 2003 to invest in FttC*
So far ~€ 540 m invested Enabler for organic growth and innovation, answering customer needs High-quality & nation-wide coverage: − >76% FTTC* coverage (Sep 2010) − VDSL : up to 30 Mbps Street − ADSL : 99.85 % - world record Local exchange / cabinet & Central Office Remote Quality DSL network, driving TV coverage optical − Belgacom TV ~89% 1) 17 MHz platform 3) DSM − HDTV service coverage: 72% Further maximise network efficiencies: Access network toolkit & compression techniques
Compression * Fiber to the Curb
Homes / businesses
2) VBB 3) DSM
4) Pair bonding = copper = fiber
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
5) FTTH
Increase spectrum Reduce copper distance Neutralize interference between copper pairs Use of several pairs Use of fiber end-to-end in the network Slide 37
Network - Fixed Move to all-IP program
ISDN
CPE
Access Network
SDSL ADSL2 + Leased Lines
From
Ethern. & SDH
Video on Demand
TV
TV Broadcasting
Internet PSTN ATM/SDH Mobile
ROP
CPE
Fibre VDSL2 UMTS HSDPA
Aggregation Point
Access Network
To
Central Office
ADSL
VoD
IP Ethernet DWDM
Internet
Dedicated Dedicated infrastructure infrastructure per perservice service Little Little convergence convergence capabilities capabilities
Voice Data / LL Mobile
IMS
VoIP
+
Mobile
SDP
Future Services
Video on Demand TV Broadcasting Internet
Network simplification
Future Futureproof proof fixed/mobile fixed/mobile integration integration Shared Shared infrastructure infrastructure for forall allservices services
•
Continued roll-out of MaIP project, a business transformation project entailing a full reengineering of the network, IT-systems & processes
•
€77m invested since launch in 2008, of which €37m in first nine months of 2010 Investments allocated to new IT systems to automate & control operational processes
•
Enabler for long term headcount efficiencies
•
Future out phasing of ~10% of local exchanges
Slide 38
Network - Mobile Nation-wide, high-quality mobile network Spectrum efficiency
50-100Mbps
•
HSPA +: A few 10Mbps HSDPA : A few Mbps UMTS : 128 to 384 kbps GPRS : 30 to 50 kbps EDGE : Voice/Circuit 150 à 200 kb/s
1995
2005
EDGE Evolution: 10-14 Mbps
• 2010
Leader in coverage − GSM sites covering 99.98% of Belgian population − 3G sites covering 97% of Belgian population Leader in speed − Drive tests show best data transfer speed of 3 operators − Best in class in upload speed
•
2003 – strategic decision to invest in 3G
•
Current Radio access network (RAN) being replaced by state-of-the-art single RAN hybrid product providing a simplified, high capacity, high performance and future proof network − Keep network superiority − Lower the cost of adding extra transport technology Leader − Act swifter to strategic changes in coverage − Go for Long Term Evolution (LTE) reusing part of the equipment & speed Slide 39
Network Our key beliefs
Copper has still a promising evolutionary path • Current bandwidth covers foreseeable customer needs • Stepwise increase of bit rate, meeting customer needs • Faster and far less expensive solutions to make most of copper assets:
Access network toolkit Enhanced compression techniques
*Fibre-to-the-home
Step by step fibre approach • Further roll-out of Broadway project to 80% VDSL2 coverage • FttH*
Only very selective Ongoing test cases Competitive landscape Belgium different from peers: no FttH players in Belgium Roll-out time-consuming & capital intensive
