Daily Commodity Report

Page 1

Daily Newsletter Newsletter-Commodity 08/07/2011

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MARKET WRAP Gold prices held just below $1,530 an ounce on Thursday European Central Bank lifts rates by 25 bps The euro pared losses against the dollar U.S. new jobless claims fell last week U.S. crude stocks down less than expected Zinc stocks at highest in 16 years Copper hits 3-month high, demand hopes boost Gold prices held just below $1,530 an ounce on Thursday after the European Central Bank signalled it would continue to raise rates and offered to help Portugal stay solvent. Brent futures surged nearly $4 on Thursday, lifted by a bigger-than-expected fall in U.S. weekly jobless claims and crude stock draws. Copper rose on Thursday to its highest in nearly three months as expectations of increasing demand from top consumer China and upbeat employment data from the United States.

ECONOMIC CALENDAR Date

Time

Currency

Economic Data

Forecast Previous

Fri Jul 8

11:30am

EUR

German Trade Balance

12:15pm

EUR

French Gov Budget Balance

1:30pm

EUR

Italian Industrial Production m/m

-0.2%

1.0%

6:00pm

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

88K

54K

6:00pm

USD

Unemployment Rate

9.1%

9.1%

6:00pm

USD

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

0.2%

0.3%

7:30pm

USD

Wholesale Inventories m/m

0.6%

0.8%

12.8B

12.0B -61.4B

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TECHNICAL VIEW GOLD(AUG) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

SILVER(SEP SEP) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

• R2 - 22550 • R1 - 22280

Resistance

• R2 - 55800 • R1 - 54750

support

• S1 - 21950 • S2 - 21670

support

• S1 - 53580 • S2 - 52300

COPPER(AUG)) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

CRUDE(JULY JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

• R2 - 447 • R1 - 439

Resistance

• R2 - 4485 • R1 - 4410

support

• S1 - 427 • S2 - 419

support

• S1 - 4270 • S2 - 4170

NATURALGAS(JULY JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

LEAD(JULY JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

•R2 - 197 •R1 - 189

Resistance

• R2 - 124.2 • R1 - 121.3

support

•S1 - 181 •S2 - 172

support

• S1 - 118.8 •S2 - 115.5

ZINC(JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

NICKEL(JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 110.5 •R1 - 107.3

Resistance

•R2 - 1115 •R1 - 1078

support

•S1 - 104.9 •S2 - 101.3

support

•S1 - 1034 •S2 - 1015

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ALUMINIUM(JULY JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 117.8 •R1 - 114.7

support

•S1 - 112.3 •S2 - 110.5

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