Daily commodity market report 02 april 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 2nd APRIL 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 2nd APRIL 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-APR-14

28610.00

28615.00

28031.00

28536.00

-1.72

480

SILVER

05-MAY-14

42743.00

43000.00

42551.00

42805.00

-0.53

15152

CRUDEOIL

21-APR-14

6104.00

6109.00

5983.00

6119.00

-2.22

8150

NATURALGAS

25-APR-14

262.90

264.70

257.50

262.50

-1.90

6386

COPPER

30-APR-14

403.50

404.65

402.30

404.15

-0.12

19259

LEAD

31-MAR-14

124.25

124.25

122.35

124.40

-1.57

2811

NICKEL

31-MAR-14

956.10

965.10

947.50

958.90

0.50

6121

ZINC

31-MAR-14

119.40

119.50

118.05

119.55

-1.15

1569

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR-14

106.00

106.70

105.65

106.25

0.05

2394

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (01-APRIL- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-6550

COPPER

-1925

LEAD

-1325

NICKEL

-738

TIN

UNCH

ZINC

53975 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 2nd APRIL 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,281.70

+1.70

+0.13%

JUN 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,282.67

+3.72

+0.29%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

19.78

+0.02

+0.12%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

305.15

+1.70

+0.56%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,432.38

+8.13

+0.57%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

99.65

-1.93

-1.90%

MAY 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

105.44

-0.18

-0.17%

MAY 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

286.17

-5.62

-1.93%

MAY 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.25

-0.03

-0.68%

MAY 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

288.49

-0.29

-0.10%

MAY 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 2nd APRIL 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

30-Apr

103.58

104.92

105.63

106.97

107.68

COPPER

30-Apr

401.68

402.92

404.18

405.42

406.68

CRUDEOIL

21-Apr

6048

6084

6111

6147

6174

GOLD

5-Jun

27869

28007

28184

28322

28499

LEAD

30-Apr

123.70

124.05

124.40

124.75

125.10

NATURALGAS

25-Apr

255.97

259.23

264.97

268.23

273.97

NICKEL

30-Apr

941.2

950.0

955.0

963.8

968.8

SILVER

5-May

42316

42561

42945

43190

43574

ZINC

30-Apr

117.42

118.48

119.32

120.38

121.22

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 2nd APRIL 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

42615.00

2,50,91,71,200.00

58,880

CRUDE OIL

21-04-2014

5983.00

33,49,82,187.00

55,989

NATURAL GAS

25-04-2014

257.50

1,01,14,342.50

39,279

SILVER M

30-04-2014

42610.00

1,30,45,90,370.00

30,617

COPPER

30-04-2014

403.65

85,29,528.15

21,131

NICKEL

30-04-2014

963.70

1,72,39,629.30

17,889

COPPERMINI

30-04-2014

403.70

62,70,268.40

15,532

GOLD PETAL

30-04-2014

2977.00

4,57,47,559.00

15,367

NICKELMINI

30-04-2014

963.50

1,42,34,749.00

14,774

SILVER

05-05-2014

42580.00

60,74,88,860.00

14,267

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 2nd APRIL 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES JACE launches gold hedge contract Govt reduces tariff value of gold, silver Silver down 0.3% on weak global cues Aluminium down 0.5% on global cues Copper down 0.2% on global cues, subdued demand Nickel down 0.3% on weak trend in base metals India extends ban on export of pulses Favourable policy support to drift agri commodity exports India's FY14 coffee exports up 3.6% Oil prices mixed in Asia after strong US data Oil prices up in Asia on US data Crude prices rise in Asian trade India's coffee exports marginally up 2.8% in FY14 Commodities, frontier markets top Jan-Mar investment league India's crude oil imports up 23% on fuel demand

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 2nd APRIL 2014 SPECIAL NEWS

The consumer price inflation for industrial workers eased to a two year low of 6.73% in February due to weakening pressure on food items. The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly Consumer Price Index for Industrial workers (CPI-IW) stood at 6.73% for February, 2014, as compared to 7.24% for the previous month and 12.06 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year, according to a Labor Ministry statement. The food inflation stood at 7.56% in February, 2014, against 8.94% of the previous month UK manufacturing production and new orders both continued to rise at robust clips during March, maintaining the positive start the sector has made to 2014.The ongoing upturn also supported further job creation. Price pressures continued to ease, however, as input costs fell and selling price inflation slowed to a seven month low. Market CIPS Purchasing Manager's Index eased to an eight month low of 55.3 in March, signaling a further cooling of growth from the peaks scaled towards the end of last year.

