Monthly Snapshot – Nifty 50
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CONTENTS Latest Updates Technical Analysis Moving average Fibonacci Retracement Pivot Point Daily & Weekly charts
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Latest Updates 30th Aug Tata Communications posted a net loss of Rs 215.4 crore for the quarter ended June 30, in its revised results.
24th Aug Mphasis has announced its third quarter results. The company's consolidated net profit was down 10% at Rs 195 crore versus Rs 217.3 crore, q/q period.
16th Aug IVRCL has reported a fall of 86% (YoY) in profits for the first quarter of FY12. During the period, net profit of the company declined to Rs 4 crore as against Rs 28.1 crore in the corresponding quarter last fiscal quarter-on-quarter.
13th Aug State Bank of India’s (SBI) first quarter net profit fell 45.7% y/y to Rs 1,584 crore, driven by increase in provisions. This profit was below market expectations.
Coal India's FY12 1st quarter profit soared 64% to Rs 4,143 crore. As it rode on higher coal prices, the company had raised prices in February by up to 30% for some industries to offset higher costs. During the period, sales grew 27% to Rs 14,500 crore.
Reliance Communications reported a sharper-than-forecast 37% fall in quarterly profit, its eighth straight quarter of profit drop as the country's No 2 mobile carrier by subscriber’s struggles with its bruising debt load.
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12th Aug Hindalco has announced its first quarter results. The company's Q1 net profit was up 21% at Rs 644 crore versus Rs 534 crore, year-on-year.
Jaiprakash profits
for
Associates has the
first
quarter
reported of
a
FY12.
fall During
of the
79.3%
(YoY)
period,
net
in profit
of the company declined to Rs 107 crore as against Rs 516 crore in the corresponding quarter last fiscal.
11th Aug Tata Motors has reported a net profit of Rs 1,999 crore in the first quarter of FY12 as against Rs 1,988 crore in the corresponding quarter last fiscal. Consolidated net sales increased 23.4% to Rs 33,392 crore from Rs 27,055 crore year-on-year.
Tata Power has reported a rise of 34% (YoY) in profits for the first quarter of FY12.
Net profit of Reliance Power increased to Rs 196 crore in first quarter of FY12 as against Rs 195 crore in the corresponding quarter last fiscal .
Reliance Infrastructure has reported a rise of 8% (YoY) in profits for the first quarter of FY12.
10th Aug Adani Enterprises has declared its first quarter results. The company's Q1 consolidated net profit was up 1% at Rs 570 crore versus Rs 565 crore y/y.
9th Aug Mahindra Satyam's first quarter FY12 consolidated net profit was at Rs 225 crore versus loss of Rs 327 crore quarter-on-quarter.
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8th Aug Larsen & Toubro has reported a 12% (Y-o-Y) growth, in its profits at Rs 746 crore for the April-June quarter of FY12. Sales of the engineering and construction giant grew 21% at Rs 9,778.7 crore on the back of healthy order book and superior execution of jobs.
Cipla has reported a fall of 1.6% (YoY) in profits for the first quarter of FY12. During the period, net profit of the company fell to Rs 253.3 crore as against Rs 257.4 crore in the corresponding quarter last fiscal.
5th Aug Ranbaxy Laboratories has announced its second quarter results. The company's Q2 net profit was down 25% at Rs 243 crore versus Rs 326 crore.
2nd Aug DLF, India's largest real estate company in terms of revenues has announced its first quarter results. The company's Q1 standalone net profit was down 55% at Rs 92.6 crore versus Rs 205 crore. Its standalone net sales were up 5.21% at Rs 686 crore versus Rs 652 crore.
Bharti Airtel, country's largest telecom operator, has reported a fall of more than 13% (QoQ) in profits for first quarter of FY12. During the period, consolidated net profit of the company declined to Rs 1,215 crore as against Rs 1400.7 crore in the previous quarter.
1st Aug Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services has reported a sales turnover of Rs 547.70 crore and a net profit of Rs 102.20 crore for the quarter ended Jun '11.
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TECHNICAL VIEW Moving averages Moving Averages
20 Day
50 Day
100 Day
200 Day
Daily Weekly
4979 5422
5328 5651
5420 5413
5558 4826
Fibonacci retracement levels (Weekly) SCRIPT
0.0%
23.6%
38.2%
50.0%
61.8%
100.0%
NIFTY
6338.50
4887.26
4438.97
3990.67
3436.03
2538.45
Weekly Pivot SCRIPT
R4
R3
R2
R1
P
S1
S2
S3
S4
Nifty
5911
5603
5295
5167
4987
4859
4679
4371
4063
Daily Pivot SCRIPT
R4
R3
R2
R1
P
S1
S2
S3
S4
Nifty
5409
5289
5169
5104
5049
4984
4929
4809
4689
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Daily & Weekly Chart of S&P Nifty Daily Analysis
On the daily chart of Nifty, In August series Nifty lost more than 500 pts and retraced to its 200 DMA (on weekly chart) and 38.2% of its rally from 2008 to 2011. Negative global cues on the back of contraction in U.S economic growth and European debt jittters played their role to further dampen the confidence of investors. FII were net outflow of Rs. 11,406.33 Cr while DII’s pumped in Rs. 8281.06 Cr. In the coming month, If Nifty sustains the level of 5000 and trades above it for most part of the coming week then can see some pullback from 23.6% retracement to 38.2% given if it breaks the level of 5200. The trading range for Nifty would be 5320 to 5150. On the other Side, If Nifty breaks the level of 4950 and trades below it then can further correct to 4670-4650 and then the trading range for Nifty would be 4650 – 4900 for the coming month.
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Weekly Analysis
If we look at a broader chart of Nifty, we can see it is working quite well with retracement of its rally started from 2540 (March 2009) to its peak at 6338 (Nov 2010). Nifty consolidated at the retracement level of 23.6% and after breaching it has came to the test the level of its 38.2% retracement which was near to its weekly 200 DMA. Nifty is in downtrend from last 8 months making lower tops & lower bottoms and Last week Nifty gave a closing below its crucial 200 weeks moving average and this week it has taken the support of its 200 weeks moving average and has shown a pull back from its retracement level of 38.2% on the back of positive global cues. Nifty also has breached its symmetrical triangle and is expected to slide down on a broader level but Nifty from this point would take support of 200 DMA & from this point Nifty would again come up to make lower top in order to continue its trend. If in coming weeks, it trades above the level of 5200 then it can target the level of 5400 & on the contrary, if Nifty breaches the level of 4900 then its trading range would be 4600 t0 4900. Happy Investing!!
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