Chow wants 350 new tables, outside table cap
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avid Chow’s Macau Legend Development Ltd has applied to the government for 350 extra gaming tables before the end of 2016. If approved, the table allocation would not be part of the Macau market’s current table cap regime, the firm said yesterday. The cap allows for three percent compound annual growth from 2013 from a starting point of 5,500 tables. The gaming services company and hotel owner is planning a share flotation in Hong Kong with a listing on June 27. It hopes to raise HK$4.40 billion (US$567 million) net. It added the risk of the government capping chip issuance to control the whole market was “very hypothetical”. More on page 5
Year II
Number 306
Monday June 17, 2013
Editor-in-chief Tiago Azevedo
Deputy editor-in-chief
Vitor Quintã
MOP 6.00
April 19, 2013
Carson Yeung trial: Greek Mythology’s SJM staff to give accounts still evidence ‘unavailable’ Page 4
New special economic zone on Macau’s doorstep
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Page 8 I SSN 2226-8294
www.macaubusinessdaily.com
South Korean package tourists are flooding in
Hang Seng Index
South Korea has become Macau’s third-biggest source of package tourists, surpassing Hong Kong, due to more direct flights and promotion. The Statistics and Census Service announced on Friday that 35,300 South Korean package tourists visited in April, 51.9 percent more than a year before. “…this trend is likely to continue,” said Andy Wu Keng Kuong, president of the Macau Travel Industry Council. Page 2
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Govt ‘actively’ monitoring waste tender legal battle
June 14
The Environmental Protection Bureau tells Business Daily it will act “in accordance with laws” in response to a legal move by a losing bidder for the city’s solid waste management tender. Urbaser SA is challenging the contract awarded to Macau Waste Systems Co Ltd (CSR). Madrid-based Urbaser is seeking a court injunction here to suspend the granting of the contract. Page 3
Housing cost among city’s gravest problems: academic
HSI - Movers Name
%Day
CHINA RES POWER
4.54
HENGAN INTL
4.50
WHARF HLDG
4.05
HANG LUNG PROPER
3.70
WANT WANT CHINA
2.85
CATHAY PAC AIR
-0.59
CHINA CONST BA-H
-1.08
COSCO PAC LTD
-1.14
CITIC PACIFIC
-1.42
CHINA SHENHUA-H
-2.10
Source: Bloomberg
Inflation is probably the chief challenge for Macau, says economist José Luís de Sales Marques. He told Business Daily in an interview that a hike in real estate prices was one of the main drivers of inflation; and the measures the government had taken to counter this had not worked. He added the persistence of monopolies and oligopolies for certain imports worsened inflationary problems. Pages 6 & 7
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June 17, 2013
Macau
S. Korean package tourists flooding in The number of package tourists rebounds strongly in April from an unexpected fall Stephanie Lai
sw.lai@macaubusinessdaily.com
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outh Korea has become Macau’s third-biggest source of package tourists, surpassing Hong Kong, owing to more direct flights and promotion. The Statistics and Census Service announced on Friday that 35,300 South Korean package tourists visited in April, 51.9 percent more than a year before. “South Korea has, indeed, gradually become one of the top three visitor sources for Macau, and this trend is likely to continue,” said Andy Wu Keng Kuong, president of the Macau Travel Industry Council. “That mainly has to do with heightened tourism promotion activities following more frequent flights between Macau and that country,” Mr Wu told Business Daily. In the past year Air Busan has begun flying between Macau and Busan, South Korea’s secondbiggest city. The operator of Macau International Airport said in March that South Korean low-cost carrier Jin Air was planning to introduce a fifth weekly flight between Macau and Seoul in the second half of this year. Since October the Macau Government Tourist Office has
organised three series of promotional events in South Korea. The result is that the number of South Korean package tourists in the first four months of this year rose to 156,800, or 30 percent more than in the equivalent period of last year. South Korea therefore replaced Hong Kong as Macau’s third-biggest source of package tourists. The number of package tourists from Hong Kong continues to shrink, falling below 32,700 in April, 21.6 percent fewer than a year earlier.
On the rebound The mainland Chinese province of Guangdong remained the biggest source of package tourists in April, and Taiwan the second-biggest. Despite the outbreak of H7N9 bird flu in the mainland, the number of mainland package tourists rose by 18.7 percent to 583,000. Package tourists from the mainland “will remain the major driver of the overall tourist figure in the near future”, said Mr Wu. “As there is no opening for more provinces or cities to implement the individual visa scheme, I would expect that individual tourists
Letter to the Editor
from the mainland will register single-digit growth in the coming months,” he said. Some mainlanders are allowed visas to travel to Macau as individuals rather than as members of tour groups, which travel on collective visas. The total number of package tourists in April rose by 10.2 percent to nearly 767,000, rebounding from an unexpected fall of 2 percent in March. The decline in March was the first since April 2011. In the first four months the total number of package tourists rose to over 3 million, or 11.4 percent more than in the equivalent period of last year. The number of visitors that stayed at least one night rose by 16.1 percent to over 3.4 million. But the average rate of hotel occupancy fell by 3 percentage points to 79.9 percent.
Not yet an outrage In April, over 897,000 visitors stayed in hotels or guesthouses, but the average rate of hotel occupancy fell to 80.5 percent, 1.5 percentage points less than a year earlier. Mr Wu described the fall in hotel occupancy rates as slight. “It is mainly due to more hotel rooms being available, as the city had only around 25,000 rooms last year,” he said. The Sands Cotai Central casino
resort’s third hotel tower, the Sheraton’s Earth Tower, opened in January, adding 2,067 rooms to the market. By the end of April Macau had 99 hotels or guesthouses, together containing 28,111 rooms, 16 percent more than a year earlier. Asked what effect the rise in hotel room rates was having, Mr Wu said it was not harming occupancy rates or the duration of the average guest’s stay. “Even in the international chains in the city, the rate is only around 1,100 patacas [US$137] to 2,200 patacas per night, which is not outrageously high,” he said. The average hotel guest stayed 1.3 days in April, 0.1 days less than a year earlier. Mr Wu expects the average the length of stay to increase appreciably only towards 2016. He said the Hong Kong-ZhuhaiMacau Bridge and more new resorts were due to be open by then, making it more convenient for visitors to stay longer. The director of the Macau Government Tourist Office, Helena de Senna Fernandes, said the government’s target is to “gradually extend” the length of visitors’ stay from 1.3 days “to 1.5 days and then two days”. Speaking to reporters on the sidelines of an event yesterday, Ms Senna Fernandes pledged to strengthen promotions in South Korea, Taiwan and Europe this year.
Dear Sir, Reference is made to an article signed by Mr. Paulo Azevedo and published on 3 June 2013 in the second page of the Macau Business Daily and in the website of the same publication, under the heading “Free advice”. Please be advised that the following statements made in the said article are manifestly false and misleading. Sands China Ltd categorically denies and rejects that it: • Acted in a manner which displayed “arrogance towards the city (Macau) that saved it after the 2008 financial crisis”. • Acted arrogantly and adopted business practices which “raised eyebrows” in Macau. • Acted in a manner such that it is “again showing that Macau is nothing but a pawn in its (Sands China Ltd) quest for revenue and market share”. • Acted in a manner such that it “fails to stick to its word with business partners”. • Acted in a manner such that is “starts wars every time it is frustrated in achieving its goals”. • Acted in a manner which results in “payments to certain interested protectors that have particular agendas” and; • Acted in a manner which is inconsistent with or contrary to the principals of “good governance”. The Company unequivocally states that there is no evidence whatsoever that it has conducted itself and its business activities in the manner stated or implied in the said article. The statements referred to above are factually unsupportable, offensive and detrimental to the good name and reputation of Sands China Ltd, its Macau subsidiaries, directors and employees. Having regard to the above, Sands China Ltd requests that Macau Business Daily publishes within seven (7) days of the date of this letter an appropriately worded article which unambiguously withdraws each and every offensive statement made in the article published on June 3, 2013. Should the Macau Business Daily fail to publish an appropriate withdraw article as sought in this letter, the Company shall seek such redress as it deems appropriate, pursuant to the law of Macau. Your sincerely, David Fleming Company Secretary
Note This letter is a proof that Sands China Ltd does not need me to harm what should be its good name. It is also important to state that an opinion article is not a journalistic piece. They were my views expressed in the said opinion column. There is one more thing that I believe is important to highlight: the company has been throwing out of the window the opportunity to have a long lasting presence here. Instead, with all the cases related to its different litigations, it has been harming internationally the good name of Macau. Paulo A. Azevedo
Tourists made shorter visits in April, and the hotels were less full
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June April 17, 19, 2013 2013
Macau
Govt ‘actively’ monitoring waste tender legal battle
editorial
A word to the wise
A losing bidder seeking injunction to suspend granting of contract Tony Lai
tony.lai@macaubusinessdaily.com
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Waste row – CSR denies it was specially favoured (Photo: Manuel Cardoso)
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he Environmental Protection Bureau tells Business Daily it will act “in accordance with laws” in response to a legal move by a losing bidder for the city’s solid waste management tender. Urbaser SA is challenging the contract awarded to Macau Waste Systems Co Ltd (CSR). Madridbased Urbaser is seeking a court injunction here to suspend the granting of the contract. This newspaper has seen the injunction papers. They say Urbaser will appeal to overturn the Chief Executive’s decision approving the deal. But until that appeal process is concluded, “which will, most probably, take several months or even years” according the injunction, the contract itself should be suspended to avoid any “harm to public interest”. The bureau confirmed in a written reply to Business Daily that the government “has been recently notified” by the Court of Second Instance of a request to suspend the award process. In April Chief Executive Fernando Chui Sai On approved the granting of the contract for CSR – the incumbent operator and a joint venture between Hong Kong’s Swire SITA Waste Services Ltd and Macau’s H. Nolasco Group – after it won a tender in March. It would allow CSR to continue its service for 10 more years. The bureau said in the reply it “will plead in accordance with laws and actively follow up the related matter”. The reply did not clarify
what the ‘pleading’ would say. The administration also didn’t say whether Urbaser’s request for an injunction would have an impact on the start of the new contract, due to begin in November. CSR’s original contract was supposed to end in September 2011 but has been extended on three occasions creating a new expiry date of October 31 this year. The government said the most recent extension was because the tendering process – the process now complained of by Urbaser – was taking longer than expected. The Spanish company suggested in its injunction that CSR’s contract should be extended until the judges reach a decision on the appeal. The injunction said that “the law and the terms of the contract required the contract to be awarded to Urbaser”. Urbaser added that if the new contract award were not suspended then it would mean “CSR implementing its operation system and methodology and being paid,” and this would “harm the public interest”.
Ensure services Urbaser offered no justifications for that viewpoint in the documents seen by this newspaper. But they might be revealed during the appeal. CSR declined to comment. It said in an e-mail to Business Daily it was “inappropriate to discuss the matter in
the media, as this could be understood as an attempt to somehow interfere with the judgment of the court”. The bureau told us: “The SAR government is committed to ensure the normal operations and stability of the cleaning and waste collection services in Macau, as well as ensuring the cleaning services being unaffected.” CSR won the contract in March with a bid of 2.07 billion patacas (US$258.8 million), the lowest among five offered. Urbaser’s price was 2.39 billion patacas. The bureau said in April CSR “scored the highest in the overall assessment, particularly in the areas like employee protection and environmental protection”. Documents seen by Business Daily said CSR had a total score of 80.90 percent while the Spanish company’s proposal was placed at second with 79.44 percent. But the tender rules – unlike tenders for other big government contracts – lacked anti-graft criteria. In a written inquiry to the Legislative Assembly, legislator José Pereira Coutinho accused the government of favouring CSR. Several CSR directors were sentenced for corruption as part of the scandal surrounding Ao Man Long, a former Secretary for Transport and Public Works. The government and CSR deny any favouritism was involved in the latest tendering process. With T.A./S.L.
oughly one and a half years ago the head of the judiciary criticised administrative decisions, urging the government to improve its efficiency and decision-making. “With many administrative decisions, courts are unable to confirm these decisions simply because there are procedural errors and omissions, or flaws resulting from lack of knowledge of the law and regulations,” the President of the Court of Final Appeal Sam Hou Fai said in a speech in October 2011. Our chief justice also slammed the way government contracts are put out to tender: “It turns out that in many cases tenders for service contracts are invited only when the previous contract is about to expire. Once a suit against a particular administrative decision is accepted, even if the Court of Second Instance or the Court of Final Appeal speeds up the process, … they will not be able to respond in good time to the needs of society,” Judge Sam complained. He went on to suggest that the government should increase efficiency to prevent these situations and to improve decision-making, in order to “avoid falling into passivity because of legal actions”. Usually, a word to the wise is enough. But this seems not to be the case in Macau. The number of suits against government departments has kept rising, and several decisions related to big infrastructure projects have been questioned in court. We have seen cases about the Light Rapid Transit elevated railway reaching the courts, so delaying the project. In another case, the operator of the sewage treatment plant in Areia Preta ran the plant for more than a year without being paid because of several lawsuits pursued by other companies that had bid for the contract. The latest case was brought to public attention last week by this newspaper. One of the companies in the running for the city’s solid waste management contract has sought a court injunction to prevent the contract from being awarded to Macau Waste Systems Co Ltd (CSR). The litigant objects to CSR being awarded the contract and intends to pursue its case in court. Instances have been reported of department heads saying they want things done their way, and that if any company has a different view, it should take its case to court. These examples show how little consideration some government departments have for Judge Sam’s words and why mistakes are made over and over again. Maybe this is why a court used such strong language in its judgement in the case that pitted Macau Cable TV Ltd against the government and the public antenna companies. The court said it had reservations about how the government had acted and that it was a “completely absurd” to condone an illegal action “just because a significant part of the population receives a benefit from it”. Regrettably, it is lack of consideration not just for Judge Sam’s words but also for the public interest that often leads to delays and budget overruns. It is time to wake up to the fact that public tenders should never be tainted by suspicion, and that the courts should be the last resort. Maybe the government should take the hint and assess the performance of some of its underachievers.
