Solar Thermal Markets in Europe
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Solar Thermal Markets in Europe Trends and Market Statistics 2011
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Robin M. Welling President of ESTIF
Wagner & Co, Cรถlbe
www.solarthermalworld.org
Solar Thermal Markets in EU 27 and Switzerland (glazed collectors) ZDV D \HDU RI PL[HG PHVVDJHV :KLOH WKH QHZO\ LQVWDOOHG FDSDFLW\ LQ UHPDLQHG FORVH WR WKH *:WK LQVWDOOHG LQ HYROXWLRQ LQ WKH GLIIHUHQW QDWLRQDO PDUNHWV KDV EHHQ YHU\ GLYHUVH 6RPH LPSRUWDQW PDUNHWV FRQWLQXH RQ WKH JURZWK SDWK LQFOXGLQJ WKH ELJJHVW (XURSHDQ PDUNHW *HUPDQ\ DQG DOVR 3RODQG ZKLFK LV QRZ MRLQLQJ WKH VHOHFW JURXS RI PDUNHWV DERYH 0:WK Pñ RI QHZO\ LQVWDOOHG FDSDF LW\ 1HYHUWKHOHVV VRPH PDUNHWV KDYH EHHQ JRLQJ WKURXJK D YHU\ GLIÀFXOW WLPH HVSHFLDOO\ LQ 6RXWK HUQ (XURSHDQ FRXQWULHV VXFK DV ,WDO\ 6SDLQ DQG 3RUWXJDO ,QWHUHVWLQJO\ HQRXJK *UHHFH KDV EXFNHG WKLV WUHQG ZLWK D VOLJKW PDUNHW JURZWK ZKLFK LV PRVW FHUWDLQO\ GXH WR WKH KLJK DQG ULVLQJ FRVWV RI RWKHU HQHUJ\ VRXUFHV
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Greece 7KH *UHHN VRODU WKHUPDO PDUNHW KDV VKRZQ JUHDW UHVLOLHQFH DQG KDV JURZQ XQGHU H[WUHPHO\ GLIÀFXOW FRQGLWLRQV LQ WKH FRXQWU\ 7KH N:WK RI QHZO\ LQVWDOOHG FDSDFLW\ Pñ UHSUHVHQWHG D JURZWK RI FRPSDUHG ZLWK WKH SUHYLRXV \HDU 7KLV LV D UHPDUNDEOH H[DPSOH RI WKH VRODU WKHUPDO HQHUJ\ SRWHQWLDO LQ D PDWXUH PDUNHW ZKHUH SHRSOH NQRZ DQG WUXVW WKH WHFKQRORJ\ DQG VHH LW DV RQH RI WKH PDLQ RSWLRQV IRU VDYLQJV LQ IXHO DQG HOHFWULFLW\ SDUWLFXODUO\ LQ D VFHQDULR RI XQVWDEOH DQG ULVLQJ FRVWV
Solar Thermal Market in Austria Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors
kWth 350 000
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Solar Thermal Market in Greece Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors
m2 500 000
300 000
400 000
250 000 200 000
300 000
150 000
200 000
100 000 100 000
50 000 © ESTIF 2012 0
0 2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Solar Thermal Markets in Europe Trends and Market Statistics 2011
Major markets outside Europe Analyses of solrico, Author: Bärbel Epp 7KH $VLDQ FRXQWULHV &KLQD DQG ,QGLD UHDFK DQ RXWVWDQGLQJ KLJK DYHUDJH RI RYHU SRLQWV RQ WKH ,62/ ,QGH[ UDQNLQJ SRLQWV DERYH WKH ORQJ WHUP ,62/ ,QGH[ RI WKH 0HGLWHUUDQHDQ 5HJLRQ DQG 1RUWK &HQWUDO (XURSH :LWK RQO\ SRLQWV WKH LQGXVWU\ LQ WKH 86 VKRZV WKH OHDVW VDWLVI\LQJ UHVXOW 7KH ,62/ ,QGH[ LV D SRLQW EDVHG EXVLQHVV FOLPDWH LQGH[ ZKLFK PHDVXUHV WKH VDWLVIDFWLRQ RI LQGXVWU\ SOD\HUV LQ NH\ VRODU WKHUPDO PDUNHWV ZRUOGZLGH LQFOXGLQJ WKHLU SUHVHQW DQG IXWXUH EXVLQHVV RSSRUWXQLWLHV
Long-term average ISOL Index China India Turkey Brazil Mexico USA Mediterranean Region North/Central Europe 0
10
20
30
40
50
Attractive market segments in different countries
What is the fastest-growing segment in your national solar thermal market?
