YOU and the Preventable Apocalypse
10 Billion people by 2050. - United Nations
2014 2050
7 Billion
10 Billion
54% of people live in cities now, 66% by 2066. - World Bank
World 2014
World 2066
IMPACTS
/ URBAN FOOTPRINT
AGENCY / OPPORTUNITY / URBAN FOOTPRINT
75%
+/-
Impact of Built Realm Professionals
SUCCESS STORY
1.5 3 6
/ GHG
Tonnes of GHG / 23.5 2005/7 BASELINE
7 N.A.
5
3.5
33%
80%
80%
2020
2030
2050
NYC METRO OSLO VAN
2005/7
2014
Every year, we release OUR IMPACT
1 million years of photosynthesis by burning fossil fuels - Daniel Nocera / ArtiďŹ cial Leaf
IMPACTS / ENERGY
AGENCY / OPPORTUNITY / SOLAR ENERGY
Area of CSP (Concentrated Solar Potential) to generate as much electrictiy as currently consumed by the world
only 47 days to generate enough solar energy from the deserts to equal all “It would take
proven fossil fuel reserves.”
- Greenpeace Roof
Residential
South Facade
Commercial
+ Solar Energy per sqft ( in Seattle, WA )
=
Avg. Energy Consumption
SUCCESS STORY / SOLAR ENERGY
9,984,670 km²
944,735
CALGARY
FRANKFURT
“Britain and Germany have broken records for generating solar electricity. On June 9th, 2014, Germany generated more than
50% of its total energy demand.
- The Guardian
357,168
IMPACTS / BUILT FORM
AGENCY / OPPORTUNITY / BUILT FORM
NEW
75%
BUILT REALM DESIGNERS
RENO OCCUPANTS / INHABITANTS
EXISTING
Impact of Built Realm Professionals
“Between 2010 - 2035, approximately 75% of the built
environment will be built new or renovated. This transformation represents a historic opportunity for the building community to avoid climate change”.
- Architecture 2030
SUCCESS / BUILT FORM
The Sears Crosstown building has approximately 20,000 tonnes of CO2 embodied in the existing concrete structure
SUCCESS /BUILT FORM
a ‘Passive House’reduces heating
energy consumption by 80-92% “The average EUI per household in
Canada: 205 kwh/m2/yr.”
- StatCan
“Heating demand for typical SFH in
Vancouver: 70 kWh/m2/yr” House Toolkit
8%
“The ‘Energy Plus House’ is a pilot project started by the German government as of 2011...it is anticipated to be the obligatory German
house building standard by 2020.”
- German Energy Agency , TED
- CoV Passive
Passive house certification: max 15 kWh/m2/yr heating energy
IMPACTS
AGENCY / OPPORTUNITY
/ WATER
30%
/ WATER
of of all all renewable renewable
freshwater
appropriated appropriated by by humans. humans.
- Science Journal
80% of
potable water is is used used in in buildings - NRDC
SUCCESS STORY / WATER
EEEL water reduction: 64%
36%
IMPACT
IMPACTS
/ TRANSPORTATION
AGENCY / OPPORTUNITY
One mile onon aa bike isis aa $.42 economic gain to society One mile driving isis aa $.20 loss - City of Copenhagen
IMPACTS
/ TRANSPORTATION
AGENCY
/ FOOTPRINT Visualizing Density and Neighbourhood Form
0-1 dwellings/ hectare Agricultural land, with few homes
1-12 dwellings/ hectare Single family homes on large lots
12-40 dwellings/ hectare Compact lot single family, duplex, triplex, coach house
40-70 dwellings/ hectare 70-125 dwellings/ hectare Buildings are generally Single family homes on 4-6 storeys (but can be smaller lots and higher) ground-oriented buildings up to 4 storeys
“The best transportation plan is a good land use plan.’ - Larry Beasley
Countryside
Suburban
Compact Neighbourhood
General Urban
City
125+ dwellings/ hectare Predominantly high density buildings of 6 storeys or more
City Centre
SUCCESS STORY
“Vancouver Downtown ininthe thelast last15 15years: years: more people, more jobs, fewer vehicles’
AGENCY / OPPORTUNITY / BUILT FORM
NEW
75%
BUILT REALM DESIGNERS
RENO OCCUPANTS / INHABITANTS
EXISTING
Impact of Built Realm Professionals
“Between 2010 - 2035, approximately 75% of the built
environment will be built new or renovated. This transformation represents a historic opportunity for the building community to avoid climate change”.
- Architecture 2030
SUCCESS STORY / WASTE
Chilliwack Secondary School diverted 92% of
construction waste (including demolition of existing school)
IMPACTS
About 40% of deaths are caused by water, air and soil polution
Sick Building Syndrome decreases productivity by 2%, or $60 billion in the US
Canadians spend 90% of time indoors, where pollutant concentrations are 2 to 5 times higher thanoutdoors
AGENCY / OPPORTUNITY
banned DDT catalyzed modern environmental movement
?
SUCCESS STORY / HEALTH&WELLBEING
1982 -
World Charter for Nature (signed by over 100 UN nation states)
2008 - Ecuador adopts Constitutional Rights for
Nature
(and in 2011 Nature won its first court case)
Richmond, BC passes legislation recognizing rights for all people to live in a healthy environment 2014 -
SUCCESS STORY / HEALTH&WELLBEING
“The Bullitt Center Case Study, found that just six of the building’s green features will produce up to $18.5 million in benefits to society over the life of the building. This is the first time ecosystem service values have been calculated for a building.”
-2007)
worthy.png
the 1%
1%
In the context of the Occupy Movement, is synonymous with an oppressive inequality, wherein a vast RESPONSIBILITY majority (the 99%) is burdened with the responsibility of paying for the self-serving actions of an overprivileged few.
the 1% represents an oppressive inequality, wherin a vast majority is burned with the responsibility of paying for the self-serving actions of an overprivileged few. In the context of the Occupy Movement,
99%
...so at the scale of the Planetary Occupy Movement (and from the perspective of all its other inhabitants)
“WE are the 1%”
1%
99% 99%
Oceans occupy 99% of the living space on Earth. IMPACT So at the scale of the planetary Occupy Movement (and from the perspective of all its other inhabitans)
we are the 1%
RESPONSIBILITY Diagram by JCutbill
jcutbill
OUR RESPONSIBILITY (and RESPONSE-ABILITY) “In matters of public health and safety, architects are obliged to serve the public interest and respond to the public need. The concepts of health
and safety are expanding to encompass the sustainability of the global environment and accessibility for all persons.”
- Canadian Handbook of Practice
“Design is the ultimate renewable resource.
The power of environmental influence on all aspects of life is too large to calculate. Neglecting the importance of (responsibly) designed spaces, is to neglect our (potential for) a bright future for the world’s communities.” - Habitat for Humanity
Q1
What do you care about? What needs to change in the world?
Q2
In this world: what kind of work do we (want to) do? what kind of firm to we want DIALOG to be?
Q3
What opportunities exist to make us that kind of firm?
next steps...