Weekly Mcx Report for Indian Commodity Market by CapitalHeight

Page 1

Weekly Newsletter MCX 10/08/2015

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Weekly MCX News Letter Contents Upcoming events Market Wrap Gold Silver Copper Crude Oil Technical Analysis Gold Silver Copper Crude Oil

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WEEKLY UPCOMING EVENTS Date

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

USD

Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q

0.016

-0.031

USD

Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q

-0.001

0.067

USD

JOLTS Job Openings

5.42M

5.36M

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

USD

Core Retail Sales m/m

0.005

-0.001

USD

Retail Sales m/m

0.005

-0.003

USD

Unemployment Claims

272K

270K

USD

Import Prices m/m

-0.01

-0.001

USD

PPI m/m

0.001

0.004

USD

Core PPI m/m

0.001

0.003

USD

Capacity Utilization Rate

0.78

0.784

USD

Industrial Production m/m

0.003

0.003

USD

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

93.5

93.1

11-Aug

12-Aug -4.4M

13-Aug

14-Aug

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MARKET WRAP GOLD Gold is maintaining the bearish trend for both short term and intraday. Last week Gold edged up in Asian trade, but remained close to a five-year price low due to euro zone’s deal on Greece has reduced the chance of a messy default and nuclear deal with Iran.

MCX Gold were up by 0.33% last week and settled at INR 24895 while COMEX gold closed with 0.36% upside. In coming week we can expect bearish movment in Gold if it manages to sustain below the level of 25150 then it can test the level of 24500-24000.

Weelky Pivot Levels COMMODITY GOLD

R3 25608

R2 25234

R1 25064

P 25860

S1 24690

S2 24486

S3 24112

Outlook Trend:

Consolidate

Resistance:

25070, 25230

Support:

24690, 24480

Strategy:

Sell on highs

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SILVER Last week MCX Silver tracked slightly international market as lower prices increases the industrial demad of Silver in spot market. Euro zone’s deal on Greece and Neculear deal with Iran reduces the safe heaven appeal. MCX Silver were slightly up by 0.02% last week and settled at INR 34031 while COMEX Silver closed at USD 14.78 with 1.93% upside. For the coming week we can expect consolidated movment in MCX Silver and it may trade in range of 33000-34800.

Weelky Pivot Levels

COMMODITY SILVER

R3

R2

R1

P

S1

S2

S3

35935

34918

34474

33901

33457

32884

31867

Outlook Trend:

Consolidate

Resistance:

34470, 34920

Support:

33450, 32880

Strategy:

Sell on highs

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CRUDE OIL Last week Crude Oil

prices fell to new multi-month lows Wednesday after weekly

inventory data showed a small increase in U.S. crude production and President Barack Obama urged lawmakers to support the Iranian nuclear deal.

MCX Crude Oil prices fell by more than 7% last week and settled at INR 3038 while NYMEX Crude closed at USD 43.84 with 6.42% downside. For the coming week we can expect downside movment in MCX Crude Oil if it sustains below the level of 2950 then it may test the level of 2720-2550.

Weelky Pivot Levels

COMMODITY COPPER

R3 3331

R2 3111

R1 2967

P 2891

S1 2747

S2 2671

S3 2451

Outlook Trend:

Consolidate

Resistance:

2970, 3110

Support:

2750, 2670

Strategy:

Sell on highs

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COPPER Last week Copper and other base metals slipped on Wednesday as the dollar strengthened on expectations that U.S. authorities were close to hiking interest rates. Markets were pressured by the dollar index hitting a 3-1/2 month peak Wednesday.

MCX Copper prices witnesses more than 1.60% downside movement last week and closed at INR 335.40 while COMEX Copper closed at USD 234.23 with 1.15% downside. For the coming week we can expect bearish movment in MCX Copper if it manages to sustain below the level of 333 then it may test the level of 326-318.

Weelky Pivot Levels

COMMODITY CRUDE OIL

R3 349

R2 340

R1 335

P 331

S1 325

S2 321

S3 312

Outlook Trend:

Consolidate

Resistance:

335, 340

Support:

325, 321

Strategy:

Sell on highs

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