Stock Research Report for M as of 7/8/11 - Chaikin Power Tools

Page 1

MACYS INC (M)

Price: $30.46

Industry: Nonfood Retail-Wholesale Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Fri Jul 08 15:56 EDT 2011 M MACYS INC

$30.46

Power Gauge Rating

M - Very Bullish TM

The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for M is very bullish due to very strong earnings performance and very positive expert opinions. M's earnings performance is very strong as a result of better than expected earnings in recent quarters and an upward trend in earnings this year.

Financial Metrics

Earnings Performance

Price/Volume Activity

Expert Opinions

News Sentiment Rating

Neutral M MACYS INC

July 08, 2011

TM

Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for M is neutral. Stories concerning M have a balanced or neutral sentiment.

News Sentiment :Neutral

Power Trend - 5 Year Chart

The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential.

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High Potential

Neutral

Low Potential

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Financials & Earnings

Financial Metrics

Financial Metrics Rating

Neutral

LT Debt/Equity Ratio

M's financial metrics are neutral. The company yields a high return on shareholder's equity and is carrying too much long term debt.

Price to Book Value

The rank is based on a high long term debt to equity ratio, high return on equity, high price to sales ratio and relatively high cash flow.

Return on Equity

Price to Sales Ratio

Business Value

Assets and Liabilities

Valuation

Returns

Ratio

TTM

Ratio

TTM

Ratio

TTM

Current Ratio

1.26

Price/Book

2.28

Return on Invest

8.2%

LT Debt/Equity

1.26

Price/Sales

0.52

Return on Equity

19.0%

Earnings Performance

Earnings Performance Rating

Very Bullish

Earnings Growth

M's earnings performance has been very strong. The company has outperformed analysts' earnings estimates and experienced superior earnings growth in the past 12 months.

Earnings Surprise

Earnings Trend

The rank is based on poor EPS growth over the past 3-5 years, better than expected earnings in recent quarters, an upward trend in earnings this year, a relatively low projected P/E ratio and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.

Projected P/E Ratio

Earnings Consistency

5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth

Revenue(M) Rev % Growth EPS EPS % Growth

EPS Estimates

01/07

01/08

01/09

01/10

01/11

26,970.00

26,313.00

24,892.00

23,489.00

25,003.00

20.46%

-2.44%

-5.40%

-5.64%

6.45%

$1.84

$2.00

$0.67

$0.83

$2.00

-44.24%

8.70%

-66.50%

23.88%

140.96%

EPS Surprise

Factor

Actual EPS Prev

EST EPS Current

Change

$0.35

$0.46

+0.11

Quarterly EPS Yearly EPS Factor

$2.00

$2.50

+0.50

Actual EPS Growth

Est EPS Growth

Change

2.69%

6.50%

+3.81

3-5 year EPS

EPS Quarterly Results Estimate

Actual

Difference

% Difference

Latest Qtr

$0.18

$0.30

$0.12

66.67

1 Qtr Ago

$1.51

$1.59

$0.08

5.30

2 Qtr Ago

$0.03

$0.08

$0.05

166.67

3 Qtr Ago

$0.28

$0.35

$0.07

25.00

FY

Qtr 1

Qtr 2

Qtr 3

Qtr 4

Total

01/09

$-0.21

$0.02

$-0.08

$1.10

$0.83

01/10

$0.05

$0.35

$0.02

$1.57

$1.99

01/11

$0.31

-

-

-

-

Fiscal Year End Month is January.

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Price Trend & Expert Opinions Price/Volume Activity

Price/Volume Activity Rating

Neutral

Relative Strength vs Market

Chaikin Money Flow

Price and volume activity for M is neutral. M has outperformed the S&P 500 over 26 weeks and is in a decelerating price trend compared to 4 months ago.

Price Trend

The rank for M is based on its price strength versus the market, positive Chaikin money flow, a positive Chaikin price trend, a negative Chaikin price trend ROC and a decreasing volume trend.

Price Trend ROC

Volume Trend

Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index

Chaikin Money Flow

Chart shows whether M is performing better or worse than the market.

Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.

