Amer Finl Group (AFG)
Price: $30.78
Industry: Insurance Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Thu Sep 22 16:06 EDT 2011 AFG Amer Finl Group
$30.78
Power Gauge Rating
AFG - Neutral TM
The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for AFG is neutral with very attractive financial metrics, average earnings performance, bearish price/volume activity and very positive expert opinions.
Financial Metrics
AFG's financial metrics are excellent due to a low price to book value. Earnings Performance
Price and volume activity for AFG is bearish which is indicated by negative Chaikin money flow.
Price/Volume Activity
Despite these bullish factors, Chaikin Power Tools has identified a negative trend resulting in a neutral rating.
Expert Opinions
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral AFG Amer Finl Gro..
September 20, 2011
TM
Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for AFG is neutral. Stories concerning AFG have a balanced or neutral sentiment.
News Sentiment :Neutral
Power Trend - 5 Year Chart
The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential.
I want to receive special offers about trading stocks with your brokerage partner, optionsXpress. Click here
High Potential
Neutral
Low Potential
www.chaikinpowertools.com
Financials & Earnings
Financial Metrics
Financial Metrics Rating
Very Bullish
LT Debt/Equity Ratio
Price to Book Value
AFG's financial metrics are excellent. The company may be undervalued and generates high free cash flow relative to market capitalization.
Return on Equity
The rank is based on a low price to book value and relatively high cash flow.
Price to Sales Ratio
Business Value
Assets and Liabilities
Valuation
Returns
Ratio
TTM
Ratio
TTM
Ratio
TTM
Current Ratio
0.25
Price/Book
0.69
Return on Invest
7.1%
LT Debt/Equity
0.21
Price/Sales
0.69
Return on Equity
8.5%
Earnings Performance
Earnings Performance Rating
Neutral
Earnings Growth
AFG's earnings performance has been neutral. The company has a history of strong earnings growth and experienced relatively poor earnings growth in the past 12 months.
Earnings Surprise
Earnings Trend
The rank is based on high earnings growth over the past 3-5 years, better than expected earnings in recent quarters, a relatively poor trend in earnings this year and inconsistent earnings over the past 5 years.
Projected P/E Ratio
Earnings Consistency
5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth
Revenue(M) Rev % Growth EPS EPS % Growth
EPS Estimates
12/06
12/07
12/08
12/09
12/10
4,250.10
4,404.70
4,292.70
4,320.00
4,497.00
5.24%
3.64%
-2.54%
0.64%
4.10%
$3.75
$3.10
$1.68
$4.45
$4.33
113.92%
-17.33%
-45.81%
164.88%
-2.70%
EPS Surprise
Factor
Actual EPS Prev
EST EPS Current
Change
$1.21
$0.89
-0.32
Quarterly EPS Yearly EPS Factor
$4.33
$3.38
-0.95
Actual EPS Growth
Est EPS Growth
Change
2.21%
8.00%
+5.79
3-5 year EPS
EPS Quarterly Results Estimate
Actual
Difference
% Difference
FY
Qtr 1
Qtr 2
Qtr 3
Qtr 4
Total
Latest Qtr
$0.56
$0.78
$0.22
1 Qtr Ago
$0.75
$0.81
$0.06
39.29
12/09
$0.89
$1.09
$1.09
$1.38
$4.45
8.00
12/10
$0.93
$0.97
$1.21
$1.23
$4.34
2 Qtr Ago
$0.95
$1.03
3 Qtr Ago
$1.01
$1.07
$0.08
8.42
12/11
$0.79
$0.52
-
-
-
$0.06
5.94
Fiscal Year End Month is December.
I want to receive special offers about trading stocks with your brokerage partner, optionsXpress. Click here
www.chaikinpowertools.com
Price Trend & Expert Opinions Price/Volume Activity
Price/Volume Activity Rating
Bearish
Relative Strength vs Market
Chaikin Money Flow
Price and volume activity for AFG is bearish. AFG is experiencing sustained selling and is in a decelerating price trend compared to 4 months ago.
Price Trend
The rank for AFG is based on its price strength versus the market, negative Chaikin money flow, a positive Chaikin price trend, a negative Chaikin price trend ROC and a decreasing volume trend.
Price Trend ROC
Volume Trend
Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index
Chaikin Money Flow
Chart shows whether AFG is performing better or worse than the market.
Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.