It is time to wake up to the fact that public tenders should never be tainted by suspicion, and that the courts should be the last resort
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June 17, 2013
Macau Brought to you by
HOSPITALITY Package tourists linger Day-trippers outnumbered overnight visitors in the first quarter – as they had done in every quarter for the past two years, except in the third quarter of last year. In the third quarter of last year the number of visitors that stayed at least one night slightly exceeded the number of day-trippers. The preponderance of day-trippers has decreased. They made up almost 54 percent of all visitors in 2011 but under 52 percent last year. This decrease was due to the combination of an increase of just over 5 percent in the number of overnighters and a decrease of just under 4 percent in the number of day-trippers. Package tours seem to have played a part in this.
Prosecutors claim SJM paid HK$62.45 million during late 2004 and early 2005 to Carson Yeung
SJM staff to testify in money laundering trial Hong Kong court rules Brimingham owner Carson Yeung has a case to answer Vítor Quintã
vitorquinta@macaubusinessdaily.com
The plot for the number of package tourists has a stronger correlation with the number of overnight visitors than with the number of day-trippers. Comparison of the rates of growth in the numbers of first-quarter visitors of each kind since last year and 2011 show that package tourists are the fastest-growing kind of visitor. The growth in the number of package tourists seems to be pulling up the number of overnighters. The number of package tourists was the equivalent of just over one-half of the number of overnighters two years ago, but was the equivalent of over two-thirds of the number of overnighters in the past three quarters. J.I.D.
2,297,333
Package tourists, Q1
A
staff member from Macau gaming operator SJM will testify at the trial of businessman Carson Yeung Ka Sing for money laundering, Hong Kong media reported. Mr Yeung’s lawyer, Graham Harris, said in court on Thursday an SJM employee would be one of at least six defence witnesses taking the stand. Last month the prosecution said SJM paid a total HK$62.45 million (US$8.04 million) over two months during late 2004 and early 2005 to Mr Yeung. The money was deposited in 14 cheques to Mr Yeung account at Wing Lung Bank Ltd, said the evidence of Johnny Kwan Sui Lun, a police financial investigator. The prosecution also said the former hairdresser made a payment to gaming operator SJM in early 2005. During a court hearing, it was said that a cashier’s order of HK$35 million was made payable to SJM from a bank account controlled by
Mr Yeung in January 2005. Business Daily asked Hong Kong-listed SJM Holdings Ltd for a comment but received no reply before press time. When asked about the trial last month, SJM’s chief executive Ambrose So Shu Fai said: “As the case is now undergoing judicial procedures, it is not appropriate [for SJM] to make any comment.” Mr Yeung has pleaded not guilty to five charges of money laundering over around HK$720 million passed through accounts connected to the 53-year-old businessman. On Thursday, after listening to all the prosecution witnesses, a Hong Kong judge ruled that Mr Yeung has a case to answer. “This means the court has merely ruled that the prosecution had established a prima facie [preliminary] case against Mr Yeung for the charges he faces,” said Birmingham International Holdings Ltd. Mr Yeung is chairman of the Hong Kong-listed company, which
controls English football club Birmingham City. “It would now be for the defendant to mount his defence case,” Birmingham added, in a filing released on Friday. Mr Yeung bought the club in 2009 via a share issue underwritten by Kingston Securities Ltd, a unit of Hong Kong-listed Kingston Financial Group Ltd. Kingston Financial Group is controlled by Pollyanna Chu Yuet Wah. Ms Chu’s father, Lee Sui Fok (also known as Lee Wai Man), is an operator of VIP rooms in SJMlicensed casinos. Kingston Financial Group bought Casa Real casino hotel in Macau in 2005. The property operates under the gaming licence of Sociedade de Jogos de Macau SA, a company founded by Stanley Ho Hung Sun and now controlled by SJM Holdings Ltd. Kingston also runs the SJMlicensed Grandview Hotel and its casino in Taipa.
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June 17, 2013
Macau
Chow asks for 350 new tables New tables – supplied before end-2016 – would be ‘outside current table cap’, says Macau Legend Michael Grimes
michael.grimes@macaubusinessdaily.com
IPO pressing ahead despite global volatility
Rendering of redeveloped Fisherman’s Wharf
M
acau Legend Development Ltd has applied to the Macau government for 350 extra gaming tables. If approved – the table allocation would not be part of the Macau market’s current table cap regime, the firm said yesterday. The cap allows for three percent compound annual growth from 2013 from a starting point of 5,500 tables. The gaming services company and hotel owner is planning a share
Market chip cap risk ‘very hypothetical’ A director of Macau Legend Development Ltd said yesterday he thought the risk of the government capping chip issuance to control Macau casino market revenue growth was “very hypothetical”. Sheldon Trainor, executive director, said: “As you know, in Hong Kong, the SFC [Securities & Futures Commission] in 2013 increased the responsibility of the sponsors to fully disclose – in the risk factors in IPOs – all risks, whether tangible or hypothetical. My view is that this is a very hypothetical risk. “But because the provision is in the concession agreement that SJM has, our lawyers added three sentences to the industry risk factors. So I think from our perspective this is not a current risk, this is not a new risk, and this is certainly and most importantly, not a risk specific to Macau Legend Development.” The local regulator, the Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau, said in an e-mailed response to a Business Daily: “Casino chips audit is one of the regular and important audits performed by the DICJ throughout the year as the government has to ensure that the gaming concessionaires is [are] able to have enough cash to redeem the chips in circulation. Likewise, it is also our regular procedures that prior approval must be obtained from the DICJ if any of the gaming concessionaires wish to issue new chip sets for the casino use.” M.G.
flotation in Hong Kong with a listing on June 27 it hopes will be worth up to HK$4.40 billion (US$567 million) net of arrangers’ fees. Macau Legend is selling the IPO on the promise of investor exposure to the city’s booming casino and tourism market. It plans to spend 85 percent of the IPO proceeds on redeveloping its waterside property Macau Fisherman’s Wharf – including three new hotels to be built there between now and the third quarter of 2016. They are: The Prague Harbor View Hotel, a four-star property due ready by the fourth quarter 2014; The Palace Hotel, a five-star ‘medieval Persian-themed’ venue to open in the third quarter of 2015, and The Legendale Hotel Macau, a five-star ‘neo-Renaissance style’ property targeted for completion in third quarter 2016. The latter will have 117 gaming tables, says the prospectus. Fisherman’s Wharf already has one gaming venue – Babylon Casino – with 23 mass tables and an undisclosed number of VIP tables, and one hotel, The Rocks, with 72 rooms. Under the Fisherman’s Wharf redevelopment, the site’s total area will expand by nearly a fifth, from 109,495 square metres (1.18 million sq. feet) to 133,038 sq. ms. The redevelopment would take the firm’s total hotel capacity in the city to 1,783 rooms. There will also be a family attraction referred to as a ‘dinosaur park’. Macau Legend – co-chaired by former Macau legislator David Chow Kam Fai – currently also operates the 123-table Pharaoh’s Palace Casino inside its 439-room The Landmark Macau hotel. Both Babylon and Pharaoh’s Palace are operated under a so-called ‘service agreement’ with Sociedade de Jogos de Macau SA, the Macau concessionaire that supplies it with tables.
Comfort letter Macau Legend says in its prospectus it applied to the local regulator the Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau (DICJ) on October 8, 2012 – in consultation with SJM – to increase Macau Legend’s table allotment
from 146 tables to 500. The firm says in the document: “… DICJ advised us and SJM in writing on 7 December 2012 that the measures taken by the Macau government to limit the number of gaming tables in September 2011 [sic] will not be an obstacle to the request…for operating up to 500 tables in total.” Speaking via live video link from New York City in the United States yesterday, Mr Chow told Macau’s media: “We are in three stages. So every year when we do something, we will be supported by some numbers of the tables. This was given to us specially in a cover letter from the government.” Carl Tong Ka Wing, the firm’s other co-chairman who is also in New York marketing the IPO, added: “Currently we have 150 tables. And what we are saying is that we have applied to the government – the DICJ – to increase the number of tables to 500. And we have a comfort letter that confirms – and the specific wording that is used is actually disclosed on page seven of the prospectus.” He added: “It’s not a secret, that letter is disclosed to the [Hong Kong] stock exchange. And our tables are outside the current table cap of three percent per year for the next ten years.” The Macau Legend tables would represent an addition of 6.4 percent to the city’s 5,485-table inventory declared by DICJ as of December 3, 2012. It’s understood they would
…our tables are outside the current table cap of three percent per year for the next ten years Carl Tong, co-chairman, Macau Legend Development
Macau Legend Development Ltd said in a term sheet last week it hoped to raise as much as HK$6.11 billion gross from the IPO due to launch on the Hong Kong bourse on June 27. Yesterday a figure of HK$4.40 billion net was mentioned by David Chow Kam Fai as the target. Property company Hopewell Hong Kong Properties Ltd said last week it would not go ahead with its own US$780 million IPO in Hong Kong because of “a significant deterioration in market sentiment”. But Macau Legend stated yesterday it had no plans to postpone its flotation. Sheldon Trainor, executive director of Macau Legend said yesterday: “For the IPO we’re continuing on the road in New York this week, with the transaction on Thursday, despite the [global] market volatility.” M.G.
enter the market in stages. It’s not clear whether – despite reportedly being outside the table cap – the additional Macau Legend tables would be included in calculating the compounded growth rate of three percent per annum for the market as a whole. Macau Legend’s IPO prospectus acknowledges it’s not certain the government will approve the extra tables. But Mr Chow said yesterday the tables and new hotels would help to redress the balance of power between Macau peninsula – where SJM has most of its gaming operations – and Cotai, where SJM will not have a presence until 2016 at the earliest.
Power balance Mr Chow said: “The Macau peninsula, I think, is very important because many people now feel that all the developments go to Cotai. Being a Macau businessman, I feel that the economy of the Macau peninsula has to continue its development so our company uses Fisherman’s Wharf incorporated with other infrastructure [to do so]. It can save the time and land resources of the Macau SAR government… to set up a new attraction to continue the economic development of the peninsula.” He also said the government “has been supporting” the company and the construction works of the new hotels have already started. A video presentation prior to the press conference referred to Macau Legend as “run by a well-connected local management team”. The video voiceover stated that the company was “recently notified” by the Land, Public Works and Transport Bureau that the construction licence and work permits have been approved for the Prague Harbor View Hotel. It added: “…work on this project has now commenced.”
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June 17, 2013 April 19, 2013
Macau Brought to you by
Financial Monitor Staging post Macau’s exports have been declining generally as a result of the progressive disappearance of traditional manufacturing here. Traditional manufacturing consisted mainly of the production of textiles and, in particular, clothing. The proportions of exports produced by the textiles and clothing industries have declined fast. In contrast, the amount of goods produced by some more novel industries and the proportions of all exports they account for have risen. The proportion of all exports accounted for by the machinery industry, which is not a traditional industry here, has increased. Broadly speaking, most machinery or equipment exported is classed either as mechanical equipment or electrical equipment (but not audiovisual or medical equipment). The chart shows the values of mechanical and electrical equipment shipped out of Macau in the first four months of this year. It distinguishes total exports, domestic exports, re-exports and goods in transit.
