Belgacom Presentation Q2 2013 results Roadshow September 2013 Financial highlights
Operational highlights
Detailed segment results
Executive summary – slide 3
Executive summary – slide 15
Revenue – slide 5
Mobile – slide 16
Consumer – slide 27 Enterprise – slide 34
Direct margin – slide 6
Fixed – slide 20
Non-HR expenses - slide 7
Convergence – slide 21
HR expenses – slide 8
Network – slide 22
EBITDA – slide 9 Capex – slide 10 FCF/FIN POS – slide 11-12 Balance sheet – slide 13 P&L – slide 14
SDE&W/S&S slide 40-41 BICS – slide 42
Other topics Shareholder structure – slide 44 Shareholder remuneration – slide 45 Spectrum – slide 46
Pricing – slide 47 Regulation & Legal – slide 52 Macro –slide 56
1
Cautionary Statement
“This communication might include some forward-looking statements, without limitation, regarding Belgacom’s financial or operational results, certain strategic plans or objectives, macro-economic trends, regulation, future market conditions and other risk factors. These forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions concerning future events and are subject to uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside Belgacom’s control. Therefore the actual future results may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the statements. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only of the date of this communication. Belgacom disclaims any intention or obligation to update and revise any forwardlooking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.“
Slide 2
Executive summary- financials Q2 2013 Financial results Q2 on track to meet FY guidance
- Group revenue: € 1,583m; -1.7%* YoY - Group ebitda: € 430m, -1.9%* YoY - Group capex: € 177m, +2.1% YoY
Well positioned to face challenging market dynamics
-
Regulatory measures significantly impacting financials
Pressure on Mobile revenue fairly stable to Q1 Successful mobile retention/acquisition actions Solid performance of Belgacom’s Fixed business Good cost containment
- Regulation impact on Group revenue estimated at € -30m (-1.8%), EBITDA by € -20m (-4.6%), for larger part within EBU due to data roaming price cap.
*Including a one-off accounting adjustment recorded in Q2 2012 which reduced the revenue by € 12 million and EBITDA by € 34 million in 2012 Slide 3
FY 2013 guidance reiterated
FY 2013 outlook
H1 2013 reported
Group revenue
Decline between -1% and -2%
-0.9%
Group EBITDA*
Decline between -4% and -6%
-4.1%
Capex/Revenue
Between 13% and 14%
11.7%
Metrics
* Compared to the restated 2012 EBITDA of â‚Ź 1,801 m, following the retrospective application of IAS19R
Slide 4
Q2 2013 Group revenue (mio €)
H1 2013 Group revenue (mio €)
Slide 5
Q2 2013 Group direct margin (mio €)
H1 2013 Group direct margin (mio €)
Slide 6
Non-HR expenses Cost management limiting impact of commercial push Quarterly Non-HR expenses ( € million) - Q2’13 non-HR expenses of € 225m - Company-wide cost containment nearly offset the impact from the increased commercial activity in the second quarter 2013.
+0.7% 25 0
256
24 0 23 0
232
22 0
21 0 20 0
226
224
Q112
Q212
213
217
218
225
Q113
Q213
19 0 18 0
17 0 16 0
15 0
Q311
Q411
Q312
Q412
Consumer
Q2’13 non-HR expenses of € 74 m, up 1.0% mainly driven by the focus on Mobile acquisition, partly offset by cost management
Enterprise
Q2’13 non-HR expenses of € 37m, 5.9% lower compared to the same period of 2012 showing effect from solid cost containment.
Business Unit
Business Unit
SDE & W
5.2% higher non-HR YoY to €52m including resources to support simplification projects
Slide 7
HR expenses Salary indexation partly offset by one-off provision reversal and lower headcount Quarterly HR-expenses (€ million) +0.6% 29 0
Mach 2012 & Jan 2013: 2% inflation based salary indexation
27 0
25 0
278
283
278
281
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
290
278
290
283
Q113
Q213
23 0
21 0
19 0
17 0
15 0
Q312
Q412
Belgacom headcount in FTE 25000
Estimated cash-out for termination benefits 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018-2033
EUR million 80 49 21 6 6 21* (* Cumulative for full period)
Telindus +2,600 FTE
PTS -6,300 FTE
20000
Jan ‘12 : The Phone House +518 FTE*
BeST -4,160 FTE
15000
2006-2012 Tutorship & FMS -3,900 FTE
10000
15,778
15,778 FTEs end June’13 (-216 FTE YoY) Civil Servants decreased to 33% of total headcount
5000
YE96
YE98
YE00
YE02
YE04
YE06
YE08
YE10
*As part of the agreement with the Competition Council, Belgacom sold some of the Phone House shops in Nov’12, which lowered the headcount accordingly.
YE12 Slide 8
Q2 2013 Group Ebitda (mio €)
H1 2013 Group Ebitda (mio €)
Slide 9
Invest in high-quality fixed & mobile network to maintain leadership in convergence Accelerated network investments
Group Capex in â‚Ź millio n / % of revenue 11.1%
734
2010
13%-14%
12 .1%
11.7%
777
753
2011
2012
10.8%
11.2%
174
177
Q2'12
Q2'13
Outlook 2013
*This does not include capex for a potential bidding in the 800 Mhz spectrum auction that is planned before year-end
- maintain network superiority on mobile speed and coverage, substantially increase the bandwidth on fixed network via dlm and vectoring technology make operations leaner through a simplified network
900 800 700600 500 400 300 200 100 0
Slide 10
Q2’13 Free Cash Flow of € 47 million, impacted by income tax payments and lower ebitda Q2
2 0 12 (in mio € ) Operating CF before working capital changes CF for Working capital Net cash used in investing activities Fre e Cas h Flo w
IAS Re s t a t e d
379 -95 -174 110
H1
2 0 12
2 0 13 var. 366 -142 -177 47
2 0 13
IAS Re s t a t e d
-13 -47 -3 -63
var.
771 -101 -381 28 9
730 -235 -359 136
-41 -134 22 -153
Lower FCF result of: Free Cash Flow (in mio € )
•
980
797
•
788
a timing difference in income tax payments lower EBITDA
691 409 289 136 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Ytd June'12 Ytd June'13
Slide 11
Sound financial position - Net financial debt at € 2,027m, € 426m higher versus end 2012 - The outstanding long term financial gross debt amounted to € 2.1Bio - Credit ratings: Standard & Poor’s A; Moody’s A1 – both stable outlook
(1,601)
136
(538)
14
(38)
Net debt December 2012
FCF
Dividends
Non controlling Net sale of interests treasury shares
(1)
(2,027)
Other
Net debt June 2013
- Belgacom has an € 2,500m Bonds EMTN Program with an outstanding amount of € 1,825m. Debt maturing
2013
2015
2016
2018
2023
2026
2028
€ 127m
€ 145m
€ 950m
€ 500m
€ 100m
€ 73m
€ 150m Slide 12
Belgacom consolidated balance sheet 31-Dec
30-Jun
(EUR million)
2012
2013
TOTAL ASSETS
8,243
8,196
Non-recurrent assets Goodwill Intangible assets with finite useful life Property, plant and equipment Investments in associates Other participating interests Deferred income tax assets Pension and other non-current assets
6,192 2,339 1,097 2,467 1 7 147 134
6,116 2,339 1,067 2,475 1 6 128 101
Current assets Inventories Trade receivables Current income tax assets & other current assets Investments Cash and cash equivalents
2,051 133 1,341 292 83 202
2,080 147 1,329 324 61 219
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
8,243
8,196
Equity Shareholders' equity Minority interests
3,093 2,881 211
2,865 2,680 185
Non-current liabilities Interest-bearing liabilities Pensions and other post-employment benefits Provisions Deferred tax liabilities and other amounts payable
2,678 1,761 570 203 144
2,846 1,974 528 203 141
Current liabilities Interest-bearing liabilities Trade payables Income tax payable Other current payables
2,472 215 1,310 236 711
2,485 391 1,260 105 730
• Shareholders’ equity decreased from € 2,881m end 2012 to € 2,680m in June. This results from the 2012 dividend payment, typically exceeding the net income generated over the first six months of the year.
