C21 Market Pulse | September 2020 | New Zealand

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P U L S E

S E P T E M B E R

M A R K E T

C21


PUBLISHER Century 21 New Zealand Ltd

CONTRIBUTORS Derryn Mayne Bindi Norwell Cameron Brewer

EDITORIAL ENQUIRIES Century 21 New Zealand +64 9414 6041

ADVERTISING ENQUIRIES Century 21 New Zealand +64 9414 6041

WELCOME TO THE

SEPTEMBER 2020 ISSUE OF

C21 MARKET PULSE

DISCLAIMER We have in preparing this information used our best endeavours to ensure that the information contained therein is true and accurate, but accept no responsibility and disclaim all liability in respect of any errors, inaccuracies or misstatements contained herein. Prospective buyers and sellers should make their own enquiries to verify the information contained herein. All information contained in the CENTURY 21 New Zealand Ltd website is provided as a convenience to clients. All links to property prices displayed on the website are current at the time of issue, but may change at any time and are subject to availability. For more information on our Privacy Policy please refer to: www.century21.com.au/privacy


C O N T E N T S S E P T E M B E R

C21 NEW ZEALAND NEWS

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SPRING SELLING

Spring looking strong for real estate.

Property prices above expectations in regions.

CEO, Century 21 New Zealand, Derryn Mayne

Cameron Brewer

MORTGAGE DEFERRAL SCHEME

04

PROPERTY MARKET UPDATE

Mortgage holidays confirmed until end of March.

Record median house prices for half of NZ.

Cameron Brewer

REINZ CEO, Bindi Norwell

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C21 NEW ZEAL AND NEWS

SPRING LOOKING STRONG FOR REAL ESTATE B Y D E R R Y N M AY N E , C E O, C E N T U R Y 2 1 N E W Z E A L A N D

September is looking up, following a very strong August for real estate across New Zealand. Just months ago, few would’ve expected such positivity in and around property prices going into spring. In fact, Auckland’s latest lockdown is now a distant memory.

on 12 months ago. Amazingly, so

lower and prices in the regions

many regions, districts and cities

doing extremely well despite what

have also achieved record median

many pundits’ predicted.

prices in August. New Zealand’s property market is proving to be very resilient, with the

be stronger than many anticipated. The wage extensions,

Property Report for August which

the General

shows median house prices

Election’s

across New Zealand up by 16.4%,

deferral to 17

compared to August 2019.

October, and the

Auckland’s annual median house

mortgage holiday

while seven other regions also enjoyed record median prices

we operated safely

season set to

REINZ has released its Monthly

$950,000 - a new record high,

Century 21’s offices under Alert Level 2, and in Auckland

coming summer

subsidy

price increased by 16.0% to

Activity has remained strong for

"Trade Me data recently released showed property prices had their biggest year-on-year increase in over three years..."

Alert Level 3 for nearly three weeks last month. Under Level 2 the real estate industry has done well to observe the

likes of two-metre

scheme now running through to 31 March 2021 have all helped to keep real estate buoyant in August

during August. What’s more,

and September.

Auckland was up 3.5% on the

The property market’s key

previous month.

fundamentals remain in great

Every region has seen an increase

shape, with mortgage rates never

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and effectively in

02

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social distancing, ensure a contact tracing system is in place at an open homes, and restrict auction attendance numbers. Century 21 offices in the likes of Waikato have continued to experience high demand, with some great prices being achieved regardless of Level 2 or any


uncertainty caused by Covid-19. In

biggest year-on-year increase in

buyers securing record-low interest

fact, most of the regions continue

over three years, with the national

rates, and investors seeking better

to go from strength to strength.

asking price for July up 9% on the

returns.

Spring is always a good time to sell

same time last year.

It’s the perfect time to market your

property, and this one more so,

There’s no doubt that Auckland has

house with limited competing

particularly when you consider the

steadied in parts, but that in itself

listings, but strong buyer demand.

current lack of listings. It’s safe to

creates opportunities for the likes of

At the same time, any prospective

assume we’ll now see some extra

first-home buyers and investors.

buyer waiting for a big fall in prices

springtime activity, helped by some pent-up demand in Auckland after its August lockdown.

Industry statistics keep proving that property is holding up well and the time to act is now! There are plenty

Trade Me data recently released

of families keen to move, empty

showed property prices had their

nesters downsizing, first-home

probably needs to rethink their strategy. Securing a good property now will always prove a great investment.

