NATIONWIDE COVID-19 COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE IMPACT STUDY Selected Insights Among Southeast Office Decision-Makers N=3,010 Respondents (Office Space Decision-Makers/Influencers) Nationally
January 2021
TENANT IMPACTS – ENVIRONMENTAL DYNAMICS
VIEWS ON IMPORTANCE OF IN-PERSON OFFICE SPACE • Respondents were asked if a series of statements/attitudes apply to them today, or could apply to them in the future. • Overall three quarters of tenants (74%), rising to 77% of C-Suite/Owners believe their “office space is vital to conducting a successful business/operation). • Views across the Southeast and Georgia tend to mirror the national sample, with views increasing significantly among Georgia commercial office tenant decision-makers. “We believe our in-person office space is vital to conducting a successful business/operation”
National / All Audiences
All Southeast
46%
48%
28%
27%
18%
!
74%
8%
Office Tenants Nationwide Believe Office Space is or Will Be Vital to Conducting a Successful Business
19% 5%
State Breakdown
Georgia Only
Applies To Us Today © 2021
49%
Could Apply to Us in Future
31%
Doesn’t / Won’t Apply
17% 3%
Applies/Could Apply
Florida
74%
Georgia
80%
Tennessee
75%
North Carolina
74%
Unsure 2
CRE INDUSTRY IMPACTS
COVID-19 AS AN INFLECTION POINT OR TRANSFORMATION • Views in the Southeast slip slightly below the national sample, driven in part by “less transformational” views among VPs/Directors, healthcare industry and
Agree / Strongly
Neutral
36%
Agree / Somewhat
Q: © 2021
“Coronavirus/COVID-19 is a tremendous inflection point or transformation in workplaces; and the way our company does business in its workplace will not be the same for some time to come.”
Nationwide Tenants Agree Coronavirus is a ”Transformation”
63%
Among Southeast Tenants
State Breakdown
BY SQUARE FOOTAGE
21%
28%
BY RENT PER SQUARE FOOT (PSF)
Disagree
65%
“Agree – Transformation”
Florida
67%
Georgia
59%
Tennessee
45%
North Carolina
64%
BY INDUSTRY
15%
BY LOCATION
Agree or Disagree – Is COVID-19 a Transformation?
Agree – Transformation BY JOB ROLE
• Almost two thirds of tenant decision-makers believe coronavirus is a transformation or inflection point for owners-operators, profiled below and at right.
Nationwide
Southeast
C-Suite, Owner VP, Director Facilities Manager Mid-Level Managers
63% 65% 66% 69%
66% 50% 88% 62%
Southwest California Texas South Northeast Midwest Northwest
65% 64% 63% 64% 67% 60% 60%
--------
1,000 – 5,000 SF 5,000 – 10,000 SF 10,000 – 25,000 SF 25,000 – 50,000 SF > 50,000 SF
58% 67% 68% 67% 73%
56% 65% 66% 71% 69%
< $30 PSF $30-$40 PSF $40-$50 PSF > $50 PSF
57% 68% 67% 69%
54% 62% 64% 73%
Technology Professional Services Healthcare Real Estate Construction Manufacturing Retail Other
74% 63% 66% 53% 67% 56% 66% 62%
71% 66% 52% 59% 54% 58% 66% 63% 3
TENANT IMPACTS – ENVIRONMENTAL DYNAMICS
OFFICE TENANT FINANCIAL BAROMETER • More than 6-in-10 tenants (63%) say clients have canceled projects/reduced business with them, or could in the future, with a similar share saying they’ve experienced at least a 25% dip in revenue relative to forecast. • As a result, just under half are–or could in the near-term–struggling to meet payroll, and pay their office rent on time, climbing in the Southeast and Georgia as tenants indicate they are under more intense financial pressures.
37%
We have had clients cancel projects or reduce business with us
33%
We’ve experienced at least a 25% dip in revenue relative to forecast We have reduced overhead in reaction to the coronavirus emergency (e.g., layoffs, furloughs or reductions in compensation)
We have struggled to pay our office rent on time/meet our lease terms
Applies To Us Today © 2021
27%
32%
We’ve applied for small business emergency loans (e.g., PPP funding, SBA EIDL, other loans or local government grants) We have struggled to meet payroll requirements
26%
28%
34% 22% 21%
Could Apply to Us in Future
24% 27%
7%
32%
8%
33%
6%
34%
8%
44%
26% Doesn’t / Won’t Apply
30%
45% Unsure
!