* The 2012 financial figures have been restated after the adoption of the IAS 19R revision
Slide 13
Group – quarterly P&L * The 2012 financial figures have been restated after the adoption of the IAS 19R revision
FY 2012
Q113
Q212
VAR Q2/Q2
1,6 44
6 ,46 2
1,5 8 6
1,5 8 3
-1.7%
-1,156
-1,215
-4,661
-1,144
-1,15 3
-1.7%
-649 -290 -217
-680 -278 -256
-2,611 -1,126 -924
-637 -290 -218
-645 -283 -225
-3.4% 0.6% 0.7%
in mio €
Q112
Q212
Revenues (1)
1,5 8 8
1,6 11
1,6 20
Total OPEX
-1,118
-1,172
Costs of materials and charges-614 to revenues -667 Personnel expenses and pensions -278 -281 Other operating expenses -226 -224
EBITDA (1)
Q312 Q412 Restated
470
438
46 4
429
1,8 01
441
430
-1.9 %
EBITDA margin (1)
29.6%
27.2%
28.6%
26.1%
27.9%
27.8%
27.2%
0.0 pp
Non recurring items
0
-10
-1
-4
-15
0
0
-
-181
-188
-185
-194
-748
-192
-200
6.8%
EBIT (incl. NR)
28 9
240
278
231
1,038
25 0
230
-4.4%
Financial result Tax expense
-22 -65
-26 -48
-54 -34
-28 -30
-131 -177
-20 -53
-24 -44
-7.0% -8.1%
19 9 3
16 1 5
18 4 5
16 8 5
712 19
171 5
15 5 6
-3.5 % -
0.6 3 0.63
0.5 1 0.53
0.5 8 0.58
0.5 3 0.54
2.24 2.27
0.5 4 0.54
0.49 0.49
-3.6 % -7.7%
Depreciation
Net income (Group) Non-controlling interest
Earnings/share in € Earnings/share in € (excl. NR) (1)
before non-recurring items
Slide 14
Executive summary- operationals Q2 2013 -
+ 46,000 Mobile cards
+128,000
-82,000
Postpaid
Prepaid
-
+16,000 TV
-
Total Group mobile customer base of 5,410,000 Strong Mobile Postpaid net adds, growing Belgacom’s postpaid customer base to 3,570,000. Prepaid customer base lower, in shrinking prepaid market, reaching 1,837,000 prepaid cards end June’13
TV customer base grew by 16,000 in Q1, of which 14,000 HH, in line with previous quarter. Total TV customer base of 1,428,000
-
Packs continued to grow. Total end June’13 at 1,278,000
+ 19,000 PACKS
-
BB customer base end June ’13 at 1,652,000
+ 5,000 Internet
-
Fixed voice customer base end June ’13 at 3,002,000
- 39,000 Fixed Voice Slide 15
Retention actions stabilised mobile churn, positive trend seen in Q1 continued Consumer Mobile Churn postpaid
prepaid
Clear effect New telecom law Q1'12
Focus on mobile in H1 through positioning of Proximus network quality, proactive retention and acquisition actions
Q2'12
Q3'12
Q4'12
Q1'13
Q2'13
Enterprise Mobile Churn
> 60% postpaid customers on new mobile tariff plan
effect in EBU much less pronounced Q1'12
Q2'12
Q3'12
Q4'12
Q1'13
Q2'13
Slide 16
Q2’13 Focus on Mobile acquisition - Belgacom Group added 46,000 mobile customers in Q2’13, with Postpaid growing by 128,000 Mobile customer evolution 2 net adds
1 00
5,543
Split Postpaid - Prepaid
total
5,504
Net adds Postpaid
5,416
80
5,364
5,410
128
1 30
89
5 ,4 00
60
45
46
0
61
80
5 ,2 00 40
20
Net adds Prepaid & MVNO
5 ,6 00
41
5 ,0 00
Supported by tactical joint offers & strong marketing actions
30
4 ,8 00
-39
- 20
-44
-20
4 ,6 00
-52
- 40
-16 -80
4 ,4 00 - 60
-70
-88
- 80
- 10 0
Q3'12
-82 -113
-120
4 ,0 00
Q2'12
-72
4 ,2 00
Q4'12
Q1'13
Q2'12
Q2'13
150
Q3'12
Q4'12
Q1'13
Q2'13
Net adds Consumer Prepaid Net adds Consumer Postpaid
93
100
50 50
5.5%
26
17
-50
-37
-44
23.6%
40.4%
-68
-80
- 100
Mobile
+Tango
0
-82
-108 - 150
Q2'12
Q3'12
Q4'12
Q1'13
Q2'13
market share₁ EBU Net Adds 50
45
40
36 30
35
30.5%
33
30
21
25
16
20
15
10
5
0
1 Active mobile cards 2 Mobile active customers including mobile customers Luxembourg, and including mobile data cards.
Q2'12
Q3'12
Q4'12
Q1'13
Q2'13
Slide 17
Mobile offers became more abundant and have been simplified Evolution of comparable offers
Positioning Scarlet as no frills brand, with very attractive pricing for ‘price seekers’ Feb-13
June-13
Aug-13
Launch
Launch
Launch
prepaid
postpaid
3-play
offer
offer
offer
Slide 18
Clear Postpaid ARPU impact, while Prepaid ARPU remains fairly stable Since the Telco law came into force, the Consumer Postpaid ARPU decline clearly accelerated.
Consumer blended ARPU: Split Prepaid - Postpaid 27.3 €
28.9 €
Blended Postpaid ARPU
26.6 €
.0270 €
24.1 €
24.4 €
.0220 €
Blended Prepaid ARPU .0170 €
14.2 €
13.6 €
14.4 €
13.3 €
14.0 €
Q2'12
Q3'12
Q4'12
Q1'13
Q2'13
Initial loss high-value postpaid customers Re-pricing effect ( ~60% of the Postpaid customer base has been re-priced to new tariffs) Prepaid (lower ARPU) moving to Postpaid
.0120 €
.0070 €
In contrary, the Prepaid ARPU was not impacted by the new Telco Law.
