indexwatch saptamanal, nr.191, 9 septembrie 2013
●
Dan Rusu, Head of Research
tel +40(264) 43 05 64; int 225
email dan.rusu@btsecurities.ro
focus
PIBul Romaniei creste cu 0.5% in 2Q13 pe seama exporturilor si a consumului public Analiza PIBului real al Romaniei in trimestrul 2 pe categorii de resurse si utilizari evolutia PIBului 2010-2013, in preturi medii ale anului 2000 (mil RON); dinamica trimestriala a PIBului real (indici de volul %QoQ) 6%
33,000
5%
2.5%
3.4%
4%
2% 0.5%
1.3% 0.7%
1.4%
3%
1.0% 0.4%
© BT SECURITIES
0.4%
0.8%
0.4%
1.1% 0.8%
1.8%
2.3% 1.1%
1.0% 1.5% 1.9%
1.4%
1.8% 1.7%
3.1%
3.3%
3.1% 2.2%
1.9% 1.5% 0.9%
1.5% 0.6%
0.8%
28,000
0.5%
29,000
0.7%
1.3%
30,000
1.8% 1.2%
31,000
2.1%
3.1%
32,000
3.4%
34,000
-0.5%
-1.0%
-0.4%
-0.9%
-1.2%
-0.6%
-0.3%
-0.8%
-1% -2%
-2.0%
25,000
-0.7%
26,000
0% -0.2% -0.8%
27,000
24,000
-3%
23,000
-4%
22,000
contributia categoriilor de resurse la cresterea PIB real s.a. 2Q13 (%QoQ)
3.2%
3.5%
2.8%
3.0%
2.0% 1.5%
-0.1%
0.1%
2% 0.2%
1.0%
1.2%
2.3%
2.5%
0%
1.0%
-0.8%
© BT SECURITIES
0.2%
-2.7%
CULT
CONSTR
0.5%
© BT SECURITIES
0.0% -0.5%
-4% -4.3%
-2.3%
-2%
IMP/NET
COM
INTFIN
ADMPUB
IT&C
IMO
IND
2Q13
4Q12
2Q12
4Q11
2Q11
4Q10
2Q10
4Q09
4Q08
2Q08
4Q07
2Q07
-6%
4%
ACT
-5%
contributia categoriilor de utilizari la cresterea PIB real s.a. 2Q13 (%QoQ) 6%
4.8%
4Q06
2Q06
4Q05
2Q05
4Q04
2Q04
4Q03
2Q03
4Q02
2Q02
4Q01
2Q01
4Q00
2Q00
20,000
-5.7%
dinamica trimestriala PIB real s.a., indici de volum %QoQ (rhs)
2Q09
evolutie PIB s.a. - preturi medii 2000, mil RON (lhs)
21,000
AGR
1%
© BT SECURITIES -0.4%
-6%
-1.0%
-1.1%
consum public
ex porturi
consum privat formarea bruta de capital
-1.5%
importuri sursa: INS, BT Securities Research
LEGENDA: AGR = agricultura, silvicultura, pescuit ▪ ACT = activitati profesionale, stiintifice si tehnice; activitati de servicii administrative; activitati de servicii suport ▪ IND = industrie ▪ IMO = tranzactii imobiliare ▪ IT&C = informatii si comunicatii ▪ ADMPUB = administratie publica si aparare; asigurari sociale din sistemul public; invatamant; sanatate si asistenta sociala ▪ INTFIN = intermedieri financiare si asigurari ▪ COM = comert cu amanuntul si ridicata; repararea autovehiculelor si motocicletelor; transport si depozitare; hoteluri si restaurante ▪ IMP/NET = impozite nete pe produs ▪ CONSTR = constructii ▪ CULT = activitati de spectacole, culturale si recreative; reparatii de produse de uz casnic si alte servicii.
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