7KH FKDUW WR WKH OHIW LV EDVHG RQ WZR VXUYH\V RI VRODU WKHUPDO FROOHFWRU DQG V\VWHP PDQXIDFWXUHUV 'HFHPEHU DQG -XQH 3DUWLFLSDWLQJ FRPSDQLHV WLFNHG RQH PXOWLSOH FKRLFH DQVZHU WR WKH TXHVWLRQ ´:KDW LV WKH IDVWHVW JURZLQJ VHJPHQW LQ \RXU QDWLRQDO VRODU WKHUPDO PDUNHW"µ 7KH ÀJXUH LQ EUDFNHWV EHKLQG WKH FRXQWU\ VKRZV WKH QXPEHU RI TXHVWLRQQDLUHV ZKLFK ZHUH DYHUDJHG WR FDOFXODWH WKH VFRUH
Mexico (23) Brazil (45) India (59) USA (29) China (54) Turkey (29) 0%
20%
40%
60%
Single family houses
Multi-family houses
Industrial process heat
Public sector
Country
80%
100%
Hotels/Tourism
Newly installed collector area 2011
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Newly installed capacity 2011
Growth rate 2011/2010
Brazil
517 517 m2
362 MWth
9%
China
57 000 000 m2
29 900 MWth
16%
India
600 000 m2
364 MWth
n/a
Mexico
180 000 m2
126 MWth
0%
Turkey
1 805 675 m2
1 264 MWth
9%
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60
Forecast Index June 2012
Brazil +4% India +4% Turkey Mexico USA
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Forecast 2012: no great changes expected
-2% -2% -4%
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Global average -9%
The presented results are taken from the latest ISOL Navigator study published in June 2012. Further information: www.solrico.com
Renewable Heating & Cooling European Technology Platform
The European Technology Platform on Renewable Heating & Cooling (RHC-Platform) brings together stakeholders from the solar thermal, biomass and geothermal sector. The objective of the RHC-Platform is to encourage the use of renewable energy technologies for heating and cooling by maximizing synergies and strengthening efforts towards research, development and technological innovation to consolidate Europe’s leading position in the sector. In May 2011, the RHC-Platform published its “Common Vision� which is now complemented by the “Strategic Research Priorities for Solar Thermal Technology�.
Strategic Research Priorities for Solar Thermal Technology Strategic Research Priorities for Solar Thermal Technology European Technology Platform on Renewable Heating and Cooling
This new publication describes the potential of solar thermal, as well as the technological requirements and R&D priorities needed to facilitate the greater deployment of solar thermal in multiple market segments. Membership is free! Join the Platform today and become part of the community!
www.rhc-platform.org You want more information on the RHC-Platform? Check page 17 of this brochure!
The Secretariat of the European Technology Platform on Renewable Heating and Cooling is ďŹ nancially supported by the 7th Framework Programme of the European Commission (GA n. 268205).
Solar Thermal Markets in Europe Trends and Market Statistics 2011
Solar Thermal Markets at a Glance Data for 2011 6ZHGHQ N:WK
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Country name Annual evolution 2010/2011
15-25 kWth
Cumulative installed capacity in operation (kWth) kWth per 1000 capita
< 15 kWth
Note: The data are usually provided by national solar thermal associations or other national sources. Countries marked with an * are ESTIF estimations and are therefore not sufficient to set a percentage variation in the market.
/DWYLD N:WK Shares of the European Solar Thermal Market (Newly Installed Capacity)
Others
/LWKXDQLD
CZ
DK
UK
N:WK
PT
DE
CH
GR
AT
FR
IT PL
ES
DE
35%
IT
11%
ES
7%
PL
7%
FR
7%
AT
6%
GR
6%
CH
4%
PT
3%
UK
3%
CZ
2%
DK
2%
OTHERS 7% Š ESTIF 2012
WK
kWth
m2
Solar Thermal Capacity in Operation (per 1000 Capita)
700
Š ESTIF 2012
600 500 400
+XQJDU\ N:WK
300 200 100
5RPDQLD N:WK
kWth 30
LT LV EE RO FI UK BG HU PL SK NL FR BE IE SE CZ IT ES LU PT EU27+CH SI DK MT CH DE GR AT CY
0
m2
Development of Main Markets - Newly Installed Capacity per 1000 Capita
40
Š ESTIF 2012
%XOJDULD N:WK
900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0
35
25
30
20
25
15
20
10
15 10
5 0
5 01 Austria
02
03 France
04 Germany
05
06 Greece
07 Italy
08
09
Poland
10 Spain
11
0
EU27+
*UHHFH N:WK
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Solar Thermal Markets in Europe Trends and Market Statistics 2011
European Solar Days
For a bright Future
European Solar Days Spreading the message across Europe The number of events and participants is growing each year! In 2011 over 8000 events attended by half a million people in 19
countries! Join the campaign and get involved by organizing or attending an event! OR CHEDULED F S IS N IG A P M THE NEXT CA May 2013
1-19
Visit the website
www.solardays.eu and get all the information you need!
