22nd November , 2013
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Rice Farmers under Threat from Militant Attacks Indonesia Hopes 2014 Paddy Rice Production Will to Grow 6% to 76.57 Million Tons Oryza Quick Glance at MDA Rice Crop Weather Update Oryza Afternoon Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Partially Recover Recent Losses after Strong Export Sales Report Surprises Market Oryza Afternoon Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Partially Recover Recent Losses after Strong Export Sales Report Surprises Market cyclone Helen Approaches India; Flash Floods in South Thailand May Affect Rice Harvest ADB Provides Financial Assistance to Flood-Affected Cambodia, Philippines Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap – Market Firm as Export Sales Exceed Expectations Oryza Overnight Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Erase Early Session Losses to be Seen Slightly Higher by Morning Break Thailand Government Rice Stocks Decline to 7 Million Tons Argentina Exports 411,294 Tons of Rice in January – September 2013; Down 17% from Last Year Vietnam Rice Sellers Increase Most Of Their Quotes Today, Other Asia Rice Quotes Unchanged Oryza Quick Glance at World News Oryza Global Rice Quotes
News Detail… Rice Farmers under Threat from Militant Attacks Nov 21, 2013
Boko Haram, an Islamic jihadist militant terrorist organization located in Nigeria, Cameroon, and Niger, is suspected of attacking rice farmers in the Konduga Local Government of Borno State in Nigeria. At least eight rice farmers have been killed this week alone, and many of the rice farms there have been destroyed or set on fire. The attack comes during the peak of the harvest period there, and harvested and bagged rice has been set on fire in addition to the paddy farms. Farmers and their families have been forced to abandon their homes and their livelihoods; farmers are watching months of hard work go up in flames as they flee farming areas, scared for their safety. A rice farmer and member of the community there reports that the attack is the result of suspicions that a prominent local rice farmer had been relaying information about the terrorist organization to security
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operatives.The Department of State Services said that the event has helped them uncover a Boko Haram cell in Kogi and five suspected Boko Haram members have been arrested. Tags: Rice farming, militant attacks, Nigeria
Indonesia Hopes 2014 Paddy Rice Production Will to Grow 6% to 76.57 Million Tons Nov 21, 2013
Indonesia will be self-sufficient in rice next year as paddy rice production is expected to increase to around 76.57 million tons (about 48 million tons, basis milled), up about 6% from an estimated 72.06 million tons in 2013, the country’s rice purchasing agency Bulog says.According to the Bulog chief, rice consumption in the country stands at around 36-37 million tons per year, and the government is targeting a surplus of around 10 million tons in 2014 to ensure food security. At present, there is a surplus of around 6 million tons, he says. The Bulog chief also says that rice production in Indonesia has grown at an average of 3.88% in the last five years, and a good crop is expected in 2014 as weather conditions seem favorable.Indonesia is the world’s third largest rice producer, but the country was also a top rice importer in 2012 with rice imports of around 1.9 million tons in the year. However, rice imports are expected to reduce significantly in 2013 and 2014 due to higher production. Tags: Indonesia rice production
Oryza Quick Glance at MDA Rice Crop Weather Update Nov 21, 2013
Oryza shares some of MDA’s latest rice crop weather updates: Reduction in rainfall will favor harvest of late double crop in South China this week. Rainfall is likely to slow remaining harvest in Japan this week. Rainfall will favor early growth of newly planted rice crop in Thailand and Vietnam this week. Rainfall continues to maintain wetness concerns in parts of the Philippines this week. Rainfall will reduce dryness concerns in Java and some other parts of Indonesia this week.