Exports of mechanical and electrical equipment made up one-quarter of all exports in the first four months. Electrical equipment made up about five-sixths of exports of mechanical and electrical equipment. No mechanical equipment was made here, all exports of such goods being re-exports. A small proportion of exports of electrical equipment had value added here. The value of re-exports was 27 times greater than the value of domestic exports. Much of the mechanical and electrical equipment that passed through Macau was goods in transit. The value of mechanical equipment in transit was 90 percent greater than the value of total exports. The value of electrical equipment in transit was about 6.5 percent less than the value of total exports. J.I.D. The content of this column is the work of Business Daily’s journalists.
96 %
Re-exports as proportion of all machinery exports
Choose housing projects wisely, economist says Inflation is probably the chief problem for Macau’s economy, according to economist José Luís de Sales Marques. Mr Sales Marques says high inflation is the result of the size of the economy, its dependence on external markets and the persistence of monopolies and oligopolies of certain imports. He told Business Daily in an interview that the rise in real estate prices was one of the main drivers of inflation, and that the measures the government had taken to counter this rise had not worked. Luciana Leitão
leitao.luciana@macaubusiness.com
Photo by Manuel Cardoso
What is your forecast for the economy this year? It will not be much different from 2012, when gross domestic product grew by 9.9 percent. Eventually, there may be a small increase this year. Do you expect inflation to keep rising? The consumer price index for the 12 months to April rose by 5.75 percent. Probably, the inflation rate will be around 6 percent, something like that, in a range of 5.5 percent to 6 percent. Inflation has become one of the major hurdles for Macau people and high inflation bites into people’s income, particularly people who are in need and who earn less. High inflation is actually one of the major problems of our economy, if not the major one. Does the government have the necessary tools to control it? It’s very difficult to control it, because part of Macau’s inflation is imported. Inflation has to do with the fact that the Macau economy is very open, and very sensitive to what comes from the outside. In this regard, we are influenced by the changing prices in the mainland market as well as other foreign markets, and also the exchange rate of the pataca, which is indirectly pegged to the U.S. dollar. So we are in a very vulnerable position in terms of inflation. However, if your market is working well and if there are no monopolies and things like that, then eventually there is a little bit more control over inflation. But I’m afraid that inflation will continue to be a major problem. Some people point accusing fingers at the monopolies here. Yes. Monopolies exist in economies that are small in size, and the
market is not big enough to attract several companies, so you need to solve the issue in a way that ensures the supply of some goods. However, the Macau market is beginning to grow, because it comprises not only Macau people, but also all the visitors. So the monopolistic system in Macau is part of the reason why our internal markets are not so efficient. In this regard, I think there should be a wider debate on how to reduce the weight of the monopolies and how to reduce their negative impact in terms of relative prices here. On the other hand, we also probably need to look at the problems of the supply of goods and services, particularly the goods that are in most demand like food, but also the real estate market. The real estate market is one of the major elements that contribute to very high inflation in Macau. The long-term solution – I don’t know if there is any short-term solution – but the long-term solution is always to improve the conditions for extra supply, so that it can eventually satisfy the increasing demand we have.
High inflation is actually one of the major problems of our economy, if not the major one
Considering it is one of the main burdens on households, should the government have a tighter grip on the real estate market? It seems that the policies that were devised to control the real estate market have not worked. We have to understand that the real estate market is not a domestic market, but an open market, open for investment. When there is a price hike at the top level of supply, that hike will induce a rise in prices all over the demand chain, so this is a problem. But how do we control that problem? For an open market like Macau, where there is free flow of investment – and I think we should keep it this way – it’s difficult to find a solution for that. This is a huge problem. There are some solutions that may eventually stop or somehow influence the rise in prices, but only in the short term. But investors from elsewhere, if they continue to drive demand here, looking at it as an investment opportunity, then it is very difficult to get any kind of control. Macau has a very limited supply of land, so eventually, in the medium term, the government should be more careful in approving projects that can be perceived as mostly for investment purposes and not responding to demand from Macau’s people. Even now, if you go around the city, when you look at these buildings at night time, the lights are not turned on, so it means nobody is living there. If nobody is living there, they are not fulfilling their function, which is to satisfy demand for their own home by higher-level management or people who have the capacity to invest huge amounts of money in real estate.
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June April 17, 19, 2013 2013
Macau view that goes beyond the market of Macau and tries to reach the international market.
Should Macau control whom housing is sold to? I have a basic principle: I’m in favour of the free flow of investment and goods. To exercise control in terms of sales – the government already has some policies on that. Let’s wait a bit to see what happens. There should be some constraints and some attention paid, because the only thing the government has some say in is the use of land, since it does not have control over monetary policy, and fiscal burden is low. If the government decides there is enough of this kind of investment in Macau, then don’t approve more projects like these. How about the possibility of reserving land specifically for Macau residents? Would that work? It depends on what kind of projects you approve. If you say that land for Macau people is an exclusive luxury investment for Macau people, will that be justifiable when there is so much available? Above a certain level, the price is not set by Macau, but by the international market. This is another issue we need to look at: how the price is set. And we need to look at all these problems before making this kind of decision. The government must not reserve land for Macau people, because this is an ambiguous concept. It should, instead, reserve land to build affordable, well-situated housing for Macau residents. This housing should have strict quality control, environmentfriendly features and be sold or let at prices that are set not according to market forces, but as part of social urban policy aimed at simultaneously giving residents the right to live in a good environment, without impoverishing themselves, and the right to continue to rear their families in Macau, without having to move somewhere else. You say the problem with real estate is the lack of supply. Sands China Ltd has recently been granted approval to sell the right to reside in the Four Seasons apartment hotel. Will this have any impact on the broader real estate market? People expected that to happen, sooner or later. I don’t think it will really have an impact, because we are talking about high-end property. On the other hand, you
have some limitations in terms of ownership and it’s a different arrangement, so I don’t think it will have an impact in terms of prices. What really has an impact is that because of international and local demand, prices have been going up very quickly, and this has meant a huge burden on Macau’s people and somehow frustrated their expectations of owning a home. Looking at the local economy, there have been fears of a slowdown, considering its dependence on gaming. Shouldn’t we be closer to achieving diversification, so as to prevent a sharp drop in growth? Everything that goes up comes down. This is the reason why – although I agree with many economists that there doesn’t seem to be an immediate solution for diversification – we should not stop there. It means that there is a very big challenge in terms of finding some way of diversifying the economy, but we have to do it. Sooner or later we will feel the need for that. It’s better to do it while you are still not feeling the need, so you can choose and you can prepare yourself. As a long-time economist, I’m concerned about the wellbeing of the people and the distribution of welfare – that it doesn’t give me any kind of rest thinking we have 10 percent growth annually. Let’s take this opportunity to think about the future. We need to prepare for the times when gaming is not to growing as much as it has been. When we look at it, the sensitivity of Macau’s economy is great, because we depend on external markets. We are already seeing something happening. We are no more in that sea of tranquillity, so we need to prepare. The government can create the framework, but the entrepreneurs, the business community, are the people that will actually be the force for the diversification of the Macau economy. We cannot expect the government to be the driver of the diversification of the economy. The gaming business offers the opportunity to small and medium enterprises to go into some kind of businesses that are now needed, and through the gaming industry they can cut their teeth and strengthen their capacity, and if they are good enough to stand and
to be useful to the development of the economy, then they will be able to compete in the future in a different environment. If we gain the competitive edge, working within the gaming market, we would be able to go anywhere and be competitive. It has to be based on private initiative, competitive capabilities, and on a long-term
NO
MIN
You say the government should create the conditions and the entrepreneurs should take their chances. Is it already happening? So far, there have not been too many of these cases. On one hand, we see there are entrepreneurs in Macau already doing it. Sometimes we don’t even know about them, since usually they are very low-profile. They exist because opportunities are here. I think that this is a good sign, a very positive sign. But we see the development of Macau as a platform between mainland China and Portuguesespeaking countries has been a process led much more by the government than by the private sector. However, these things take time. We should not be too pessimistic in looking at what is happening. If those opportunities are there, I’m sure that some companies will grab them to develop their business. For the time being, the dissemination of information is not that good. There are many opportunities, everything is done sometimes in a very official way, while I’m in favour of a much more business-type approach. The official events, they have their own role, and sometimes they open some doors, but let’s try to create opportunities for business people to meet other business people, and maybe then something might happen.
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June 17, 2013 April 19, 2013
Macau
Greek Mythology accounts still missing Relationship between Amax and the controlling shareholder of casino remains frosty Vítor Quintã
vitorquinta@macaubusinessdaily.com
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IP gaming room investor Amax Holdings Ltd says it will post a loss for the financial year ended March 31 because it has been unable to get the results from Greek Mythology casino. In a filing sent to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange late last week, the company says the results of “an associate, which has significant impact on [the] 2013 annual results of the group, will be unavailable”. According to Amax’s previous annual report, the company has just one associate: Greek Mythology (Macau) Entertainment Group Corp Ltd, which operates the Greek Mythology Casino. The casino located in Taipa accounted for 97.5 percent of Amax’s revenue in the previous financial year. It was also the junket’s only profitable venture. The profit warning signed by chairman Ng Man Sun says “the new board has made its best efforts to communicate with the management of the associate in accessing the associate’s financial information”. “However, the communication progress has been unsatisfactory,” it adds. In September Mr Ng, a veteran junket room operator, was appointed executive director of Amax but relinquished his claim over Greek Mythology, putting an end to a dispute with his former partner Chan Mei Fun.
Everything from Dior to McDonald’s The changing face of city’s gaming industry As Judy Huang’s husband prepared to hit Macau’s gaming tables, the 33-year-old mother from mainland China was more drawn to the Venetian resort’s shopping plaza, home to a fake grand canal, crooning gondoliers and brands from McDonald’s to Dior. “The mall is important” for visitors with children, Ms Huang said while preparing to board a ferry to Macau from Hong Kong. “At least it will keep us entertained while we’re waiting for my husband.” Tourists such as the Huangs, seeking a mix of fast food, fashion and baccarat, are fuelling profits for the Venetian and other resorts owned by Sheldon Adelson’s Sands China Ltd – and helping the company woo players from local rival SJM Holdings Ltd. Family-friendly attractions have
“The previous management had not carried out any action to access the financial information of the associate,” the filing says. The relationship between Amax and Ms Chan, who now controls both Greek Mythology and its hosting venue, the New Century Hotel, seems to have hit a rough start. Amax says it “has taken continuous actions during the period from September 2012 to May 2013 in attempt to access the associate’s financial information”. Those actions included “sending several demand letters through the company’s management and lawyers in Hong Kong and Macau and requesting the associate’s financial information from the associate’s accountant”. Amax has now given up on getting Greek Mythology’s results and decided to move forward with
boosted the appeal of the U.S. billionaire’s casinos for middleclass Chinese, who have helped turn Macau into the world’s largest gambling hub, with US$38 billion (304.14 billion patacas) in revenue last year, more than six times the Las Vegas Strip. In the first quarter, Sands took the top spot in Macau’s mass-market casino business, overtaking SJM Holdings, whose founder, Stanley Ho Hung Sun, built Asia’s largest gambling empire by catering to high rollers. Sands’ mass gambling revenue in Macau jumped 63 percent to a record US$863 million for the quarter, while SJM’s rose five percent to about HK$6.22 billion (US$801 million), earnings statements show.
Michelin stars “Shopping malls are the biggest selling point to drive mass-market traffic,” said Grant Govertsen, an analyst at Union Gaming Group in Macau. “SJM is missing that essential piece.” Ninety-one year old Mr Ho held a Macau gambling monopoly for four decades until 2002, when the government issued licences to foreign players such as Sands and Wynn Resorts Ltd. Today, his flagship Grand Lisboa casino houses pricey Michelin star restaurants and has a performance line-up that includes the French cancan dance, but offers little shopping or family entertainment.
the publication of its annual results, which should happened “before the end of June”. The report “is expected to record a loss” as compared to a net profit of HK$161.1 million (US$20.8 million) in the previous period, the filing says. But the annual results will “not reflect the actual performances of the associate and the group,” Amax stressed. A similar situation happened last November when Amax presented its results for the six months ending September 30. At the time, Amax said Greek Mythology did not make available its financial information for the period under review. The group stated it owned 24.8 percent of Greek Mythology (Macau) Entertainment and that it was conducting negotiations with the company to solve this issue.
