July 2013 monthly sales trend broker

Page 1

Grand Strand Market Report July 2013 Single Family Residential Sales Grew 12.5% in July Single Family Residential (SFR) sales continued its strong first half performance as SFR sales volume is up 12.5% as compared to July 2012. Year-to-date (YTD), SFR sales are up 20.1% from 2012 levels. In addition to strong SFR sales, the median sales price of SFRs was $177,836, which is in line with full year performance. YTD, the median sales price is up 4.77% for the year. During July, the inventory of home for sales continued its seasonal decline, however levels are still up 4.54% from prior year levels. It is anticipated that after the seasonal peak in May, inventory will continue its seasonal decline for the balance of 2013. The inventory of distressed homes for sale continued to decline and is now 32.6% below its prior year level. For condos, the inventory continues its slow decline and the current inventory is down 8.43% from July 2012 and distressed inventory is sharply down 43.7% over the last year. During July, year over year condo sales improved 17.0%. The median sales price for condo is up 16.4% from last year. YTD, the median sales price of condos are up 2.6%. Residential lot sales are in line with 2012 performance, both in July and YTD total sales. The median sales price of residential lots is flat compared to June and the YTD sales price is up 26.0% from 2012.

Research powered by SiteTech Systems

Contents Active Inventory

2

SFR Inventory Trends

3

Condo Inventory Trends

4

Closed Sales – SFR

5

Avg. Sales Price – SFR

6

Median Sales Price – SFR

7

Median Sales Price – SFR (Distressed & Non-Distressed)

8

Median Sales Price – SFR (Cash & Conventional Transactions)

9

SFR Sales – (% Cash vs. % Conventional)

10

Sales to List Price Ratio – SFR

11

Closed Sales – Condo

12

Avg. Sales Price – Condo

13

Median Sales Price – Condo

14

Median Sales Price–Condo (Distressed & Non-Distressed)

15

Median Sales Price – Condo (Cash & Conventional Transactions)

16

Condo Sales – (% Cash vs. % Conventional)

17

Sales to List Price Ratio – Condo

18

Closed Sales – Residential Lot

19

Avg. Sales Price – Residential Lot

20

Median Sales Price – Residential Lot

21

Median Sales Price – Res. Lot (Non-Distressed)

22

Sold to List Price Ratio – Residential Lot

23

Distressed Inventory

24

Distressed Sales

25


Grand Strand Active Inventory Single Family Residential

Condo/Townhome # Listings

# Listings Horry Co.

Horry Co.

4,046

Georgetown Co. Total

3,777

Georgetown Co.

904

Residential Lot Horry Co.

390

Total

4,950

# Listings 1,599

Georgetown Co.

756 Total

4,167

2,355

Average List Price

$337,899

Average List Price

$185,118

Average List Price

$131,260

Median List Price

$230,000

Median List Price

$135,000

Median List Price

$60,000

Distribution by Price Range Horry Co.

G’town Co.

Less than $150k

1,035

90

Less than $100k

$150k - $250k

1,462

184

$250k - $500k

1,174

352

$500k - $1.0 MM $1 MM +

274 101

Horry Co.

G’town Co.

1,208

45

$100k - $150k

965

91

$150k - $200k

649

70

$200k - $400k

740

96

163 115

$400k -$750k

175

62

$750+

40

26

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

Horry Co.

G’town Co.

