Famous first bubbles - Peter M. Garber - 2000

Page 136

19

Conclusion

The jargon of economics and finance contains numerous colorful expressions to denote a market-determined asset price at odds with any reasonable economic explanation. Such terms as tulipmania, bubble, chain letter, Ponzi scheme, panic, crash, and financial crisis immediately evoke images of frenzied and irrational speculative activity. Lately, the same terms, or modern versions of them—herding, irrational exhuberance, contagion, and self-generating equilibrium—have been used by media, academics, and policymakers to paint the crises of 1997, 1998, and 1999. These words are always used to argue the irrationality of financial markets in particularly volatile periods. Many of these terms have emerged from specific speculative episodes, which have been sufficiently frequent and important that they underpin a strong current belief that key capital markets generate irrational and inefficient pricing and allocational outcomes. The proponents of such arguments can hardly ever resist the invocation of three famous bubbles—the Dutch


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Articles inside

Index

9min
pages 168-176

References

3min
pages 162-167

Notes

3min
pages 158-161

Appendix 2:The Seventeenth-Century Tulip Price Data

9min
pages 146-157

Appendix 1:The Tulipmania in the Popular and Economics Literature

5min
pages 140-145

19 Conclusion

3min
pages 136-139

17 South Sea Finance Operations

5min
pages 128-133

18 Fundamentals of the South Sea Company

2min
pages 134-135

16 Law’s Shadow: The South Sea Bubble

4min
pages 122-127

Fundamentals

2min
pages 118-121

14 John Law’s Finance Operations

9min
pages 108-117

and South Sea Bubbles

2min
pages 104-107

11 Was This Episode a “Tulipmania”?

11min
pages 88-97

Bubbles

3min
pages 100-103

9 Post-Collapse Tulip Prices

4min
pages 74-77

10 Bulb Prices in Later Centuries

8min
pages 78-87

7 The Bulb Market, 1634–1637

5min
pages 56-61

6 The Broken Tulip

3min
pages 52-55

5 The Bubonic Plague

2min
pages 50-51

Futures Markets and Short Selling: The Source of the Pamphlets

4min
pages 46-49

John Law and the Fundamentals of the Mississippi

1min
pages 26-27

2 The Traditional Image of Tulipmania

2min
pages 38-41

From?

3min
pages 42-45

APreliminary View: The Mississippi and South Sea

1min
page 25

Establishment Attitudes toward

9min
pages 17-24

1 APolitical and Economic Background

4min
pages 32-37

Where Does the Tulipmania Legend Come

1min
page 16
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