S&W | Q4 2023 Aspen Market Insights

Page 1

ASPEN MARKET INSIGHTS Q4 | 2023 in Review


1422 W Buttermilk Road | $32,900,000 6 BR, 9 BA | Approx. 9,964sf

02 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023


SASLOVE & WARWICK // 03


# 1 TEAM IN ASPEN

*

Based on Sales Volume, 2020–2022

$4+ BILLION

$200 MILLION

$11.8 MILLION

Total Closed Sales

Sales in 2023

Average Sale Price, 2023

© 2024 DOUGLAS ELLIMAN REAL ESTATE. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY. 630 EAST HYMAN AVENUE, STE 101, ASPEN, CO, 81611. 970.925.8810. *TEAM RANKINGS BASED ON 2023 REALTRENDS AND TOM FERRY THE THOUSAND, BASED ON SALES VOLUME FROM DOUGLAS ELLIMAN REAL ESTATE, 2022 AND AS SEEN IN THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. TEAM SALES STATISTCS BASED ON SALES VOLUME AT DOUGLAS ELLIMAN REAL ESTATE, 2023.


Saslove & Warwick was founded by Joshua Saslove and Riley Warwick. The Saslove & Warwick Team approaches Aspen’s real estate landscape with an auspicious blend of experience, deep community ties, and forward-thinking. The team possesses a plethora of knowledge regarding real estate in all areas of the Roaring Fork Valley, while also specializing in Red Mountain, Central Core, West Aspen, and East Aspen, specifically. Together, the team has over 60 years of experience and $4+ Billion in Closed Sales.

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 02


TABLE OF CONTENTS

1422 W Buttermilk Road | $32,900,000 6 BR, 9 BA | Approx. 9,964sf

03 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023


NOTEWORTHY SALES

07

ASPEN

11

SNOWMASS VILLAGE

23

OLD SNOWMASS

33

CONTACT

44

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 04


05 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023



RECENT & NOTEWORTHY SALES

550 Lazy Chair Ranch Road $22,875,000 Represented Buyer and Seller

132 Placer Lane $55,000,000 Represented Buyer and Seller

212 North Monarch Street $9,500,000 Represented Seller

315 West Smuggler Street $21,000,000 Represented Buyer and Seller

07 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023

212 East Durant Avenue $22,000,000 Represented Seller


615 East Hopkins Avenue $17,900,000 Represented Buyer

233 East Cooper Avenue, C4 $13,500,000 Represented Buyer and Seller

411 Wood Road, #10 $6,400,000 Represented Buyer

A R T I ST R E N D E R I N G

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 08


800 S Monarch Street | $10,495,000 3 BR, 3 BA | Approx. 1,550sf

09 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023


I have total trust and respect for the Saslove & Warwick Team... Very hard-working, knowledgeable and smart. Total professionals who I bring in on every transaction. S&W CLIENT

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 10


Q4

11

2023 Market Insights



ASPEN

TOTAL Q4 TRANSACTION QUANTITIES YEAR OVER YEAR

Q4 2023

51 TRADES

Q4 2022

42 TRADES

Q4 2021

112 TRADES

Q4 2020

140 TRADES

The market is generally flat year-on-year in terms of the number of transactions and average price per square foot. The exception is below US $10 million, which saw sales decrease 31% on an annual basis and a 9% decrease in prices. RILEY WARWICK AS SEEN IN ELLIMAN INSIDER, 2023

13 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.


TOTAL Q4 TRANSACTION QUANTITIES BY LOCATION YEAR OVER YEAR

CENTRAL CORE Q4 2023

RED MOUNTAIN Q4 2023

20

Q4 2022

Q4 2021

54

Q4 2020

Q4 2021

EAST ASPEN Q4 2023

Q4 2023

Q4 2022

7

Q4 2021

Q4 2021

12

Q4 2020

14

Q4 2020

5

Q4 2021

3

16

15

Q4 2020

SMUGGLER

8

7

Q4 2022

4

Q4 2020

46

Q4 2022

Q4 2023

1

Q4 2022

16

WEST END

19

MCLAIN FLATS Q4 2023

2

1

Q4 2022

3

Q4 2021

4

9

Q4 2020

5

3

9

WEST ASPEN Q4 2023

Q4 2022

Q4 2021

Q4 2020

12

2

21

27

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 14


ASPEN

TOTAL Q4 SALES VOLUME YEAR OVER YEAR

Q4 2023

$447.356M+

Q4 2022

$517.865M+

Q4 2021

$929.248M+

Q4 2020

1.030B +

The top end of the market, $20M+, continues to be resilient. The lack of inventory in this sector continues to push prices higher and we believe this will continue throughout 2024. RILEY WARWICK AS SEEN IN ELLIMAN INSIDER, 2023

15 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.