Copper & cable inherently different • Point-to-point versus shared access network • Both have strengths and weaknesses • Cable has high speed claim, but depends on activity rate • Strengths of copper network: guaranteed bandwidth sustainability, upload speed, volumes, on-demand services Slide 40
Network Our key beliefs
Continued improvements mobile network • Hybrid equipment for future readiness • Enabler to act swifter to strategic changes
Network off-load to anticipate mobile data explosion
Fixed & mobile networks complementary to one another
• Competitive advantage of owning a nation-wide fixed and mobile network • Fulfil customer expectations while keeping investment under control • Different options to offload data are being explored
• Belgacom owning nation-wide fixed and mobile network • Well positioned for convergence • E.g. “Internet One”-offer: Fixed internet @ home; combined with mobile internet on the move
Slide 41
Macro economic environment Belgium & Euro area Unemployment rate (%)2
GDP growth (%)1 Belgium
Belgium
Euro area
2.0% 1.0%
1.7%
0.4% 1 2008
2 2009
3 2010
1.8%
2.0%
1.5%
1.8%
4 2011
20125
9.5%
7.0% 1 2008
Inflation (%)3 Belgium
9.6%
7,9%
8.6%
8.8%
8.7%
2 2009
3 2010
4 2011
5 2012
- Belgian economy is following German lead - Growth likely to remain above European average 2.1%
3,3% 0.3% 2008
10.0%
• 2011 GDP growth to be ~2% driven by strong export and private consumption growth
Euro area
4.2%
1
10.1%
7.5%
-2.8%
-4.1%
Euro area
2
2009
1.5% 3
2010
2.0%
1.9%
1.8%
1.7%
4
2011
5
2012
Source: European Economic forecasts – Autumn 2010 1 GDP – percentage change on preceding year 2 Number of unemployed as a percentage of total labour force 3 Index of consumer prices – percentage change on preceding year
• Inflation for 2011 projected at 2% or slightly lower than 2010 as energy-prices should stabilize • 2011 unemployment rate of 8.8%; 1pp below euro area
Slide 42
Debt & deficit as % of GDP Belgium versus Europe Debt and debt deficit in % of GDP* Belgian budget deficit • on track to fall from 6% of GDP in 2009, to 4.8% in 2010 • 2011 currently projected at ~4.7% Debt as % of GDP • For 2010 debt as % of GDP estimated at 98.6%; expected to rise to 100.5% in 2011 • Overall debt euro area expect to rise with 2.5 pp
Belgium belongs to the core countries in terms of debt sustainability * Source: ING Research – Presentation “Belgium in the core of Europe” (November 2010)
Slide 43
Focus on Customer Centricity Belgacom is accessible and close to each customer
All our customerfacing teams have made a step forward towards our clients
Accessible via call center • Shorter waiting time • Simplification access numbers • Larger opening hours: − 24/24 7D/7 for mobile − 7d/7 till 10pm for technical help (fix) Close physically • We introduced cutting-edge changes in our sales network to maximize our ability to connect with our customers: − 120 shops operated by Belgacom − 1,646 points-of-sale with Belgacom products all over the country • We initiated a service differentiation in our front-office contacts Accessible online • + 56% of online sales via e-channel • + Online support Close technically • Evening installations or repair at the customer‟s home, thanks to flexible technical intervention teams 44 Slide 44
Customer Centricity Belgacom cares for and listens to its customers EVA supports our customers on different forums
BGC wants to improve end-to-end customer experience from purchase to billing, through install & repair But also during key moments •