When Mr Ho’s monopoly began, Mao Zedong led China and Macau was a Portuguese administered territory. The city became a special administrative region of China in 1999, ending nearly 450 years of Portuguese governance. Mr Ho was initially reluctant to copy the Vegas-style glitz of his U.S. competitors. “Ignoring Macau’s special characteristics and duplicating a Las Vegas or an Atlantic City would not be a successful strategy,” the SJM founder and chairman said at a 2009 gaming expo. By contrast, retail stores from Zara to Tiffany line Sands’ resorts. Sands China has a total retail space of 1.49 million square feet, consisting of close to 600 shops, in Macau.
Cuiheng new target for Guangdong cooperation A
fter Hengqin Island and Nansha, the Cuiheng district of Zhongshan city will become another prime area for a free-trade initiative between Guangdong province and Macau. The revelation was made by Guangdong governor Zhu Xiaodan to media after a meeting with Macau top officials on Friday, which included Chief Executive Fernando Chui Sai On. The meeting concluded with the signing of a letter of intent to developing the Cuiheng district as a new marine tourism spot. The governor also noted that both parties are planning to extend the Guangzhou-Zhuhai Intercity Railway to the Zhuhai Airport via Hengqin Island. The construction could start before the end of the year, Mr Zhu said. In the meantime, the University of Macau’s new campus in Hengqin Island is expected to be put into use in September. The campus will accommodate about 10,000 students within three years, said Mr Chui after the joint work conference with the Guangdong provincial government. The contractor is currently inspecting the project and debugging the equipment in order to hand in the campus to Macau “smoothly”, Mr Zhu was quoted as saying by the official news agency Xinhua. The construction of the new campus started on December 20, 2009. Its area will be 20 times larger than the current campus in Taipa. S.L.
The mall business raked in annual revenue of US$239.1 million in 2012, an increase of 28 percent from a year earlier. SJM remains the largest Macau casino operator, running 20 of the city’s 35 gambling venues, versus Sands’ four. SJM also ranks first by revenue in Macau, with US$10.3 billion last year. Galaxy Entertainment Ltd was second at US$7.3 billion, and Sands China third with US$6.5 billion. Sands China has risen 16 percent in Hong Kong this year and trades at 20.5 times estimated 12-month earnings. SJM has gained 10 percent and is valued at 14.7 times forward profits. Bloomberg News
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June April 17, 19, 2013 2013
Greater China
Beijing orders firms to curb pollution Government to aid solar firms by boosting demand and financing
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hina’s cabinet approved new measures to combat air pollution, in the latest step by China’s new leadership to address the country’s enormous environmental problems, with pollution a key source of rising social discontent in China. Authorities will implement 10 steps to cut air pollution, including curbing dirty projects and making local governments more accountable for environmental management. The government plans to boost domestic demand for solar-generated electricity and provide easier financing to manufacturers as rising trade tensions slow exports. Grid companies should build networks that will be operational in sync with solar-generation projects and give priority access to their produced power, while lenders need to help panel makers raise capital, according to a statement after a State Council meeting chaired by Premier Li Keqiang. China’s solar-panel industry, which supplies more than half the world market, is unprofitable amid a global glut and slower economic growth that’s cut demand. The European Union this month imposed provisional tariffs of 11.8 percent on imports of solar panels from Chinese companies after an investigation found they were being sold in the 27-nation bloc at less than their production cost.
Pledge to support solar industry through ‘reformed methods’
“We must support the solar-panel industry overcoming difficulties and pursuing healthy development,” according to the statement from the State Council. “While solidifying c ompe ti ti v en es s i n th e g l o b a l market, we need to stimulate effective domestic demand for solar power and spur innovation and advancement,” it said.
Loan defaults The government will encourage mergers and acquisitions among solar
companies and curb blind expansion, the State Council said. LDK Solar Co Ltd, the world’s second-biggest wafer maker, said in April that it was seeking a new loan facility of about 2 billion yuan (US$326 million) from local banks. With debt of US$2.9 billion and eight straight quarterly losses, it failed to fully repay US$23.8 million in bonds due April 15. The biggest unit of Suntech Power Holdings Co Ltd went into bankruptcy in March after it defaulted on US$541 million of bonds. Suntech’s default sparked concern that other Chinese solar companies may have trouble repaying debt and will make financing “more difficult” for other producers, Xie Jian, chief operating officer of JA Solar Holdings Co Ltd, China’s largest solar-cell maker, said in an interview. The EU anti-dumping levy on Chinese solar panels is scheduled to
rise to 47.6 percent for about 130 producers and as high as 67.9 percent in August, should Chinese and EU officials fail to resolve the dispute. Mr Li said on Friday trade protectionism is a “blind alley” and called for cooperation and free trade to help bolster a global economic recovery, the official Xinhua News Agency said, citing comments he made at a meeting with Klaus Schwab, chairman of the World Economic Forum. In its statement, the State Council said it would take “tough measures for tough tasks” as it steps up efforts to curb air pollution. These include increasing levies on the discharge of pollutants, controlling high energyconsuming and polluting industries and improving control of airborne particles measuring less than 2.5 microns in diameter, known as PM2.5, that can pose health risks. Bloomberg News/Reuters
Govt buys financial, blue-chips shares in bid to boost market
B
eijing is increasing its equity stakes in two financial companies in a move to restore confidence in China’s stock market after the key index hit a six-month low last week. Central Huijin Investment Ltd, China’s main holding company for state-owned financial firms, bought shares of Everbright Bank Co Ltd and New China Life Insurance Co Ltd on the secondary market in Shanghai on Thursday and Friday, the two companies said in separate announcements. The shares were worth more than 100 million yuan (US$16.31 million) In addition, Central Huijin also purchased shares worth a combined 5.2 billion yuan in three exchangetraded funds (ETFs) that invest mainly in blue-chip stocks, multiple official media reported, citing unnamed market sources. Huijin purchased shares worth 0.05 percent of Everbright’s total equity on Friday, raising its stake in the bank to 48.42 percent, Everbright said in an disclosure on the Shanghai Stock Exchange website. Such a purchase would be worth around 66 million yuan based on Friday’s
closing price. Everbright’s Shanghai-listed A-shares gained 1.0 percent on Friday to close at 2.93 yuan per share but were still down from the 2.98 level where they closed on June 7. Huijin purchased shares worth 0.06 percent of New China Life, the insurer said on its website, raising Huijin’s total stake to 31.29 percent. The purchase would be worth around 44 million yuan based on Thursday’s closing price. Both firms said Huijin planned to gradually raise its stakes further over the next six months. China’s benchmark CSI300 index of the largest Shanghai-and Shenzhen-listed shares fell to its lowest point in 2013 on Thursday before recovering slightly on Friday. Central Huijin, a subsidiary of China’s sovereign wealth fund, China Investment Corp, regularly increases its stake in the banks it owns when share prices fall, in order to boost investor confidence. In October 2012, the firm invested a combined US$470 million in China’s four biggest banks when share prices were low. Reuters
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June 17, 2013 April 19, 2013
Greater China
Debt sale fails for first time in 23 months Cash crunch curbing demand for bonds, analyst says
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hina’s Finance Ministry failed to sell all of the debt offered at an auction for the first time in 23 months owing to a cash squeeze that threatens to exacerbate a slowdown in the world’s secondlargest economy. The ministry sold 9.53 billion yuan (US$1.55 billion) of 273-day bills, less than the 15 billion yuan target, according to Chinabond, the nation’s biggest bond-clearing house. Agricultural Development Bank of China Co Ltd raised 11.51 billion yuan in a sale of six-month bills last week, less than its 20 billion yuan goal. Banks are hoarding money to meet quarter-end capital requirements at the same time as capital inflows are easing amid a worsening economic outlook and speculation the Federal Reserve will rein in monetary stimulus. The seven-day repurchase rate, a gauge of interbank funding availability, has more than doubled in the past month and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of shares slid on Friday for a record 12th day in Hong Kong. “The cash crunch is curbing demand for bonds,” said Chen Ying, a fixed-income analyst at Sealand Securities Co Ltd in Shenzhen. “The crunch may persist if the central bank doesn’t come out to inject more capital into the financial system. If it lasts longer, it may affect issuance of both
government and corporate bonds.” The average yield at Friday’s bill sale was 3.76 percent, according to two traders who are required to bid at the auctions. That compares with a 3.14 percent rate on Thursday for similar-maturity existing securities, according to data compiled by Chinabond. The ministry’s last failed auction was a sale of 182-day bills in July 2011.
Outlook dims The cash shortage comes after China’s economic expansion held below 8 percent for the past four quarters, the first time that has happened in at least 20 years. Morgan Stanley, UBS AG and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc are among at least eight global banks and brokerages that cut 2013 growth estimates for the nation this week. The World Bank slashed its forecast to 7.7 percent from 8.4 percent, a June 12 report showed. The People’s Bank of China added a net 92 billion yuan to the financial system last week, down from 160 billion yuan in the five days through June 7, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The monetary authority refrained on Friday from draining cash for the first time in three months as money markets reopened after a three-day holiday. The last time it
used reverse-repurchase agreements to inject funds was February 7. “If the central bank doesn’t conduct reverse-repurchase agreements or short-term liquidity operations to inject capital, cash supply will stay tight for the rest of the month,” said Cheng Qingsheng, a bond analyst at Evergrowing Bank Co. in Shanghai. Yuan positions at local lenders accumulated from sales of foreign exchange, an indication of capital flows into China, rose 66.86 billion yuan in May, the central bank reported on Friday. That is the smallest gain since November. The State Administration of Foreign Exchange last month stepped up scrutiny of flows to prevent speculative funds from entering the country disguised as trade payments. Cash is also flowing out of developing nations as investors bet the Fed will scale back quantitative easing, a policy that spurred demand for riskier assets. “We are still bearish on the liquidity outlook because banks will turn more cautious toward the end of June due to the need to fulfil loanto-deposit requirements and we will also head into another tax payment season in July,” said Pin Ru Tan, an interest-rate strategist at HSBC Securities Asia Ltd in Hong Kong. Bloomberg News
RMB15 bln
The Finance Ministry had planned to sell in the debt auction
Honda delays hybrid vehicle production
J
apan’s Honda Motor Co Ltd will delay the start of production of gasoline-electric hybrid cars in China in a bid to source cheaper parts, a company official said, in an apparent response to rival Toyota Motor Corp’s cost-saving measures.
Honda had intended to start local production of hybrid cars in China by as early as next year, but said now local production had been put back “to within three years” in order to source cheaper components from parts suppliers in China. “Affordability is critical,” said Natsuno Asanuma, the Honda spokeswoman in Beijing. Honda provided no further details about the type of components it wanted to source more cheaply, or on possible joint ventures with Chinese companies. China has been the world’s biggest auto market since 2009, but hybrid sales have been comparatively slow.
That could soon change, however, as Beijing is looking at boosting subsidies to increase sales of “newenergy” cars. The move comes as automakers gear up to try to kick-start sales of “conventional” hybrid cars in China in anticipation of policy changes aimed at boosting sales of hybrid vehicles. Under the current policy, China provides generous subsidies for private purchases of all-electric battery vehicles and heavily electrified “near all-electric” plug-in hybrids, but only limited support for the conventional gas-electric hybrids. Reuters
Hong Kong protest backs Snowden P
rotesters marched to Hong Kong’s government headquarters demanding their leaders protect Edward Snowden, the former National Security Agency contractor who fled to the city after exposing a U.S. surveillance programme. About 200 people, some carrying banners saying “Protect Free Speech” and chanting slogans such as “NSA has no say,” marched to the U.S. consulate in Hong Kong in the rain before making their way to the government building. Protesters blew whistles as a sign of solidarity with Mr Snowden. “We must not let anybody intervene, be it from Beijing or be it from Washington, because we have the rule of law,” Albert Ho, a legislator from Hong Kong’s Democratic Party, said to the protesting crowd. “Mr Snowden should be given the right under our law to stay in Hong Kong.” Mr Snowden’s flight to Hong Kong after he exposed the NSA programme may pose a challenge to Chief Executive Leung Chun Ying. China could refuse his extradition if it’s related to defence or foreign affairs. Mr Leung said on Saturday Hong Kong will handle Mr Snowden’s case according to the laws and procedures of the city “when the relevant mechanism is activated,” according to a statement on the government website. Hong Kong will “follow up on any incidents related to the privacy or other rights of the institutions or people in Hong Kong being violated”. The city’s legislature may also debate cybersecurity after Mr Snowden told the South China Morning Post the U.S. had been hacking Hong Kong and China since 2009. The ultimate decision over Mr Snowden’s fate may lie in Beijing. In editorials on Friday, China’s government-controlled media said the nation should seek more information from Mr Snowden and demand the U.S. explain itself over the surveillance programme he exposed. China is following developments in Snowden’s case, Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said at a briefing in Beijing. She declined to comment when asked how China would respond to any U.S. extradition attempt. “What cyberspace needs is not war or hegemony, not irresponsible attacks, but regulation and cooperation,” Ms Hua said. She said China looks forward to more dialogue with the U.S. on cybersecurity. Bloomberg News
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June April 17, 19, 2013 2013
Asia Stocks drop fifth week on stimulus concern Asian stocks outside Japan fell for a fifth week, the longest streak of losses in two years, amid concern central banks are losing an appetite for more stimulus. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell for a record 12 straight days through June 14 amid concern that growth is slowing in the world’s No. 2 economy. The Hang Seng China Enterprises gauge fell 5.1 percent, taking the decline to 21 percent, and pushing the so-called H-shares into a bear market. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index added 1.1 percent, while New Zealand’s NZX 50 Index lost 0.4 percent. South Korea’s Kospi Index slipped 3.9 percent and Taiwan’s Taiex index fell 2 percent. Singapore’s Straits Times Index lost 0.7 percent.
