Daily commodity market report 20 march 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 20th MARCH 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 20th MARCH 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-APR-14

30211

30222

29926

29981

-0.61%

9037

SILVER

05-MAY-14

45990

46049

45227

45673

-0.24%

12871

CRUDEOIL

21-APR-14

6065

6095

6039

6063

-0.15%

5948

NATURALGAS

26-MAR-14

273.7

275.5

270.1

273.1

-0.11%

8131

COPPER

30-APR-14

401.95

407.7

391.8

406.5

+0.96%

20964

LEAD

31-MAR-14

126

131.1

124.3

127.4

-0.12%

3071

NICKEL

31-MAR-14

991

997.9

975.2

994.1

+0.34%

9559

ZINC

31-MAR-14

120.65

121.5

119.05

121.1

-0.17%

2415

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR-14

104.35

104.45

102.25

104

-0.29%

4960

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (19-MAR- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

208125

COPPER

-2025

LEAD

-625

NICKEL

366

TIN

95

ZINC

-2025 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 20th MARCH 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,331.90

-9.40

-0.70%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,332.52

+2.93

+0.22%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

20.70

-0.17

-0.80%

MAY 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

296.85

+1.70

+0.58%

MAY 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,448.63

+1.13

+0.08%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

100.55

+0.18

+0.18%

APR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

106.05

+0.20

+0.19%

MAY 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

286.88

-3.40

-1.17%

APR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.47

-0.01

-0.29%

APR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

290.42

-1.13

-0.39%

APR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 20th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-MAR

101.37

102.68

103.57

104.88

105.77

COPPER

30-APR

386.10

396.30

402.00

412.20

417.90

CRUDEOIL

21-APR

6010

6036

6066

6092

6122

GOLD

5-APR

29747

29864

30043

30160

30339

LEAD

31-MAR

120.80

124.10

127.60

130.90

134.40

NATURALGAS

26-MAR

267.50

270.30

272.90

275.70

278.30

NICKEL

31-MAR

966.4

980.2

989.1

1002.9

1011.8

SILVER

5-MAY

44828

45250

45650

46072

46472

ZINC

31-MAR

118.10

119.60

120.55

122.05

123.00

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 20th MARCH 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

30-04-2014

45761.00

4,27,05,53,803.00

93,323

COPPER

30-04-2014

405.90

3,45,05,964.90

85,011

COPPERMINI

30-04-2014

405.85

1,98,24,554.95

48,847

SILVER M

30-04-2014

45760.00

2,08,52,83,200.00

45,570

NATURAL GAS

26-03-2014

273.20

99,00,768.00

36,240

CRUDE OIL

21-04-2014

6062.00

21,06,66,624.00

34,752

NICKEL

31-03-2014

993.30

3,15,74,027.10

31,787

SILVER

05-05-2014

45730.00

1,26,77,27,060.00

27,722

NICKELMINI

31-03-2014

993.70

2,26,08,662.40

22,752

GOLD PETAL

31-03-2014

3185.00

6,07,47,505.00

19,073

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 20th MARCH 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES RBI allows 5 private banks to import gold. Some cause for hope on CAD control. Silver down 0.9% on weak global cues. Nickel up 0.4% on global cues, industrial demand. Copper down 0.7% on global cues, subdued demand. Aluminium down 0.3% on global cues. Cardamom down 0.4% on profit booking. Potato up 0.6% on pick-up in spot demand. Sugar output still shows effect of late crushing. Crude prices up after Crimea referendum. Oil prices ease in Asian trade. Oil prices ease on weak Chinese trade data. New FMC penalties for short collection of margin money. Mentha oil up 0.6% on higher export, local demand.

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 20th MARCH 2014

SPECIAL NEWS India has allowed five major domestic private sector banks to import gold, partially easing some of the heavy. curbs initiated on the local gold imports during last year. India initiated an 80/20 rule in July, making it mandatory to export a fifth of all gold imports in the country to control the soaring CAD. Under that rule, only six banks and three state-run trading agencies that had facilitated export of gold or jewellery in the past three years were allowed to import. The Bank of England policymakers unanimously decided to maintain interest rate and quantitative easing as no member thought it appropriate to tighten, or to loosen, the stance of monetary policy at the current juncture. All nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted to retain the interest rate at 0.50 percent and quantitative easing at GBP 375 billion, the minutes of the meeting held on March 5 and 6 showed Wednesday. Headline inflation had fallen to below the 2% target for the first time in over four years. Meanwhile, wage growth had edged up. Nonetheless, all members agreed that the probability of inflation being above 2.5% in 18-24 months time remained less than 50 percent, the minutes showed.