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Rainfall may disrupt harvesting activities in south-central India this week, but rainfall is improving moisture supplies for winter crop in southern India. Drier weather will continue to favor harvest in Bangladesh this week. Rainfall will favor rice crop in southern Nigeria this week. Rainfall is expected in the Delta region in the U.S., but harvest is over there. Rainfall will continue to favor rice crop in most parts of Brazil this week. For more complete weather information, contact: www.mdaus.com. Tags: Weekly weather report for rice pdf:
MDA Weather.pdf
Oryza Afternoon Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Partially Recover Recent Losses after Strong Export Sales Report Surprises Market Nov 21, 2013
Chicago rough rice futures for January delivery settled 12.5 cents per cwt (about $3 per ton) higher at $15.810 per cwt (about $349 per ton). Rough rice futures recovered today, bouncing off of nearby technical support which limited the markets losses yesterday. A surprisingly strong export sales report showing 166,300 MT of sales being report this week provided a positive tilt to the trade and the bulls built on early momentum to see prices close near the session high. The other grains traded higher today; soybeans finished the day about 1.4% higher at $12.9150 per bushel; wheat finished about 0.2% higher at $6.4975 per bushel; and corn finished the day about 1.4% higher at $4.2300 per bushel. U.S. stocks climbed on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average back above 16,000 and the S&P 500 halting its longest-running loss streak in eight weeks, as the number of Americans filing for jobless benefits declined to a near two-month low. After a 100-point jump that took it above 16,000, the Dow Jones Industrial Average turned positive for the week. After a three-session drop, the S&P 500 rose, with financials leading gains and consumer staples the worst performing of its 10 major industry groups. The Nasdaq also climbed. After climbing to its highest since September, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note lately held down 1 basis point at t 2.79%. The U.S. dollar fell against other global currencies; the price of oil rose and gold costs declined. U.S. stock markets are currently trading up about 0.7%, gold is trading about 1.2% lower, crude oil is seen trading about 1.5% higher, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.1% lower at about 2:00pm Chicago time.Looking to the daily continuation chart of Chicago rough rice futures for January delivery, the point of firm technical support provided by the 200-day moving average, noted at $15.670 per cwt (about $345 per ton), came into play once again as prices were unable to build on overnight losses. The market quickly bounced higher in early morning trade and after a bit of back-and-forth trading the bulls dominated in afternoon trading and were able to push prices to close within 0.5 cents per cwt (about $0.11 per ton) of the session high. Today’s rally has returned the market to within striking range of the nearby high and overhead resistance, of $15.895 per cwt (about $350 per ton). Today’s action provides a positive forecast for
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tomorrow’s price direction, and a break above the previously mentioned nearby high would likely trigger additional buying. Today’s trading range is noted as $15.620-$15.815 per cwt (about $344-$349 per ton).Wednesday, there were 415 contracts traded, down from 465 contracts traded on Tuesday. Open interest – the number of contracts outstanding – on Wednesday increased by 1 contract to 8,177. Tags: chicago rough rice futures, U.S. rice prices, U.S. rice market
Oryza Afternoon Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Partially Recover Recent Losses after Strong Export Sales Report Surprises Market Nov 21, 2013
Chicago rough rice futures for January delivery settled 12.5 cents per cwt (about $3 per ton) higher at $15.810 per cwt (about $349 per ton). Rough rice futures recovered today, bouncing off of nearby technical support which limited the markets losses yesterday. A surprisingly strong export sales report showing 166,300 MT of sales being report this week provided a positive tilt to the trade and the bulls built on early momentum to see prices close near the session high. The other grains traded higher today; soybeans finished the day about 1.4% higher at $12.9150 per bushel; wheat finished about 0.2% higher at $6.4975 per bushel; and corn finished the day about 1.4% higher at $4.2300 per bushel.U.S. stocks climbed on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average back above 16,000 and the S&P 500 halting its longest-running loss streak in eight weeks, as the number of Americans filing for jobless benefits declined to a near two-month low. After a 100-point jump that took it above 16,000, the Dow Jones Industrial Average turned positive for the week. After a three-session drop, the S&P 500 rose, with financials leading gains and consumer staples the worst performing of its 10 major industry groups. The Nasdaq also climbed. After climbing to its highest since September, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note lately held down 1 basis point at t 2.79%. The U.S. dollar fell against other global currencies; the price of oil rose and gold costs declined. U.S. stock markets are currently trading up about 0.7%, gold is trading about 1.2% lower, crude oil is seen trading about 1.5% higher, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.1% lower at about 2:00pm Chicago time.Looking to the daily continuation chart of Chicago rough rice futures for January delivery, the point of firm technical support provided by the 200-day moving average, noted at $15.670 per cwt (about $345 per ton), came into play once again as prices were unable to build on overnight losses. The market quickly bounced higher in early morning trade and after a bit of back-and-forth trading the bulls dominated in afternoon trading and were able to push prices to close within 0.5 cents per cwt (about $0.11 per ton) of the session high. Today’s rally has returned the market to within striking range of the nearby high and overhead resistance, of $15.895 per cwt (about $350 per ton). Today’s action provides a positive forecast for tomorrow’s price direction, and a break above the previously mentioned nearby high would likely trigger additional buying. Today’s trading range is noted as $15.620-$15.815 per cwt (about $344-$349 per ton).Wednesday, there were 415 contracts traded, down from 465 contracts traded on Tuesday. Open interest – the number of contracts outstanding – on Wednesday increased by 1 contract to 8,177. Tags: chicago rough rice futures, U.S. rice prices, U.S. rice market