47% Nationwide Office Tenants Struggling to Pay Rent Applies Today or Could Apply
56%
In the Southeast Region
7% 8%
State Breakdown
“Struggling to Pay Rent”
Florida
60%
Georgia
59%
Tennessee
50%
North Carolina
47% 4
TENANT IMPACTS – ENVIRONMENTAL DYNAMICS
ATTITUDES TOWARDS THE PANDEMIC AND WORKPLACE IMPACTS • Nearly two thirds (65%) are personally comfortable returning to the office (vs. 59% saying their employees share the same feeling), with comfort scores declining in more suburban and suburban-urban areas (which is counterintuitive, but follows the Phase 2/3 shift of coronavirus to more suburban/rural areas).
Nationwide Tenant Comfort/Support for Safe Returns – Personal vs. Projection on Colleagues I am personally comfortable with or supportive of coming back to our physical office space
Our employees (my colleagues) are generally comfortable with or supportive of coming back to our physical office space
Agree / Strongly
69% vs. 63%
Southeast Region Personal vs. Projected Colleague Comfort © 2021
Agree / Somewhat
32%
25% Neutral
33%
34%
18%
21%
16%
19%
65% Personal vs.
59% Projection
Disagree
70% vs. 67% Among Southeast Region C-Suite/Owners Only
Personal Comfort
Projected Colleague Comfort
Florida
74%
68%
Georgia
69%
58%
Tennessee
70%
70%
North Carolina
63%
59%
State Breakdown
5
TENANT IMPACTS – BUSINESS PERFORMANCE DRIVING SPACE DECISIONS
NATIONAL ENTERPRISE RISK PROFILES – FINANCIAL BAROMETER VS. SPACE VALUE Industry Risk Profiles
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response
Technology
Real Estate Construction Manufacturing Retail Other
37%
59%
46%
21%
64%
53%
23%
60%
46%
27% 34%
4 or more years Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
55%
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response
Urban
28%
Suburban/Within Commuting Distance to City
52% 42%
37%
20%
1,000 - 5,000 SF
58%
10,000 - 25,000 SF 25,000 - 50,000 SF
45%
Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
More Than 50,000 SF
28%
32%
60%
39% 45%
28%
54% 68%
Rent Per Square Foot (PSF)
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response
34%
Less than $30 PSF
46%
44%
57% 66%
39%
$30 - $40 PSF
58%
23%
73% 58%
23%
$40 - $50 PSF
21%
76% 30%
66%
45%
33%
Midwest
65%
53%
35%
32%
41%
61%
Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response 38% 34%
56%
58%
22%
Northwest
Office Square Footage
5,000 - 10,000 SF
43%
71%
Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
72%
32%
Suburban-Urban/Within a Town Center Rural
53%
49%
24%
Northeast
47%
56%
43%
51%
36%
23%
Texas
43%
23%
South
67%
32%
3 to 4 years
Office Property Location
© 2021
55%
58%
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response
California 70%
32%
1 to 2 years
56%
58%
33%
6 to 12 months
Geographic Risk Profiles Southwest
56%
63%
34%
23%
46% 42%
Less than 6 months
78%
40% 35%
Healthcare
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response
61%
24%
Professional Services
By Renewal Horizon
48%
Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
More than $50 PSF
20%
51% 64% 59% 72% 65%
66%
77%
Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
6
TENANT IMPACTS – BUSINESS PERFORMANCE DRIVING SPACE DECISIONS
SOUTHEAST REGION – SPECIFIC RISK PROFILES – FINANCIAL BAROMETER VS. SPACE VALUE By Renewal Horizon
Industry Risk Profiles
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response
Technology Professional Services
Construction Manufacturing Retail Other
33% 14%
17%
6 to 12 months
50% 58%
3 to 4 years
4 or more years
51%
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response
Suburban/Within Commuting Distance to City
23%
Rural 14%
52% 60%
33%
64%
Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
50%
Tennessee
23% 60%
76% 48% 55%
Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response
1,000 - 5,000 SF
25,000 - 50,000 SF More Than 50,000 SF
25% 56%
Office Square Footage
10,000 - 25,000 SF
47%
North Carolina
28%
39%
Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
Rent Per Square Foot (PSF)
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response
