Stock Research Report for JPM as of 8/17/11 - Chaikin Power Tools

Page 1

Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)

Price: $36.03

Industry: Banks-Major Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Wed Aug 17 10:46 EDT 2011 JPM Jpmorgan Chase

$36.03

Power Gauge Rating

JPM - Neutral TM

The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for JPM is neutral and reflects poor financial metrics, very strong earnings performance, bullish price/volume activity and neutral expert opinions.

Financial Metrics

JPM's earnings performance is very strong as a result of a relatively low projected P/E ratio.

Earnings Performance

JPM's financial metrics are poor due to a high long term debt to equity ratio.

Price/Volume Activity

Expert Opinions

News Sentiment Rating

Bearish JPM Jpmorgan Chase

August 17, 2011

TM

Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for JPM is bearish. There is currently a significant negative sentiment within news stories concerning JPM.

News Sentiment :Negative

Power Trend - 5 Year Chart

The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential.

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High Potential

Neutral

Low Potential

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Financials & Earnings

Financial Metrics

Financial Metrics Rating

Bearish

LT Debt/Equity Ratio

JPM's financial metrics are poor. The company is carrying too much long term debt and has relatively low revenue per share.

Price to Book Value

The rank is based on a high long term debt to equity ratio, low price to book value and high price to sales ratio.

Return on Equity

Price to Sales Ratio

Business Value

Assets and Liabilities

Valuation

Returns

Ratio

TTM

Ratio

TTM

Ratio

TTM

Current Ratio

0.96

Price/Book

0.82

Return on Invest

3.6%

LT Debt/Equity

1.81

Price/Sales

1.39

Return on Equity

11.9%

Earnings Performance

Earnings Performance Rating

Very Bullish

Earnings Growth

JPM's earnings performance has been very strong. The company is priced relatively low compared to next year's projected EPS and has a stable 5 year earnings trend.

Earnings Surprise

Earnings Trend

The rank is based on poor EPS growth over the past 3-5 years, better than expected earnings in recent quarters, an upward trend in earnings this year, a relatively low projected P/E ratio and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.

Projected P/E Ratio

Earnings Consistency

5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth

Revenue(M) Rev % Growth EPS EPS % Growth

EPS Estimates

12/06

12/07

12/08

12/09

12/10

61,437.00

116,353.00

67,252.00

100,434.00

102,694.00

12.67%

89.39%

-42.20%

49.34%

2.25%

$4.16

$4.51

$1.41

$2.27

$3.96

74.79%

8.41%

-68.74%

60.99%

74.45%

EPS Surprise

Factor

Actual EPS Prev

EST EPS Current

Change

$1.02

$1.23

+0.21

Quarterly EPS Yearly EPS Factor

$3.96

$5.01

+1.05

Actual EPS Growth

Est EPS Growth

Change

22.29%

6.75%

-15.54

3-5 year EPS

EPS Quarterly Results Estimate

Actual

Difference

Latest Qtr

$1.21

$1.27

$0.06

1 Qtr Ago

$1.16

$1.28

$0.12

2 Qtr Ago

$1.00

$1.12

$0.12

3 Qtr Ago

$0.91

$1.01

$0.10

% Difference

FY

Qtr 1

Qtr 2

Qtr 3

Qtr 4

Total

4.96

12/09

$0.40

$0.28

$0.82

$0.75

$2.25

10.34

12/10

$0.75

$1.10

$1.02

$1.12

$3.99

12.00

12/11

$1.29

$1.28

-

-

-

10.99

Fiscal Year End Month is December.

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Price Trend & Expert Opinions Price/Volume Activity

Price/Volume Activity Rating

Bullish

Relative Strength vs Market

Chaikin Money Flow

Price and volume activity for JPM is bullish. JPM is in an accelerating price trend compared to 4 months ago and is trading on higher volume than its 90 day average volume.

Price Trend

The rank for JPM is based on its relative weakness versus the market, negative Chaikin money flow, a positive Chaikin price trend ROC and an increasing volume trend.

Price Trend ROC

Volume Trend

Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index

Chaikin Money Flow

Chart shows whether JPM is performing better or worse than the market.

Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.

