CEDIP&T
SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF ST.PETERSBURG: RESULTS AND PROSPECTS
St.Petersburg today – is… The 4th by population and the 3rd by area square City in Europe City with a stable macroeconomic situation and a stable growth of GRP
Leading center of science and education in Russia
One of the leading industrial centers in Russia
One of the world’s centers of culture and art
ST. PETERSBURG
The largest seaport of NorthWestern Russia
One of the largest centers of tourism in Europe
Center of modern innovative industries
Concentration center of competent workforce The region of high investment activity
2
Current rank of St.Petersburg in Russian Federation economy (in January-September 2011) GRP per capita (2009) 0 5 10 15
The infant mortality rate
6
The share of taxes and fees in the consolidated budget of Russia
20
3
25
35
CONSOLIDATED INDEX
5
30
40 45 50 55
Registered unemployment rate
60
1
65 70
2
75
Processing production goods and services shipped
80
9 4
Average monthly nominal wages
4 Retail turnover
Construction of dwelling houses
1 Cargo turnover
3
Gross regional domestic product per capita in current basic prices (2009, roubles) 105,7 105,6
500000,0
105,8 105,7 105,6 105,5 105,4 105,3 105,2 105,1 105 104,9 104,8
105,6 105,4
400000,0 300000,0
481617,6
539268,4
800 000,0
431325,1
100000,0
105,1 389595,0
200000,0
341683,1
1 000 000,0
2010
2011E
2012F
2013F
2014F
0,0
GROSS REGIONAL PRODUCT
600000,0
6th place
Gross domestic product per capita, roubles GDP growth rate, % to previous year
600 000,0
400 000,0
315 662,5
296 889,3
278 778,8
320 916,4
347 195,6
679 340,7
765 221,8
925 411,9
849 163,2
Average Russian level 226 007,5
200 000,0
Republic of Komi
Magadan Region
Kamchastkiy kray
0,0 Chukotka Tyumen Region Sakhalin Region autonomous okrug
Moscow
Republic of St. Petersburg Sakha (Yakutia)
4
Industrial production index in processing productions in January-September 2011 (in % to January-September 2010)
120
115
15th place 122,8 122,7 121,2 119,8 119,1 118,6 117,7 116 115,9 115,9 114,6 114,3 114,2 114,2 114,2 114,2 114,1 114 113,9 113,9 113,8
125
128,1
130
132,2
3000
2319,7
2500 2000 1500
2606,3
110 1849,5
112 110
2067,7
108 104
104,5
105
106
1000
104
500
102
0
100
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
135
2011E 2012F 2013F 2014F The volume of processing production goods and services shipped, bln. Roubles IPI in processing productions, % to previous year
105
107,3 106,9 106,9 106,8 106,2 105,9 105,8 105,5 104,7 103,6 103,3 102,7 102,5 102,1 102,1 101,8 101 100,1
110 Average Russian level 107,2
91,2
95
99,9 99,6 99,5 98,4 97,4 96,5 95,9 95,4 94,9 94 93,9 93,4
100
90
5
Regional structure of the volume of construction of dwelling houses In January-September 2011 (%/thou m2) 2950
3000
4th place
2850
2900 2800
2700
2750
2700 2600 2500 2012F
2013F
2014F
CONSTRUCTION
2011E
Dwellings construction, thou sq.m
Other regions; 46,69% Moscow Region; 10,3% (3491,4 thou sq.m) Krasnodarskiy kray; 7,1%
Republic of Tatarstan; 5,2% Novosibirsk Region; 2,0%
St.Petersburg; 4,4% (1481,3 thou sq.m)
Chelyabinsk Region; 2,0% Sverdlovskaya oblast; 2,2% Stavropolskiy kray; 2,3% Nizhegorodskaya oblast; 3,0% Moscow; 3,4% (1161,3 thou sq.m)
Rostov Region; 3,7% Tyumen Region; 3,8% Republic of Bashkortostan; 3,8%
6
Structure of investments of Finland in St.Petersburg economy (January-June 2011)
Investments of countries in St.Petersburg economy in January-September 2011 Austria 2,5% Sweden 4,0%
Other countries 27,00% United Kingdom 17,3%
Finland 5,0%
60000000
Switzerland 5,5%
Construction
18,1%
Wholesale and retail trade, repair Processing productions
Germany 6,2%
Operations with real property, lease
63,8%
Cyprus 12,0%
Republic of Korea 10,2%
China 10,3%
413221
421983
451245
460030
466488
476806
542330
591430
