Future of starches in China

Page 1

CCM Data & Primary Intelligence

Future of Starches in China The First Edition

Researched & Prepared by:

Guangzhou CCM Information Science and Technology Co., Ltd Guangzhou, P. R. China

2010

Copyright by Guangzhou CCM Information Science and Technology Co., Ltd (P. R. China) Any publication, distribution or copying of the content in this report is prohibited. Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761-6606 Fax: +86-20-3876-6968 Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com

Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606

Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Fax: +86-20-3761 6968


CCM Data & Primary Intelligence Description: China's output of starch, including native and modified starch, is the second largest in the world. Major varieties of native starch include corn starch, potato starch, cassava starch and wheat starch, while that of modified starch include corn modified starch, potato modified starch and cassava modified starch. China's starch output has kept growing rapidly with CAGR of about 17.00% since 2001, which reached 17.10 million tonnes in 2008. It is predicted that China’s starch output will increase stably to 25.47 million tonnes in 2020. What is the position of Chinese starch industry in the world? Why do Chinese starch industry develop so fast? Which products will witness promising prospect in the future? China is the second largest native starch consumption country in the world, with total consumption value of USD6.10 billion in 2008, of which USD700.00 million was contributed by modified starch consumption. With various characteristics and functions, modified starch is widely applied in industries such as papermaking, food processing and textile in China. As for price, China's starch price is mainly influenced by raw material price, supply & demand situation and technology innovation. How are such factors affecting China’s starch industry? You will find answers in the report. Raw material cost constitutes the major proportion in starch manufacturing cost. In China, production cost of cassava starch is lower than that of corn starch, with USD333.16/t and respectively. However, native cassava starch only accounts for 3.13% share in domestic native starch market. In the USD340.34/t for corn starch, the cost of corn was USD308.01/t, accounting for 90.56% of the total cost, what cause this situation? In recent two years, Chinese starch supply has surpassed domestic demand. As for international trade, export of native starch is increasing, while import is decreasing. But the situation is different for modified starches. Which kinds of native starch and modified starch have sufficient supply and which kinds are in demand? Starch production technology mainly includes dry method and wet method, and wet method is widely adopted in recent years. However, it causes serious pollution like large volume of waste water. Has any technology innovation achieved in recent years? What is covered in this report - An overview for current market of corn starch, cassava starch, potato starch and wheat starch, as well as starch derivatives in China, with focus on statistics of capacity, output, import & export, supply & demand, major manufactures, future trend, etc. - Outlook for starch raw material supply & demand - Balance in starch industry, from raw materials to end use markets/products - Competitiveness of Chinese starch and fermentation products in domestic and export markets, and impact of raw material supply on starch industry - Foreign investment in China’s starch industry

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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence - Future development trend of China’s starch industry What can you benefit from the report? From this report, you can obtain the latest info on China’s and the world’s starch industry, thus obtaining business intelligence before involving in the competition and grasping commercial opportunities. Besides, you can also know your competitors and their activities in China. A clear picture for competitive landscape of China’s starch industry is provided. With the in-depth analysis on drivers and barriers of starch development, you may find out where China’s starch market will go next.

Main content: No. Content

Page

Executive summary

1

Methodology, source and definition

3

I

Introduction to native starch and modified starch

5

I-1

Classification and introduction of/to native starch and modified starch

5

I-2

Introduction to starch in the world

7

I-3

Overview of China’s starch industry

8

II

Governmental policies

10

II-1

Governmental policies on feedstock

10

II-2

Financial and tax policies

11

II-3

Environmental regulations

12

II-4

Industry standard

15

III

Native starch production in China

16

III-1

Characteristic of native starch production in China

16

III-2

Introduction to raw materials for native starch production

19

III-2.1

Corn

19

III-2.1.1

Overview of corn supply, consumption

19

III-2.1.2

Principal local market quotations and trade prices

21

III-2.1.3

Corn products

23

III-2.1.4

Mass balance of corn and corn products

25

III-2.2

Cassava

27

III-2.3

Potatoes

30

III-2.4

Others

34

III-2.4.1

Wheat

34

III-2.4.2

Sweet potato

38

III-3

Corn starch

40

III-3.1

Output and capacity development

40

III-3.2

Key players

41

III-3.3

Principal local quotations and trade prices

50

III-3.4

Manufacturing cost structure

51

III-3.5

Investment discussion

52

III-4

Cassava starch

53

III-5

Potato starch

58

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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence III-6