Enterprise blended ARPU
The Enterprise Business experiences a more general ARPU decline driven by:
0.0 €
0.0 €
37.2 €
35.5 €
0.0 €
33.9 €
31.5 €
30.8 €
Q1'13
Q2'13
0.0 €
0.0 €
Regulation More abundant offers Churn of high-usage customers in the last quarter of ‘12
0.0 €
0.0 €
0.0 €
Q2'12
Q3'12
Q4'12
Slide 19
Solid performance of fixed products Broadband customer evolution net adds
total
28
1,615
1,626
1,637
1,652
1,647
1,700
Other 7%
23 1,600
Belgacom 44%
18 1,500
13
12 8
11
9
1,400
Cable 49%
10 1,300
5
3
-2
Belgian Fixed internet market still growing, but at slower pace Internet penetration @ 78% Belgacom market share erosion limited to -0.5% YoY
1,200
Q2'12
Q3'12
Q4'12
Q1'13
Q2'13
TV Lines evolution* Net adds Households
1,301
60
1,340
Second stream users
1,386
1,412
total
1,600
1,428
Other 5%
1,400
Belgacom 32%
1,200
40 1,000
35
32
31
800
Cable 64%
20
600
14
14
Q1'13
Q2'13
0
Belgian digital TV penetration @ 78% Stable DTV market share of 32% Growth households stable to Q1’13 Total TV market** share of 26% ; +2pp YoY
400
Q2'12
Q3'12
Q4'12
Fixed Voice customer evolution 70
net adds
total 3,500
50
3,300 30
3,149
3,119
3,085
3,041
10
3,002
3,100
2,900 -10
-30
-37
-30
-33 -44
-39
-50
2,700
Stable market, Fixed Voice penetration @ 72% Belgacom containing Fixed Voice line erosion Fixed Voice line “upgraded” via: Flat rate calling “Happy Time XL” and “Happy Time International” Multi-play packaging
2,500
Q2'12
Q3'12
Q4'12
Q1'13
*Corresponds to the total settop boxes, including multi-stream
Q2'13
Slide 20
Convergence strategy - key advantage in challenging market Packs evolution net adds
80
1,177,000
total
1,214,000
1,278,000 1,237,000 1,259,000
1,300,000
1,200,000
1,100,000
60
Continued uptake of multi-play packs End June 2013; 21% of PACKS included mobile (from 13% previous year)
1,000,000 40
34
37
21% of Packs with Mobile
900,000
20
23
22
19
Q4'12
Q1'13
Q2'13
0
800,000
700,000
Q2'12
Q3'12
Sustain growth in convergence through more value from mobile components All Packs contain 3G
All mid-end Packs include
mobile internet
TV Everywhere
volume
(as of 1st July)
Supported by tablet joint offer
On 3G, 4G and Wi-Fi
6 mobile subscriptions in a Up to
Pack
More value
Supported by tablet joint offer
FON log-in
at least a€5 reduction per mobile Slide 21
Belgacom brings connectivity anywhere, anytime and on any device Fixed Network @ 99.85% DSL
Mobile Network2 @
(among world leaders)
> 99% 3G & 2G
HD
@ > 86% VDSL (2nd in Europe)
@
~ 93% TV coverage
Wi-fi Hot Spots @
700,000 FON spots in Belgium
~ 36% 4G coverage
All download speeds are up to 50 Mbps 1
55.9 Mbps 21.8 Mbps
On average, a customer gets 33 Mbps
21.2 Mbps 6.2 Mbps
>11 million worldwide (UK, France, the Netherlands, Portugal …)
1 Speeds
depend on such factors as the distance between the connection point & the local exchange, the computer system & the internal cabling.
2 Source:
As measured by independent agency CommSquare during Q2 2013 drive tests
Slide 22
Fixed network Speed evolution in Mbps 2013 to >2018
Launch of Dynamic Line Management
Launched Q1 2013
DLM monitors line stability and dynamically applies max possible speed when a line is sufficiently stable
Preparation for Vectoring roll-out
Planned Q1 2014
Vectoring cancels crosstalk in the copper cables resulting in a significant bit rate increase of copper lines
• To up-to-50 Mbps speeds – One third of our VDSL2 lines already receives a 50 Mbps speed
• Start of Field Trial – Large technical field trial started to prepare Vectoring for massive roll-out
• 30% higher average speed experience – Thanks to DLM, the average speed experience increased with 30%
• Strong regulatory framework was negotiated, disentangling all blocking points
Next step: DLM on Vectoring Slide 23
Mobile network Mobile data evolution — Mobile data usage still in early stages with smartphone penetration just above 30%.
Steep increase in mobile data usage
— However, quickly emerging market need for 4G with much higher mobile data usage each quarter
+60% in 6 months
250
200
Strong increase in number of users X 2 in 1 year
150
100
50
0
Belgacom outperforms competition on mobile internet quality as shown in an independent study by the largest Belgian consumer organization
3G+ mobile data experience acceleration
4G roll-out continued
1•
Avg. 3G speed increase from 3.2 Mbps to 6.2 Mbps
•1 Belgacom is only Belgian operator offering 4G
2•
70% increase of network capacity for data
•2 ~36% 4G outdoor coverage end Q2 2013
3•
> 80% of mobile sites have high-speed backhauling
•3 4G available in 146 Belgian cities Slide 24
Network simplification Leaner operations through a simplified all-IP-network SIMPLIFICATION • Out phase 30 buildings • Out phase ATM network • Out phase legacy telephony PSTN & ISDN
SITUATION TODAY • High network complexity, high number of technologies • High maintenance cost • High connectivity cost
TO
FROM
• Estimated to generate savings as of year one, as from 2018 growing to
€ 35m recurrent savings. street cabinet copper fiber
remote optical platform central technical office
Three major components
Major Milestones
Fixed voice consolidation – 3.800.000 PSTN equivalent lines to migrate
•1
Total customer base of ATM customers on Ethernet based alternatives by 2013
•2 No more SIEMENS EWSD switches
Fixed data consolidation – 250.000 ATM customers to migrate Building outphasing – 263.000 m² floor space to consolidate
by 2015 (~40% of install base) •3
No more ALCATEL LUCENT S12 PSTN switches by 2018 (~60% of install base)
•4
30 buildings freed up by 2020 with an average of 5 buildings/year
Already 300.000 lines migrated
Slide 25
Belgacom Company presentation Investor Relations
Q2 2013 results per business unit Consumer Business Unit (CBU) Enterprise Business Unit (EBU)
Service Delivery Engine &Wholesale (SDE&W) Staff and Support (S&S) Belgacom International Carries Services (BICS)
26 26 Slide
Consumer - P&L Pressure on Direct Margin partially offset by cost containment
CBU revenue (EUR mio) -1.5%
61 0
– – –
Excl Q2’12 €-10.1m accounting adjustment rev -3.1% Regulation impact Q2 ’13 of €-8m (-1.4%) Pressure on Mobile revenue partly offset by firm Fixed performance H1’13 revenue -2.8%; -3.7% like-for-like*
Q2’ 13 Cost of Sales -9.4% lower YoY ; -0.7%,like-for-like
59 0
57 0
55 0
571
572
577
575
587
581
553
53 0
567
51 0
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
CBU Cost of Sales (EUR mio) 21 0
-9.4%
19 0
182
17 0
15 0
158
13 0
168
162
157
166
149
– –
165
11 0
90
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
CBU Personnel & Non-HR costs (EUR mio) 20 0
Personnel
18 0 16 0
14 0 12 0 10 0
71
84
74
73
77
86
68
74
H1’13 CoS of €313m, -8.8% or -4.4% like-for-like
Lower HR expenses, -1.3% ; driven by lower headcount, partially offset by wage indexation. Non-HR expenses 1% up, cost optimization initiatives and partial divesture of The Phone House stores limited impact from Mobile acquisition costs
86
87
89
87
91
87
88
86
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q2’13 segment result +3.9% YoY; -6.5% like-for-like
80 60
40 20 0
CBU EBITDA (EUR mio) & margin +3.9%
45.0% 32 0 30 0
40.8%
28 0
43.7%
40.6%
44.7%
44.9% 41.8%
50 .0%
42.8%
45 .0%
26 0
24 0 22 0
257
233
252
Q311
Q411
Q112
20 0
263
234
40 .0%
243
248
243
Q412
Q113
Q213
18 0
35 .0%
30 .0%
Q212
Q312
Q2 ’12 incl. accounting adj. of €16m Acquisition costs offset by: lower MTRs, improved sales channel mix and partial sale of The Phone House stores
-0.3%
Non-HR
Q2’13 Revenue -1.5% lower
– – –
Q2’12 incl one-off acc impact of €-26m Regulation impact of €-3 m Decline contained: sound Fixed revenues & cost control
H1’13 segment result +1% ; -4.1% like-for-like
*Like-for-like excludes the impact from the accounting adjustment recorded in Q2’13
Slide 27
Consumer - Fixed voice Fixed Voice Voice line price adjustments growing ARPU andtocontained Fixed erosion stable;resulted revenueindecline continued persist revenue decline Fixed voice revenue (EUR mio) 14 0
-1.9%
12 0
11 0
10 0
111
110
110
Q311
Q411
Q112
90
105
105
105
104
103
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
80
Voice line loss & EOP (000) 50
Fixed Voice revenue erosion limited to -1.9% YoY
–
13 0
1,839 1,818 1,780 1,758 1,737 1,718 1,693 1,673
Price changes brought relief to the declining Voice revenue resulting from the line loss.
