Solar Thermal Markets in Europe

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Solar Thermal Markets in Europe

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Solar Thermal Markets in Europe Trends and Market Statistics 2011

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Robin M. Welling President of ESTIF


Wagner & Co, Cรถlbe

www.solarthermalworld.org


Solar Thermal Markets in EU 27 and Switzerland (glazed collectors) ZDV D \HDU RI PL[HG PHVVDJHV :KLOH WKH QHZO\ LQVWDOOHG FDSDFLW\ LQ UHPDLQHG FORVH WR WKH *:WK LQVWDOOHG LQ HYROXWLRQ LQ WKH GLIIHUHQW QDWLRQDO PDUNHWV KDV EHHQ YHU\ GLYHUVH 6RPH LPSRUWDQW PDUNHWV FRQWLQXH RQ WKH JURZWK SDWK LQFOXGLQJ WKH ELJJHVW (XURSHDQ PDUNHW *HUPDQ\ DQG DOVR 3RODQG ZKLFK LV QRZ MRLQLQJ WKH VHOHFW JURXS RI PDUNHWV DERYH 0:WK Pñ RI QHZO\ LQVWDOOHG FDSDF LW\ 1HYHUWKHOHVV VRPH PDUNHWV KDYH EHHQ JRLQJ WKURXJK D YHU\ GLIÀFXOW WLPH HVSHFLDOO\ LQ 6RXWK HUQ (XURSHDQ FRXQWULHV VXFK DV ,WDO\ 6SDLQ DQG 3RUWXJDO ,QWHUHVWLQJO\ HQRXJK *UHHFH KDV EXFNHG WKLV WUHQG ZLWK D VOLJKW PDUNHW JURZWK ZKLFK LV PRVW FHUWDLQO\ GXH WR WKH KLJK DQG ULVLQJ FRVWV RI RWKHU HQHUJ\ VRXUFHV

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Solar Thermal Market in Austria Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors

kWth 350 000

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Solar Thermal Market in Greece Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors

m2 500 000

300 000

400 000

250 000 200 000

300 000

150 000

200 000

100 000 100 000

50 000 © ESTIF 2012 0

0 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011


Solar Thermal Markets in Europe Trends and Market Statistics 2011

Major markets outside Europe Analyses of solrico, Author: Bärbel Epp 7KH $VLDQ FRXQWULHV &KLQD DQG ,QGLD UHDFK DQ RXWVWDQGLQJ KLJK DYHUDJH RI RYHU SRLQWV RQ WKH ,62/ ,QGH[ UDQNLQJ SRLQWV DERYH WKH ORQJ WHUP ,62/ ,QGH[ RI WKH 0HGLWHUUDQHDQ 5HJLRQ DQG 1RUWK &HQWUDO (XURSH :LWK RQO\ SRLQWV WKH LQGXVWU\ LQ WKH 86 VKRZV WKH OHDVW VDWLVI\LQJ UHVXOW 7KH ,62/ ,QGH[ LV D SRLQW EDVHG EXVLQHVV FOLPDWH LQGH[ ZKLFK PHDVXUHV WKH VDWLVIDFWLRQ RI LQGXVWU\ SOD\HUV LQ NH\ VRODU WKHUPDO PDUNHWV ZRUOGZLGH LQFOXGLQJ WKHLU SUHVHQW DQG IXWXUH EXVLQHVV RSSRUWXQLWLHV

Long-term average ISOL Index China India Turkey Brazil Mexico USA Mediterranean Region North/Central Europe 0

10

20

30

40

50

Attractive market segments in different countries

What is the fastest-growing segment in your national solar thermal market?

7KH FKDUW WR WKH OHIW LV EDVHG RQ WZR VXUYH\V RI VRODU WKHUPDO FROOHFWRU DQG V\VWHP PDQXIDFWXUHUV 'HFHPEHU DQG -XQH 3DUWLFLSDWLQJ FRPSDQLHV WLFNHG RQH PXOWLSOH FKRLFH DQVZHU WR WKH TXHVWLRQ ´:KDW LV WKH IDVWHVW JURZLQJ VHJPHQW LQ \RXU QDWLRQDO VRODU WKHUPDO PDUNHW"µ 7KH ÀJXUH LQ EUDFNHWV EHKLQG WKH FRXQWU\ VKRZV WKH QXPEHU RI TXHVWLRQQDLUHV ZKLFK ZHUH DYHUDJHG WR FDOFXODWH WKH VFRUH

Mexico (23) Brazil (45) India (59) USA (29) China (54) Turkey (29) 0%

20%

40%

60%

Single family houses

Multi-family houses

Industrial process heat

Public sector

Country

80%

100%

Hotels/Tourism

Newly installed collector area 2011

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Newly installed capacity 2011

