Green Mtn Coffe (GMCR)
Price: $65.93
Industry: Food/Drug-Retail/Wholesale Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Wed Feb 29 11:40 EST 2012 Power Gauge Rating
GMCR - Very Bearish TM
The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for GMCR is very bearish due to very poor financial metrics, very bearish price/volume activity and negative expert opinions. The rating also reflects very strong earnings performance. GMCR's financial metrics are very poor due to a high price to book value ratio and high price to sales ratio.
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral GMCR Green Mtn Co..
February 17, 2012
TM
Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for GMCR is neutral. Stories concerning GMCR have a balanced or neutral sentiment.
News Sentiment :Neutral
Power Trend - 5 Year Chart
The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential.
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High Potential
Neutral
Low Potential
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Financials & Earnings
Financial Metrics Rating
Financial Metrics
Very Bearish
LT Debt/Equity Ratio
GMCR's financial metrics are very poor. The company may be overvalued and has relatively low revenue per share.
Price to Book Value
The rank is based on a high price to book value ratio, high return on equity, high price to sales ratio and relatively low cash flow.
Return on Equity
Price to Sales Ratio
Business Value
Assets and Liabilities
Valuation
Returns
Ratio
TTM
Ratio
TTM
Ratio
Current Ratio
2.41
Price/Book
5.02
Return on Invest
13.6%
LT Debt/Equity
0.30
Price/Sales
3.85
Return on Equity
18.7%
Earnings Performance
TTM
Earnings Performance Rating
Very Bullish
Earnings Growth
GMCR's earnings performance has been very strong. The company has a history of strong earnings growth and has outperformed analysts' earnings estimates.
Earnings Surprise
The rank is based on high earnings growth over the past 3-5 years, better than expected earnings in recent quarters, an upward trend in earnings this year, a relatively high projected P/E ratio and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.
Earnings Trend
Projected P/E Ratio
Earnings Consistency
5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth
Revenue(M) Rev % Growth EPS EPS % Growth
EPS Estimates
09/07
09/08
09/09
09/10
09/11
341.65
500.28
803.04
1,356.78
2,650.90
51.63%
46.43%
60.52%
68.95%
95.38%
$0.12
$0.21
$0.49
$0.60
$1.36
46.99%
69.67%
136.71%
22.45%
126.67%
EPS Surprise
Factor
Actual EPS Prev
EST EPS Current
Change
$0.46
$0.64
+0.18
Quarterly EPS Yearly EPS Factor
$1.36
$2.66
+1.30
Actual EPS Growth
Est EPS Growth
Change
64.58%
32.88%
-31.70
3-5 year EPS
EPS Quarterly Results Estimate
Actual
Difference
% Difference
Latest Qtr
$0.36
1 Qtr Ago
$0.48
2 Qtr Ago 3 Qtr Ago
FY
Qtr 1
Qtr 2
Qtr 3
Qtr 4
Total
$0.60
$0.24
$0.47
$-0.01
66.67
09/10
$0.10
$0.19
$0.14
$0.20
$0.62
-2.08
09/11
$0.02
$0.46
$0.38
$0.49
$1.35
$0.36
$0.49
$0.38
$0.48
$0.13
36.11
09/12
$0.68
-
-
-
-
$0.10
26.32
Fiscal Year End Month is September.
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Price Trend & Expert Opinions Price/Volume Activity
Price/Volume Activity Rating
Very Bearish
Relative Strength vs Market
Price and volume activity for GMCR is very bearish. GMCR has underperformed the S&P 500 over 26 weeks and has a declining price trend.
Chaikin Money Flow
Price Trend
The rank for GMCR is based on its relative weakness versus the market, negative Chaikin money flow, a negative Chaikin price trend, a positive Chaikin price trend ROC and a decreasing volume trend.
Price Trend ROC
Volume Trend
Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index
Chaikin Money Flow
Chart shows whether GMCR is performing better or worse than the market.
Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.
Price Activity
Price Activity
Factor
Value
Volume Activity
Factor
Value
Factor
Value
52 Week High
111.62
% Change Price - 4 Weeks
23.62%
Average Volume 20 Days
5,951,940
52 Week Low
40.35
% Change Price - 24 Weeks
-40.52%
Average Volume 90 Days
7,741,953
% Change YTD Rel S&P 500
35.88%
Expert Opinions
% Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P
18.24%
% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P
-49.16%
Chaikin Money Flow Persistency
52%
Expert Opinions
Bearish
Earnings Estimate Revisions
Expert opinions about GMCR are negative. Short interest in GMCR is high and insiders are not net buyers of GMCR's stock.