• •
We have introduced an SMS-based notification system: − sms to inform customers about the progress of their orders − sms to check customer satisfaction after a product has been installed We are improving billing: more clarity + launch green bill We have created a Move Coordination Desk: a virtual team that helps customers when they change address
Listening constantly •
Quality circles use customer feedback to increase customer satisfaction 45 Slide 45
Belgacom Company presentation Investor Relations
Ytd September 2010 results per business unit • • • • •
Consumer Business Unit (CBU) – slide 47 Enterprise Business Unit (EBU) – slide 55 Service Delivery Engine &Wholesale (SDE&W) – slide 61 Staff and Support (S&S) – slide 62 Belgacom International Carries Services (BICS) – slide 63 46 Slide 46
Consumer – Highlights Underlying business revenue growing 2.5% • Ytd revenue of € 1,768m, on adjusted* basis +0.4%
• •
•
2010 result impacted by legal entity merger and regulation (€37m ytd Sept) Sound underlying business trend (+2.5% yoy) driven by TV, data & Tango
Trend of Sales related costs improving
• • •
Yoy on adjusted* basis +3.2% Positive impact from regulation (MTR & collecting model) Positive impact from initiatives to improve product profitability
•
Non-HR expenses -3.9% as a result of ongoing cost focus
•
Personnel expenses -5.6% yoy benefitting from lower headcount following ongoing restructuring programs
•
Segment result +0.4% incl regulation impact & Scarlet migration Reported contribution margin at 45.7%
•
Operational results supported by sale of Packs. >800k Packs end of September 2010
47 Slide 47
Consumer - P&L • Revenue like-for-like +0.4%; underlying business +2.5%
CBU revenue (EUR mio) 2009 Reported
617
630 620
604
602
579
589
592
606
590
592
585
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
610
591
600
− €37m regulation impact (-2.1%): MTR & flow-through
Like-for-like
590
− −
580 570
560 550 540
CBU Cost of Sales (EUR mio)
• CoS+3.2% like-for-like; focus direct margin paying-off
2009 Reported
205
− Like-for-like ytd +3.2%; Q310 -7% − Lower costs following MTR cut & Collecting model − Initiatives taken to improve direct margin
Like-for-like
200
174
178
158
166
170
Q109
Q209
Q309
166
180
160
140
120
195
180
171
158
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
100
• Personnel costs -5.6% yoy due to decreasing headcount
CBU Personnel & non-HR costs (EUR mio) Non-HR
− -636 fte‟s following headcount reduction programs &
Personnel
180 160 140 120
68
75
73
81
65
73
70
89
88
81
87
81
81
82
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
100
−
80 60 40 20 0
45.4%
44.1%
44.8%
290
39.6%
44.7%
45.1%
• Ytd EBITDA +0.4% while absorbing €14m regulation
47,1% 4 5 ,0 %
280 4 0 ,0 % 270
260 250
268
266
269
240 230
244
264
267
276
3 5 ,0 %
3 0 ,0 %
2 5 ,0 %
220
2 0 ,0 %
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
natural attrition Q3 yoy variance somewhat impacted by upward revision of HR-related provisions
• Non-HR costs -3.9% ytd
CBU EBITDA (EUR mio) & Margin
300
fix-to-mob, collecting model, roaming Underlying growth driven by TV, data and Tango Underlying business growing yoy for 3rd consecutive quarter
− Ytd contribution margin at 45.7% − Q310 margin of 47.1% or +0.8ppt on comparable basis
Q310
*2009 result adjusted for intercompany items & changes in revenue & cost allocations
Slide 48
Consumer - Fixed voice Fixed voice revenue impacted by line loss & regulation Fixed voice revenue (EUR mio)
