Stock Research Report for ASNA as of 3/26/2012 - Chaikin Power Tools

Page 1

Ascena Retail (ASNA)

Price: $44.02

Industry: Nonfood Retail-Wholesale Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Mon Mar 26 12:22 EDT 2012 Power Gauge Rating

ASNA - Very Bullish TM

The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for ASNA is very bullish due to very bullish price/volume activity, attractive financial metrics, strong earnings performance and positive expert opinions. Price and volume activity for ASNA is very bullish which is indicated by its price strength versus the market and positive Chaikin money flow.

News Sentiment Rating

Bullish ASNA Ascena Retail

March 22, 2012

TM

Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for ASNA is bullish. There is currently a significant positive sentiment within news stories concerning ASNA.

News Sentiment :Positive

Power Trend - 5 Year Chart

The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential.

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High Potential

Neutral

Low Potential

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Financials & Earnings

Financial Metrics Rating

Financial Metrics

Bullish

LT Debt/Equity Ratio

ASNA's financial metrics are very good. The company does not hold much long term debt relative to its industry group and yields a high return on shareholder's equity.

Price to Book Value

Return on Equity

The rank is based on a low long term debt to equity ratio relative to its industry group, high price to book value ratio, high return on equity, high price to sales ratio and relatively high cash flow.

Price to Sales Ratio

Business Value

Assets and Liabilities

Valuation

Returns

Ratio

TTM

Ratio

TTM

Ratio

Current Ratio

2.36

Price/Book

2.68

Return on Invest

15.2%

LT Debt/Equity

0.15

Price/Sales

1.16

Return on Equity

17.5%

Earnings Performance

TTM

Earnings Performance Rating

Bullish

Earnings Growth

ASNA's earnings performance has been strong. The company has a history of strong earnings growth and has outperformed analysts' earnings estimates.

Earnings Surprise

The rank is based on high earnings growth over the past 3-5 years, better than expected earnings in recent quarters and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.

Earnings Trend

Projected P/E Ratio

Earnings Consistency

5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth

Revenue(M) Rev % Growth EPS EPS % Growth

EPS Estimates

07/07

07/08

07/09

07/10

07/11

1,426.61

1,444.16

1,494.24

2,374.57

2,914.00

9.72%

1.23%

3.47%

58.92%

22.72%

$1.63

$1.23

$1.16

$1.85

$2.18

26.36%

-24.54%

-5.69%

59.48%

17.84%

EPS Surprise

Factor

Actual EPS Prev

EST EPS Current

Change

$0.67

$0.79

+0.12

Quarterly EPS Yearly EPS Factor

$2.18

$2.79

+0.61

Actual EPS Growth

Est EPS Growth

Change

19.21%

15.00%

-4.21

3-5 year EPS

EPS Quarterly Results Estimate

Actual

Difference

% Difference

FY

Qtr 1

Qtr 2

Qtr 3

Qtr 4

Total

Latest Qtr

$0.67

$0.81

$0.14

1 Qtr Ago

$0.64

$0.65

$0.01

20.90

07/10

$0.36

$0.32

$0.60

$0.53

$1.81

1.56

07/11

$0.61

$0.54

$0.67

$0.36

$2.18

2 Qtr Ago

$0.49

$0.48

3 Qtr Ago

$0.65

$0.66

$-0.01

-2.04

07/12

$0.62

$0.83

-

-

-

$0.01

1.54

Fiscal Year End Month is July.

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Price Trend & Expert Opinions Price/Volume Activity

Price/Volume Activity Rating

Very Bullish

Relative Strength vs Market

Price and volume activity for ASNA is very bullish. ASNA has outperformed the S&P 500 over 26 weeks and is experiencing sustained buying.

Chaikin Money Flow

Price Trend

The rank for ASNA is based on its price strength versus the market, positive Chaikin money flow, a positive Chaikin price trend, a negative Chaikin price trend ROC and an increasing volume trend.

Price Trend ROC

Volume Trend

Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index

Chaikin Money Flow

Chart shows whether ASNA is performing better or worse than the market.

Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.

Price Activity

Price Activity

Volume Activity

Factor

Value

Factor

52 Week High

44.47

% Change Price - 4 Weeks

14.33%

Average Volume 20 Days

1,155,806

52 Week Low

24.86

% Change Price - 24 Weeks

55.20%

Average Volume 90 Days

821,753

% Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P

11.57%

Chaikin Money Flow Persistency

% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P

29.41%

% Change YTD Rel S&P 500

30.91%

Expert Opinions

Value

Factor

Value

83%

Expert Opinions

Bullish

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Expert opinions about ASNA are positive. Analysts are raising their EPS estimates for ASNA and analysts's opinions on ASNA have been more positive recently.