Toyota wins more time on US$1.1 bln pact
Singapore raps 20 banks for trying to rig rates Lenders to start basing benchmarks on traded prices Rachel Armstrong and Kevin Lim
S
ingapore’s central bank censured a record 20 banks after it found more than 100 traders in the city state tried to rig key borrowing and currency rates. The probe by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) marks the latest development in a global crackdown on rate-rigging and adds more banks, including ING Groep NV and Bank of America Corp, to the list of lenders involved. The watchdog said 133 traders had tried to inappropriately influence the rates. It did not fine the banks, but ordered them to set aside additional reserves for a year. The city state’s banking and market associations also unveiled reforms of how banks will set the benchmarks, including basing some of them on actual trades rather than estimates submitted by banks. Europe and the United States are also pushing for benchmark rates to be based on actual trades. Financial market reference rates are under intense scrutiny around the world following the discovery that
some had been rigged, most notably the Libor – London Interbank Offered Rate – benchmark for interest rates. Barclays Plc was the first bank to be fined for Libor manipulation, and U.S. and U.K. authorities have slapped fines of hundreds of millions of dollars on Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and UBS AG and are investigating more banks. The regulatory focus has now expanded to the foreign exchange market. Britain’s financial watchdog is looking into a report that traders manipulated benchmark foreign exchange rates. The Singapore watchdog ordered UBS, RBS and ING to set aside the most in additional reserves, with each having to post between S$1 billion (US$800 million) and S$1.2 billion extra with the central bank. The money will be returned if the banks take the required remedial action.
Review expanded The regulator said of the 133 traders found to have acted
Toyota Motor Corp and lawyers suing the company were given more time to win final approval of a US$1.1 billion settlement of claims that recalls related to unintended acceleration hurt the value of U.S. customers’ vehicles. U.S. District Judge James V. Selna, after a hearing in California, granted requests from attorneys for both sides to provide updated figures about how the money will be allocated to beneficiaries in the settlement. The judge scheduled a July 19 hearing for final approval. The company recalled more than 10 million vehicles for problems related to unintended acceleration in 2009 and 2010.
Jet Airways hires new chief executive Jet Airways (India) Ltd named Gary Kenneth Toomey as its chief executive to succeed Nikos Kardassis, who resigned less than two months after the carrier agreed to sell a stake to Etihad Airways PJSC. Mr Toomey, 58, previously was the CEO of Air New Zealand Ltd and Airlines of Papua New Guinea Ltd, Jet Airways said in a statement. The new CEO will face rising competition as AirAsia Bhd., the region’s biggest discount carrier, enters Indian market later this year.
Indonesia panel divided on fuel compensation Indonesia’s parliamentary budget commission failed to agree on whether to approve a government programme to compensate poor people for higher fuel prices, undermining President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s efforts to cut energy subsidies. Three out of nine factions in the commission rejected either the compensation programme and or the government’s plan to increase subsidised fuel prices, chairman Ahmadi Noor Supit said. The matter will be brought to the parliament’s plenary session today, which will endorse the revised budget, Mr Supit said.
UBS among lenders that must set aside most in reserves
N. Korea proposes U.S. talks on peace treaty, denuclearisation
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orth Korea proposed its first talks with the United States in more than a year to discuss nuclear disarmament and a peace treaty to formally end the Korean War, less than a week after it scrapped a meeting with the South. Any talks must have no pre-conditions, an unidentified spokesperson of North Korea’s National Defence Commission said in a statement carried by the official Korean
Central News Agency yesterday. North Korea confirmed its denuclearisation commitment on condition that it’s discussed as part of broader talks toward a “nuclear free world,” the commission headed by North Korean leader Kim Jong-un said. The U.S. is unlikely to agree to yesterday’s proposal after repeatedly demanding North Korea take steps toward disarmament as a condition for any dialogue. China, North Korea’s biggest benefactor, has also taken a tougher stance against Mr Kim’s regime after it tested an atomic weapon in February and threatened pre-emptive nuclear strikes in response to sanctions. “There is no sincerity in North Korea’s offer today for dialogue with U.S., nor do the Americans have any reason to accept the proposal when the North shows no change in its stance regarding its nuclear weapons
inappropriately, three quarters had either been fired or resigned. The remainder would be subject to disciplinary action, including forfeiting their bonuses. UBS said these were the actions of a few in the past. A UBS spokesman said it had significantly strengthened its internal procedures and controls. ING said it had taken disciplinary action against the small number of individuals involved. RBS said it would comply with any required remedial measures. Other banks censured included BNP Paribas SA, Bank of America, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp Ltd, Barclays, Credit Suisse Group AG, DBS Group Holdings Ltd, Deutsche Bank AG and Standard Chartered Plc. “The punishment is not light. It is a good reminder to banks to keep their governance in order. The opportunity cost of not lending the money can be quite hefty,” said Roger Tan, CEO of SIAS Research, the equity research arm of the Securities Investors Association (Singapore). The Singapore regulator first ordered banks in the city-state to review benchmark borrowing rates nearly a year ago. That review was extended in September last year to foreign exchange benchmark rates used to price currency derivatives, particularly instruments known as non-deliverable forwards. Reuters reported in January how the banks’ investigations had found evidence that traders were manipulating rates in the offshore foreign exchange market. Singapore’s two main lending benchmarks, the Singapore Interbank Offered Rate (Sibor) and the Swap Offer Rate (SOR) are used to price mortgages and other types of loans. The Singapore Foreign Exchange Market Committee and the Association of Banks in Singapore announced that the U.S-dollar linked version of Sibor would be scrapped, with banks relying on U.S.-dollar Libor instead. Reuters
programme,” Park Young-ho, senior research fellow at the state-run Korea Institute for National Unification in Seoul, said. “Ultimately the offer is aimed to appease China, to show that the North is heeding Beijing’s calls for a return to dialogue.” North Korea’s June 6 suggestion to hold “high-level” talks with South Korea over reopening a joint factory park came one day before the U.S. President Barack Obama met his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in California. Pyongyang unilaterally scrapped plans for a meeting last week with South Korea, which would have been the first such inter-Korean dialogue in six years, after a dispute over who would lead the two delegations. Both sides had agreed to discuss reopening the jointly run Kaeseong industrial complex, shuttered since the North withdrew its workers in April. Bloomberg News
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June 17, 2013
Markets Hang Seng Index NAME
PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
33.05
0.7621951
30673897
2.6
-7.47331
149754522
CITIC PACIFIC
BANK OF CHINA-H
3.18
-0.3134796
422337891
CLP HLDGS LTD
BANK OF COMMUN-H
5.52
-0.3610108
25499562
28
0.3584229
3488983
11.42
1.601423
28573710
ESPRIT HLDGS HANG LUNG PROPER
AIA GROUP LTD ALUMINUM CORP-H
BANK EAST ASIA BELLE INTERNATIO BOC HONG KONG HO
NAME CHINA UNICOM HON
CNOOC LTD COSCO PAC LTD
24.4
0.6185567
12500372
CATHAY PAC AIR
13.44
-0.591716
3819716
HANG SENG BK
CHEUNG KONG
HENDERSON LAND D
PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
10.36
2.169625
28027880
8.36
-1.415094
7007342
DAY %
67.55
0.5208333
4415918
39.3
0.8985879
13060156
SINO LAND CO
10.72
0.9416196
7259456
SUN HUNG KAI PRO
97.25
0.8294453
8109605
90.6
0.9470752
2276917
300.8
1.007388
2963513
SANDS CHINA LTD
63
0.5586592
2970379
1.085271
71262437
10.4
-1.140684
7557981
11.34
1.978417
42080947
TENCENT HOLDINGS
SWIRE PACIFIC-A
VOLUME
26.6
3.703704
10917636
TINGYI HLDG CO
19.72
0.1015228
5530120
117.4
0.8591065
1484260
WANT WANT CHINA
10.82
2.851711
17867670
WHARF HLDG
68.05
4.051988
7455189
104.7
1.453488
8200532
4.61
0.2173913
42819900
CHINA CONST BA-H
5.47
-1.084991
455205146
CHINA LIFE INS-H
19.02
0.2107482
36047069
CHINA MERCHANT
23.9
0.6315789
3658671
CHINA MOBILE
75.85
-0.1973684
27841327
HUTCHISON WHAMPO
78.8
-0.2531646
6308142
CHINA OVERSEAS
20.75
1.219512
22082464
IND & COMM BK-H
5.07
-0.3929273
573410168
CHINA PETROLEU-H
5.48
-0.5444646
113097572
LI & FUNG LTD
11.22
0
18844309
CHINA RES ENTERP
24.4
-0.204499
4435657
MTR CORP
28.45
1.426025
3344569
CHINA RES LAND
21.1
0
10297126
NEW WORLD DEV
11.16
2.385321
28206922
CHINA RES POWER
18.9
4.535398
9003818
PETROCHINA CO-H
8.27
-0.4813478
99533681
CHINA SHENHUA-H
23.35
-2.096436
24781729
PING AN INSURA-H
55
-0.3623188
12427401
HONG KG CHINA GS
PRICE
POWER ASSETS HOL
13.04
CHINA COAL ENE-H
HENGAN INTL
NAME
45
0.896861
4345989
80.1
4.500978
2923635
18.56
1.642935
14295751
HONG KONG EXCHNG
123.9
0.6498781
3770566
HSBC HLDGS PLC
83.15
0.1204094
35283684
MOVERS
33
15
2 21610
INDEX 20969.14 HIGH
21609.36
LOW
20682.65
52W (H) 23944.74 (L) 18710.58984
20680
11-June
14-June
Hang Seng China Enterprise Index NAME
PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
AGRICULTURAL-H
3.37
0.297619
118701360
AIR CHINA LTD-H
5.66
0.7117438
18411400
2.6
-7.47331
ANHUI CONCH-H
22.05
BANK OF CHINA-H
PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
CHINA PACIFIC-H
25.6
3.225806
21640960
CHINA PETROLEU-H
5.48
-0.5444646
113097572
149754522
CHINA RAIL CN-H