Growth rate 2011/2010

Brazil

517 517 m2

362 MWth

9%

China

57 000 000 m2

29 900 MWth

16%

India

600 000 m2

364 MWth

n/a

Mexico

180 000 m2

126 MWth

0%

Turkey

1 805 675 m2

1 264 MWth

9%

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60


Forecast Index June 2012

Brazil +4% India +4% Turkey Mexico USA

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Forecast 2012: no great changes expected

-2% -2% -4%

$OO RI WKH FRXQWULHV LQ WKH FKDUW WR WKH OHIW VKRZ D ´WHPSHUDWXUH¾ FORVH WR ]HUR 7KLV PHDQV WKDW QR JUHDW FKDQJHV DUH H[SHFWHG IRU WKLV \HDU 6WURQJ PDUNHWV VXFK DV %UD]LO DQG ,QGLD NHHS WKHLU KLJK UDWHV LQ 0H[LFR¡V LQGXVWU\ SOD\HUV DUH XQVXUH EHFDXVH RI WKH HOHFWLRQV DQG WKH VORZO\ GHYHORSLQJ EXLOGLQJ VHFWRU 7KH\ HVWLPDWH QRWKLQJ PRUH WKDQ D à DW PDUNHW DV ZDV WKH FDVH LQ 7KH 86$ GLG ZHOO LQ SOXV DFFRUGLQJ WR LQGXVWU\ HVWLPDWHV 7KH GURS LQ QDWXUDO JDV SULFHV KRZHYHU LV ZRUU\LQJ WKH QDWLRQDO LQGXVWU\

Global average -9%

The presented results are taken from the latest ISOL Navigator study published in June 2012. Further information: www.solrico.com

Renewable Heating & Cooling European Technology Platform

The European Technology Platform on Renewable Heating & Cooling (RHC-Platform) brings together stakeholders from the solar thermal, biomass and geothermal sector. The objective of the RHC-Platform is to encourage the use of renewable energy technologies for heating and cooling by maximizing synergies and strengthening efforts towards research, development and technological innovation to consolidate Europe’s leading position in the sector. In May 2011, the RHC-Platform published its “Common Vision� which is now complemented by the “Strategic Research Priorities for Solar Thermal Technology�.

Strategic Research Priorities for Solar Thermal Technology Strategic Research Priorities for Solar Thermal Technology European Technology Platform on Renewable Heating and Cooling

This new publication describes the potential of solar thermal, as well as the technological requirements and R&D priorities needed to facilitate the greater deployment of solar thermal in multiple market segments. Membership is free! Join the Platform today and become part of the community!

www.rhc-platform.org You want more information on the RHC-Platform? Check page 17 of this brochure!

The Secretariat of the European Technology Platform on Renewable Heating and Cooling is ďŹ nancially supported by the 7th Framework Programme of the European Commission (GA n. 268205).


Solar Thermal Markets in Europe Trends and Market Statistics 2011

Solar Thermal Markets at a Glance Data for 2011 6ZHGHQ N:WK

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Country name Annual evolution 2010/2011

15-25 kWth

Cumulative installed capacity in operation (kWth) kWth per 1000 capita

< 15 kWth

Note: The data are usually provided by national solar thermal associations or other national sources. Countries marked with an * are ESTIF estimations and are therefore not sufficient to set a percentage variation in the market.

/DWYLD N:WK Shares of the European Solar Thermal Market (Newly Installed Capacity)

Others

/LWKXDQLD

CZ

DK

UK

N:WK

PT

DE

CH

GR

AT

FR

IT PL

ES

DE

35%

IT

11%

ES

7%

PL

7%

FR

7%

AT

6%

GR

6%

CH

4%

PT

3%

UK

3%

CZ

2%

DK

2%

OTHERS 7% Š ESTIF 2012

WK

kWth

m2

Solar Thermal Capacity in Operation (per 1000 Capita)

700

Š ESTIF 2012

600 500 400

+XQJDU\ N:WK

300 200 100

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kWth 30

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0

m2

Development of Main Markets - Newly Installed Capacity per 1000 Capita

40

Š ESTIF 2012

%XOJDULD N:WK

900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0

35

25

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20

25

15

20

10

15 10

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5 01 Austria

02

03 France

04 Germany

05

06 Greece

07 Italy

08

09

Poland

10 Spain

11

0

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Solar Thermal Markets in Europe Trends and Market Statistics 2011

European Solar Days

For a bright Future

European Solar Days Spreading the message across Europe The number of events and participants is growing each year! In 2011 over 8000 events attended by half a million people in 19

countries! Join the campaign and get involved by organizing or attending an event! OR CHEDULED F S IS N IG A P M THE NEXT CA May 2013

1-19

Visit the website

www.solardays.eu and get all the information you need!