Price Activity

Price Activity

Volume Activity

Factor

Value

Factor

52 Week High

48.00

% Change Price - 4 Weeks

-10.80%

Average Volume 20 Days

48,146,488

52 Week Low

34.06

% Change Price - 24 Weeks

-20.99%

Average Volume 90 Days

35,989,938

% Change YTD Rel S&P 500

-9.69%

Expert Opinions

Value

% Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P

-0.78%

% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P

-13.46%

Factor

Value

Chaikin Money Flow Persistency

34%

Expert Opinions

Neutral

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Expert opinions about JPM are neutral. Shorting of JPM is low and analysts's opinions on JPM have been more negative recently.

Short Interest

Insider Activity

The rank for JPM is based on analysts revising earnings estimates downward, a low short interest ratio, insiders purchasing stock, pessimistic analyst opinions and relative weakness of the stock versus the Banks-Major industry group.

Analyst Opinions

Relative Strength vs Industry

Earnings Estimate Revisions Current Current Qtr Next Qtr

1.23 1.24 Current

Current FY

5.01

Analyst Recommendations

7 Days Ago % Change 1.22 1.24

+0.82% 0.00%

30 Days Ago % Change 5.03

-0.02

EPS Estimates Revision Summary

Factor Mean this Week Mean Last Week

Value

Strong Buy 0.00

Last 4 Weeks

Down

Up

Down

Curr Qtr

0

2

1

2

Curr Yr

0

3

1

4

Next Qtr

0

3

0

3

Next Yr

0

3

0

3

Strong Buy

Change Mean 5 Weeks Ago

Last Week Up

Strong Buy

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The Company & Its Competitors

News Headlines for JPM

JPM's Competitors in Banks-Major Historic EPS growth

Projected EPS growth

Profit Margin

PEG

PE

Revenue(M)

Alabama county rejects settling $3.1B in debt Aug 12, 2011

JPM

22.29%

6.75%

19.85%

1.07

7.70

102,694

WFC

22.35%

8.33%

15.97%

1.05

9.52

93,249

Alabama county rejects settling $3.1B in debt Aug 12, 2011

USB

4.55%

6.25%

19.73%

1.53

10.87

20,518

BBT

7.47%

6.75%

9.05%

1.75

15.30

11,072

PNC

31.49%

6.67%

23.24%

1.15

7.35

17,096

2.80%

7.66%

12.35%

0.95

9.10

86,601

BAC

15.58%

7.80%

-14.72%

-

-

134,194

BK

14.72%

7.00%

18.14%

1.31

9.13

13,875

Company

Power Gauge

Firm accused of defrauding 5 Wis. school districts - Aug 10, 2011 Regulator sues Goldman Sachs over risky mortgages - Aug 9, 2011 N.M. Claims Settled In Scheme - Aug 7, 2011

C

Company Details

Company Profile

JPMORGAN CHASE 270 PARK AVE 38TH FL NEW YORK, NY 10017 USA Phone: 2122706000 Fax: 212-270-1648 Website: http://http://www.jpmorganchase.co m Full Time Employees: 239,831 Sector: Finance

J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. is a leading global financial services firm. The firm is a leader in investment banking, asset management, private banking, private equity, custody and transaction services and retail and middle market financial services. A component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, JPMorgan Chase is headquartered in New York and serves more than 30 million consumer customers and the world's most prominent corporate, institutional and government clients.

Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe. Chaikin Stock Research(CSR) is not registered as a securities broker dealer or investment advisor with either the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. CSR is not responsible for trades executed by users of this research report, our web site or mobile app based on the information included herein. The information presented in this report does not represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or any financial instrument nor is it intended as an endorsement of any security or investment. The information in this report is generic by nature and is not personalized to the specific financial situation of any individual. The user bears complete responsibility for their own investment research and should seek the advice of a qualified investment professional before making any investment decisions. Copyright (c) 1978-(Present) by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc ("ZACKS"). The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) includes the confidential and proprietary information of ZACKS, (2) may not be copied or redistributed, for any purpose, (3) does not constitute investment advice offered by ZACKS, (4) are provided solely for informational purposes, and (5) are not warranted or represented to be correct, complete, accurate or timely. ZACKS shall not be responsible for investment decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, use of this information, data, analyses or opinions. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. ZACKS is not affiliated with Chaikin Power Tools. This report from Chaikin Power Tools is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1

Data Provided by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc., www.zacks.com

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