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Cyclone Helen Approaches India; Flash Floods in South Thailand May Affect Rice Harvest Nov 21, 2013 Severe cyclonic storm 'Helen' is expected to strike India on November 22, 2013, with maximum impact to be felt in the southern state of Andhra Pradesh, according to the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). The IMD also predicts extremely heavy rainfall (25 cm or more) in some places in Andhra Pradesh during next 48 hours commencing from November 21, 2013 night.Andhra Pradesh is a major rice producing state of India and known as the rice granary of southern India. In 2011-12, Andhra Pradesh produced about 13 million tons and contributed around 7.5 million tons to the central pool. Harvest of the main rice crop in the state is underway.
Cyclone Helen will be the second cyclone to hit India since super cyclone Phailin destroyed standing rice crops in several hundreds of thousands hectares in India last month. According to preliminary estimates the losses in rice production due to Cyclone Phailin could be up to 4-5 million tons. Meanwhile, Thailand’s Meteorological Department says that very heavy rainfall could occur due to the active low pressure in lower South of Thailand in the coming days. According to local sources, rail and roads are badly affected by continuous rains and some rivers have risen above danger levels. Harvest of the main rice crop is underway in Thailand. Tags: India rice production, Thailand rice production
ADB Provides Financial Assistance to Flood-Affected Cambodia, Philippines Nov 21, 2013
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has provided $3 million to Cambodia to help rebuild agriculture and other infrastructure in the country that was affected by flash floods last month.ADB will provide the emergency humanitarian assistance from its Asia Pacific Disaster Response Facility (APDRF). The funds will be used to
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provide rice seeds, repair irrigation facilities, and restore connectivity in the country to help replanting of rice before waters recede, ADB’s Cambodia Country Director Eric Sidgwick said.It is estimated that over 4% of rice plantings in Cambodia was severely damaged by flash floods of the Mekong River. ADB says that more than 240,000 hectares of transplanted rice or seedlings have been affected by the floods.ADB has also announced assistance of $23 million in immediate relief to the Philippines after Typhoon Haiyan hit the nation earlier this month. Of the total, $20 million will be provided from Japan’s Fund for Poverty Reduction and $3 million from APDRF. ADB says that it can also provide a $500 million emergency loan to the Philippines for rehabilitation work. Tags: cambodia rice, Philippines rice, Typhoon Haiyan
Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap – Market Firm as Export Sales Exceed Expectations Nov 21, 2013
The U.S. cash market was firmer today after the USDA reported very impressive export sales figures, exceeding most analysts’ expectations.As of today, offers could still be seen around $15.65-$16.66 per fob farm (about $345-$367 per ton), depending on where they are located in the U.S. mid-South, for November through December shipment. Bids from mills increased slightly back to around $16.00 per cwt (about $353 per ton ) or higher while bids from exporters could still be found near $15.56 per cwt (about $343 per ton), both for November through December delivery, although there were reports of rice trading around $16.00 per cwt (about $353 per ton) for December delivery. In the meantime, today the USDA reported that cumulative net export sales for the week ending on November 14th, totaled 166,300 tons with increases reported for the following destinations including: 61,900 tons to Mexico, 29,800 tons to Turkey, 24,100 tons to Libya, 17,600 tons to Colombia, and 15,000 tons to Haiti.U.S. rice exporters shipped 46,500 tons with the primary destinations including: 20,300 tons to Mexico, 13,100 tons to Japan, 4,500 tons to Haiti, 2,600 tons to Canada, and 1,600 tons to the United Kingdom. Tags: U.S. rice prices, U.S. rice market
Oryza Overnight Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Erase Early Session Losses to be Seen Slightly Higher by Morning Break Nov 21, 2013
Chicago rough rice futures for January delivery are currently paused 1.5 cents per cwt (about $0.33 per ton) higher at $15.700 per cwt (about $346 per ton) as of 8:00am Chicago time. The other grains are seen firmer this morning ahead of floor trading in Chicago: soybeans are currently seen about 0.8% higher, wheat is seen about 0.5% higher, and corn is paused about 0.7% higher.U.S. stock index futures maintained Thursday gains, with the S&P 500 in position to halt a three-session slide, its longest such streak in eight weeks, after economic data had fewer Americans than expected filing for jobless claims last week, while producer prices were as expected in October. The government initial jobless claims last week fell to 323,000, versus expectations for 335,000.