Less than $30 PSF
47%
27%
69%
22%
$30 - $40 PSF
69% 65%
16%
78%
23%
31% 43%
19%
63%
16%
5,000 - 10,000 SF
46%
59% 73%
67%
79%
27%
Suburban-Urban/ Within a Town Center
© 2021
65%
Georgia
61%
Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
56%
24% 65%
78%
30%
18%
60%
65%
63% 68%
Summary of “Applies Today” or “Could Apply” for “Struggling” and “Less Value” Response
Florida
65%
33%
1 to 2 years
62% 68%
Office Property Location Urban
31%
47%
65%
37% 29% 26%
71%
57%
33%
21%
Less than 6 months
81%
58%
29%
Healthcare Real Estate
67%
16%
Geographic Risk Profiles
31%
Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
72%
28%
$40 - $50 PSF 20%
86% 69% 74%
More than $50 PSF 15% 15%
39% 42% 54% 66% 68% 73% 74%
Struggling to Pay Rent / Meet Lease Terms Seeing Less Value in Physical Space Reassessing Space
86%
7
CRE INDUSTRY IMPACTS
PANDEMIC TIMELINE: THROUGH THE LENS OF NATIONAL OFFICE TENANTS • Well over half of tenant respondents (58%) believe their companies will return to pre-pandemic profitability in advance of Q2 2021, with an even greater share (65%) predicting an earlier (and in some cases, prerequisite) resumption of normal, in-person office operations. • 43% say a downsizing of their current office footprint is possible by Q1 2021, another 21% in Q2 or later, and 36% say it’s not a factor. Q2 2021 Or Later
19%
Return of my company to pre-pandemic profitability
9%
13%
17%
13%
19%
10%
Q2 2021 Or Later
15%
Considering raises / salary increases (unfreezing compensation)
8%
13%
17%
11%
18%
19%
Q2 2021 Or Later
8%
13%
22%
14%
13%
8%
Q2 2021 Or Later
22%
Hiring and onboarding new employees
8%
12%
15%
12%
14%
17%
Q2 2021 Or Later
Downsizing our current office footprint
13%
7%
10%
13%
8%
13%
36%
LONGER DURATION
22%
Resumption of normal in-person office operations
Q2 2021 Or Later
Potential shutdown of my organization if things don’t improve
8%
7%
9%
10% 6%
12%
47%
Q2 2021 Or Later
Laying off employees should conditions not improve Already Occurred Q2 2021 (Apr. – June) © 2021
16%
7%
August – September 2020 Later than Q2 2021
11%
11%
8%
October – December 2020 Never / Not Applicable
8%
39% Q1 2021 (Jan. – Mar.) 8
TENANT IMPACTS – ATTITUDES TOWARDS PHSYICAL OFFICE SPACE
RESULTING ORIENTATION TOWARDS REASSESSING/REDUCING SPACE • Even though many tenants will continue to renew their leases, a large share will be reassessing their space needs, or are unsure as to their plans. • Among those who are likely to reassess their space needs or who are unsure, 33% would expand their square footage while 54% would reduce, which normalized to the full tenant population in the sample, reflects 43% of all tenants reducing square footage. Tenant Likelihood to Reassess Space Needs 20% Unlikely
61%
Likely to reassess space needs
26% Likely / Strongly
& 19%
19% Unsure
33%
35%
Likely / Somewhat
Likely to maintain or expand square footage Of Those Likely or Unsure
54%
Likely to reduce square footage
Unsure
Southeast Region – October 2020
65% & 15%
Likely to reassess space needs
12%
Likely to expand square footage
Unsure
Views on Reassessing Space
State Breakdown
© 2021
Likely to Reassess
Unsure
Florida
65%
14%
Georgia
73%
Tennessee North Carolina
57%
Likely to reduce square footage
Square Footage Impact
43%
Of all tenants reducing square footage
46%
Of Southeast tenants reducing square footage Compared to Overall Population
Likely to Reduce SF
Absolute Impact
11%
59%
47%
15%
16%
58%
51%
60%
18%
10%
58%
45%
56%
18%
10%
52%
38%
Likely to Expand SF
!
9
SPACE DYNAMICS IN A COVID-19 ENVIRONMENT / FUTURE SPACE PLANS
WHAT DOES REASSESSING SPACE NEEDS LOOK LIKE? • Likelihood to reassess space increases significantly in the 6 month to 3-to-4-year renewal period dropping for those with leases expiring more than 4 years out, indicating those tenants are predicting management of/less impact from the pandemic in the far future. • Still, of those reassessing or unsure, 54% are planning to reduce square footage on their next renewal, reflecting 43% of all tenants.
