CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606
Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
CCM Data & Primary Intelligence Description: China, with plenty of field and great demand for crops, has great potential in GM crops. Stimulated by safety certificates issuing of GM rice, key grain crop in Asia, GM technology and GM crops have attracted unprecedented attention of China and the world. By interviewing researchers, governmental officers and citizens, CCM tries to find out whether GM rice will come into commercial production in the near future and what is the future for Chinese GM crops industry. To figure out future trend of GM crops, especially GM rice in China, CCM will carry out deep investigation in this research in order to: - Help clients understand Chinese GM crops industry - Find out influencing factors for GM crops development - Analyze competitive landscape of Chinese and multinational GM crops producers - Assess market risks and identify business opportunities - Find out GM crop prospect
Main content: No.
Content
Page
Executive summary
1
Introduction and Methodology
2
I
History of GM crops in China, 1996~2008
4
II
Current situation of GM crops in China
8
II-1
China’s status in global GM crops' market
8
II-2
Situation of GM crops in China
9
II-3
MNCs’ activities in GM crops industry in China
11
II-4
Research of GM crops in China
12
II-5
Problem of GM crops in China
14
III
Future Prospect of GM Crops in China, 2010~2014
17
III-1
Influencing factors
17
III-1.1
Governmental policies
17
III-1.2
Researchers' attitudes
20
III-1.3
Public attitudes towards GM crops
22
III-1.4
MNCs’ promotion
25
III-1.5
Environmental protection
25
III-1.6
International public opinion
25
Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606
Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
CCM Data & Primary Intelligence III-1.7
Grain supply risk
26
III-2
Future Perspective of GM Crops in China
26
IV
Risk and opportunity
29
Executive summary: China, as one of countries to have first commercially produced GM crops in the world, has been paying close attention to GM crops research and development. With commercial production of six kinds of GM crops, including varieties of cotton, tomato, poplar, morning glory, antivirus pawpaw and pimiento, China has become the sixth biggest GM crops planter in the world in 2009 with harvested area of XX million hectares. Stimulated by safety certificates promulgation of GM rice, key grain crop in Asia, GM technology and GM crops have attracted unprecedented attention both at home and abroad. The commercial production of GM rice in the future is mainly influenced by the following factors: - Governmental policies and support - Researchers' attitudes - Civil attitude towards GM crops - MNCs’ promotion - Environmental protection - International public opinion - Grain supply risk CCM thinks it is probable that China will commercially produce GM rice in the following XX years. Meanwhile, GM soybean, edible corn and rapeseed are likely to receive safety certificates within XX years. Some cash crops may also have chances too. China’s GM crops market enjoys stronger opportunity than risk.
Character of CCM' Report: The aim of this report is to provide powerful assistance to the strategy group and the management team in making correct decision as how to penetrate the ever-increasing China market and how to catch the maximum commercial opportunities. The report is formulated independently by CCM’s professional market researchers, based on the first-hand and primary data which are analyzed by scientific methodology, confirmed with both manufacturers/end users/traders and legal authorities, and presented in a logic way.
Sample pages：
Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606
Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
II Current situation of GM crops in China II-2 Situation of GM crops in China At present, there are over 100 kinds of GM biospecies under research and exploitation, including above 200 kinds of animals, plants and microorganism genes. And some of them can be commercially produced. Table II-2.1 Major Bt cotton seed producers, 2009 No.
Name
Abr.
Brand
Remark
1
XX
XX
XX
XX
2
XX
XX
XX
XX
3
XX
XX
XX
XX
4
XX
XX
XX
XX
5
XX
XX
XX
XX
6
XX
XX
XX
XX
7
XX
XX
XX
XX
8
XX
XX
XX
XX
9
XX
XX
XX
XX
10
XX
XX
XX
XX
11
XX
XX
XX
XX
12
XX
XX
XX
XX
Source: CCM international
III Future Prospect of GM Crops in China, 2010~2014 III-1 Influencing factors CCM interviews 26 researchers and governmental officers to figure out the importance of each influencing factor on GM crop. And ‘governmental policies’, ‘public attitude towards GM crops’ and ‘researchers' attitudes’ are the most important. Table III-1.1 Interviewees’ attitudes towards the importance of influencing factors on GM crops Influence factors
5*
4*
3*
2*
1*
Average score
Governmental policies
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
Researchers' attitudes
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
Pubilc attitudes towards GM crops
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
MNCs’ promotion
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
Environmental protection
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
International public opinion
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
Grain supply risk
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
Source: CCM international *Remark: 5-Very important, 4-Relatively important, 3-Commonly important, 2-Not important, 1-Negligible
III-1.1 Governmental policies Chinese government support GM organism (GMO) research and expect to commercially produce some GM crops under effective management. Strengthening biotechnology development is a strategic decision for Chinese government. The ‘No 1 central document (2010)’ expresses that China will pay close attention to exploit functional genes and new biological diversities with important application value and proprietary intellectual property rights. In addition, China will promote commercially production of new GM crops under the condition of scientific assessment and management. In addition, new GM biology breeding is one of the 16 key technology special projects of National Guideline on Medium- and Long-Term Program for Science and Technology Development (2006-2020). III-2 Future Perspective of GM Crops in China It is probable that China will first commercially produce GM rice in 3~5 years. Government, researchers and MNCs are the main bodies to support GM crops’ commercial production in China. In addition, grain supply risk and environmental protection are also driving forces for GM crops’ commercial production. On the contrary, only citizens’ and international public opinions will prevent GM crops’ commercial production, obviously, their strength is weak.