• Ytd revenue -9.9%
− Line loss main driver − Increased regulation impacts in Q3:
150 145
140 135
144
130
141
138
125
138
133
120 115
125
124
Q210
Q310
- Impact of Collecting model Premium Rate Services - Decrease Fix-to-Mob tariffs following MTR cuts
110 105 100
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Voice line loss & EOP (000) 2,123
2,086
2,057
2,028
2,029
• Q3 line loss remained stable
1,999
1.970
50 2 .0 3 0 30
1 .5 3 0 10
-1 0
-3 0
-43
-37
-29
-29
-33
-30
-30
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
-5 0
1 .0 3 0
530
− -30k lines in Q310 − -92k ytd‟10 or an improvement vs ytd„09 (-109k) − Customer base at 1,970k, incl Scarlet VoIP
30
Fixed voice ARPU (EUR/month) 21.7
21.6
21.5
21.7
21.2
20.3
• Ytd ARPU at €20.6 (-4.6% yoy) driven by: 20.3
− Regulatory measures & discounts Packs − Slightly tempered by price increases
• Q3 ARPU stable compared to Q2‟10 Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
• Traffic slightly lower than Q2 due to line loss &
Traffic (mio min) 1,230
Q109
1,124
Q209
1,060
Q309
1,181
Q409
1,178
Q110
1,052
1,004
Q210
Q310
seasonality Quarterly evolution fairly stable As from Q2‟10, Slide 49
Consumer - Mobile Voice Revenue -2.7% like-for-like, fully due to regulation – MoU up 4.2% • Ytd revenue -2.7% like-for-like; reported -6.5%
Mobile voice revenue (EUR mio) 2009 Reported
180
179
176
164
171
175
170
161
168
165
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
170
− 2009 included Fix-to-Mob intercompany revenue − Like-for-like decline fully due to regulation:
Like-for-like
178
190
170
160
- MTR & roaming - Collecting model Premium Rate Services
150
140
130
Mobile growth & EOP (000) 3,787
3,809
3,829
3,824
3,739
• +28k net adds in Q3‟10 driven by multi-brand strategy:
3,745
75
55 35
10
23
19
22
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
15
-85
7
28
-6 -2 6 -4 6
Q110
Q210
Q310
-6 6
-8 6
MOU (min/month) 2009 reported
107,9
99,4
Q109
112,9
104,5
Q209
108,9
111,8
100,9
103,2
104,0
Q309
Q409
Q110
109,8
Q210
14.9
Q109
15.7
15.4
15.5
15.2
Q209
Q309
Q409
− Ytd paying MoU were up 1% to 87.5
Q310
Like-for-like
15.9
• Ytd MoU +4.2% to 105.7 on a comparable basis
104,8
2009 reported
15.9
3 .8 0 3 .7 00 0 3 .6 3 .5 0 00 0 3 .4 0 0 3 .3 0 00 0 3 .2 3 .1 0 0 3 .0 0 00 0 2 .8 .9 2 0 0 2 .7 0 0 2 .5 .6 0 00 0 2 2 .4 0 0 2 .3 0 0 2 .1 .2 0 00 0 2 2 .0 0 0 1 .9 0 0 1 .7 .8 0 00 0 1 1 .6 0 0 1 .5 0 0 1 .3 .4 0 00 0 1 1 .2 0 1 00 0 19.1 .0 00 00 0 8 0 7 0 60 0 5 00 0 4 0 0 3 0 20 0 0 1 0 0 0 00 -1 -2 0 0 -3 0 0 -4 0 00 0 -5 -6 0 0 -7 0 0 -8 0 00 0 -9 -1 .0 0 00 0 -1 .1 -1 .3 .2 0 00 0 -1 -1 .5 .4 0 00 0 -1 -1 .6 0 0 -1 .7 0 0 -1 .9 .8 0 00 0 -1 -2 .0 0 0 -2 -2 .1 .2 0 00 0 -2 .3 0 0 -2 .4 0 0 -2 -2 .5 .6 0 00 0 -2 .7 0 0 -2 .8 0 0 -2 -3 .9 .0 0 00 0 -3 .1 0 0 -3 .2 0 0 -3 -3 .3 .4 0 00 0 -3 .5 0 0 -3 .6 0 0 -3 -3 .7 .8 0 00 0 -3 .9 0 0 -4 .0 0 0 -4 .1 0 0 -4 .2 0 0 -4 .4 .3 0 00 0 -4 -4 -4 .5 .6 0 00 0 -4 .7 0 0 -4 .8 0 0 -4 .9 0 0 -5 .0 0 0
Like-for-like
Blended net voice ARPU (EUR/month) 15.3
− Postpaid (+17k): packs combining fix & mobile − Scarlet owned brand „Mobisud‟ +18k
3,773
95
14.5
Q110
* 2009 result adjusted for intercompany items
15.2
Q210
14.9
• Ytd net voice ARPU was €14.9 or -2.9% yoy on a •
comparable basis Decline fully due to regulation
Q310
Slide 50
Consumer - Fixed Data Solid revenue (+6.1% yoy) in highly competitive market
• Revenue +6.1% yoy
Fixed data revenue (EUR mio)
