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Daily Newsletter Newsletter-Commodity 16/05/2011

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MARKET WRAP Oil rises in late short covering Silver finishes week down 1.5 pct Gold ends week flat, dollar rally triggers selling Copper finished firm on Friday, Stocks in LME warehouses rose 800 tonnes

Oil rose on Friday in late short-covering, ending the week higher after a volatile session whipsawed by European economic concerns and news Libyan leader Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi may have been wounded. Gold fell on Friday, sharply reversing early gains, as a dollar surge against the euro and renewed uncertainty about euro zone debt prompted investors to sell ahead of the weekend. Copper finished firm on Friday, reacting to upbeat data from the United States and Europe that helped restore some market confidence and economic recovery optimism.

ECONOMIC CALENDAR Date

Time

Currency

Economic Data

Mon May 16

1:30pm

EUR

Italian Trade Balance

2:30pm

EUR

2:30pm

Forecast Previous -2.29B

-3.63B

CPI y/y

2.8%

2.8%

EUR

Core CPI y/y

1.5%

1.3%

2:30pm

EUR

Trade Balance

1.7B

-2.4B

6:00pm

USD

20.7

21.7

6:30pm

USD

Empire State Manufacturing Index Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks

6:30pm

USD

TIC Long-Term Purchases

57.7B

26.9B

7:30pm

USD

NAHB Housing Market Index

17

16

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TECHNICAL VIEW GOLD(JUNE) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

SILVER(JULY JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

• R2 -22250 • R1 -22080

Resistance

• R2 - 56200 • R1 - 54850

support

• S1 -21720 • S2 -21450

support

• S1 - 52450 • S2 - 50700

COPPER(JUNE) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

CRUDE(MAY MAY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

• R2 - 415 • R1 - 407

Resistance

• R2 - 4590 • R1 - 4515

support

• S1 - 393 • S2 - 385

support

• S1 - 4390 • S2 - 4290

NATURALGAS(MAY)) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

LEAD(MAY MAY) Trend Strategy

• Bearish • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 206 •R1 - 197

Resistance

• R2 - 108.5 • R1 - 105.3

support

•S1 - 185 •S2 - 178

support

• S1 - 101.8 •S2 - 97.5

ZINC(MAY) Trend Strategy

• Bearish • Sell on high

NICKEL(MAY MAY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 101.5 •R1 - 98.9

Resistance

•R2 - 1164 •R1 - 1125

support

•S1 - 95.5 •S2 - 92.8

support

•S1 - 1083 •S2 - 1048

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ALUMINIUM(MAY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 119.5 •R1 - 117.4

support

•S1 - 115.1 •S2 - 112.5

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