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And the October Producer Price Index, or PPI, fell 0.2%. Excluding food and energy, it climbed 0.2%. At 10 a.m., the Philadelphia Fed index, which measures changes in business growth, will be released. On Wednesday, stocks fell after minutes published from the Federal Reserve's October meeting showed officials generally in agreement that believed economic conditions would pave the way for a reduction in asset purchases in months ahead. Shares in Europe and Asia had fallen after weak Chinese manufacturing data and ongoing fears of an imminent reduction in U.S. stimulus measures. U.S. stock index futures are currently trading about 0.2% higher, gold is currently trading about 1.1% lower, crude oil is seen trading about 0.4% higher, and the U.S. dollar is currently trading about 0.2% lower at 8:00am Chicago time. Tags: chicago rough rice futures
Thailand Government Rice Stocks Decline to 7 Million Tons Nov 21, 2013
Rice stocks in the Thai government stockpile have declined to around 7 million tons, the Commerce Minister told local sources this week on the sidelines of the signing of an agreement to export around 1.2 million tons of rice to China next month.The USDA had estimated rice stocks with the Thai government at around 15 million tons a few weeks ago. This week, the Post in Thailand said that the government has already procured around 2 million tons of rice paddy (about 1.3 million tons milled equivalent) from new the harvest under the rice mortgage program 2013-14 (October – September).Rice traders attribute low global rice prices to record high stocks with the Thai government. They say that such huge stocks are over two times the 7 million tons Thailand exported in 2012, and it is difficult to say when the glut will be over.However, the Commerce Minister claims that rice stocks in government warehouses have declined to around 7 million tons now. He also says that the government is planning to secure more government-to-government rice export deals in the coming months which will help Thailand regain its status as the world’s largest rice exporter in 2014. Thailand government officials say that rice prices in India and Vietnam are likely to increase soon due to adverse weather conditions this year, which will favor Thai rice exports. Thai 5% and 25% broken rice export quotes dropped to below comparable grades of Viet and India rice this month, for the first time in around two years. Tags: Thailand rice stocks, Thailand rice exports
Argentina Exports 411,294 Tons of Rice in January – September 2013; Down 17% from Last Year Nov 21, 2013
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Argentina’s total rice exports during January – September 2013 stand at around 411,294 tons, down about 17% from around 497,015 tons in the same period in 2012, according to the Ministry of Agriculture.Despite exports to Iran and Senegal, rice exports by Argentina slowed down considerably in September, hitting the lowest monthly export level since March 2013. Argentina exported about 40,463 tons of rice in September 2013, down about 29% from around 57,322 tons exported in the previous month, and down around 32% from around 59,613 tons exported in September 2012.Major rice export destinations for Argentina in September 2013 were Iran (about 17,010 tons), Senegal (about 12,001 tons), Bolivia (about 3,456 tons), Brazil (about 2,907 tons) and Chile (about 1,546 tons). According to the USDA Post in Argentina, rice exports are likely to decline from last year due to higher prices and lower estimated production this year. Argentina's rice production in 2012-13 is expected to decline to around 910,000 tons, down about 10% from over one million tons produced in the previous year. Tags: Argentina rice exports
