Daily Commodity Report

Page 1

Daily Newsletter-Commodity 07/10/2011

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MARKET WRAP Gold fell in choppy trade on Thursday ECB keeps rates on hold, Euro, stock markets tick higher Copper near 1-week high on US data U.S. jobless claims rose by less than expected last week Oil turns higher on ECB bank move Gold fell in choppy trade on Thursday after the European Central Bank held off flagging an imminent cut in interest rates, deflating an earlier rally in assets seen as higher risk, such as equities and the euro. Copper rose to its highest in nearly a week on Thursday as investors were reassured by U.S. data that hinted at an improvement in the labour market. Oil prices fell on Thursday after the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged, disappointing some expectations for a small cut and outweighing mildly positive U.S. jobs data.

ECONOMIC CALENDAR Date

Time

Currency

Economic Data

Forecast Previous

Fri Oct 7

12:15pm

EUR

French Gov Budget Balance

12:15pm

EUR

French Trade Balance

-6.3B

-6.5B

3:30pm

EUR

German Industrial Production m/m

-1.5%

4.0%

6:00pm

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

55K

0K

6:00pm

USD

Unemployment Rate

9.1%

9.1%

6:00pm

USD

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

0.2%

-0.1%

7:00pm

USD

FOMC Member Fisher Speaks

7:30pm

USD

Wholesale Inventories m/m

0.6%

0.8%

-86.6B

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TECHNICAL VIEW GOLD(DEC) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

SILVER(DEC) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

Resistance

• R2 - 26850 • R1 - 26580

Resistance

• R2 - 55850 • R1 - 53570

support

• S1 - 26050 • S2 - 25750

support

• S1 - 51150 • S2 - 48400

COPPER(NOV) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Buy on dips

CRUDE(OCT) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

• R2 - 372 • R1 - 363

Resistance

• R2 - 4125 • R1 - 4030

support

• S1 - 347 • S2 - 335

support

• S1 - 3890 • S2 - 3785

NATURALGAS(OCT) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

LEAD(OCT) Trend

Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 189 •R1 - 182

Resistance

• R2 - 99.5 • R1 - 96.7

support

•S1 -171 •S2 -165

support

• S1 - 93.8 •S2 - 90.5

ZINC(OCT) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

NICKEL(OCT) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 98.5 •R1 - 95.3

Resistance

•R2 - 997 •R1 - 963

support

•S1 - 90.5 •S2 - 88.2

support

•S1 - 905 •S2 - 863

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ALUMINIUM(OCT) Trend Strategy

• Consolidate • Sell on high

Resistance

•R2 - 111.5 •R1 - 109.3

support

•S1 - 106.8 •S2 - 104.5

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