Want to know more? Contact ESTIF, the project coordinator: European Solar Thermal Industry Federation (ESTIF) Renewable Energy House Rue dâ&#x20AC;&#x2122; Arlon 63-67 B-1040 Brussels Belgium Tel: +32 2 546 19 38 Fax: +32 2 546 19 39 info@estif.org www.estif.org
* Countries in dark grey have already organized Solar Days events
Market Size in terms of Solar Thermal Capacity (KWth) and in terms of Collector Area (m²) In Operation2 2011
2009
2010
Total Glazed
Total Glazed
Total Glazed
m2
Annual Evolution of the Market
Market (=Newly Installed)
kW(th)
m2
2011 Total Glazed m2
Flat Plate m2
2011/2010 Total Glazed
Vacuum Collectors m2
m2
Total Glazed
kW(th)
%
3 988 088
2 791 662
356 166
279 898
230 189
221 495
8 694
161 132
-17.8%
Belgium
323 283
226 298
50 700
42 500
45 500
35 500
10 000
31 850
7.1%
Bulgaria*
115 100
80 570
8 000
8 400
10 800
10 000
800
7 560
-
Cyprus
713 359
499 351
34 709
30 713
28 437
26 794
1 643
19 906
-7.4%
Czech Republic
378 066
264 647
51 669
91 717
65 000
49 000
16 000
45 500
-29.1%
Denmark
583 605
408 524
54 496
64 651
62 401
61 897
504
43 681
-3.5%
Estonia*
4 720
3 304
450
500
1 800
900
900
1 260
-
Austria
Finland*
32 873
23 011
3 400
3 700
4 000
3 000
1 000
2 800
-
France4
1 824 900
1 277 430
265 000
256 000
251 000
242 200
8 800
175 700
-2.0%
Germany
14 994 000
10 495 800
1 615 000
1 150 000
1 270 000
1 152 000
118 000
889 000
10.4%
4 087 200
2 861 040
206 000
214 000
230 000
228 500
1 500
161 000
7.5%
Hungary
170 814
119 570
22 000
21 000
21 000
14 900
6 100
14 700
0.0%
Ireland
158 429
110 900
32 221
24 918
27 000
16 200
10 800
18 900
8.4%
3 073 930
2 151 751
475 000
490 000
415 000
373 500
41 500
290 500
-15.3%
Latvia*
3 740
2 618
180
200
1 800
1 000
800
1 260
-
Lithuania*
4 200
2 940
200
200
1 800
600
1 200
1 260
-
35 850
25 095
4 700
4 500
4 500
3 500
1 000
3 150
-
Greece
Italy
Luxemburg*
51 360
35 952
5 500
5 000
5 500
5 500
0
3 850
-
474 595
332 217
45 260
40 834
33 000
33 000
0
23 100
-19.2%
Poland
909 390
636 573
144 308
145 906
253 500
187 000
66 500
177 450
73.7%
Portugal
781 295
546 906
173 762
182 271
127 198
126 308
890
89 039
-30.2%
Romania*
105 200
73 640
14 900
15 500
15 500
8 500
7 000
10 850
53.3%
Malta* Netherlands
Slovakia
142 250
99 575
13 500
15 000
23 000
19 320
3 680
16 100
Slovenia
175 300
122 710
22 000
11 000
12 000
9 000
3 000
8 400
9.1%
2 369 861
1 658 903
391 000
336 800
266 979
249 728
17 251
186 885
-20.7%
Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom
EU27 + Switzerland
337 022
235 915
21 309
20 699
20 807
15 654
5 153
14 565
0.5%
1 023 698
716 589
145 640
144 772
140 000
130 000
10 000
98 000
-3.3%
656 998
459 899
89 100
105 200
91 778
72 953
18 826
64 245
-12.8%
37 519 126 26 263 388
4 246 170
3 705 879
3 659 489
-
-
2 561 643
-1.3%
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Solar Thermal Markets in Europe Trends and Market Statistics 2011