Vietnam Rice Sellers Increase Most Of Their Quotes Today, Other Asia Rice Quotes Unchanged
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Nov 21, 2013
Vietnam rice sellers increased most of their quotes by about $5 - $10 per ton today. Other Asia rice sellers kept their quotes mostly unchanged. 5% Broken Rice Thai 5% rice is quoted around $400 - $410 per ton, about $5 per ton discount to Viet 5% rice shown around $405 - $415 per ton, up about $5 per ton from yesterday. Indian 5% rice is quoted around $410 - $420 per ton, about a $35 per ton premium over Pak 5% rice quoted around $375 - $385 per ton. 25% Broken Rice Thai 25% rice is quoted about $380 - $390 per ton, about a $5 per ton premium over Viet 25% rice shown around $375 - $385 per ton, up about $5 per ton from yesterday. Indian 25% rice is quoted about $370 - $380 per ton, about a $35 per ton premium over Pak 25% rice quoted around $335 - $345 per ton. Parboiled Rice Thai parboiled rice is quoted around $470 - $480 per ton. Indian parboiled rice is quoted around $380 - $390 per ton, about a $30 per ton discount to Pak parboiled rice quoted around $410 - $420 per ton. 100% Broken Rice Thai broken rice, A1 Super, is quoted around $345 - $355 per ton, about a $10 per ton discount to Viet broken rice shown around $355 - $365 per ton, up about $5 per ton from yesterday. Indian broken sortexed rice is quoted about $310 - $320 per ton, about a $25 per ton discount to Pak broken sortexed rice quoted around $335 - $345 per ton. Tags: Asia rice quotes, India rice quotes, Pakistan rice quotes, Thailand rice quotes, Vietnam rice quotes
Oryza Quick Glance at World News Nov 21, 2013
Financial Times – *John Kerry, U.S. secretary of state, said on Wednesday that the U.S. and Afghanistan have agreed on the wording of a bilateral security pact that could clear the way for thousands of U.S. troops to train and assist Afghan forces after the NATO combat mission ends in 2014. *World powers have resumed talks with Iran in Geneva for its nuclear program amid growing expectations that an interim agreement could finally be within reach after 10 years of on-off negotiations. *The U.S. Federal Reserve is considering cutting the interest it pays to banks on their reserves in a dramatic move to offset an eventual slowing of its $85 billion-a-month asset purchases. *Colombia’s President Juan Manuel Santos said on Wednesday that he would seek another four-year term next May, in hopes of completing peace talks with Marxist Farc rebels that could conclude a five-decade internal armed struggle. *The White House came out against a proposal by a group of hedge funds to take over and recapitalize the core operations of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the U.S. mortgage finance giants, saying it risked creating two new “too big to fail” institutions.