H1’13 revenue of €207m, i.e. a 3.4% decline YoY
Fixed Voice customer base of 1,673,000 end Q2’13
Fixed Voice ARPU up with price changes giving some support
The total Fixed Voice traffic was down 3.8% driven by lower national traffic.
2,0 30
30
1,5 30 10
-10
-31
-20
-21
-22
-21
-18
-26
*
-30
-19
53 0
*
-50
Q311
Q411
Q112
30
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Fixed voice ARPU (EUR/month) +2.6%
19.7
19.8
20.2
19.7
19.7
20.0
20.1
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
20.2
Q213
Traffic (mio min) -3.8%
936
Q311
1,036 1,086 1,027
Q411
Q112
1,0 30
Q212
965
Q312
1,060 1,086
Q412
Q113
988
Q213
*Q1 2012 real line loss, differs from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise at start of 2012
Slide 28
Consumer – Mobile Voice Mobile customer base back to growth; Mobile Voice revenue remains under pressure Mobile voice revenue (EUR mio)
16 0
14 0
12 0
143
136
10 0
130
123
133
120 100
80
Q2’13 Mobile Voice revenue -19.8% like-for-like
– –
-13.2%
107
Driven by regulatory impacts & especially by lower Prepaid customer base and repricing of mobile Postpaid mainly decreasing the out-of-bundle usage
60
40
Q311
17 0
12 0
70
20
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Mobile growth & EOP (000) 3,774 3,805 3,805 3,811 3,748 3,643 3,561 3,572 48 32 10 11 5
-30
4,1 00
3,7 00
3,5 00
3,3 00
–
3,1 00
-62
-80
-13 0
-18 0
Q311
Q411
* Q112
Q212
Q312
-105
Q412
MoU (min/month)
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
2,7 00
2,5 00
Q113
Q412
Q113
12.9
12.2
11.6
12.0
11.1
12.0
9.5 Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
MoU up YoY to 109.4 minutes/user/month
Net Voice ARPU at € 10.2, or -15.3% YoY like-for-like
Q213
-15.3%
11.1
109.4
Blended net voice ARPU (EUR/month) -8.5%
Postpaid +93,000 : revised price plans, marketing efforts and tactical handset subsidies pushed customer growth Prepaid -82,000: Prepaid market shrinking with new telco law lowering contract barriers
Q213
+4.5%
103.6 103.8 101.5 104.7 100.5 101.7 102.2
Q311
2,9 00
-82
End Q2’13 Mobile customer base of 3,572,000 cards
–
3,9 00
– 10.2
Impacted by Postpaid repricing with more abundant tariff plans
Q213
*i.e. Mobile net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise at start of 2012
Slide 29
Consumer - Fixed Data Fixed Internet revenue grew 5.4%, driven by price indexation and larger customer base Fixed data revenue (EUR mio)
+5.4%
90
– –
88 86
87
84 82
80 78
82
82
Q311
Q411
85
84
85
85
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q2’13 revenue up 5.4% YoY
89
Positively impacted by price indexation Feb’13 Continued YoY customer growth
76 74 72
Q113
Q213
Broadband growth & EOP (000) 1,138 1,156 1,159 1,169 1,181 1,193 1,203 1,210
– –
1,2 10
18
21
1,0 10
*
15
10
13
12
81 0
10
7
1
CBU ended Q2’13 with 1,210,000 Fixed Internet customers
61 0 41 0
+7,000 net-adds, in spite of lower focus on Fixed in Q2 supported by the “Internet Everywhere” offer, mainly bought in Pack
21 0
1
10
Q311
Q411
Q112 *
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Broadband ARPU (EUR/month) +0.9%
ARPU Q2’13 of € 26.7; i.e. up by 0.9% YoY
–
26.7
26.1
26.9
26.4
26.5
26.1
26.3
26.7
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
ARPU supported by price indexation
*i.e. Fixed Internet net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation of customers
Slide 30
Consumer - Mobile Data Mobile data revenue declined, impacted by regulation, more abundant offers and the mobile customer evolution age Mobile data revenue (EUR mio) Q2’13 Mobile Data rev -4.3% YoY -4.3% SMS
Adv Data
97
97
102
98
100
97
98
14
14
12
15
15
13
12
12
79
85
85
87
84
87
85
86
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
12 0
93 90
– – –
60
30
0
SMS (units/month) -2.8%
235
Q311
273
280
291
Q411
Q112
Q212
262
Q312
294
280
283
Q412
Q113
Q213
Blended net data ARPU (EUR/month) +0.8%
8.2
8.5
8.5
Q311
Q411
Q112
9.0
8.7
9.0
9.0
9.1
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Revenue impacted by regulation, lower mobile customer base and more abundant offers SMS revenue -1.3% Advanced Mobile Data -21.6% : more Mobile data included in price plans, and impact from regulated price cap on retail Data roaming.
H1’13 Mobile Data rev -2.1% YoY to € 195m
SMS usage -2.8% to 283 SMS/Month
Mobile Data ARPU up 0.8% YoY to € 9.1
–
More customers having a price plan including Mobile data
Slide 31
Belgacom TV Double-digit TV revenue growth through larger TV customer base and higher ARPU
TV revenue (EUR mio)
+15.3%
51
53
55
57
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
61
62
64
66
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
– –
TV growth & EOP (000) 10 0
1,428 1,301 1,340 1,386 1,412 1,139 1,211 1,254
80
1,0 00
60
80 0
20
52
72
60 0
43
48
Q112
Q212
39
46
26
16
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
0
Q311
Q411
40 0 20 0 0
TV ARPU (EUR/month) +5.7%
17.5
17.6
17.6
18.1
18.2
18.3
18.6
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Total customer base of 1,428,000; +9.8% YoY Growth households stable to Q1 ‘13 +14,000 households added on Belgacom TV, 2,000 multiple streams
Q2 TV ARPU of EUR 18.6 , a 5.7% growth YoY
–
17.8
Continued growth of subscribers Price increase of rented settop box
Continued customer growth
– – –
1,4 00 1,2 00
40
TV revenue +15.3% YoY driven by
Supported by the February ’13 price increase for rented settop boxes
Slide 32
Tango Luxembourg
Tango revenue (EUR mio) +16.8%
28
28
27
28
28
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
28
30
29
Q412
Q113
32
Q213
Tango mobile customers EOP (000) 260
264
266
268
270
271
273
274
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Blended mobile net ARPU (EUR/month) +6.3%
29.3
29.1
28.4
29.2
29.5
30.7
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
30.1
31.1
Q113
Q213
Q2 2013, Tango’s revenue +16.8% YoY to €32m.
