C O L L I E R S I N T E R N AT I O N A L
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GLOBAL
Highlights INDUSTRIAL
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2009
Warehouse Markets Worldwide Starting to Feel Impact of Global Downturn
GLOBAL TOP TEN INDUSTRIAL WAREHOUSE RENTS (US$PSF)
Tokyo
24.31
London (Heathrow)
19.54
Oslo
17.68
Hong Kong
16.88
Geneva
15.84
Dublin
15.72
Honolulu
14.90
Singapore
14.64
Kyiv
14.50
Madrid
13.75
GLOBAL LOWEST TEN INDUSTRIAL CAPITALIZATION RATES (PRIME YIELD/PERCENT)
Europe, Middle East, Africa (EMEA) – European, Middle Eastern and African economies registered a further slowdown in the latter half of 2008 with the Euro zone and United Kingdom in particular posting very sluggish growth. Fourth quarter annualized Euro zone GDP registered -5.9% while the downturn in the United Kingdom, Ireland and Spain gained speed as the banking crisis began to affect the broader economy. European warehouse markets, after showing surprising strength through the first half of 2008, registered a noticeable slowdown in the second half of the year. For 2009, warehouse rents are expected to decline in; France, Sweden, Russia, Ireland, South Africa, Spain and the United Kingdom. For the rest of the EMEA region, however, solid fundamentals are expected to leave rents steady. Europe is also home to some of the most expensive warehouse rents in the world with London’s Heathrow submarket holding the title for the second most expensive warehouse space in the world at $19.54 per square foot per year. Not surprisingly London’s Heathrow submarket registered the most expensive land in the EMEA region at $69.75 per square foot. North America – As anticipated, U.S. and Canadian warehouse markets registered more sluggish results during the second half of 2008 compared with the first, however, Canadian markets still managed to see a modest increase in occupancy and only a marginal up-tick in vacancy. As the U.S. economy continues to cool leasing activity is expected to show a further decrease as the effects of the slowdown in spending feeds through to retailers and warehouse users. With weakening fundamentals, most North American markets could see rents decrease by as much at 15/20% in 2009. Asia Pacific – Asia Pacific continued to be the most robust region in the world; however, exportdependent economies experienced a noticeable slowdown in the second half of 2008. Seoul, Singapore, Tokyo and Hong Kong all registered a substantial decline in rents. This pattern is expected to continue for the balance of 2009; although intra-regional trade is anticipated to stay relatively strong. Port cities with an emphasis on trade with the United States and Europe are expected to remain key sources of weakness as global trade continues to trend lower. Despite the recent downturn in global trade, Tokyo, Hong Kong and Singapore warehouse rents all rank in the top ten with Tokyo lease rates the most expensive in the world at $24.31 per square foot. Within the region, Tokyo was followed by Hong Kong in fourth spot at $16.88 per square foot and Singapore in eighth at $14.64 per square foot. Hong Kong also tied with Zurich for the lowest industrial cap rates in the world registering 5.50%, although COUNTRY GROWTH RATES (%) G7 AND BRIC COUNTRIES this represented a 37-basis-point increase from midyear. *
Zurich
5.50
Hong Kong
5.50
San Francisco Peninsula
5.75
Tokyo
5.80
London (Heathrow)
6.00
Los Angeles - Inland Empire
6.10
Los Angeles
6.20
Düsseldorf
6.40
San Jose/Silicon Valley
6.40
Vancouver
6.60
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)
Country China India Brazil Canada France Russia United States Italy Britain Germany Japan
2009P
2010F
6.0 5.0 -0.4 -1.5 -1.9 -2.0 -2.2 -2.7 -3.1 -3.2 -5.3
7.0 6.6 3.2 1.7 0.7 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.5
Ross J. Moore Executive Vice President, Market and Economic Research Colliers International USA, ross.moore@colliers.com
Source: Economist Consensus Forecast – March 12, 2009 * BRIC: Brazil, Russia, India and China P = Projected F = Forecast
www.colliers.com Colliers International 2009 • Colliers International is a worldwide affiliation of independently owned and operated companies.
