CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence Description: "With increasing importance of energy reservation, there has been a rapid development in Chinese biomass energy market in the past few years. And evidence is mounting that biomass energy industry in China will enjoy promising prospect in the long run. At present, technology bottlenecks and insufficient grain feedstock supply are two major obstacles for development of biomass energy products, including liquid biofuel, biopower generation, solid biofuel and biomass gas. Rapid economic development of China would drive the demand for energy to rise continuously. However, since fossil fuel has already been in short supply, China would vigorously promote the development of biomass energy industry instead. Besides, China boasts abundant biomass resources such as rice/wheat straw, corn cob, etc., which would further advance China’s motivation in this field. To facilitate the sustainable and sound development of biomass energy industry, Chinese government released a series of policies to set medium and long target for each biomass energy product and provide fiscal subsidy for some important products. To figure out the current situation and prospect of biomass energy and the limitations for future development in China, the report covers the information on feedstock and their production situation, marketing channels, consumption situation, and future forecast etc. Among them, the feedstock supply and current technology of each biomass energy product are especially given an insightful analysis. Besides, CCM provides you an insightful analysis on other following questions: - What is the situation of raw material supply and its influence on biomass energy production in China? - Who are key active and potential players in China's biomass energy industry? - What are the key factors affecting each Chinese biomass energy product? - What is the competition situation in Chinese biomass energy industry? - What is the trend of each Chinese biomass energy product in the near future? - How about the policies and incentive for biomass energy industry in China? - Where are the opportunities in the Chinese biomass energy industry? Main content: No.
Content
Page
Executive summary
1
Methodology and source
2
I
Overview of biomass energy market in China
5
I-1
Position of China’s biomass energy market in the world
5
I-2
Classification and characteristics of biomass energy in China
7
I-3
Development environment of China’s biomass market
7
I-4
Overview of biomass energy development
8
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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence I-5
Overview of biomass energy utilization
9
II
Liquid biofuel market
10
II-1
Summary of China’s liquid biofuel market
10
II-2
Feedstock supply
11
II-2.1
For fuel ethanol
13
II-2.2
For biodiesel
31
II-2.3
For others
34
II-2.4
Supply discussion
35
II-3
Production situation by products
37
II-3.1
Fuel ethanol
37
II-3.2
Biodiesel
45
II-3.3
Others
49
II-4
Marketing channels of liquid biofuel in China
50
II-5
Consumption situation
51
II-6
Forecast on China’s liquid biofuel market (2010~2015)
52
III
Bio-power generation market
54
III-1
Summary of China’s bio-power market
54
III-2
Feedstock supply
54
III-2.1
Straw-fired power generation
54
III-2.2
Bio-gasification power generation
58
III-2.3
Biomass co-firing power generation
60
III-2.4
Methane power generation
60
III-2.5
Refuse incineration power generation
62
III-3
Technology
62
III-3.1
Direct-fired bio-power
62
III-3.2
Bio-gasification power generation
63
III-3.3
Biomass co-firing power generation
65
III-3.4
Refuse incineration power generation
66
III-4
Achievements
67
III-4.1
Installed capacity, on-grid generation and distribution
67
III-4.2
Market value for bio-power in China in 2008
69
III-5
Limitations for bio-power generation in China
70
III-5.1
Limitation of raw material supply
70
III-5.2
Limitation of technology and equipment
71
III-5.3
Limitation of feed-in tariff policy for biomass
72
III-6
Forecast on China’s bio-power generation market (2010~2015)
72
IV
Solid biofuel market
74
IV-1
Summary of solid biofuel market in China
74
IV-2
Feedstock availability
74
IV-3
Achievements
75
IV-4
Limitations of solid biofuel utilization in China
76
IV-4.1
Limitations in existing equipments
76
IV-4.2
Limitations in existing bio- briquetting manufacturers
77
IV-4.3
Limitations in investment and financing
77
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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence IV-5
Forecast on China’s solid biofuel market (2010~2015)
78
V
Biomass gas market
79
V-1
Summary of biomass gas market in China
79
V-2
Feedstock availability
79
V-3
Achievements
80
V-4
Limitations of China’s biomass gas market
84
V-5
Forecast on China’s biomass gas market (2010~2015)
84
VI
Policy and incentive for biomass industry in China
85
VI-1
Main policies and incentives for biomass energy
85
VI-1.1
Laws and plans for bioenergy
85
VI-1.2
Direct bioenergy policies and incentives
87
VI-2
Analysis of bioenergy policy and incentive
88
VII
Introduction to key players
92
VII-1
Company profile
92
VII-1.1
Fuel ethanol producers
92
VII-1.1.1
Henan Tianguan Group Co., Ltd.
