1. Introduction Ethyleneamines is one of important intermediate which need breakthrough in production in China. In recent years, thanks to fast developing downstream industries, the consumption of ethyleneamines has increased fast in China. Meanwhile, due to the limitation of backward technology and serious pollution, China was mainly dependent on imported ethyleneamines in the past. Now the situation may change because one ethyleneamines producer in China has put into operation with capacity of 10,000t/a in 2010. The producer adopts its own technology and the problem of pollution has been well solved. CCM conducts this survey to unveil the material flow and value chain in the whole industrial chain which includes origins of imported ethyleneamines, importers, the current demand situation in each downstream industry, end users, and the domestic producers with their technology. CCM will also focus on latest trends about ethyleneamines. 2. Scope of report The research of ethyleneamines market mainly focuses on China, covering: 他
Market participants:
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Producers
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Importers
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End users
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Market element
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Technology
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Price
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Import
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Downstream industries:
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Resin
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Pesticide
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Pharmaceutical
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Others
3. Main content No. I
Content
CCM’s Comment
Introduction Research objectives Methodology Information sources
II
Executive summary
III
Overview of ethyleneamines in China There is a new producer of ethyleneamines with capacity of
III-1
Production situation
10,000t/a, but the current production situation needs further investigation. Other producers are rather small.
III-2
Production technology The relative custom codes contain many products and CCM has to
III-3
Import analysis (origins, importers, price etc. in 2009 )
separate ethyleneamines from other products. It may cost a lot of time to communicate with importers to indentify the targeted product. CCM will describe the market with
III-4
Consumption situation
volume and value in each downstream industry. It may cost a lot of time to find the end users.
III-4.1
Resin -Key downstream products and future trends -Key end users and their consumption volume
III-4.2
Pesticide
III-4.3
Pharmaceutical
III-4.4
Others
III-5
Market trends
III-5.1
- Influencing factors
III-5.2
- Demand forecast to 2015
IV
Conclusion, challenge and opportunities
V
Appendix: Profiles of key ethyleneamines end users and importers
The main content is the same with III-4.1 The main content is the same with III-4.1 The main content is the same with III-4.1
4. Deliverables -
Word-format final report
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Excel-format market data, including forecast data;
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Excel-format end users’ information, covering the key data and findings obtained from telephone interviews;
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Other supporting document, if any.
5. Methodology and source Data sources
Periodicals, magazines, journals, Internet, CCM database, other public media or third party database Producers, end users, associations, industrial experts, etc.
Step
Desk research
Telephone interview
Customs data, journals, etc.
I&E analysis
End users, traders, etc.
Bottom-up research
Data analysis
ValoTracer
Quantitative & qualitative analysis, discussion, forecast,etc. Site visit
Report generation
Data to be collected and compiled by CCM will be sourced from: -
CCM database (mainly based on ValoTracer)
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Published articles from Chinese periodicals, magazines, journals, third-party database
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Government statistics & Customs statistics
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Telephone interviews with Chinese producers
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Site visits
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Comments from industrial experts
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Information from the internet
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Other public media
The research for the report will consist of seven stages: ž
Stage 1 Desk research
The sources of desk research are various, including published magazines, journals, government statistics, industrial statistics, customs statistics, association seminars as well as information from the Internet. A lot of work will go into compilation and analysis of the obtained
information. Where necessary, checks will be made with Chinese suppliers regarding market information such as key producers, key end users, production, export and demand and so on. ¾
Stage 2 Telephone interviews
CCM will carry out extensive telephone interviews in order to survey the actual market situation of ethyleneamines. Interviewees will cover: - Key producers - Key end users - Key traders - Key researchers - Some associations ¾
Stage 3 Analysis of import data
Preliminary analysis of import situation in 2009 in order to: -
Evaluate the import situation Evaluate the role of overseas products in Chinese market Indentify the key importers and further end users.
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Stage 4 Bottom-up research
According to telephone interviews, matrix Excel will be designed to deal with complicated and abundant data that are mainly about capacity, output and consumption. Based on the consumption data in 2009, future demand data in 2010~2015 will be forecasted with the method of bottom-up research.
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Stage 5 Data analysis
All first-hand or second-hand info will be concentrated and analyzed to discover detailed situation of this industry in China.
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Stage 6 Site visits (if necessary)
CCM will carry out site visits and face-to-face interviews with key traders and end users which are identified through telephone interview. 3-5 site visits are necessary and site visit report will be presented.
The goal is to verify the market data obtained through other channels.
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Stage 7 Report generation
Logical analysis and scientific ratiocination will be conducted to generate the report. All the data and findings obtained in the above five stages will be presented in the report clearly. 6. Time and human resource for the research 2 senior researchers for 2 months 7. Critical path
Table Critical path for the research Total Person involved Target
Critical Action
Difficulties
Solutions
workday - Collect the historical data of this industry and get basic knowledge of this Identify the key producers and end CCM will set relative question to check with producers and end 1.Desk Research
5
2
industry. users for
telephone interview
users
- Collect all the possible producers - Collect possible end users -Identify the production situation of key producers -Investigate
end
users
to
confirm
consumption situation 2.Telephone interview
15
2
-Check
market
information
-CCM will focuses on key downstream products and end users, - It may cost plenty of time to and telephone interviews with end users will be conducted to
with investigate end users
ensure the consumption accuracy.
producers, experts, etc.
-CCM will communicate with experts for advice of consumption
-Check IE situation of enterprises in the
situation for good data rationality and accuracy.
IE data from China Custom -Confirm enterprises for site visit -It may cost a lot of time to separate 3.Third party assistance
5
1
- Import data analysis
ethyleneamines
from
other CCM will adopt telephone interview to survey the importers.
chemicals. - Preparation & initial communication for 4. Site visit (if necessary)
5
the site visit
Some end users many not accept CCM connect with key end users for site visit and try best to
- Site visit of 4 end users
CCM’s site visit.
1 crosscheck the consumption situation.
- Site visit summary 5. Data analysis
2
- Perfect the matrix excel
Some data may conflict with each
- Analyze the data
other.
2
CCM will crosscheck the data with experts.
- Export the data in table-format 6. Report draft
13
2
7. Quality control
2
1
Internal
cross-check,
reviewing
&
supplement 8. Generate Final report
2
2
Note: There will be some interworking between step 2 (Telephone interview) and step 3 (Third party assistance)