Likelihood to Reassess Space Needs by Renewal Horizon (All National Tenant Audiences)
26%
Office Square Footage Adjustment Post-Coronavirus
(Asked Among 80% Likely to Reassess Space Needs or Unsure for All Tenants, 80% for Southeast Region)
Would expand space in next lease
15%
Unlikely 16%
24% 23%
Wouldn't change square footage
16% 27%
Would reduce by < 10%
17%
10% 10% 20% 16%
Would reduce by 10-25%
14%
Unsure / Need More Info 18%
15% 16%
Would reduce by 25-50%
13% 26% 58%
Would reduce by 50-100%
10%
Unsure / Need More Info
12% 8%
70%
Likely
15%
33%
Would Expand or Not Change
54%
Of Those Asked Would Reduce Square Footage *Equates to
! 43%
Of All Tenants*
67% All Audiences
71% 47%
© 2021
9% 12%
Less than 6 Months
6 - 12 Months
3 - 4 Years
4+ Years
1 - 2 Years
Q:
Southeast Region
Based on your experience with staff reductions, teleworking and/or other business impacts during the coronavirus public health emergency–whether or not you stay in your current property–to what extent would you plan to change the total square footage of your space?
10
SPACE DYNAMICS IN A COVID-19 ENVIRONMENT / FUTURE SPACE PLANS
WHAT DOES REASSESSING SPACE NEEDS LOOK LIKE? • The table to the right details the extent of possible space reductions by renewal time horizon. • Notably, the ”Percentage of Tenants Reducing SF at Each Renewal Period” factors in the overall percentage of tenants with renewals at each time point. • This shows the largest risk of tenants reducing square footage in the 6 month to 2-year time table from October 2020, equating to 25% of all tenants potentially making space reduction decisions in that time period. • The Southeast region, despite representing a higher overall space reduction risk, still shows 25% of all tenants potentially reducing their footprint in the 6-month to 2-year timeline, with a higher space reduction number in the 4+ year window. With anticipated vaccines/management of the pandemic, this segment of space reductions may not necessarily materialize.
© 2021
Space Reductions by Renewal Horizon
(Relative and Absolute Space Reductions – All Data Among National Audiences w/ Exception of Renewal Period Highlight) <6 6 – 12 Months Months
1–2 Years
3–4 Years
4+ Years
85%
84%
84%
73%
43%
60%
63%
60%
41%
43%
32%
51%
53%
50%
29%
Percentage of National Tenants Reducing Square Footage at Each Renewal Period (Total 43%)
43%
2%
9%
14%
9%
9%
Percentage of Southeast Region Tenants Reducing Square Footage at Each Renewal Period (Total 46%)
46%
3%
8%
14%
9%
12%
By Renewal Time Horizon
All
Reassessing Space Needs or Unsure
80%
74%
Reduction Among Those Reassessing or Unsure
54%
Reduction as a Percentage of All Tenants
*BELOW DATA REFLECTS SPACE REDUCTION AS A PERCENTAGE OF ALL TENANTS IN EACH RENEWAL SEGMENT*
Reducing <10%
8%
2%
10%
11%
8%
5%
Reducing 10-25%
16%
10%
20%
22%
16%
9%
Reducing 25-50%
12%
8%
13%
14%
14%
9%
Reducing 50-100%
8%
12%
8%
5%
12%
7% 11
SPACE DYNAMICS IN A COVID-19 ENVIRONMENT / FUTURE SPACE PLANS
WHAT DOES REASSESSING SPACE NEEDS LOOK LIKE?