− Growing customer base: +50k yoy − Revamped internet offer: more speed & volume at
86
84
82
82
80
84
85
85
84
slightly higher price
78
76
79
78
Q109
Q209
74
72
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Broadband growth & EOP (000) 1,042
1,044
1,057
1,075
1,091
1,099
• +8k net adds in Q3 1,107 1 .0 1 0
810
23
610
20
3
12
18
8
16
8
3
− Supported by Packs & boosted internet offer − Somewhat below last year as competition over the Internet customer is becoming more fierce
410
210
10
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
EOP customers including Belgian residential customers of Scarlet
Broadband ARPU (EUR/month) 29.1
29.0
28.6
28.7
− More customers benefit from recurring monthly
28.5
28.1
Q109
Q209
• Ytd ARPU €28.4 or -0.6% yoy 28.1
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
−
discount on packs, which offset positive impact of price increase
Q310
Slide 51
Consumer - Mobile Data Revenue up 6.8% yoy; impacted by Regulation • Ytd Data revenue +6.8%
Mobile data revenue (EUR mio) 82 80 78
80
76
77
74 72 70 68 66
80
79
75
79
71
−
64 62
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Q109
202
179
168
Q209
Q309
Q409
215
227
Q110
Q210
204
6.8
6.7
Q109
Q209
Q309
− „Paying‟ SMS up 22% to 87.1
Q310
Blended net data ARPU (EUR/month)
6.3
7.3% Impact from Collecting model for Premium Rate Services & SMS roaming regulation
• Ytd SMS at 215.3 or +28.5% yoy
SMS (units/month)
156
− Change in cost allocation Credits & Discounts − Like-for-like SMS revenue +10.7%; advanced data -
• Ytd ARPU at €7.0 or 6.7% yoy
7.1
7.0
7.1
7.0
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Ytd'09*
Ytd'10
VAR Adj
Mobile data revenue
223
238
6.8%
SMS Advanced data
173 50
191 46
10.7% -7.3%
• Advanced data impacted by
− Collecting model as from Q2‟10 − Excl collecting model, yoy +11.2%
*2009 adjusted for the reallocation of credits & discounts
Slide 52
Belgacom TV Solid growing revenue; 920k customers TV revenue (EUR mio)
• TV revenue +42% yoy to €132m
− Continued customer growth − Growth driver for CBU
48
43
38
33
28
23
29
30
Q109
Q209
34
40
46
44
43
Q110
Q210
Q310
868
920
18
13
Q309
Q409
TV growth & EOP (000) 111
555
589
663
752
814
• Solid customer growth continued 1 .0 0 0 900 800 700
91
600
71
75
51
31
49
11
Q109
89
400
62
33
Q209
500
300
54
52
Q210
Q310
100
0
Q309
Q409
Q110
TV ARPU (EUR/month) 21.3 20.6
20.4
200
− 920k customers, incl 125k second streams − +52k in Q3; +168k in 2010 - driven by Packs − Yoy impact of Free TV Pack somewhat fading
• Ytd TV ARPU at €19.7
20.7
19.2
19.1
19.3
− 2% or €0.4 lower than Ytd Sept 2009 − As from Q3‟10, lower one time revenues from activation and installation
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Slide 53
Tango – Mobile activities in Luxembourg
• Ytd revenue of €74m or + 7.3% yoy − Successful launch iPhone 4 − Strong sales of smart phones
• As a result ARPU increased 4.4% or € 25.3 Nine months ended 30 September Variance Variance % 2010/2009 2010/2009
2009
2010
69
74
5
7.3%
Total active mobile customers (in '000)
252
260
7
2.8%
Blended mobile net ARPU (EUR/month)
24.2
25.3
1.1
4.4%
Revenue1 (in EUR mio)
Slide 54
Enterprise – Highlights Recovery from crisis continuing
•
•
• • •
Revenue of € 1,816m, -1.8% compared to last year on adjusted* basis
• • •
Yoy trend improving: from -2.9% for Q1 to -0.9% for Q3 Total regulation impact of € 24m ytd Sept, -1.3% of revenue Underlying business revenue only 0.5% lower than last year
Domains hurt by the economic crisis are recovering:
• •
ICT revenue +4.9% ytd Sept, Q3 up by 9.1% Mobile Voice : negative yoy trend improving. Q3 -2.3%, incl. -5.1% regulation impact
Continued focus on Sales related costs challenged by growth in ICT
• •
Sales related costs of € 521m, or +0.8% Yoy * Positive impact from regulation , offset by ICT-growth at typical lower margin
Cost-reduction efforts continue to positively impact level non-HR expenses
• •
Ytd Sept yoy -3.2% Q3 negatively impacted by balance sheet revaluation on Exchange rates
Solid Contribution margin of 49.9% , compared to 50.7% on adjusted* basis
55 Slide 55
Enterprise - Fixed Voice Fixed line loss stable, revenue Q3 impacted by F2M price decrease • Ytd Sept. revenue of € 407 m; -5.8% yoy • Q3 revenue of € 130m or -6.8%
Fixed voice revenue (EUR mio) 150
145
140
148
135
144
139
130
142
141
136
125
120
− −
130
115
Seasonality effect and impact from Line loss Regulation (F2M & Collecting model)
110
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Voice line loss & EOP (000) 20
1,529
1,515
1,504
1,491
1,477
1,466
1.455
1 .9 0 0 1 .7 0 0 1 .5 0 0 1 .3 0 0 1 .1 0 0
0
-15
-11
-14
-13
-14
-11
900
-11
700
• Ytd Line loss at -36k improved vs -40k last year • Q3 Line loss stable
− Less disconnections in search for cost savings
500 300 100
-2 0
-1 0 0
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Traffic (mio min) 901
Q109
837
Q209
770
Q309
828
Q409
848
Q110
790
Q210
727
Q310
Fixed voice ARPU (EUR/month) 31.3
30.9
30.9
30.9
30.1
• Ytd ARPU @ € 30, - 2.4% to last year • Decrease to € 29 in Q3
30.2 29,0
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
• Ytd Traffic of 2.4 bn minutes, - 5.8% • Impact line loss • Seasonality effect in Q3
Q310
− Seasonality effect − Impact from regulation (lower F2M-tariffs & collecting model for Premium Rate Services) Slide 56
Enterprise - Mobile Voice Revenue trend improving, in spite of regulation pressure • Ytd Sept revenue of € 383m, -4.6% like-for-like* • Trend improving from -6.5% in Q1‟10 to -2.3% in Q3‟10 • Q3 revenue of € 124m, -2.3% like for like*
Mobile voice revenue (EUR mio) 2009 Reported 150
146
145
144
like-for-like
140 135
135
135
130 125 120
− Regulation (MTR, Roaming, Collecting model) − Underlying growth of 2.8%
115 110
105
138
137
127
128
129
130
124
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
1,271
1,286
100
Mobile growth & EOP (000)
40
1,170
1,190
1,211
1,235
1,252
1 .3 0 0 1 .2 0 0 1 .1 0 0
20
30
1 .0 0 0
21
20
24
25
900
19
• 6.2% customer growth yoy • Slowdown in Q3 2010 due to focus on “Value”-strategy rather then going for volumes with low ARPU
800
14
0
700 600 500
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
MOU (min/month) 2009 reported
355,4
354,5
Like-for-like
346,6 329,3
332,8
333,0
309,8
Q109
Q209
Q309
325,7
Q409
319,7
321,8
Q110
Q210
305,6
Q310
Blended Net voice net voice ARPU ARPU (EUR/month) (EUR/month) 2009 reported
42.1
40.7
40.2
38.9
Q109
Q209
Like-for-like
37.6
37.2
35.6
35.1
Q309
Q409
34.8
34.5
Q110
Q210
* 2009 result adjusted for intercompany items
• Decline MoU stabilizing: -2.9% ytd* • Seasonality effect on Q3 2010 • Yoy decrease limited in Q3 to -1.3% • Ytd Mobile Voice ARPU €33.9, -11.3% to last year* • Regulation impact: MTR, Roaming, Collecting model • Q3 impacted by lower usage in summer holiday season
32.4
Q310
Slide 57
Enterprise - Fixed Data Stable customer base in competitive and saturated market
• Ytd Sept revenue of € 295 m, -2.2% yoy • Connectivity revenue impacted by migration from older