Want to know more? Contact ESTIF, the project coordinator: European Solar Thermal Industry Federation (ESTIF) Renewable Energy House Rue d’ Arlon 63-67 B-1040 Brussels Belgium Tel: +32 2 546 19 38 Fax: +32 2 546 19 39 info@estif.org www.estif.org

* Countries in dark grey have already organized Solar Days events


Market Size in terms of Solar Thermal Capacity (KWth) and in terms of Collector Area (m²) In Operation2 2011

2009

2010

Total Glazed

Total Glazed

Total Glazed

m2

Annual Evolution of the Market

Market (=Newly Installed)

kW(th)

m2

2011 Total Glazed m2

Flat Plate m2

2011/2010 Total Glazed

Vacuum Collectors m2

m2

Total Glazed

kW(th)

%

3 988 088

2 791 662

356 166

279 898

230 189

221 495

8 694

161 132

-17.8%

Belgium

323 283

226 298

50 700

42 500

45 500

35 500

10 000

31 850

7.1%

Bulgaria*

115 100

80 570

8 000

8 400

10 800

10 000

800

7 560

-

Cyprus

713 359

499 351

34 709

30 713

28 437

26 794

1 643

19 906

-7.4%

Czech Republic

378 066

264 647

51 669

91 717

65 000

49 000

16 000

45 500

-29.1%

Denmark

583 605

408 524

54 496

64 651

62 401

61 897

504

43 681

-3.5%

Estonia*

4 720

3 304

450

500

1 800

900

900

1 260

-

Austria

Finland*

32 873

23 011

3 400

3 700

4 000

3 000

1 000

2 800

-

France4

1 824 900

1 277 430

265 000

256 000

251 000

242 200

8 800

175 700

-2.0%

Germany

14 994 000

10 495 800

1 615 000

1 150 000

1 270 000

1 152 000

118 000

889 000

10.4%

4 087 200

2 861 040

206 000

214 000

230 000

228 500

1 500

161 000

7.5%

Hungary

170 814

119 570

22 000

21 000

21 000

14 900

6 100

14 700

0.0%

Ireland

158 429

110 900

32 221

24 918

27 000

16 200

10 800

18 900

8.4%

3 073 930

2 151 751

475 000

490 000

415 000

373 500

41 500

290 500

-15.3%

Latvia*

3 740

2 618

180

200

1 800

1 000

800

1 260

-

Lithuania*

4 200

2 940

200

200

1 800

600

1 200

1 260

-

35 850

25 095

4 700

4 500

4 500

3 500

1 000

3 150

-

Greece

Italy

Luxemburg*

51 360

35 952

5 500

5 000

5 500

5 500

0

3 850

-

474 595

332 217

45 260

40 834

33 000

33 000

0

23 100

-19.2%

Poland

909 390

636 573

144 308

145 906

253 500

187 000

66 500

177 450

73.7%

Portugal

781 295

546 906

173 762

182 271

127 198

126 308

890

89 039

-30.2%

Romania*

105 200

73 640

14 900

15 500

15 500

8 500

7 000

10 850

53.3%

Malta* Netherlands

Slovakia

142 250

99 575

13 500

15 000

23 000

19 320

3 680

16 100

Slovenia

175 300

122 710

22 000

11 000

12 000

9 000

3 000

8 400

9.1%

2 369 861

1 658 903

391 000

336 800

266 979

249 728

17 251

186 885

-20.7%

Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom

EU27 + Switzerland

337 022

235 915

21 309

20 699

20 807

15 654

5 153

14 565

0.5%

1 023 698

716 589

145 640

144 772

140 000

130 000

10 000

98 000

-3.3%

656 998

459 899

89 100

105 200

91 778

72 953

18 826

64 245

-12.8%

37 519 126 26 263 388

4 246 170

3 705 879

3 659 489

-

-

2 561 643

-1.3%

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Solar Thermal Markets in Europe Trends and Market Statistics 2011