National Audience – What This Means by Square Footage Segment (Relative and Absolute Space Reductions)
10,000 – 25,000 SF
25,000 – 50,000 SF
> 50,000 SF
By SF Segment
All
70%
80%
88%
90%
84%
Reassessing Space Needs or Unsure
80%
54%
43%
60%
63%
62%
51%
Reduction Among Those Reassessing or Unsure
43%
30%
48%
56%
56%
43%
Reduction as a Percentage of All Tenants
All
Reassessing Space Needs or Unsure
80%
Reduction Among Those Reassessing or Unsure Reduction as a Percentage of All Tenants
*BELOW DATA REFLECTS SPACE REDUCTION AS A PERCENTAGE OF ALL TENANTS IN EACH RENEWAL SEGMENT*
© 2021
(Relative and Absolute Space Reductions)
5,000 – 10,000 SF
By SF Segment
1,000 – 5,000 SF
Southeast Region – What This Means by Square Footage Segment 1,000 – 5,000 SF
5,000 – 10,000 SF
10,000 – 25,000 SF
25,000 – 50,000 SF
> 50,000 SF
68%
80%
91%
96%
82%
58%
46%
61%
63%
69%
54%
46%
32%
49%
57%
67%
44%
*BELOW DATA REFLECTS SPACE REDUCTION AS A PERCENTAGE OF ALL TENANTS IN EACH SIZE SEGMENT*
Reducing <10%
8%
6%
7%
11%
9%
7%
Reducing <10%
8%
6%
6%
14%
10%
6%
Reducing 10-25%
16%
10%
18%
22%
20%
15%
Reducing 10-25%
13%
9%
17%
17%
14%
9%
Reducing 25-50%
12%
8%
16%
13%
19%
11%
Reducing 25-50%
12%
9%
13%
12%
27%
6%
Reducing 50-100%
8%
7%
7%
9%
9%
10%
Reducing 50-100%
12%
7%
13%
15%
16%
24%
12
SPACE DYNAMICS IN A COVID-19 ENVIRONMENT / FUTURE SPACE PLANS
HOW WILL TENANTS ACHIEVE SPACE EFFICIENCY & SAFETY? • Tenant views on how they will achieve space efficiency are diffuse, though reducing the size of common areas, the number of private offices and conference rooms resonate most with those suffering from revenue declines. • At right, smaller tenants tend to focus more on common area reductions, with larger firms considering open floor-plan layouts, hoteling desks and other novel concepts.
Changes to Create Space Efficiency by Audience 36% 36%
Reduce size of common areas Reduce private office size Reduce number of private offices Reduce number of conference rooms Add in hoteling or flexible desks for teleworkers Go to a full open floorplan layout Reduce size of conference rooms Reduce number of employees (reductions in force) All Audiences
Q: © 2021
Southeast Region
28% 32% 36% 27% 24% 26% 27% 28% 32% 25% 24% 24% 24% 28% 28% 24%
23% 22% 24%
41%
29% 32%
Southeast C-Suite / Owners
In order to change your office space needs, which of the below would you do and/or which factors would apply to achieve that square footage reduction? (Please select all that apply)
National Audience – Space Reduction Approach / Efficiencies by SF Segment (Asked Among 43% Likely to Reduce Space) 5,000 – 10,000 SF
10,000 – 25,000 SF
25,000 – 50,000 SF
> 50,000 SF
37%
38%
34%
37%
35%
28%
24%
25%
31%
31%
25%
Reduce number of private offices
27%
26%
28%
27%
34%
18%
Reduce number of conference rooms
27%
26%
25%
25%
35%
33%
Add in hoteling or flexible desks for teleworkers
25%
22%
23%
27%
30%
29%
Go to a full open floorplan layout
24%
21%
21%
26%
33%
22%
Reduce size of conference rooms
24%
19%
28%
25%
22%
29%
Reduce number of employees (reductions in force)
23%
18%
19%
27%
24%
29%
By SF Segment
All
Reduce size of common areas
36%
Reduce private office size
1,000 – 5,000 SF
13
SPACE DYNAMICS IN A COVID-19 ENVIRONMENT / FUTURE SPACE PLANS
CHANGES TO CREATE SPACE EFFICIENCY – BY STATE How Will Southeast Office Users Change Their Spaces? 34%
Reduce size of common areas
Reduce size of conference rooms
35%
26%
Reduce number of conference rooms
41%
29%
24%
31%
22% 18%
Reduce number of private offices
50%
35%
30% 29%
Reduce private office size
37%
44%
44%
44%
22% 50%
30%
Go to a full open floorplan layout
22% 18%
Add in hoteling or flexible desks for teleworkers
Florida © 2021
Georgia
21%
6%
32%
23% 22%
Reduce number of employees (reductions in force)
29% 29%
44% 28%
22% Tennessee
North Carolina 14
FUTURE-STATE / CRE INDUSTRY NEXT STEPS TO CONFRONT THE PANDEMIC
TENANT “VALUE EQUATION” POST-COVID • Though the previous slide showed a decline in “service” as a driving factor for location decisions, for current tenants in their spaces, personal relationships with their landlords/PM staff are more important than ever.