Fixed data revenue (EUR mio)
110
105
100
101
100
100
100
Q209
Q309
Q409
95
99
98
98
Q110
Q210
Q310
•
90
Q109
• Stable customer base
Broadband growth & EOP (000) 445
443
442
446
445
446
446 430
2
380
4 -2
330
1
0
-1
technologies to advantageous “Explore” platform SME customers more and more signing-up for Bizz solutions
280
0
− Competitive market − Professional BB market saturated
230
180 130 80
-4
30
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
• ARPU ytd 2% lower to €39.2, impacted by discounts on
Broadband ARPU (EUR/month) 40.1
39.8
40.1
39.7
39.4
39.1
39,0
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
− Bizz Packs, and Bizz Internet − “Consumer”-Packs
Slide 58
Enterprise - Mobile Data Revenue growth tempered by regulation • Ytd Sept revenue of € 139m, +3.8%*
Mobile data revenue (EUR mio) 51
49
47
48
45
46
43
41
39
43
47
47
45
47
− Regulation impact (-4.2%); +8% underlying growth − Carry-over impact SMS roaming & collecting model
• Q3 -1.2% yoy; impact bill shock‟ measurements
37
35
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
• SMS ytd Sept revenue of € 55.7m, +2.6%*
SMS (units/month) 76 65
77
75
75
69
68
− Regulation impact -8.4%; +11% underlying growth − Carry-over impact roaming SMS
• Q3 slight seasonality effect Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
• ARPU impacted by regulation
Net data ARPU (EUR/month) 12.4
Q109
12.9
Q209
13.4
Q309
Mobile data revenue SMS Advanced data
* SMS excluding free usage
12.9
Q409
12,1
12,5
12,3
Q110
Q210
Q310
Ytd'09*
Ytd'10
VAR Adj
134
139
3.8%
54 79
56 83
2.6% 4.7%
• Advanced Data ytd revenue of € 83.1m; +4.7%* • Impact collecting model premium rate services • Impact “bill shock” measurements in Q3
*2009 adjusted for reallocation of credits & discounts and eliminated intercompany revenue
* Like-for-like, i.e. Compared to 2009 result adjusted for intercompany items & changes in revenue & cost allocations
Slide 59
Enterprise - ICT Recovery from crisis continued Ytd Sept revenue of € 513 m, +4.9% • Recovery from crisis continues: trend improved from +1.8% in Q1 to +9.1% for Q3 • Yoy Q3 variance results from
− A strong Q3„10 result from Telindus International compared to − A low Q3 09 negatively impacted by crisis and exchange rate effect
ICT revenue (EUR mio) 185 180
181
175 170 165 160
171
155
166
174
172
Q110
Q210
167
150
153
145 140 135
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q310
Slide 60
Service Delivery & Wholesale Highlights • Revenue of €259m or flat on like-for-like* basis
SDE&W revenue (EUR mio)
− Impact from legal entity merger − €14m regulation impact − Excl regulation revenue was up driven by Scarlet
2009 Reported 120
100
98
94
94
100
88
87
85
89
94
85
79
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
like-for-like
80
60
40
20
customers moving from BROBA to carrier DSL
0
• Cost of sales positively impacted by collecting model &
SDE&W Cost of Sales (EUR mio)
eliminated intercompany flows
25
20
15
16
10
18
18
20 15
5
10
10
Q210
Q310
0
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
• HR costs in Q3 impacted by upward revision of HR
SDE&W personnel & non-HR costs (EUR mio) Non-HR
Personnel
120
100
48
80
43
42
60
40
20
51
50
50
50
47
45
51
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
50
52
48
53
Q210
Q310
•
0
SDE&W EBITDA (EUR mio) 0
0
-5
-1 0
-16
-1 5
-18
-13
-18
0
-23
-23
provisions Non-HR cost negatively impacted by:
− Swap of mobile RAN with Huawei equipment − Additional costs Scarlet migration