AU G U S T AV E R AG E P R O P E R T Y VA L U E S Source: PropertyValue by CoreLogic (New Zealand) www.propertyvalue.co.nz/property-trends

$750,000 $700,000 $650,000 $600,000 2016

2017

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2018

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2019

2020


MORTGAGE DEFERR AL SCHEME

MORTGAGE HOLIDAYS CONFIRMED UNTIL END OF MARCH “Extending mortgage holidays until the end of March is positive news for homeowners and the real estate industry generally. Things are now looking more workable,” says Derryn Mayne, Owner of Century 21 New Zealand.

for Australian homeowners by

“With a triple whammy averted for

another four months.

September, this could’ve been a spring of discontent for thousands

Initially the Reserve Bank announced on 24 March a sixmonth principal and interest payment holiday for mortgage holders and SME customers whose incomes had been affected by the economic disruption from Covid-19. As of 30 June, nearly 60,000 Kiwis

The real estate leader’s comments followed the Minister of Finance recently announcing a sixmonth extension to the

had deferred their payments on the likes of mortgages, while a further 79,000 had reduced their payments servicing home loans, personal lending or

mortgage deferral scheme. The Government, Reserve Bank and retail banks agreed to a six-month holiday which was due to expire on 27 September. It will now run until 31 March 2021.

“With the General Election and applications closing on the wage subsidy scheme still happening this spring, extending

mortgage holidays until the end of the first quarter next

This follows banks in Australia

year is a no-brainer. We need to

agreeing in July to extend their six-

first get over these two big humps,

month mortgage holiday scheme

and it will mean a brighter summer!

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extension of mortgage holidays will help preserve the real estate market and property values overall,” she says. The Century 21 boss says the underlying strength of New Zealand property continues to prove itself, with industry statistics still showing that any doom and gloom forecast back in March and April has yet to be seen. “There was a perfect storm brewing

debt.

"...this extension of mortgage holidays will help preserve the real estate market and property values overall."

of homeowners. However, this

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on the horizon this spring, but the Reserve Bank has again acted decisively which will only help overall confidence in the market,” says Derryn Mayne.


SPRING SELLING

PROPERTY PRICES ABOVE EXPECTATIONS IN REGIONS “Most regions are now seeing properties flying out the door and many houses fetching well above any asking price or expectation,” says Derryn Mayne, Owner of Century 21 New Zealand.

insulated by the likes of the wage

from our Waikato offices, of

subsidy and mortgage holiday

places selling within days via very

schemes. However, most of our

competitive multi-offers, with

offices in regional New Zealand

plenty of properties selling well

could not have foreseen such a

in excess of both the vendors and

buoyant spring. It will certainly help

agents’ expectations.

set up plenty of activity this coming summer,” says Ms Mayne.

Century 21 agents are also reporting people keen to move out of the

Recently ASB significantly revised

cities, with coastal and lifestyle

its forecast on house price falls. It

properties proving popular in the

Her comments come as REINZ

now expects national house prices

current Covid-19 environment.

released September’s REINZ &

will fall by 2.8% by March next year

Tony Alexander Real Estate Survey.

compared to their previous

Agents report more people are

forecast of a 6% drop overall.

attending auctions and open homes,

Others are expecting prices to

with listings still in short supply.

start rising again in 2021, with

Far fewer investors now believe that

economists anticipating the Reserve

they will find bargains, fewer b

Bank will cut the Official Cash Rate

uyers generally retain fears that

to below zero next year, pushing

prices will fall, and a net 81% of

already record-low interest rates

agents say that they are seeing

down further.

property prices rising.

Ms Mayne says recent REINZ

The Century 21 boss says six

figures show while Auckland

months ago economists thought the

property buyers are paying on

sky was going to fall when it came

average 5% over their 2017 CVs,

to the property market, but many

many regions are paying miles

are now revising their ‘doom and

higher with Gisborne seeing

gloom’ forecasts.

residential properties selling on

“Our Covid-19 economy has certainly got a long way to go and the market has been somewhat

average for 71% higher than current CVs - the highest in the country. “We are hearing stories, particularly

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“Many people now realise they can work from home very effectively and in many cases more productively and for cheaper. Subsequently, we’re seeing people selling up in the bigger cities, freeing up a bit of equity, and opting for an easier lifestyle with more space and less people. “What’s more, no overseas holidays in the foreseeable future sees more Kiwi families looking at holiday houses and baches instead, knowing that strong domestic travel will give them good ‘bookabach’ income too,” she says. It seems any vendor opting to sell their property this spring is set to get plenty of market attention.