92
…
…
0
VII-1.1.6
Sichuan Yangming Energy Technology CO., Ltd.
98
VII-1.2
Biodiesel producers
100
VII-1.2.1
Sichuan Gushan Group
100
…
…
VII-1.2.12
Shandong Linqing Xinghua Oil Co., Ltd.
109
VII-1.2.13
China Biofuel International Holding Co., Ltd.
110
0
VII-1.3
Biopower generation
111
VII-1.3.1
National Bio Energy Co., Ltd. (NBE)
111
…
…
VII-1.3.3
Wuhan Kaidi Electic Power Co., Ltd. (Kaidi)
114
VII-2
Competitiveness analysis
116
VII-3
Potential competitors
119
VIII
Conclusion and opportunity
121
VIII-1
Conclusion
121
VIII-1.1
Liquid biofuel
121
VIII-1.2
Biomass power generation
122
VIII-1.3
Solid biofuel
122
VIII-1.4
Biogas and biomass hydrogen
123
VIII-2
Opportunities
123
VIII-2.1
Liquid biofuel
123
VIII-2.2
Biomass distributed power generation system
123
VIII-2.3
Biomass heat supply
124
VIII-2.4
Circular economy model
124
0
Executive summary: China has a long history of shortage of fossil fuel and import of petroleum with large quantities. For example, xx million tonnes of petroleum were imported in 2009, accounting for xx% of the total Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606
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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence consumption. This has underlined the urgency for China to develop substitutes for fossil fuel, and abundant resources have made it possible for China to develop biomass energy products. China has released a series of policies to promote biomass energy industry development in recent years, and set long-term plans for each biomass energy products: China’s fuel ethanol capacity will reach xx million tonnes and biodiesel capacity will reach xx million tonnes in 2020. Simultaneously, installed capacity of biopower generation will reach xxMW, and China will achieve xx billion cubic meters biogas and xx million tonnes solid biofuels by then. Chinese ambitious plan has driven fast development of biomass energy industry. Among all biomass energy products, fuel ethanol has developed best in China with strong support from the government. Since fuel ethanol only takes up less than 1% of the total oil fuel consumption, it has huge development potential. However, each product of biomass energy industry has faced bottlenecks. For instance, after government enacted regulations to restrict corn use in fuel ethanol production, future development of biomass energy industry is hampered by immature technology of second-generation fuel ethanol, limited planting area and low yield of non-grain feedstock. At present, grain feedstock including corn and wheat are major raw materials of fuel ethanol. But non-grain feedstock such as cassava, sweet potato will replace grain feedstock to be major raw materials before the commercial production of second-generation fuel ethanol. As for the raw materials of biodiesel, China is actively exploring energy crops to replace insufficient waste oil. Regarding other biomass energy products, livestock manure and straw are major raw materials for biogas and biopower generation respectively now. The current technology adopting corn, wheat and cassava producing fuel ethanol and using waste oil producing biodiesel is mature. What the institutes and researchers concern for is the immature technology of second generation biofuels. Moreover, how to reduce cost of biopower generation, solid biofuels and biogas is also a worry. Although each biomass energy product faces bottlenecks now, the future prospect of biomass energy will be bright in China after the immature technology is improved and the problem of raw materials shortage is resolved. Character of CCM' Report: The aim of this report is to provide powerful assistance to the strategy group and the management team in making correct decision as how to penetrate the ever-increasing China market and how to catch the maximum commercial opportunities. The report is formulated independently by CCM’s professional market researchers, based on the first-hand and primary data which are analyzed by scientific methodology, confirmed with both manufacturers/end users/traders and legal authorities, and presented in a logic way. Sample pages