630183
669721
748021
1019957
1354277
1391066
1524630
1690449
2663290
2726376
3171468
3972271
6570080
964208
4th place
30000000
9821477
Other kinds of economic activity
1,4% 8,2% 8,5%
INVESTMENTS
84877967
90000000
Foreign investments in January-September 2011 (million USD)
0
7
Retail turnover in January-September 2011 (million roubles) 1200000 1000000
4th
800000
place
400000
765851,3
858067,5
955823,4
1062818,3
600000 200000 2011E
2012F
2013F
COMMERCE AND SERVICES
0 2014F
Retail trade turnover, million roubles
Retail turnover in St. Petersburg retail chains; 275156,9; 49,9%
Other RF regions; 6277763,9; 46% Chelyabinsk Region; 305124,1; 2%
Average Russian level 18,6%
Nizhegorodskaya oblast; 306784,7; 2%
St.Petersburg; 551407; 4% Moscow; 2356752,1; 17%
Samara Region; 334223,9; 3% Republic of Tatarstan; 371752,6; 3% Tyumen Region; 384823,9; 3%
Retail turnover in other St. Petersburg formats; 276250,1; 50,1%
Rostov Region; 395399,3; 3% Republic of Bashkortostan; 396292,2; 3% Krasnodarskiy kray; 515288,1; 4%
Moscow Region; 858885; 6%
Sverdlovskaya Region; 556503,2; 4%
8
Share of Russian Federation subjects in the total amount of taxes and fees revenues in the consolidated budget of Russian Federation (as of 1st October 2011)
BUDGET SYSTEM
5th place
Moscow; 21,72%
Other RF regions; 39,99%
Sverdlovskaya oblast; 2,00% Republic of Bashkortostan; 2,04% Samara Region; 2,41% Republic of Tatarstan; 2,92%
St. Petersburg; 4,47% Khanty-Mansi AO - Yugra; 15,16%
Moscow Region; 4,50% Yamalo-Nenets AO; 4,80%
9
Average monthly nominal wages in January-September 2011 (roubles/in % to January-September 2010) 50000
80000
40000 30000
place
10000
31000
38886,4
43552,8
125
20000
120
0 60000
2011E
2012F
2013F
2014F
Average monthly nominal wages, roubles 50000 113,9 112,7
112,6
40000
111,8
115
115,2
111,9 110,7
110,2
110,5
112,3
111,9
110,9
110,7
110,6 109,4
30000
108,1
110
109 Average Russian level 22622
106,2
20000
105
0
22770,9
23172,6
23310,8
23379,2
24200
24759
25158,9
27338,3
27607,1
28791,3
30800,4
31102,6
36769,6
37774
40955,1
41280
41416,1
51305,7
10000
100
10
SOCIAL STANDARD OF LIVING
70000
9th
34720
Average monthly wages by kinds of economic activity in St.Petersburg in September 2011 (roubles) Average monthly wages 29642 roubles
51989
SOCIAL STANDARD OF LIVING
Financial activity 36389
Production and distribution of electricity, gas and water
35064
Operations with real property, lease
33185
Transport and communications
29810
Processing productions
28998
Providing other communal and social services
26499
Construction
24881
Healthcare
23624
Wholesale and retail trade, repair
21775
Education 0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
11
Registered unemployment rate as of the end of September 2011 (% of the number of economically active population)
Healthcare 11,2% Operations with real property, lease 13,6%
Transport and communications 10,6%
0,61 0,6 0,59 0,58 0,57 0,56 0,55
Wholesale and retail trade, repair 9,4%
0,59 0,58
0,57
2011E
2012F
2013F
2014F
Registered unemployment rate, % of EAP
Providing other communal and social services 4,6%
Processing productions 15,2%
0,6
EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT
Structure of substituted workplaces in St.Petersburg organisations (without minor entrepreneurship entities) by kinds of economic activity
2
Construction 4,5%
0,5
1st place
0,9
0,9
0,9
0,8
0,7
0,7
0,7
0,7
Other kinds of economic activity 8,6%
Average Russian level 1,6
Financial activity 4,0% Production and distribution of electricity, gas 1 and water 2,7% 0,6
Education 15,6%
0
12
THANK YOU!
CEDIP & T
COMMITTEE FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, INDUSTRIAL POLICY AND TRADE www. cedipt.spb.ru/economics/macro/
TIMOFEEVA TATIANA t.timofeeva@cedipt.spb.ru
SAINT-PETERSBURG DECEMBER 2011