TOTAL Q4 TRANSACTION QUANTITIES BY PRICE POINT YEAR OVER YEAR

$0–$5M Q4 2023

Q4 2022

$5–$10M Q4 2023

23

Q4 2021

53

Q4 2020

70

31

Q4 2021

Q4 2020

30

Q4 2020

Q4 2022

Q4 2021

Q4 2020

$30–$40M Q4 2023

3

2

Q4 2021

7

10

Q4 2020

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.

3

0

8

17

30

$40M+

0

Q4 2022

5

12

Q4 2022

9

Q4 2021

$20–$30M Q4 2023

Q4 2023

11

Q4 2022

16

$10–$20M

Q4 2023

2

Q4 2022

2

Q4 2021

Q4 2020

1

0

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 16


ASPEN

TOTAL Q4 T R ANSACT ION QUA N T I T I E S BY T YP E YEAR OV ER YE A R

80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Q4 2020

SINGLE FAMILY

17 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023

Q4 2021

CONDO/TOWNHOME/DUPLEX

Q4 2022

Q4 2023

VACANT LAND/TEAR DOWN

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.


TOTAL Q4 SAL ES VOLUME BY T YP E YEAR OV ER YE A R

$800M

$600M

$400M

$200M

$0 Q4 2020

SINGLE FAMILY

Q4 2021

CONDO/TOWNHOME/DUPLEX

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.

Q4 2022

Q4 2023

VACANT LAND/TEAR DOWN

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 18


Pitkin County [set] the maximum buildable square footage from 15,000 to 9,250 or smaller. That has bolstered prices for existing large homes, according to agent Riley Warwick of Douglas Elliman, who said buyers are scrambling to purchase properties they won’t be able to build again. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL Record Sales and Off-Market Trades: Why Aspen’s Luxury Market Seems Unstoppable, October 18, 2023

19 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023


PREMIER RENTAL 132 Placer Lane | $200,000/Month 6 BR, 6.5 BA | Approx. 12,111sf

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 20


108 West Hyman Avenue, Unit 1 | $3,470,000 3 BR, 3 BA | Approx. 1,145sf

21 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023


SASLOVE & WARWICK // 22


Q4

23

2023 Market Insights


SNOWMASS


SNOWMASS VILLAGE

TOTAL Q4 T R ANSACT ION QUA N T I T I E S Y E A R OVE R YEAR

Q4 2023

30 TRADES

Q4 2022

30 TRADES

Q4 2021

76 TRADES

Q4 2020

123 TRADES

25 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.


TOTAL Q4 SAL ES VOLUME Y E A R OVE R YEAR

Q4 2023

$113.37M+

Q4 2022

$89.78M+

Q4 2021

$211.3M+

Q4 2020

$301.0M+

The last quarter of 2023 had significantly more transactions than in Q4 of 2022, though the total sales volume was significantly lower. This shows more sales at lower sale prices. Due to its physical footprint, number of condominium buildings and new base development, Snowmass Village has a higher inventory of condos than Aspen. Many of these condos, which are selling swiftly after coming to market, remain at a more approachable price-per-square-foot value than condos in Aspen. EMERY HOLTON S&W BROKER ASSOCIATE

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 26


SNOWMASS VILLAGE

TOTAL Q4 T R ANSACT IO N QUA N T I T I E S BY PRICE POINT YEAR OVE R YE A R

$0–$5M

$5–$10M

Q4 2023

21

Q4 2023

Q4 2022

24

Q4 2022

Q4 2021

27 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023

Q4 2023

8

6

Q4 2021

61

Q4 2020

$10–$20M

109

Q4 2020

15

12

1

Q4 2022

0

Q4 2021

0

Q4 2020

2

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.


SASLOVE & WARWICK // 28


SNOWMASS VILLAGE

TOTAL Q4 T R ANSACT ION QUA N T I T I E S BY T YP E YEAR OV ER YE A R

100

80

60

40

20

0 Q4 2020

SINGLE FAMILY

29 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023

Q4 2021

CONDO/TOWNHOME/DUPLEX

Q4 2022

Q4 2023

VACANT LAND/TEAR DOWN

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.


TOTAL Q4 SAL ES VOLUME BY T YP E YEAR OV ER YE A R

$200M

$150M

$100M

$50M

$0 Q4 2020

SINGLE FAMILY

Q4 2021

CONDO/TOWNHOME/DUPLEX

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.

Q4 2022

Q4 2023

VACANT LAND/TEAR DOWN

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 30


1500 Ridge of Wildcat Drive | $34,500,000 7 BR, 12 BA | Approx. 12,836sf

31 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023


Buyers continue to flock to Snowmass both for its affordability and amenities, such as the Snowmass Club and the continuous improvements at Base Village. We expect prices to increase in Snowmass through 2024.