Short Interest

Insider Activity

The rank for ASNA is based on analysts revising earnings estimates upward, a high short interest ratio, optimistic analyst opinions and price strength of the stock versus the Nonfood Retail-Wholesale industry group.

Analyst Opinions

Relative Strength vs Industry

Earnings Estimate Revisions Current Current Qtr Next Qtr

0.79 0.58 Current

Current FY

2.79

Analyst Recommendations

7 Days Ago % Change 0.79 0.58

0.00% 0.00%

30 Days Ago % Change 2.65

0.14

Factor Mean this Week Mean Last Week

EPS Estimates Revision Summary Value

Buy 0.00

Mean 5 Weeks Ago

Buy

Last 4 Weeks

Down

Up

Down

Curr Qtr

0

0

7

1

Curr Yr

0

0

8

0

Next Qtr

0

0

5

2

Next Yr

0

0

9

0

Buy

Change

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Last Week Up

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The Company & Its Competitors

News Headlines for ASNA

ASNA's Competitors in Nonfood Retail-Wholesale Company

Power Gauge

Historic EPS growth

Projected EPS growth

Profit Margin

PEG

PE

Revenue(M)

ASNA

19.21%

15.00%

6.21%

1.05

16.93

2,914

FL

-0.21%

10.25%

4.94%

1.35

17.02

5,623

JNY

-3.90%

4.33%

1.32%

2.63

8.78

3,785

GPS

-1.74%

10.43%

5.73%

1.38

16.85

14,549

JWN

5.25%

11.33%

6.45%

1.40

17.10

10,877

LTD

-0.23%

14.44%

8.20%

1.19

18.46

10,364

PSS

4.53%

-

-4.75%

-

31.64

3,462

ANF

5.69%

19.14%

3.07%

0.75

22.18

4,158

Ascena Retail Group, Inc. Announces Two-forOne Stock Split - Mar 8, 2012 Ascena Retail Group 2Q income up 50 percent Mar 1, 2012 Ascena Retail Group, Inc. Announces Strong Holiday Sales and Raises Fiscal 2012 Earnings Per Share Guidance - Jan 5, 2012 Ascena authorizes another $100M in stock buybacks - Sep 23, 2011 Ascena Retail Group, Inc. Announces Board Authorization of an Additional $100 Million Stock Repurchase Program - Sep 23, 2011

Company Details

Company Profile

Ascena Retail 30 DUNNIGAN DRIVE SUFFERN, NY 10901 USA Phone: 845.369.4500 Fax: 845-369-4829 Website: http://www.ascenaretail.com Full Time Employees: 31,000 Sector: Retail/Wholesale

Ascena Retail Group, Inc, formerly known as The Dress Barn, Inc., operates as a national specialty retailer of apparel for women and girls under the Dressbarn, Maurices and Justice brands. Its Dressbarn stores offer casual, career and special occasion fashion apparel and accessories; Maurices stores offer casual and career apparel and accessories; and Justice stores offer trend-right apparel and accessories. Ascena Retail Group, Inc. is based in Suffern, New York.

Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe. Chaikin Stock Research(CSR) is not registered as a securities broker dealer or investment advisor with either the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. CSR is not responsible for trades executed by users of this research report, our web site or mobile app based on the information included herein. The information presented in this report does not represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or any financial instrument nor is it intended as an endorsement of any security or investment. The information in this report is generic by nature and is not personalized to the specific financial situation of any individual. The user bears complete responsibility for their own investment research and should seek the advice of a qualified investment professional before making any investment decisions. Copyright (c) 1978-(Present) by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc ("ZACKS"). The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) includes the confidential and proprietary information of ZACKS, (2) may not be copied or redistributed, for any purpose, (3) does not constitute investment advice offered by ZACKS, (4) are provided solely for informational purposes, and (5) are not warranted or represented to be correct, complete, accurate or timely. ZACKS shall not be responsible for investment decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, use of this information, data, analyses or opinions. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. ZACKS is not affiliated with Chaikin Power Tools. This report from Chaikin Power Tools is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1

Data Provided by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc., www.zacks.com

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