Solar Thermal Markets Below 200 000 m² Newly Installed Capacity for Markets Below 200 000 m² kWth 'XULQJ VHYHUDO PDUNHWV ZHUH VHULRXVO\ DIIHFWHG E\ SROLWLFDO LQGHFLVLRQ :LWKLQ WKH JURXS 140 000 RI PDUNHWV EHWZHHQ DQG PĂą 120 000 WKLV QHJDWLYH LPSDFW ZDV HYHQ PRUH REYLRXV ,Q SDUWLFXODU 3RUWXJDO DQG WKH &]HFK 5HSXEOLF 100 000 DUH FOHDU H[DPSOHV RI WKH DGYHUVH HIIHFWV RI 80 000 ´VWRS JRÂľ PHDVXUHV $IWHU WKH JURZWK REVHUYHG 60 000 RYHU UHFHQW \HDUV WKHVH PDUNHWV KDYH FRQWUDFWHG VLJQLĂ&#x20AC;FDQWO\ ² DURXQG UHVXOWLQJ LQ EXVLQHVVHV 40 000 FORVLQJ GRZQ DQG MRE ORVVHV 2Q WKH RWKHU KDQG 20 000 Š ESTIF 2012 WKH 8QLWHG .LQJGRP LV D FOHDU H[DPSOH RI 0 QHJDWLYH LPSDFW RQ WKH PDUNHW ZKHQ H[SHFWDWLRQV 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 DUH UDLVHG FDXVLQJ WKH PDUNHW WR VWDOO ZKLOH Czech Republic Denmark Portugal Switzerland UK FXVWRPHUV DQG DJHQWV ZDLW IRU WKH SURPLVHG PHDVXUHV WR FRPH LQWR HIIHFW ,Q WKH FDVH RI 6ZLW]HUODQG WKH VLWXDWLRQ LV PRUH VWDEOH HYHQ LI VRPH UHJLRQV FDQWRQV KDYH UHYLVHG WKHLU SROLFLHV
m2 200 000 160 000 120 000 80 000 40 000 0
Portugal )ROORZLQJ LPSUHVVLYH JURZWK LQ DQG WKH VXSSRUW OHYHO IRU VRODU WKHUPDO ZDV ORZHUHG LQ $ QHZ VXSSRUW PHFKDQLVP IRU ODUJH LQVWDOODWLRQV ODXQFKHG LQ KDG D SRVLWLYH DOEHLW VPDOO LPSDFW RQ WKLV W\SH RI DSSOLFDWLRQV LQ 7KH UHVLGHQWLDO PDUNHW ZDV DIIHFWHG E\ WKH Ă&#x20AC;QDQFLDO FULVLV IDFHG E\ WKH FRXQWU\ 7KH 9$7 UDWH LQFUHDVH IRUHVHHQ IRU WKH EHJLQQLQJ RI DIIHFWHG WKH HQG RI \HDU VDOHV UHVXOWV &RQVHTXHQWO\ WKH PDUNHW EHKDYHG EHWWHU WKDQ H[SHFWHG EXW VWLOO H[SHULHQFHG D UHGXFWLRQ RI GRZQ WR N:WK PĂą
kWth 140 000
Solar Thermal Market in Portugal Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors
m2 200 000
120 000
160 000
100 000 80 000
120 000
60 000
80 000
40 000 40 000 20 000 Š ESTIF 2012 0
0 2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Switzerland $V LQ WKH 6ZLVV PDUNHW DJDLQ IDFHG D VPDOO UHGXFWLRQ RI DURXQG 7KHUH ZHUH QR VLJQLĂ&#x20AC;FDQW FKDQJHV LQ WKH VXSSRUW IUDPHZRUN $OWKRXJK LQ VRPH FDQWRQV WKHUH ZHUH VRPH PRGLĂ&#x20AC;FDWLRQV RU XQFHUWDLQW\ UHJDUGLQJ VXSSRUW VFKHPHV EXW WKHVH VKRXOG QRW KDYH D PDMRU HIIHFW RQ WKH RYHUDOO PDUNHW 6DOHV LQ WKH 6ZLVV PDUNHW WRWDOOHG N:WK RI QHZO\ LQVWDOOHG FDSDFLW\ LQ PĂą DQG WKH RXWORRN IRU LV PRUH RI WKH VDPH L H EXVLQHVV DV XVXDO
kWth 140 000
Solar Thermal Market in Switzerland Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors
m2 200 000
120 000
160 000
100 000 80 000
120 000
60 000
80 000
40 000 40 000 20 000 Š ESTIF 2012 0
0 2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
United Kingdom ,Q WKH XQFHUWDLQW\ VXUURXQGLQJ WKH 5HQHZDEOH +HDW ,QFHQWLYH 5+, VFKHPH KDG D QHJDWLYH LPSDFW RQ WKH 8. PDUNHW 2YHUDOO LW VKUDQN E\ DOPRVW ZLWK OHVV WKDQ 0:WK LQVWDOOHG Pñ 'LIÃ&#x20AC;FXOW HFRQRPLF FRQGLWLRQV DQG WKH UHFHVVLRQ LQ WKH EXLOGLQJ VHFWRU GHOD\HG WKH ODXQFK RI WKH WDULII IRU GRPHVWLF XVHUV ,QVWHDG D 5HQHZDEOH +HDW 3UHPLXP 3D\PHQW 5+33 ZDV LQWURGXFHG LQ $XJXVW DQG WKH 5HQHZDEOH +HDW ,QFHQWLYH LQ 2FWREHU EXW OLPLWHG WR QRQ GRPHVWLF FRPPHUFLDO DSSOLFDWLRQV Â&#x2026; SHU V\VWHP ,W LV SUREDEO\ RQO\ LQ WKDW ZH ZLOO DEOH WR DVVHVV WKH HIIHFWV RI WKLV WDULII RQ WKH FRPPHUFLDO VHFWRU 7KH VPDOO VFDOH VRODU WKHUPDO ZLOO KDYH WR FRQWHQG ZLWK WKH YDJDULHV RI WKH PDUNHW VLQFH WKH JRYHUQPHQW KDV DQQRXQFHG D EURDG FRQVXOWDWLRQ SULRU WR ODXQFKLQJ WKH VHFRQG SKDVH RI WKH 5+, QRZ XQOLNHO\ EHIRUH PLG
kWth 140 000
m2 200 000
120 000
160 000
100 000 80 000
120 000
60 000
80 000
40 000 40 000 20 000 © ESTIF 2012 0
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Solar Thermal Market in the United Kingdom Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors
kWth 70 000
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Solar Thermal Market in Czech Republic Newly Installed Capacity - Glazed Collectors