– – –
supported by the growing mobile subscriptions success of the offers for Smartphones increased terminals sales
H1’13 revenue of €62m, up 12% YoY
Continued growth in mobile customer base – Belgacom extended its convergence strategy to Tango: quadruple-play offer “Tango Generation”. – success of Tango's 4G offers among its Smartphone customers – focus placed on the B2B market with the recent acquisition of large accounts
Slide 33
Enterprise – quarterly P&L
EBU revenue (EUR mio) 64 0
-3.8%
62 0
– – –
60 0
58 0
591
572
56 0
579
576
54 0
560
579 554
554
Q113
Q213
Q2 YoY decline of 3.8%; -4.2% like-for-like*
52 0
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
EBU Cost of Sales (EUR mio) 20 0
Q2’12 included €-2.1m one-off acc adjustment Regulation impact of € -20m (-3.5%) in Q2’13 increased pressure on mobile only partly offset by higher ICT revenue
Cost of Sales slightly down year-on-year
19 0
– –
-4.9%
18 0
17 0
16 0
164
15 0
154
14 0
149
157
163 150
13 0
148
149
Q113
Q213
12 0
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
EBU Personnel & Non-HR costs (EUR mio) Personnel
+0.7%
Non-HR
16 0
14 0 12 0 10 0 80 60
34
36
40
39
39
41
38
37
93
96
99
102
102
100
107
105
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
H1’13 with €297m, 2.8% lower yoy (-0.9% like-for-like).
For Q2’13, € 37m- non-HR expenses, -5.9% YoY, showing effect from solid cost containment. H1’13 -5.3% to € 75m. HR expenses +3.3% to € 105m: higher personnel base, salary indexation of Jan’13. H1’13 €212 m HR expenses, up 5.4% YoY.
Q2’13 segment result -5.5% YoY; -8.1% like-for-like basis.
40 20 0
EBU EBITDA (EUR mio) & margin -5.5%
50.9% 50.0% 50.2% 48.3% 48.0% 47.6% 47.0% 39 5
55 .0% 50 .0%
29 5 24 5
19 5
– – –
47.5%
34 5
45 .0%
291
296
291
14 5
278
268
276
40 .0%
260
263
35 .0% 30 .0%
95
25 .0%
45
20 .0%
-5
15 .0%
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Cost of Sales Q2’13 4.9% lower YoY -1.1% like-for-like. lower Mobile Termination Rates, more than offsetting the unfavorable product mix
Q2’12 incl € -8m acc impact new telco law Regulatory impact of €-16 m (-5.7%). Lower Direct margin resulting from the changing product mix.
H1’13 € 524m, -8% YoY
*Like-for-like excludes the impact from the accounting adjustment recorded in Q2’13
Slide 34
Enterprise - Fixed Voice Fixed Voice revenue showing some relief from price changes, ARPU up 1.3% while line erosion continued Fixed voice revenue (EUR mio) Fixed Voice revenue Q2’13 -2.8% YoY –
-2.8%
14 0
13 0
12 0
11 0
121
122
124
120
118
119
118
117
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
–
10 0
90
Voice line loss & EOP (000) 20
1,400 1,385 1,394 1,379 1,370 1,356 1,338 1,318
1,9 00 1,7 00 1,5 00
lowered Fixed-to-Mobile rates on 1 January 2013 following the regulated cut in Mobile Termination Rates. continued line erosion, while price changes gave some relief
H1’13 Fixed Voice revenue -3.8% YoY
Fixed Line erosion Q1’13 of -19,000 lines Enterprises rationalising on Fixed voice lines
Q2’13 ARPU up 1.3% YoY to € 28.8
1,3 00
1,1 00 0
-13
-14
-20
Q311
Q411
-18 * Q112
-15
-9
90 0
-14
70 0
50 0
-18
-19
Q113
Q213
30 0 10 0
-10 0
Q212
Q312
Q412
Fixed voice ARPU (EUR/month)
– –
+1.3%
28.1
28.6
28.9
28.4
27.9
28.6
28.7
28.8
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Traffic (mio min) -6.5%
672
Q311
716
754
Q411
Q112
699
Q212
636
Q312
686
695
Q412
Q113
654
Negative effect from reduced F2M (Jan’13) Partially offset by positive effect from price indexation (Feb’13)
Q2 Fixed Voice traffic was 6.5% lower YoY driven by:
– –
fixed line erosion lower usage per line
Q213
*Fixed line loss differ s from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise at start of 2012 and inclusion of business trunking
Slide 35
Enterprise - Mobile Voice Enterprise - Voice Mobile Voice Pressure on Mobile ARPU stable versus previous quarter; customer Solid revenue undercards pressure due to pricing and regulation basecustomer growinggrowth, with 33,000 mobile Mobile voice revenue (EUR mio)
13 0
-13.2%
12 0
– – –
11 0 10 0
90
110
108
106
102
100
96
88
88
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
80 70
60 50 40
Q311
Q411
Q2’13 Mobile voice revenue -13.2% YoY; -15% like-for-like
Mobile growth & EOP (000) 1,486 1,516 1,549 1,380 1,408 1,413 1,449 1,470
Q2’12 revenue incl €2.1m acc adjustment regulated MTR and Voice Roaming prices Repricing effect; general competitive mobile market.
H1’13 Mobile revenue €177m -15.8% YoY (like-for-like)
Solid Mobile customer growth in Q2’13 in spite of aggressive competitor moves in the business market
1,5 00
29 22
22
– –
1,3 00
36
30 21
33
1,1 00
90 0
16
70 0
0
50 0
Q311
Q411
Q112 * Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
MOU (min/month) -3.3%
Q2 3.3% lower usage YoY
–
327.8 326.6 315.8 305.0 322.8 293.3 314.3 310.2
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
24.2
Customer churn Q4 2012 triggered by new telco law included high-user profiles, bringing average usage down
Q213
Net voice ARPU (EUR/month) -19.1%
Retention/acquisition efforts paying off 33,000 net mobile cards added, with especially Voice cards doing sequentially better
-20.7%
26.9
25.9
25.3
23.7
22.9
21.6
19.7
19.2
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q2’13 Mobile Voice ARPU of €19.2, -21% YoY like-for-like:
– – –
Regulation impact: MTR cut and lower Voice Roaming rates Mobile re-pricing, with more free voice minutes included in price plans High-usage customers that churned end 2012
*i.e. Mobile net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise and cleaning in-active cards at start of 2012
Slide 36
Enterprise - Fixed Data Enterprise - impacted Fixed by Data Fixed Data revenue migrations to Explore platform and Slightly revenue Packs trend continued; Internet customer base fairly stable uptakepositive of converged with internet
Fixed data revenue (EUR mio) 10 2
-3.2%
–
10 0
98
96
96
94
99
99
97
Q2’13 Fixed Data revenue €96 m, -3.2% vs 2012
96
95
96
96
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
92
–
90
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Broadband growth & EOP (000) 434
446
434
445
444
443
444
442 43 0
11
38 0
0
33 0
1
0
28 0
23 0 18 0
-10
-2 Q311
Q411
Q112
*
-2
-1
-1
Q212
Q312
Q412
13 0
-2 Q113
Continued migration from older technologies to the Belgacom Explore platform, for which pricing is more favorable for customers Slightly smaller customer base
SME customers opting more and more for advantageous converged Packs including internet. Net loss of 2,000 internet customers in a saturated and increasingly competitive professional Fixed Internet market
80 30
Q213
Broadband ARPU (EUR/month) +0.9%
39.1
38.9
39.5
39.0
39.1
38.8
39.0
39.3
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q2’13 ARPU of €39.3 up 0.9%YoY, driven by price adjustments
*i.e. Fixed Internet net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation of customers
Slide 37
Enterprise – Mobile Data Regulated price caps pressuring both SMS and advanced Mobile data revenue
Mobile data revenue (EUR mio) 80
SMS
Q2’13 Mobile Data revenue -7.3% YoY
–
-7.3%
ADV Data
70
60
58
55
54
53
53
31
32
30
28
28
29
26
26
26
25
26
25
24
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
56
57
32
31
24 Q311
56
–
50
40
30
20
10
Q2’13 non-SMS Data revenue € 29m, -7.4% YoY fully due to negative regulated price effect. Q2’13 SMS revenue -7.2%; including minor regulation impact, and especially effect of price bundles including unlimited SMS
H1’13 Mobile data revenue of € 106m, -6.6% YoY
0
SMS (units/month)
+6.4%
87
96
107
112
105
118
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
118
Q113
119
-13.7%
Q311
13.7
Q411
13.5
Q112
13.5
Q212
12.6
Q312
12.2
Q412
–
Mobile Data ARPU down 13.7% YoY to €11.6
– 11.8
Q113
Success of pricing plans, including more and more unlimited SMS volumes.