P R O P E R T Y M A R K E T U P DAT E

RECORD MEDIAN HOUSE PRICES FOR HALF OF NZ BY BINDI NORWELL, REINZ CEO

Median house prices across New Zealand increased by 16.4% in August to $675,000, up from $580,000 in August 2019 and up from $659,000 in July (a 2.4% lift) and every region in the country saw an annual increase in median house prices, according to the latest data from the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ). Median house prices for New

• Waikato with a 16.7% increase

• Canterbury with a 13.0%

Zealand excluding Auckland

to $628,000 up from $538,000

increase to $497,000 up from

increased by 14.2% to a new record

at the same time last year, and

$440,000 at the same time last

median price of $570,000, up from

the fourth record median price in

year. Additionally, 2 Districts

$499,000 in August last year and

a row. Additionally, 3 districts

within the Canterbury region saw

up from $557,500 in July this year.

in the Waikato region saw record

record median prices –

median prices – Matamata-Piako

Ashburton District ($391,500)

District ($587,000), Otorohanga

and Waimakariri District

District ($418,500) and Waipa

($515,000)

District ($715,000)

Additionally, Auckland’s median house price increased by 16.0% to $950,000 a new record high up from $819,000 at the same time

• Otago with a 17.2% increase to

last year, and up from $918,097 in

• Manawatu/Wanganui with a

$580,000 up from $495,000 at

July this year (a 3.5% increase).

the same time last year

Over and above Auckland, 7 regions saw record median prices during August: • Northland with a 16.6% increase

to $590,000 up from $506,000

at the same time last year.

Additionally, Whangarei District

saw a record median price of

$610,000

15.1% increase to $450,000 up

from $391,000 at the same time

last year. Additionally, 3 Districts

within the Manawatu/Wanganui

region saw record median prices

– Tararua ($320,000), Manawatu

($535,000) and Whanganui

($375,000) • Taranaki with a 15.3% increase to

$451,000 up from $391,000 at

the same time last year

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• Southland with a 20.3% increase

to $373,000 up from $310,000

at the same time last year.

Bindi Norwell, Chief Executive at REINZ says: “For the last few weeks we’ve been hearing reports from around the country of vendors achieving good prices for the sale of their homes; but we would never have guessed that 8 regions and 17


Districts/Cities across the country

“The combination of low interest

In Auckland, the number of

would see record median prices just

rates, the removal of LVRs, the lack

properties sold in August increased

4 months after the entire country

of listings, people’s aspiration to

by 44.2% year-on-year (from 1,812

was in lockdown. The housing

have more space/a bigger backyard,

to 2,612) – the highest for the

market’s recovery post-lockdown

catch up post lockdown and first

month of August in 5 years.

over the last few months has been

time buyers’ desire to get onto the

astonishing and has certainly

market have all contributed to the

surpassed many predictions.

uplift in prices we’ve seen over the

“For many parts of the country, August was an extremely busy month sales volume wise, with

last few months. Unless we see

“August saw record median prices

the highest number of properties

more listings come to the market

in Rotorua District ($510,000),

sold for the month of August in

before Christmas, we may start to

Tauranga City ($745,000), Lower

fi ve years bolstered by an uplift in

see additional pressure on house

Hutt City ($670,000), Upper

sales volumes in Auckland, Nelson,

prices and affordability,” points

Hutt City ($663,200), Papakura District ($775,000), Rodney District

Southland and Hawke’s Bay.

out Norwell.

$

ANNUAL ME DIAN PRICE CHANGES $

$

AUCKLAND

$

Record Median Price

$

$675,000

15.3% 2.2%

11.0% BAY OF PLENTY

16.7%

9.5%

WAIKATO

GISBORNE

$

TARANAKI

NATIONAL MEDIAN PRICE:

15.1%

20.1%

MANAWATU / WANGANUI

HAWKE’S BAY

12.8%

NELSON

16.4%

9.1%

MEDIAN DAYS TO SELL:

34

16.0%

16.6% NORTHLAND

18.1%

13.2%

TASMAN

MARLBOROUGH

$

WEST COAST

$

Source: REINZ Monthly Property Report 11 September 2020.

WELLINGTON

20.3%

$

SOUTHLAND

13.0% CANTERBURY

17.2% OTAGO

($961,000) and Waitakere City

The number of residential

Overall, there were 1,520 more

($890,000),” continues Norwell.

properties sold in August across

residential properties sold this

New Zealand increased by 24.8%

August than last August which

from the same time last year

equates to an additional 49

(from 6,132 to 7,652) – the highest

properties sold a day which is

number of properties sold in an

pretty incredible,” says Norwell.

“At this point last year, the Hawke’s Bay region had not had a median price over the $500,000 mark and now the region is extremely close to exceeding the $600,000 median

August month for 5 years.

mark. It’s a similar picture in Otago,

For New Zealand excluding

where the region had only seen one

Auckland, the number of properties

month with a median price over the

sold increased by 16.7% when

$500,000 mark and now, it’s closer

compared to the same time last year

to the $600,000 mark than the

(from 4,320 to 5,040) – the highest

$500,000 mark,” she continues.

for the month of August in 4 years.

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