Short Interest
Insider Activity
The rank for GMCR is based on analysts revising earnings estimates upward, a high short interest ratio, insiders not purchasing significant amounts of stock, optimistic analyst opinions and price strength of the stock versus the Food/DrugRetail/Wholesale industry group.
Analyst Opinions
Relative Strength vs Industry
Earnings Estimate Revisions Current Current Qtr Next Qtr
0.64 0.72 Current
Current FY
2.66
Analyst Recommendations
7 Days Ago % Change 0.64 0.72
0.00% 0.00%
30 Days Ago % Change 2.57
0.09
Factor Mean this Week Mean Last Week
EPS Estimates Revision Summary Value
Buy 0.00
Mean 5 Weeks Ago
Buy
Last 4 Weeks
Down
Up
Down
Curr Qtr
0
0
0
9
Curr Yr
0
0
10
0
Next Qtr
0
0
2
7
Next Yr
0
0
5
0
Buy
Change
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Last Week Up
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The Company & Its Competitors
News Headlines for GMCR
GMCR's Competitors in Food/Drug-Retail/Wholesale Company
Power Gauge
Historic EPS growth
Projected EPS growth
Profit Margin
PEG
PE
Revenue(M)
GMCR
64.58%
32.88%
9.32%
0.75
32.32
2,651
FARM
18.10%
-
-9.66%
-
-
464
NAFC
2.06%
-
0.93%
-
7.04
-
CORE
8.16%
14.50%
0.28%
0.83
16.50
-
UNFI
13.47%
14.48%
1.59%
1.65
26.69
4,530
VSI
11.77%
20.50%
5.04%
1.17
26.18
857
SYY
3.87%
9.00%
2.80%
1.70
14.67
39,323
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Completes Sale of Filterfresh Business to ARAMARK - Oct 3, 2011 Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Agrees to Sell Filterfresh Business to ARAMARK - Aug 29, 2011 Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Agrees to Sell Filterfresh Business to ARAMARK - Aug 29, 2011 Vt. utility to buy power from NH's Seabrook May 24, 2011 Green Mountain closes $905M Van Houtte acquisition - Dec 17, 2010
Company Details
Company Profile
Green Mtn Coffe 33 COFFEE LANE WATERBURY, VT 05676 USA Phone: 8022445621 Fax: 802-244-5436 Website: http://http://www.greenmountaincoff ee.com Full Time Employees: 5,600 Sector: Retail/Wholesale
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters engages in the production and marketing of awardwinning coffees, innovative brewing technology and gourmet single-cup brewing systems. The Company's operations are managed through three operating segments. The Specialty Coffee business unit sources, produces and sells coffee, cocoa, teas and other hot beverages. These varieties are sold primarily to wholesale channels. The Keurig business unit, a pioneer and leading manufacturer of gourmet single-cup brewing systems, targets its premium patented single-cup brewing systems for use at-home and away-from-home, mainly in North America. The Canadian business unit sources, produces and sells coffees in a variety of packaging formats, including K-Cup portion packs, whose brands include Van Houtte, Brlerie St. Denis, Brlerie Mont-Royal and Orient Express and its licensed Bigelow and Wolfgang Puck brands. Green Mountain Coffee Roasters is headquartered in Waterbury, Vermont.
Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe. Chaikin Stock Research(CSR) is not registered as a securities broker dealer or investment advisor with either the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. CSR is not responsible for trades executed by users of this research report, our web site or mobile app based on the information included herein. The information presented in this report does not represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or any financial instrument nor is it intended as an endorsement of any security or investment. The information in this report is generic by nature and is not personalized to the specific financial situation of any individual. The user bears complete responsibility for their own investment research and should seek the advice of a qualified investment professional before making any investment decisions. Copyright (c) 1978-(Present) by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc ("ZACKS"). The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) includes the confidential and proprietary information of ZACKS, (2) may not be copied or redistributed, for any purpose, (3) does not constitute investment advice offered by ZACKS, (4) are provided solely for informational purposes, and (5) are not warranted or represented to be correct, complete, accurate or timely. ZACKS shall not be responsible for investment decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, use of this information, data, analyses or opinions. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. ZACKS is not affiliated with Chaikin Power Tools. This report from Chaikin Power Tools is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.
LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1
Data Provided by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc., www.zacks.com
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