6.91
-0.5755396
8482000
-2
16790009
CHINA RAIL GR-H
3.71
0.5420054
15908403
3.18
-0.3134796
422337891
CHINA SHENHUA-H
23.35
-2.096436
24781729
BANK OF COMMUN-H
5.52
-0.3610108
25499562
CHINA TELECOM-H
3.76
3.296703
99815599
BYD CO LTD-H
31.5
5.175292
2909267
DONGFENG MOTOR-H
11.26
-0.3539823
13653428
CHINA CITIC BK-H
3.81
-0.5221932
38136865
GUANGZHOU AUTO-H
7.68
0.1303781
7577798
CHINA COAL ENE-H
4.61
0.2173913
42819900
HUANENG POWER-H
7.16
0.7032349
37564136
CHINA COM CONS-H
6.71
-1.323529
15928454
IND & COMM BK-H
5.07
-0.3929273
573410168
CHINA CONST BA-H
5.47
-1.084991
455205146
JIANGXI COPPER-H
15.3
1.190476
13063000
CHINA COSCO HO-H
3.08
-1.597444
5755307
PETROCHINA CO-H
8.27
-0.4813478
99533681
19.02
0.2107482
36047069
PICC PROPERTY &
8.77
1.036866
25885434
CHINA LONGYUAN-H
7.89
0.2541296
24540956
PING AN INSURA-H
55
-0.3623188
12427401
CHINA MERCH BK-H
13.8
-0.1447178
28096933
SHANDONG WEIG-H
10.1
0.3976143
12576441
CHINA MINSHENG-H
8.71
1.515152
49667407
SINOPHARM-H
20.7
2.729529
6002136
CHINA NATL BDG-H
7.37
-1.470588
37410306
TSINGTAO BREW-H
54.8
2.238806
1460826
CHINA OILFIELD-H
15.1
-1.436031
3924460
WEICHAI POWER-H
ALUMINUM CORP-H
CHINA LIFE INS-H
NAME
25.05
-2.906977
NAME
PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
YANZHOU COAL-H
6.78
-0.4405286
22634791
ZIJIN MINING-H
1.81
-3.208556
31386726
ZOOMLION HEAVY-H
6.24
-0.7949126
7569500
12.38
2.82392
2559900
ZTE CORP-H
MOVERS
17
22
1 10090
INDEX 9667.42 HIGH
10081.35
LOW
9541.57
52W (H) 12354.22 9540
(L) 8987.76 11-June
3705081
14-June
Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
PRICE
DAY %
VOLUME
AGRICULTURAL-A
2.71
0.7434944
127995524
CHONGQING CHAN-A
9.55
1.380042
32525936
POLY REAL ESTA-A
11.07
0.6363636
52911525
AIR CHINA LTD-A
4.88
0
9676599
CHONGQING WATE-A
5.95
0.5067568
8400616
QINGDAO HAIER-A
11.8
0.08481764
6395787
ALUMINUM CORP-A
3.77
-0.5277045
16298281
CITIC SECURITI-A
11.34
-0.08810573
90333990
QINGHAI SALT-A
20.5
0.04880429
6839689
ANHUI CONCH-A
14.46
-1.766304
34493657
CSR CORP LTD -A
4.01
0.5012531
23927375
SAIC MOTOR-A
14.63
1.105736
22814807
AVIC AIRCRAFT-A
10.62
-1.025163
20702181
DAQIN RAILWAY -A
6.33
-0.7836991
35931760
SANAN OPTOELEC-A
21.12
7.317073
27496018
BANK OF BEIJIN-A
8.44
-0.2364066
22199459
DATANG INTL PO-A
4.68
3.769401
9935114
SANY HEAVY INDUS
8.31
-0.3597122
27269422
BANK OF CHINA-A
2.9
0.6944444
33919372
EVERBRIG SEC -A
12.73
-0.1568627
22934674
SHANG PHARM -A
11.61
0.1725626
6526181
4.48
-0.6651885
66955737
GD MIDEA HOLDI-A
12.65
0
13832111
SHANG PUDONG-A
9.02
0
77530686
BAOSHAN IRON & S
4.55
0.4415011
17967373
GD POWER DEVEL-A
2.45
-1.209677
74166943
SHANGHAI ELECT-A
3.74
0
3822792
BEIJING TONGRE-A
22.88
4.379562
9050024
GEMDALE CORP-A
6.77
0.8941878
48739484
SHANXI LU'AN -A
14.73
-0.338295
11013230
GF SECURITIES-A
12.28
0.1631321
22884906
SHANXI XISHAN-A
9.58
-0.2083333
10348074
GREE ELECTRIC
24.65
0.1218522
13512893
SHENZEN OVERSE-A
5.96
1.016949
24523709
SUNING COMMERC-A
5.62
0.8976661
46515388
NAME
BANK OF COMMUN-A
BYD CO LTD -A
NAME
NAME
33.5
6.687898
11621038
CHINA AVIC ELE-A
23.78
5.128205
4866719
CHINA CITIC BK-A
3.95
0.2538071
15330338
GUANGHUI ENERG-A
19.75
0.4067107
12014993
CHINA CNR CORP-A
4.11
0.2439024
45040048
HAITONG SECURI-A
10.96
0
105155658
TASLY PHARMAC-A
40.31
1.947395
5702907
CHINA COAL ENE-A
6.11
-0.6504065
10232254
HANGZHOU HIKVI-A
38.88
4.769604
10732289
TSINGTAO BREW-A
38.12
1.275239
1748911
CHINA CONST BA-A
4.69
0.4282655
57356749
HENAN SHUAN-A
39.47
1.153255
4996275
WANHUA CHEMIC-A
16.19
0.0618047
7031236
CHINA COSCO HO-A
3.16
0.6369427
5453677
HONG YUAN SEC-A
22.95
4.318182
25906383
WEICHAI POWER-A
20.32
-1.835749
12673434
CHINA EAST AIR-A
2.93
0.3424658
8425214
HUATAI SECURIT-A
9.21
0.2176279
29395932
WULIANGYE YIBIN
21.48
0
13262108
CHINA EVERBRIG-A
2.93
1.034483
88579063
HUAXIA BANK CO
10.06
0.7007007
18984573
YANZHOU COAL-A
12.57
-1.33438
4966778
CHINA LIFE INS-A
15.08
-0.3963012
13521820
IND & COMM BK-A
4.16
0.4830918
67631529
YUNNAN BAIYAO-A
83.9
-0.344459
2513781
CHINA MERCH BK-A
12.21
-0.8928571
58036665
INDUSTRIAL BAN-A
16.48
0.1823708
66040679
ZHONGJIN GOLD
11.33
0.2654867
10092847
CHINA MERCHANT-A
11.6
1.133391
20998065
INNER MONG BAO-A
25.07
0.3602882
20446625
ZIJIN MINING-A
2.95
0.6825939
39117285
CHINA MERCHANT-A
25.34
0.3961965
11877578
INNER MONG YIL-A
27.77
0
14319950
ZOOMLION HEAVY-A
6.7
-0.4457652
42414263
CHINA MINSHENG-A
9.96
0.8097166
108141850
INNER MONGOLIA-A
4.5
4.651163
39388387
ZTE CORP-A
11.64
1.659389
24681041
CHINA NATIONAL-A
10.82
1.027077
33145519
JIANGSU HENGRU-A
28.69
3.387387
8884857
CHINA OILFIELD-A
15.32
2.474916
4017229
JIANGSU YANGHE-A
56.85
0.4416961
2448877
CHINA PACIFIC-A
17.4
0.8695652
16051638
JIANGXI COPPER-A
19.28
-0.2586653
8091356
CHINA PETROLEU-A
6.29
-1.564945
50033996
JINDUICHENG -A
9.68
0.6237006
4582707
18.41
3.776776
27830648
194.02
-0.3543732
3251867
CHINA RAILWAY-A
4.65
-0.4282655
20543970
KANGMEI PHARMA-A
CHINA RAILWAY-A
2.65
0
25648838
KWEICHOW MOUTA-A
CHINA RESOURCE-A
29.6
0
6437890
LUZHOU LAOJIAO-A
24.94
0.2814636
6371876
CHINA SHENHUA-A
19.13
-0.7780083
11974803
METALLURGICAL-A
1.89
0
26235489
CHINA SHIPBUIL-A
4.52
0
59982923
NARI TECHNOLOG-A
15.42
4.048583
16907815
NINGBO PORT CO-A
2.36
0.4255319
11672302
OFFSHORE OIL-A
7.43
0.541272
27427498
CHINA SOUTHERN-A
3.31
0.9146341
12367614
CHINA STATE -A
3.57
2.292264
113398476
3.57
0.8474576
44660751
PETROCHINA CO-A
8.13
0.2466091
19709786
CHINA VANKE CO-A
10.69
0.1874414
56813739
PING AN BANK-A
19.06
1.436935
32855336
CHINA YANGTZE-A
7.15
-0.27894
22014037
PING AN INSURA-A
36.86
1.013976
36941849
PRICE DAY %
Volume
NAME
PRICE DAY %
Volume
CHINA UNITED-A
MOVERS 203
83
14 2540
INDEX 2416.771 HIGH
2538.17
LOW
2384.03
52W (H) 2791.303 (L) 2102.135
2380
7-June
14-June
FTSE Taiwan 50 Index NAME ACER INC ADVANCED SEMICON ASIA CEMENT CORP
22.1
-1.777778
11016668
FORMOSA PLASTIC
24.35
-0.408998
11201612
FOXCONN TECHNOLO
36.3 -0.2747253
2304260
FUBON FINANCIAL
39.65
0.5069708
68.5
Volume
TAIWAN MOBILE CO
110
5.263158
75 -0.2659574
3684616
TPK HOLDING CO L
569
-1.215278
2951635
15764518
TSMC
106
1.435407
41207256
UNI-PRESIDENT
58.3
0.6908463
8248823
UNITED MICROELEC
13.1
0
57363680
292 -0.5110733
9599283
HON HAI PRECISIO
72.6
-1.089918
52408611
AU OPTRONICS COR
12.3 -0.8064516
64416047
HOTAI MOTOR CO
304
0
365148
9338338
1.923077
9194648
HTC CORP
260.5
-1.698113
11526413
30.05
-0.166113
9335915
CATHAY FINANCIAL
39.55 -0.2522068
25902235
HUA NAN FINANCIA
16.65 -0.5970149
4540777
YUANTA FINANCIAL
15.1
-1.30719
18856056
CHANG HWA BANK
16.3 -0.3058104
7360641
LARGAN PRECISION
979
2.944269
1718347
YULON MOTOR CO
48.3
0
3463000
CHENG SHIN RUBBE
91.4
0.3293085
5970224
LITE-ON TECHNOLO
48.5
-3.386454
5496555
CHIMEI INNOLUX C
18.7
1.355014
40525469
MEDIATEK INC
352
-2.493075
6838985
CHINA DEVELOPMEN
8.35
-1.764706
37692844
MEGA FINANCIAL H
22.6 -0.4405286
15535717
CHINA STEEL CORP
24.25
0
15067007
NAN YA PLASTICS
58.5 -0.3407155
6329759
CHINATRUST FINAN
18.8
1.621622
30503464
PRESIDENT CHAIN
185
1.648352
1140972
CHUNGHWA TELECOM
94.6
0.1058201
8799931
QUANTA COMPUTER
61
2.521008
6092273
17 -0.8746356
18149582
SILICONWARE PREC
34.95 -0.4273504
10390060
COMPAL ELECTRON
159
PRICE DAY %
8318423
ASUSTEK COMPUTER CATCHER TECH
NAME
0.1461988
DELTA ELECT INC
133.5
-2.554745
8292235
SINOPAC FINANCIA
14.25
-1.384083
11809520
FAR EASTERN NEW
31.25
0.4823151
3355225
SYNNEX TECH INTL
43.5
0.5780347
8574226
FAR EASTONE TELE
72.5
1.256983
4151874
TAIWAN CEMENT
37.4
0.1338688
6859302
FIRST FINANCIAL
17.55
0
7026328
TAIWAN COOPERATI
16.7
0
7823968
FORMOSA CHEM & F
68.2
0
3540824
TAIWAN FERTILIZE
74.6
0
1771511
FORMOSA PETROCHE
77
0
1339621
TAIWAN GLASS IND
27.75
-1.069519
760086
WISTRON CORP
MOVERS
17
24
9 5670
INDEX 5495.07 HIGH
5663.51
LOW
5478.67
52W (H) 5896.71 5470
(L) 4719.96 11-June
14-June
13
June 17, 2013
Markets Gaming Stocks - Daily Performance (Hong Kong Stock Exchange) 42.2
61.9
41.8
61.7 19.8
41.4
61.5
41.0
average 40.8
Min 40.25
Last 41.8
40.2
19.6
61.3
40.6 Max 42.1
20.0
Max 61.9
average 61.287
Min 61.2
61.1
Last 61.9
39.5
20.0
39.3
19.9
Max 19.92
average 19.7
Min 19.44
Last 19.9
19.4
22.5 22.4 22.3
19.8
39.1
Max 39.45
average 39.133
Min 38.95
Last 39.3
38.9
Max 19.98
average 19.836
Commodities PRICE
WTI CRUDE FUTURE Jul13
97.85
BRENT CRUDE FUTR Aug13 GASOLINE RBOB FUT Jul13
DAY %
YTD %
(H) 52W
(L) 52W
1.199720881
4.429028815
100.4000015
81.5
105.93
0.93377799
-0.879573313
115.1699982
91.76999664
289.67
1.237199874
2.581627594
318.0399895
235.0999832
GAS OIL FUT (ICE) Aug13
897.5
2.075632641
-1.265126513
983.5
816
NATURAL GAS FUTR Jul13
3.733
-2.123754588
4.800673779
4.499000072
3.256000042
296.22
0.772240177
-1.315920978
322.0499992
259.5000029
NY Harb ULSD Fut Jul13 METALS
Last 19.88
Gold Spot $/Oz
1390.67
0.2227
-16.4492
1796.08
1322.06
Silver Spot $/Oz
22.09
1.0808
-26.6357
35.365
20.3395
COUNTRY MAJOR
ASIA PACIFIC
AUD GBP CHF EUR JPY MOP HKD CNY INR THB SGD TWD PHP IDR AUDJPY EURCHF EURGBP EURCNY EURMOP EURJPY HKDMOP
Platinum Spot $/Oz
1446.25
-0.9384
-4.7109
1742.8
1374.55
Palladium Spot $/Oz
731.45
-1.6776
4.5436
786.5
553.75
LME ALUMINUM 3MO ($)
1851
-0.323101777
-10.70911722
2200.199951
1809
LME COPPER 3MO ($)
7090
0.567375887
-10.60395915
8422
6762.25
LME ZINC
1860
1.086956522
-10.57692308
2230
1745
14325
1.884779516
-16.03165299
18920
14052
16.505
-0.362209478
4.826929184
17.07500076
14.79500103
533
-0.420364316
-11.12963735
665
512
WHEAT FUTURE(CBT) Sep13
688.75
-0.720720721
-14.65303594
905.75
673.75
SOYBEAN FUTURE Nov13
1298.25
-0.173010381
-0.345423143
1409.75
1177.5
123.8
-1.275917065
-18.7930469
203.8499908
122.7999954
NAME
16.47999954
ARISTOCRAT LEISU
72.62999725
CROWN LTD
3MO ($)
LME NICKEL 3MO ($) AGRICULTURE ROUGH RICE (CBOT) Jul13 CORN FUTURE
Dec13
COFFEE 'C' FUTURE Sep13 SUGAR #11 (WORLD) Oct13
17.09
COTTON NO.2 FUTR Dec13
89.44
3.387779794
-14.80558325
0.325283231
13.58902718
22.8599987 89.55999756
CROSSES
Max 22.5
average 22.277
Min 22.1
Last 22.3
World Stock Markets - Indices
PRICE
DAY %
YTD %
(H) 52W
(L) 52W
0.957 1.5707 0.9211 1.3347 94.31 7.995 7.7612 6.1309 57.5287 30.57 1.2515 29.86 42.81 9875 90.038 1.22928 0.84972 8.1779 10.65 125.6 1.0303
-0.1148 0.2361 0 0.1426 0.0742 0.0425 0.049 0.0652 0.8019 0.6215 -0.0639 0.0971 0.5256 0.1013 0.4254 -0.1326 0.0977 0.1308 0.1033 0.1513 -0.0291
-7.7857 -2.8994 -0.6188 1.1903 -8.7053 -0.1476 -0.1366 1.6262 -4.4042 0.0327 -2.4051 -2.7696 -4.2163 -0.8304 -0.7897 -1.7734 -4.0366 0.4842 -1.123 -9.578 -0.0388