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*The Bank of Japan kept its policy settings on hold on Thursday, judging that fragility in overseas economies is not serious enough to threaten steady progress towards its ambitious inflation target. *France’s socialist government has promised a shake-up of the country’s onerous tax system in a bid to defuse protests dogging President François Hollande – but has stopped short of pledging tax cuts. *U.S. lawmakers appear to be moving closer to a budget deal that would fund the government and ease the pain of automatic budget cuts known as “sequestration,” offering hope that a small fiscal agreement is within reach. Wall Street Journal*The U.S. and Afghanistan on Wednesday said they ironed out the final disputes holding up an agreement on a long-term American presence here, narrowly averting a breakdown that could have forced all U.S. troops from the country next year. *India's southern coast is likely to be hit by a cyclone packing winds of 100-120 kilometers an hour Thursday evening, a senior weather official said Wednesday. *U.S. President Barack Obama will travel to Asia in April, his national security advisor announced Wednesday, in a make-up trip for a visit he canceled last month in the midst of the government shutdown. *Iran's leader launched an anti-Western broadside as global powers resumed negotiations on curbing Tehran's nuclear program, injecting fresh uncertainty into a diplomatic process viewed as crucial to Middle East stability. *In minutes released Wednesday from the Monetary Policy Committee's meeting, held November 6-7, Bank of England officials expressed concern over the sustainability of a strong recovery in the U.K. economy, highlighting risks such as problems in the euro zone and the potential for consumers to reduce spending. *Singapore raised its economic growth forecast from 2.5% to 3.5% for 2013 as activity in the island nation gathered steam in the third quarter, illustrating the boost that international demand is giving to Asian economies. *The ECB Wednesday tapped a top French regulator, Danièle Nouy, to head the new euro-zone bank supervisor, a position charged with overseeing the biggest financial institutions across the currency bloc. *Japanese forces joined international efforts on Wednesday to airlift citizens out of this hard-hit city, vying for greater influence in Asia near the site of a crushing naval defeat in World War II. New York Times*The Flash Markit/HSBC Purchasing Managers’ Index, the earliest indicator of how the Chinese economy is faring each month, fell to 50.4 from October’s final reading of 50.9. However, it remained above the 50 line that demarcates expansion from contraction for the fourth consecutive month, indicating the government has achieved the stability it sought to push through changes. *Prime Minister Donald Tusk of Poland on Wednesday overhauled his cabinet apparently in an effort to bolster his flagging poll numbers, replacing Poland’s top finance official and changing environment ministers in the middle of a U.N. climate conference his country is hosting. *Six mortar shells landed near a remote Saudi border post close to neighboring fellow oil producers Iraq and Kuwait on Wednesday, but caused no damage, the kingdom's border guard agency said on Thursday. *A volcanic eruption has raised an island in the seas to the far south of Tokyo, the Japanese coast guard and earthquake experts said. Advisories from the coast guard and the Japan Meteorological Agency said the islet is about 200 meters (660 feet) in diameter. It is just off the coast of Nishinoshima, a small, uninhabited island in the Ogasawara chain, which is also known as the Bonin Islands.
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*Janet Yellen will take an important step on Thursday toward becoming the first woman to lead the U.S. Federal Reserve, with the Senate Banking Committee expected to back the nomination and clear her path to take the central bank's helm. *Chinese Finance Minister Lou Jiwei stressed the need for transparency in the national budget system and fairness of the tax system as the country pushes forward reforms to revitalize and restructure the economy. Tags: World news
Oryza Global Rice Quotes November 21st, 2013 Long grain white rice - high quality Thailand 100% B grade 410-420 Vietnam 5% broken 405-415 ↑ India 5% broken 410-420 ↔ Pakistan 5% broken 375-385 ↔ Cambodia 5% broken 455-465 ↔ U.S. 4% broken 585-595 ↔ Uruguay 5% broken 625-635 ↔ Argentina 5% broken 625-635 ↔ Long grain white rice - low quality Thailand 25% broken 380-390 ↔ Vietnam 25% broken 375-385 ↑ Pakistan 25% broken 335-345 ↔ Cambodia 25% broken 425-435 India 25% broken 370-380 ↔ U.S. 15% broken 565-575 ↔
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Long grain parboiled rice Thailand parboiled 100% stxd 470-480 Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd 410-420 India parboiled 5% broken stxd 380-390 U.S. parboiled 4% broken 660-670 ↔ Brazil parboiled 5% broken 590-600 ↔ Uruguay parboiled 5% broken NQ ↔ Long grain fragrant rice Thailand Hommali 92% 1050-1060 ↔ Vietnam Jasmine 585-595 ↑ India basmati 2% broken 1515 -1525 ↔ Pakistan basmati 2% broken NQ ↔ Cambodia Pkha Malis 915-925 ↔
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Brokens Thailand A1 Super 345-355 ↔ Vietnam 100% broken 355-365 ↑ Pakistan 100% broken stxd 335-345 ↔ Cambodia A1 Super 380-390 ↔ India 100% Broken stxd 310-320 ↔ Egypt medium grain brokens NQ ↔ U.S. pet food 370-380 ↔ Brazil half grain 345-355 ↔ Medium grain milled U.S. Calrose 4% broken 620-630 ↔ Egypt medium grain 6% NQ ↔ All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com
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