RILEY WARWICK S&W BROKER ASSOCIATE

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 32


Q4

33

2023 Market Insights


OLD SNOWMASS


OLD SNOWMASS

TOTAL Q4 T R ANSACT ION QUA N T I T I E S Y E A R OVE R YEAR

Q4 2023

2 TRADES

Q4 2022

6 TRADES

Q4 2021

10 TRADES

Q4 2020

9 TRADES

35 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.


TOTAL Q4 SALES VOLUME YEAR OVER YEAR

Q4 2023

$8.87M+

Q4 2022

$42.6M+

Q4 2021

$43.7M+

Q4 2020

$45.6M +

The quarterly drop in year-over-year number of sales and sales volume can be attributed mostly to inventory selling off during 2020 and 2021. Inventory in Old Snowmass is still very low and prices have increased significantly from 2019. We feel prices will taper off in 2024. RILEY WARWICK S&W BROKER ASSOCIATE

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 36


OLD SNOWMASS

TOTAL Q4 TRANSACTION QUANTITIES BY PRICE POINT YEAR OVER YEAR

$5–$10M

$0–$5M

Q4 2023

Q4 2022

1

3

Q4 2023

1

Q4 2023

Q4 2022

1

Q4 2022

Q4 2021

7

Q4 2021

Q4 2020

7

Q4 2020

37 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023

$10–$20M

2

0

0

2

Q4 2021

Q4 2020

2

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.


SASLOVE & WARWICK // 38


OLD SNOWMASS

TOTAL Q4 T R ANSACT ION QUA N T I T I E S BY T YP E YEAR OV ER YE A R

7 6

5

4

3

2

1

0 Q4 2020

SINGLE FAMILY

39 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023

Q4 2021

Q4 2022

Q4 2023

VACANT LAND/TEAR DOWN

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.


TOTAL Q4 SAL ES VOLUME BY T YP E YEAR OV ER YE A R

$50M

$40M

$30M

$20M

$10M

0 Q4 2020

SINGLE FAMILY

Q4 2021

Q4 2022

Q4 2023

VACANT LAND/TEAR DOWN

*DATA SOURCED FROM THE ASPEN/GLENWOOD MLS, 2024.

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 40


TBD Conundrum Creek Road | $19,995,000 Approx. 24 acres Build up to 13,500sf, No TDRs Required

41 // MARKET INSIGHTS: Q4 2023


Riley Warwick is a hardworking, honest, capable and experienced partner that helped us with a significant asset sale. He stayed focused and diligent throughout. My recommendation could not be more confident.

S&W CLIENT

*Approx. Property Outline Shown

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 42


EXPERIENCE THE BEST of the Roaring Fork Valley

BUY, SELL , OR RENT WITH The #1 Team in Aspen*

© 2024 DOUGLAS ELLIMAN REAL ESTATE. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY. 630 EAST HYMAN AVENUE, STE 101, ASPEN, CO, 81611. 970.925.8810. *TEAM RANKINGS BASED ON 2023 REALTRENDS AND TOM FERRY THE THOUSAND, BASED ON SALES VOLUME FROM DOUGLAS ELLIMAN REAL ESTATE, 2022 AND AS SEEN IN THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. TEAM SALES STATISTCS BASED ON SALES VOLUME AT DOUGLAS ELLIMAN REAL ESTATE, 2023.


We feel so fortunate to do what we love in our favorite place on earth, Aspen. It’s about more than homes to us— the Roaring Fork Valley offers an unparalleled lifestyle that we deeply cherish sharing with others every day. This genuine passion, along with our unwavering dedication to our clients and extensive market knowledge, have been the foundation of our success for over 60 years. Please contact us to learn more.

O 970.925.8810 520 East Durant Avenue, Aspen saslovewarwick.com

SASLOVE & WARWICK // 44


630 E HYMAN AVE, STE 101, ASPEN, CO 81611. 970.925.8810. © 2024 DOUGLAS ELLIMAN REAL ESTATE. ALL MATERIAL PRESENTED HEREIN IS INTENDED FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. WHILE, THIS INFORMATION IS BELIEVED TO BE CORRECT, IT IS REPRESENTED SUBJECT TO ERRORS, OMISSIONS, CHANGES OR WITHDRAWAL WITHOUT NOTICE. ALL PROPERTY INFORMATION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO SQUARE FOOTAGE, ROOM COUNT, NUMBER OF BEDROOMS AND THE SCHOOL DISTRICT IN PROPERTY LISTINGS SHOULD BE VERIFIED BY YOUR OWN ATTORNEY, ARCHITECT OR ZONING EXPERT. IF YOUR PROPERTY IS CURRENTLY LISTED WITH ANOTHER REAL ESTATE BROKER, PLEASE DISREGARD THIS OFFER. IT IS NOT OUR INTENTION TO SOLICIT THE OFFERINGS OF OTHER REAL ESTATE BROKERS. WE COOPERATE WITH THEM FULLY. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY.


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