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COMMODITY BUZZ Even as gold imports fell substantially, those of silver reached a record high in 2013. Sector estimates suggest India imported around 5,500 tonnes of silver, 180 per cent more than the previous year. The only earlier occasion when India imported more than 5,000 tonnes of silver in a year was in 2008. Traders needed to restock on silver; with gold costlier, there was a sudden rise in demand for silver jewellery, in India and in the export market. Also, prices were lower — these averaged $23.85 an ounce in 2013, from $31.17 in 2012, leading to higher demand. The price is down as its industrial demand is lagging, due to an overall slowing of economic activity; in 2014, so far, the average silver price has been $20.53 an oz. Gold tumbled for the third day as Ukraine crises eased amid recovery in US dollar. Meanwhile investors are looking for the outcome of the Federal Reserve policy meeting scheduled later Yesterday. Asian indices were settled mixed in cautious trade on Wednesday, as market players prepared for the outcome of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting and news on the fate of its bond buying program. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed down 0.1%, China's Shanghai Composite Index inched down 0.17%, Australia's ASX/200 Index closed 0.21% higher, while Japan's Nikkei 225 Index ended up 0.36%.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 20th MARCH 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP. Immediate support @ 45500. Immediate Resistance @ 47000. Yesterday SILVER MCX Closed @ 45673. Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 823. Open Interest was down +5.10 %, Volumes were 26250 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 46050 TGTS 46250/46550 SL 45700 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 45700 TGTS 45500/45150 SL 46050 YOUR MINTVISORY

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 20th MARCH 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is down. Immediate support @ 30050. Immediate Resistance @ 30350 Today GOLD MCX Closed @ 29,981. Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 215. Open Interest was down -7.85 %, Volumes were 13420 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30100 TGTS 30180/30280 SL 29980 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 29900 TGTS 29820/29720 SL 30000

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 20th MARCH 2014

GUARSEED

RESISTANCE 2

4641.70

RESISTANCE 1

4683.30

PIVOT

4593.30

SUPPORT 1

4556.7

SUPPORT 2

4513.3

Guarseed daily chart shows sideways to bearish trend. expecting price will go down momentum indicator RSI is below mid range, recommending sell on high. Immediate support @ 4720 and immediate resistance @ 4785. BUY GUARSEED APR ABOVE 4785 TGTS 4815,4865 SL 4735 SELL GUARSEED APR BELOW 4720 TGTS 4690,4640 SL 4770

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 20th MARCH 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 2

9573.70

RESISTANCE 1

9626.30

PIVOT

9503.30

SUPPORT 1

9450.7

SUPPORT 2

9380.30

Dhaniya daily chart price trend bullish. Profit booking has continued from past week. trend is bullish and fundamentally also supports its bullishness, the momentum indicator RSI left overbought zone. Immediate support @ 9380 and immediate resistance @ 9440 BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9440 TGTS 9470,9520 SL 9390 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9380 TGTS 9350,9300 SL 9430

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 20th MARCH 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

THURSDAY, MARCH 20 03:15

NZD

GDP (QOQ)

12:30

EUR

GERMAN PPI (MOM)

12:45

JPY

BOJ GOVERNOR KURODA SPEAKS

16:30

GBP

18:00

0.9%

1.2%

0.1%

-0.1%

CBI INDUSTRIAL TRENDS ORDERS

5

3

USD

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS

325K

315K

19:30

USD

EXISTING HOME SALES

4.60M

4.62M

19:30

USD

EXISTING HOME SALES (MOM)

0.4%

-5.1%

19:30

USD

PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX

3.8

-6.3

00:00

USD

FED CHAIR YELLEN SPEAKS

YOUR MINTVISORY

0.9%

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