Q213
Net data ARPU (EUR/month) 13.8
Continued uptake in SMS usage, growing 6.4 % YoY to 119 text messages per user per month
11.6
–
Growth trend reversed since 1 July 2012 due to regulated price caps for Mobile Data roaming aggressive competitor moves on business market
Q213
Slide 38
Enterprise ICT Enterprise –- ICT
ICT revenue up by 6.1% on like-for-like basisin challenging economic Solid ICT revenue, showing 2% growth
context
Q2’13 ICT revenue +2% YoY to €175m
–
Growth somewhat contained due to customers delaying IT projects or opting for private Cloudbased solutions, which triggers a shift from oneshot revenue to monthly services fees.
ICT revenue (EUR mio) 22 0 21 0
+2.0%
20 0
19 0 18 0
16 0
15 0
186
182
17 0
163
167
172
167
Q112
Q212
Q312
174
175
Q113
Q213
14 0 13 0
Ytd June’13 ICT revenue +3.1% to €350m
Q311
Q411
Q412
Slide 39
Service & Wholesale – P&L livery & Delivery Wholesale - P&L SDE&W revenue (EUR mio)
-3.4%
98 93 88 83
– –
78
73 68
77
80
78
76
75
76
75
74
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
63 58 53
SDE&W Cost of Sales (EUR mio) 12
+7.5%
Q2’13 revenue -3.4% YoY driven by slowing wholesale revenue Regulatory measures reduced the Q2 revenue by 1.7%. lower traffic and broadband volumes
H1’13 revenue -3.2 YoY to € 149m
CoS Q2’13 +7.5%
€ 42 million HR expenses for Q2; -2.1% yoy. One salary indexation (January 2013) offset by positive effect from lower headcount. Ytd June ‘13, HR expenses €87 m, +1.3% non-HR expenses up 5.2% to € 52m. H1’13 € 103m, up 4.9% yoy, incl resources for simplification projects.
10
8
6
4
2
9
9
9
9
9
10
11
10
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
0
SDE&W Personnel & Non-HR costs (EUR mio) Personnel
Non-HR
+1.8%
14 0
12 0 10 0 80 60
40 20
48
42
48
50
41
48
50
52
50
50
43
43
46
43
45
42
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
0
SDE&W EBITDA (EUR mio) 0
-10
-20
-30
-21
-23
-26
-21
-25
-30
-31
Q113
Q213
Q2 segment result YoY lower due to lower Direct margin combined with higher expenses
-30
-19.2%
-40
-50
-60
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Slide 40
Staff & support - P&L Staff & Support – P&L S&S Revenue(EUR mio) -5.2%
30
25
25
20
• •
Q2’13 revenue of € 7m H1’13 revenue of € 25m, including a capital gain of € 11m realised by Belgacom resulting from the sale of a technical building as part of Belgacom’s ongoing network simplification plan.
• •
HR-expenses remained flattish YoY Inflation-based wage indexations ,partially offset by the benefit from lower headcount compared to end June 2012.
•
Stable YoY Non-HR expenses for Q2’13
18
15
10
5
8
9
7
7
11
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
7
0
Q311
Q113
Q213
* Internal invoice; neutral on group level S&S Personnel costs (EUR mio) 48
+0.2%
46
44
42
40
38
36
40
40 37
34
38
40
38
40
38
32
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
S&S Non-HR costs (EUR mio) 90
+0.1%
80 70 60 50
66
40
61
30
67 50
50
49
Q112
Q212
Q312
50
50
Q113
Q213
20 10 0
Q311
Q411
Q412
Slide 41
International Carrier Services International Carrier Services – P&L P&L •
BICS Revenue (EUR mio) +0.9
44 0
42 0
40 0
401
38 0
409
401
424
430
417
– 413
382
36 0
–
34 0
32 0
30 0
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
BICS Gross margin (EUR mio) Non-Voice
+5.2%
Voice
H’13 BICS revenue of € 829m, up by 4.8% YoY.
•
Gross margin Q2’13 up 5.2% YoY
–
80
60
20
28 31
Q311
27
25
30
31
29
28
27
31
31
32
32
34
33
38
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Reduced EU MTRs and slight negative dollar effect impacted Voice revenue More than compensated for by solid Mobile data revenue
•
100
40
Revenue Q2’13 up 0.9% from strong comparable base
Favorable destination mix led to record Gross margin of € 65m.
•
Ytd June 2013 the Gross margin totaled € 127 million, a 7.4% yoy increase.
•
Consequently to solid Direct margin growth BICS’ segment result for Q2’13 was up by 7.5% and the EBITDA margin ended slightly higher at 8.9%. Ytd June 2013, BICS reported a segment result of € 72m, up 14.8% YoY.
0
BICS EBITDA (EUR mio) & margin +7.5% 20 .0% 60
50
8.7%
8.3%
7.3%
8.4%
8.3%
7.3%
8.3%
8.9%
30
20
35
33 28
34
35
32
35
37
0
0.0 %
•
-10 .0%
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
BICS Volumes (in mio) SMS/MMS
Minutes
445
8,2 00
7,7 00
276
6,7 00
6,2 00
5.0 %
-5.0 %
10
7,2 00
15 .0%
10 .0%
40
315
323
361
451
428 7,556
6,853
7,018
6,907
6,984
6,934
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
461
• •
Voice volumes: Q2 4% lower to 6.7 billion minutes Non-Voice volumes Q2 up 27.6% to 461 million messages
7,267
6,701
5,7 00
5,2 00
Q412
Q113
Q213
Slide 42
Belgacom Company presentation Investor Relations
Work In Progress
Ytd September 2010 results in detail Other topics Other topics • Consumer Business Unit (CBU) Enterprise Business • Pricing – slide 47 • •Shareholder structure – slide 44Unit (EBU) Serviceremuneration Delivery Engine • Regulation & legal – slide 52 • •Shareholder - slide 45&Wholesale (SDE&W) • Belgian economy – slide 56 Staff– and Support (S&S) • •Spectrum slide 46 • Belgacom International Carries Services (BICS) 43
Slide 43
Shareholder structure* Belgian state owns ~ 53.5% 338,025,135 shares, of which 318,838,944 Outstanding
• Limited liability company under public law - Belgian state main shareholder: 53.5% - Legal obliged threshold: 50%+1 share
Own Shares; 5.7% Free Float; 40.8%
• Free float 40.8%
• Treasury shares 5.7%
Belgian State; 53.5%
- Under Belgian law, companies prohibited from owning >20% of outstanding share capital - Part of own shares held for personnel incentives
Status 30 Jun 2013
Shares
% shares
% Voting
% Dividend
Belgian state
180,887,569
53.5%
56.7%
55.9%
Free float
137,951,375
40.8%
43.3%
42.7%
19,186,191
5.7%
-
1.4%
Own shares
*situation at 30 June 2013
Slide 44
Belgacom intends to ensure its shareholders an attractive return
Shareholder remuneration SBB
Dividends
Dividend per share & dividend yield
% of FCF
Mio â‚Ź 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0
Interim dividend
150% 120%
6.1%
60% 30% 0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Seri‌ Dividend Yield* 5.7% 5.5%
1.93 1.52
90%
1.38 1.52 0.55 2004
Extra dividend
2005
Normal dividend
8.0%
8.2%
11.2% 8.7%
9.0%
6.5%
2.49
2.18
2.18
2.08
2.18
2.18
1.68
1.68
1.68
1.68
1.68
0.29
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.31 0.50
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
1.89 1.60
1.68
*Dividend yield based on annual dividend & share price end of year
Slide 45
Spectrum: Belgian situation Spectrum -The Belgian situation • 900 & 1800 MHzMHz 900MHz MHz & 1800 • Used for 2G, 3G and 4G • Belgian operators allowed to deploy UMTS in 900 MHz spectrum (more efficient in rural areas) and 4G in 1800 MHz • Tacit extension: BGC has to pay €74m for 2010-2015; via annual payments. BGC filed annulment procedure.