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
1
GLOBAL
CITY
COUNTRY
EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST, AFRICA (EMEA) Vienna Austria Antwerp Belgium Bulgaria Sofia Zagreb Croatia Brno Czech Republic Ostrava Czech Republic Pilsen Czech Republic Prague Czech Republic Copenhagen Denmark Tallinn Estonia Helsinki Finland Bordeaux France Lille France Lyon France Marseille France Paris France Toulouse France Düsseldorf Germany Frankfurt Germany Munich Germany Stuttgart Germany Hamburg Gernany Athens Greece Budapest Hungary Dublin Ireland Tel Aviv Israel Milan Italy Rome Italy Riga Latvia Vilnius Lithuana Kaunas Lithuania Klaipeda Lithuania Panevezys Lithuania Podgorica Montenegro Oslo Norway Gdańsk Poland Katowice Poland Kraków Poland Łódź Poland Poznań Poland Warsaw Poland Wrocław Poland Lisbon Portugal Bucharest Romania Timisoara Romania Moscow Russia Saint Petersburg Russia Belgrade Serbia Bratislava Slovakia Cape Peninsula South Africa Durban South Africa Gauteng - Central Witwatersrand South Africa Gauteng - East Rand South Africa Gauteng - Westrand South Africa Pretoria South Africa
2
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
INDUSTRIAL SURVEY
UNIT
MEASURE QUOTED CURRENCY
TIME PERIOD
SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM
EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR DKK EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR ILS EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR USD USD EUR EUR ZAR ZAR ZAR ZAR ZAR ZAR
Month Year Month Month Month Month Month Month Year Month Month Year Year Year Year Year Year Month Month Month Month Month Month Month Year Month Year Year Month Month Month Month Month Month Year Month Month Month Month Month Month Month Month Month Month Year Year Month Month Month Month Month Month Month Month
LOCAL MEASURE, CURRENCY
PRIME WAREHOUSE PRIME BULK RENT RENT (LOCAL (LOCAL MEASURE, MEASURE, CURRENCY) CURRENCY)
6.00 45.00 6.00 8.00 4.40 4.10 4.00 4.40 600.00 7.00 8.00 57.00 57.00 52.00 55.00 90.00 52.00 5.40 5.00 6.50 6.40 5.60 6.50 4.20 120.00 40.00 60.00 60.00 4.80 5.20 5.20 5.20 4.60 – 135.00 3.90 3.70 4.50 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.70 7.00 5.00 4.50 145.00 120.00 6.00 3.80 39.00 60.00 40.00 44.00 40.00 45.00
5.00 40.00 4.50 8.00 4.10 3.90 3.70 4.00 625.00 – 7.50 46.00 46.00 48.00 46.00 52.00 45.00 4.70 5.90 5.80 5.50 5.60 6.00 3.60 115.00 38.00 50.00 70.00 4.40 4.05 3.76 3.76 3.48 – 105.00 3.50 3.20 4.20 3.20 3.20 3.10 3.30 5.50 4.00 4.00 140.00 110.00 5.00 3.40 38.00 45.00 38.00 38.00 32.50 42.00
PRIME LAND VALUE (LOCAL MEASURE, CURRENCY)
PRIME YEILD/CAP RATE (%)
200.00 140.00 68.00 115.00 45.00 35.00 30.00 50.00 500.00 50.00 70.00 65.00 50.00 70.00 65.00 120.00 72.00 180.00 220.00 225.00 250.00 120.00 200.00 50.00 200.00 1,840.00 150.00 60.00 21.00 46.00 40.00 46.00 16.00 120.00 150.00 40.00 45.00 78.00 30.00 45.00 60.00 45.00 125.00 65.00 45.00 180.00 120.00 40.00 50.00 1,200.00 1,800.00 650.00 400.00 675.00 600.00