Solar Thermal Markets Below 200 000 m² Newly Installed Capacity for Markets Below 200 000 m² kWth 'XULQJ VHYHUDO PDUNHWV ZHUH VHULRXVO\ DIIHFWHG E\ SROLWLFDO LQGHFLVLRQ :LWKLQ WKH JURXS 140 000 RI PDUNHWV EHWZHHQ DQG PĂą 120 000 WKLV QHJDWLYH LPSDFW ZDV HYHQ PRUH REYLRXV ,Q SDUWLFXODU 3RUWXJDO DQG WKH &]HFK 5HSXEOLF 100 000 DUH FOHDU H[DPSOHV RI WKH DGYHUVH HIIHFWV RI 80 000 ´VWRS JRÂľ PHDVXUHV $IWHU WKH JURZWK REVHUYHG 60 000 RYHU UHFHQW \HDUV WKHVH PDUNHWV KDYH FRQWUDFWHG VLJQLĂ€FDQWO\ ² DURXQG UHVXOWLQJ LQ EXVLQHVVHV 40 000 FORVLQJ GRZQ DQG MRE ORVVHV 2Q WKH RWKHU KDQG 20 000 Š ESTIF 2012 WKH 8QLWHG .LQJGRP LV D FOHDU H[DPSOH RI 0 QHJDWLYH LPSDFW RQ WKH PDUNHW ZKHQ H[SHFWDWLRQV 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 DUH UDLVHG FDXVLQJ WKH PDUNHW WR VWDOO ZKLOH Czech Republic Denmark Portugal Switzerland UK FXVWRPHUV DQG DJHQWV ZDLW IRU WKH SURPLVHG PHDVXUHV WR FRPH LQWR HIIHFW ,Q WKH FDVH RI 6ZLW]HUODQG WKH VLWXDWLRQ LV PRUH VWDEOH HYHQ LI VRPH UHJLRQV FDQWRQV KDYH UHYLVHG WKHLU SROLFLHV

m2 200 000 160 000 120 000 80 000 40 000 0

Portugal )ROORZLQJ LPSUHVVLYH JURZWK LQ DQG WKH VXSSRUW OHYHO IRU VRODU WKHUPDO ZDV ORZHUHG LQ $ QHZ VXSSRUW PHFKDQLVP IRU ODUJH LQVWDOODWLRQV ODXQFKHG LQ KDG D SRVLWLYH DOEHLW VPDOO LPSDFW RQ WKLV W\SH RI DSSOLFDWLRQV LQ 7KH UHVLGHQWLDO PDUNHW ZDV DIIHFWHG E\ WKH ÀQDQFLDO FULVLV IDFHG E\ WKH FRXQWU\ 7KH 9$7 UDWH LQFUHDVH IRUHVHHQ IRU WKH EHJLQQLQJ RI DIIHFWHG WKH HQG RI \HDU VDOHV UHVXOWV &RQVHTXHQWO\ WKH PDUNHW EHKDYHG EHWWHU WKDQ H[SHFWHG EXW VWLOO H[SHULHQFHG D UHGXFWLRQ RI GRZQ WR N:WK Pù

kWth 140 000

Solar Thermal Market in Portugal Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors

m2 200 000

120 000

160 000

100 000 80 000

120 000

60 000

80 000

40 000 40 000 20 000 Š ESTIF 2012 0

0 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Switzerland $V LQ WKH 6ZLVV PDUNHW DJDLQ IDFHG D VPDOO UHGXFWLRQ RI DURXQG 7KHUH ZHUH QR VLJQLĂ€FDQW FKDQJHV LQ WKH VXSSRUW IUDPHZRUN $OWKRXJK LQ VRPH FDQWRQV WKHUH ZHUH VRPH PRGLĂ€FDWLRQV RU XQFHUWDLQW\ UHJDUGLQJ VXSSRUW VFKHPHV EXW WKHVH VKRXOG QRW KDYH D PDMRU HIIHFW RQ WKH RYHUDOO PDUNHW 6DOHV LQ WKH 6ZLVV PDUNHW WRWDOOHG N:WK RI QHZO\ LQVWDOOHG FDSDFLW\ LQ PĂą DQG WKH RXWORRN IRU LV PRUH RI WKH VDPH L H EXVLQHVV DV XVXDO

kWth 140 000

Solar Thermal Market in Switzerland Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors

