The Chaikin Approach To Finding Winners and Avoiding Landmines
Eric Chaikin Director of User Experience / Product Strategy
June 18, 2014 Š 2014 Chaikin Analytics All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
Welcome
Chaikin Analytics for Desktop Š 2013 Chaikin Analytics LLC. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
What We’ll Cover
1. Welcome new clients
2. Review the Chaikin approach
3. FAQs 4. What we’re working on 5. Q&A © 2013 Chaikin Analytics LLC. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
Chaikin Power Gauge Clear summary of a stock's potential – with a record of success
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Financials
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Earnings
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Technical s
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Experts
© 2013 Chaikin Analytics LLC. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
Performance Results Trailing 12 mos vs. S&P 500
Universe
Annualized Return
SP500 Index
+18.3%
Power Gauge Very Bullish
+26.52%
Period: Jun 2013-Jun 2014 - annualized performance including dividends, monthly rebalancing. Results look at ‘raw’ Power Gauge rating without technical overlay. SP500 is index is cap-weighted.
Very Bullish & Bullish stocks outperforming the S&P. Very Bearish & Bearish stocks underperforming.
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© 2013 Chaikin Analytics All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
Chaikin Approach: Classic Bulls 1. Very Bullish/Bullish Power Gauge 2. Above rising long-term trend 3. Strong Money Flow persistency 4. Strong Relative Strength 5: Timing: Signals, OB/OS, Support levels
Confirm Group
w/ Strong Industry Š 2013 Chaikin Analytics LLC. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
Bullish Examples
Let’s go to the Desktop… Strong Industries: Oil: HES etc Banks: BMA, BMO, TD Alcoa, AAPL, Allergan (takeover bid)
© 2013 Chaikin Analytics LLC. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
Chaikin Approach: Classic Bears 1. Very Bearish/Bearish Power Gauge 2. Below falling long-term trend 3. Weak Money Flow persistency 4. Weak Relative Strength 5: Timing: Signals, OB/OS, Resistance levels
Confirm
w/ Weak Industry
Š 2013 Chaikin Analytics LLC. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
Bearish Examples
Let’s go to the Desktop… SPLK COH ATH N LULU LNKD HD WF
Some are pure shorts, some avoiding landmines - We won’t always find exact tops - But we will often keep you from greater harm - Playing defense just as important to total return
© 2013 Chaikin Analytics LLC. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
“Personality Changes” - When to Exit
Examples in the Desktop… CMCSA KMP
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FAQs -
Factor questions -
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Overlay questions -
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Analyst Ratings Technical factors vs Technical Rating Industry Strength
Neutral+/- meaning Why Bullish below Trend?
Chaikin Money Flow -
Is negative money flow a ‘dealbreaker’? Not always Persistency: Strong persistency can confirm a buy Very weak = dealbreaker Short-Term - Some regions of red expected on as pullbacks; not a deal breaker - Strong non-confirmation of a rally: warning sign © 2013 Chaikin Analytics LLC. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
FAQs
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Putting on Options positions -
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Chaikin helps w selecting the underlies and timing Stay in-the-money and leave 3-6 months careful of very ST positions
Model Portfolio -
It’s a published rule-based portfolio; not a managed portfolio Russell 1000 w/ a low Price-to-Book & Very Bullish overlay Neutrals remain; Bearish replaced weekly (only 1 so far) Similar to how we build our NASDAQ/Chaikin Indices Doubled the S&P so far in 2014
Š 2013 Chaikin Analytics LLC. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
What We’re Up To -
Better clarity -
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Easier access to Great - Filtering the low-quality names Ideas - Clarifying the “Best of the Best” -
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In-app help, better explanation of Ratings, Charts, Indicators, Signals, etc
Make them easier to find; less hunting and pecking Pushing them to the top in an easy-toscan view
ETF Ratings © 2013 Chaikin Analytics LLC. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.
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Š 2013 Chaikin Analytics LLC. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.