8.00 7.00 – 10.00 9.00 9.50 9.50 8.50 6.75 11.50 7.50 7.40 7.40 7.40 7.40 7.00 7.40 6.40 7.00 6.90 6.80 7.50 7.50 8.50 7.25 10.00 7.00 7.00 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 7.00 7.75 8.10 8.10 8.10 8.10 8.10 7.00 8.10 7.50 8.50 10.00 14.00 16.00 9.50 7.25 10.00 11.00 11.50 11.00 11.00 11.00
GLOBAL
CITY
COUNTRY
EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST, AFRICA (EMEA) Barcelona Spain Madrid Spain Gothenburg Sweden Malmö Sweden Stockholm Sweden Geneva Switzerland Zurich Switzerland Amsterdam The Netherlands Eindhoven The Netherlands Rotterdam The Netherlands The Hague The Netherlands Utrecht The Netherlands Istanbul Turkey Birmingham United Kingdom Bristol United Kingdom Leeds United Kingdom London (Heathrow) United Kingdom Manchester United Kingdom Kyiv Ukraine NORTH AMERICA Calgary, AB Canada Edmonton, AB Canada Halifax, NS Canada Montreal, QC Canada Ottawa, ON Canada Regina, SK Canada Saskatoon, SK Canada Toronto, ON Canada Vancouver, BC Canada Atlanta, GA United States Bakersfield, CA United States Baltimore, MD United States Boise, ID United States Charleston, SC United States Charlotte, NC United States Chicago, IL United States Cincinnati, OH United States Cleveland, OH United States Columbia, SC United States Columbus, OH United States Dallas-Ft.Worth,TX United States Denver, CO United States Detroit, MI United States Fairfield, CA United States Fresno, CA United States Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL United States Greenville, SC United States Hartford, CT United States Honolulu, HI United States Houston,TX United States Indianapolis, IN United States Jacksonville, FL United States Kansas City, MO United States Las Vegas, NV United States Little Rock, AR United States
INDUSTRIAL SURVEY
UNIT
MEASURE QUOTED CURRENCY
TIME PERIOD
LOCAL MEASURE, CURRENCY
PRIME WAREHOUSE PRIME BULK RENT RENT (LOCAL (LOCAL MEASURE, MEASURE, CURRENCY) CURRENCY)
PRIME LAND VALUE (LOCAL MEASURE, CURRENCY)
PRIME YEILD/CAP RATE (%)
CONTINUED
SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SM SF SF SF SF SF SM
EUR EUR SEK SEK SEK CHF CHF Euro EUR EUR EUR EUR EUR GBP GBP GBP GBP GBP USD
Month Month Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Month Year Year Year Year Year Month
SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF
CAD CAD CAD CAD CAD CAD CAD CAD CAD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD
Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year
8.00 8.75 750.00 650.00 875.00 180.00 150.00 90.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 75.00 6.50 5.90 7.75 5.75 13.50 5.75 13.00
5.50 5.50 600.00 525.00 575.00 120.00 150.00 65.00 48.00 56.00 68.00 65.00 6.00 5.25 5.75 5.00 12.50 4.50 11.00
445.00 375.00 850.00 700.00 1,000.00 300.00 500.00 384.00 200.00 195.00 185.00 190.00 250.00 9.18 9.18 6.80 48.20 7.46 43.00
8.50 8.50 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.00 5.50 7.00 7.30 7.30 7.50 7.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 6.00 8.00 15.00
6.75 7.50 6.75 5.00 7.00 8.50 8.00 6.00 7.75 3.90 4.00 5.83 6.72 4.00 3.85 4.66 2.90 3.00 4.25 3.23 3.25 4.75 4.57 6.00 3.84 7.87 3.13 5.75 14.90 5.60 6.70 4.00 4.35 7.09 3.25