Price Activity

Price Activity

Factor

Value

Factor

52 Week High

30.46

52 Week Low

17.16

% Change YTD Rel S&P 500

10.87%

Expert Opinions

Volume Activity Value

Factor

% Change Price - 4 Weeks

8.28%

Average Volume 20 Days

7,395,910

% Change Price - 24 Weeks

30.17%

Average Volume 90 Days

9,022,399

% Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P

3.14%

% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P

23.15%

Value

Chaikin Money Flow Persistency

61%

Expert Opinions

Very Bullish

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Expert opinions about M are very positive. Analysts are raising their EPS estimates for M and analysts's opinions on M have been more positive recently.

Short Interest

Insider Activity

The rank for M is based on analysts revising earnings estimates upward, a low short interest ratio, insiders not purchasing significant amounts of stock, optimistic analyst opinions and price strength of the stock versus the Nonfood RetailWholesale industry group.

Analyst Opinions

Relative Strength vs Industry

Earnings Estimate Revisions Current Current Qtr Next Qtr

0.46 0.13 Current

Current FY

2.50

Analyst Recommendations

7 Days Ago % Change 0.44 0.13

+4.55% 0.00%

30 Days Ago % Change 2.49

0.01

Factor Mean this Week Mean Last Week

EPS Estimates Revision Summary Value

Buy 0.00

Mean 5 Weeks Ago

Buy

Last 4 Weeks

Down

Up

Down

Curr Qtr

2

0

2

0

Curr Yr

0

0

2

0

Next Qtr

1

0

2

0

Next Yr

2

0

3

0

Buy

Change

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Last Week Up

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The Company & Its Competitors

News Headlines for M

M's Competitors in Nonfood Retail-Wholesale Company

Power Gauge

Historic EPS growth

Projected EPS growth

Profit Margin

PEG

PE

Revenue(M)

2.69%

6.50%

3.77%

1.88

13.13

25,003

DDS

-4.00%

-

3.35%

-

19.41

6,121

BONT

29.55%

-

0.30%

-

15.71

3,046

KSS

6.66%

12.00%

6.25%

1.06

14.45

18,391

SKS

-10.79%

18.75%

2.02%

1.88

50.87

2,786

JCP

-1.01%

12.00%

2.21%

1.29

20.82

17,759

M

Compuware buys dynaTrace for $256 million Jul 6, 2011 Owner of parking garage across from Macy's downtown files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy - Jun 27, 2011 Knife sets recall 06 14 - Jun 14, 2011 Kohl's Raises Profit Forecast, Citing a Stronger Consumer - May 13, 2011 Matthew Williamson Capsule Collection Launches Tomorrow Only at Macy’s - Apr 12, 2011

Company Details

Company Profile

MACYS INC 7 WEST SEVENTH STREET CINCINNATI, OH 45202 USA Phone: 5135797000 Fax: 513-579-7555 Website: http://http://www.macysinc.com Full Time Employees: 166,000 Sector: Retail/Wholesale

Federated Department Stores, through its subsidiaries, is one of the leading operators of full-line department stores in the United States. The Company's subsidiaries operate department stores under the names Bloomingdale's, The Bon Marche, Burdines, Goldsmith's, Lazarus, Macy's, Rich's and Stern's. These department stores sell a wide range of merchandise, including men's, women's and children's apparel and accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods.

Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe. Chaikin Stock Research(CSR) is not registered as a securities broker dealer or investment advisor with either the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. CSR is not responsible for trades executed by users of this research report, our web site or mobile app based on the information included herein. The information presented in this report does not represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or any financial instrument nor is it intended as an endorsement of any security or investment. The information in this report is generic by nature and is not personalized to the specific financial situation of any individual. The user bears complete responsibility for their own investment research and should seek the advice of a qualified investment professional before making any investment decisions. Copyright (c) 1978-(Present) by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc ("ZACKS"). The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) includes the confidential and proprietary information of ZACKS, (2) may not be copied or redistributed, for any purpose, (3) does not constitute investment advice offered by ZACKS, (4) are provided solely for informational purposes, and (5) are not warranted or represented to be correct, complete, accurate or timely. ZACKS shall not be responsible for investment decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, use of this information, data, analyses or opinions. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. ZACKS is not affiliated with Chaikin Power Tools. This report from Chaikin Power Tools is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1

Data Provided by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc., www.zacks.com

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