• EBITDA ytd at €-81m • On a like-for-like* basis, EBITDA about 7% down
0
-2 0
0
-2 5
-36
-3 0
0
0 -3 5
-4 0
0
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Quarterly evolution fairly stable
*2009 result adjusted for intercompany items & changes in revenue & cost allocations
Slide 61
Staff & support - Highlights
• Ytd revenue € 28m or + 10.5%
S&S revenue (EUR mio)
− Q3‟10: more capital gains realized on the sale of
14
12
12
10
8
6
4
7
6
2
8
10 7
10
building than in Q3‟09
0
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
• Ytd costs at €125m or fairly flat compared to ytd Sept‟09
S&S Personnel costs (EUR mio) 44 43
43
43
42
42
42 41
41
41
Q109
Q209
41 40 40
42 41
41
39
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
S&S non-HR costs (EUR mio)
• Non-HR costs-2.2% resulting from company-wide efforts to reduce costs
70
60
61
50
40
30
50
49
Q109
Q209
43
50
45
45
Q210
Q310
20
10
0
Q309
Q409
Q110
Slide 62
International Carrier Services Organic growth trend persisted in Q3 2010 ICS total revenue (EUR mio)
• Ytd revenues at €1,208m
− Impacted by full conso BICS and additional business
450 400
414
350
378
300 250
415
− −
200 150 100
217
227
228
221
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
50 0
Q110
Q210
Q310
ICS direct margin (EUR mio)
• Gross margin up 56% yoy to €168m
Voice Non-Voice 7 0 ,0
− Positive impact consolidation − Margin as % of revenue impacted low voice unit
6 0 ,0
19.4
23.1
28,0
33.1
32.7
31,7
Q110
Q210
Q310
5 0 ,0
4 0 ,0
3 0 ,0
2 0 ,0
1 0 ,0
12.3 20.3
16.5
15.2
14.0
23.7
19.6
21.3
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
margins, feeling pressure from competition & fluctuations EUR/USD
0 ,0
ICS EBITDA (EUR mio) & Margin 48
8.7%
10.0% 7.4%
43
8.8%
7.4%
7.7%
8,1%
• EBITDA at €94m incl full conso & additional business 1 0 ,0 %
38
8 ,0 % 33 28 23
18 13
8
19
23 17
20
Q309
Q409
28
32
34
6 ,0 %
4 ,0 %
2 ,0 %
3
-2
Q209
Q110
Q210
Q310
168
188
212
5,923
6,254
6.433
Q110
Q210
Q310
ICS volumes (in mio) Minutes 6 .0 0 0
5 .0 0 0
4 .0 0 0
3 .0 0 0
•
MTN ICS Solid performance in non-voice business brings Q3 margin to 8.1%
0 ,0 %
Q109
7 .0 0 0
coming from MTN Like-for-like revenue +3.7% ytd Strong organic growth Q3‟10: +5% yoy
SMS/MMS
117
119
149
4,498
4,707
4,805
Q109
Q209
Q309
164 5,324
2 .0 0 0
1 .0 0 0
• Volumes continued stable increase
− Positive impact additional MTN business − Voice volumes up ~33% − Non-voice up 46.5%
0
Q409
Slide 63
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements “This communication might include some forward-looking statements, without limitation, regarding Belgacom‟s financial or operational results, certain strategic plans or objectives, macro-economic trends, regulation, future market conditions and other risk factors. These forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions concerning future events and are subject to uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside Belgacom‟s control. Therefore the actual future results may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the statements. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only of the date of this communication. Belgacom disclaims any intention or obligation to update and revise any forwardlooking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.“
Slide 64
For further information: Belgacom Investor Relations e-mail: investor.relations@belgacom.be Tel: +32 2 202 82 41 http://www.belgacom.com
Slide 65