7.25 6.75 5.50 4.50 6.66 6.00 7.50 5.50 6.75 3.32 3.95 4.57 6.72 4.65 3.55 3.12 3.00 3.75 4.00 3.18 3.05 3.75 – – 3.60 7.28 3.25 4.50 – 5.05 3.17 3.75 4.00 – –
12.05 24.65 4.25 11.00 6.00 6.00 8.04 86.64 31.00 1.51 5.00 5.73 4.20 2.90 2.18 5.58 2.00 1.32 1.26 2.04 1.75 4.00 1.15 – 4.00 20.00 1.31 2.30 41.00 3.75 7.09 3.00 2.25 20.07 2.48
7.00 7.25 7.50 9.50 8.75 9.45 8.00 7.50 6.60 7.80 7.50 8.00 7.30 9.00 8.50 7.25 8.50 10.25 7.75 8.50 8.00 7.00 8.00 – 8.00 8.45 8.38 9.50 – 8.70 – 8.00 7.60 7.97 9.00
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
3
GLOBAL
CITY
COUNTRY
NORTH AMERICA CONTINUED Los Angeles - Inland Empire, CA United States Los Angeles, CA United States Louisville, KY United States Memphis,TN United States Miami, FL United States Milwaukee,WI United States Minneapolis, MN United States Nashville,TN United States New Jersey - Central United States New Jersey - Northern United States Oakland, CA United States Orange County, CA United States Orlando, FL United States Philadelphia, PA United States Phoenix, AZ United States Pleasanton/Walnut Creek, CA United States Portland, OR United States Raleigh, NC United States Reno, NV United States Sacramento, CA United States San Diego, CA United States San Francisco Pen. - San Mateo, CA United States San Jose/Silicon Valley, CA United States Santa Rosa/Sonoma County, CA United States Seattle/Puget Sound,WA United States St. Louis, MO United States Stockton/San Joaquin County, CA United States Tampa Bay, FL United States Washington, DC United States West Palm Beach, FL United States ASIA PACIFIC Adelaide Australia Brisbane Australia Melbourne Australia Perth Australia Sydney Australia Beijing China Hong Kong China Shanghai China Delhi India Jakarta Indonesia Tokyo Japan Auckland New Zealand Christchurch New Zealand Wellington New Zealand Singapore Singapore Seoul South Korea LATIN AMERICA Buenos Aires Argentina São Paulo Brazil Santiago Chile Bogota Columbia San José Costa Rica Mexico City Mexico Lima Peru
4
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
INDUSTRIAL SURVEY
UNIT
MEASURE QUOTED CURRENCY
SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF
USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD
Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year
SM SM SM SM SM SM SF SM SF SM SM SM SM SM SF SM
AUD AUD AUD AUD AUD CNY HKD RMB INR IDR JPY NZD NZD NZD SDG KRW
SM SM SM SM SM SM SM
USD BRL USD USD USD USD USD
TIME PERIOD
LOCAL MEASURE, CURRENCY
PRIME WAREHOUSE PRIME BULK RENT RENT (LOCAL (LOCAL MEASURE, MEASURE, CURRENCY) CURRENCY)
PRIME LAND VALUE (LOCAL MEASURE, CURRENCY)
PRIME YEILD/CAP RATE (%)
4.81 7.32 3.50 2.69 7.81 4.25 4.50 4.00 5.20 6.50 5.28 8.99 5.68 4.75 5.97 4.56 5.52 4.40 3.24 6.36 8.76 11.28 6.60 8.40 6.57 3.50 3.84 5.51 8.48 8.86
4.73 7.02 3.50 2.62 7.34 3.70 4.24 3.52 5.01 5.95 6.36 8.23 5.10 4.25 8.33 – 5.52 3.75 2.76 4.20 – 11.28 9.48 10.80 7.26 2.95 – 5.02 – 7.88
14.35 30.50 2.64 0.83 25.00 2.50 3.28 1.61 5.70 10.50 44.81 42.00 4.50 3.45 5.50 13.75 9.20 3.00 4.00 6.50 14.47 115.00 78.40 15.00 15.49 4.00 6.00 4.75 – 13.00