m2 100 000
60 000
80 000
50 000 40 000
60 000
30 000
40 000
20 000 20 000 10 000 © ESTIF 2012 0
0 2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
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%HQHILWV • Simple test procedure • One test valid across Europe • Licensed products • Access to subsidies • Reliable quality and performance The Solar Keymark is a voluntary third-party certification mark for solar thermal products, showing that a product conforms to relevant European standards and fulfils additional requirements. It is used in Europe and increasingly recognized worldwide. It was developed by the European Solar Thermal Industry Federation (ESTIF) and CEN (European Committee for Standardisation) in close co-operation with leading European test labs and with the support of the European Commission. It is the European quality label for solar thermal products, aiming to reduce trade barriers and promote the use of high quality solar thermal products in the European market and beyond. Number of Solar Keymark licenses 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 Source: www.solarkeymark.org
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2020 renewable energy targets per sector ELECTRICITY 43%
Solar thermal is the main fully zero emission decentralized renewable energy source worldwide.
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500 000
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400 000
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2020 targets for renewable heating and cooling per technology
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2013 SEPTEMBER 23-25
FREIBURG, GERMANY
The International Energy Agency Solar Heating and Cooling Programme (IEA SHC) and the European Solar Thermal Industry Federation (ESTIF) have decided to combine forces to organise in 2013 what will be one of the largest Solar Thermal Conferences worldwide.
With IEA SHC and ESTIF you get the best of both worlds: Solar Thermal Technology, Innovation and Standardisation Solar Thermal Markets, Industry and Policy The new annual SHC Conference series will take off on 9 July this year in San Francisco,USA, co-located with Intersolar North America. After a very successful ESTEC 2011 in Marseille, France, and ten years after the first edition of ESTEC in Freiburg in 2003, the cooperation between ESTIF and IEA SHC will give a new impetus to the solar thermal conferences in Europe and create a worldwide reference solar thermal event for all audiences: • SHC 2013 for Industry: latest market updates and outlook, as well as state of the art innovations, product development, standards, technical regulations • SHC 2013 for Research: high scientific standards for the presentation of project results, and first hand information on the European research policy framework and funding • SHC 2013 for representatives from public authorities, regulators, local authorities, energy agencies, Non Governmental Organisations: the latest news on best practices, tools, policies and framework for promoting solar thermal • SHC 2013 for a global audience because the European sector is leading the way in solar thermal developments
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