1.0625 1.6381 0.9972 1.3711 103.74 8.0111 7.7664 6.3964 58.985 32 1.2847 30.203 43.315 10174 105.433 1.265 0.88151 8.4957 10.9254 133.8 1.032
0.9326 1.4832 0.9022 1.2043 77.13 7.9824 7.7498 6.1203 51.3863 28.56 1.2152 28.913 40.54 9338 78.93 1.20054 0.77553 7.7018 9.6245 94.12 1.0289
PRICE
DAY %
YTD %
(H) 52W
(L) 52W
4.05
2.531646
28.57142
4.49
2.29
VOLUME CRNCY 2855524
12.39
2.227723
16.11996
13.75
8.28
1355026
AMAX HOLDINGS LT
1.03
-10.43478
-26.42857
1.72
0.75
4588375
BOC HONG KONG HO
24.4
0.6185567
1.244812
28
22.6
12500372
0.315
-4.545455
18.86793
0.42
0.216
64000
5.55
0
-7.345572
6.74
2.88
66000
CHINA OVERSEAS
20.75
1.219512
-10.17316
25.6
16.362
22082464
CHINESE ESTATES
13.32
1.215805
9.815653
14.12
8.012
580500
CHOW TAI FOOK JE
8.81
1.497696
-29.18006
13.4
8.4
7707600
EMPEROR ENTERTAI
2.81
3.690037
48.67725
3.05
1.16
1465000
FUTURE BRIGHT
2.39
2.136752
97.19047
2.76
0.805
6840000
GALAXY ENTERTAIN
41.8
4.761905
37.72652
42.4
16.98
84717186 1484260
CHEUK NANG HLDGS
COUNTRY
PRICE
DAY %
YTD %
(H) 52W
(L) 52W
DOW JONES INDUS. AVG
US
15070.18
-0.6978087
15.0032
15542.4
12450.17
NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX
US
3423.555
-0.6330244
13.381
3532.038
2810.8
FTSE 100 INDEX
GB
6308.26
0.05757673
6.959358
6875.62
5435.46
HANG SENG BK
117.4
0.8591065
-1.095195
132.8
102.6
DAX INDEX
GE
8127.96
0.4023277
6.772772
8557.86
6096.94
HOPEWELL HLDGS
26.05
4.408818
-21.65414
35.3
19.74
1702497
HSBC HLDGS PLC
83.15
0.1204094
2.275519
90.7
61.1
35283684
HUTCHISON TELE H
4.1
1.234568
15.16854
4.66
2.98
2466000
LUK FOOK HLDGS I
18
3.329506
-26.22951
30.05
15.12
1941176
MELCO INTL DEVEL
15.74
3.145478
74.69478
18.18
5.12
4419000 3315037
NIKKEI 225
JN
12686.52
1.937586
22.04233
15942.6
8328.019531
HANG SENG INDEX
HK
20969.14
0.3930667
-7.449289
23944.74
18710.58984
CSI 300 INDEX
CH
2416.771
0.7014351
-4.208598
2791.303
2102.135
TAIWAN TAIEX INDEX
TA
7937.74
-0.1750578
3.09423
8439.15
6922.73
MGM CHINA HOLDIN
19.9
3.108808
49.86882
21.6
9.509
KOSPI INDEX
SK
1889.24
0.3457745
-5.398466
2042.48
1758.99
MIDLAND HOLDINGS
2.82
-3.424658
-23.78378
5
2.8
5038000
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX
AU
4791.757
2.044334
3.071804
5249.6
3993.8
NEPTUNE GROUP
0.179
-2.717391
17.76316
0.23
0.084
34900000
ID
4760.744
3.322313
10.28699
5251.296
3774.693
NEW WORLD DEV
11.16
2.385321
-7.154746
15.12
8.66
28206922
FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI
MA
1762.19
1.108516
4.336421
1826.22
1574.15
SANDS CHINA LTD
39.3
0.8985879
15.75847
43.7
20.65
13060156
SHUN HO RESOURCE
1.5
0
7.142859
1.67
1.03
0
NZX ALL INDEX
NZ
945.398
0.3326032
7.181545
998.487
755.149
SHUN TAK HOLDING
3.8
1.333333
-9.307877
4.65
2.56
7242700
PHILIPPINES ALL SHARE IX
PH
3897.76
1.639951
5.373915
4571.4
3295.86
SJM HOLDINGS LTD
19.88
1.428571
12.01478
22.382
12.995
7517598
SMARTONE TELECOM
13.24
0.6079027
-5.965909
17.38
12.5
1094000
WYNN MACAU LTD
22.3
0.2247191
6.44391
26.5
14.62
1788917
ASIA ENTERTAINME
3.75
-0.530504
33.22993
4.7647
2.2076
123601
56.75
-0.07043494
26.9291
57.49
41.74
184357 1969
JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX
22.1
Macau Related Stocks
CENTURY LEGEND
NAME
19.7
Currency Exchange Rates
NAME ENERGY
Min 19.74
22.2
HSBC Dragon 300 Index Singapor
SI
604.02
-0.57
-2.75
NA
NA
STOCK EXCH OF THAI INDEX
TH
1465.27
4.418252
5.26894
1649.77
1144.44
HO CHI MINH STOCK INDEX
VN
509.03
-1.176493
23.03434
533.15
372.39
BALLY TECHNOLOGI
Laos Composite Index
LO
1338.82
0
10.2118
1455.82
980.83
BOC HONG KONG HO
3.2
0
4.23453
3.6
2.85
GALAXY ENTERTAIN
5.42
4.03071
36.52393
5.43
2.25
100
INTL GAME TECH
17.25
-1.146132
21.73606
18.81
10.92
2450679
JONES LANG LASAL
88.43
-1.316817
5.349056
101.46
61.39
149732
LAS VEGAS SANDS
56.44
-0.2298038
22.27036
60.54
32.6127
3305106 2686182
Shanghai Shenzhen Composite index is listing the biggest companies by market capitalisation. All data supplied by Bloomberg unless otherwise indicated.
MELCO CROWN-ADR
24.1
0
43.11164
25.15
9.13
MGM CHINA HOLDIN
2.52
0
36.21621
2.71
1.36
2550
MGM RESORTS INTE
14.75
-1.403743
26.71821
15.95
8.83
5750695
SHFL ENTERTAINME
17.95
0.3353829
23.7931
18.57
12.35
401328
SJM HOLDINGS LTD
2.53
-2.316602
11.08106
2.9481
1.7255
300
135.14
-1.010841
20.13513
144.99
84.4902
1027943
WYNN RESORTS LTD
AUD HKD
USD
14 14
June 17, 2013 April 19, 2013
Opinion
Lessons of a Greek tragedy
in an equitable way. With every vested interest fighting for itself, closed professions proved impossible to pry open. Doubting that there would be shared sacrifice, those same interest groups were unable to negotiate meaningful tax reform.
Barry Eichengreen
Professor of Economics and Political Science at the University of California, Berkeley
Right lessons
A
visit to Greece leaves many vivid impressions. There are, of course, the country’s rich history, abundance of archaeological sites, azure skies, and crystalline seas. But there is also the intense pressure under which Greek society is now functioning – and the extraordinary courage with which ordinary citizens are coping with economic disaster. Inevitably, a visit also leaves questions. In particular, what should policymakers have done differently in confronting the country’s financial crisis? The critical policy mistakes were those committed at the outset of the crisis. It was already clear in the first half of 2010, when Greece lost access to financial markets, that the public debt was unsustainable. The country’s sovereign debt should have been restructured without delay. Had Greece quickly written down its debt burden by twothirds, it would have been able to shed its crushing debt overhang. It could have used a portion of the interest savings to recapitalise the banks. It could have cut taxes, rather than raising them. It could have jumpstarted investment and gotten its economy moving again, if not in a matter of months, then, with
luck, in no more than a year. In its official post-mortem on the crisis, the International Monetary Fund now agrees that debt restructuring should have been undertaken earlier. But this was not its view at the time. Under the leadership of Dominique Strauss-Kahn, the Fund was in thrall to the French and German governments, which adamantly opposed debt relief.
Shared sacrifice? The European Commission, for its part, has rejected the IMF’s mea culpa. Preoccupied by the state of the French and German banks, it continues to argue that delaying debt restructuring was the right thing to do. It has no regrets about throwing Greece to the wolves. Given this opposition, the Greek government would have had to move unilaterally. Hindsight suggests that the authorities should have done just that. Faced with foreign opposition, the government should have announced its decision to restructure as a fait accompli. Clearly, there would have been risks. The “troika” – the IMF, the European Commission,
and the European Central Bank – might have refused to provide an aid package, forcing Greece to compress imports even more sharply. The ECB might have cut off emergency liquidity assistance, forcing the government to impose capital controls and even consider abandoning the euro. But, by acting pre-emptively, Greek leaders could have shaped the dialogue. They could have said to their EU colleagues, “Look, we have no choice but
Past mistakes, committed not just by Greece, but also by its international partners, make a difficult short-term future unavoidable
to restructure what is clearly an unsustainable debt. But make no mistake: our preference is to remain in the euro zone. We are committed to reforms. Given this, don’t you agree that we are deserving of your support?” Making a compelling case would have required Greece to get serious about those reforms. The government could have started by bringing together employers and unions t o negotiate an equitable burdensharing agreement, including an across-the-board reduction in wages and pensions, thereby getting a jump on internal devaluation. This could then have been complemented by a simultaneous agreement to restructure private debts. With everyone accepting sacrifices, it might have been possible to reach an accord on liberalising closed professions and on comprehensive tax reform. But, instead of working together with its social partners, the government, heeding the troika’s advice, dismantled the country’s collective-bargaining system, leaving workers unrepresented. Greece thus lacked a mechanism to negotiate a social compact to cut wages, pensions, and other obligations
With the Greek government thus failing to push through structural reforms, it was unable to earn the trust of its creditors; and, sceptical that the government was committed to reform, the troika demanded a pound of flesh, in the form of front-loaded austerity, as the price of assistance. Those front-loaded tax increases and governmentspending cuts plunged the economy deeper into recession, making a farce of claims that the public debt was sustainable – and forcing the inevitable debt restructuring after two more agonising years. Greece is now seeking to make the best of a difficult situation. It is attempting to breathe life into the campaign for structural reform. It is lobbying the troika for further debt relief. But the damage will not be easily undone. Past mistakes, committed not just by Greece, but also by its international partners, make a difficult shortterm future unavoidable. It is important that other countries draw the right lessons. If they do, Greece’s brave, beleaguered citizens can at least take comfort in knowing that many people elsewhere will be spared the same unnecessary sacrifices. © Project Syndicate
editorial council Paulo A. Azevedo, Tiago Azevedo, José I. Duarte, Emanuel Graça, Mandy Kuok Founder & Publisher Paulo A. Azevedo | pazevedo@macaubusinessdaily.com Editor-in-Chief Tiago Azevedo DEputy Editor-in-Chief Vitor Quintã Associate editor Michael Grimes GROUP SENIOR ANALYST José I. Duarte Newsdesk Luciana Leitão, Stephanie Lai, Tony Lai EDITOR AT LARGE Alex Lee Creative Director José Manuel Cardoso WEB & IT Janne Louhikari Contributors James Chu, João Francisco Pinto, Larry So, Pedro Cortés, Ricardo Siu, Rose N. Lai, Zen Udani Photography Carmo Correia, Manuel Cardoso Assistant to the publisher Laurentina da Silva | ltinas@macaubusinessdaily.com office manager Elsa Vong | elsav@macaubusinessdaily.com Agencies Bloomberg, Reuters, AFP, Xinhua, Lusa, Project Syndicate Printed in Macau by Welfare Ltd.