6.10 6.20 9.50 11.50 – 8.75 8.50 8.06 7.00 7.00 7.50 7.00 7.60 8.30 7.60 – 6.73 8.50
Year Year Year Year Year Month Month Day Month Month Month Year Year Year Month Month
100.00 117.50 90.00 122.50 130.00 30.40 10.90 0.90 30.00 30,277.00 1,970.00 131.00 97.00 112.00 1.76 12,000.00
85.00 100.00 70.00 122.50 100.00 24.32 8.76 0.98 30.00 – 1,970.00 95.00 64.00 80.00 1.30 10,000.00
500.00 315.00 300.00 375.00 500.00 1,650.00 4,923.00 1,059.00 3,600.00 702,632.00 496,000.00 450.00 320.00 360.00 81.57 6,000,000.00
8.00 8.33 8.26 8.75 8.00 8.81 5.50 11.00 9.80 9.00 5.80 8.20 8.75 8.75 8.00 8.00
Month Month Month Month Month Month Month
4.50 22.00 4.77 10.00 5.50 6.00 6.00
7.00 25.00 3.41 6.50 6.65 5.75 5.00
45.00 200.00 92.91 115.00 150.00 200.00 300.00
13.00 14.00 7.50 9.10 16.90 8.00 12.00
7.60 6.80 5.75 6.40 6.73 7.90 8.00 8.00 8.13 7.50 6.60
GLOBAL
CITY
COUNTRY
EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST, AFRICA (EMEA) Vienna Austria Antwerp Belgium Sofia Bulgaria Zagreb Croatia Brno Czech Republic Ostrava Czech Republic Pilsen Czech Republic Prague Czech Republic Copenhagen Denmark Tallinn Estonia Helsinki Finland Bordeaux France Lille France Lyon France Marseille France Paris France Toulouse France Düsseldorf Germany Frankfurt Germany Munich Germany Stuttgart Germany Hamburg Gernany Athens Greece Budapest Hungary Dublin Ireland Tel Aviv Israel Milan Italy Rome Italy Riga Latvia Vilnius Lithuana Kaunas Lithuania Klaipeda Lithuania Panevezys Lithuania Podgorica Montenegro Oslo Norway Gdańsk Poland Katowice Poland Kraków Poland Łódź Poland Poznań Poland Warsaw Poland Wrocław Poland Lisbon Portugal Bucharest Romania Timisoara Romania Moscow Russia Saint Petersburg Russia Belgrade Serbia Bratislava Slovakia Cape Peninsula South Africa Durban South Africa Gauteng - Central Witwatersrand South Africa Gauteng - East Rand South Africa Gauteng - Westrand South Africa Pretoria South Africa
INDUSTRIAL SURVEY
PRIME PRIME WAREHOUSE RENT BULK RENT (USD/YEAR/SF) (USD/YEAR/SF)
9.43 5.89 9.43 12.57 6.92 6.44 6.29 6.92 10.56 11.00 12.57 7.47 7.47 6.81 7.20 11.79 6.81 8.49 7.86 10.22 10.06 8.80 10.22 6.60 15.72 11.77 7.86 7.86 7.54 8.17 8.17 8.17 7.23 – 17.68 6.13 5.82 7.07 5.66 5.66 5.66 5.82 11.00 7.86 7.07 13.48 11.15 9.43 5.97 4.60 7.07 4.71 5.18 4.71 5.30
7.86 5.24 7.07 12.57 6.44 6.13 5.82 6.29 11.00 0.00 11.79 6.03 6.03 6.29 6.03 6.81 5.89 7.39 9.27 9.12 8.65 8.80 9.43 5.66 15.06 11.18 6.55 9.17 6.92 6.37 5.91 5.91 5.47 0.00 13.75 5.50 5.03 6.60 5.03 5.03 4.87 5.19 8.65 6.29 6.29 13.01 10.22 7.86 5.34 4.48 5.30 4.48 4.48 3.83 4.95
Market Movement Next 12 Months: S = Stable I = Increase D = Decrease
US DOLLAR
PRIME LAND VALUE (USD/SF)
26.20 18.34 8.91 15.06 5.89 4.58 3.93 6.55 8.80 6.55 9.17 8.51 6.55 9.17 8.51 15.72 9.43 23.58 28.82 29.47 32.75 15.72 26.20 6.55 26.20 45.13 19.65 7.86 2.75 6.03 5.24 6.03 2.10 15.72 19.65 5.24 5.89 10.22 3.93 5.89 7.86 5.89 16.37 8.51 5.89 16.73 11.15 5.24 6.55 11.78 17.67 6.38 3.93 6.63 5.89
EXCHANGE RATE (USD) DEC. 31, 2008
