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Daily Newsletter Newsletter-Commodity 31/05/2011

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MARKET WRAP The dollar hovered near a two-week low against a basket of currencies Gold steady on Greece debt fear Brent crude oil fell below $115 a barrel on Monday Silver rose as much as 1.3 percent to $38.36 Gold held steady on Monday, buoyed by the ongoing debt crisis in the euro zone, while silver trimmed gains as a hike in margins by the Shanghai Gold Exchange kept sentiment in check. Shanghai copper fell on Monday on technicals, European debt problems and uncertainty about the monetary policies of the United States and China, on track for a 1 percent loss in May.

ECONOMIC CALENDAR Date

Time

Currency

Economic Data

Forecast Previous

Tue 11:30am May 31 12:15pm

EUR

German Retail Sales m/m

1.7%

-2.7%

EUR

French Consumer Spending m/m

-0.3%

-0.7%

1:25pm

EUR

German Unemployment Change

-31K

-37K

1:30pm

EUR

8.3%

8.3%

2:30pm

EUR

Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate CPI Flash Estimate y/y

2.8%

2.8%

2:30pm

EUR

Unemployment Rate

9.9%

9.9%

2:30pm

EUR

Italian Prelim CPI m/m

0.2%

0.5%

6:30pm

USD

S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y

-3.5%

-3.3%

7:15pm

USD

Chicago PMI

64.2

67.6

7:30pm

USD

CB Consumer Confidence

66.2

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TECHNICAL VIEW GOLD(JUNE) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

SILVER(JULY JULY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

• R2 -22930 • R1 -22680

Resistance

• R2 - 59500 • R1 - 58450

support

• S1 - 22380 • S2 - 22050

support

• S1 - 56350 • S2 - 54900

COPPER(JUNE) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

CRUDE(JUNE)) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

• R2 - 431 • R1 - 423

Resistance

• R2 - 4710 • R1 - 4625

support

• S1 - 409 • S2 - 398

support

• S1 - 4510 • S2 - 4430

NATURALGAS(JUNE) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

LEAD(MAY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

•R2 - 217 •R1 - 209

Resistance

• R2 - 119.5 • R1 - 115.8

support

•S1 - 203 •S2 - 195

support

• S1 - 112.3 •S2 - 109.5

ZINC(MAY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

NICKEL(MAY MAY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 105.5 •R1 - 102.8

Resistance

•R2 - 1115 •R1 - 1067

support

•S1 - 99.2 •S2 - 96.5

support

•S1 - 1023 •S2 - 1005

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ALUMINIUM(MAY) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

•R2 - 121.5 •R1 - 119.3

support

•S1 - 116.7 •S2 - 113.5

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