BusinessMirror February 01, 2021

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PHL POSTS DECADE-HIGH

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Monday, February 1, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 113

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 20 pages |

$12.8-B BOP SURPLUS IN ‘20 BICAM PANEL FINALLY OKS CREATE FINAL FORM By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz @joveemarie

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HE congressional bicameral conference committee has already settled all disagreements on the Senate and House of Representatives versions of the proposed Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises (CREATE), which seeks to erase the unpredictability in the country’s corporate tax and fiscal incentives system. House Committee on Ways and Means Chairman Joey Sarte Salceda said the bicameral report on CREATE is now awaiting signatures of the members after the bicameral panel successfully reconciled the two versions of the measure late Saturday.

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@BNicolasBM

HE country’s transactions with the rest of the world last year registered a dollar surplus of US$12.8 billion, the highest since 2010. It was also the exact revised projection in December by the Central Bank.

Citing preliminary data from Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), Finance Undersecretary and Chief Economist Gil Beltran said the country’s overall Balance of Payments (BOP) surplus last year was

the highest since the country recorded a US$15.24- billion surplus in 2010. “The country generated a BOP surplus of US$12.8B in 2020, helped by slower imports and out-

PESO exchange rates n US 48.1210

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GDP to rebound by around 7% in 2021—economists

In a scene that reminds one of the popular children’s ditty, ‘Spaghetti pababa’ (noodles moving downward) linemen retire old electrical cables along Sitio Lipana, Barangay Pandayan, Inarawan in Antipolo City at the weekend. With summer approaching, a surge in electricity consumption is expected due to rising temperatures, and the Manila Electic Company (Meralco) says a typical household’s electricity consumption goes up by around 30 percent from January to June. BERNARD TESTA By Bernadette D. Nicolas

“I have no doubt that CREATE will bring changes. The influx of deferred investment due to 3 years of uncertainty over incentives will be a deluge. I have been talking with several groups of investors, and they’re ready with the money. They just need the rules,” said Salceda. According to Salceda, $18 billion in foreign direct investments (FDI) were lost over the past three years of uncertainty over the delays in passing the reform. “Now that it’s done, I expect the investment overhang to close. Investors can now stand on more solid footing,” Salceda said. The CREATE is part of Package 2 of the Comprehensive Tax Reform Package of the Duterte administration.

ward payments,” Beltran said in an economic bulletin. The country’s 2020 BOP surplus, which he said was the highest in recent history, was equivalent to 3.5 percent of GDP. In 2019, the country posted a BOP surplus of US$7.84 billion. While the BSP has yet to release the December BOP data this week, the Central Bank back in December revised upward its BOP surplus projection to US$12.8 billion for 2020, up from its previous forecast of US$8.1 billion in September.

Peso stable

Apart from the country’s strong BOP position, Beltran also attributed the Philippine peso’s

“continued strength and stability” to rising Gross International Reserves (GIR). Moreover, he said the peso remained as one of the most stable Asian currencies in 2020, despite rising risks in the global economy, including the Covid-19 pandemic. “During the year, the peso appreciated by 5.18 percent relative to the US dollar, in the middle of the pack of nine Asian currencies including the Taiwan dollar, Chinese yuan, Korean won and Japanese yen which appreciated by 6.33 percent, 6.26 percent, 6.07 percent and 4.94 percent, respectively,” Beltran said. Continued on A12

By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad

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@Tyronepiad

FTER contracting by 9.5 percent in 2020, the Philippine economy is poised to rebound by around 7 percent this year, according to a recent economic forecast. Makoto Tsuchiya, economist at Oxford Economics, said in a recent report that the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) is anticipated to rise by around 7.7 percent this year amid eased lockdown restrictions. “We expect the recovery to continue through this year with growth set to gain a firmer footing in [second half] as the rollout of vaccines should allow for a sustained easing

in restrictions and the recovery in global trade broadens,” Tsuchiya said. “In particular, the recovery in construction should gather pace due to a catch-up in infrastructure investment as social distancing restrictions should ease further, barring another significant wave of outbreak,” he added. Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) Lead Economist Emilio Neri Jr., meanwhile, said that the baseline forecast this year stands at 6.8-percent GDP growth. “Assuming that the government will not impose additional restrictions on movement, double-digit GDP growth may be seen during some quarters of 2021,” he explained in a recent report.

n japan 0.4618 n UK 66.0316 n HK 6.2072 n CHINA 7.4606 n singapore 36.2111 n australia 36.9521 n EU 58.3467 n SAUDI arabia 12.8306

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Source: BSP (January 29, 2021)


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