Wheat starch

65

III-7

Other native starch

69

III-7.1

Sweet potato starch

69

III-8

Forecast on production to next 5-10 years

72

IV

Starch derivatives in China

76

IV-1

Modified starch in China

76

IV-1.1

Modified starch production

76

Production and capacity development

76

Producers of modified starch

79

Price change of modified starch

85

Technology brief and manufacturing cost structure

86

IV-1.2

Consumption of modified starch

88

IV-1.3

Forecast on modified starch to next 5~10 years

89

IV-2

Ethanol

91

IV-2.1

Fuel ethanol

91

IV-2.2

Edible ethanol

95

IV-3

Organic acids

97

IV-3.1

Citric acid

97

IV-3.2

Lactic acid

100

IV-4

Amino acids (lysine, MSG, etc.)

106

IV-4.1

Lysince

106

IV-4.2

MSG (Monosodium Glutamine)

109

IV-5

Vitamins

114

IV-5.1

Vitamin C

114

IV-5.2

Vitamin B

119

IV-6

Starch sugar

123

IV-6.1

Glucose

123

IV-6.2

Malt syrup

126

IV-6.3

Maltodextrin

129

IV-6.4

HFCS

132

IV-7

Sugar alcohols

134

IV-7.1

Sorbitol

134

IV-7.2

Mannit

140

IV-7.3

Maltitol

142

IV-8

Enzyme preparations

144

IV-8.1

Îą-Amylase

144

IV-8.2

Gluco-amylase

149

IV-8.3

Lipase

153

IV-8.4

Pectinase

157

IV-9

Anti-biotics

160

V

Native starch consumption and end-use segments

163

Summary

163

V-1

Characteristic of native starch consumption in China

164

V-2

Consumption structure of native starch in China

166

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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence V-3

Consumption in food processing

167

V-4

Consumption in papermaking

168

V-5

Consumption in beverages

169

V-6

Consumption in other industries

169

V-7

Forecast on demand to next 5~10 years

170

VI

Import and export analysis of corn and starch

171

VI-1

Corn

171

VI-1.1

Historical situation

171

VI-1.2

Current situation

171

VI-1.3

Future trend

172

VI-2

Starch

173

VI-2.1

Native starch

173

VI-2.1.1

Import analysis

173

VI-2.1.1

Export analysis

177

VI-2.2

Modified starch

183

VI-2.2.1

Import analysis

183

VI-2.2.2

Export analysis

185

VII

Mass balance of native starch and supply-demand situation

187

VII-1

Mass balance of native starch in China

187

VII-2

Analysis of supply-demand of starch in next 5~10 years

188

VII-3

Analysis of supply-demand situation of corn in next 5~10 years

190

VIII

Competitiveness of Chinese starch and its derivatives (in domestic and overseas markets)

191

VIII-1

Pricing and manufacturing cost

191

VIII-2

Raw materials

193

VIII-3

Technology innovation

195

VIII-3.1

Foreign technology situation in starch industry

195

VIII-3.2

Chinese technology innovation in starch industry

197

IX

Foreign involvements in starch industry of China

201

IX-1

Foreign involvements situation in Chinese starch industry

201

IX-2

Policy for foreign involvements

205

X

Commercial opportunities and conclusion

207

X-1

Commercial opportunities

207

X-2

Conclusion

208

XI

Profiles of key manufacturers

209

XI-1

Native starch manufacturers

209

XI-2

Modified starch manufacturers

229

Executive summary: China is the second largest starch producer in the world, only next to the U.S., with total starch output of XX million tonnes in XX. China’s starch industry has developed fast in recent years with strong governmental support. Owing to overcapacity in starch industry, starch producers have been facing intense competition in last few years. Price of starch is mainly determined by manufacturing cost in China.