Amenities / Features – Value for Tenants Post-COVID All Audiences
Flexible, shorter term leases (2-4 years) Personal relationship with landlord / property management staff
18%
Front desk concierge/doorman/security
18%
Availability of longer term leases with clauses/ covenants for health Employee collaboration, networking and coaching conducted in person, in our office
On-site café/deli
15% 13%
41%
28%
41%
24% 22%
22%
40% 38%
About the Same
15% 17%
39%
46%
National Office Tenants Tenants Seeing More Value in Personal Relationships w/ PM Staff
15%
43%
25%
More Value / Somewhat
11%
41%
27%
20%
12%
43%
26%
16% 15%
More Value / Strongly
31%
15%
Social spaces in building (lounges, rooftop decks)
Gym and fitness center on-site/in-building
© 2021
18%
State Breakdown
% More Value in Personal Relationships
All Southeast
48%
Florida
54%
Georgia
50%
Tennessee
40%
North Carolina
36%
22% 29%
Office Tenants Seeing Less Value in Traditional, Built-In Amenities
Less Value
15
FUTURE-STATE / CRE INDUSTRY NEXT STEPS TO CONFRONT THE PANDEMIC
PERCEIVED VALUE IN OWNER/OPERATOR MEASURES AND PROGRAMS • Maximization of fresh air leads the way as a “most important” measure for owners-operators to adopt, though more than 4-in-10 respondents each are willing to “pay a premium” or additional fees for large disinfecting stations and twice-daily full office disinfecting.
New Measures and Programs
“Positives” for Additional Services
Overall Preference (Most Important Change) by Audience
Overall Preference by Audience 37%
Increasing fresh air intake in HVAC system
34%
(reducing recycled/re-circulated air) which adds energy expenditures
35% 21%
Large, prominent disinfecting stations with
24%
extra sanitizer, ultraviolet wands, gloves and other essentials
29%
methods
13%
guests, ensure compliance with mask and other
13%
facilities and ways to adapt your workplace
All Audiences © 2021
16%
Additional staffing at front desk to check in
information about coronavirus, testing
Southeast Region
Building out dedicated teleworking board rooms with reliable, high-end AV and IT for connectivity to remote workers
16%
approved chemicals and CDC-recommended
On-site health/wellness advisor with
Complimentary access to vacant office space/flex space for social distancing measures
60% 62% 51% 59% 56%
17%
Frequent full office disinfecting with EPA-
safety policies
Georgia Resonance
57%
9% 11% 14%
50% 56%
Parking accommodations
53% Supplemental facilities services (e.g., coordination of temporary relocation and moving employees out of the property to workfrom-home environments)
46% 52% 54%
12%
Southeast C-Suite / Owners
All Audiences
Southeast Region
Southeast C-Suite / Owners 16
FUTURE-STATE / CRE INDUSTRY NEXT STEPS TO CONFRONT THE PANDEMIC
PERCEIVED VALUE – NEW MEASURES AND PROGRAMS BY STATE New Measures and Programs
“Positives” for Additional Services
Overall Preference (Most Important Change) by Audience
Overall Preference by Audience
28% 31% 34% 21%
Large, prominent disinfecting stations with extra sanitizer, ultraviolet wands, gloves and other essentials
23% 23% 15% 15%
Frequent full office disinfecting with EPAapproved chemicals and CDC-recommended methods
16%
Florida
Georgia
30%
18% 16%
15% 14%
8% 12%
Tennessee
Georgia Resonance
65%
Complimentary access to vacant office space/flex space for social distancing measures
48% 55% 63%
Building out dedicated teleworking board rooms with reliable, high-end AV and IT for connectivity to remote workers
62% 50% 50%
21%
12% 13%
Additional staffing at front desk to check in guests, ensure compliance with mask and other safety policies
On-site health/wellness advisor with information about coronavirus, testing facilities and ways to adapt your workplace
62%
36%
Increasing fresh air intake in HVAC system (reducing recycled/re-circulated air) which adds energy expenditures
North Carolina
61% 58%
Parking accommodations
45% 45%
Supplemental facilities services (e.g.,coordination of temporary relocation and moving employees out of the property to work-fromhome environments)
Florida
Georgia
57% 60% 35% 35% 40%
Tennessee
North Carolina 17
FUTURE-STATE / CRE INDUSTRY NEXT STEPS TO CONFRONT THE PANDEMIC
WHAT WE SAY: CENTERING THE NARRATIVE ON SAFE RETURNS TO WORK Message Effectiveness Based on “Value Delivery” – Summary of “More Value” Scores 65%
Office property owners and managers are making significant investments in physical features and infrastructure to keep tenants and their employees safe (e.g., new/improved HVAC and sanitization features)
67% 69% 62%
Most successful businesses are based on human connections (e.g. in-person meetings, collaboration, coaching, etc.) and environments which facilitate such interactions are essential to keeping organizations productive