m2 200 000

120 000

160 000

100 000 80 000

120 000

60 000

80 000

40 000 40 000 20 000 Š ESTIF 2012 0

0 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011


United Kingdom ,Q WKH XQFHUWDLQW\ VXUURXQGLQJ WKH 5HQHZDEOH +HDW ,QFHQWLYH 5+, VFKHPH KDG D QHJDWLYH LPSDFW RQ WKH 8. PDUNHW 2YHUDOO LW VKUDQN E\ DOPRVW ZLWK OHVV WKDQ 0:WK LQVWDOOHG Pñ 'LIÀFXOW HFRQRPLF FRQGLWLRQV DQG WKH UHFHVVLRQ LQ WKH EXLOGLQJ VHFWRU GHOD\HG WKH ODXQFK RI WKH WDULII IRU GRPHVWLF XVHUV ,QVWHDG D 5HQHZDEOH +HDW 3UHPLXP 3D\PHQW 5+33 ZDV LQWURGXFHG LQ $XJXVW DQG WKH 5HQHZDEOH +HDW ,QFHQWLYH LQ 2FWREHU EXW OLPLWHG WR QRQ GRPHVWLF FRPPHUFLDO DSSOLFDWLRQV Â… SHU V\VWHP ,W LV SUREDEO\ RQO\ LQ WKDW ZH ZLOO DEOH WR DVVHVV WKH HIIHFWV RI WKLV WDULII RQ WKH FRPPHUFLDO VHFWRU 7KH VPDOO VFDOH VRODU WKHUPDO ZLOO KDYH WR FRQWHQG ZLWK WKH YDJDULHV RI WKH PDUNHW VLQFH WKH JRYHUQPHQW KDV DQQRXQFHG D EURDG FRQVXOWDWLRQ SULRU WR ODXQFKLQJ WKH VHFRQG SKDVH RI WKH 5+, QRZ XQOLNHO\ EHIRUH PLG

kWth 140 000

m2 200 000

120 000

160 000

100 000 80 000

120 000

60 000

80 000

40 000 40 000 20 000 © ESTIF 2012 0

0 2002

Czech Republic $V H[SHFWHG WKH HQG RI WKH VXSSRUW SURJUDPPH ´*UHHQ VDYLQJVµ KDG D VWURQJ QHJDWLYH LPSDFW RQ WKH &]HFK PDUNHW 7KH QHZO\ LQVWDOOHG FDSDFLW\ LQ RQO\ UHDFKHG N:WK Pñ UHSUHVHQWLQJ D GHFUHDVH FRPSDUHG ZLWK HYHQ WDNLQJ LQWR DFFRXQW VRPH RI WKH ÀQDO LQVWDOODWLRQV ZKLFK ZHUH FDUULHG RXW LQ +RZHYHU LQ VSLWH RI WKLV VLJQLÀFDQW GHFUHDVH WKH PDUNHW LV VWLOO DERYH WKH OHYHO

Solar Thermal Market in the United Kingdom Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors

kWth 70 000

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Solar Thermal Market in Czech Republic Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors

m2 100 000

60 000

80 000

50 000 40 000

60 000

30 000

40 000

20 000 20 000 10 000 © ESTIF 2012 0

0 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

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%HQHILWV • Simple test procedure • One test valid across Europe • Licensed products • Access to subsidies • Reliable quality and performance The Solar Keymark is a voluntary third-party certification mark for solar thermal products, showing that a product conforms to relevant European standards and fulfils additional requirements. It is used in Europe and increasingly recognized worldwide. It was developed by the European Solar Thermal Industry Federation (ESTIF) and CEN (European Committee for Standardisation) in close co-operation with leading European test labs and with the support of the European Commission. It is the European quality label for solar thermal products, aiming to reduce trade barriers and promote the use of high quality solar thermal products in the European market and beyond. Number of Solar Keymark licenses 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 Source: www.solarkeymark.org

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2020 renewable energy targets per sector ELECTRICITY 43%

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2013 SEPTEMBER 23-25

FREIBURG, GERMANY

The International Energy Agency Solar Heating and Cooling Programme (IEA SHC) and the European Solar Thermal Industry Federation (ESTIF) have decided to combine forces to organise in 2013 what will be one of the largest Solar Thermal Conferences worldwide.

With IEA SHC and ESTIF you get the best of both worlds: Solar Thermal Technology, Innovation and Standardisation Solar Thermal Markets, Industry and Policy The new annual SHC Conference series will take off on 9 July this year in San Francisco,USA, co-located with Intersolar North America. After a very successful ESTEC 2011 in Marseille, France, and ten years after the first edition of ESTEC in Freiburg in 2003, the cooperation between ESTIF and IEA SHC will give a new impetus to the solar thermal conferences in Europe and create a worldwide reference solar thermal event for all audiences: • SHC 2013 for Industry: latest market updates and outlook, as well as state of the art innovations, product development, standards, technical regulations • SHC 2013 for Research: high scientific standards for the presentation of project results, and first hand information on the European research policy framework and funding • SHC 2013 for representatives from public authorities, regulators, local authorities, energy agencies, Non Governmental Organisations: the latest news on best practices, tools, policies and framework for promoting solar thermal • SHC 2013 for a global audience because the European sector is leading the way in solar thermal developments

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