Weekly Mcx Newsletter for Indian Commodity Market by CapitalHeight

Page 1

Weekly Newsletter MCX 27/07/2015

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Weekly MCX News Letter Contents Upcoming events Market Wrap Gold Silver Copper Crude Oil Technical Analysis Gold Silver Copper Crude Oil

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WEEKLY UPCOMING EVENTS

Date

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

USD

Core Durable Goods Orders m/m

0.004

0

USD

Durable Goods Orders m/m

0.032

-0.022

USD

CB Consumer Confidence

100.1

101.4

USD

Pending Home Sales m/m

0.012

0.009

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-

2.5M

USD

FOMC Statement

-

-

USD

Federal Funds Rate

<0.25%

<0.25%

USD

Advance GDP q/q

0.026

-0.002

USD

Unemployment Claims

264K

255K

USD

Advance GDP Price Index q/q

0.015

0

USD

Employment Cost Index q/q

0.006

0.007

USD

Chicago PMI

50.7

49.4

27-Jul

28-Jul

29-Jul

30-Jul

31-Jul

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MARKET WRAP GOLD Last week MCX Gold setteled lower 5th weeks consecutively ahead of tracking weak international market due to fear of interest rate hike in US, strong dollar index and better jobless claim data. MCX Gold tumbled more than 3% last week and settled at INR 24731 while COMEX gold closed at USD 1098.85 with 0.85% downside. For the coming week we can expect further bearish movment in MCX Gold if it manages to sustain below the level of 25100 then it can test the level of 24250-24000.

Weelky Pivot Levels COMMODITY GOLD

R3 26933

R2 25909

R1 25320

P 24885

S1 24296

S2 23861

S3 22837

Outlook Trend:

Consolidate

Resistance:

25320, 25900

Support:

24290, 23860

Strategy:

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SILVER Last week MCX Silver tracked the Gold prices in domestic market and international market due to interest rate hike in US and strong dollar index but lower prices increases the industrial demad of Silver in spot market. MCX Silver down by 1.5% last week and settled at INR 33702 while COMEX Silver closed at USD 14.68 with 0.2% upside. For the coming week we can expect bearish movment in MCX Silver if it sustains below the level of 33900 then it may test the level of 2425024000.

Weelky Pivot Levels

COMMODITY SILVER

R3

R2

R1

P

S1

S2

S3

36154

34991

34346

33828

33183

32665

31502

Outlook Trend:

Consolidate

Resistance:

34350, 35000

Support:

33100, 32670

Strategy:

Sell on highs www.capitalheight.com capitalheight.wordpress.com


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CRUDE OIL Last week Crude Oil witnessed mixed movement in initial part of the week but settled on negative note. Dollar strength along with unexpected increase in US crude stock along with better better forcast by World Bank also put pressure on Crude Oil prices.

MCX Crude Oil prices fell more than 3.4% last week and settled at INR 3098 while NYMEX Crude closed at USD 48.23 with 3.8% downside. For the coming week we can expect downside movment in MCX Crude Oil if it sustains below the level of 3130 then it may test the level of 3030-2960.

Weelky Pivot Levels

COMMODITY COPPER

R3 3564

R2 3359

R1 3228

P 3154

S1 3023

S2 2949

S3 2744

Outlook Trend:

Consolidate

Resistance:

3230, 3360

Support:

3020, 2950

Strategy:

Sell on highs

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COPPER Last week Copper prices dropped globally due to weaker-than-expected data from China and the euro zone raised concerns over global economic growth. Copper prices fell to its lowest in last six year. MCX Copper prices witnesses more than 3.3% downside movement last week and closed at INR 340.25 while COMEX Copper closed at USD 273.53 with 3.6% downside. For the coming week we can expect bearish movment in MCX Copper if it manages to sustain below the level of 350 then it may test the level of 330-315.

Weelky Pivot Levels

COMMODITY CRUDE OIL

R3 387

R2 365

R1 352

P 343

S1 331

S2 321

S3 300

Outlook Trend:

Consolidate

Resistance:

352, 365

Support:

331, 321

Strategy:

Sell on highs

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