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I Overview of biomass energy market in China I-1 Position of China’s biomass energy market in the world
…… Now, China is the third largest producer of fuel ethanol, but has fallen far behind other countries in development of other biomass energy products. ¾
Fuel ethanol
It is estimated that the output of fuel ethanol in China only accounted for 0000% of the world total 0000 million in 2009. Table I-1.1 Top fuel ethanol production countries in the world Country
Output (tonnes, 2009)
Raw materials
Legal standard
US
000000
000000
E10
Brazil
000000
Sugar cane
000000
China
1,620,000
000000
000000
Canada
000000
000000
000000
Germany
000000
Wheat, sugar beet
000000
French
868,000
000000
E5, E10
Source: CCM International
II-2 Feedstock supply II-2.1 For fuel ethanol ¾
Cassava
…… Compared with other raw materials, cassava is a more preferable raw material to produce alcohol. Table II-2.1.5 Economic benefit comparison of alcohols production using different raw materials in China, 2009 Item
Cassava
Sugarcane
Corn
Wheat
Sweet potato
000000
000000
000000
331.87
000000
7
000000
000000
000000
8.7
Cost of RM(USD/t)
000000
834.60
000000
000000
000000
Process cost(USD/t)
000000
000000
000000
000000
000000
Cost of producing alcohol(USD/t)
000000
000000
000000
000000
754.06
Price of alcohol(USD/t)
000000
000000
761.35
000000
000000
Profit(USD/t)
182.99
000000
000000
000000
000000
Price of RM(USD/t) Unit consumption(tonne)
Source: CCM International
¾
Other potential non-grain feedstock
Besides raw materials mentioned above, sugar cane, sweet grass, sweet sorghum may be choices to produce fuel ethanol as non-grain feedstock. Table II-2.1.9 General information of other potential non-grain feedstock for fuel ethanol production in China Raw material
Planting area
Unit consumption
(ha. 2008)
(t/t)
Main applications
Future prospect in fuel ethanol
Sugar cane
000000
000000
Sweet
000000
16
000000 Sugar
sorghum
000000 slab,
brown
000000
powdered sugar and white granulated sugar
Sweet grass
N/A
000000
000000
Basically not used
Source: CCM International
¾
Other potential energy crops
Besides jatropha curcas, yellow tree, swida wilsoniana, xanthoceras sorbifolia will be potential energy crops to produce biodiesel in the future in China. Table II-2.2.2 Other potential energy crops for biodiesel in China Raw material
Potential planting
Distribution
area (ha.) Xanthoceras
000000
000000
000000
Shaanxi,
Unit yield
Potential capacity
Production cycle
(tonne/ha.)
(t/a)
(year)
4.5~9.0
000000
000000
000000
000000
sorbifolia Swida wilsoniana
Shanxi,
000000
Hubei, Henan Yellow tree
300,000
000000
000000
900,000
000000
Source: CCM International
II-3 Production situation by products II-3.1 Fuel ethanol ¾
Production
With the largest output in all biofuels, China’s fuel ethanol industry witnessed fast development in past few years. By the end of 2009, the capacity of fuel ethanol is ……
Figure II-3.1.1 Output and growth rate of fuel ethanol in China, 2003-2009 1,800,000
24%
1,600,000
19%
1,400,000 14% 1,200,000 9%
1,000,000
4%
800,000 600,000
-1% 2003
2004
2005
2006
Output (tonne)
2007
2008
2009
Grow th rate
Source: CCM International
¾
Manufacturers
By the end of 2009, only seven active manufacturers are involved in fuel ethanol production in China, five of which are national designated production bases. Table II-3.1.1 Basic information of key fuel ethanol manufacturers in China, 2009 No.