0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 5.28 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 3.79 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 1.00 1.00 0.71 0.71 9.46 9.46 9.46 9.46 9.46 9.46
MARKET MOVEMENT – NEXT 12 MONTHS WAREHOUSE BULK LAND PRIME RENT RENT VALUE YIELD
S I S S I D D S S D S D D D D D D S S S S S S S D S S D D S S S S S D S S S S S S S D S S D D I S D S D D D S
S I S S I D D I S S D D D D D D S S D S S D S D S S S D D D D D S D S S S S S S S D S S D D I S D S D D D S
D S D I D D D D I D S S S S S S S S I S S S D S D D S D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D S S S D D I S D S D S D S
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
I S I I I I I I I I I I I I I I S S S D D I I I I I S I D D D D I I I I I I I I I I I S I I S S S S I S I S
5
GLOBAL
CITY
COUNTRY
PRIME PRIME WAREHOUSE RENT BULK RENT (USD/YEAR/SF) (USD/YEAR/SF)
EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST, AFRICA (EMEA) CONTINUED Barcelona Spain 12.57 Madrid Spain 13.75 Gothenburg Sweden 8.97 Malmö Sweden 7.78 Stockholm Sweden 10.47 Geneva Switzerland 15.84 Zurich Switzerland 13.20 Amsterdam The Netherlands 11.79 Eindhoven The Netherlands 7.86 Rotterdam The Netherlands 9.17 The Hague The Netherlands 10.48 Utrecht The Netherlands 9.82 Istanbul Turkey 10.22 Birmingham United Kingdom 8.54 Bristol United Kingdom 11.22 Leeds United Kingdom 8.32 London (Heathrow) United Kingdom 19.54 Manchester United Kingdom 8.32 Kyiv Ukraine 11.88 NORTH AMERICA Calgary, AB Canada 6.75 Edmonton, AB Canada 7.50 Halifax, NS Canada 6.75 Montreal, QC Canada 5.00 Ottawa, ON Canada 7.00 Regina, SK Canada 8.50 Saskatoon, SK Canada 8.00 Toronto, ON Canada 6.00 Vancouver, BC Canada 7.75 Atlanta, GA United States 3.90 Bakersfield, CA United States 4.00 Baltimore, MD United States 5.83 Boise, ID United States 6.72 Charleston, SC United States 4.00 Charlotte, NC United States 3.85 Chicago, IL United States 4.66 Cincinnati, OH United States 2.90 Cleveland, OH United States 3.00 Columbia, SC United States 4.25 Columbus, OH United States 3.23 Dallas-Ft.Worth,TX United States 3.25 Denver, CO United States 4.75 Detroit, MI United States 4.57 Fairfield, CA United States 6.00 Fresno, CA United States 3.84 Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL United States 7.87 Greenville, SC United States 3.13 Hartford, CT United States 5.75 Honolulu, HI United States 14.90 Houston,TX United States 5.60 Indianapolis, IN United States 6.70 Jacksonville, FL United States 4.00 Kansas City, MO United States 4.35 Las Vegas, NV United States 7.09 Little Rock, AR United States 3.25
6
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
INDUSTRIAL SURVEY
US DOLLAR
PRIME LAND VALUE (USD/SF)
EXCHANGE RATE (USD) DEC. 31, 2008
MARKET MOVEMENT – NEXT 12 MONTHS WAREHOUSE BULK LAND PRIME RENT RENT VALUE YIELD
8.65 8.65 7.18 6.28 6.88 10.56 13.20 8.51 6.29 7.34 8.91 8.51 9.43 7.60 8.32 7.24 18.09 6.51 10.06
58.29 49.12 10.17 8.38 11.97 26.40 44.00 50.30 26.20 25.54 24.23 24.89 32.75 13.29 13.29 9.84 69.75 10.80 3.28
0.71 0.71 7.77 7.77 7.77 1.06 1.06 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 1.22