800 MHz
Unallocated 2 x 10
900 MHz
Proximus 2 x 12
1800 MHz
2100 MHz 2600 MHz
2100 MHz
2600 MHz
800 MHz
• 900 MHz & 1800 MHz • Used for 3G • Proximus, Mobistar & Base each have a UMTS license since 2001 • BGC paid € 150m • 2 Aug ‘11, BIPT awarded 4th license to Telenet/Voo for an amount of € 71.5m (2X 14.8 MHz) • all licenses expire in 2021
• Will be used for 4G • Out of 5 candidates, 4 have obtained spectrum in 2.6 GHz band • Belgacom acquired 2x20 MHz for an amount of € 20.22 Mio. • License is valid for 15 years as from July 2012
• Will be used for 4G Conditions: • Auction of 3 lots of 2x10 MHz • Minimum price of € 120m per lot • License for 20 years • Spectrum cap of 2x10 MHz. • No spectrum reserved for new entrants. • Coverage obligations • National roaming may be imposed by BIPT. • Process expected to be completed by end 2013.
Unallocated 2 x 10
Mobistar
Base
2 x 12
2 x 10
Proximus 2 x 20,8
Proximus 2 x 15 Proximus 2 x 20
Unallocated 2 x 10
Mobistar 2 x 20,8 1x 5
Mobistar 2 x 15 Mobistar 2 x 20
Unallocated 2 x 11.4
Base 2 x 22 1x5
Base 2 x 15 Base 2 x 15
1x5
Telenet / Voo 1x5 2 x 14.8
Unallocated 2 x 15
BUCD 1 x 45
Slide 46
Pricing – Fixed products Classic
Happy Time XL
No Limit National Anytime
Happy time international
19.99€ / month
19.99€ / month
29.67€ / month
20.99€ / month
Note: Lower tariffs during peak compared to Happy Time
Free to FIX & to MOB during OffPeak & Weekend
Free to FIX Anytime
Free to FIX ,to MOB & to most European countries during OffPeak & Weekend
Peak: 8-19h
Peak: 8-17h
24/24
Peak: 8-17h
Internet Start
Internet Comfort
Internet Maxi
24.95€ / month
35.95€ / month
46.20€ / month
Volume incl: 150 GB Download speed: 50 Mbps Upload speed: 3 Mbps 3G: 100 MB
Volume incl: Unlimited Download speed: 50 Mbps Upload speed: 4 Mbps 3G: 250 MB
+ 100 MB 3G + hotspot access
+ 250 MB 3G + unlimited hotspot access
Volume incl: 100 GB Download speed: 50 Mbps Upload speed: 2.5 Mbps 3G: 50 MB + 50 MB 3G + hotspot access
All download speeds increased from 30 Mbps up-to-50 Mbps since the deployment of the DLM technology in Q1’13
TV
21.5€ / month >70 channels 3 TV
Note: Belgacom TV only available in pack, not as stand alone service: Internet Start+TV: € 43.95 Tel+TV: € 35.75 Slide 47
Pricing – Mobile Voice (Postpaid)
For nonSmartphone users
For Smartphone users
Easy+ 10
Easy+ 15
Easy+ 25
Easy+ 45
10€ / month
15€ / month 10€/month PACK
20 min + unlimited SMS
150 min + unlimited SMS
25€ / month 20€/month PACK
45€ / month 40€/month PACK
€ 0.25 / min € 0.25 / MMS € 0.85 / MB
€ 0.25 / min € 0.25 / MMS € 0.85 / MB
€ 0.25 / min € 0.25 / MMS € 0.85 / MB
Unlimited min € 0.25 / MMS € 0.85 / MB
Smart+ 15
Smart + 25
Smart+ 35
Smart+ 65
15€ / month 10€/month PACK
25€ / month 20€/month PACK
35€ / month 30€/month PACK
65€ / month 55€/month PACK
120 min + Unlimited SMS +0.5GB incl
180 min + + Unlimited SMS + 1 GB incl
300 min + + Unlimited SMS + 2 GB incl
Unlimited voice + Unlimited SMS + 5 GB incl.
€ 0.25 / min € 0.25 / MMS € 0.10 / MB
€ 0.25 / min € 0.25 / MMS € 0.10 / MB
€ 0.25 / min € 0.25 / MMS € 0.10 / MB
Unlimited / min € 0.25 / MMS € 0.10 / MB included
240 min unlimited SMS
Unlimited min unlimited SMS
Slide 48
Pricing – Mobile Voice (Prepaid)
Reload bonus
For nonSmartphone users
For Pay&Go Easy you get : Pay & Go Easy € 0.27/ min € 0.12 / SMS € 0.25 / MMS € 0.5 /MB
• Bonus 1 (towards fix and Mobile): 10€ reload= 20min, 15€ reload= 40min, 25€ reload= 70min, 50€ reload= 200 min OR Bonus 2 (towards fix): 10€ reload=150 min, 15€ reload=600 min, 25€ reload=unlimited min, 50€ reload=unlimited
Reload bonus
For Smartphone users
Pay & Go Smart € 0.50 / min Peak € 0.25 / min OffPeak € 0.12 / SMS Peak € 0.08 / SMS OffPeak € 0.25 / MMS € 0.5/MB
For Pay&Go Smart you get: • Bonus 10€ Reload: unltd. SMS OffPeak + 10 MB • Bonus 15€ Reload: unltd. SMS + 100 MB • Bonus 25€ Reload: unltd. SMS + 500 MB
Peak: 7 – 16h
Slide 49
Pricing – Mobile Data 4G Option
Standard
Pay & Surf
10€ / month
0.5€ / MB (prepaid ) Or 0.85€/MB (postpaid)
1 GB incl.
4.99€ 50 MB 9.99€ 500 MB
€0.1/ MB
General
Post-paid Only
Prepaid Only
GSM Only Laptop & Tablet Only
iPad Only
Laptop Only Prepaid Only
Prepaid Only Pay & Surf
10€ 500 MB 15€ 750 MB 25€ 1250 MB 50€ 2500 MB
Daily
Comfort
Favorite
Favorite for iPad
Pay & Surf for iPad
4.99€ / month + 1€/day of surf
19.99€ / month
34.99€ / month
24.99€ / month
10€
2 GB incl.
4 GB incl.
3 GB incl.
500MB incl.