65%
57% 63% 62% 56%
The young, skilled talent you've worked hard to recruit needs the in-person office environment for networking, mentoring and making the face-to-face connections they need to rise in their contributions to your organization
62% More Positive on Culture and Power of In-Person, Human Connection
61% 59% 56%
Office property owners and operators are developing and investing in new solutions for lessees, including 'resilient building' certifications and programs that guarantee disaster funding and continuity of operations
63% 65% 50%
McKinsey, among other research firms, has suggested that work-from-home time will only increase from 20% pre-COVID-19 to 27% once the crisis is over
All Audiences
More Positive on “Investments to Keep Tenants Safe”
67%
As 'experts in space,' landlords and brokers are working with tenant organizations to redesign spaces, create hybrid working environments (facilitating remote and on-site work) and evolve their properties
© 2021
65%
55% 53% Southeast Region
Southeast C-Suite / Owners
18 20
FUTURE-STATE / CRE INDUSTRY NEXT STEPS TO CONFRONT THE PANDEMIC
WHAT WE SAY: STATE-SPECIFIC BREAKDOWNS Office property owners and managers are making significant investments in physical features and infrastructure to keep tenants and their employees safe (e.g., new/improved HVAC and sanitization features)
70%
45%
Most successful businesses are based on human connections (e.g. in-person meetings, collaboration, coaching, etc.) and environments which facilitate such interactions are essential to keeping organizations productive
Tennessee
62% 65% 50%
67%
Tennessee Outlier for â&#x20AC;&#x153;Experts in Spaceâ&#x20AC;?
57% 64%
40%
68%
60% 65%
66%
38%
McKinsey, among other research firms, has suggested that work-from-home time will only increase from 20% pre-COVID-19 to 27% once the crisis is over
Georgia
67%
45%
Office property owners and operators are developing and investing in new solutions for lessees, including 'resilient building' certifications and programs that guarantee disaster funding and continuity of operations
Florida
65% 68%
As 'experts in space,' landlords and brokers are working with tenant organizations to redesign spaces, create hybrid working environments (facilitating remote and on-site work) and evolve their properties
The young, skilled talent you've worked hard to recruit needs the in-person office environment for networking, mentoring and making the face-to-face connections they need to rise in their contributions to your organization
69%
52%
43%
59%
62%
45%
North Carolina 19 20
CRE INDUSTRY IMPACTS
CURRENT STATE: CORONAVIRUS IMPACT ON TENANT LOYALTY
34%
© 2021
Unsure
No
All Southeast
40%
21%
28%
11%
Florida
48%
20%
21%
11%
Georgia
42%
25%
21%
12%
Tennessee
33%
25%
25%
18%
North Carolina
32%
20%
42%
6%
No 5% Unsure
23%
Yes / Somewhat
39%
}
Yes / Strongly
39%
78% Yes on Renewal
30%
55% Yes on Renewal
}
Yes / Strongly
Yes / Somewhat
BY SQUARE FOOTAGE
Unsure
Yes / Strongly
BY RENT PER SQUARE FOOT (PSF)
10%
25%
Brightline Index 2014-2020
Lease Renewal by Region/State
No
Yes / Somewhat
BY LOCATION
Market Comparison
BY INDUSTRY
Are you currently planning to renew your lease?
BY JOB ROLE
• Without any prompting on coronavirus, tenants were asked at the very beginning of the survey if they would plan on renew; the 55% “Yes” score is well below the Brightline 6-year national index of 78%.
Yes – Will Renew – National Audience
Yes – Will Renew – Southeast Region
C-Suite, Owner VP, Director Facilities Manager Mid-Level Managers
61% 57% 47% 47%
65% 62% 64% 49%
Southwest California Texas South Northeast Midwest Northwest
51% 65% 64% 57% 53% 56% 63%
--------
1,000 – 5,000 SF 5,000 – 10,000 SF 10,000 – 25,000 SF 25,000 – 50,000 SF > 50,000 SF
50% 57% 67% 70% 67%
51% 70% 71% 71% 77%
< $30 PSF $30-$40 PSF $40-$50 PSF > $50 PSF
51% 54% 69% 71%
52% 59% 67% 81%
Technology Professional Services Healthcare Real Estate Construction Manufacturing Retail Other
67% 49% 54% 53% 69% 68% 57% 48%
80% 59% 56% 62% 76% 75% 53% 49% 20
FUTURE-STATE / CRE INDUSTRY NEXT STEPS TO CONFRONT THE PANDEMIC
FUTURE STATE: IMPACT ON TENANT LOYALTY / OWNER-OPERATOR ROI • Almost 8-in-10 tenants approve of their owners-operators’ coronavirus response, driven by superior communications, a renewed focus on safety and security and the earlier mentioned fact that tenants are depending on personal relationships with PM staff more than ever. • The result of this strong performance is that 47% of tenants would be more likely to renew based on the coronavirus response exclusively, demonstrating strong owner-operator ROI for proactive, transparent communications on day-to-day activities, future-state programs/features and ”experts in space” positioning.