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COMMODITY BUZZ

National Commodities and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) has announced the launch of futures contracts in Bajra expiring in the months of May 2014, June 2014 and July 2014 would be available for trading from April 01, 2014. Contracts for further expiries will be launched as per the contract launch calendar, says the exchange. US Gold futures managed to continue the recovery on short covering triggered by weak dollar amid Yellen comments on continuation of stimulus program. On Monday, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that there is still room for the central bank to help the economy and reiterated that the Fed's commitment to economic stimulus will still be needed for some time. The U.S. Institute of Supply Management is to publish a report on U.S. manufacturing growth for March later in the day. The Comex gold for June delivery trades at $1,284.20 a troy ounce, up $0.40and Silver May contract quotes at $19.737 a troy ounce, down 0.015 over Monday's close Local Gold plummeted further on weak international market amid stronger local currency against the greenback

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 2nd APRIL 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is DOWN, Immediate support @ 42200Immediate Resistance @ 43600 SILVER MCX Closed @ 42588 . Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 440. Open Interest was down +1.24 %, Volumes were 14759 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements.

BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 43020 TGTS 43270/43620 SL BELOW 42600 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 42500 TGTS 42300/42000 SL 42850

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 2nd APRIL 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is down, Immediate support @ 27820 Immediate Resistance @ 28160 GOLD MCX Closed @ 27912. Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 249. Open Interest was down +3.74 %, Volumes were 12918 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(JUN) ABOVE 28020 TGTS 28100/28200 SL 27920 SELL GOLD(JUN) BELOW 27820 TGTS 27740/27640 SL 27920

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 2nd APRIL 2014

GUARSEED

RESISTANCE 2

4858.00

RESISTANCE 1

4947.00

PIVOT

4738.00

SUPPORT 1

4693.00

SUPPORT 2

4617.00

Guarseed April short term trend looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators is in mid range. In intraday basis immediate support @ 4750 & immediate resistance @ 4840.

BUY GUARSEED APR ABOVE 4840 TGTS 4870,4920 SL 4790 SELL GUARSEED APR BELOW 4750 TGTS 4720,4670 SL 4800

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 2nd APRIL 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 2

9805.00

RESISTANCE 1

10020.00

PIVOT

9568.00

SUPPORT 1

9460.00

SUPPORT 2

9330.00

On Technical chart Dhaniya April is in bullish trend where dhaniya April future made new high, immediate support @ 9490 and immediate resistance @ 9630.Momentum indicators RSI and is above their mid range also support bullish trend in dhaniya. Expecting that rising in price will continue in upcoming trading session. BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9630 TGTS 9660,9710 SL 9580 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9490 TGTS 9460,9410 SL 9540

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 2nd APRIL 2014

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 2 TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

02:00

GBP

NATIONWIDE HPI (MOM)

0.8%

0.6%

02:00

GBP

NATIONWIDE HPI (YOY)

9.6%

9.4%

03:00

EUR

SPANISH UNEMPLOYMENT CHANGE

-5.3K

-1.9K

04:30

GBP

CONSTRUCTION PMI

63.0

62.6

05:00

EUR

GDP (QOQ)

0.3%

0.3%

05:00

EUR

GDP (YOY)

0.5%

0.5%

07:45

GBP

MPC MEMBER CUNLIFFE SPEAKS

08:15

USD

ADP NONFARM EMPLOYMENT CHANGE

195K

139K

10:00

USD

FACTORY ORDERS (MOM)

1.2%

-0.7%

16:00

USD

FOMC MEMBER BULLARD SPEAKS

17:45

BRL

BRAZILIAN INTEREST RATE DECISION

10.75%

10.75%

20:30

AUD

RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.3%

1.2%

20:30

AUD

TRADE BALANCE

0.850B

1.433B

21:00

CNY

CHINESE NON-MANUFACTURING PMI

55.0

21:45

CNY

CHINESE HSBC SERVICES PMI

51.0

22:00

AUD

RBA GOVERNOR STEVENS SPEAKS

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