D D D D D D S S S D S S S D D D D D D
D D S S S D S S S D D D S D D D D D D
D D S S S S S S S S S S I D D D D D D
I I I I I S S S S D D D D I I I I I I
7.25 6.75 5.50 4.50 6.66 6.00 7.50 5.50 6.75 3.32 3.95 4.57 6.72 4.65 3.55 3.12 3.00 3.75 4.00 3.18 3.05 3.75 – – 3.60 7.28 3.25 4.50 – 5.05 3.17 3.75 4.00 – –
9.88 20.20 3.48 9.02 4.92 4.92 6.59 21.84 25.41 1.51 5.00 5.73 4.20 2.90 2.18 5.58 2.00 1.32 1.26 2.04 1.75 4.00 1.15 – 4.00 20.00 1.31 2.30 41.00 3.75 7.09 3.00 2.25 20.07 2.48
1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
D S S D S S I D D D S D D S D D D D S S D D D D S D S S S D I S S D S
D S S D S S I D D D S D D S D D D D S S D D D D S D S S S D I S S D S
D S S D S S I D D D S D D S D D D D S S D D D D S D S S S D I S S D S
D S S D S S I D D D S D D S D D D D S S D D D D S D S S S D I S S D S
Market Movement Next 12 Months: S = Stable I = Increase D = Decrease
GLOBAL
CITY
COUNTRY
NORTH AMERICA CONTINUED Los Angeles - Inland Empire, CA United States Los Angeles, CA United States Louisville, KY United States Memphis,TN United States Miami, FL United States Milwaukee,WI United States Minneapolis, MN United States Nashville,TN United States New Jersey - Central United States New Jersey - Northern United States Oakland, CA United States Orange County, CA United States Orlando, FL United States Philadelphia, PA United States Phoenix, AZ United States Pleasanton/Walnut Creek, CA United States Portland, OR United States Raleigh, NC United States Reno, NV United States Sacramento, CA United States San Diego, CA United States San Francisco Pen. - San Mateo, CA United States San Jose/Silicon Valley, CA United States Santa Rosa/Sonoma County, CA United States Seattle/Puget Sound,WA United States St. Louis, MO United States Stockton/San Joaquin County, CA United States Tampa Bay, FL United States Washington, DC United States West Palm Beach, FL United States ASIA PACIFIC Adelaide Australia Brisbane Australia Melbourne Australia Perth Australia Sydney Australia Beijing China Hong Kong China Shanghai China Delhi India Jakarta Indonesia Tokyo Japan Auckland New Zealand Christchurch New Zealand Wellington New Zealand Singapore Singapore Seoul South Korea LATIN AMERICA Buenos Aires Argentina São Paulo Brazil Santiago Chile Bogota Columbia San José Costa Rica Mexico City Mexico Lima Peru
INDUSTRIAL SURVEY
PRIME PRIME WAREHOUSE RENT BULK RENT (USD/YEAR/SF) (USD/YEAR/SF)
US DOLLAR
PRIME LAND VALUE (USD/SF)
EXCHANGE RATE (USD) DEC. 31, 2008
MARKET MOVEMENT – NEXT 12 MONTHS WAREHOUSE BULK LAND PRIME RENT RENT VALUE YIELD
4.81 7.32 3.50 2.69 7.81 4.25 4.50 4.00 5.20 6.50 5.28 8.99 5.68 4.75 5.97 4.56 5.52 4.40 3.24 6.36 8.76 11.28 6.60 8.40 6.57 3.50 3.84 5.51 8.48 8.86
4.73 7.02 3.50 2.62 7.34 3.70 4.24 3.52 5.01 5.95 6.36 8.23 5.10 4.25 8.33 – 5.52 3.75 2.76 4.20 – 11.28 9.48 10.80 7.26 2.95 – 5.02 – 7.88
14.35 30.50 2.64 0.83 25.00 2.50 3.28 1.61 5.70 10.50 44.81 42.00 4.50 3.45 5.50 13.75 9.20 3.00 4.00 6.50 14.47 115.00 78.40 15.00 15.49 4.00 6.00 4.75 – 13.00
1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