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15 15
June April 17, 19, 2013 2013
Opinion Business
wires
Copycat capitalists
Leading reports from Asia’s best business newspapers Alexander Friedman Global Chief Investment Officer for UBS Wealth Management
Korea Herald North Korea proposed high-level talks with the United States on Sunday, days after its planned talks with South Korea broke down over the level of their chief delegates. “[We] propose high-level talks between the North Korean and U.S. governments to ease tensions on the Korean Peninsula, and establish regional peace and security,” a spokesman of the North’s National Defence Commission said in an “important statement” carried by Pyongyang’s official Korean Central News Agency.
Jakarta Globe The Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) is considering raising the minimum amount of shares released during initial public offerings from 10 percent to 15-20 percent. Hoesen, the listing director at the IDX, said that the plan would seek to maintain market liquidity and expand domestic trade volume. Currently, 6.9 trillion rupiah (US$699 million) worth of transactions are conducted daily on the IDX, well above the 2013 target of 5.5 trillion rupiah set by the stock exchange.
China Daily China, the world’s biggest maker of solar panels, is to boost domestic demand for solar-generated electricity and provide easier financing to manufacturers as rising trade tensions slow exports. Grid companies should build networks that will be operational in sync with solar-generation projects and give priority access to their produced power, while lenders need to help panel makers raise capital, according to a statement after a State Council meeting. The government will encourage mergers and acquisitions among solar companies and curb blind expansion, the State Council said.
Times of India Sam Pitroda, adviser to India’s Prime Minister on public information infrastructure and innovations, expressed confidence that the country will regain the growth rate of 8 percent soon. “The Union government is doing its job. For the last ten years, we have been continuously clocking 8 percent growth. Though it has gone down this year, we’ll be able to catch up as soon as possible and achieve same growth rate,” Mr Pitroda said.
I
t is all too easy to envy China. At current growth rates, the Chinese economy will double in size in only nine years, raising an estimated 100 million people above the poverty line in the process. Compare this to the major economies of the Western world. The euro zone’s GDP remains mired below 2008 levels, and the United States last enjoyed Chinese-style growth back in 1984, when gasoline was US$1.10 a gallon and the first Apple Macintosh was rolling off the production line in California. Given the West’s anaemic performance in recent years, it is hardly surprising that envy of China’s economic dynamism has manifested itself in official policy. Recent examples range from direct market interventions (such as America’s effort to boost its automotive industry via the “cash for clunkers” programme), to the British government’s attempt to reflate the United Kingdom’s housing market by guaranteeing mortgages under its “Help to Buy” scheme. Even hitherto independent central banks have not escaped the creep toward state-sponsored capitalism. The U.S. Federal Reserve has been gently encouraged to buy 90 percent of annual net issuance of U.S. Treasury bills, effectively funding the U.S. fiscal deficit and ensuring, via the resulting negative real interest rates, that businesses and individuals wishing to save, rather than spend, will lose purchasing power by doing so. Ironically, Western countries are shifting to statism at the very moment that China appears to be heading in the opposite direction – witness its recent moves to liberalise its financial system. In just 10 years, the share of state-directed bank lending in China has fallen from 92 percent of new credit creation to less than half. But copycat capitalism is not without risk; indeed,
it is unlikely to end without someone getting scratched. The West’s efforts to emulate China are hindered by its inability to replicate the conditions of Chinese growth, such as labour mobilisation, and its unwillingness to pursue practices such as the onechild policy. Thus, the West’s forays into state capitalism are more likely to result in the misallocation of capital, more in the vein of China’s vastly oversupplied steel industry but without the stellar headline economic performance of the national economy.
Potential pitfalls Coming from the other direction, China’s crawl toward a more marketoriented brand of capitalism also has potential pitfalls. We need look no further than its recent problems with socalled wealth-management products (WMPs) for evidence that reform intentions without adequate regulatory institutions can cause problems.
China’s transformation from a state-directed to a market-driven economy may require the greatest amount of planning of all
WMPs were commonly marketed to individuals as alternatives to deposit accounts. But the funds contributed were then invested in riskier assets that included “trust loans” to companies such as property developers. The number of trust loans rose by 40 percent in 2012, which triggered serious concern among China’s authorities that WMPs could become the next financial “WMDs,” because banks had strong incentives to make uneconomic lending decisions. The subsequent statedirected WMP regulation put a brake on credit creation and
sent Chinese stock markets plunging. Ultimately, however, the measures should enable China’s shadow banking system to continue to grow at a more manageable pace and in a more sustainable way. There is a risk that the lack of growth in the West may make economic transformation in the direction of the Chinese model appear more urgent to its governments. But the Western economic model has brought about unprecedented standards of living. This achievement should not be dismissed because of one crisis, no matter how prolonged, and the economic model that produced today’s living standards should not be cast aside without careful consideration. By contrast, China’s rapid growth should not obscure its need for economic change. According to the International Monetary Fund, at some point between 2020 and 2025, China will pass what economists call the “Lewis Turning Point,” at which a country’s vast supply of low-cost workers is exhausted and factors such as labour mobilisation provide a diminishing contribution to growth. With smaller demographic and resource advantages in the coming years, the consequences of capital misallocation, unavoidable under a state-directed economic model, will come to the fore. As China’s recent experience with WMPs demonstrates, economic change can expose old problems and create new ones. Ironically, China’s transformation from a state-directed to a market-driven economy may require the greatest amount of planning of all. © Project Syndicate
16
June 17, 2013
Closing Rohani wins Iran presidency
U.S. budget cuts ‘ill-designed’: IMF
Hassan Rohani, who criticised government intervention in Iranian lives, won the nation’s presidency. Mr Rouhani has hailed his election as a “victory of moderation over extremism”. The reformist-backed cleric won just over 50 percent of the vote and so avoided the need for a run-off. Thousands of Iranians took to the streets of Tehran when the result was announced, shouting proreform slogans. The U.S. expressed concern at a “lack of transparency” and “censorship” but said it was ready to work with Tehran. Israel urged continued international pressure on Iran to curb its nuclear programme.
The International Monetary Fund has urged the U.S. to repeal the huge federal budget cuts introduced this year, denouncing them as “excessively rapid and ill-designed”. It said the deficit reduction programme would be a drag on growth this year. It forecast growth of 1.9 percent for 2013, but said it could be as much as 1.75 percentage points higher without the rapid tightening of fiscal policy. But the IMF added that the overall U.S. economy was improving. While the recovery had been “tepid”, it said the overall fundamentals had been gradually getting better.
Britain moves EU close to new rules on tax dodges for commodities trading ahead of summit Jail terms for insider trading one step closer
B
ritain turned up the pressure on other rich economies to clamp down on secretive money flows at a summit starting today by pressing its overseas tax havens into a transparency deal and announcing new disclosure rules for British firms. Prime Minister David Cameron wants to make progress on closing global tax loopholes when he hosts a two-day meeting of leaders of the Group of Eight economies in Northern Ireland. “It is important we are getting our house in order,” Mr Cameron said in a speech in London on Saturday after representatives of overseas tax havens linked to Britain agreed to sign up to an international transparency protocol. “It is a very positive step forward and it means that Britain’s voice in the G8 and the campaigning on this issue around the world for proper taxes, proper companies and proper laws … will be stronger.” Ten territories and self-governing regions will join the Multilateral Convention on Mutual Assistance in Tax Matters which has been agreed by more than 50 countries. They also pledged to produce plans on how to provide more information on the ownership of so-called shell companies. Those included in the agreement were Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, the Cayman Islands, Gibraltar, Anguilla, Montserrat, Turks and Caicos Islands, Jersey, Guernsey and the Isle of Man. The convention will help developing countries trying to trace money they suspect belongs in their state coffers, to request tax information from offshore centres. Also on Saturday, the British government said it will introduce new domestic rules to combat tax evasion and money laundering, by forcing shadowy “shell” companies to throw off their cloak of anonymity and reveal who really runs them. Under the new British rules, companies will be required to obtain and hold information on their ownership and control which will then be held in a central registry, available to police and revenue agencies. Global tax evasion could be costing more than US$3 trillion a year, according to researchers from Tax Justice Network while as much as US$32 trillion – twice the size of U.S. gross domestic product – could be hidden by individuals in tax havens. Reuters
Oil probe supports cause for tough abuse regime
E
uropean authorities are close to agreeing on the final draft of markets abuse rules that will make the standard commodities market practice of trading on inside information illegal. Commodities market players say the draft regulation, which will lay the ground work for jail terms for insider trading, could force them to reveal their trading strategies and undermine their businesses. For centuries, traders have made money from their knowledge of shortages and surpluses of physical commodities, which they say enables them to play a vital role in balancing global markets. “Applying insider trading to commodities is mad,” said Craig Pirrong, University of Houston academic and commodities expert. “It may make sense to prosecute the use of information illicitly obtained, [but] ‘better information’ does not mean ‘inside information’, and any attempt to apply insider trading concepts to commodities will sow confusion and wreak havoc.” Supporters of the regulation argue that some markets including European power markets have already successfully adapted to disclosure rules for insider trading, even though traders objected vociferously, and that other commodity markets will adapt too.
A source close to the negotiations in parliament said a provisional date for the final meeting on the beefed up draft has been set for Thursday to address issues such as administrative sanctions, the definition of inside information and the inclusion of spot commodity contracts in the regulation. If the draft is finalised this month before the end of the Irish presidency, the new rules are expected to become EU law by year-end and enter force at the end of 2015. While most of the new legal requirements will be known once the agreement is reached, the penalties for offences in different countries will become clear once governments have written criminal sanctions into their national legislation.
Oil probe The EU enquiry into Platts oil price assessments, which followed the scandal over fixing the Libor rate, have strengthened the case for strict rules, providing firepower to the European parliament, which advocates a tough regime as opposed to the more reticent Council of Ministers. Royal Dutch Shell Plc, BP Plc, Statoil ASA and Platts, the oil-price data collector owned by McGraw Hill Financial Inc., said they are being investigated after the
European Commission conducted raids in three countries to ferret out evidence of collusion. “The allegations that oil prices have been fixed by reporting agencies and oil companies alike clearly demonstrates the need for tough EU wide rules to tackle market abuse,” said Arlene McCarthy, member of the European parliament and coordinator of the reform. Robert Finney, a partner at law firm Holman Fenwick Willan, agreed that strict rules were likely. “The mere fact that the Commission decided to investigate [the oil market] will provide grist to the mill of those who want a strong regulation on market abuse,” he said. The Council of Ministers, who represent the EU member sates, are reluctant to see harmonised jail terms for market abuse across the bloc. The issue of penalties will fall under the revision of the Market Abuse Directive (MAD II), which sources say is so politically sensitive that it is not even being discussed at present. The full regime may be implemented when MAD II comes into effect sometime later than 2015 – welcome relief for those battling to see how, in practice, insider trading can be extended to commodity prices that are driven by global changes in supply and demand. Reuters