Contributing Factors to Strong Approval / Increased Loyalty
“State of the Union” –
Approve vs. Disapprove on Office Landlord Coronavirus Response Disapprove
79%
10%
Unsure
12%
All Southeast
81%
Florida
83%
Georgia
82%
Tennessee
78%
North Carolina
76%
Approve / Strongly
41%
}
“How would you rate your landlord/ property management company’s response to the coronavirus/COVID-19 public health emergency? Do you approve of their response so far, disapprove or are you unsure?”
ROI on Coronavirus Response Measures
Less Likely
Less Likely
No Difference
No Difference
12%
14%
Landlord is communicating “just the right amount” about Coronavirus (vs. 11% “too little”)
#3
35%
41%
Ranking of “Safety and Security” as a reason to pick one property over another (25% “Most or 2nd Most Important Factor”)
More Likely / Somewhat
46%
Tenant decision-makers seeing more value in personal relationships with landlord/ property management staff
Q:
27%
More Likely / Strongly
19%
}
More Likely / Somewhat
23%
More Likely / Strongly
27%
}
50% More Likely
78% Approve
37%
% Approving of Coronavirus Response
ROI on Coronavirus Response Measures
47% More Likely
© 2021
Q:
Approve / Somewhat
Region / State Breakdown
Impact on Renewal – Nationwide Impact on Renewal – Southeast Region
“Thinking about the communications, policies and processes your landlord/property manager has implemented over the past several weeks in response to the coronavirus/COVID-19 public health emergency – Has their response made you more likely to renew your lease when it’s up, less likely, or has it made no difference?”
21
FUTURE-STATE / CRE INDUSTRY NEXT STEPS TO CONFRONT THE PANDEMIC
FUTURE STATE: GROWING RENEWAL SHARE AND ACHIEVING OWNER-OPERATOR ROI • Following exposure to new services, features and physical spaces landlords/property management companies could invest in and deliver, tenants’ likelihood to renew their leases jumps from 55% to 66%. Though intensity wanes (“Yes / Strongly”) this is likely due to apprehension over additional costs/fees. • There is significant internal shifting, however, as 27% of respondents ”move up the ladder” towards a stronger renewal likelihood, and fully 18% switch to “Yes” from a “No” or “Unsure.” Driving this switching are those who demonstrated weaker numbers/larger COVID impacts earlier on, including small businesses (1,000 – 5,000 SF, and industries including retail, healthcare and professional services. • This reflects a strong opportunity for renewal growth, despite the pandemic, provided owners-operators continue communicating well, growing relationships and investing in advanced processes and technologies highlighted by tenants in the survey.
National Audience – Likelihood to Renew Based on Landlord/Operator Response
Nationally
If Your Property Implemented Features Discussed
30%
25%
© 2021
61% Yes
Switch to “Yes” on Renewal from ”Unsure” or “No” Following Awareness/Prompting on Coronavirus Response
Southeast Region / State Breakdown
25% Yes / Strongly
Q:
10% Internal Shuffling of Renewal Likelihood
66% Yes Post-Exposure to Coronavirus Features
34%
If Your Property Implemented Features Discussed
18%
55% Yes Pre-Exposure to Coronavirus Response
Southeast Region – Likelihood to Renew Based on Landlord/Operator Response
41% Yes / Somewhat
26%
8%
Unsure
No
“If your office property management company implemented the physical features and service programs you found most compelling earlier, would you now consider renewing your lease when it expires?”
Region / State Breakdown
% % Switching to More Likely to Renew
All Southeast
16%
Florida
13%
Georgia
21%
Tennessee
18%
North Carolina
16%
Pre-Exposure to Coronavirus Response
40%
21%
28%
11%
69% Yes Post-Exposure to Coronavirus Features
34%
35%
Yes / Strongly
"$#
'(#
Yes / Somewhat
24% Unsure
7% No
)#
27 22
CONTACT US If you have any questions or would like to participate in the upcoming COVID-19 Impact Study set to field Mid-February, please reach out to us via email: James Moore â&#x20AC;&#x201C; jmoore@brightlinestrategies.com Kevin Hudak â&#x20AC;&#x201C; khudak@brightlinestrategies.com
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