Daily Agri Report of 23 July 2018 by Epic Research

Page 1

23-Jul-2018 Agri Commodity Update

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Agri Commodity Update Market Views MONTH

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE

% CHG

VOL

MONTH

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CORIANDER

JULY

4642

4796

4625

SUPPORT

SUPP.1

SUPP. 2

4563

4508

4618

4679 RESISTANCE

RES. 1

RES. 2

4734

4850

3.18

9880

Coriander short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.

-

-

-

-

SUPPORT

SUPP. 1

SUPP. 2

-

-

7250

7350

7242

SUPPORT

SUPP. 1

SUPP. 2

7218

7176

7260

7284 RESISTANCE

RES. 1

RES. 2

7326

7392

-

-

-

PIVOT

LEVELS

RESISTANC E

RES. 1

RES. 2

-

-

-

-

GUARGUM 5MT

PIVOT

INTRADAY LEVELS

VOL

INTRADAY

TURMERIC

JULY

% CHG

CASTORSEED

PIVOT

INTRADAY LEVELS

CLOSE

0.96

4765

Turmeric short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.

JULY

9145

9399

9120

SUPPORT

SUPP. 1

SUPP. 2

9057

8949

9165

PIVOT

INTRADAY LEVELS

9228 RESISTANCE

RES. 1

RES. 2

9336

9507

1.85

29715

Guargum Short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.


Agri Commodity Update Most Active Contract TOP GAINERS Symbol

Expiry Date

Current Price

Change

CORIANDER

20-08-2018

4765.00

147.00

3.18%

GUAR GUM 5 MT

16-10-2018

9335.00

170.00

1.85%

TURMERIC

20-08-2018

7330.00

70.00

0.96%

WHEAT GUAR SEED 10 MT

BARLEY

20-08-2018

1945.00

16-10-2018

4330.00

20-08-2018

1595.00

12.00 22.00

7.00

NCDEX INDICES

Change % Index

Value

Pre. Close

% Change

Castorseed

4536

4496

0.89

Chana

4310

4332

-0.51

Coriander

4720

4591

2.81

Guargum5MT

8880

8785

1.08

Jeera

18690

18605

0.46

Musterseed

4156

4200

-1.05

0.62% 0.51%

0.44%

TOP LOSERS Symbol

Expiry Date

Current Price

Change

Change %

CHANA

20-08-2018

4275.00

-37.00

-0.86%

Soybean

3610

3540

1.98

COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA

20-08-2018

1800.00

-4.00

-0.22%

Turmeric

7290

7152

1.93


Agri Commodity Update Commodities In News  Garment manufacturers in Gujarat have predicted a rise of 10 per cent in the price of garments after the centre raised the Minimum Support Price (MSP) of Cotton. The centre raised the MSP on medium-staple and longstaple fiber Cotton by 28 per cent and 26 per cent, respectively. The MSP of Cotton (medium staple) was raised to Rs 5,150 per quintal from Rs 4020 per quintal and that of Cotton (long staple) to Rs 5,450 per quintal from Rs 4,320 per quintal. The increase in MSP will have a big impact on the prices of garments. In the run up to the upcoming festive season that extends till Diwali, we foresee a 8-10 per cent rise in cost of garments.  Drought like situation is faced in some parts of Uttar Pradesh (UP) due to a monsoon deficit, which is hitting Paddy plantation and posing a threat to the timely sowing of other kharif crops too. The plantation of Paddy, one of the state’s main crops has been delayed due to deficit rainfall. The time for sowing Paddy will be over after July 31. Paddy is grown on 59 lakh hectares. But the crop has been sown only on 30 percent land so far. The remaining plantation has to be done by the month-end, beyond which plantation of all varieties, except the Basmati, would be too late.

ECONOMIC NEWS 

Tamil Nadu sugar mill owners and representatives have met Chief Minister Edappadi K Palaniswami seeking financial assistance and certain decontrol measures in the operations of sugar mills to tide over what they regard as "distressing" crisis following five years of less-than-desired rainfall in the state. The company officials met with the Chief Minister and presented a memorandum dated July 18, 2018. "Lower capacity utilisation, depressed sugar recovery and a massive fall in sugar prices have resulted in lower revenue generation," Palani G Periasamy, President of South Indian Sugar Mills Association told in the memorandum to the Chief Minister. Sugar rates have been touching lows for a year, but have risen from lows touched in May. The Indian Sugar Mills Association has predicted a higher output in the forthcoming Sugar season. The Centre has also announced a higher Fair and Remunerative Price for the farmers, fixed at Rs 275 a quintal for the 2018-19 sugar year. This does not augur well for states like Tamil Nadu where debtburdened sugar mills have found it difficult to pay lower FRPs. 

 India’s Coffee output for the 2018-19 crop year starting October is set to shrink as unusual heavy rains have hit over the past several weeks in the key growing regions in Karnataka. These key regions have affected with fungal diseases such as black-rot, which results in rotting of leaves and berries and also there have been reports of excess berry droppings due to heavy rains. Karnataka accounts for over 70 per cent of the country’s Coffee output. Karnataka planters are grappling to deal with fungal disease, berry droppings. Even the shortage of labour is hurting the growers. India’s Coffee output which peaked to a record 3.48 lakh tonnes during 2015-16 has come down in the subsequent years on account of erratic weather pattern impacting the production.

Technically Cardamom market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by 5.52% to settled at 137 while prices down 3.4 rupees. Now MCX Cardamom is getting support at 1114.4 and below same could see a test of 1102.7 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 1143.9, a move above could see prices testing 1161.7. Cardamom on MCX settled down by 0.3% at 1126.1 on profit booking after prices gained as there are fears of damage to standing crops and delay in new crop supplies. Rains have also impacted the new crops and supplies from the fresh crop would get momentum by the third week of this month, though scattered supplies have begun to pour in some of the auction centres. Stockists did not make buying on hopes of higher output and early commencement of new crop supplies.


Agri Commodity Update Technical Outlook

BUY CORIANDER AUG ABOVE 4800 TARGET 4820/4840/4860 SL 4770

BUY GUARGUM5 OCT ABOVE 9400 TARGET 9440/9480/9520 SL 9350

BUY TURMERIC AUG ABOVE 7350 TARGET 7380/7410/7440 SL 7310


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