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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence Native starch industry plays a key role in development of the whole starch industry, as it is crucial in guaranteeing downstream production like modified starch and related derivatives. Domestic raw material supply can meet the demand from native starch production except cassava, which is a strong support for improving the competitiveness of China’s native starch industry. Native starch deep processing industry is the most important end user of native starch in China, consuming XX million tonnes of native starch in XX. Besides, native starch is also used in other downstream industries such as food processing, papermaking and beverage. With abundant raw material supply and lower manufacturing cost, corn starch has become the most important native starch variety in China. The corn starch output had jumped to XX million tonnes in XX from XX million tonnes in XX, with CAGR of XX%. With stricter environmental protection requirement, small scale manufacturers with little investment in environmental protection have been gradually phased out. Owing to low price and cheap transportation cost, China’s corn starch is quite competitive in Eastern Asia and Southeast Asia. Other native starch varieties, such as cassava starch, potato starch and wheat starch, have much smaller market than corn starch due to various reasons. Potato starch has the second largest output among all native starches in China in XX, accounting for XX% of total native starch output. China has to import a large volume of cassava and cassava starch from Thailand and Vietnam every year to meet domestic demand. Wheat starch has the fourth largest output among all native starches in China, accounting for XX% of total native starch output. China has become the second largest modified starch production base in the world, following the U.S. With increasing demand in China, output of modified starch in China reached XX million tonnes in XX. Corn modified starch takes up the largest proportion in modified starch industry in China, XX% in XX, mainly thanks to abundant raw material supply and lower manufacturing cost. Although state-owned modified starch producers still dominate domestic market, more and more foreign investment has stretched to the market in recent years. Global financial crisis has hit the downstream industries such as papermaking and textile industry, causing price drop of modified starch in China since Q3 XX. Papermaking, food and textile are the most important downstream industries of modified starch, accounting for XX% of total consumption volume in XX. In XX-XX, China’s import volume of modified starch was larger than the export volume.

Character of CCM' Report: The aim of this report is to provide powerful assistance to the strategy group and the management team in making correct decision as how to penetrate the ever-increasing China market and how to catch the maximum commercial opportunities. The report is formulated independently by CCM’s professional market researchers, based on the first-hand and primary data which are analyzed by scientific methodology, confirmed with both manufacturers/end users/traders and legal authorities, and presented in a logic way.

Sample pages:

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……… I-3 Overview of China’s starch industry -

Overview

China is very important to global starch development, since China is the second largest native and modified starch producer in the world, following U.S. There are many kinds of native starches and modified starches in China. As to native starch, the major products are corn starch, potato starch, cassava starch, wheat starch. As to modified starch, according to different raw materials, major products are corn modified starch, potato modified starch and cassava modified starch. Table I-3.1 Output of different kinds of starch in China, 2004-2008 Year

Corn starch

Cassava starch

Potato starch

Wheat starch

Modified starch

Dx

Dx

Dx

Dx

Dx

Dx

Dx

Dx

Dx

Dx

Dx

Dx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Xx

Source: CCM International

-

Current situation

¾

Native starch

China is the second largest starch producing country in the world, next only to the U.S. In 2008 the output volume of native starch was xx million tonnes. The major starches in China are corn starch, potato starch, cassava starch, wheat starch, and rice starch. Among them, the most important is corn starch, accounting for Xx% of the total native starch output by volume. China’s corn starch is exported to many countries, but potato starch and cassava starch depend much on importing. ……….. III-3.4 Manufacturing cost structure Manufacturing cost structure of corn starch includes following factors: Variable cost √ Corn √ Water √ Electricity √ Labor


Fixed cost √ Depreciation √ Maintenance √ Waste treatment √ Management fee Manufacturing cost has differences in different areas. Even the charge of water and electricity varies among different regions. Since Shandong is biggest production province of corn starch in China, the representative manufacturing cost structure in Shandong Province will be analyzed. Table III-3.4.1 Manufacturing cost structure of corn starch in Shandong, Oct. 2009 Unit Consumption for one tonne corn Items

Unit price

Unit cost (USD/t) starch

Variable cost

Fixed cost

Corn

xx

xx

xx

Water

xx

xx

xx

Electricity

xx

xx

xx

Labor

xx

xx

xx

Depreciation

xx

Maintenance

xx

Waste treatment

xx

Other (Management fee, tax, etc.)

xx

Total cost Source: CCM International

…………

xx


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