1 GB incl. €0.03 / MB
€0.03 / MB
€0.03 / MB included
Reload 10€> in 31d: +50% data volume
included
5€ reduction if you are already a BGC fixed internet customer
(if you use more – usage is free but at a lower speed) included
Slide 50
Pricing converged PACKS - examples of possible combinations TV + Fix
TV + Internet
35.75€ / month TV + Classic (or Happy Time XL)
53.95€ / month TV TV Everywhere + Internet Comfort +Unlimited volume +Unlimited hotspot access +500 MB 3G
Fix+ Internet
53.95€ / month Classic (or Happy Time XL) + Internet Comfort +Unlimited volume +Unlimited hotspot access +500 MB 3G
At least €5/month discount for each Proximus subscription (as of €15 /month) added to your Pack (maximum of 6 Proximus subscriptions per pack)
TV + Fix + Internet
As from 1 Jul’13, the rates of Packs including internet went up: + € 2 for Start + € 3 for Comfort + € 1 for Maxi In exchange, customers get more volume, more speed & more TV
62.95€ / month TV TV Everywhere + Classic (or Happy Time XL) + Internet Comfort +Unlimited volume +Unlimited hotspot access +500 MB 3G
TV + Mobile + Internet
63.95€ / month
TV + Fix + Mobile + Internet
TV TV Everywhere + Smart+/Easy+ 15 + Internet Comfort +Unlimited volume +Unlimited hotspot access +500 MB 3G
72.95€ / month TV TV Everywhere + Classic (or Happy Time XL) + Smart+/Easy+ 15 + Internet Comfort +Unlimited volume +Unlimited hotspot access +500 MB 3G Slide 51
Regulation – 1 Overview financial impact Estimated Impact Regulation impacts (Decrease in EUR million)
Actuals
FY 2013
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
~ €45m
€10m
€10m
~ €5m
€1m
€1m
MTR & flow-through Fix-to-Mob
Revenue
Roaming (i.e. Voice, SMS and Data)
Revenue
~ €48m
€15m
€19m
EBITDA
~ €48m
€15m
€19m
Revenue EBITDA
~ €93m ~ €53m
€24m €15m
€30m €20m
Total
EBITDA
• Over the second quarter of 2013, Belgacom’s revenues were negatively impacted for a total amount of EUR 30 million by regulation measures. On the EBITDA level, this came down to an impact of EUR 20 million.
• For the full year 2013, the estimated total impact of regulatory measures on revenues is expected to be EUR -93 million. This would result in an EBITDA impact of EUR -53 million.
Slide 52
Regulation – 2 Mobile Termination Rates (MTR) MTR-Glidepath in €ct 11.43 9.02
–
Glidepath in place since August 2010. Full symmetry effective since 1 January 2013
– –
MTR decreases reflected in F2M tariffs of BGC
7.2 4.62 4.62
Before* *
3.94 3.83
01-Aug-10** Proximus
01-Jan-11* Mobistar
2.62 2.62 01-Jan-12*
1.08 1.18 01-Jan-13*
Before*
01-Aug-10*
7.2 9.02 11.43
4.62 5.05 5.81
3.94 4.29 4.90
2.62 2.79 3.11
1.18 1.18 1.18
-36% -44% -49%
-15% -15% -16%
-34% -35% -36%
-55% -58% -62%
9% 26%
9% 24%
6% 19%
0% 0%
25% 59%
•
Suspension procedure: On 15 Feb 2011, Court rejected all the claims
•
Annulment procedure: On 16 May 2012, Court rejected claims regarding the price setting but asked notification to the Community regulators. In the meantime, rates remain valid.
MTR regulation impact 2013
Base
• MTR glide path In euro cent (excluding VAT) Proximus Mobistar Base % change Proximus Mobistar Base Asymmetry Mobistar-Prox Base-Prox
Mobistar & Base filed separate appeal against decision:
01-Jan-11* 01-Jan-12*
01-Jan-13*
1 Jan 2013 MTR’s final reduction of glide path set in 2010
Actual impact on Q2 2013 financials: − Revenue: € -10m − EBITDA: € -1m
MTR regulation impact for 2013 Estimated impact on FY ’13 financials: − Revenue: ~ € -45m − EBITDA: ~ € -5m
*excl VAT, including inflation
Slide 53
Regulation – 3 Mobile voice and data-roaming: EU Roaming III Regulation regulation • • •
Roaming III Regulation entered into force on 1 July 2012.
This regulation covers a ten-year period until 30 June 2022. It imposed a further lowering of the existing regulated price caps, and extended the roaming regulation to retail data as from July 2012. It also imposed transparency measure to avoid bill shocks and has extended the measures to roaming outside EU since July 2012.
•
Roaming III Regulation also foresees structural measures − Wholesale roaming access (1 July 2012) − Decoupling, i.e. separate selling of roaming services from domestic mobile services(1 July 2014) • Strategic review of EU telecom regulation : Mrs Kroes aims at further roaming price reductions (retail and wholesale) as from mid-2014 and alignment of international prices (within EU) to national prices (unless objective cost differences). Plans expected to be presented to EU Summit in October 2013.
–
Actual impact on Q2 2013 financials: − Revenue: ~€ -19m − EBITDA: ~€ -19m
–
Estimated impact on FY 13 financials: − Revenue: ~€ -48m − EBITDA: ~€ -48m
Slide 54
Regulation – 4 Decision to open-up the Belgian Cable Network On 18 July 2011, the Belgian regulators published their final decision on broadband & broadcast regulation: – On the broadcast Market
–
Each cable operator has ‘Significant Market Power’ (SMP) in its area a is submitted to the following obligations: – resell analog TV – open up Digital TV platform – resell broadband -> Belgacom can only obtain access to analog TV On the broadband Market Based on the this decision, Belgacom is sole SMP (cable not included) and has to provide: – bitstream access for television (multicast) - Belgacom reference offer approved by BIPT on 4 Oct. 2012 – pricing decision still pending. Multicast implemented since April 2013 – VDSL2 prices based on strict cost orientation The BIPT maintains a strong focus on operational excellence for wholesale services
Implementation of cable regulation: • Belgian regulators have proposed wholesale prices for access to cable networks: retail minus 20 & 35% after deduction of author & content rights (depending on cable operator). Final decisions expected in Q4 2013. April 2014 earliest possible implementation of cable Opening • BGC has decided not to resale analogue TV (old technology & opening too late). Belgacom has requested a fundamental revision of the market analysis and a full level playing field
Slide 55
Macro economic environment Belgium & Euro area - prospects GDP growth forecast (%) 1
Belgium
Euro area
Unemployment rate forecast (%) 2 Belgium
Euro area
11.4%
1.9%
12.2%
10.2%
1.4%
-0.3%
0.0% -0.4%
-0.6%
7.2%
2011
2012
Inflation forecast (%)3
2013
Belgium
2013
Belgium: 2.6% 2.5%
1.6% 1.0%
2011
2012
8.3%
Euro area
3.4%
2.7%
2011
7.6%
2012
Budget deficit 3.9% end ‘12 2012 Gross public Debt 99.8% of GDP
2013
Source: National Bank, 12/07/2013 1 GDP – percentage change on preceding year 2 Number of unemployed as a percentage of total labour force 3 Index of consumer prices – percentage change on preceding year
Slide 56
For further information:
Belgacom Investor Relations e-mail: investor.relations@belgacom.be Tel: +32 2 202 82 41 http://www.belgacom.com
Slide 57