Name
Abbreviation
Ownership
Raw materials
Capacity ’09 (t/a)
Output ’09 (tonne)
1
0000000
0000000
2
0000000
Jilin
Fuel
0000000
0000000
600,000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
0000000
Alcohol 3
0000000
0000000
0000000
Corn
440,000
0000000
4
0000000
0000000
State-owned
0000000
0000000
180,000
5
0000000
0000000
0000000
Cassava
0000000
0000000
6
Sichuan Yangming Energy
0000000
0000000
Sweet potato
50,000
0000000
0000000
Private
0000000
0000000
1,500
-
-
-
0000000
0000000
Technology CO., Ltd. 7
0000000 Total Source: CCM International
III-2 Feedstock supply III-2.1 Straw-fired power generation The straw-fired power generation needs large quantities of straw resource, and only large-scale utilization can create obvious economic returns…… Cost analysis of collection, transport and storage of straw
Table III-2.1.6 Trend comparison of bio-power cost Item
Unit
25 MW straw-fired Before
6 MW bio-gasification
After 2006
2005
Before
After 2006
2005
Generating capacity
kW
25,000
00000
00000
6,000
Running time
h/Y
00000
6,500
00000
00000
%
00000
00000
00000
8
Electricity for sales
Million kWh/Y
146.25
00000
00000
00000
Biomass consumption
Kg(dry)/kWh
00000
00000
1.25
00000
%
00000
15
00000
00000
Raw material price
USD/t
00000
43.92
00000
00000
Raw material consumption
t/Year
00000
00000
00000
00000
5.58
00000
00000
2.27
IURE
Moisture content
Raw material cost
Million USD/Y
Salary
USD/Y
00000
00000
00000
00000
Operation cost
USD/Y
00000
1,420,205
292,826
00000
Million USD/Y
00000
00000
00000
2.95
USD/kWh
00000
0.0747
00000
00000
Total cost Electricity selling price
Note: IURE, Internal use rate of electricity Source: GIEC/CCM International
IV Solid biofuel market IV-3 Achievements Table IV-3.3 Main manufacturer and index of screw extrusion machine No.
Manufacturer/Research institute
Machine type
Efficiency (kg/h)
1
00000
00000
120~150
2
Shaanxi Wugong Light-Industry Machinery Factory
00000
00000
3
00000
JX-11
00000
4
00000
00000
120~140
5
Planning and Design Institute of Ministry of Agriculture
00000
00000
6
00000
ZBJ-11
00000
Source: GIEC/CCM International
VII-2 Competitiveness analysis 他
Fuel ethanol
Large state-owned companies, such as COFCO, CNPC and Sinopec Corp., control the whole fuel ethanol industrial chain in China. COFCO has three subsidiaries for fuel ethanol production, and CNPC has two subsidiaries.
Table VII-2.1 Comparison of the 3 state-owned ethanol producers in China, 2009 Company
Subsidiary
name 00000
COFCO
Raw
Capacity ’09
material
(t/a)
Corn
00000
Current situation
Strategy for fuel ethanol
Major producer and the largest
COFCO plans to take up 60% fuel ethanol
shareholder of fuel ethanol
capacity in China by 2010, mainly using cassava from00000
Zhaodong
00000
00000
00000
00000
200,000
Wholly owned by COFCO. The
COFCO 00000
only fuel ethanol producer using cassava as raw material. 00000
CNPC
00000
600,000
00000
00000
00000
CNPC is the largest shareholder. It
00000
Henan
commercial Jilin
Fuel
Tianguan
to
develop
production
of
second-generation fuel ethanol.
is the second largest fuel ethanol
Alcohol
producer in China. Sinopec Corp.
N/A
N/A
00000
00000plans to establish fuel ethanol production line in Central China, using sweet potato as material.
Source: CCM International