D D D S D S S S D D D D D D D D S S D D D D S D S D D D S S
D D D S D S S S D D D D D D D D S S D D D D S D S D D D S S
D D D S D S S S D D D D D D D D S S D D D D S D S D D D S S
D D D S D S S S D D D D D D D D S S D D D D S D S D D D S S
6.42 7.54 5.77 7.86 8.34 4.95 16.88 4.45 7.24 3.04 24.31 7.04 5.22 6.02 14.64 10.57
5.45 6.42 4.49 7.86 6.42 3.96 13.56 4.83 7.24 0.00 24.31 5.11 3.44 4.30 10.81 8.81
32.08 20.21 19.25 24.06 32.08 22.37 635.17 14.36 72.41 5.87 510.01 24.19 17.20 19.36 56.54 440.52
1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 6.85 7.75 6.85 49.72 11,123.50 90.38 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.44 1,265.82
S S S S S D D S D S D S S S D D
S S S S S D D S D S D S S S D D
S D S D S D D D D S D D D D D D
S I I I S I I I S S I I I I S I
5.02 10.41 5.32 11.15 6.13 6.69 6.69
7.81 11.83 3.80 7.25 7.42 6.41 5.58
4.18 7.89 8.63 10.69 13.94 18.59 27.88
1.00 2.36 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
S S D D S S D
S D D D I S D
S S D S D S D
S S S D D I S
Market Movement Next 12 Months: S = Stable I = Increase D = Decrease
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
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COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Colliers Office Locations Colliers International is a corporation of leading real estate firms committed to delivering consistently superior commercial real estate services, wherever, and whenever needed. • Global $2.0 Billion (€ 1.4 Billion) in Revenue • 868 Million SF (80 Million SM) Under Management • 11,000 Employees
2009
278 OFFICES WORLDWIDE 127
• 62 Countries • 6 Continents 90 61
Americas 94 United States 17 Canada 16 Latin America Europe, Middle East & Africa Asia Pacific
62 COUNTRIES ON 6 CONTINENTS
HAWAII
SOUTH AMERICA
NORTH AMERICA
ASIA PACIFIC
EUROPE AND MIDDLE EAST
AFRICA
AUSTRALIA
Office Locations
GLOSSARY Bulk Space – 10,000 square metres/ 100,000 square feet or more with up to 10 percent office space, the balance being general industrial/logistics/distribution space with 6 to 12 metre/18 to 36 square feet ceiling heights. All loading is dock-height. Built in 1990 or later and standing in a prime industrial location. Warehouse Space – 2,000 square metres/20,000 square feet or more with up to 15 percent office space, the balance being general industrial/logistics/ distribution space with 6 to 10 metre/18 to 30 square feet ceiling heights. All loading is dock-height.
Built in 1990 or later and standing in a prime industrial location. Land Value – Land values are based on prime logistics/ industrial locations and are based on approximately 3 acres/1.2 hectares/12,140 square metre/130,680 square feet of serviced land. Prime Yield/Cap Rate – The yield for a prime logistics/ industrial property. Rent figures should be estimates of achievable open market rents for each location. SF = Square Feet SM = Square Metre
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.
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COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
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