Agri_Report_30_Aug_2018 Epic Research

Page 1

30-Aug-2018 Agri Commodity Update

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Agri Commodity Update Market Views MONTH

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE

% CHG

VOL

MONTH

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CORIANDER

AUG

4626

4643

4561

SUPPORT

SUPP.1

SUPP. 2

4569

4524

4615

4606 RESISTANCE

RES. 1

RES. 2

4651

4688

-0.13

7440

Coriander short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.

-

-

-

-

SUPPORT

SUPP. 1

SUPP. 2

-

-

6750

6866

6730

SUPPORT

SUPP. 1

SUPP. 2

6731

6662

6800

6798 RESISTANCE

RES. 1

RES. 2

6867

6934

-

-

-

PIVOT

LEVELS

RESISTANC E

RES. 1

RES. 2

-

-

-

-

GUARGUM 5MT

PIVOT

INTRADAY LEVELS

VOL

INTRADAY

TURMERIC

AUG

% CHG

CASTORSEED

PIVOT

INTRADAY LEVELS

CLOSE

-0.15

2005

Turmeric short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.

AUG

8888

9059

8780

SUPPORT

SUPP. 1

SUPP. 2

8777

8639

8915

PIVOT

INTRADAY LEVELS

8918 RESISTANCE

RES. 1

RES. 2

9056

9197

1.35

31640

Guargum Short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.


Agri Commodity Update Most Active Contract TOP GAINERS Symbol

Expiry Date

Current Price

Change

NCDEX INDICES

Change %

MAIZE FEED/INDUSTRIAL GRADE

19-09-2018

1365.00

14.00

1.04%

Index

GUAR GUM 5 MT

16-10-2018

9005.00

90.00

1.01%

Castorseed

4593

4604

-0.24

GUAR SEED 10 MT

16-10-2018

4197.00

21.50

0.51%

Chana

3913

3967

-1.36

WHEAT

19-09-2018

1996.00

7.00

0.35%

Coriander

4609

4615

-0.13

Guargum5MT

8880

8785

1.08

Value

Pre. Close

% Change

TOP LOSERS Symbol

Expiry Date

Current Price

Change

Change %

COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA

19-09-2018

1628.00

-31.50

-1.90%

Jeera

19340

19165

0.91

CHANA

19-09-2018

3911.00

-56.00

-1.41%

Musterseed

3955

4000

-1.13

RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED

19-09-2018

3963.00

-37.00

-0.93%

Soybean

3190

3182

0.25

REF SOYA OIL

19-09-2018

728.00

-2.70

-0.37%

Turmeric

6790

6800

-0.15


Agri Commodity Update Commodities In News  Production and exports of Palm Oil from Indonesia, the world’s largest producer of the vegetable oil, rose in July from a month earlier, said a Reuters survey of two industry groups and a state palm oil research firm. Palm oil production is expected to have reached 3.897 million tonnes in July from 3.45 million tonnes in June, according to the survey. Exports of palm oil, widely used in variety of food and cleaning products, rose to 2.887 million tonnes from 2.48 million tonnes in June, the survey showed. Survey respondents said they see healthy overseas demand for palm last month, such as from top buyer India.  Soybean production in India is set to jump about 20% to over 10 million tonnes in the 2018/2019 crop year that starts in October, industry body Solvent Extractors' Association of India (SEA) said. Higher production in the world's top importer of edible oils could curb its appetite for cargoes from overseas, potentially dragging on international soybean prices. "(We are) looking at higher acreage and satisfactory rain so far in major soybean growing areas such as Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra," a top official of Solvent Extractors' Association of India (SEA) said. "The initial estimate (for 2018/19) is 10-plus million metric tonnes," the official said. India would likely churn out 8.3 million tonnes of soybeans in the 2017/2018 crop year that ends on September 30, the association said.  India's Cotton production is likely to decline by 3-4 per cent this year to about 350 lakh bales following deficit rainfall, decline in acreage and the outbreak of the pink bollworm infestation on crops, the Cotton Association of India (CAI) said in a report. “Major cotton growing States are facing issues, including deficit rainfall and shifting away from cotton to other crops, resulting in a decline in acreage and the outbreak of the pink bollworm infestation. This is likely to affect cotton production by 3-4 per cent this year to 350 lakh bales,” CAI said.

ECONOMIC NEWS 

The Maharashtra government plans to soon sign a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Bengaluru’s Indian Institute of Science (IISc) to use drone technology developed by its aerospace engineers for estimating area, yield and health of soyabean and cotton. Although India is among the top producers of several agricultural commodities, it continues to have grossly inaccurate production estimates. Maharashtra, the second largest producer of cotton, soyabean and sugarcane in the country, has often missed its production and yield estimates. Accurate data is also required to compensate farmers for crop losses caused by natural calamities and for settlement of insurance claims. In the case of sugarcane, production estimates have gone wrong time and again. Despite use of satellites, the sugar industry estimated 2017-18 sugar production at 251 lakh tonnes while the actual production was 28.5% higher at 322.5 lakh tonnes. In the absence of reliable government data, vested interests are known to manipulate production and storage estimates of commodities such as cotton, soyabean and pulses. While the central government set up the Mahalanobis National Crop Forecast Centre in 2012 to use state of the art technologies developed by the Isro, accurate data continues to be elusive. 

The Maharashtra government's revised farm loan waiver norms, which will increase the number of beneficiaries, will cost the state an additional Rs 500 crore, an official said today. The state government has already spent Rs 15,882 crore for the implementation of its 'Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj Shetkari Sanman Yojana', designed for crop loan waiver, which was announced in June last year. The government had then pegged the total loan waiver amount at around Rs 34,000 crore. Around 58 lakh farmers are currently covered under the scheme, the state government said during the Maharashtra Assembly's monsoon session held last month.


Agri Commodity Update Technical Outlook

SELL CORIANDER SEP BELOW 4560 TARGET 4540/4520/4500 SL 4690

BUY GUARGUM5 OCT ABOVE 9100 TARGET 9140/9180/9220 SL 9050

BUY TURMERIC SEP ABOVE 6850 TARGET 6880/6910/6940 SL 6810


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