C21 New Zealand News

ACTIVITY LIGHTENS BUT NOT A BUYERS’ MARKET YET

The latest Real Estate Institute figures confirm we’ve re-entered a more balanced and calmer market. Importantly, house prices remain strong, and overall, they’re still up on the same time last year. Despite some headlines, it’s not a buyers’ market yet.

Recently REINZ released its Monthly Property Report for April – a month which saw median house prices across New Zealand increase 8.8% annually. At $875,000, the national median house price is up from $804,362 in April 2021.

REINZ noted ‘we’re now in the phase of the property cycle where demand has weakened, sale counts are down but prices remain high.’

It’s easy to compare now to some unbelievable prices achieved during 2020 and 2021. Regardless, most properties remain well ahead of where they were in 2019. In fact, plenty are still selling for 40 percent more than what the owners paid three or four years ago. Without doubt the froth is coming off, but most vendors are still enjoying substantial gains.

The property market has taken a big hit since December with the Credit Contract & Consumer Finance Act (CCCFA) making lending much tougher. The Government’s proposed changes to the CCCFA set to be enacted next month will be positive. However, interest rates have continued to rise.

All eyes will be on the Reserve Bank’s next Official Cash Rate (OCR) decision on 25 May. Last month the OCR rose by 50 basis points to 1.50% – marking the fourth consecutive hike since October last year and the biggest jump in over 20 years.

Interest rates have been rising but they’re still miles off where they have been in previous decades. Historically, they’ve tended to be around six or seven percent on average for Kiwi borrowers. Like house prices, we often compare today’s interest rates to the extraordinary period of 2020 and 2021, but they’re still below the historical average.

Even to the casual observer it's fairly obvious what we are seeing now across the New Zealand market – listings are up, and sales are down. April saw a stand-off with many vendors refusing to budge while buyers kept their hands in their pockets. However, we’re starting to see more Kiwis meet the market, with some very satisfactory outcomes being achieved for both parties.

The 2020 and 2021 froth has subsided, properties in demand are still making good money, and interest rates remain below the historical average. There are plenty of good opportunities out there for buyers and sellers keen to act before winter.

Tim Kearins – Century 21 New Zealand – (0274) 495-547 tim.kearins@century21.co.nz

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