Daily Commodity Report

Page 1

Daily Newsletter Newsletter-Commodity 15/07/2011

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MARKET WRAP Gold hits record after Moody's warning Dollar slides against currency basket Silver rose 2 percent U.S. jobless claims fall, retail sales up Copper eases on economic recovery concerns Gold prices hit record highs for a second day on Thursday after hints of further policy easing from the Federal Reserve and a Moody's warning the United States may lose its top-notch credit rating hurt the dollar and sparked buying of safe-haven assets. .S. crude ticked up and Brent pared losses in choppy trading on Thursday due to a weak dollar and better-than-expected U.S. jobs and retail data. Copper slipped on Thursday on the London Metal Exchange, as concerns over the health of the world's largest economy, the United States, offset worries over supply constraints and prospects of improving demand growth in the second half in Asia.

ECONOMIC CALENDAR Date

Time

Currency

Economic Data

Forecast Previous

Fri Jul 15

6:00pm

USD

Core CPI m/m

0.2%

0.3%

6:00pm

USD

CPI m/m

-0.1%

0.2%

6:00pm

USD

Empire State Manufacturing Index

4.5

-7.8

6:45pm

USD

Capacity Utilization Rate

77.0%

76.7%

6:45pm

USD

Industrial Production m/m

0.4%

0.1%

7:25pm

USD

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

72.5

71.5

7:25pm

USD

Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations

3.8%

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TECHNICAL VIEW GOLD(AUG) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

SILVER(SEP SEP) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

• R2 - 23450 • R1 - 23120

Resistance

• R2 - 59900 • R1 - 58650

support

• S1 - 22850 • S2 - 22570

support

• S1 - 56870 • S2 - 55700

COPPER(AUG)) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

CRUDE(JULY JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

• R2 - 447 • R1 - 437

Resistance

• R2 - 4440 • R1 - 4360

support

• S1 - 427 • S2 - 419

support

• S1 - 4230 • S2 - 4150

NATURALGAS(JULY JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

LEAD(JULY JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

•R2 - 205 •R1 - 198

Resistance

• R2 - 124.2 • R1 - 120.8

support

•S1 - 185 •S2 - 177

support

• S1 - 118.2 •S2 - 115.5

ZINC(JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

NICKEL(JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

•R2 - 108.5 •R1 - 106.4

Resistance

•R2 - 1125 •R1 - 1093

support

•S1 - 103.2 •S2 - 100.5

support

•S1 - 1049 •S2 - 1015

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ALUMINIUM(JULY JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 114.8 •R1 - 112.3

support

•S1 - 109.5 •S2 - 106.8

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