Less than $25k

355

73

$25k - $50k

499

93

$50k - $75k

228

89

$75k-100k

150

104

$100k-175k

158

147

$175k -250k

92

115

$250k+

117

135

2


Research performed by SiteTech Systems Jul-13

Jun-13

700

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

July 2011 847

Grand Strand SFR Distressed Inventory

1,000

July 2012 789

800

July 2013 532

600

500

3

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

5,000

Aug-12

Jun-12

July 2011 4,992

Jul-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug-11

5,200

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

Mar-11

Feb-11

Jan-11

Dec-10

Nov-10

Oct-10

Sep-10

Aug-10

July 2010 5,378

Jun-12

July 2010 750

Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12

Jan-11

Dec-10

Nov-10

Oct-10

Sep-10

Aug-10

900

Jul-10

5,400

Jul-10

Jun-10

May-10

5,600

Jun-10

May-10

Number of Distressed Listings

Number of Listings

Grand Strand SFR Inventory Trends Grand Strand SFR Inventory July 2013 4,950

July 2012 4,735

4,800

4,600

4,400

4,200

4,000


Research performed by SiteTech Systems 4

Jul-13

500

Jun-13

600

May-13

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

July 2012 4,509

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

800

Sep-12

July 2011 850

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

4,500

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug-11

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

Mar-11

Feb-11

Jan-11

Dec-10

Nov-10

5,000

Aug-11

900

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

Mar-11

Feb-11

Jan-11

Dec-10

Nov-10

Oct-10

Sep-10

5,500

Oct-10

1,000 Aug-10

Jul-10

Jun-10

May-10

Number of Listings 6,000

Sep-10

1,100

Aug-10

Jul-10

Jun-10

May-10

Number of Distressed Listings

Grand Strand Condo Inventory Trends Grand Strand Condo Inventory

July 2010 5,655 July 2011 5,014 July 2013 4,167

4,000

3,500

Grand Strand Condo Distressed Inventory

July 2010 981

July 2012 727

700

July 2013 423

400


Research performed by SiteTech Systems 5 Jul-13

500

Apr-13

550

Jan-13

Oct-12

2012

Jul-12

2,544

Apr-12

Jan-12

2011

Oct-11

2,141

Jul-11

458

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

2013

Jul-10

314

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

July

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

2012

Oct-08

407

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

2011

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

Jan-06

Number of SFR Sales

Closed Sales - SFR Year to Date 2,949

2013

Historical SFR Sales Activity July 2013 458

450

400

350

300

250

200

150

100


Average Sales Price - SFR July

Year to Date $226,314

$219,217 $218,301

$218,229

2012

2013

$223,687 $217,299

2011

2011

2012

2013

Historical SFR Average Sale Prices $350,000 $300,000

July 2013 $218,229

$250,000 $200,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

6

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

$150,000 Jan-06

Average Sales Price

$400,000


Median Sales Price - SFR Year to Date

July $177,836

$178,000

$174,000 $170,250

$171,080

2011

2012

$169,900

2013

2011

2012

2013

$250,000 $240,000 $230,000 $220,000 $210,000 $200,000 $190,000 $180,000 $170,000 $160,000 $150,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

7

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

July 2013 $177,836

Jan-06

Median Sales Prices

Historical SFR Median Sale Prices


Median Sales Price – SFR Distressed & Non-Distressed $220,000

$200,000

$180,000

Median Sales Price

$160,000

Distressed Sales Median Sales Price Non-Distressed Sales Median Sales Price

$140,000

$120,000

Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13

$100,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

8


Median Sales Price – SFR Cash & Conventional Transactions $195,000

$185,000

$175,000

$165,000

Median Sales Price Cash Median Sales Price

$155,000

Conventional Median Sales Price $145,000

$135,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug-11

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

$125,000

9


SFR Sales % Cash vs. % Conventional 80.0%

70.0%

60.0%

Cash % of Closed Sales

50.0%

Conventional % of Closed Sales 40.0%

30.0%

20.0%

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

10


Research performed by SiteTech Systems 11

Jul-13

85

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

2012

Jul-12

93%

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

2011

Jul-11

91%

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

89%

Apr-10

Jan-10

July

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

2012

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

2011

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

Jan-06

Sold to List Ratio

Sold to List Price Ratio - SFR Year to Date 93%

91%

88%

2013

2013

Historical SFR Sold to List Ratios

100

95

90

July 2013 93%

80


Research performed by SiteTech Systems 12

Jul-13

Apr-13

500

Jan-13

Oct-12

2012

Jul-12

365

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

2011

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

2013

Apr-10

Jan-10

July

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

2012

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

2011

Oct-07

283

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

Jan-06

Number of Sales

Closed Sales - Condo Year to Date 2,475

312 2,301

2,180

2013

Historical Condo Sales Activity

900

800

700

600

July 2013 365

400

300

200

100


Average Sales Price - Condo July

Year to Date $142,635

$140,993 $134,838

$135,956

$132,389

2011

2012

2011

2013

$134,970

2012

2013

Historical Condo Average Sale Prices $300,000 $250,000 $200,000

July 2013 $132,389

$150,000 $100,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

13

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

$50,000 Jan-06

Average Sales Price

$350,000


Median Sales Price - Condo July

Year to Date

$110,000

$110,000

$110,000 $107,000

$94,500

2011

$104,250

2012

2013

2011

2012

2013

$250,000 $230,000 $210,000 $190,000 $170,000 $150,000 $130,000 $110,000 $90,000 $70,000 $50,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

