2.7.5. European ‘GRID+’ sensitivity

For 2040, a scenario with additional cross-border capacity between European countries will be assessed. Given the TYNDP2016 project list and the ambition of several countries across Europe to increase their cross-border capacities in order to maximise their exchanges, enable further integration of renewables and benefit from the most economical generation, a large amount of projects are considered. The robustness of the Belgian choices in such context is evaluated by a scenario named ‘GRID+’ that is created based on the ‘Large Scale RES’ scenario.

RES Grid+

Fromthe‘LargeScaleRES’scenario,theEuropeancross-border exchanges were increased as follows: • +0.5 GW for all the borders between or with AT, SK, HU, SI, CZ, FI, IE, NI; • +3 GW between ES and FR given the large amount of projects planned in the TYNDP2016. Note also that the reference capacity between those two countries in the TYNDP2016 for 2030 amounts to 8 GW; • +3 GW between FR and GB given the large amount of projects planned; • +1 GW for the other borders. The increased capacity on the different borders is shown in Figure 59. This corresponds to an additional 30 GW of crossborder capacity between countries.

‘GRID +’ – ADDITIONAL NTC PER BORDER IN BOTH DIRECTIONS (FIG. 59)

Values on the chart are the NTC expressed in MW

+500

+500 +500

+700

+3000 +500 +500

+1000 +1000 +1000 +1000 + 500 + 1000

+1000

+1000

+3000 +1000 +1 00 + 5 00

+1000

+1000

+1000 + 1000 +500 +1000

+500 +1000 +500 +500 +1000 +500 + 5 00

+500 +500 +500

+500 +500 +500