Price Activity
Price Activity
Volume Activity
Factor
Value
Factor
52 Week High
36.03
% Change Price - 4 Weeks
-5.20%
Average Volume 20 Days
367,213
52 Week Low
29.64
% Change Price - 24 Weeks
-14.54%
Average Volume 90 Days
448,919
% Change YTD Rel S&P 500
5.67%
Expert Opinions
Value
% Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P
-4.32%
% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P
-2.18%
Factor
Value
Chaikin Money Flow Persistency
38%
Expert Opinions
Very Bullish
Earnings Estimate Revisions
Expert opinions about AFG are very positive. Shorting of AFG is low and analysts's opinions on AFG have been more positive recently.
Short Interest
Insider Activity
The rank for AFG is based on analysts revising earnings estimates upward, a low short interest ratio, insiders not purchasing significant amounts of stock and optimistic analyst opinions.
Analyst Opinions
Relative Strength vs Industry
Earnings Estimate Revisions Current Current Qtr Next Qtr
0.90 0.90 Current
Current FY
3.38
Analyst Recommendations
7 Days Ago % Change 0.90 0.90
0.00% 0.00%
30 Days Ago % Change 3.40
-0.02
Factor Mean this Week Mean Last Week
EPS Estimates Revision Summary Value
Buy 0.00
Mean 5 Weeks Ago
Buy
Last 4 Weeks
Down
Up
Down
Curr Qtr
0
0
0
1
Curr Yr
0
0
0
0
Next Qtr
0
0
0
0
Next Yr
0
0
0
1
Buy
Change
I want to receive special offers about trading stocks with your brokerage partner, optionsXpress. Click here
Last Week Up
www.chaikinpowertools.com
The Company & Its Competitors
News Headlines for AFG
AFG's Competitors in Insurance Company
Power Gauge
Historic EPS growth
Projected EPS growth
Profit Margin
PEG
PE
Revenue(M)
AFG
2.21%
8.00%
8.87%
1.14
8.34
4,497
ALL
-1.84%
9.33%
1.75%
2.41
22.42
31,400
BRK.A
12.71%
6.00%
7.46%
2.71
13.79
136,185
ACE
-1.91%
11.87%
15.65%
0.77
8.78
15,590
TRV
0.61%
10.33%
9.32%
1.19
10.30
25,112
PGR
1.02%
7.80%
7.62%
1.49
10.29
14,963
Assura Group of NY, Ltd., Introduces IncomeAssure, Unemployment Insurance Coverage to Supplement State Unemployment Benefits - Aug 17, 2011 Assura Group of NY, Ltd., Introduces IncomeAssure, Unemployment Insurance Coverage to Supplement State Unemployment Benefits - Aug 17, 2011 Great American Insurance Acquires Equipment Maintenance Business from CUNA Mutual Group - Jun 30, 2011
Company Details
Company Profile
AMER FINL GROUP ONE EAST FOURTH STREET SUITE 919 CINCINNATI, OH 45202 USA Phone: 5135792121 Fax: 513-579-2113 Website: http://http://www.amfnl.com Full Time Employees: 5,100 Sector: Finance
American Financial Group is a holding company which, through its subsidiaries, is engaged primarily in private passenger automobile and specialty property and casualty insurance businesses and in the sale of tax-deferred annuities and certain life and supplemental health insurance products.
Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe. Chaikin Stock Research(CSR) is not registered as a securities broker dealer or investment advisor with either the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. CSR is not responsible for trades executed by users of this research report, our web site or mobile app based on the information included herein. The information presented in this report does not represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or any financial instrument nor is it intended as an endorsement of any security or investment. The information in this report is generic by nature and is not personalized to the specific financial situation of any individual. The user bears complete responsibility for their own investment research and should seek the advice of a qualified investment professional before making any investment decisions. Copyright (c) 1978-(Present) by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc ("ZACKS"). The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) includes the confidential and proprietary information of ZACKS, (2) may not be copied or redistributed, for any purpose, (3) does not constitute investment advice offered by ZACKS, (4) are provided solely for informational purposes, and (5) are not warranted or represented to be correct, complete, accurate or timely. ZACKS shall not be responsible for investment decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, use of this information, data, analyses or opinions. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. ZACKS is not affiliated with Chaikin Power Tools. This report from Chaikin Power Tools is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.
LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1
Data Provided by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc., www.zacks.com
Special offers to trade stocks from optionsXpress: www.chaikinpowertools.com