Centuria Life Policyholder Meeting
Sean Webster, Investment Manager, Centuria Life Limited
October 2011
Disclaimer
Information in this presentation is general information only in relation to the investments in the Investment Bonds managed by the Centuria Life Limited. In preparing this presentation we have not taken into consideration any persons personal circumstances, objectives or needs. Â Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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What we will cover
The Global Economy The Australian Economy Where to from here? Managing your bonds Summary
Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Global Economy What does the global economy look like?
Economic growth is buoyant. Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Global Economy The United States – double dip recession? United States GDP Growth Rate
6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 Jan / 07
Jan / 08
Jan / 09
Jan / 10
Jan / 11
Source: Trading Economics.com; Bureau of Economics Analysis
Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Global Economy Global debt issues
Global government budget woes will persist for some time. Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Global Economy Asian economies
Strength of SE Asian economies continues. Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Global Economy China China GDP Growth Rate Annual GDP Growth Adjusted by Inflation 14
14
12
12
10
10
8
8
6
6 2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
Source: Trading Economics.com; Bureau of Statistics
China continues to boom (for now). Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Australian Economy What does the Australian economy look like?
The Australian economy rebounds. Strong GDP growth expected. Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Australian Economy Growth drivers - coal and iron exports
Exports at record levels. Commodity prices (iron ore) increasing, despite periods of volatility. Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Australian Economy How big is this resource and energy investment boom?
Mining investment is the major growth driver. Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Australian Economy How big is this resource and energy investment boom?
Scale of the mining projects is world class. Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Australian Economy What about the Australian consumer?
Consumer savings rebound. ‌..as consumer spending falls. Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Australian Economy Government spending
Budget surplus expected in 2013/14. Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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The Australian Economy The equity market
The equity market struggles‌ Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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Where to from here? The outlook for Australia Interest rates likely to decline very gradually (1 cut in Q1) unless there is a global banking crisis. Economic growth likely to remain strong (2-3% p.a.) supported by energy and resource investment, driven by Chinese and SE Asian growth. Unemployment likely to be stable with some upside bias. Inflation likely to remain in RBA band for 12 to 18 months. Commodity and energy prices likely to move sideways with some downward potential if global growth slows further. Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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Where to from here? Risk factors Debt default in Greece, Spain and or others. US economy slows into recession (“double-dip�). Government and central bank mismanagement. Debt burden in the global economy. China slows significantly and resources prices drop sharply.
Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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Investment Bond Management How are we managing your bonds? Diversification is critical - no big bets on a single investment. Have moved to higher fixed interest and cash holdings. Actively allocate assets as the environment changes.
Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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Investment Bond Management
Fixed Interest has performed well reasonable rates are available from high quality investments. Unlisted property is offering good yields. Listed Property returns will be mainly from income. Equities returns are likely to be in line with yield ~ 4.5%.
Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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Investment Bond Management Stable consistent returns in a volatile environment The value of $100 invested in the Centuria Capital Guaranteed Bond in November 2007 compared to other major growth asset classes 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Nov - 07
May - 08
Nov - 08
May - 09
Capital Guaranteed Bond
Nov - 09
Australian Equity
May - 10
Nov -10
International Equity
May - 11
Listed Property
Source: Morningstar Adviser Workstation Š 2011 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Neither Morningstar, nor its affiliates nor their content providers guarantee this data or content to be accurate, complete or timely nor will they have any liability for its use or distribution.
Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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Summary Conservative investment philosophy Capital guaranteed bonds:
Returns will be positive and in line with last year, though dependent on the interest rate environment.
Capital preservation will continue to be a core focus.
Sound income streams from investing in high quality defensive assets.
Unitised bonds:
Aim to deliver competitive after tax returns while managing risk. Centuria Life Limited
Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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Appendix
Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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Investment Bond Management Capital Guaranteed (bonus credited) Bonds
Bond
June 2011 1 year returns (%)
June 2010 1 year returns (%)
Gross
Net
Gross
Net
Capital Guaranteed
4.67
3.10
4.08
2.85
Income Accumulation
3.37
2.10
3.40
2.00
Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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Investment Bond Management Unitised Bonds
Bond
June 2011 1 year returns (%) Gross
Net
6.14%
3.55%
Australian Shares Fund
11.30%
7.40%
Balanced Fund
10.16%
6.48%
8.38%
4.98%
12.02%
7.18%
Australian Property & Mortgage Bond Fund
Growth Bond High Growth Fund
Centuria Life Limited Information in this presentation is general information only. Before you make any decision in relation to your investment, we recommend that you obtain financial advice from a licensed financial adviser.
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