Daily Commodity Report

Page 1

Daily Newsletter Newsletter-Commodity 19/08/2011

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MARKET WRAP Gold rises to record amid fears on recession Oil fell $3 on Thursday as a raft of weak U.S. economic data U.S. crude down 13 percent in August Copper falls to one-week low Aluminium hitting its lowest level since late December Claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week Gold rallied 2 percent to new high above $1,820 an ounce on Thursday, after U.S. economic data pointed to a stalled economy, while renewed concern about the health of European banks brought safe-haven buying. Oil fell $3 on Thursday as a raft of weak U.S. economic data provided a fresh blow to shaky investor confidence and extended U.S. oil's losses to 13 percent so far in August. Copper fell on Thursday as disappointing U.S. macroeconomic data reinforced worries about an economic slowdown and prospects for growth and demand, with a stronger dollar also undermining sentiment.

ECONOMIC CALENDAR Date

Time

Currency

Economic Data

Forecast Previous

Fri 10:00am Aug 19 11:30am

JPY

All Industries Activity m/m

2.3%

2.0%

EUR

German PPI m/m

0.2%

0.1%

2:00pm

GBP

Public Sector Net Borrowing

0.4B

12.0B

6:00pm

USD

FOMC Member Dudley Speaks

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TECHNICAL VIEW GOLD(OCT) Trend Strategy

• Bullish • Buy on dips

SILVER(SEP SEP) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

• R2 - 27600 • R1 - 27280

Resistance

• R2 - 63500 • R1 - 62300

support

• S1 - 26880 • S2 - 26530

support

• S1 - 60250 • S2 - 59200

COPPER(AUG)) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

CRUDE(SEP SEP) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

• R2 - 417 • R1 - 408

Resistance

• R2 - 4035 • R1 - 3920

support

• S1 - 397 • S2 - 385

support

• S1 - 3750 • S2 - 3680

NATURALGAS(AUG AUG) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

LEAD(AUG AUG) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 195 •R1 - 187

Resistance

• R2 - 112.5 • R1 - 108.3

support

•S1 -175 •S2 -167

support

• S1 - 105.3 •S2 - 102.5

ZINC(AUG) Trend Strategy Resistance support

• Consolidate • Sell on high •R2 - 102.5 •R1 - 99.8 •S1 - 94.8 •S2 - 90.5

NICKEL(AUG) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 1033 •R1 - 997

support

•S1 - 938 •S2 - 905

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ALUMINIUM(AUG AUG) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 110.5 •R1 - 107.6

support

•S1 - 105.8 •S2 - 102.5

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