14

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

July 2013 $110,000

Jan-06

Median Sales Price

Historical Condo Median Sales Prices


Median Sales Price – Condo Distressed & Non-Distressed $150,000

$140,000

$130,000

$120,000

Median Sales Price

$110,000

Distressed Sales Median Sales Price

$100,000

Non-Distressed Sales Median Sales Price

$90,000

$80,000

$70,000

$60,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

15


Median Sales Price – Condo Cash & Conventional Transactions $180,000

$160,000

$140,000

Median Sales Price

$120,000

Cash Median Sales Price Conventional Median Sales Price

$100,000

$80,000

$60,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

16


Condo Sales % Cash vs. % Conventional 80.0%

70.0%

60.0%

50.0%

Cash % of Closed Sales

40.0%

Conventional % of Closed Sales

30.0%

20.0%

10.0%

0.0%

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

17


Research performed by SiteTech Systems 18

Jul-13

95

Apr-13

100

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

2012

Apr-12

2011

Jan-12

95%

Oct-11

88%

Jul-11

86%

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

2013

Apr-10

88%

Jan-10

July

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

2012

Oct-07

Jul-07

2011

Apr-07

86%

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

Jan-06

Sold to List Ratio

Sold to List Price Ratio - Condo Year to Date

94%

2013

Historical Condo Sold to List Ratio July 2013 95%

90

85

80

75


Research performed by SiteTech Systems

150

19

Jul-13

200

Apr-13

2013

Jan-13

2012

Oct-12

389 642

Jul-12

73

638

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

2011

Apr-11

86

Jan-11

Oct-10

2013

Jul-10

56

Apr-10

Jan-10

July

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

2012

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

2011

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

Jan-06

Number of sales

Closed Sales – Residential Lot Year to Date

Historical Residential Lot Sales Activity

300

250

July 2013 86

100

50

0


Average Sales Price – Residential Lot July

Year to Date $116,911 $71,879

$84,456

$70,447

$53,871

$68,660

2011

2012

2013

2011

2012

2013

Historical Residential Lot Average Sale Prices $250,000 $200,000 July 2013 $84,456

$150,000 $100,000 $50,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

20

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

$0 Jan-06

Average Sales Prices

$300,000


Median Sales Price – Residential Lot July

Year to Date $40,000

$36,000

$31,750

$59,000 $46,500 $30,750

2011

2012

2011

2013

2012

2013

$140,000 $120,000 $100,000 $80,000 $60,000 $40,000 $20,000 $0

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

21

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

July 2013 $46,500

Jan-06

Median Sales Prices

Historical Residential Lot Median Sale Prices


Median Sales Price – Res. Lot (Non-Distressed) July

Year to Date

$61,000

$50,000

$50,000

2011

2012

2013

$51,000

$38,000

2011

$50,000

2012

2013

Historical Residential Lot Median Sale Prices (Non-Distressed) July 2013 $51,000

$80,000 $60,000 $40,000 $20,000

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

22

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug-11

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

Mar-11

Feb-11

$Jan-11

Median Sales Prices

$100,000


Sold to List Price Ratio – Residential Lot July

Year to Date 79%

95%

79%

82%

73% 70%

2011

2012

2013

2011

2012

2013

Historical Residential Lot Sold to List Ratios July 2013 95%

90 80 70 60 50

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

23

Jul-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Oct-12

Jul-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Oct-10

Jul-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Oct-09

Jul-09

Apr-09

Jan-09

Oct-08

Jul-08

Apr-08

Jan-08

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

40 Jan-06

Sold to List Ratios

100


Grand Strand Distressed Inventory Single Family Residential

Condo/Townhome

# Listings

Residential Lot # Listings

# Listings

Horry Co.

454

Horry Co.

393

Horry Co.

179

Georgetown Co.

78

Georgetown Co.

30

Georgetown Co.

70

Total

Total

532

Total

423

249

Average List Price

$194,538

Average List Price

$121,966

Average List Price

$65,450

Median List Price

$144,900

Median List Price

$95,000

Median List Price

$30,000

Distribution by Price Range Horry Co.

G’town Co.

Less than $150k

259

29

$150k - $250k

121

23

$250k - $500k

55

18

$500k - $1.0 MM

18

8

$1 MM +

1

-

Horry Co.

G’town Co.

Less than $100k

220

10

$100k - $150k

77

7

$150k - $200k

44

6

$200k - $400k

45

5

$400k -$750k

7

2

$750+

-

-

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

Horry Co.

G’town Co.

Less than $25k

75

21

$25k - $50k

56

15

$50k - $75k

19

8

$75k-100k

6

11

$100k-175k

10

9

$175k -250K

6

5

$250K +

7

1 24


Distressed Sales SFR

Total

12Jul

Sept

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

12Jul

13Jul

Condo

Sep

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

13Jul

% Total Sales 29 29 29 23

25 25

27 28

24

26

17

12Jul

Sept

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

13Jul

12Jul

Sep

Research performed by SiteTech Systems

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

15

17

13Jul

25


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